Causal effect

因果效应
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:先前的观察性研究表明,免疫介导的炎症性疾病(IMID)与牙周病之间存在双向关联。然而,关于IMID和牙周病的因果作用的证据仍然缺乏。因此,我们进行了一项双向双样本孟德尔随机化(MR)研究,以揭示IMID与牙周病之间的潜在遗传因果效应.
    方法:采用双向双样本MR分析。10个IMID的数据来自FinnGen联盟进行的全基因组关联研究(GWAS)(范围为1023至36321例)和英国生物库(UKB)(范围为150至17574例)。此外,牙周疾病的GWAS数据来自FinnGen协会(87497例),UKB(458例),和基因生活方式相互作用在牙科终点(GLIDE)联盟(17,353例牙周炎)。随后,通过随机效应方差反加权分析因果关系,加权中位数,还有MR-Egger.使用CochraneQ检验进行敏感性分析,漏斗图,和Mr-Egger截距测试,以确保鲁棒性。最终,在不同数据库中进行复制分析和荟萃分析.
    结果:系统性红斑狼疮(SLE)[IVW:OR=1.079(95%CI:1.032-1.128)和P<0.001],干燥综合征[IVW:OR=1.082(95%CI:1.012-1.157)和P=0.022]和甲状腺功能减退[IVW:OR=1.52(95%CI:1.13-2.04)和P=0.005]可能增加牙周病的风险。此外,牙周病可降低SLE[IVW:OR=0.8079(95%CI:0.6764-0.9650),P=0.019]和甲状腺功能亢进[IVW:OR=5.59*10-9(95%CI:1.43*10-15-2.18*10-2),P=0.014]的风险.荟萃分析表明SLE与牙周病风险增加之间存在因果关系:[OR=1.08(95%CI:1.03-1.13),P=0.0009]。没有重要证据表明其他IMID与牙周病之间存在双边因果关系。没有检测到异质性或多效性的显著估计。
    结论:我们的研究证实了IMID与牙周病之间的遗传因果关系,从而揭示了IMID和牙周病潜在的新机制。这一发现有望促进临床医生和口腔医师之间的跨学科合作,以促进适当和精确的筛查。预防,以及IMID和牙周病的早期治疗。
    Previous observational studies have shown a bidirectional association between immune-mediated inflammatory disorders (IMID) and periodontal disease. However, evidence regarding the causal role of IMID and periodontal disease is still lacking. Therefore, we conducted a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study to uncover the potential genetic causal effects between IMID and periodontal disease.
    Bidirectional two-sample MR analysis was employed. Data for ten IMIDs were sourced from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) conducted by the FinnGen Consortium (range from 1023 to 36321 cases) and UK Biobank (UKB) (range from 150 to 17574 cases). Furthermore, GWAS data for periodontal disease were obtained from the FinnGen Consortium (87497 cases), UKB (458 cases), and Gene Lifestyle Interactions in Dental Endpoints (GLIDE) consortium (17,353 periodontitis cases). Subsequently, the causal relationships were analyzed by random effects inverse variance weighting, weighted median, and MR-Egger. Sensitivity analyses were performed using the Cochrane Q test, funnel plot, and Mr-Egger intercept test to ensure robustness. Eventually, replication analysis and meta-analysis across different databases were carried out.
    Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) [IVW: OR = 1.079 (95% CI: 1.032-1.128) and P < 0.001], Sjogren syndrome [IVW: OR = 1.082 (95% CI: 1.012-1.157) and P = 0.022] and hypothyroidism [IVW: OR = 1.52 (95% CI: 1.13-2.04) and P = 0.005] may increase the risk of periodontal disease. In addition, periodontal disease may reduce the risk of SLE [IVW: OR = 0.8079 (95% CI: 0.6764-0.9650) and P = 0.019] and hyperthyroidism [IVW: OR = 5.59*10-9 (95% CI: 1.43*10-15-2.18*10-2) and P = 0.014]. Meta-analysis indicated a causal correlation between SLE and an increased risk of periodontal disease: [OR = 1.08 (95% CI: 1.03-1.13), P = 0.0009]. No significant evidence suggests bilateral causal relationships between other IMIDs and periodontal disease. No significant estimation of heterogeneity or pleiotropy is detected.
    Our study has confirmed a genetic causal relationship between IMIDs and periodontal disease, thereby unveiling novel potential mechanisms underlying IMIDs and periodontal disease. This discovery is promising in fostering interdisciplinary collaboration between clinicians and stomatologists to facilitate appropriate and precise screening, prevention, and early treatment of IMIDs and periodontal disease.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:孕妇在怀孕期间吸烟会扰乱胎儿肺部发育,并在他们的后代中诱发儿童呼吸道疾病。它是否对后代成人肺部健康产生持续影响,并对慢性呼吸系统疾病(CRDs)产生偶然影响,仍然不确定。我们试图确定出生前后母亲吸烟与后代成人CRDs之间的因果关系,使用来自先前描述的队列的汇总数据。
    方法:孟德尔随机化(MR)研究用于分析出生前后母亲吸烟和后代成人CRDs的全基因组关联,包括呼吸功能不全,慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD),相关呼吸功能不全,肺气肿,COPD,COPD住院,COPD的早期发作,COPD的晚期发作,哮喘,特发性肺纤维化(IPF),肺癌(LC),小细胞肺癌(SCLC),肺鳞状细胞癌(LUSC)。
    结果:在去除与后代吸烟相关的单核苷酸多态性(SNPs)后,母亲出生前后吸烟与后代成人呼吸系统疾病风险增加相关(OR=1.14;95%CI:1.013-1.284;p=0.030),呼吸功能不全(OR=2.413;95%CI:1.039-5.603;p=0.040),COPD(OR=1.14;95%CI:1.013-1.284;p=0.003),和哮喘(OR=1.336;95%CI:1.161-1.538;p<0.001)。此外,孕妇在怀孕期间吸烟与LUSC的风险(OR=1.229;95%CI:0.992-1.523;p=0.059)高于IPF的风险(OR=1.001;95%CI:0.999-1.003;p=0.224),LC(OR=1.203;95%CI:0.964-1.501;p=0.103),或SCLC(OR=1.11;95%CI:0.77-1.601;p=0.577)。
    结论:在此MR分析中,母亲在出生时吸烟会导致后代在成年期出现肺部问题和CRDs。应鼓励有关怀孕期间母亲戒烟的政策。
    BACKGROUND: Maternal smoking during pregnancy disturbs fetal lung development, and induces in their offspring childhood respiratory diseases. Whether it has a continued impact on offspring adult lung health and exerts a casual effect of chronic respiratory diseases (CRDs), remains uncertain. We seek to determine the causal relationships between maternal smoking around birth and offspring adult CRDs, using summary data from previously described cohorts.
    METHODS: Mendelian randomization (MR) study was used to analyze the genome-wide associations of maternal smoking around birth and offspring adult CRDs, including respiratory insufficiency, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), related respiratory insufficiency, emphysema, COPD, COPD hospital admissions, early onset of COPD, later onset of COPD, asthma, idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), lung cancer (LC), small cell lung carcinoma (SCLC), and lung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC).
    RESULTS: After removing single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with smoking by the offspring, maternal smoking around birth was associated with increased risk of offspring adult respiratory diseases (OR=1.14; 95% CI: 1.013-1.284; p=0.030), respiratory insufficiency (OR=2.413; 95% CI: 1.039-5.603; p=0.040), COPD (OR=1.14; 95% CI: 1.013-1.284; p=0.003), and asthma (OR=1.336; 95% CI: 1.161-1.538; p<0.001). Besides, maternal smoking during pregnancy was associated with a greater risk of LUSC (OR=1.229; 95% CI: 0.992-1.523; p=0.059) than the risk of IPF (OR=1.001; 95% CI: 0.999-1.003; p=0.224), LC (OR=1.203; 95% CI: 0.964-1.501; p=0.103), or SCLC (OR=1.11; 95% CI: 0.77-1.601; p=0.577).
    CONCLUSIONS: In this MR analysis, maternal smoking around birth caused a strong risk factor for the offspring to develop lung problems and CRDs in adulthood. The policy related to smoking cessation for mothers during pregnancy should be encouraged.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    心力衰竭(HF)是一种具有许多遗传和环境因素的疾病。以前的研究结果表明,免疫表型与HF有关,但是关于因果关系的研究尚无定论。因此,进行孟德尔随机化(MR)分析以确认免疫表型和HF之间的因果关系。提供遗传证据支持免疫细胞因子与HF风险的关联。
    我们根据免疫表型和全因HF的全基因组关联研究(GWAS)结果的数据选择了符合标准的工具变量。使用逆方差加权(IVW)评估731个免疫细胞因子与HF风险之间的因果关系,MR-Egger回归(MR-Egger),和加权中位数(WM)分析方法。要确定水平多效性,异质性,和遗传变异的稳定性,MR-Egger截距测试,Cochran的Q测试,MR-PRESSO,并进行留一法敏感性分析.
    MR主要方法(IVW)分析显示,共有38种免疫细胞相关因素与HF具有显着因果关系。结合三种方法的进一步分析(IVW,MR-Egger和WME)表明,六个暴露因素与心力衰竭显着相关,如下所示。树突状细胞绝对计数的影响,CD62l-CD86+髓样树突状细胞绝对计数,CD62l-CD86+髓样树突状细胞%树突状细胞,CD39+CD8+T细胞%CD8+T细胞,中央记忆CD4+T细胞CD3对心力衰竭呈阳性。然而,对于CD14+CD16+单核细胞%单核细胞观察到相反的作用。
    我们研究了免疫表型与全因HF之间的因果关系。根据结果,树突状细胞绝对计数,CD62l-CD86+髓样树突状细胞绝对计数,CD62l-CD86+髓样树突状细胞%树突状细胞,CD39+CD8+T细胞%CD8+T细胞,CD3对中央记忆CD4+T细胞加重HF,CD14+CD16+单核细胞%降低HF的风险。这些表型可以作为新的生物标志物,为全因HF的预防和治疗提供新的治疗见解。
    UNASSIGNED: Heart failure (HF) is a disease with numerous genetic and environmental factors that affect it. The results of previous studies indicated that immune phenotypes are associated with HF, but there have been inconclusive studies regarding a causal relationship. Therefore, Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses were undertaken to confirm the causal connections between immune phenotypes and HF, providing genetic evidence supporting the association of immune cell factors with HF risk.
    UNASSIGNED: We selected instrumental variables that met the criteria based on data from the results of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of immune phenotype and all-cause HF. An evaluation of the causal association between 731 immune cell factors and HF risk was carried out using the inverse variance weighted (IVW), MR-Egger regression (MR-Egger), and weighted median (WM) analysis methods. To determine the horizontal pleiotropy, heterogeneity, and stability of the genetic variants, the MR-Egger intercept test, Cochran\'s Q test, MR-PRESSO, and leave-one-out sensitivity analysis were performed.
    UNASSIGNED: MR principal method (IVW) analysis showed that a total of 38 immune cell-related factors were significantly causally associated with HF. Further analyses combining three methods (IVW, MR-Egger and WME) showed that six exposure factors significantly associated with heart failure, as shown below. The effect of Dendritic cell Absolute Count, CD62l- CD86+ myeloid Dendritic cell Absolute Count, CD62l- CD86+ myeloid Dendritic cell% Dendritic cell, CD39+ CD8+ T cell% CD8+ T cell, CD3 on Central Memory CD4+ T cell on heart failure was positive. Whereas, a reverse effect was observed for CD14+ CD16+ monocyte% monocyte.
    UNASSIGNED: We investigated the causal relationship between immune phenotypes and all-cause HF. According to the results, Dendritic cell Absolute Count, CD62l- CD86+ myeloid Dendritic cell Absolute Count, CD62l- CD86+ myeloid Dendritic cell% Dendritic cell, CD39+ CD8+ T cell% CD8+ T cell, CD3 on Central Memory CD4+ T cell aggravate HF, and the risk of HF is decreased by CD14+ CD16+ monocyte% monocyte. These phenotypes may serve as new biomarkers, providing new therapeutic insights for the prevention and treatment of all-cause HF.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在观察性研究中,血清25-羟基维生素D水平与勃起功能障碍(ED)相关。然而,它们之间是否存在因果关系仍然不确定。
    进行两个样本的孟德尔随机化(MR)分析,以调查血清25-羟基维生素D水平与ED风险之间的因果关系。
    来自496,949名欧洲血统的人的血清25-羟基维生素D水平的全基因组关联研究(GWAS)数据,包括6,896,093个单核苷酸多态性(SNP),被视为MR分析的暴露。其他GWAS数据涉及6,175例欧洲ED病例和217,630例对照中的9,310,196个SNP被用作结果数据。MR-Egger,逆方差加权(IVW)方法,加权中位数,简单模式,并采用加权模式来评估因果效应,其中IVW是主要的MR分析方法。通过异质性测试证实了MR分析结果的稳定性,水平多效性测试,和留一法。
    有103个SNP用作工具变量(p<5×10-8)。MR分析结果表明,血清25(OH)D浓度对ED风险没有因果关系(IVW;OR=0.9516,95%CI=0.7994至1.1328,p=0.5772)。统计模型中没有异质性和多效性。
    目前的MR研究不支持基因预测的血清25-羟基维生素D浓度与欧洲血统个体ED风险的因果关系。
    UNASSIGNED: Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D level is associated with erectile dysfunction (ED) in observational studies. However, whether there is a causal association between them remains uncertain.
    UNASSIGNED: Conduct a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to investigate the causal effect between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D level and ED risk.
    UNASSIGNED: Genome-wide association study (GWAS) data of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels comprising 6,896,093 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) from 496,949 people of European ancestry were regarded as exposure for the MR analysis. Additional GWAS data involving 9,310,196 SNPs of 6,175 European ED cases and 217,630 controls were used as outcome data. The MR-Egger, inverse variance weighted (IVW) method, weighted median, simple mode, and weighted mode were employed to evaluate causal effects, among which IVW was the primary MR analysis method. The stability of the MR analysis results was confirmed by a heterogeneity test, a horizontal pleiotropy test, and the leave-one-out method.
    UNASSIGNED: There were 103 SNPs utilized as instrumental variables (p < 5 × 10-8). The results of MR analysis showed no causal effects of serum 25(OH) D concentration on ED risks (IVW; OR = 0.9516, 95% CI = 0.7994 to 1.1328, p = 0.5772). There was no heterogeneity and pleiotropy in the statistical models.
    UNASSIGNED: The present MR study did not support a causal association for genetically predicted serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration in the risk of ED in individuals of European descent.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    对立挑衅症状是有或没有对立挑衅障碍的儿童和青少年中最常见的发育症状。研究已经解决了亲子关系(PCR)与对立挑衅症状的紧密联系。然而,有必要进一步探讨形成针对性干预策略的潜在机制。通过使用基于机器学习的因果森林(CF)模型,我们调查了PCR对中国小学儿童对立挑衅症状的异质性因果效应。根据PCR连续两年的改进,423例患儿分为改良组和对照组。第二年对对立挑衅症状(AODS)的评估被设置为因变量。此外,基于多水平家庭模型和第一年基线AODS的几个因素作为协变量被纳入。与期望一致,CF模型在PCR和样本中的对立挑衅症状之间显示出显着的因果关系。此外,因果关系表现出异质性。在AODS基线较高的儿童中,因果效应更大,更糟糕的家庭氛围,和较低的情绪调节能力在他们自己或他们的父母。相反,父母教养方式在因果关系中起着积极的作用。这些发现增强了我们对PCR如何促进受多层次家庭系统因素制约的对立挑衅症状发展的理解。观测数据中的异质性因果关系,使用机器学习方法建立的,可能有助于为有对立挑衅症状的儿童形成个性化的面向家庭的干预策略。
    Oppositional defiant symptoms are some of the most common developmental symptoms in children and adolescents with and without oppositional defiant disorder. Research has addressed the close association of the parent-child relationship (PCR) with oppositional defiant symptoms. However, it is necessary to further investigate the underlying mechanism for forming targeted intervention strategies. By using a machine learning-based causal forest (CF) model, we investigated the heterogeneous causal effects of the PCR on oppositional defiant symptoms in children in Chinese elementary schools. Based on the PCR improvement in two consecutive years, 423 children were divided into improved and control groups. The assessment of oppositional defiant symptoms (AODS) in the second year was set as the dependent variable. Additionally, several factors based on the multilevel family model and the baseline AODS in the first year were included as covariates. Consistent with expectations, the CF model showed a significant causal effect between the PCR and oppositional defiant symptoms in the samples. Moreover, the causality exhibited heterogeneity. The causal effect was greater in those children with higher baseline AODS, a worse family atmosphere, and lower emotion regulation abilities in themselves or their parents. Conversely, the parenting style played a positive role in causality. These findings enhance our understanding of how the PCR contributes to the development of oppositional defiant symptoms conditioned by factors from a multilevel family system. The heterogeneous causality in the observation data, established using the machine learning approach, could be helpful in forming personalized family-oriented intervention strategies for children with oppositional defiant symptoms.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    先前的观察性研究显示,补充维生素治疗甲状腺疾病的结果相互矛盾。维生素与甲状腺疾病之间的因果关系尚不清楚。因此,我们进行了一项双样本双向孟德尔随机化(MR)研究,以探讨循环维生素水平与甲状腺疾病的相关性.
    我们使用全基因组关联研究(GWAS)数据进行了双向MR分析。循环维生素水平的遗传工具变量包括维生素A,B9,B12,C,D,E,甲状腺疾病的遗传工具变量包括自身免疫性甲状腺功能亢进,自身免疫性甲状腺功能减退症,甲状腺结节(TNs),甲状腺癌(TC)。逆方差加权乘法随机效应(IVW-RE)主要用于MR分析,使用加权中位数(WM)和MREgger作为辅助方法评估循环维生素水平与甲状腺疾病之间的关系.敏感性和多能性通过Cochran'sQ检验进行评估,MR-PRESSO,径向MR,MR-Egger回归和留一法分析。
    MR阳性证据表明循环维生素C水平是自身免疫性甲状腺功能减退症的保护因素(ORIVW-RE=0.69,95CI:0.58-0.83,p=1.05E-04)。反向MR证据表明,自身免疫性甲状腺功能亢进的遗传易感性与循环维生素A水平降低有关(ORIVW-RE=0.97,95%CI:0.95-1.00,p=4.38E-02),TNs的遗传易感性与循环维生素D水平升高相关(ORIVW-RE=1.02,95%CI:1.00-1.03,p=6.86E-03).在其他循环维生素水平与甲状腺疾病之间未检测到因果关系和反向因果关系。
    我们的研究结果提供了遗传证据,支持循环维生素水平与甲状腺疾病之间的双向因果关系。这些发现为临床应用维生素防治甲状腺疾病提供了信息。
    UNASSIGNED: Previous observational studies have shown conflicting results of vitamins supplementation for thyroid diseases. The causal relationships between vitamins and thyroid diseases are unclear. Therefore, we conducted a two-sample bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) study to explore association of circulating vitamin levels with thyroid diseases.
    UNASSIGNED: We performed a bidirectional MR analysis using genome-wide association study (GWAS) data. Genetic tool variables for circulating vitamin levels include vitamins A, B9, B12, C, D, and E, Genetic tool variables of thyroid diseases include autoimmune hyperthyroidism, autoimmune hypothyroidism, thyroid nodules (TNs), and Thyroid cancer (TC). Inverse-variance weighted multiplicative random effects (IVW-RE) was mainly used for MR Analysis, weighted median (WM) and MR Egger were used as supplementary methods to evaluate the relationships between circulating vitamin levels and thyroid diseases. Sensitivity and pluripotency were evaluated by Cochran\'s Q test, MR-PRESSO, Radial MR, MR-Egger regression and leave-one-out analysis.
    UNASSIGNED: Positive MR evidence suggested that circulating vitamin C level is a protective factor in autoimmune hypothyroidism (ORIVW-RE=0.69, 95%CI: 0.58-0.83, p = 1.05E-04). Reverse MR Evidence showed that genetic susceptibility to autoimmune hyperthyroidism is associated with reduced level of circulating vitamin A(ORIVW-RE = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.95-1.00, p = 4.38E-02), genetic susceptibility of TNs was associated with an increased level of circulating vitamin D (ORIVW-RE = 1.02, 95% CI: 1.00-1.03, p = 6.86E-03). No causal and reverse causal relationship was detected between other circulating vitamin levels and thyroid diseases.
    UNASSIGNED: Our findings provide genetic evidence supporting a bi-directional causal relationship between circulating vitamin levels and thyroid diseases. These findings provide information for the clinical application of vitamins prevention and treatment of thyroid diseases.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    观察性研究调查了偏头痛对阿尔茨海默病(AD)的影响。然而,这些发现受到混杂因素和反向因果关系的限制,导致矛盾的结果。
    我们利用单变量孟德尔随机化(UVMR)来探索偏头痛(13,971例/470,627例对照)与AD风险之间的联系(Bellenguez等人。,39,106例/46,828例控制;FinnGen,111,471例/111,471例对照)。进行Meta分析进行综合综合。采用多变量孟德尔随机化(MVMR),我们创建了包含偏头痛和35个潜在AD危险因素的模型,在考虑这些因素的情况下,检查偏头痛对AD发病风险的独立影响。
    逆方差加权MR结果的荟萃分析,结合来自Bellenguez等人的数据。(优势比(OR)[95%置信区间(CI)]:1.5717[1.1868-2.0814],p=0.0016)和FinnGen(OR[95%CI]:1.2904[0.5419-3.0730],p=0.5646),提供了遗传预测的偏头痛与AD发生风险升高之间因果关系的证据(OR[95%CI]:1.54[1.18,2.00],p<0.01)。调整舒张压后(OR[95%CI]:1.4120[0.8487-2.3493],p=0.1840)和肿瘤坏死因子α(OR[95%CI]:1.2411[0.8352-1.8443],p=0.2852),在偏头痛和AD风险之间没有发现明显的关联.
    这项研究提供了令人信服的证据,表明遗传预测的偏头痛与AD风险升高之间存在显着相关性。
    UNASSIGNED: The observational studies investigated the impact of migraine on Alzheimer\'s Disease (AD). However, these findings were limited by confounding factors and reverse causation, leading to contradictory results.
    UNASSIGNED: We utilized Univariable Mendelian Randomization (UVMR) to explore the link between migraine (13,971 cases/470,627 controls) and AD risk (Bellenguez et al., 39,106 cases/46,828 controls; FinnGen, 111,471 cases/111,471 controls). Meta-analysis was performed for comprehensive synthesis. Employing Multivariable Mendelian Randomization (MVMR), we created models incorporating migraine and 35 potential AD risk factors, examining migraine\'s independent impact on AD onset risk under considering these factors.
    UNASSIGNED: The meta-analysis of inverse variance weighted MR results, combining data from Bellenguez et al. (odds ratio (OR) [95% confidence interval (CI)]: 1.5717 [1.1868-2.0814], p = 0.0016) and FinnGen (OR [95% CI]: 1.2904 [0.5419-3.0730], p = 0.5646), provided evidence for a causal relationship between genetically predicted migraine and the heightened risk of AD occurrence (OR [95% CI]: 1.54 [1.18, 2.00], p < 0.01). After adjusting for Diastolic blood pressure (OR [95% CI]: 1.4120 [0.8487-2.3493], p = 0.1840) and Tumor necrosis factor alpha (OR [95% CI]: 1.2411 [0.8352-1.8443], p = 0.2852), no discernible association was detected between migraine and the risk of AD.
    UNASSIGNED: This study offers compelling evidence indicating a significant correlation between genetically predicted migraine and an elevated risk of AD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:观察性研究报道了多发性硬化症(MS)患者的肠道菌群改变,但这些关联是否是因果关系尚不清楚.
    目的:我们进行了孟德尔随机研究(MR),以评估肠道菌群对MS的因果影响。
    方法:选择与211种肠道微生物群表型相关的独立遗传变异作为工具变量,这些变量来自之前由MiBioGen研究发表的最大的全基因组关联研究(GWAS)。MS的GWAS数据从国际多发性硬化遗传学协会(IMSGC)获得用于初级分析,并且从FinnGen协会获得用于复制和协作分析。进行敏感性分析以评估异质性和多效性。
    结果:经过逆方差加权和敏感性分析过滤,从IMSGC中确定了7种对MS具有潜在因果影响的肠道微生物群。当与FinnGen联盟结合时,只有五种代谢物与MS保持显著关联,包括厌氧菌属id.2053(比值比[OR]=1.141,95%置信区间[CI]:1.021-1.276,p=.021),Ruminococus2id.11374(OR=1.190,95%CI:1.007-1.406,p=0.042),RuminocycaceaeUCG003id.11361(OR=0.822,95%CI:0.688-0.982,p=0.031),Ruminiclostridium5id.11355(OR=0.724,95%CI:0.585-0.895,p=.003),anaerotruncusid.2054(OR=0.772,95%CI:0.634-0.940,p=.010)。
    结论:我们的MR分析揭示了肠道菌群与MS之间的潜在因果关系,为推进微生物群介导的MS的机械理解和临床研究提供了有希望的途径。
    BACKGROUND: Gut microbiota alterations in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients have been reported in observational studies, but whether these associations are causal is unclear.
    OBJECTIVE: We performed a Mendelian randomization study (MR) to assess the causal effects of gut microbiota on MS.
    METHODS: Independent genetic variants associated with 211 gut microbiota phenotypes were selected as instrumental variables from the largest genome-wide association studies (GWAS) previously published by the MiBioGen study. GWAS data for MS were obtained from the International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium (IMSGC) for primary analysis and the FinnGen consortium for replication and collaborative analysis. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate heterogeneity and pleiotropy.
    RESULTS: After inverse-variance-weighted and sensitivity analysis filtering, seven gut microbiota with potential causal effects on MS were identified from the IMSGC. Only five metabolites remained significant associations with MS when combined with the FinnGen consortium, including genus Anaerofilum id.2053 (odds ratio [OR] = 1.141, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.021-1.276, p = .021), Ruminococcus2 id.11374 (OR = 1.190, 95% CI: 1.007-1.406, p = .042), Ruminococcaceae UCG003 id.11361 (OR = 0.822, 95% CI: 0.688-0.982, p = .031), Ruminiclostridium5 id.11355 (OR = 0.724, 95% CI: 0.585-0.895, p = .003), Anaerotruncus id.2054 (OR = 0.772, 95% CI: 0.634-0.940, p = .010).
    CONCLUSIONS: Our MR analysis reveals a potential causal relationship between gut microbiota and MS, offering promising avenues for advancing mechanistic understanding and clinical investigation of microbiota-mediated MS.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们的主要目的是估计和比较六个环境变量(气温,土壤温度,降雨,径流,土壤湿度,和增强的植被指数)对哥伦比亚皮肤利什曼病的过量病例。我们使用哥伦比亚公共卫生监测系统(2007年1月至2019年12月)的流行病学数据。环境数据来自遥感来源,包括国家海洋和大气管理局,全球土地数据同化系统(GLDAS),和中分辨率成像光谱辐射计。人口数据来自TerriData数据集。我们使用机器学习算法实施了因果推理方法,以估计环境变量对每月发生的皮肤利什曼病病例的因果关系。结果表明,最大的因果关联对应于土壤水分,滞后3个月,多余病例的发生率平均增加8.0%(95%置信区间[CI]7.7-8.3%)。与温度相关的变量(气温和土壤温度)对皮肤利什曼病的过量病例具有积极的因果关系。值得注意的是,降雨没有统计上显着的因果关系。这些信息可能有助于监测和控制哥伦比亚的皮肤利什曼病,使用遥感器变量提供因果效应的估计。
    Our main aim was to estimate and compare the effects of six environmental variables (air temperature, soil temperature, rainfall, runoff, soil moisture, and the enhanced vegetation index) on excess cases of cutaneous leishmaniasis in Colombia. We used epidemiological data from the Colombian Public Health Surveillance System (January 2007 to December 2019). Environmental data were obtained from remote sensing sources including the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS), and the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer. Data on population were obtained from the TerriData dataset. We implemented a causal inference approach using a machine learning algorithm to estimate the causal association of the environmental variables on the monthly occurrence of excess cases of cutaneous leishmaniasis. The results showed that the largest causal association corresponded to soil moisture with a lag of 3 months, with an average increase of 8.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] 7.7-8.3%) in the occurrence of excess cases. The temperature-related variables (air temperature and soil temperature) had a positive causal effect on the excess cases of cutaneous leishmaniasis. It is noteworthy that rainfall did not have a statistically significant causal effect. This information could potentially help to monitor and control cutaneous leishmaniasis in Colombia, providing estimates of causal effects using remote sensor variables.
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