Low bone mineral density and impaired bone qualities have been shown to be important prognostic factors for curve progression in Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis (AIS). There is no evidence-based integrative interpretation method to analyse high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HR-pQCT) data in AIS. This study aimed to (a) utilize unsupervised machine learning to cluster bone microarchitecture phenotypes on HR-pQCT parameters in AIS girls, (b) assess the phenotypes\' risk of curve progression and progression to surgical threshold at skeletal maturity (primary cohort), and (c) investigate risk of curve progression in a separate cohort of mild AIS girls whose curve severity did not reach bracing threshold at recruitment (secondary cohort). Patients were followed up prospectively for 6.22 ± 0.33 years in the primary cohort (N = 101). Three bone microarchitecture phenotypes were clustered by Fuzzy C-Means at time of peripubertal peak height velocity (PHV). Phenotype-1 had normal bone characteristics. Phenotype-2 was characterized by low bone volume and high cortical bone density, and Phenotype-3 had low cortical and trabecular bone density and impaired trabecular microarchitecture. The difference in bone qualities amongst the phenotypes was significant at peripubertal PHV and continued to skeletal maturity. Phenotype-3 had significantly increased risk of curve progression to surgical threshold at skeletal maturity (Odd Ratios (OR) = 4.88; 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.03-28.63). In the secondary cohort (N = 106), both Phenotype-2 (adjusted OR = 5.39; 95%CI: 1.47-22.76) and Phenotype-3 (adjusted OR = 3.67; 95%CI: 1.05-14.29) had increased risk of curve progression ≥6° with mean follow-up of 3.03 ± 0.16 years. In conclusion, three distinct bone microarchitecture phenotypes could be clustered by unsupervised machine learning on HR-pQCT generated bone parameters at peripubertal PHV in AIS. The bone qualities reflected by these phenotypes were found to have significant differentiating risk of curve progression and progression to surgical threshold at skeletal maturity in AIS.
Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis (AIS) is an abnormal spinal curvature commonly presents during puberty growth. Evidence has shown that low bone mineral density and impaired bone qualities are important risk factors for curve progression in AIS. High-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HR-pQCT) has improved our understanding of bone qualities in AIS. It generates a large amount of quantitative and qualitative bone parameters from a single measurement, but the data are not easy for clinicians to interpret and analyse. This study enrolled AIS girls and used unsupervised machine learning model to analyse their HR-pQCT data at first clinic visit. The model clustered the patients into 3 bone microarchitecture phenotypes (i.e. Phenotype-1: normal, Phenotype-2: low bone volume and high cortical bone density, and Phenotype-3: low cortical and trabecular bone density and impaired trabecular microarchitecture). They were longitudinally followed up for 6 years until skeletal maturity. We observed the three phenotypes were persistent, and Phenotype-3 had a significantly increased risk of curve progression to severity that requires invasive spinal surgery (Odds Ratio = 4.88, P = 0.029). The difference in bone qualities reflected by these 3 distinct phenotypes could aid clinicians to differentiate risk of curve progression and surgery at early stages of AIS.

Background: The implications of delaying surgical intervention for patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) wishing to undergo vertebral body tethering (VBT) have not yet been explored. It is important to understand how these delays can impact surgical planning and patient outcomes. Methods: This was a retrospective review that analyzed all AIS patients treated between 2015 and 2021 at a single tertiary center. Time to surgery from initial surgical consultation and ultimate surgical plan were assessed. Patient characteristics, potential risk factors associated with increased curve progression, and reasons for delay were also analyzed. Results: 174 patients were evaluated and 95 were scheduled for VBT. Four patients later required a change to posterior spinal fusion (PSF) due to excessive curve progression. Patients requiring PSF were shown to have significantly longer delays than those who received VBT. Additionally, longer delays, younger age, greater curve progression, and lower skeletal maturity were correlated with significant curve progression (≥5 degrees). Conclusions: Surgical delays for AIS patients awaiting VBT may lead to significant curve progression and necessitate more invasive procedures. Patients with longer delays experienced an increased risk of needing PSF instead of VBT. Of those requiring PSF, the majority were due to insurance denials. Optimizing surgical timing and shared decision-making among patients, families, and healthcare providers are essential for achieving the best outcomes.

UNASSIGNED: (1) Compare the cross-sectional thickness (CST) and shear wave speed (SWS) of paraspinal muscles (PSM) in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) with and without curve progression; (2) investigate the relationship between CST/SWS and radiographic characteristics in AIS with curve progression; (3) compare the CST/SWS between AIS and non-scoliosis controls.
UNASSIGNED: This cross-sectional study analyzed the CST and SWS of PSM in 48 AIS with mild to moderate curvature and 24 non-scoliosis participants. Participants with scoliosis greater than 45° of Cobb angles were excluded. The Change of Cobb angles within the last 6-months was retrieved to allocate AIS into progression and non-progression groups. The SWS and CST of multifidus; longissimus and iliocostalis of the major curve were measured using B-mode ultrasound image with an elastography mode. Discrepancies of the SWS (SWS-ratio: SWS on the convex side divided by SWS on the concave side) and CST (CST-ratio: CST on the convex side divided by CST on the concave side) at the upper/lower end and apical vertebrae were studied.
UNASSIGNED: A higher SWS at the apical vertebrae on the concave side of the major curve (multifidus: 3.9 ± 1.0 m/s vs. 3.1 ± 0.6 m/s; p < 0.01, longissimus: 3.3 ± 1.0 m/s vs. 3.0 ± 0.9 m/s; p < 0.01, iliocostalis: 2.8 ± 1.0 m/s vs. 2.5 ± 0.8 m/s; p < 0.01) was observed in AIS with curve progression. A lower SWS-ratio at apical vertebrae was detected with a greater vertebral rotation in participants with curve progression (multifidus [grade II]: 0.7 ± 0.1 vs. grade I: 0.9 ± 0.2; p = 0.03, longissimus [grade II]: 0.8 ± 0.2 vs. grade I: 1.1 ± 0.2; p < 0.01). CST was not different among the progressive, non-progressive AIS and non-scoliosis controls.
UNASSIGNED: Increased SWS of PSM without change of CST was observed on the concave side of the major curve in participants with progressive AIS.

Introduction: Bracing is one of the first-line treatment for early-onset idiopathic scoliosis (EOIS) to control curves from progression. This study aimed to explore the determinants that govern bracing effectiveness in EOIS. Methods: One hundred and eleven patients with EOIS (mean age of 8.6 ± 1.25 at diagnosis) received bracing treatment and had a final follow-up beyond skeletal maturity were identified from records between 1988 and 2021. Demographic data and clinical features of spinal curvature were obtained for correlation analyses to determine the associations between curve outcomes and clinical features. Results: Most patients were female (85.6%) and had a major curve on the left side (67%). The mean baseline Cobb angle of major curves was 21.73 ± 7.92°, with a mean Cobb angle progression of 18.05 ± 19.11°. The average bracing duration was 5.3 ± 1.9 years. Only 26 (23.4%) of them underwent surgery. The final Cobb angle and curve progression at the final follow-up with a Cobb angle of ≥50° were positively correlated with the initial Cobb angle (r = 0.206 and r = 0.313, respectively) and negatively correlated with maturity parameters. The lumbar curve type was found to correlate with a smaller final Cobb angle. Conclusions: The majority of patients had a final Cobb angle < 50°, which was considered a successful bracing outcome. The final Cobb angle correlated with the initial Cobb angle and curve types observed in EOIS.

The diagnosis of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis requires clinical and radiographic evaluation; the management options vary depending on the severity of the curve and potential for progression. Identifying predictors of scoliosis progression is crucial to avoid incorrect management; clinical and radiographic factors have been studied as potential predictors. The present study aims to review the literature on radiological indexes for the peak height velocity or curve acceleration phase to help clinicians manage treatment of patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis.
This systematic review was carried out in accordance with Preferential Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. The search was carried out including only peer-reviewed articles written in English that described the radiological indexes assessing skeletal maturity in patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis and evaluated their correlation with curve progression, expressed as peak height velocity and/or curve acceleartion phase.
Thirteen studies were included and showed promising results in terms of reliable radiological indexes. Risser staging gives a general measure of skeletal maturity, but it cannot be used as a primary index for driving the treatment of patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis since more reliable indexes are available.
Skeletal maturity quantification for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis has the potential to significantly modify disease management. However, idiopathic scoliosis is a complex and multifactorial disease: therefore, it is unlikely that a single index will ever be sufficient to predict its evolution. Therefore, as more adolescent idiopathic scoliosis progression-associated indexes are identified, a collective scientific effort should be made to develop a therapeutic strategy based on reliable and reproducible algorithms.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the sex-based differences in clinical and radiological presentation of patients with degenerative lumbar scoliosis (DLS) and to explore whether the difference is helpful in investigating the etiology and progression of DLS.
METHODS: A retrospective review of 199 patients (41 males, 158 females) with DLS was included. Patient demographics including age, gender, bone mineral density were collected. Back and leg pain was assessed by visual analog scale, and general physical condition was assessed by Oswestry Disability Index. Cobb\'s angle was measured, and direction of scoliosis, position of the superior, inferior and apex vertebrae, number of vertebrae included in the scoliosis, rotation of apex vertebrae (Nash-Mo index), translation of apex vertebrae were recorded. Sagittal longitudinal axis, thoracolumbar kyphosis, lumbar lordosis (LL), pelvic incidence angle (PI), sacral slope, apex of lumbar lordosis and coronal balance distance were measured by whole spine lateral radiographs, and type of coronal imbalance was evaluated in all patients. Fat infiltration rate (FIR) of the paraspinal muscles at the vertebral apex was measured by MRI.
RESULTS: Compared to female patients, male patients showed more back and leg pain on clinical presentation and smaller Cobb angle, less parietal rotation, larger LL, smaller PI-LL and lower paravertebral muscle FIR on radiologic features.
CONCLUSIONS: Gender differences do exist in DLS patients with regard to clinical and radiological presentation, low back pain was more pronounced in male patients, and scoliosis was more severe in female patients based on this cross-sectional study.

UNASSIGNED: Adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) is characterized by deranged bone and muscle qualities, which are important prognostic factors for curve progression. This retrospective case-control study aims to investigate whether the baseline muscle parameters, in addition to the bone parameters, could predict curve progression in AIS.
UNASSIGNED: The study included a cohort of 126 female patients diagnosed with AIS who were between the ages of 12 and 14 years old at their initial clinical visit. These patients were longitudinally followed up every 6 months (average 4.08 years) until they reached skeletal maturity. The records of these patients were thoroughly reviewed as part of the study. The participants were categorized into two sub-groups: the progressive AIS group (increase in Cobb angle of ≥6°) and the stable AIS group (increase in Cobb angle <6°). Clinical and radiological assessments were conducted on each group.
UNASSIGNED: Cobb angle increase of ≥6° was observed in 44 AIS patients (34.9%) prior to skeletal maturity. A progressive AIS was associated with decreased skeletal maturity and weight, lower trunk lean mass (5.7%, p = 0.027) and arm lean mass (8.9%, p < 0.050), weaker dominant handgrip strength (8.8%, p = 0.027), deranged cortical compartment [lower volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD) by 6.5%, p = 0.002], and lower bone mechanical properties [stiffness and estimated failure load lowered by 13.2% (p = 0.005) and 12.5% (p = 0.004)]. The best cut-off threshold of maximum dominant handgrip strength is 19.75 kg for distinguishing progressive AIS from stable AIS (75% sensitivity and 52.4% specificity, p = 0.011).
UNASSIGNED: Patients with progressive AIS had poorer muscle and bone parameters than patients with stable AIS. The implementation of a cut-off threshold in the baseline dominant handgrip strength could potentially be used as an additional predictor, in addition to bone parameters, for identifying individuals with AIS who are at higher risk of experiencing curve progression.

Risser stage is widely used as a marker for skeletal maturity (SM) and thereby an indirect measure for the risk of progression of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS). The Scoliosis Research Society recommends bracing for Risser stages 0-2 as Risser stage 3 or above is considered low risk. Very few studies have assessed the risk of progression during bracing in Risser stages 3-4. The objective of the current study is to determine if Risser stages 3-4 provide a meaningful cutoff in terms of progression risk in patients with AIS treated with night-time bracing.
AIS patients treated with night-time brace from 2005 to 2018 with a Cobb angle between 25 and 40 degrees and Risser stages 0-4 were retrospectively included. Curve progression (> 5 degrees increase) was monitored until surgery or SM. Skeletal maturity was defined as either 2 years postmenarchal, no height development or closed ulnar epiphyseal plates on radiographs.
One hundred and thirty-five patients were included (Risser stages 0-2: n = 86 and 3-4: n = 49). Overall, radiographic curve progression occurred in 52% while progression beyond 45 degrees was seen in 35%. The progression rate in the Risser 0-2 group was 60% and 37% in the Risser 3-4 group (p = 0.012). In multivariate logistic regression analysis, adjusted for Risser stages and age, only premenarchal status showed a statistically significant association with progression (OR: 2.68, 95%CI 1.08-6.67).
Risser stage does not provide a clinically meaningful differentiation of progression risk in AIS patients treated with a night-time brace. Risk assessment should include other more reliable measures of skeletal growth potential.

The proximal humeral epiphyses can be conveniently viewed in routine spine radiographs. This study aimed to investigate whether the proximal humeral epiphyseal ossification system (PHOS) can be used to determine the timing of brace weaning in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS), as assessed by the rate of curve progression after brace weaning.
A total of 107 patients with AIS who had weaned brace-wear at Risser Stage  ≥  4, no bodily growth and post-menarche  ≥  2 years between 7/2014 and 2/2016 were studied. Increase in major curve Cobb angle > 5° between weaning and 2-year follow-up was considered curve progression. Skeletal maturity was assessed using the PHOS, distal radius and ulna (DRU) classification, Risser and Sanders staging. Curve progression rate per maturity grading at weaning was examined.
After brace-wear weaning, 12.1% of the patients experienced curve progression. Curve progression rate for weaning at PHOS Stage 5 was 0% for curves < 40°, and 20.0% for curves ≥ 40°. No curve progression occurred when weaning at PHOS Stage 5 with radius grade of 10 for curves ≥ 40°. Factors associated with curve progression were: Months post-menarche (p = 0.021), weaning Cobb angle (p = 0.002), curves < 40° versus ≥ 40° (p = 0.009), radius (p = 0.006) and ulna (p = 0.025) grades, and Sanders stages (p = 0.025), but not PHOS stages (p = 0.454).
PHOS can be a useful maturity indicator for brace-wear weaning in AIS, with PHOS Stage 5 having no post-weaning curve progression in curves < 40°. For large curves ≥ 40°, PHOS Stage 5 is also effective in indicating the timing of weaning together with radius grade ≥ 10.

Treatment selection for idiopathic scoliosis is informed by the risk of curve progression. Previous models predicting curve progression lacked validation, did not include the full growth/severity spectrum or included treated patients. The objective was to develop and validate models to predict future curve angles using clinical data collected only at, or both at and prior to, an initial specialist consultation in idiopathic scoliosis.
This is an analysis of 2317 patients with idiopathic scoliosis between 6 and 25 years old. Patients were previously untreated and provided at least one prior radiograph prospectively collected at first consult. Radiographs were re-measured blinded to the predicted outcome: the maximum Cobb angle on the last radiograph while untreated. Linear mixed-effect models were used to examine the effect of data from the first available visit (age, sex, maximum Cobb angle, Risser, and curve type) and from other visits while untreated (maximum Cobb angle) and time (from the first available radiograph to prediction) on the Cobb angle outcome. Interactions of the first available angle with time, of time with sex, and time with Risser were also tested.
We included 2317 patients (83% of females) with 3255 prior X-rays where 71% had 1, 21.1% had 2, and 7.5% had 3 or more. Mean age was 13.9 ± 2.2yrs and 81% had AIS. Curve types were: 50% double, 26% lumbar/thoracolumbar-lumbar, 16% thoracic, and 8% other. Cobb angle at the first available X-ray was 20 ± 10° (0-80) vs 29 ± 13° (6-122) at the outcome visit separated by 28 ± 22mths. In the model using data at and prior to the specialist consult, larger values of the following variables predicted larger future curves: first available Cobb angle, Cobb angle on other previous X-ray, and time (with Time2 and Time3) to the target prediction. Larger values on the following variables predicted a smaller future Cobb angle: Risser and age at the first available X-ray, time*Risser and time*female sex interactions. Cross-validation found a median error of 4.5o with 84% predicted within 10°. Similarly, the model using only data from the first specialist consult had a median error of 5.5o with 80% of cases within 10° and included: maximum Cobb angle at first specialist consult, Time, Time2, age, curve type, and both interactions.
The models can help clinicians predict how much curves would progress without treatment at future timepoints of their choice using simple variables. Predictions can inform treatment prescription or show families why no treatment is recommended. The nonlinear effects of time account for the rapid increase in curve angle at the beginning of growth and the slowed progression after maturity. These validated models predicted future Cobb angle with good accuracy in untreated idiopathic scoliosis over the full growth spectrum.