receiver operating characteristic curve

接收机工作特性曲线
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    美国癌症联合委员会(AJCC)分期手册定期更新。本研究旨在研究描绘特定阶段生存曲线的分期表现,并根据台湾的第7和第8AJCC版本评估病例的重新分类。数据来自台湾癌症登记处2017年(第7版)和2018年(第8版)诊断病例,每个人都有2年的随访期。使用接受者工作特征曲线下面积和洛伦兹曲线导出的基尼指数评估性能,以及用于评估患者预后的2年生存率。第8版显示了四种特定癌症类型的优越分期。口咽癌在不同阶段表现出更多的2年生存率,肝癌的生存率随着阶段的进展而明显下降。第8版还改善了非小细胞肺癌的预后分期,并将第7版的第4期前列腺癌患者中的26.4%重新分类为第3或4A期。显示2年生存率超过90%。我们的研究强调了第8版对特定阶段的生存区分和病例重新分类的精细能力,以增强台湾某些癌症的预后。我们建议在采用新版本或版本时进行全面评估。
    The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging manual is periodically updated. This study aims to examine the staging performances in delineating stage-specific survival curves and to evaluate the reclassification of cases based on the 7th and 8th AJCC editions in Taiwan. Data were sourced from the Taiwan Cancer Registry for cases diagnosed in 2017 (7th edition) and 2018 (8th edition), each with a 2-year follow-up period. Performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and the Lorenz curve-derived Gini index, along with 2-year survival rates for evaluating patient prognoses. The 8th edition showed superior staging in four specific cancer types. Oropharyngeal cancer exhibited more variable 2-year survival rates across stages, and liver cancer showed a clearer decline in survival rates with advancing stages. The 8th edition also improved prognostic staging for non-small cell lung cancer and reclassified 26.4% of stage 4 prostate cancer patients under the 7th edition into stages 3 or 4A, showing 2-year survival rates above 90%. Our study highlights the 8th edition\'s refined capacity for stage-specific survival distinctions and reclassification of cases to enhance prognostication in certain cancers within Taiwan. We recommend a comprehensive evaluation when adopting a new edition or version.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:减少健康差距是一个公共卫生问题。识别低健康兴趣人群很重要,但是对健康兴趣低的人的定义尚未建立。我们旨在定量定义低健康兴趣人群。
    方法:2022年进行了全国性的横断面互联网调查。我们编制了有/没有年龄调整的回归树(RT)分析,性别,和社会经济地位与12项健康兴趣量表(IHS,得分范围12-48)作为解释变量,10个复合健康行为作为因变量。我们将根节点的第一个IHS分支条件定义为较低健康兴趣组,将具有最低健康行为的终端节点定义为最低健康兴趣组。
    结果:22,263名被分析参与者的平均IHS值为32.1±5.6;女性和45岁以上的人的平均IHS值更高,受过高等教育,高收入,或配偶。在调整协变量之前/之后,第一个分支条件是IHS31.5,末端节点在24.5分支。
    结论:我们确定IHS的临界值为健康兴趣较低的组<32,健康兴趣最低的组<25。使用这些截止值可能使我们能够揭示低健康兴趣人群的特征。
    BACKGROUND: Reducing health disparities is a public health issue. Identification of low-health-interest populations is important, but a definition of people with low health interest has not yet been established. We aimed to quantitatively define low-health-interest populations.
    METHODS: A nationwide cross-sectional internet survey was conducted in 2022. We compiled regression tree (RT) analyses with/without adjustment for age, sex, and socioeconomic status with the 12-item Interest in Health Scale (IHS, score range 12-48) as an explanatory variable and the 10 composite health behaviors as a dependent variable. We defined the first IHS branching condition from the root node as a lower-health-interest group and the terminal node with the lowest health behaviors as the lowest-health-interest group.
    RESULTS: The mean IHS value of 22,263 analyzed participants was 32.1 ± 5.6; it was higher in females and in those who were aged over 45 years, had a high education, a high income, or a spouse. The first branching condition was IHS 31.5, and the terminal node branched at 24.5, before/after adjustment for covariates.
    CONCLUSIONS: We determined the cutoff values of the IHS as <32 for a lower-health-interest group and <25 for the lowest-health-interest group. Using these cutoffs might enable us to reveal the characteristics of low-health-interest populations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    精神障碍通常与成人发作的孤立性肌张力障碍(AOID)有关;然而,AOID精神病异常的潜在机制尚不清楚.我们的目的是调查AOID焦虑症患者的结构和功能变化,并确定诊断焦虑症的成像生物标志物。对69例AOID患者和35例健康对照(HC)进行了结构和功能磁共振。汉密尔顿焦虑量表(HAMA)用于评估AOID患者的焦虑症状,并将患者分为有和无焦虑的AOID组。灰质体积的群体差异,低频波动幅度(ALFF),分数ALFF,并对区域同质性(ReHo)进行了评价。受试者工作特征曲线下面积(ROCAUC)用作鉴定用于诊断焦虑的成像生物标志物的度量。患有焦虑症的AOID患者左角回的ALFF和ReHo增加(ANG。L)与没有和HC的人相比(体素P<0.001和聚类P<0.05,使用GRF校正)。在ANG中,ALFF(r=0.627,P<0.001)和ReHo(r=0.515,P<0.001)之间观察到显着正相关。AOID患者的L和HAMA评分。ALFF和ReHo在ANG。L的ROCAUC分别为0.904和0.851,在区分有焦虑的AOID患者与无焦虑的患者以及ROCAUC分别为0.887和0.853时,在区分AOID患者焦虑和HCs方面。这些发现为精神障碍的病理生理学提供了新的见解,并突出了用于识别AOID患者焦虑的潜在候选生物标志物。
    Psychiatric disturbances are commonly associated with adult-onset isolated dystonia (AOID); however, the mechanisms underlying psychiatric abnormalities in AOID remain unknown. We aimed to investigate the structural and functional brain changes in AOID patients with anxiety, and identify imaging biomarkers for diagnosing anxiety. Structural and functional magnetic resonance was performed on 69 AOID patients and 35 healthy controls (HCs). The Hamilton Anxiety Scale (HAMA) was used to assess anxiety symptoms in AOID patients and assign patients to AOID with and without anxiety groups. Group differences in grey matter volume, amplitude of low-frequency fluctuations (ALFF), fractional ALFF, and regional homogeneity (ReHo) were evaluated. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC) was used as a metric to identify imaging biomarkers for diagnosing anxiety. AOID patients with anxiety exhibited an increased ALFF and ReHo in the left angular gyrus (ANG.L) compared with those without and HCs (voxel P<0.001 and cluster P<0.05, corrected using GRF). A significant positive correlation was observed between ALFF (r = 0.627, P<0.001) and ReHo (r = 0.515, P<0.001) in the ANG.L and HAMA scores in AOID patients. ALFF and ReHo in the ANG.L exhibited an ROC AUC of 0.904 and 0.851, respectively, in distinguishing AOID patients with anxiety from those without and an ROC AUC of 0.887 and 0.853, respectively, in distinguishing AOID patients with anxiety from HCs. These findings provide new insights into the pathophysiology of psychiatric disturbances and highlight potential candidate biomarkers for identifying anxiety in AOID patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:过敏性鼻炎(AR)是全球范围内日益严重的公共卫生问题。尊重改良的Lund-Kennedy(MLK)评分在鼻炎评估中的意义,我们探讨了其对AR患者舌下免疫治疗(SLIT)疗效的评估价值。
    方法:共纳入100例AR患者,加上SLIT前和后MLK分数,鼻部症状总评分(TNSS),药物治疗总评分(TMS),视觉模拟量表(VAS),炎性细胞因子,与免疫功能相关的参数进行比较。MLK评分与TNSS/TMS/VAS的相关性,以及IL-4/INF-γ/嗜酸性粒细胞(EOS)/百分比/特异性免疫球蛋白(sIgE)/sIgG通过Spearman相关性分析进行评估。分析MLK评分对评估AR患者SLIT疗效的价值。
    结果:SLIT治疗降低了MLK/TNSS/TMS/VAS评分,降低IL-4水平/EOS百分比/sIgE,INF-γ/sIgG水平升高。MLK评分与SLIT前后TNSS评分呈正相关(rpre-treatment=0.592,rpost-treatment=0.756),TMS评分(治疗前=0.385,治疗后=0.718),VAS评分(治疗前=0.369,治疗后=0.704),IL-4(rpre-treatment=0.553,rpost-treatment=0.639),EOS百分比(rpre-treatment=0.511,rpost-treatment=0.632),和sIgE(rpre-treatment=0.472,rpost-treatment=0.524),INF-γ(rpre-treatment=-0.418,rpost-treatment=-0.578)和sIgG4(rpre-treatment=-0.460,rpost-treatment=-0.613)呈阴性。MLK评分的曲线下面积为0.846(敏感性为77.01%,76.92%的特异性,4截止值)和0.944(灵敏度91.67%,92.11%的特异性,2截止值)用于评估SLIT治疗对患者有效和显着有效,分别。
    结论:MLK评分对AR患者SLIT治疗的疗效有较好的评价价值。
    OBJECTIVE: Allergic rhinitis (AR) is a growing public health problem worldwide. Respecting the significance of the modified Lund-Kennedy (MLK) score in rhinitis assessment, we delved into its evaluation value on the sublingual immunotherapy (SLIT) efficacy in AR patients.
    METHODS: Totally 100 AR patients were enrolled, with pre- and post-SLIT MLK score, total nasal symptoms score (TNSS), total medication score (TMS), visual analogue scale (VAS), inflammatory cytokines, and immune function-related parameters compared. The correlations of MLK score with TNSS/TMS/VAS, as well as with IL-4/INF-γ/eosinophil (EOS)/percentage/specific immunoglobulin (sIgE)/sIgG were assessed by Spearman correlation analysis. The value of MLK score on assessing SLIT efficacy in AR patients was analyzed.
    RESULTS: SLIT treatment reduced MLK/TNSS/TMS/VAS scores, abated IL-4 level/EOS percentage/sIgE, and elevated INF-γ/sIgG levels. MLK score was positively correlated with pre- and post-SLIT TNSS score (rpre-treatment = 0.592, rpost-treatment = 0.756), TMS score (rpre-treatment = 0.385, rpost-treatment = 0.718), VAS score (rpre-treatment = 0.369, rpost-treatment = 0.704), IL-4 (rpre-treatment = 0.553, rpost-treatment = 0.639), EOS percentage (rpre-treatment = 0.511, rpost-treatment = 0.632), and sIgE (rpre-treatment = 0.472, rpost-treatment = 0.524), and negatively with INF-γ (rpre-treatment = -0.418, rpost-treatment = -0.578) and sIgG4 (rpre-treatment = -0.460, rpost-treatment = -0.613). The MLK score had an area under curve of 0.846 (77.01% sensitivity, 76.92% specificity, 4 cut-off value) and 0.944 (91.67% sensitivity, 92.11% specificity, 2 cut-off value) for assessing SLIT treatment as effective and markedly effective for the patients, respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: The MLK score had good evaluation value on the efficacy of SLIT treatment in AR patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:小儿肺动脉高压(PH)的特征是平均肺动脉压超过20mmHg。关于基于成人的方法在儿科人群中估计PH的适用性的研究有限。使用既定的成人配方,这项研究旨在评估超声心动图对收缩压的估计之间的相关性,舒张压,和平均肺动脉压,先天性心脏病(CHD)儿童的平均右心房压。
    方法:进行了一项前瞻性研究,涉及冠心病患儿在没有进行心脏手术的情况下接受心导管检查。我们使用超声心动图来估计肺和右心房压力,并将其与侵入性测量值进行比较。开发了四个可靠的回归方程来估计收缩压,舒张压,和平均肺动脉压,和平均右心房压力。确定截止值以预测PH的发生。线性回归,Bland-Altman分析,和受试者工作特征曲线分析用于评估超声心动图的准确性并建立PH的诊断阈值。
    结果:该研究涉及55名1至192个月的非紫花苜蓿CHD儿童(23名肺动脉压正常,32名PH正常)。开发了四个方程来检测高肺动脉压,收缩期肺动脉压的临界值为32.9,14.95肺动脉舒张压,平均肺动脉压20.7。结果显示出高灵敏度和中等特异性,但在较高压力下倾向于低估收缩压和平均肺动脉压。
    结论:该研究为使用成人超声心动图公式评估儿童非紫花苜蓿性CHD患者的PH提供了有价值的见解。
    BACKGROUND: Pediatric pulmonary hypertension (PH) is characterized by a mean pulmonary arterial pressure exceeding 20 mmHg. There is limited research on the suitability of adult-based methods for estimating PH in pediatric populations. Using established formulas for adults, this study aimed to evaluate the correlation between echocardiographic estimates of systolic, diastolic, and mean pulmonary arterial pressures, and mean right atrial pressures in children with congenital heart disease (CHD).
    METHODS: A prospective study was conducted involving children with CHD undergoing cardiac catheterization without prior cardiac surgery. We used echocardiography to estimate pulmonary and right atrial pressures and compared these with invasively measured values. Four reliable regression equations were developed to estimate systolic, diastolic, and mean pulmonary arterial pressures, and mean right atrial pressures. Cutoff values were determined to predict the occurrence of PH. Linear regression, Bland-Altman analysis, and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis were performed to assess the accuracy of echocardiography and establish diagnostic thresholds for PH.
    RESULTS: The study involved 55 children (23 with normal pulmonary arterial pressure and 32 with PH) with acyanotic CHD aged 1 to 192 months. Four equations were developed to detect high pulmonary arterial pressures, with cutoff values of 32.9 for systolic pulmonary arterial pressure, 14.95 for diastolic pulmonary arterial pressure, and 20.7 for mean pulmonary arterial pressure. The results showed high sensitivity and moderate specificity but a tendency to underestimate systolic and mean pulmonary arterial pressures at higher pressures.
    CONCLUSIONS: The study provides valuable insights into the use of adult-based echocardiographic formulas for estimating PH in pediatric patients with acyanotic CHD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:早发冠状动脉疾病(PCAD)普遍存在。目的探讨血浆致动脉粥样硬化指数(AIP)和超敏C反应蛋白(hs-CRP)对PCAD患者冠状动脉病变发生及严重程度的评估价值。
    方法:纳入PCAD(PACD组)/非PCAD(对照组)患者。采用Gensini评分(GS)评价冠状动脉病变程度。将PCAD患者分为低/中/高GS组,分析一般临床基线数据。比较不同程度PCAD患者血浆hs-CRP/AIP水平。血浆hs-CRP/AIP与Gensini评分的相关性,影响PCAD发生的独立危险因素,采用Spearman相关分析/Logistic多元回归/受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价hs-CRP/AIP/组合对PCAD发生及程度的预测价值。使用MedCalc-比较ROC曲线比较曲线下面积(AUC)的差异。
    结果:PCAD组血浆hs-CRP/AIP水平升高。不同程度PCAD患者血浆hs-CRP/AIP水平存在显著差异。血浆hs-CRP/AIP水平与Gensini评分呈显著正相关。吸烟史/同型半胱氨酸/空腹血糖/hs-CRP/AIP均为影响PCAD发生的独立危险因素。hs-CRP和AIP联合预测PCAD发生的AUC为0.950(90.80%敏感性/93.33%特异性)。hs-CRP/AIP联合应用有助于预测PCAD患者的病情程度.
    结论:AIP和hs-CRP是PCAD发生的独立危险因素。两者联合对PCAD的发生和疾病程度有较高的预测价值,两者均与冠状动脉病变程度呈正相关。
    BACKGROUND: Premature coronary artery disease (PCAD) is prevailing. We aimed to investigate the evaluation value of atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) for the occurrence and severity of coronary artery lesion in PCAD patients.
    METHODS: PCAD (PACD group)/non-PCAD (control group) patients were enrolled. The coronary artery lesion degree was evaluated using Gensini score (GS). PCAD patients were allocated into the low/medium/high GS groups, with general clinical baseline data analyzed. Plasma hs-CRP/AIP levels were compared in PCAD patients with different disease degree. Correlations between plasma hs-CRP/AIP with Gensini score, independent risk factors affecting the occurrence of PCAD, and the predictive value of hs-CRP/AIP/their combination for the occurrence and degree of PCAD were evaluated by Spearman correlation analysis/Logistic multivariate regression/receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The differences in the area under the curve (AUC) were compared using MedCalc-Comparison of ROC curves.
    RESULTS: Plasma hs-CRP/AIP levels in the PCAD group were increased. Plasma hs-CRP/AIP levels varied significantly among PCAD patients with different disease degree. Plasma hs-CRP/AIP levels were markedly positively correlated with the Gensini score. Smoking history/homocysteine/fasting blood-glucose/hs-CRP/AIP were all independent risk factors affecting PCAD occurrence. The AUC of hs-CRP and AIP combination predicting the occurrence of PCAD was 0.950 (90.80% sensitivity/93.33% specificity). hs-CRP/AIP combination assisted in predicting the disease degree in PCAD patients.
    CONCLUSIONS: AIP and hs-CRP are independent risk factors for the occurrence of PCAD, and their combination has high predictive value for PCAD occurrence and disease degree, which are both positively correlated with coronary artery lesion degree.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:结直肠癌(CRC)是临床上普遍存在的癌症类型;其早期症状可能难以检测,这通常会导致许多患者的晚期诊断。早期发现和诊断CRC对于提高治疗成功率和患者生存率至关重要。最近,成像技术被认为是必不可少的管理CRC,磁共振成像(MRI)和螺旋计算机断层扫描(SCT)在增强诊断和治疗方法中起着重要作用。
    目的:探讨MRI和SCT在结直肠癌术前分期及腹腔镜治疗预后中的应用价值。
    方法:厦门大学附属中山医院95例患者行MRI和SCT检查,确诊为CRC。评估MRI和SCT对CRC术前分类的准确性,病理分期作为参考。受试者工作特征曲线用于评价血容量的诊断效能,血流量,时间达到顶峰,渗透表面,血液回流常数,体积传递常数,和细胞外血管外空间体积分数对CRC患者预后的影响。
    结果:病理活检证实了以下CRC阶段:T1、T2、T3和T4分别为23、23、32和17。N0期39例,N1为22,N2为34,M0级为44,M1为51。以病理结果为基准,联合使用MRI和SCT对CRC患者术前TNM分期表现出优越的敏感性,特异性,与任何一种单独的模态相比,准确性差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。受试者工作特征曲线分析揭示了腹腔镜治疗预后的预测价值,如血容量曲线下的面积所示,血流量,时间达到顶峰,和渗透性表面,血液回流常数,体积传递常数,细胞外血管间隙体积分数分别为0.750、0.683、0.772、0.761、0.709、0.719和0.910。还获得了相应的敏感性和特异性值(P<0.05)。
    结论:MRI联合SCT对CRC患者的临床诊断有效,值得临床推广。
    BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a prevalent cancer type in clinical settings; its early signs can be difficult to detect, which often results in late-stage diagnoses in many patients. The early detection and diagnosis of CRC are crucial for improving treatment success and patient survival rates. Recently, imaging techniques have been hypothesized to be essential in managing CRC, with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and spiral computed tomography (SCT) playing a significant role in enhancing diagnostic and treatment approaches.
    OBJECTIVE: To explore the effectiveness of MRI and SCT in the preoperative staging of CRC and the prognosis of laparoscopic treatment.
    METHODS: Ninety-five individuals admitted to Zhongshan Hospital Xiamen University underwent MRI and SCT and were diagnosed with CRC. The precision of MRI and SCT for the presurgical classification of CRC was assessed, and pathological staging was used as a reference. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of blood volume, blood flow, time to peak, permeability surface, blood reflux constant, volume transfer constant, and extracellular extravascular space volume fraction on the prognosis of patients with CRC.
    RESULTS: Pathological biopsies confirmed the following CRC stages: 23, 23, 32, and 17 at T1, T2, T3, and T4, respectively. There were 39 cases at the N0 stage, 22 at N1, 34 at N2, 44 at M0 stage, and 51 at M1. Using pathological findings as the benchmark, the combined use of MRI and SCT for preoperative TNM staging in patients with CRC demonstrated superior sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy compared with either modality alone, with a statistically significant difference in accuracy (P < 0.05). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed the predictive values for laparoscopic treatment prognosis, as indicated by the areas under the curve for blood volume, blood flow, time to peak, and permeability surface, blood reflux constant, volume transfer constant, and extracellular extravascular space volume fraction were 0.750, 0.683, 0.772, 0.761, 0.709, 0.719, and 0.910, respectively. The corresponding sensitivity and specificity values were also obtained (P < 0.05).
    CONCLUSIONS: MRI with SCT is effective in the clinical diagnosis of patients with CRC and is worthy of clinical promotion.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在过去的十年中,肺外形式的结核病(TB)的频率增加了。这些形式经常被漏诊。这项关于结核病流行病学概况修改的声明,引导我们反思结核菌素皮肤测试(TST)在主动结核病检测中的实用性。本研究旨在评估TST用于主动结核病检测的诊断准确性。
    这是病例对照,在突尼斯11个抗结核中心进行的多中心研究(2014年6月至11月)。这些病例为18至55岁的成年人,患有新诊断和确诊的结核病。对照没有结核病。填写了数据收集表,并对每个参与者进行了TST。使用受试者工作曲线(ROC)曲线和曲线下面积(AUC)估计TST的诊断准确性测量,以估计确定的截止点的灵敏度和特异性。
    总的来说,纳入1050名患者,由336例病例和714例对照组成。病例的平均年龄为38.3±11.8岁,对照组为33.6±11岁。病例中TST硬结的平均直径明显高于对照组(13.7mmvs.6.2mm;p=10-6)。AUC为0.789[95%CI:0.758-0.819;p=0.01],对应于该测试的中等辨别性能。TST的最有区别的截止值,与最佳敏感性(73.7%)和特异性(76.6%)相关的夫妇≥11mm,Youden指数为0.503。阳性预测值和阴性预测值分别为3.11%和99.52%,分别。
    TST可能是用于主动结核病检测的有用工具,在11mm的截止点具有中等的全局性能和公认的灵敏度和特异性。然而,由于其多重缺点,它不能被视为黄金标准测试。
    UNASSIGNED: During the past decade, the frequency of extrapulmonary forms of tuberculosis (TB) has increased. These forms are often miss-diagnosed. This statement of the TB epidemiological profile modification, conduct us to reflect about the utility of the Tuberculin Skin Test (TST) in active TB detection. This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy performance of the TST for active tuberculosis detection.
    UNASSIGNED: This was a case-control, multicenter study conducted in 11 anti-TB centers in Tunisia (June-November2014). The cases were adults aged between 18 and 55 years with newly diagnosed and confirmed tuberculosis. Controls were free from tuberculosis. A data collection sheet was filled out and a TST was performed for each participant.Diagnostic accuracy measures of TST were estimated using Receiver Operating Curve (ROC) curve and Area Under Curve (AUC) to estimate sensitivity and specificity of a determined cut-off point.
    UNASSIGNED: Overall, 1050 patients were enrolled, composed of 336 cases and 714 controls. The mean age was 38.3±11.8 years for cases and 33.6±11 years for controls.The mean diameter of the TST induration was significantly higher among cases than controls (13.7mm vs.6.2mm; p=10 -6). AUC was 0.789 [95% CI: 0.758-0.819; p=0.01], corresponding to a moderate discriminating performance for this test. The most discriminative cut-off value of the TST, which was associated with the best sensitivity (73.7%) and specificity (76.6%) couple was   ≥ 11 mm with a Youden index of 0.503. Positive and Negative predictive values were 3.11% and 99.52%, respectively.
    UNASSIGNED: TST could be a useful tool used for active tuberculosis detection, with a moderate global performance and accepted sensitivity and specificity at the cut-off point of 11 mm. However, it cannot be considered as a gold standard test due to its multiple disadvantages.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:使用情绪和情感问卷(MFQ)来区分抑郁症的严重程度仍有待探索。我们探索了MFQ的判别有效性,以确定最佳的截止MFQ评分,以区分亚阈值至轻度和中度至重度抑郁症的严重程度。
    方法:在寻求帮助的青年(13至18岁,包括在内)的样本中使用了观察性横断面设计。MFQ是由研究分析师通过电话逐字发给年轻人的。然后,根据情感障碍的Kiddie时间表和精神分裂症抑郁量表上收到的分数,将青少年分为亚阈值至轻度或中度至重度抑郁严重程度类别。进行了接收器工作特性曲线分析,以曲线下面积(AUC)和约登指数(J)为主要指数。我们假设曲线下面积的95%置信区间下限为≥0.70。
    结果:初步分析得出的AUC为0.85(95%CI:0.763-0.947),最佳临界值≥43(J=0.60,阳性预测值=91.4%,阴性预测值=62.5%,灵敏度=72.7%,特异性=87.0%)。
    结论:我们的研究收集了一个小样本,因此无法识别子组分类的方式(例如,基于种族或性别)可能会缓和结果。Further,预测变量和参考变量度量的未知测量误差可能会使估计产生偏差。
    结论:我们的初步发现强调了MFQ支持与在二级护理环境中经历不同程度的抑郁症状的青少年相关的临床决策的潜力。
    BACKGROUND: Using the Mood and Feelings Questionnaire (MFQ) to differentiate between depression severity levels remains unexplored. We explored the discriminative validity of the MFQ to identify an optimal cut-off MFQ score to distinguish between subthreshold-to-mild and moderate-to-severe depression severity levels.
    METHODS: An observational cross-sectional design was used in a sample (N = 67) of help-seeking youth (ages 13 to 18, inclusive) experiencing depressive symptoms. The MFQ was administered verbatim to youth by a research analyst over the phone. Youth were then grouped into subthreshold-to-mild or moderate-to-severe depression severity categories based on scores received on the Kiddie Schedule for Affective Disorders and Schizophrenia-Depression Rating Scale. Receiver Operating Characteristic curve analyses were conducted, with area under the curve (AUC) and Youden Index (J) as primary indices. We hypothesized that the lower limit of the 95 % confidence interval for the area under the curve would be ≥0.70.
    RESULTS: The primary analysis yielded an AUC of 0.85 (95 % CI: 0.763-0.947) and an optimal cut-off of ≥43 (J = 0.60, positive predictive value = 91.4 %, negative predictive value = 62.5 %, sensitivity = 72.7 %, specificity = 87.0 %).
    CONCLUSIONS: Our study collected a small sample, and as such cannot identify how subgroup classification (e.g., based on race or gender) may moderate outcomes. Further, unknown measurement error of the predictor and reference variable measures can bias the estimates.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our preliminary findings highlight the potential for the MFQ to support clinical decision-making relevant to adolescents experiencing varying severities of depressive symptoms in secondary care settings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:开发并评估胸外科全麻期间多尿的预测列线图。
    方法:设计并进行了一项回顾性研究。整个数据集用于开发预测列线图,并使用逐步算法筛选变量。逐步算法基于Akaike的信息准则(AIC)。使用多变量逻辑回归分析来建立列线图。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价模型的辨别能力。进行Hosmer-Lemeshow(HL)测试以检查模型是否校准良好。进行决策曲线分析(DCA)以测量列线图的临床有用性和净获益。P<0.05被认为表示有统计学意义。
    结果:样本包括529名接受过胸外科手术的受试者。芬太尼的使用,性别,入院时和手术前的平均动脉压之间的差异,操作类型,输血的液体和血液制品总量,失血,血管加压药,和顺式阿曲库铵的使用被确定为预测因子,并被纳入列线图。列线图在接收器工作特性曲线(0.6937)上显示出良好的辨别能力,并且使用Hosmer-Lemeshow测试进行了很好的校准。决策曲线分析表明,列线图在临床上有用。
    结论:术中多尿的个体化和精确预测允许更好的麻醉管理和早期预防优化。
    BACKGROUND: To develop and evaluate a predictive nomogram for polyuria during general anesthesia in thoracic surgery.
    METHODS: A retrospective study was designed and performed. The whole dataset was used to develop the predictive nomogram and used a stepwise algorithm to screen variables. The stepwise algorithm was based on Akaike\'s information criterion (AIC). Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to develop the nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the model\'s discrimination ability. The Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) test was performed to check if the model was well calibrated. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to measure the nomogram\'s clinical usefulness and net benefits. P < 0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance.
    RESULTS: The sample included 529 subjects who had undergone thoracic surgery. Fentanyl use, gender, the difference between mean arterial pressure at admission and before the operation, operation type, total amount of fluids and blood products transfused, blood loss, vasopressor, and cisatracurium use were identified as predictors and incorporated into the nomogram. The nomogram showed good discrimination ability on the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.6937) and is well calibrated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically useful.
    CONCLUSIONS: Individualized and precise prediction of intraoperative polyuria allows for better anesthesia management and early prevention optimization.
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