Background: The progression of scoliosis has been observed in skeletally mature patients with cerebral palsy (CP). The aims of this systematic review were to determine the incidence of curve progression of untreated scoliosis after skeletal maturity, to estimate the average annual increase and to identify factors that influence the progression. Methods: A systematic literature search was performed in PubMed, Embase and the Cochrane Library for original research articles published between 1968 and May 2024 with a retrospective, prospective or cross-sectional design, investigating CP patients that were followed up beyond the age of 15 years. The search was limited to articles in English, French, German and Dutch. Articles were excluded if the study population concerned neuromuscular diseases other than CP. After an assessment of the methodological quality of each study, estimates of annual curve progression and the effect of the investigated risk factors for progression were recorded systematically and synthetized. Results: Fifteen studies met the inclusion criteria, resulting in a total sample size of 2569 participants. The study populations of the included original research articles were small and heterogeneous in terms of patient age and the type and severity of CP. Curve progression after skeletal maturity occurred in all included studies. A greater curve magnitude at the end of adolescence and a severe motor deficit (an inability to walk or GMFCS IV-V) were identified as significant risk factors for the progression of scoliosis after skeletal maturity. If at least one of these risk factors was present, scoliotic curves progressed after skeletal maturity in up to 74% of patients, with an average annual increase of 1.4 to 3.5 degrees per year. No significant association was found between curve progression and the physiologic type of CP, the type of scoliotic curve, previous hip surgery, positioning and gravity, weight and length, sex, epilepsy, or pelvic obliquity. Findings on the effect of hip instability were inconsistent: a positive correlation was found with the progression of scoliosis overall, but not after skeletal maturity in particular. A significant selection bias should be considered in the calculation of average annual curve progression, as patients that received interventions to halt curve progression were excluded from follow-up. Conclusions: The identification of risk factors in patients with CP and scoliosis can aid in predicting curve progression and managing follow-ups in clinical practice. Based on the findings in this review a radiographic follow-up once every 3 years is recommended for skeletally mature CP patients with at least one risk factor, and once every 5 years if no risk factors are present.

Accurate prediction of scoliotic curve progression is crucial for guiding treatment decisions in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS). Traditional methods of assessing the likelihood of AIS progression are limited by variability and rely on static measurements. This study developed and validated machine learning models for classifying progressive and non-progressive scoliotic curves based on gait analysis using wearable inertial sensors. Gait data from 38 AIS patients were collected using seven inertial measurement unit (IMU) sensors, and hip-knee (HK) cyclograms representing inter-joint coordination were generated. Various machine learning algorithms, including support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and novel deep convolutional neural network (DCNN) models utilizing multi-plane HK cyclograms, were developed and evaluated using 10-fold cross-validation. The DCNN model incorporating multi-plane HK cyclograms and clinical factors achieved an accuracy of 92% in predicting curve progression, outperforming SVM (55% accuracy) and RF (52% accuracy) models using handcrafted gait features. Gradient-based class activation mapping revealed that the DCNN model focused on the swing phase of the gait cycle to make predictions. This study demonstrates the potential of deep learning techniques, and DCNNs in particular, in accurately classifying scoliotic curve progression using gait data from wearable IMU sensors.

Background: The implications of delaying surgical intervention for patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) wishing to undergo vertebral body tethering (VBT) have not yet been explored. It is important to understand how these delays can impact surgical planning and patient outcomes. Methods: This was a retrospective review that analyzed all AIS patients treated between 2015 and 2021 at a single tertiary center. Time to surgery from initial surgical consultation and ultimate surgical plan were assessed. Patient characteristics, potential risk factors associated with increased curve progression, and reasons for delay were also analyzed. Results: 174 patients were evaluated and 95 were scheduled for VBT. Four patients later required a change to posterior spinal fusion (PSF) due to excessive curve progression. Patients requiring PSF were shown to have significantly longer delays than those who received VBT. Additionally, longer delays, younger age, greater curve progression, and lower skeletal maturity were correlated with significant curve progression (≥5 degrees). Conclusions: Surgical delays for AIS patients awaiting VBT may lead to significant curve progression and necessitate more invasive procedures. Patients with longer delays experienced an increased risk of needing PSF instead of VBT. Of those requiring PSF, the majority were due to insurance denials. Optimizing surgical timing and shared decision-making among patients, families, and healthcare providers are essential for achieving the best outcomes.

UNASSIGNED: (1) Compare the cross-sectional thickness (CST) and shear wave speed (SWS) of paraspinal muscles (PSM) in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) with and without curve progression; (2) investigate the relationship between CST/SWS and radiographic characteristics in AIS with curve progression; (3) compare the CST/SWS between AIS and non-scoliosis controls.
UNASSIGNED: This cross-sectional study analyzed the CST and SWS of PSM in 48 AIS with mild to moderate curvature and 24 non-scoliosis participants. Participants with scoliosis greater than 45° of Cobb angles were excluded. The Change of Cobb angles within the last 6-months was retrieved to allocate AIS into progression and non-progression groups. The SWS and CST of multifidus; longissimus and iliocostalis of the major curve were measured using B-mode ultrasound image with an elastography mode. Discrepancies of the SWS (SWS-ratio: SWS on the convex side divided by SWS on the concave side) and CST (CST-ratio: CST on the convex side divided by CST on the concave side) at the upper/lower end and apical vertebrae were studied.
UNASSIGNED: A higher SWS at the apical vertebrae on the concave side of the major curve (multifidus: 3.9 ± 1.0 m/s vs. 3.1 ± 0.6 m/s; p < 0.01, longissimus: 3.3 ± 1.0 m/s vs. 3.0 ± 0.9 m/s; p < 0.01, iliocostalis: 2.8 ± 1.0 m/s vs. 2.5 ± 0.8 m/s; p < 0.01) was observed in AIS with curve progression. A lower SWS-ratio at apical vertebrae was detected with a greater vertebral rotation in participants with curve progression (multifidus [grade II]: 0.7 ± 0.1 vs. grade I: 0.9 ± 0.2; p = 0.03, longissimus [grade II]: 0.8 ± 0.2 vs. grade I: 1.1 ± 0.2; p < 0.01). CST was not different among the progressive, non-progressive AIS and non-scoliosis controls.
UNASSIGNED: Increased SWS of PSM without change of CST was observed on the concave side of the major curve in participants with progressive AIS.

Introduction: Bracing is one of the first-line treatment for early-onset idiopathic scoliosis (EOIS) to control curves from progression. This study aimed to explore the determinants that govern bracing effectiveness in EOIS. Methods: One hundred and eleven patients with EOIS (mean age of 8.6 ± 1.25 at diagnosis) received bracing treatment and had a final follow-up beyond skeletal maturity were identified from records between 1988 and 2021. Demographic data and clinical features of spinal curvature were obtained for correlation analyses to determine the associations between curve outcomes and clinical features. Results: Most patients were female (85.6%) and had a major curve on the left side (67%). The mean baseline Cobb angle of major curves was 21.73 ± 7.92°, with a mean Cobb angle progression of 18.05 ± 19.11°. The average bracing duration was 5.3 ± 1.9 years. Only 26 (23.4%) of them underwent surgery. The final Cobb angle and curve progression at the final follow-up with a Cobb angle of ≥50° were positively correlated with the initial Cobb angle (r = 0.206 and r = 0.313, respectively) and negatively correlated with maturity parameters. The lumbar curve type was found to correlate with a smaller final Cobb angle. Conclusions: The majority of patients had a final Cobb angle < 50°, which was considered a successful bracing outcome. The final Cobb angle correlated with the initial Cobb angle and curve types observed in EOIS.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the sex-based differences in clinical and radiological presentation of patients with degenerative lumbar scoliosis (DLS) and to explore whether the difference is helpful in investigating the etiology and progression of DLS.
METHODS: A retrospective review of 199 patients (41 males, 158 females) with DLS was included. Patient demographics including age, gender, bone mineral density were collected. Back and leg pain was assessed by visual analog scale, and general physical condition was assessed by Oswestry Disability Index. Cobb\'s angle was measured, and direction of scoliosis, position of the superior, inferior and apex vertebrae, number of vertebrae included in the scoliosis, rotation of apex vertebrae (Nash-Mo index), translation of apex vertebrae were recorded. Sagittal longitudinal axis, thoracolumbar kyphosis, lumbar lordosis (LL), pelvic incidence angle (PI), sacral slope, apex of lumbar lordosis and coronal balance distance were measured by whole spine lateral radiographs, and type of coronal imbalance was evaluated in all patients. Fat infiltration rate (FIR) of the paraspinal muscles at the vertebral apex was measured by MRI.
RESULTS: Compared to female patients, male patients showed more back and leg pain on clinical presentation and smaller Cobb angle, less parietal rotation, larger LL, smaller PI-LL and lower paravertebral muscle FIR on radiologic features.
CONCLUSIONS: Gender differences do exist in DLS patients with regard to clinical and radiological presentation, low back pain was more pronounced in male patients, and scoliosis was more severe in female patients based on this cross-sectional study.

UNASSIGNED: Adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) is characterized by deranged bone and muscle qualities, which are important prognostic factors for curve progression. This retrospective case-control study aims to investigate whether the baseline muscle parameters, in addition to the bone parameters, could predict curve progression in AIS.
UNASSIGNED: The study included a cohort of 126 female patients diagnosed with AIS who were between the ages of 12 and 14 years old at their initial clinical visit. These patients were longitudinally followed up every 6 months (average 4.08 years) until they reached skeletal maturity. The records of these patients were thoroughly reviewed as part of the study. The participants were categorized into two sub-groups: the progressive AIS group (increase in Cobb angle of ≥6°) and the stable AIS group (increase in Cobb angle <6°). Clinical and radiological assessments were conducted on each group.
UNASSIGNED: Cobb angle increase of ≥6° was observed in 44 AIS patients (34.9%) prior to skeletal maturity. A progressive AIS was associated with decreased skeletal maturity and weight, lower trunk lean mass (5.7%, p = 0.027) and arm lean mass (8.9%, p < 0.050), weaker dominant handgrip strength (8.8%, p = 0.027), deranged cortical compartment [lower volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD) by 6.5%, p = 0.002], and lower bone mechanical properties [stiffness and estimated failure load lowered by 13.2% (p = 0.005) and 12.5% (p = 0.004)]. The best cut-off threshold of maximum dominant handgrip strength is 19.75 kg for distinguishing progressive AIS from stable AIS (75% sensitivity and 52.4% specificity, p = 0.011).
UNASSIGNED: Patients with progressive AIS had poorer muscle and bone parameters than patients with stable AIS. The implementation of a cut-off threshold in the baseline dominant handgrip strength could potentially be used as an additional predictor, in addition to bone parameters, for identifying individuals with AIS who are at higher risk of experiencing curve progression.

Brace treatment is the most common nonoperative treatment to prevent curve progression in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS). The goal of this review and analysis is to characterize curve behavior after completion of brace treatment and to identify factors that may facilitate the estimation of long-term curve progression.
A review of the English language literature was completed using the MEDLINE (PUBMED) database of publications after 1990 until September 2020. Studies were included if they detailed a minimum of 1 year post-brace removal follow-up of AIS patients. Data retrieved from the articles included Cobb angle measurements of the major curves at \"in-brace,\" weaning, and follow-up visit(s) for all patients described and for subset populations.
From 75 articles, 18 relevant studies describing a follow-up period of 1-25 years following brace removal were included in the analyses. The reviewed literature demonstrates that curves continue to progress after brace treatment is completed with three main phases of progression: (i) immediate (upon brace removal) where a mean curve progression of 7° occurs; (ii) short term (within five years of brace removal) where a relatively high progression rate is evident (0.8°/year); and (iii) long term (more than five years after brace removal) where the progression rate slows (0.2°/year). The magnitude and rate of curve progression is mainly dependent on the degree of curve at weaning as curves weaned at < 25° progress substantially less than curves weaned at ≥ 25° at 25 years.
Curves continue to progress after brace removal and the rate and magnitude of progression are associated with the curve size at weaning, with larger curves typically exhibiting more rapid and severe progression. This analysis provides physicians and patients the ability to estimate long-term curve size based on the curve size at the time of weaning.
IV.

This study describes the creation of patient-specific (PS) osteo-ligamentous finite element (FE) models of the spine, ribcage, and pelvis, simulation of up to three years of region-specific, stress-modulated growth, and validation of simulated curve progression with patient clinical angle measurements.
Does the inclusion of region-specific, stress-modulated vertebral growth, in addition to scaling based on age, weight, skeletal maturity, and spine flexibility allow for clinically accurate scoliotic curve progression prediction in patient-specific FE models of the spine, ribcage, and pelvis?
Frontal, lateral, and lateral bending X-Rays of five AIS patients were obtained for approximately three-year timespans. PS-FE models were generated by morphing a normative template FE model with landmark points obtained from patient X-rays at the initial X-ray timepoint. Vertebral growth behavior and response to stress, as well as model material properties were made patient-specific based on several prognostic factors. Spine curvature angles from the PS-FE models were compared to the corresponding X-ray measurements.
Average FE model errors were 6.3 ± 4.6°, 12.2 ± 6.6°, 8.9 ± 7.7°, and 5.3 ± 3.4° for thoracic Cobb, lumbar Cobb, kyphosis, and lordosis angles, respectively. Average error in prediction of vertebral wedging at the apex and adjacent levels was 3.2 ± 2.2°. Vertebral column stress ranged from 0.11 MPa in tension to 0.79 MPa in compression.
Integration of region-specific stress-modulated growth, as well as adjustment of growth and material properties based on patient-specific data yielded clinically useful prediction accuracy while maintaining physiological stress magnitudes. This framework can be further developed for PS surgical simulation.

Genetic diagnosis is a promising approach because several single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) progression have been reported. We review the predictive value of SNPs in curve progression of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis.
We reviewed DNA-based prognostic testing to predict curve progression. Then, the multiple polymorphisms in loci related to AIS progression were also reviewed, and we elucidated the predictive value of SNPs from four functional perspectives, including endocrine metabolism, neuromuscular system, cartilage and extracellular matrix, enzymes, and cytokines.
The ScoliScores were less successful predictors than expected, and the weak power of predictive SNPs might account for its failure. Susceptibility loci in ESR1, ESR2, GPER, and IGF1, which related to endocrine metabolism, have been reported to predict AIS progression. Neuromuscular imbalance might be a potential mechanism of scoliosis, and SNPs in LBX1, NTF3, and SOCS3 have been reported to predict the curve progression of AIS. Susceptibility loci in SOX9, MATN1, AJAP1, MMP9, and TIMP2, which are related to cartilage and extracellular matrix, are also potentially related to AIS progression. Enzymes and cytokines play essential roles in regulating bone metabolism and embryonic development. SNPs in BNC2, SLC39A8, TGFB1, IL-6, IL-17RC, and CHD7 were suggested as predictive loci for AIS curve progression.
Many promising SNPs have been identified to predict the curve progression of AIS. However, conflicting results from replication studies and different ethnic groups hamper their reliability. Convincing SNPs from multiethnic populations and functional verification are needed.