Natural factors

自然因素
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    沉积物核心是调查海上微塑料(MPs)历史存在的最佳介质。在这项研究中,在不同的水深收集了两个沉积物岩心,即,XS2(10米)和XS3(20米),从宁波的象山近海(XSO)。我们重点研究了两个沉积物岩心内MPs的时空分布特征,并探讨了MPs丰度对自然因素和人类活动的响应差异。结果表明,自1960年代后期以来,沉积物中的MPs丰度逐渐增加,但有年际波动。XS2和XS3中的MPs丰度为1133-8700和633-11433项目/kg干重,分别。主要的聚合物是PA,PU,PET和ACR,破碎的颗粒是最普遍的形态。XS2和XS3中的MPs丰度对自然因素有相似的反应,主要包括(I)MPs丰度与钱塘江泥沙负荷显著相关(p<0.01),表明沉积物负荷可能是影响MPs丰度的重要因素,河流运输的MPs具有近源沉积特征;(ii)台风具有削弱MPs丰度的作用;(iii)地质活动可能是导致深部沉积物中MPs丰度变化的潜在因素。相关分析表明,XSO中的MPs是多种来源的结果,源于塑料生产,污水排放,海洋渔业和航运活动。值得注意的是,由于采样位置的差异,与XS2相比,XS3对人类活动的敏感性更高。这项研究强调了采用两个沉积物岩心的重要性,而不是一个单一的核心,因为它可以更全面地了解国会议员历史污染的总体趋势和差异。我们的发现有助于更深入地了解近海MP污染的历史,对这个关键的环境问题有了新的认识。
    Sediment cores are optimal mediums for investigating the historical presence of offshore microplastics (MPs). In this study, two sediment cores were collected at varying water depths, i.e., XS2 (10 m) and XS3 (20 m), from the Xiangshan offshore (XSO) in Ningbo. We focused on the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of MPs within two sediment cores and explored the response differences of MPs abundance to natural factors and human activities. The results showed that the MPs abundance in sediments has gradually increased since the late 1960s, but with interannual fluctuations. MPs abundance in XS2 and XS3 were 1133-8700 and 633-11433 items/kg dry weight, respectively. The predominant polymers were PA, PU, PET and ACR, with fragmented particles being the most prevalent shape of MPs. The MPs abundance in XS2 and XS3 had a similar response to natural factors, mainly including (i) MPs abundance significantly correlated with the sediment load of the Qiantang River (p < 0.01), indicating that sediment load might be an important factor affecting the MPs abundance and that MPs transported by rivers had characteristics of near-source sedimentation; (ii) typhoons had the effect of weakening the MPs abundance; and (iii) geological activities might be potential contributing factors to variations in MPs\' abundance in deep sediments. Correlation analyses demonstrated that MPs in XSO was the result of multiple sources, stemming from plastic production, sewage discharge, marine fisheries and shipping activities. Notably, XS3 exhibited higher sensitivity to human activities compared to XS2, owing to differences in sampling locations. This study underscores the significance of employing two sediment cores, rather than a single core, as it provides a more comprehensive insight into the overarching trends and disparities in the historical pollution of MPs. Our findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the history of offshore MPs pollution, shedding new light on this critical environmental issue.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    气温的变化往往通过影响降雨间接影响土壤侵蚀,植被生长,经济发展,农业活动。在这项研究中,采用偏最小二乘-结构方程模型(PLS-SEM)对2001-2019年东北地区温度变化对土壤侵蚀的影响进行解耦,分析温度变化对自然和社会经济因素路径的间接影响。结果表明,东北地区气温升高通过增加降雨量和促进经济发展而导致土壤侵蚀增加。在自然因素的作用下,在春天,温度变化对降雨的促进作用大于温度变化对植被的抑制作用。在夏天,观察到相反的效果。在自然因素的作用下,随着时间的推移,温度升高对土壤侵蚀的促进作用提高了22.7%。在社会经济因素的作用下,温度变化不仅通过促进经济发展加剧了土壤侵蚀,而且通过改善经济间接增加了对农业和节水的投资,从而在一定程度上抑制了土壤侵蚀。随着时间的推移,温度变化通过社会经济途径对土壤侵蚀的贡献减少了44.4%。当将自然因素的路径与社会经济学因素的路径进行比较时,温度变化通过社会经济途径对土壤侵蚀的变化产生了更显著的影响,表明人类活动是对土壤侵蚀影响较大的驱动因素。基于此,合理的人为干预是缓解气温升高引起的水土流失加剧的重要手段。
    Changes in the air temperature tend to indirectly affect soil erosion by influencing rainfall, vegetation growth, economic development, and agricultural activities. In this study, the partial least squares-structural equation model (PLS-SEM) was used to decouple the impacts of temperature change on soil erosion in Northeast China from 2001 to 2019, and the indirect effect of temperature change on the pathways of natural and socioeconomic factors was analyzed. The results showed that temperature increase in Northeast China caused an increase in soil erosion by increasing rainfall and promoting economic development. Under the pathway of natural factors, in spring, the promoting effect on soil erosion under the influence of temperature change on rainfall was greater than the inhibiting effect on soil erosion under by the influence of temperature change on vegetation. In summer, the opposite effect was observed. Under the pathway of natural factors, over time, the promoting effect of temperature increase on soil erosion increased by 22.7%. Under the pathway of socioeconomic factors, temperature change not only aggravated soil erosion by promoting economic development, but also indirectly increased investments in agriculture and water conservation by improving the economy, thus inhibiting soil erosion to a certain extent. Over time, the contribution of temperature change to soil erosion through socioeconomic pathway was reduced by 44.4%. When the pathway of natural factors is compared with that of socioeconomics factors, temperature change imposed a more notable effect on the change in soil erosion through the socioeconomic pathway, indicating that human activities are the driving factors with a greater effect on soil erosion. Based on this, reasonable human intervention is an important means to alleviate soil erosion aggravation caused by rising temperatures.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    土壤质量对于维持农业生态系统的可持续性至关重要。特别是在农业活动加剧和土地利用迅速变化的情况下。对土壤性质进行采样和分析,以评估农业用地的状况,在田间尺度上得到了广泛的实践;然而,土壤质量的时空变化及其影响因素尚不清楚。这里,我们使用土壤质量指数(SQI)面积方法量化了1980-2018年中国农用地土壤质量的时空变化,并用地理探测器方法探索了驾驶员。结果表明,SQI在两个时段的分布具有相似的空间趋势,除了西南部(SWC),无论土地利用类型如何,SQI从北向南下降。林地土壤质量相对较好,1980年和2018年的SQI平均值分别为1.55和1.53,其次是草原和农田。土壤有机碳,总氮和阳离子交换量是解释所有土地利用中SQI空间异质性的主要土壤指标;此外,气候因素(即,温度和降水)对林地的影响更大。从1980年到2018年,草地SQI深度下降,尤其是在SWC中,下降了12.5%。降水和温度的变化被确定为林地和草地SQI时间变化的最大驱动因素,分别,它们的相互作用在所有土地利用中产生了最大的影响。此外,近几十年来,农田和草地之间的双向转换加剧了土壤质量的恶化。因此,量化SQI的时空变化并阐明影响土壤质量的因素在农业生态系统中的作用,可以为设计可持续农业政策和改善环境质量提供指导。
    Soil quality is essential for maintaining the sustainability of agroecosystems, especially under intensified agricultural activities and rapid land use change. The sampling and analysis of soil properties to assess the status of agricultural land is widely practiced at the field scale; however, the spatiotemporal variations in soil quality and its influencing factors at a large scale remain unclear. Here, we quantified spatiotemporal variations in the soil quality of agricultural land in China during 1980-2018 by using the soil quality index (SQI) area approach, and explored the drivers with a geographical detector method. The results showed that the distribution of the SQI in the two periods had a similar spatial trend, except for that in the southwest (SWC), and the SQI decreased from north to south regardless of land use type. The soil quality of woodland was comparatively good with mean SQI values of 1.55 and 1.53 in 1980 and 2018, respectively, followed by that in grassland and cropland. Soil organic carbon, total nitrogen and cation exchange capacity were the dominant soil indicators explaining the spatial heterogeneity of the SQI in all land uses; moreover, climatic factors (i.e., temperature and precipitation) showed a stronger effect on woodland. From 1980 to 2018, the SQI of grassland decreased deeply, especially in the SWC, which showed a severe decline of 12.5 %. The changes in precipitation and temperature were identified as the largest drivers of SQI temporal changes in woodland and grassland, respectively, and their interaction achieved the highest impact across all land uses. In addition, the bidirectional conversion between cropland and grassland in recent decades has aggravated the deterioration of soil quality. Therefore, quantifying spatiotemporal changes in the SQI and elucidating the role of factors influencing soil quality in agroecosystems can provide a guide for designing sustainable agriculture policies and improving environmental quality.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    1999年后,全球气候变化和植被恢复计划显着改变了中国大陆的生态质量(EQ)。监测和评估区域EQ的变化并分析其驱动因素对于确保生态恢复和恢复至关重要。然而,仅基于传统的实地调查和实验方法,对一个地区的EQ进行长期大规模的定量评估是一项挑战;特别是,在以前的研究中,碳和水循环以及人类活动对EQ变化的影响尚未得到全面研究。因此,除了遥感数据和主成分分析,我们使用了基于遥感的生态指数(RSEI),评估2000-2021年中国大陆的情商变化。此外,我们还分析了碳和水循环以及人类学活动对RSEI变化的影响。本研究的主要结论是:进入21世纪以来,我们观察到中国大陆和八个气候区的情商变化呈波动上升趋势。从2000年到2021年,就情商而言,华北地区(NN)增长率最高(2.02×10-3year-1,P<0.05)。2011年有一个转折点,该地区的情商经历了变化,从下降趋势到上升趋势。中国西北地区,中国东北,NN描绘了RSEI的总体显着增长趋势,而西南云贵高原(YG)的西南部和长江(长江)河(CJ)河地区的部分平原地区则表现出EQ的显着下降趋势。总的来说,碳和水循环以及人类活动在决定中国大陆情商的空间格局和趋势方面发挥了关键作用。特别是,自校准帕尔默干旱严重程度指数,实际蒸散量(AET),毛初级生产力(3GPP),和土壤含水量(土壤w)被确定为RSEI的关键驱动因素。在青藏高原中西部(QZ)和西北西北地区,RSEI的变化由AET主导;然而,在NN中部,QZ东南部,YG北部,和中央NE,这些变化是由3GPP推动的,在西北东南部地区,东北南部地区,NN北部地区,YG中部地区,以及CJ中部地区的一部分,这些变化是由土壤驱动的。RSEI的人口密度相关变化在北部地区(NN和NW)为正,但在南部地区(SE)为负,而与生态系统服务相关的RSEI变化在东北是积极的,NW,QZ,YG地区。这些结果有利于中国大陆的适应性管理和保护环境,实现绿色和可持续发展战略。
    Global climate change and revegetation programs have significantly changed the ecological quality (EQ) in the Chinese mainland after 1999. Monitoring and assessing the changes in the regional EQ and analyzing their drivers are crucial for ensuring ecological restoration and rehabilitation. However, it is challenging to carry out a long-term and large-scale quantitative assessment of the EQ of a region based on traditional field investigations and experiment methods alone; notably, in previous studies, the effects of carbon and water cycles and human activities on the variations in EQ have not been studied comprehensively. Therefore, in addition to remote sensing data and principal component analysis, we used the remote sensing-based ecological index (RSEI), to assess the EQ changes in the Chinese mainland during 2000-2021. Additionally, we also analyzed the impacts of carbon and water cycles and anthropological activities on the changes in the RSEI. The main conclusions of this study were: since the beginning of the 21st century, we observed a fluctuating upward trend in the EQ changes in the Chinese mainland and eight climatic regions. From 2000 to 2021, in terms of the EQ, North China (NN) portrayed the highest increase rate (2.02 × 10-3 year-1, P < 0.05). There was a breaking point in 2011, the EQ in the region experienced a change, from a downward trend to an upward one. Northwest China, Northeast China, and NN portrayed an overall significant increasing trend in the RSEI, whereas the southwest part of the Southwest Yungui Plateau (YG) and a part of the plain region of the Changjiang (Yangtze) River (CJ) river region portrayed a significant decreasing trend in the EQ. Overall, the carbon and water cycles and human activities played a pivotal role in determining the spatial patterns and trends of the EQ in the Chinese mainland. In particular, the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index, actual evapotranspiration (AET), gross primary productivity (GPP), and soil water content (Soil_w) were identified as the key drivers of the RSEI. In the central and western Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QZ) and the northwest region of NW, the changes in RSEI were dominated by AET; however, in central NN, southeastern QZ, northern YG, and central NE, the changes were driven by GPP, and in the southeast region of NW, south region of NE, northern region of NN, middle YG region, and a part of the middle CJ region, the changes were driven by Soil_w. The population-density-related change in the RSEI was positive in the northern regions (NN and NW) but negative in the southern regions (SE), whereas the RSEI change related to ecosystem services was positive in the NE, NW, QZ, and YG regions. These results are beneficial for the adaptive management and protection of the environment and the realization of green and sustainable developmental strategies in the Chinese mainland.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    汉江中下游流域(MLHB),在中国具有重要生态功能的地区,在自然环境变化和人类活动的推动下,植被生态系统发生了巨大变化。这里,我们探索了部分植被覆盖度(FVC)的时空动态,并定量分析了其驱动因素,以促进当前对生态环境如何变化的理解。具体来说,我们根据中分辨率成像光谱辐射计(MODIS)增强植被指数(EVI)数据,使用二分像素模型计算了2001年至2018年MLHB的FVC。然后,我们使用Theil-Sen中位数斜率(Sen's斜率)和变异系数(CV)来探索时空变化,以及波动的特征。最后,我们利用地理检测器模型(具有空间尺度效应和空间数据离散化测试)来量化检测到的自然和人为因素的影响。结果表明,在19年的研究期内,〜90%的研究区域的年平均FVC为0.30-0.75,具有异质的空间分布。FVC变化趋势表现出稳定和改善。FVC较高的区域显示出更高的稳定性。所有10个检测到的自然和人为因素都是FVC变化的原因。导致FVC变化的主要因素是降水(2001年)和坡度(2018年),其次是地貌类型,距离水,和夜间照明(NTL)(2018年)。降水和坡度在所有年份中始终表现出最大的相互作用。在研究期间,人与地形因素之间的相互作用对FVC变化的意义逐渐增加。在研究区检测了适宜促进植被生长的因子的范围和类型。本研究结果可为当地制定有效的植被保护策略提供科学依据,restoration,土地资源管理。
    The middle and lower reaches of Hanjiang River Basin (MLHB), areas that have an important ecological function in China, have experienced great changes in the vegetation ecosystem driven by natural environmental change and human activity. Here, we explored the spatio-temporal dynamics of fractional vegetation coverage (FVC) and quantitatively analyzed its driving factors to advance current understanding of how the ecological environment has changed. Specifically, we used the dimidiate pixel model to calculate the FVC of the MLHB from 2001 to 2018 based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) data. We then used Theil-Sen median slope (Sen\'s slope) and coefficient of variation (CV) to explore spatial and temporal variations, as well as characteristics in fluctuations. Finally, we utilized a geographical detector model (with spatial scale effects and spatial data discretization tests) to quantify the influence of the detected natural and human factors. Results showed that average annual FVC was 0.30-0.75 for ~90% of the study area over the 19-year study period with a heterogeneous spatial distribution. FVC variation trend displayed stability and improvement. Areas with higher FVC displayed greater stability. All 10 detected natural and anthropogenic factors were responsible for changes in FVC. The primary factors causing FVC to change were precipitation (in 2001) and slope (in 2018), followed by landform type, distance to water, and nighttime light (NTL) (in 2018). Precipitation and slope consistently displayed the largest interaction across all years. The interaction between human and topographical factors had gradually increasing significance on changes in FVC over the research period. The range and type of factors suitable for promoting vegetation growth were detected in the study area. Results of this study can provide a scientific basis for developing effective strategies for local vegetation protection, restoration, and land resource management.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    中国国务院发布了《大气污染防治行动计划》(简称“清洁空气行动”),于2017年结束。评估清洁空气行动的实施效果,为未来的控制政策提供科学依据。地理探测器用于量化2014-2017年中国自然和社会经济因素对PM2.5浓度及其减少的影响。就减少PM2.5的影响而言,工业二氧化硫(SO2)和工业烟尘排放是唯一显示出显著影响的两个因素。因此,控制工业排放是实施清洁空气行动期间的主要政策。就对PM2.5浓度的影响而言,工业排放是清洁空气行动开始时最强烈的社会经济因素,但是它的主导地位正在下降。相比之下,人口密度的影响一直在增强,并成为最后一年的最大因素。因此,新的调控措施应侧重于城市化调控。此外,不同社会经济因素之间的相互作用被证明是双变量增强对PM2.5浓度水平的影响。因此,在建立任何新的控制策略时,应考虑多种因素。
    The State Council of China had issued the Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan (abbreviated as \"Clean Air Actions\"), which ended in 2017. To evaluate the implementation effect of the clean air actions and provide the scientific basis on the future control policy, a Geographical Detector was used to quantify the impact of natural and socioeconomic factors on the PM2.5 concentration and its reductions in China from the years of 2014-2017. In terms of the impact on PM2.5 reduction, the industrial sulfur dioxide (SO2) and industrial soot emissions are the only two factors shown significant influences. So the controls of industrial emission were the major policies during the implementation of the Clean Air Actions. In terms of the impact on the PM2.5 concentrations, industrial emission was the strongest socioeconomic factor in the beginning of the Clean Air Actions, but its dominance was then declining. In contrast, the influences of population density had been enhancing and became the greatest factor in the final year. So the new control measures should focus on the urbanization regulation. In addition, the interactions between different socioeconomic factors are proved to bivariate enhance the influences on the PM2.5 concentration levels. Multiple factors should thus be taken into account when any new control policies are going to be established.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    掌握土壤中重金属的空间分布规律,对科学制定土壤污染风险管控策略具有重要支撑作用。考虑的因素很少,平行变量之间存在多重共线性,导致预测精度低。OK(普通克里格法),NRK(仅基于自然因素的回归Kriging方法),通过选择23个自然-人为影响因子,采用NARK(基于自然-人为因素的回归Kriging)模拟了土壤Cd的空间分布。通过对韶关曲江冶炼厂周边地区的实证研究,对预测精度进行了评价。结果表明,该地区土壤镉超标率达到85.93%,对土壤镉空间异质性的影响表现为冶炼厂的空气排放>钢铁厂的空气排放>pH>有机质>欧氏距离到道路>欧氏距离到河流。NARK对土壤镉的预测结果的均方根误差和平均绝对误差分别比OK方法低26.86%和30.56%,分别。模型确定系数R2从0.78增加到0.88。与NRK相比,分别减少24.15%和24.23%,R2从0.81增加到0.88。自然和人为因素相结合的NRK显著提高了土壤镉空间分布的模拟精度,加上人为因素作为辅助变量,特别是大气点源污染排放,极大地促进了模型精度的提高。
    Mastering the spatial distribution of heavy metals in the soil plays an important supporting role in the scientific formulation of soil pollution risk management and control strategies. Few factors were considered and multiple collinearity between parallel variables existed,resulting in low prediction accuracy. OK (common Kriging method), NRK (regressive Kriging method based on natural factors only), and NARK (regressive Kriging based on natural-human factors)were used to simulate the spatial distribution of soil Cd by selecting 23 natural-artificial influencing factors. The prediction accuracy was evaluated based on an empirical study of the area around Shaoguan Qujiang smelter. The results showed that the above-standard rate of soil cadmium in this area reached 85.93%, and the effect on the spatial heterogeneity of soil cadmium was shown as air emissions from smelters > air emissions from steel plants > pH > organic matter > Euclidean distance to road > Euclidean distance to river. The root-mean-square error and average absolute error of NARK\'s prediction results for soil cadmium were 26.86% and 30.56% lower than that of the OK method, respectively. The model determination coefficient R2 increased from 0.78 to 0.88. Compared with that of NRK, it was reduced by 24.15% and 24.23% and R2 increased from 0.81 to 0.88. The NRK combining natural and human factors significantly improved the simulation accuracy of the spatial distribution of soil cadmium, and the addition of human factors as auxiliary variables, especially atmospheric point source pollution emissions, greatly contributed to the improvement of the model accuracy.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    近年来,随着我国经济的快速增长和大规模的城市化进程,我国的能源使用量大幅增加。因此,空气污染已成为一个主要问题。在这项研究中,利用2011-2017年中国31个省级行政单位的面板数据,对二氧化硫(SO2)和氮氧化物(NOX)排放进行空间自相关和空间面板回归分析,全面了解大气污染物排放的影响因素。本研究通过在中国全国的面板数据计量经济学框架中考虑综合因素和空间效应,为文献做出贡献。空间特征分析表明,在研究期间,中国的污染物排放量下降,尽管北部地区的排放量仍然相对较高。此外,SO2和NOX排放表现出显著的正空间自相关。固定效应空间滞后模型的结果表明,社会经济因素和自然因素对大气污染物排放均有统计学意义,尽管程度因污染物类型而异。人口,城市化率,第二产业增加值份额,加热和冷却天数对排放产生积极影响,而人口密度,人均地区生产总值,降水,和相对湿度对排放产生负面影响。基于这些结果,我们提出了解决空气污染问题和实现环境可持续性的建议,例如促进区域合作和经济结构的转变。
    China\'s energy use has increased significantly in recent years with the country\'s rapid economic growth and large-scale urbanization. Therefore, air pollution has become a major issue. In this study, we conducted spatial autocorrelation and spatial panel regression analyses of sulfur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen oxide (NOX) emissions using the panel data of 31 provincial-level administrative units in China during the period 2011-2017 to comprehensively understand the factors affecting air pollutant emissions. This study contributes to the literature by considering comprehensive factors and spatial effects in the panel-data econometric framework of the whole country of China. The analysis of spatial characteristics shows that during the study period, pollutant emissions in China declined, although emissions in northern regions were still relatively high. Furthermore, SO2 and NOX emissions showed significant positive spatial autocorrelations. The results of a fixed-effect spatial lag model showed that both socioeconomic and natural factors were statistically significant for air pollutant emissions, although the degree differed by the type of pollutant. The population, the urbanization rate, the share of added value of secondary industry, and heating and cooling degree days positively affected emissions, while population density, per-capita gross regional product, precipitation, and relative humidity negatively affected emissions. Based on these results, we have put forward suggestions to address the issue of air pollution and achieve environmental sustainability, such as the promotion of regional cooperation and a transition of the economic structure.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    城市化和农业的快速发展对干旱和半干旱地区的地下水造成严重影响,通常地下水耗竭率高。在这项研究中,化学和同位素分析结合不同的数据解释方法(图表,双变量分析,主成分分析(PCA),和层次聚类分析(HCA))用于确定控制华北干旱和半干旱地区地下水化学的主要因素。64个地下水样本(35个来自无限制含水层,29个来自密闭含水层)在包头市收集,华北,每个样品检测到17个化学变量。无限制地下水中的复杂水化学类型(例如,HCO3-Ca·Mg,HCO3·Cl-Na·Mg,SO4-Na·Mg,和Cl·SO4-Na类型)可能与人为活动有关,而受限地下水中的主要水化学类型是HCO3-Ca·Mg,HCO3-Na·Mg,HCO3·Cl-Na·Ca,SO4·HCO3-Na·Mg,和Cl·SO4-Na类型。使用PCA揭示了无约束和约束地下水的三个分量模型,这解释了大约79.69%和80.68%的数据方差,分别,更深入地了解受地球化学和人为活动控制的地下水组成。从HCA产生三个簇。通过水化学调查验证了因素和已识别的簇。在自然因素中,主要的水化学过程涉及各种矿物的溶解(岩盐,石膏,长石,萤石,芒硝,黑云母,白云石,和方解石),阳离子交换,蒸发,和混合。人为因素包括生活污水入侵和农业活动,最有可能导致地下水质量进一步下降。这些发现可能有助于改善干旱和半干旱地区的地下水资源管理,以实现可持续发展。
    The rapid development of urbanization and agriculture poses serious impacts on groundwater in arid and semi-arid areas, which typically have high groundwater depletion rates. In this study, chemical and isotopic analyses combined with different data interpretation methods (diagrams, bivariate analyses, principal component analysis (PCA), and hierarchical cluster analysis (HCA)) were used to identify the major factors controlling groundwater chemistry in an arid and semi-arid region of North China. Sixty-four groundwater samples (35 from unconfined aquifer, 29 from confined aquifer) were collected in Baotou City, North China, and 17 chemical variables were detected for each sample. The complex hydrochemical types in unconfined groundwater (e.g., HCO3-Ca·Mg, HCO3·Cl-Na·Mg, SO4-Na·Mg, and Cl·SO4-Na types) may be related to anthropogenic activities, while the main hydrochemical types in confined groundwater are HCO3-Ca·Mg, HCO3-Na·Mg, HCO3·Cl-Na·Ca, SO4·HCO3-Na·Mg, and Cl·SO4-Na types. Three component models for unconfined and confined groundwater were revealed using PCA, which explained approximately 79.69% and 80.68% of the data variance, respectively, providing a deeper insight into groundwater composition controlled by geochemistry and anthropogenic activities. Three clusters were yielded from HCA. The factors and identified clusters were verified with hydrochemical investigations. Among the natural factors, the main hydrochemical processes involve the dissolution of various minerals (halite, gypsum, feldspar, fluorite, mirabilite, biotite, dolomite, and calcite), cation exchange, evaporation, and mixing. The anthropogenic factors include domestic sewage intrusion and agricultural activities, which are most likely to lead to further declines in groundwater quality. These findings may be useful for improving groundwater resource management for sustainable development in arid and semi-arid areas.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    全球变化,指地球系统和人类社会的大规模变化,已经改变了许多传染病的爆发和传播方式。气候变化直接和间接影响传染病。气象因素包括温度,降水,湿度和辐射通过调节病原体影响传染病,宿主和传播途径。旱涝等气象灾害直接影响传染病的爆发和传播。气候变化通过改变生态系统间接影响传染病,包括其底层表面和植被分布。此外,人为活动是气候变化的驱动力,也是传染病传播的间接强迫。国际旅行和城乡移民是传染病传播的根本原因。快速的城市化以及城乡结合部落后的基础设施和高疾病风险正在改变疾病爆发和死亡的模式。土地利用变化,比如农业扩张和森林砍伐,已经改变了传染病的传播。加速空气,公路和铁路运输的发展不仅可能提高疫情的传播速度,而且还扩大了传播区域的范围。此外,更频繁的贸易和其他经济活动也将增加疾病爆发的潜在风险,并促进传染病的传播。
    Global change, which refers to large-scale changes in the earth system and human society, has been changing the outbreak and transmission mode of many infectious diseases. Climate change affects infectious diseases directly and indirectly. Meteorological factors including temperature, precipitation, humidity and radiation influence infectious disease by modulating pathogen, host and transmission pathways. Meteorological disasters such as droughts and floods directly impact the outbreak and transmission of infectious diseases. Climate change indirectly impacts infectious diseases by altering the ecological system, including its underlying surface and vegetation distribution. In addition, anthropogenic activities are a driving force for climate change and an indirect forcing of infectious disease transmission. International travel and rural-urban migration are a root cause of infectious disease transmission. Rapid urbanization along with poor infrastructure and high disease risk in the rural-urban fringe has been changing the pattern of disease outbreaks and mortality. Land use changes, such as agricultural expansion and deforestation, have already changed the transmission of infectious disease. Accelerated air, road and rail transportation development may not only increase the transmission speed of outbreaks, but also enlarge the scope of transmission area. In addition, more frequent trade and other economic activities will also increase the potential risks of disease outbreaks and facilitate the spread of infectious diseases.
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