Linear Models

线性模型
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:BNP是一种用于心力衰竭早期诊断的敏感且广泛使用的生物标志物。目前,大多数商业BNP检测产品使用EDTA血浆样品。这项研究的目的是通过使用全血样品与血浆样品比较来评估BNP测试的临床性能,并评价抗凝剂类型对BNP检测结果的影响。
    方法:总共,来自大华医院的106名不同BNP水平的患者自愿参加了这项研究。临床上均匀的样本,包括EDTA抗凝血浆,EDTA全血,和肝素抗凝血浆,通过i-ReaderS自动免疫分析仪及其配套试剂盒进行采集和分析。皮尔逊相关和加权最小二乘线性回归分析,Bland-Altman密谋,采用Kappa检验进行统计学分析。
    结果:相关分析表明,BNP浓度,从EDTA抗凝血浆样品中测量,与全血样本中的BNP具有良好的线性回归关系,斜率为0.9477,r=0.9978,p<0.05。在EDTA抗凝血浆样品和肝素抗凝血浆之间观察到类似的相关性,斜率为0.8413,r=0.9793,p<0.05。从肝素血浆样品测量的BNP浓度低于EDTA血浆样品。评估BNP浓度一致性的Bland-Altman分析显示,在检测系统的范围内,EDTA全血和EDTA血浆之间没有异常比值,以及EDTA抗凝血浆和肝素抗凝血浆之间没有异常值。同系EDTA抗凝血浆和肝素抗凝血血浆BNP浓度Kappa系数为0.8553(p<0.001),EDTA抗凝血浆和同源全血分别为0.8941(p<0.001)。
    结论:EDTA抗凝全血样品的诊断性能与EDTA抗凝血浆样品的BNP测试没有显着差异。这项研究表明,在2小时内,EDTA抗凝血浆和肝素抗凝血浆的测量值之间没有很大的显着差异。如果BNP样品长时间在体外进行BNP测试,则应仔细选择抗凝剂的类型。
    BACKGROUND: BNP is a sensitive and widely used biomarker for an early diagnosis of heart failure. Currently, most commercial BNP detection products use EDTA plasma samples. The aim of this study was to evaluate the clinical performance of the BNP test by using whole blood samples compared to plasma samples, and to evaluate the effect of the anticoagulant type on the BNP test result.
    METHODS: In total, 106 patients with different BNP levels from the Dahua Hospital volunteered for this study. Clinically homogenous samples, including EDTA anticoagulant plasma, EDTA whole blood, and heparin anticoagulant plasma, were collected and analyzed by using i-Reader S automatic immuno-analyzer and its supporting reagent kits. Pearson\'s correlation and weighted least squares linear regression analysis, Bland-Altman plotting, and Kappa test were used for statistical analysis.
    RESULTS: Correlation analysis showed that BNP concentrations, measured from EDTA anticoagulated plasma samples, had a good linear regression relationship with BNP from whole blood samples, with a slope of 0.9477, r = 0.9978, p < 0.05. A similar correlation was observed between EDTA anticoagulated plasma samples and heparin anticoagulant plasma, with a slope of 0.8413, r = 0.9793, p < 0.05. The BNP concentration measured from the heparin plasma samples were lower than of the EDTA plasma samples. Bland-Altman analysis for assessing BNP concentration agreement showed there was no outlier ratio between EDTA whole blood and EDTA plasma within the range of the detection system, as well as no outlier between EDTA anticoagulated and heparin anticoagulant plasma. Kappa coefficient of BNP concentration between homologous EDTA anticoagulated and heparin anticoagulant plasma was 0.8553 (p < 0.001), and for EDTA anticoagulated plasma and homologous whole blood it was 0.8941 (p < 0.001).
    CONCLUSIONS: The diagnostic performance of EDTA anticoagulated whole blood samples did not differ significantly from EDTA anticoagulated plasma samples for the BNP test. This study showed no big significant difference between EDTA anticoagulated and heparin anticoagulated plasma measurements within 2 hours. The type of anticoagulant should be carefully chosen when performing the BNP test if BNP samples were in vitro for a long time.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:有许多关于晚年医疗费用的研究,但是疗养院居民的需求和外部医疗服务的成本以及疗养院服务之外的干预措施没有得到很好的描述。
    方法:我们检查了养老院居民生命最后一年的直接医疗费用,以及仅限于在疗养院的停留时间,根据年龄调整,性别,医院衰弱风险评分(HFRS),和痴呆或晚期癌症的诊断。这是一项观察性回顾性研究,使用来自斯德哥尔摩区域委员会的医疗保健消费数据,对2015-2021年期间所有患病疗养院居民的注册数据进行了回顾性研究。瑞典。T测试,Wilcoxon秩和检验和卡方检验用于组的比较,构建广义线性模型(GLM),对医疗费用支出进行单变量和多变量线性回归,以95%置信区间(95%CIs)计算风险比(RR).
    结果:根据38,805名研究的疗养院死者的调整(多变量)模型,当研究在养老院的实际停留时间时,我们发现与男性相关的医疗费用显著增加(RR1.29(1.25-1.33),p<0.0001)和年轻年龄(65-79岁vs.≥90年:RR1.92(1.85-2.01),p<0.0001)。根据医院虚弱风险评分(HFRS),有虚弱风险的人的费用也更高(中等风险:RR3.63(3.52-3.75),p<0.0001;高风险:RR7.84(7.53-8.16),p<0.0001);或患有晚期癌症(RR2.41(2.26-2.57),p<0.0001),而痴呆症与较低的医疗费用相关(RR0.54(0.52-0.55),p<0.0001)。计算整个生命最后一年的成本时,这些数字是相似的(无论他们是否为全年的疗养院居民)。
    结论:尽管有明显的解释因素,男性和年轻居民在生命结束时的医疗费用高于女性。有虚弱或诊断为晚期癌症的风险与更高的成本密切相关,而痴呆症的诊断与较低的外部,医疗费用。这些发现可能会导致我们考虑可以根据观察到的差异来区分的报销模型。
    BACKGROUND: There are many studies of medical costs in late life in general, but nursing home residents\' needs and the costs of external medical services and interventions outside of nursing home services are less well described.
    METHODS: We examined the direct medical costs of nursing home residents in their last year of life, as well as limited to the period of stay in the nursing home, adjusted for age, sex, Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS), and diagnosis of dementia or advanced cancer. This was an observational retrospective study of registry data from all diseased nursing home residents during the years 2015-2021 using healthcare consumption data from the Stockholm Regional Council, Sweden. T tests, Wilcoxon rank sum tests and chi-square tests were used for comparisons of groups, and generalized linear models (GLMs) were constructed for univariable and multivariable linear regressions of health cost expenditures to calculate risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs).
    RESULTS: According to the adjusted (multivariable) models for the 38,805 studied nursing home decedents, when studying the actual period of stay in nursing homes, we found significantly greater medical costs associated with male sex (RR 1.29 (1.25-1.33), p < 0.0001) and younger age (65-79 years vs. ≥90 years: RR 1.92 (1.85-2.01), p < 0.0001). Costs were also greater for those at risk of frailty according to the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) (intermediate risk: RR 3.63 (3.52-3.75), p < 0.0001; high risk: RR 7.84 (7.53-8.16), p < 0.0001); or with advanced cancer (RR 2.41 (2.26-2.57), p < 0.0001), while dementia was associated with lower medical costs (RR 0.54 (0.52-0.55), p < 0.0001). The figures were similar when calculating the costs for the entire last year of life (regardless of whether they were nursing home residents throughout the year).
    CONCLUSIONS: Despite any obvious explanatory factors, male and younger residents had higher medical costs at the end of life than women. Having a risk of frailty or a diagnosis of advanced cancer was strongly associated with higher costs, whereas a dementia diagnosis was associated with lower external, medical costs. These findings could lead us to consider reimbursement models that could be differentiated based on the observed differences.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    结论:在平台上收集的转录组学和蛋白质组学信息可以预测平台性状的加性效应和非加性效应以及田间性状的加性效应。干旱形式的气候变化的影响,热应力,不规则的季节性变化威胁着全球作物生产。多组数据的能力,如转录本和蛋白质,为了反映植物对这些气候因素的反应,可以在预测模型中加以利用,以最大限度地提高作物产量。由于成本高昂,在现场评估中实施多组学表征具有挑战性。是的,然而,可能在受控条件下对参考基因型进行。使用在平台上测量的组学,我们测试了不同的基于多组学的预测方法,使用高维线性混合模型(MegaLMM)预测244个玉米杂交种的平台性状和农艺田间性状的基因型。我们考虑了两种预测方案:在第一种情况下,预测新的杂种(CV-NH),在第二个,预测部分观察到的杂种(CV-POH)。对于这两种情况,所有杂种在平台上进行组学表征.我们观察到组学可以预测平台性状的加性和非加性遗传效应,导致比GBLUP高得多的预测能力。它突出了它们在捕获与生长条件相关的监管过程方面的效率。对于字段特征,我们观察到,组学的添加剂成分仅略微提高了预测新杂交体的预测能力(CV-NH,模型MegaGAO)和预测部分观察到的杂种(CV-POH,模型GAOxW-BLUP)与GBLUP相比。我们得出的结论是,如果组学的成本显着下降,则在田间测量组学将对预测生产率产生极大的兴趣。
    CONCLUSIONS: Transcriptomics and proteomics information collected on a platform can predict additive and non-additive effects for platform traits and additive effects for field traits. The effects of climate change in the form of drought, heat stress, and irregular seasonal changes threaten global crop production. The ability of multi-omics data, such as transcripts and proteins, to reflect a plant\'s response to such climatic factors can be capitalized in prediction models to maximize crop improvement. Implementing multi-omics characterization in field evaluations is challenging due to high costs. It is, however, possible to do it on reference genotypes in controlled conditions. Using omics measured on a platform, we tested different multi-omics-based prediction approaches, using a high dimensional linear mixed model (MegaLMM) to predict genotypes for platform traits and agronomic field traits in a panel of 244 maize hybrids. We considered two prediction scenarios: in the first one, new hybrids are predicted (CV-NH), and in the second one, partially observed hybrids are predicted (CV-POH). For both scenarios, all hybrids were characterized for omics on the platform. We observed that omics can predict both additive and non-additive genetic effects for the platform traits, resulting in much higher predictive abilities than GBLUP. It highlights their efficiency in capturing regulatory processes in relation to growth conditions. For the field traits, we observed that the additive components of omics only slightly improved predictive abilities for predicting new hybrids (CV-NH, model MegaGAO) and for predicting partially observed hybrids (CV-POH, model GAOxW-BLUP) in comparison to GBLUP. We conclude that measuring the omics in the fields would be of considerable interest in predicting productivity if the costs of omics drop significantly.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    肥胖带来了重大挑战,需要采取综合战略进行有效干预。减肥手术(BS)已经成为一种重要的治疗方法,证明在减肥和改善共病方面取得了成功。本研究旨在评估48名乌拉圭患者的BS结果,并调查BS与临床和代谢特征之间的相互作用。特别关注与肥胖和炎症相关的新兴生物标志物FSTL1。我们定量分析了BS结果,并构建了线性模型来确定影响BS成功的变量。该研究揭示了BS在改善代谢和临床参数方面的有效性。重要的是,确定了与BS成功相关的变量,术前FSTL1水平升高与BS对BMI降低的影响增加相关。手术前和6个月后使用ELISA试剂盒从患者血浆中测量FSTL1水平。这项研究,尽管样本量小和随访时间有限,有助于理解和预测BS的成功,强调FSTL1作为肥胖有用的生物标志物的潜在作用。
    Obesity poses significant challenges, necessitating comprehensive strategies for effective intervention. Bariatric Surgery (BS) has emerged as a crucial therapeutic approach, demonstrating success in weight loss and comorbidity improvement. This study aimed to evaluate the outcomes of BS in a cohort of 48 Uruguayan patients and investigate the interplay between BS and clinical and metabolic features, with a specific focus on FSTL1, an emerging biomarker associated with obesity and inflammation. We quantitatively analyzed BS outcomes and constructed linear models to identify variables impacting BS success. The study revealed the effectiveness of BS in improving metabolic and clinical parameters. Importantly, variables correlating with BS success were identified, with higher pre-surgical FSTL1 levels associated with an increased effect of BS on BMI reduction. FSTL1 levels were measured from patient plasma using an ELISA kit pre-surgery and six months after. This research, despite limitations of a small sample size and limited follow-up time, contributes valuable insights into understanding and predicting the success of BS, highlighting the potential role of FSTL1 as a useful biomarker in obesity.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    探讨光学相干断层扫描(OCT)分析的视盘参数与有症状的玻璃体后脱离(PVD)患者周边视网膜撕裂的发生之间的关联。
    这项横断面研究纳入了75例急性PVD症状患者,根据是否发生周边视网膜撕裂将患者分为两组。
    当比较视网膜撕裂和对照组之间的平均视网膜神经纤维层(RNFL)厚度(μm)时,研究表明,患有视网膜撕裂的患者有明显更高的(87.18[95%置信区间(CI),84.47至89.9]vs81.14[95%CI,77.81至84.46],P=0.005)平均RNFL厚度。此外,我们观察到泪液组和对照组之间的杯体积(mm3)大小存在显着差异(0.13,0.06至0.22vs0.07,0.04至0.1,P=0.036,Mann-WhitneyU检验),分别。线性回归显示平均RNFL厚度随着年龄的增加而显著降低(P=0.029)。但两组之间没有显着差异。泪液组与对照组在边缘面积方面无统计学差异,光盘面积,和平均杯盘比。
    具有较高的平均RNFL厚度和通过OCT测量的较大杯体积的患者更容易发生周边视网膜撕裂。由于创伤和随后的炎症,乳头周围平均RNFL厚度增加,可能与视网膜上更粘附的后透明膜有关,也可能表明视网膜撕裂发生的周边视网膜区域的粘连增强。视神经乳头的OCT分析可用于日常临床实践中,作为有症状的PVD患者周围视网膜撕裂发展的预测因子。
    UNASSIGNED: To investigate association between optic disc parameters analyzed by optical coherence tomography (OCT) and occurrence of peripheral retinal tears in patients with symptomatic posterior vitreous detachment (PVD).
    UNASSIGNED: This cross-sectional study enrolled 75 patients with symptoms of acute PVD, who were allocated into two groups based on whether a peripheral retinal tear occurred or not.
    UNASSIGNED: When comparing the average retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness (μm) between retinal tear and control groups, it was shown that patients with a retinal tear have a significantly higher (87.18 [95% confidence interval (CI), 84.47 to 89.9] vs 81.14 [95% CI, 77.81 to 84.46], P = 0.005) average RNFL thickness. Furthermore, we observed a significant difference (0.13, 0.06 to 0.22 vs 0.07, 0.04 to 0.1, P = 0.036, Mann-Whitney U-test) in the size of cup volume (mm3) between the tear and control groups, respectively. Linear regression showed a significant decrease (P = 0.029) in average RNFL thickness with increasing age, but without a significant difference between the two groups. There was no statistically significant difference between the tear and control groups in terms of rim area, disc area, and average cup-to-disc ratio.
    UNASSIGNED: Patients with a higher average RNFL thickness and larger cup volume measured by OCT were more prone to develop a peripheral retinal tear. Increased peripapillary average RNFL thickness due to trauma and subsequent inflammation, possibly related to the more adherent posterior hyaloid membrane to the retina, may also indicate strengthened adhesions in the areas of the peripheral retina where retinal tears occur. OCT analysis of the optic nerve head may be used in everyday clinical practice as a predictor of the development of peripheral retinal tears in patients with symptomatic PVD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    猎物中的群体防御和捕食者中的狩猎合作是两个重要的生态现象,可以同时发生。在这篇文章中,我们在数学框架下考虑通才捕食者的合作狩猎和猎物的群体防御,以理解模型可以捕获的巨大多样性。要做到这一点,我们考虑了改进的Holling-Tanner模型,在该模型中,我们实施了HollingIV型功能响应,以表征捕食者的放牧模式,其中猎物物种表现出群体防御。此外,我们允许修改捕食者的攻击率,以量化它们之间的狩猎合作。该模型允许三个边界均衡和最多三个共存均衡点。不平凡的猎物和捕食者的几何形状以及共存平衡的数量主要取决于捕食者可替代食物的特定阈值。我们使用线性稳定性分析来确定双曲平衡点的类型,并通过正常形式和中心流形理论来表征非双曲平衡点。模型参数的变化导致非双曲平衡点发生一系列局部分叉,即,超临界,鞍形节点,Hopf,尖点和Bogdanov-Takens分叉;也存在全局分叉,例如极限环的同斜分叉和鞍节分叉。我们观察到由于狩猎合作强度的变化和捕食者可替代食物的可获得性,全球分叉引起的两种有趣的封闭“气泡”形式。三维分岔图,关于原始系统参数,捕获模型公式化中的交替如何诱导分叉场景的逐渐变化。我们的模型强调了群体或群居行为在猎物和捕食者中的稳定作用,因此支持捕食者-食草动物调节假说。此外,我们的模型强调了生态系统中“盐分平衡”的发生,并捕获了观察到的狮子-草食动物相互作用的动力学。
    Group defense in prey and hunting cooperation in predators are two important ecological phenomena and can occur concurrently. In this article, we consider cooperative hunting in generalist predators and group defense in prey under a mathematical framework to comprehend the enormous diversity the model could capture. To do so, we consider a modified Holling-Tanner model where we implement Holling type IV functional response to characterize grazing pattern of predators where prey species exhibit group defense. Additionally, we allow a modification in the attack rate of predators to quantify the hunting cooperation among them. The model admits three boundary equilibria and up to three coexistence equilibrium points. The geometry of the nontrivial prey and predator nullclines and thus the number of coexistence equilibria primarily depends on a specific threshold of the availability of alternative food for predators. We use linear stability analysis to determine the types of hyperbolic equilibrium points and characterize the non-hyperbolic equilibrium points through normal form and center manifold theory. Change in the model parameters leading to the occurrences of a series of local bifurcations from non-hyperbolic equilibrium points, namely, transcritical, saddle-node, Hopf, cusp and Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation; there are also occurrences of global bifurcations such as homoclinic bifurcation and saddle-node bifurcation of limit cycles. We observe two interesting closed \'bubble\' form induced by global bifurcations due to change in the strength of hunting cooperation and the availability of alternative food for predators. A three dimensional bifurcation diagram, concerning the original system parameters, captures how the alternation in model formulation induces gradual changes in the bifurcation scenarios. Our model highlights the stabilizing effects of group or gregarious behaviour in both prey and predator, hence supporting the predator-herbivore regulation hypothesis. Additionally, our model highlights the occurrence of \"saltatory equilibria\" in ecological systems and capture the dynamics observed for lion-herbivore interactions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Cook等人提出的响应包络模型。(2010)是在多元线性回归模型的背景下估计回归系数的有效方法。它通过识别响应的实质性和非实质性部分并消除非实质性变化来提高估计效率。仅针对连续响应变量研究了响应包络模型。在本文中,我们提出了具有潜在包络的多元概率模型,简而言之,probit包络模型,作为多元二元响应变量的响应包络模型。probit包络模型利用响应包络模型的思想,考虑了多变量probit模型的高斯潜变量之间的关系。我们通过采用基本的可识别性概念来解决probit包络模型的可识别性,并提出了一种用于参数估计的贝叶斯方法。我们通过仿真研究和实际数据分析来说明概率包络模型。仿真研究表明,与多变量probit模型相比,probit包络模型具有提高估计效率的潜力。实际数据分析表明,probit包络模型对于多标签分类是有用的。
    The response envelope model proposed by Cook et al. (2010) is an efficient method to estimate the regression coefficient under the context of the multivariate linear regression model. It improves estimation efficiency by identifying material and immaterial parts of responses and removing the immaterial variation. The response envelope model has been investigated only for continuous response variables. In this paper, we propose the multivariate probit model with latent envelope, in short, the probit envelope model, as a response envelope model for multivariate binary response variables. The probit envelope model takes into account relations between Gaussian latent variables of the multivariate probit model by using the idea of the response envelope model. We address the identifiability of the probit envelope model by employing the essential identifiability concept and suggest a Bayesian method for the parameter estimation. We illustrate the probit envelope model via simulation studies and real-data analysis. The simulation studies show that the probit envelope model has the potential to gain efficiency in estimation compared to the multivariate probit model. The real data analysis shows that the probit envelope model is useful for multi-label classification.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了确定尿邻苯二甲酸盐代谢产物与慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)的关系,气流阻塞,肺功能和呼吸道症状。
    我们的研究在国家健康和营养检查调查(NHANES)中纳入了2023名年龄≥40岁的个体。采用多因素logistic回归分析了11种尿邻苯二甲酸酯代谢物(MCNP,MCOP,MECPP,MnBP,MCPP,MEP,MEHHP,MEHP,MiBP,MEOHP,和MBzP)与COPD,气流阻塞和呼吸道症状。线性回归分析用于评估尿邻苯二甲酸酯代谢产物与肺功能之间的关系。
    与第一个三元字符相比,MEHHP的第三三分位数与COPD风险相关[OR:2.779;95%置信区间(CI):1.129~6.840;P=0.026].分层分析表明,MEHHP使男性参与者的COPD风险增加了7.080倍。MCPP和MBzP均与气流阻塞风险呈正相关。MBzP的第三三分位数增加了咳嗽的风险1.545(95%CI:1.030-2.317;P=0.035)倍。FEV1和FVC均与MEHHP呈负相关,MECPP,MnBP,MEP,MiBP和MEOHP。
    较高的MEHHP水平与COPD风险增加相关,FEV1和FVC的测量值较低。MBzP与气流阻塞和咳嗽呈正相干。
    UNASSIGNED: To determine the association of urinary phthalate metabolites with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), airflow obstruction, lung function and respiratory symptoms.
    UNASSIGNED: Our study included a total of 2023 individuals aged ≥ 40 years old in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Multivariate logistic regression was conducted to explore the correlation of eleven urinary phthalate metabolites (MCNP, MCOP, MECPP, MnBP, MCPP, MEP, MEHHP, MEHP, MiBP, MEOHP, and MBzP) with COPD, airflow obstruction and respiratory symptoms. Linear regression analyses were used to evaluate the relationship between urinary phthalate metabolites and lung function.
    UNASSIGNED: When compared to the first tertile, the third tertile of MEHHP was associated with the risk of COPD [OR: 2.779; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.129-6.840; P = 0.026]. Stratified analysis showed that MEHHP increased the risk of COPD by 7.080 times in male participants. Both MCPP and MBzP were positively correlated with the risk of airflow obstruction. The third tertile of MBzP increased the risk of cough by 1.545 (95% CI: 1.030-2.317; P = 0.035) times. Both FEV1 and FVC were negatively associated with MEHHP, MECPP, MnBP, MEP, MiBP and MEOHP.
    UNASSIGNED: Higher levels of MEHHP are associated with increased risk of COPD, and lower measures of FEV1 and FVC. MBzP is positively related to airflow obstruction and cough.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:这项研究调查了南京耐药结核病(DR-TB)患者的生活质量(QOL)的现状,中国,并对影响因素进行了分析。
    方法:调查对象为2022年7月至2023年5月在南京市第二医院(南京市公共卫生医学中心)结核病科住院的DR-TB患者。采用中文版世界卫生组织生活质量问卷(WHOQOL-BREF)对DR-TB患者的生活质量水平进行调查,采用多元线性回归模型对QOL影响因素进行分析。
    结果:共有135名患者参加了研究;69.6%为男性,平均年龄为46.30±17.98岁,受教育程度为小学或以下的占13.33%,75.56%已婚。生理性QOL评分分别为51.35±17.24,47.04±20.28,43.89±17.96,35.00±11.57,心理,社会,和环境领域,分别。四个领域得分与中文规范结果之间的差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多元线性回归分析结果表明,与生理领域相关的因素包括居住,家庭人均月收入,付款方式,药物不良反应(ADR),和合并症;心理领域相关因素包括教育水平,家庭人均月收入,病程,和照顾者;社会领域相关因素包括年龄和合并症;与环境领域相关的因素包括年龄,教育水平,和合并症。
    结论:在南京,中国,年龄较小的患者,高等教育水平,生活在城市地区,家庭人均月收入高,无药物不良反应,没有合并症,有护理人员有更好的生活质量。未来改善耐药结核病患者生活质量的干预措施可以针对特定因素进行调整。
    BACKGROUND: This study investigated the current status of the quality of life (QOL) of drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) patients in Nanjing, China, and analyzed the influencing factors.
    METHODS: The survey was conducted among patients with DR-TB who were hospitalized in the tuberculosis department of the Second Hospital of Nanjing (Nanjing Public Health Medical Center) from July 2022 to May 2023. The Chinese version of the World Health Organization Quality of Life (WHOQOL-BREF) questionnaire was used to investigate the QOL levels of patients with DR-TB, and a multiple linear regression model was used to analyze the QOL influencing factors.
    RESULTS: A total of 135 patients participated in the study; 69.6% were male, the average age was 46.30 ± 17.98 years, 13.33% had an education level of elementary school or below, and 75.56% were married. The QOL scores were 51.35 ± 17.24, 47.04 ± 20.28, 43.89 ± 17.96, and 35.00 ± 11.57 in the physiological, psychological, social, and environmental domains, respectively. The differences between the four domain scores and the Chinese normative results were statistically significant (P < 0.05). The results of multiple linear regression analysis showed that the factors related to the physiological domain included residence, family per-capita monthly income, payment method, adverse drug reactions (ADRs), and comorbidities; psychological domain correlates included educational level, family per-capita monthly income, course of the disease, and caregivers; social domain correlates included age and comorbidities; and factors related to the environmental domain included age, education level, and comorbidities.
    CONCLUSIONS: In Nanjing, China, patients with younger age, higher education level, living in urban areas, high family per-capita monthly income, no adverse drug reactions, no comorbidities, and having caregivers have better quality of life. Future interventions to improve the quality of life of patients with drug-resistant tuberculosis could be tailored to a specific factor.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    建模和准确预测时间序列的趋势和季节模式是经济学中的一项关键活动。本研究的主要建议是评估和比较三种传统预测方法的性能,即ARIMA模型及其扩展,与具有相关误差的多元线性回归模型相关的经典分解时间序列,还有Holt-Winters的方法.这些方法适用于来自七个不同欧洲国家的零售时间序列,这些国家呈现出强劲的趋势和季节性波动。总的来说,结果表明,所有预测模型都在某种程度上遵循数据中显示的季节性模式。基于均方误差(MSE),均方根误差(RMSE),平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE),平均绝对标度误差(MASE)和U-Theil统计量,结果表明,ARIMA模型优于其他两种预测方法。霍尔特-温特斯方法也能产生准确的预测,因此它被认为是ARIMA的可行替代品。预测方法在覆盖率方面的性能与准确性度量的结果相匹配。
    Modeling and accurately forecasting trend and seasonal patterns of a time series is a crucial activity in economics. The main propose of this study is to evaluate and compare the performance of three traditional forecasting methods, namely the ARIMA models and their extensions, the classical decomposition time series associated with multiple linear regression models with correlated errors, and the Holt-Winters method. These methodologies are applied to retail time series from seven different European countries that present strong trend and seasonal fluctuations. In general, the results indicate that all the forecasting models somehow follow the seasonal pattern exhibited in the data. Based on mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean absolute scaled error (MASE) and U-Theil statistic, the results demonstrate the superiority of the ARIMA model over the other two forecasting approaches. Holt-Winters method also produces accurate forecasts, so it is considered a viable alternative to ARIMA. The performance of the forecasting methods in terms of coverage rates matches the results for accuracy measures.
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