Linear Models

线性模型
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    现代社会的各个领域都受到氟化学的影响。特别是,氟在医疗中起着重要的作用,制药和农业化学科学。在各种氟有机化合物中,三氟甲基(CF3)基团在制药等应用中很有价值,农用化学品和工业化学品。在本研究中,遵循严格的经合组织建模原则,通过遗传算法-多元线性回归(GA-MLR)方法,建立了大鼠三氟甲基化合物(TFM)急性口服毒性的定量结构-毒性关系(QSTR)模型。所有开发的模型都通过各种最新的验证指标和OECD原则进行了评估。最佳QSTR模型包括9个易于解释的2D分子描述符,具有明确的物理和化学意义。机理解释表明,原子型电拓扑状态指数,分子连通性,电离电势,亲脂性和一些自相关系数是TFM对大鼠急性口服毒性的主要因素。为了验证选定的2D描述符可以有效地表征毒性,我们进行了化学阅读分析.我们还将最佳QSTR模型与公共OPERA工具进行了比较,以证明预测的可靠性。为了进一步提高QSTR模型的预测范围,我们进行了共识建模。最后,最佳QSTR模型首次用于预测包含许多未测试/未知TFM的真实外部集。总的来说,所开发的模型有助于对新型含CF3的药物或化学品进行更全面的安全评估方法,减少不必要的化学合成,同时节省新药的开发成本。
    All areas of the modern society are affected by fluorine chemistry. In particular, fluorine plays an important role in medical, pharmaceutical and agrochemical sciences. Amongst various fluoro-organic compounds, trifluoromethyl (CF3) group is valuable in applications such as pharmaceuticals, agrochemicals and industrial chemicals. In the present study, following the strict OECD modelling principles, a quantitative structure-toxicity relationship (QSTR) modelling for the rat acute oral toxicity of trifluoromethyl compounds (TFMs) was established by genetic algorithm-multiple linear regression (GA-MLR) approach. All developed models were evaluated by various state-of-the-art validation metrics and the OECD principles. The best QSTR model included nine easily interpretable 2D molecular descriptors with clear physical and chemical significance. The mechanistic interpretation showed that the atom-type electro-topological state indices, molecular connectivity, ionization potential, lipophilicity and some autocorrelation coefficients are the main factors contributing to the acute oral toxicity of TFMs against rats. To validate that the selected 2D descriptors can effectively characterize the toxicity, we performed the chemical read-across analysis. We also compared the best QSTR model with public OPERA tool to demonstrate the reliability of the predictions. To further improve the prediction range of the QSTR model, we performed the consensus modelling. Finally, the optimum QSTR model was utilized to predict a true external set containing many untested/unknown TFMs for the first time. Overall, the developed model contributes to a more comprehensive safety assessment approach for novel CF3-containing pharmaceuticals or chemicals, reducing unnecessary chemical synthesis whilst saving the development cost of new drugs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:欧洲心脏病学会(ESC)指南推荐动态(0-1h)测定心肌肌钙蛋白(cTn)用于非ST段抬高型心肌梗死的诊断。对于低cTn水平的患者,可以考虑紧急出院。然而,排放的cTn截止值低于实验室试剂供应商提出的定量限值。
    目的:在ElecsysSTAT试剂盒上验证cTn测定。
    方法:精度,真实,重复性和实验室内的变异性是根据内部质量控制和5.78和10.73ng/L的血浆进行计算的。从外部质量控制计算准确性。测量的不确定度是根据(i)标准和对照值的不确定度和(ii)通过汇集的血浆的精密度来计算的。已通过自举模拟评估了来自汇集的等离子体的精度结果的分布。使用患者血浆进行稀释线性测试,以评估接近5ng/L的值的方法。
    结果:精度和正确度范围为1.35%至4.45%和0.14%至-3.74%,分别。准确率为101.40~104.90%。实验室内变异性为2.91%。对于较高的值(2188)到较低的值(5.78ng/L),不确定性范围从3.66%到19.90%。Bootstrap模拟允许利用来自汇集血浆的精确度数据来评估cTn测定。该方法在4.48至39.80ng/L范围内呈线性关系。线性回归模型最好地描述了数据。
    结论:ElecsysSTAT方法提供了准确的cTn结果,包括cTn结果在ESC指南中将其分类为“排除”的患者。
    BACKGROUND: The European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines recommend a dynamic (0-1h) cardiac troponin (cTn) determination for non-ST elevation myocardial infarction diagnosis. For patients with low cTn levels, a discharge from emergency can be considered. Nevertheless, cTn cutoffs for discharge are lower than the limits of quantification proposed by laboratory reagent suppliers.
    OBJECTIVE: Validate cTn assay on the Elecsys STAT kit.
    METHODS: Precision, trueness, repeatability and within-laboratory variability were calculated from internal quality control and plasma pooled at 5.78 and 10.73 ng/L. Accuracy was calculated from external quality control. Uncertainty of measurement was calculated from (i) the uncertainty of the standard and control values and (ii) by precision from pooled plasma. Distribution of precision results from pooled plasma has been evaluated by bootstrap simulations. Dilution linearity tests with patient plasma were performed to evaluate the method for values near 5 ng/L.
    RESULTS: Precision and trueness ranged from 1.35 to 4.45% and from 0.14 to -3.74%, respectively. Accuracy results ranged from 101.40 to 104.90%. Within laboratory variability was 2.91%. Uncertainty ranged from 3.66% to 19.90% for higher (2188) to lower values (5.78 ng/L). Bootstrap simulations allowed utilization of precision data from pooled plasma to evaluate cTn assay. The method was linear from 4.48 to 39.80 ng/L. A linear regression model best described the data.
    CONCLUSIONS: Elecsys STAT method provides accurate cTn results, including patients with cTn results categorizing them as \'rule-out\' in the ESC guidelines.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    2021年在瑞典提出了治疗桡骨远端骨折(DRF)的国家指南。在准则中,建议对4个高度不稳定的DRF亚组进行快速跟踪。无论闭合复位的结果如何,建议在受伤后1周内进行手术。这项研究旨在评估新提出的关于外科手术发生率的国家指南的潜在后果。
    总之,在一项回顾性队列研究中,纳入了2014年至2017年间在两家瑞典医院进行DRF检查后的1,609名患者(1,635名DRF)的主要X光片。对历史指南前队列中患者的百分比进行了估计,与在没有这些指南支持的情况下实施的治疗相比,根据新的国家指南,这将被建议进行早期初次手术。
    在严格的放射学基础上,32%(1635个中的516个)的DRF被分为4个定义的亚组之一。随访9-13天,201例转换为延迟的原发性手术。在这些中,56%(201个中的112个)符合快速通道标准,并且在新指南下将接受早期初次手术。
    新指南中的快速治疗方案,有很高的可能性确定不稳定的骨折受益于早期的初级手术。如果拟议的瑞典DRF治疗国家指南得到实施,更大比例的骨折将通过早期初次手术治疗,在大多数情况下避免了延迟手术。在日常实践中使用快速通道标准时,与可能的成本有关的潜在收益仍然未知。
    National guidelines for treatment of distal radius fractures (DRFs) were presented in Sweden in 2021. In the guidelines, a fast-track is recommended for 4 subgroups of highly unstable DRFs. Regardless of the results of the closed reduction these are recommended for surgery within 1 week of injury. This study aims to evaluate the potential consequences of the newly presented national guidelines on incidence of surgical interventions.
    In all, 1,609 patients (1,635 DRFs) with primary radiographs after a DRF between 2014 and 2017 at two Swedish hospitals were included in a retrospective cohort study. An estimation was made of the percentage of patients in the historical pre-guidelines cohort, that would have been recommended early primary surgery according to the new national guidelines compared to treatment implemented without the support of these guidelines.
    On a strict radiological basis, 32% (516 out of 1635) of DRFs were classified into one of the 4 defined subgroups. At 9-13 days follow-up, cast treatment was converted into delayed primary surgery in 201 cases. Out of these, 56% (112 out of 201) fulfilled the fast-track criteria and would with the new guidelines have been subject to early primary surgery.
    The fast-track regimen in the new guidelines, has a high likelihood of identifying the unstable fractures benefitting from early primary surgery. If the proposed Swedish national guidelines for DRF treatment are implemented, a greater proportion of fractures would be treated with early primary surgery, and a delayed surgery avoided in the majority of cases. The potential benefits in relation to possible costs when using the fast-track criteria in every day practice are still unknown.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Institution-specific guidelines (ISGs) within the framework of antimicrobial stewardship programs offer locally tailored decision support taking into account local pathogen and resistance epidemiology as well as national and international guidelines.
    To assess the impact of ISGs for antimicrobial therapy on antibiotic consumption and subsequent changes in resistance rates and Clostridioides difficile infections (CDIs).
    The study was conducted at the Leipzig University Hospital, a 1,451-bed tertiary-care medical center, and covered the years 2012 to 2020. Since 2014, ISGs were provided to optimize empirical therapies, appropriate diagnostics, and antimicrobial prophylaxis. We used interrupted time series analysis (ITSA) and simple linear regression to analyze changes in antimicrobial consumption, resistance and CDIs.
    Over the study period, 1,672,200 defined daily doses (DDD) of antibiotics were dispensed, and 85,645 bacterial isolates as well as 2,576 positive C. difficile cultures were collected. Total antimicrobial consumption decreased by 14% from 2012 to 2020, without clear impact of the deployment of ISGs. However, implementation of ISGs was associated with significant decreases in the use of substances that were rarely recommended (e.g., fluoroquinolones). Over the whole study period, we observed declining resistance rates to most antibiotic classes of up to 25% in Enterobacterales, staphylococci, and Pseudomonas aeruginosa. Switching from ceftriaxone to cefotaxime was associated with reduced resistance to third-generation cephalosporins. The number of CDI cases fell by 65%, from 501 in 2012 to 174 in 2020.
    Well-implemented ISGs can have a significant, immediate, and lasting impact on the prescription behavior. ISGs might thereby contribute to reduce resistance rates and CDI incidences in the hospital setting.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Good nutritional support is crucial for the immune system to fight against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, in the context of a pandemic with a highly transmissible coronavirus, implementation of nutrition practice may be difficult. A multicenter electronic survey involving 62 dieticians was conducted, in order to understand barriers associated with dieticians\' adherence to nutrition guidelines for hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Indonesia. 69% of dieticians felt under stress when performing nutrition care, and 90% took supplements to boost their own immunity against the coronavirus. The concerns related to clinical practice included a lack of clear guidelines (74%), a lack of access to medical records (55%), inadequate experience or knowledge (48%), and a lack of self-efficacy/confidence (29%) in performing nutritional care. Half (52%) of the dieticians had performed nutrition education/counseling, 47% had monitored a patient\'s body weight, and 76% had monitored a patient\'s dietary intake. An adjusted linear regression showed that guideline adherence independently predicted the dieticians\' nutrition care behaviors of nutrition counselling (ß: 0.24 (0.002, 0.08); p = 0.04), and monitoring of body weight (ß: 0.43 (0.04, 0.11); p = 0.001) and dietary intake (ß: 0.47(0.03, 0.10); p = 0.001) of COVID-19 patients. Overall, adherence to COVID-19 nutrition guidelines is associated with better nutritional management behaviors in hospitalized COVID-19 patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在患者分诊期间,预测需要更高水平护理的肋骨骨折患者是一个挑战。预测的强制肺活量的百分比(FVC%)结合了患者特定的因素以针对每个患者定制测量。单一机构从使用绝对强制肺活量(FVC)的临床实践指南(CPG)过渡到使用FVC%的机构,以改善肋骨骨折患者的分诊。这项研究比较了CPG改变前后患者的预后。
    对肋骨骨折患者进行了为期3年的回顾性研究(RETRO)和1年的前瞻性研究(PRO)。RETRO患者按绝对FVC分类。预测的FVC百分比用于分诊PRO患者。人口统计,机制,伤害严重程度评分,胸部缩写损伤量表评分,肋骨骨折数,管状胸廓造口术,插管,入住重症监护病房(ICU),转移到ICU,住院时间(LOS),ICULOS,和死亡率数据进行了比较。建立多变量模型对LOS进行调整分析。
    有588名符合研究条件的患者,269RETRO和319PRO患者。年龄无显著差异,性别,或者确定了伤害细节。PRO患者进行的导管胸造口术较少。插管率,入住ICU,和死亡率相似。PRO队列的ICU转移较少,LOS和ICULOS较短。多变量逻辑回归确定PRO患者中ICU转移的几率降低了78%。多元线性回归的调整分析显示,作为研究中的PRO患者,LOS降低了1.28天(B=-1.44;p<0.001),R2=0.198。
    预测的FVC较好的分层肋骨骨折患者的百分比导致转移到ICU的减少,ICULOS,医院LOS通过将患者特定因素纳入分诊决策,新的CPG优化了分诊,并在研究期间降低了资源利用率。
    治疗/护理管理。创伤,肋骨,Triage,四级。
    Predicting rib fracture patients that will require higher-level care is a challenge during patient triage. Percentage of predicted forced vital capacity (FVC%) incorporates patient-specific factors to customize the measurements to each patient. A single institution transitioned from a clinical practice guideline (CPG) using absolute forced vital capacity (FVC) to one using FVC% to improve triage of rib fracture patients. This study compares the outcomes of patients before and after the CPG change.
    A review of rib fracture patients was performed over a 3-year retrospective period (RETRO) and 1-year prospective period (PRO). RETRO patients were triaged by absolute FVC. Percentage of predicted FVC was used to triage PRO patients. Demographics, mechanism, Injury Severity Score, chest Abbreviated Injury Scale score, number of rib fractures, tube thoracostomy, intubation, admission to intensive care unit (ICU), transfer to ICU, hospital length of stay (LOS), ICU LOS, and mortality data were compared. A multivariable model was constructed to perform adjusted analysis for LOS.
    There were 588 patients eligible for the study, with 269 RETRO and 319 PRO patients. No significant differences in age, gender, or injury details were identified. Fewer tube thoracostomy were performed in PRO patients. Rates of intubation, admission to ICU, and mortality were similar. The PRO cohort had fewer ICU transfers and shorter LOS and ICU LOS. Multivariable logistic regression identified a 78% reduction in odds of ICU transfer among PRO patients. Adjusted analysis with multiple linear regression showed LOS was decreased 1.28 days by being a PRO patient in the study (B = -1.44; p < 0.001) with R2 = 0.198.
    Percentage of predicted FVC better stratified rib fracture patients leading to a decrease in transfers to the ICU, ICU LOS, and hospital LOS. By incorporating patient-specific factors into the triage decision, the new CPG optimized triage and decreased resource utilization over the study period.
    Therapeutic/Care Management. Trauma, Rib, Triage, level IV.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    UNASSIGNED: In 2014, the American College of Obstetrics and Gynecology published guidelines for diagnosing failed induction of labor (FIOL) and arrest of dilation (AOD) to prevent cesarean delivery (CD). The objectives of this study were to determine the rate of adherence to these guidelines and to compare the association of guideline adherence with physician CD rates and obstetric/neonatal outcomes.
    UNASSIGNED: Retrospective cohort review of singleton primary cesarean deliveries for FIOL and AOD at a single academic institution from 2014 to 2016. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to compare adherence to the guidelines with physician CD rates and obstetric/neonatal outcomes.
    UNASSIGNED: Of the 591 cesarean deliveries in the study, 263 were for failed induction, 328 for AOD and 79% (468/591) were not adherent to the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists and the Society for Maternal-Fetal Medicine (ACOG/SMFM) guidelines. Of the failed inductions, 82% (215/263) and of the AODs 77% (253/328) were not adherent. There was no difference between adherent and non-adherent CDs with regard to maternal characteristics, or obstetric/neonatal outcomes. Duration of oxytocin use after rupture of membranes, dilation at time of CD, and birth weight were statistically higher in adherent CDs. On multivariate linear regression, physician CD rates were inversely correlated with adherence to ACOG/SMFM guidelines (p<0.0001), gestational age (p=0.007), and parity (p=0.003).
    UNASSIGNED: Our study shows that physician non-compliance with ACOG guidelines was high. Adherence to these guidelines was associated with lower physician CD rates, without an increase in obstetric or neonatal complications.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    阿片类药物处方中的种族差异被广泛记录,尽管很少有研究专门评估术后设置的种族差异。我们假设标准阿片类药物处方时间表减少了术后处方的总阿片类药物,并减轻了术后阿片类药物处方的种族差异。
    这是对成人普外科病例的回顾性回顾,公共学术机构。标准阿片类药物处方时间表在2018年底的不同时间点在普通手术服务中实施。中断时间序列分析用于比较黑白患者干预前(2018年1月至6月)与干预后(2019年1月至6月)规定的平均每两周一次的吗啡毫克当量。线性回归用于比较每个研究期间白人和黑人患者的放电吗啡毫克当量的平均差异。在控制人口统计的同时,长期使用阿片类药物,和程序/服务。
    总共分析了2,961例:干预前1,441例和干预后1,520例。程序频率,黑人患者比例(17%黑人),慢性阿片类药物暴露(7%的慢性使用者)在不同时间段相似。中断的时间序列分析显示,与黑人和白人患者的预测非干预趋势相比,干预后处方的吗啡毫克当量平均水平显着降低。调整后的分析显示,2018年黑人患者平均接受的吗啡毫克当量明显高于白人患者(+19吗啡毫克当量,95%置信区间0.5-36.5)。2019年无显著差异(-8吗啡毫克当量,95%置信区间-20.5至4.6)。
    标准阿片类药物处方时间表与消除普通普外科手术后阿片类药物处方的种族差异有关,同时还减少了处方的阿片类药物总量。我们假设标准的阿片类药物处方时间表可以减轻处方中隐性偏见的影响。
    Racial disparities in opioid prescribing are widely documented, though few studies assess racial differences in the postoperative setting specifically. We hypothesized standard opioid prescribing schedules reduce total opioids prescribed postoperatively and mitigate racial variation in postoperative opioid prescribing.
    This is a retrospective review of adult general surgery cases at a large, public academic institution. Standard opioid prescribing schedules were implemented across general surgery services for common procedures in late 2018 at various timepoints. Interrupted time series analysis was used to compare mean biweekly discharge morphine milligram equivalents prescribed in the preintervention (Jan-Jun 2018) versus postintervention (Jan-Jun 2019) periods for Black and White patients. Linear regression was used to compare mean difference in discharge morphine milligram equivalents among White and Black patients in each study period, while controlling for demographics, chronic opioid use, and procedure/service.
    A total of 2,961 cases were analyzed: 1,441 preintervention and 1,520 postintervention. Procedural frequencies, proportion of Black patients (17% Black), and chronic opioid exposure (7% chronic users) were similar across time periods. Interrupted time series analysis showed significantly lower mean level of morphine milligram equivalents prescribed postintervention compared with the predicted nonintervention trend for both Black and White patients. Adjusted analysis showed on average in 2018 Black patients received significantly higher morphine milligram equivalents than White patients (+19 morphine milligram equivalents, 95% confidence interval 0.5-36.5). There was no significant difference in 2019 (-8 morphine milligram equivalents, 95% confidence interval -20.5 to 4.6).
    Standard opioid prescribing schedules were associated with the elimination of racial differences in postoperative opioid prescribing after common general surgery procedures, while also reducing total opioids prescribed. We hypothesize standard opioid prescribing schedules may mitigate the effect of implicit bias in prescribing.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在鞍座下方使用半垫可以有利于改善鞍座配合。然而,在正确安装的鞍座下使用半垫时,缺乏证据。目的是量化三个不同的半垫对符合行业指南的鞍座下方的压力分布的影响。有经验的骑手骑着十二匹非跛脚的马,坐在每只the上小跑和慢跑(三个重复)。马鞍配合,与三个半垫(粘弹性凝胶,羊毛,和医疗级,闭孔泡沫),由五名合格的鞍座钳工进行了评估。一种确定鞍座压力的Pliance(新型)压力垫。使用一般线性混合模型比较了鞍座下方的平均和峰值压力(kPa),其中马作为随机因素,半垫类型和固定因素,并进行Bonferroni事后校正(P≤.05)。坐在小跑中,在颅骨区域,与对照相比,当使用凝胶半垫时,峰值(P=.008)和平均压力(P=.03)最高。在坐在小跑的尾部,使用羊毛半垫时,平均压力最低(P=.0002)。坦率地说,增加的峰值(P=.04)和平均(P=.02)压力发现在头颅区域的鞍座与凝胶半垫。坦率地说,用泡沫半垫,发现尾部平均压力降低(P=0.002)。半垫的使用和类型至关重要,用在合身的鞍座下面,与合格的鞍座钳工讨论。
    Using a half pad beneath a saddle can be beneficial for improving saddle fit. However, there is a paucity of evidence on half pad use when used beneath a correctly fitted saddle. The aim was to quantify the effect that three different half pads have on pressure distribution beneath a saddle fitted following industry guidelines. Twelve nonlame horses were ridden by experienced riders in sitting trot and canter on each rein (three repeats). Saddle fit, with a high-withered cotton saddle cloth (control) compared with three half pads (viscoelastic gel, wool, and medical-grade, closed-cell foam), was evaluated by five qualified saddle fitters. A Pliance (Novel) pressure mat determined saddle pressures. Mean and peak pressures (kPa) beneath the saddle were compared using a general linear mixed model with horse as a random factor and half pad type and rein as fixed factors with a Bonferroni post hoc correction (P ≤ .05). In sitting trot, in the cranial region, peak (P = .008) and mean pressures (P = .03) were highest when using the gel half pad compared with the control. In the caudal region in sitting trot, mean pressures were lowest when using the wool half pad (P = .0002). In canter, increased peak (P = .04) and mean (P = .02) pressures were found in the cranial region of the saddle with the gel half pad. In canter, with the foam half pad, reduced mean pressure (P = .002) in the caudal region was found. It is essential that the use and type of a half pad, to be used beneath a well-fitted saddle, is discussed with a qualified saddle fitter.
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    文章类型: Journal Article
    孕妇感染食源性疾病的风险增加。简单的食品安全预防措施可以预防疾病。这项研究的目的是检查孕妇的知识,和坚持,新西兰怀孕食品安全指南。
    参与者是在参加产前诊所时招募的,并通过在线怀孕支持小组。通过自我管理问卷评估知识和行为。
    总共,205名妇女参加了这项研究;100名来自产前诊所,105通过Facebook。中位知识得分为95%(四分位数间距(IQR)83-100%,最小值=17.4%)。只有25%的参与者正确回答了所有问题。中位依从性评分为77%(IQR=62-92%,最低=8%);13%的参与者报告完全遵守食品安全指南。毛利族参与者的平均知识得分(76.6%)低于欧洲/其他种族参与者(91.7%,p=0.004)。毛利人参与者的平均依从性得分最低(63.2%),这需要进一步调查。
    大多数参与者报告说继续食用在怀孕期间被认为不安全的食物。这项研究强调了在怀孕期间改善食品安全教育的必要性。结果还表明,需要使食品安全指南更容易获得,并与毛利妇女的需求相关。
    Pregnant women are at increased risk for contracting foodborne illness. Simple food safety precautions can prevent illness. The aim of this study was to examine pregnant women\'s knowledge of, and adherence to, the New Zealand Food Safety in Pregnancy guidelines.
    Participants were recruited when attending antenatal clinics, and via online pregnancy support groups. Knowledge and behaviours were assessed by way of a self-administered questionnaire.
    In total, 205 women participated in this study; 100 from antenatal clinics, 105 via Facebook. The median knowledge score was 95% (interquartile range (IQR) 83-100%, minimum = 17.4%). Only 25% of participants answered all questions correctly. The median adherence score was 77% (IQR = 62-92%, minimum = 8%); 13% of participants reported complete adherence to the food safety guidelines. Mean knowledge scores in participants of Māori ethnicity (76.6%) were lower than in participants of European/other ethnicity (91.7%, p=0.004). Māori participants had the lowest mean adherence scores (63.2%) and this requires further investigation.
    The majority of participants reported continuing to consume foods considered unsafe in pregnancy. This study highlights the need for improved food safety education during pregnancy. The results also suggest a need for food safety guidance to be made more accessible and relevant to the needs of Māori women.
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