prolonged

延长
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    冷藏(CSS)长达6小时是心脏保存的黄金标准。虽然一些储存超过6小时的心脏已经被移植,更长的CSS时间增加了移植后的死亡率。Transmedics®器官护理系统(OCS™)是唯一获得FDA批准的商业系统,可在静息模式下使用主动脉灌注(Langendorff方法)使用常温异位心脏灌注(NEHP)提供CSS的替代方法。然而,它也仅限于6小时,并且缺乏对心脏功能的客观评估。开发一种可以在NEHP条件下灌注心脏超过24小时的系统可以促进器官康复,扩大捐赠池,和客观的功能评价。密歇根大学的体外生命支持实验室致力于将NEHP延长至>24小时,并对NEHP期间的心脏活力进行客观评估。使用血液来源的灌注液(白细胞/血小板耗尽的血液)开发了用于主动脉(Langendorff)灌注的NEHP系统。将不同大小(6-55kg)的猪心脏(n=42)分为五组,并在24小时内对NEHP进行了各种干预,并在三个仔猪(小尺寸)心脏组中进行了研究:(1)无干预的对照NEHP(n=15);(2)NEHP血浆交换(n=5);(3)NEHP心房血液滤过(n=10)和两个成年(NEi5)心脏组(所有接受NEHP+干预的心脏(n=27)成功灌注24小时,而14个(93.3%)对照心脏在10到21小时内衰竭,1个对照心脏(6.6%)持续24h。仔猪血液滤过和血浆置换组的心脏表现优于对照组。iLA灌注组(n=7)中的较大心脏允许实时心脏功能评估,并在NEHP的24小时内保持稳定。这些结果表明,使用我们的NEHP灌注技术将心脏保存24小时是可行的。延长保存时间超过24小时,感染控制,和营养支持都需要优化。这证明了以下概念:NEHP具有通过以下方式增加器官库的潜力:(1)考虑先前丢弃的心脏;(2)对心脏功能进行客观评估;(3)增加供体/受体距离;以及(4)开发心脏特异性灌注疗法。
    Cold static storage (CSS) for up to 6 h is the gold standard in heart preservation. Although some hearts stored over 6 h have been transplanted, longer CSS times have increased posttransplant morbimortality. Transmedics® Organ Care System (OCS™) is the only FDA-approved commercial system that provides an alternative to CSS using normothermic ex situ heart perfusion (NEHP) in resting mode with aortic perfusion (Langendorff method). However, it is also limited to 6 h and lacks an objective assessment of cardiac function. Developing a system that can perfuse hearts under NEHP conditions for >24 h can facilitate organ rehabilitation, expansion of the donor pool, and objective functional evaluation. The Extracorporeal Life Support Laboratory at the University of Michigan has worked to prolong NEHP to >24 h with an objective assessment of heart viability during NEHP. An NEHP system was developed for aortic (Langendorff) perfusion using a blood-derived perfusate (leukocyte/thrombocyte-depleted blood). Porcine hearts (n = 42) of different sizes (6-55 kg) were divided into five groups and studied during 24 h NEHP with various interventions in three piglets (small-size) heart groups: (1) Control NEHP without interventions (n = 15); (2) NEHP + plasma exchange (n = 5); (3) NEHP + hemofiltration (n = 10) and two adult-size (juvenile pigs) heart groups (to demonstrate the support of larger hearts); (4) NEHP + hemofiltration (n = 5); and (5) NEHP with intermittent left atrial (iLA) perfusion (n = 7). All hearts with NEHP + interventions (n = 27) were successfully perfused for 24 h, whereas 14 (93.3%) control hearts failed between 10 and 21 h, and 1 control heart (6.6%) lasted 24 h. Hearts in the piglet hemofiltration and plasma exchange groups performed better than those in the control group. The larger hearts in the iLA perfusion group (n = 7) allowed for real-time heart functional assessment and remained stable throughout the 24 h of NEHP. These results demonstrate that heart preservation for 24 h is feasible with our NEHP perfusion technique. Increasing the preservation period beyond 24 h, infection control, and nutritional support all need optimization. This proves the concept that NEHP has the potential to increase the organ pool by (1) considering previously discarded hearts; (2) performing an objective assessment of heart function; (3) increasing the donor/recipient distance; and (4) developing heart-specific perfusion therapies.
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  • 文章类型: Case Reports
    化脓性拟杆菌自然存在于猫和狗的口腔微生物组中,因此暴露于体内。尤其是这些动物的叮咬,是人类感染的主要危险因素。已知化脓性B会导致感染,尽管使用抗生素治疗,这种感染仍然存在,并且可能具有严重的临床结果。我们介绍了一例与化脓性B感染相关的复杂肺脓肿的新病例。一名55岁的男子有3个月的咳嗽病史,盗汗,和5公斤的减肥。最初的胸部X光片显示右上叶(RUL)有肿块样混浊,右中叶(RML),和左下叶(LLL)。在接下来的4年中,患者经历了多次调查和抗菌治疗,直到脓肿消退。我们认为甲硝唑联合莫西沙星是该患者临床治愈的关键成分。
    Bacteroides pyogenes is naturally found in the oral microbiome of cats and dogs and hence exposure, especially bites from these animals, is a major risk factor for human infections. B pyogenes is known to cause infections that persist despite antibiotic treatment and can have serious clinical outcomes. We present a novel case of complex lung abscesses associated with B pyogenes infection. A 55 year old man presents with a 3-month history of productive cough, night sweats, and 5 kg weight loss. An initial chest radiograph revealed mass-like opacities in the right upper lobe (RUL), right middle lobe (RML), and left lower lobe (LLL). Over the next 4 years the patient underwent multiple investigations and antimicrobial treatments until resolution of the abscesses. We believe that metronidazole in combination with moxifloxacin was a key component in the clinical cure of this patient.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    脓毒症和脓毒性休克是全球重症监护相关死亡的主要原因。本研究旨在确定脓毒症的患病率,其重症监护病房(ICU)死亡率以及与ICU死亡率和住院时间相关的因素。
    于2019年1月至2019年12月进行了一项前瞻性队列研究,研究对象是有脓毒症证据的成年患者,这些患者被送入ICU。在ICU中评估参数,以确定与全因ICU死亡率和住院时间的关系。
    在607名成年人中,2019年有292例脓毒症患者入住ICU,平均年龄为50.98岁(标准差[SD]=17.75)。有,因此,脓毒症发生率为48%。在78例患者中观察到死亡率(死亡率=26.7%)(95%置信区间[CI]:21.7,32.2)。格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)评分较高的患者ICU死亡的几率较低(调整后的比值比[OR]=0.90;95%CI:0.82,0.98;P=0.019)。而序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分较高的患者的几率较高(校正后OR=1.22;95%CI:1.11,1.35;P<0.001)。存活的80例患者(37.4%)ICU住院时间延长(95%CI:30.9,44.2)。白蛋白水平较高的患者ICU住院时间延长的几率较低(校正后OR=0.94;95%CI:0.90,0.98;P=0.006),接受肾脏替代治疗的患者ICU住院时间延长的几率较高(校正后OR=1.25;95%CI:1.74,7.12;P<0.001)。
    我们的研究发现,在入住ICU的成年患者中,脓毒症患病率为48%,ICU死亡率为26.7%。GCS和SOFA评分是与ICU死亡率相关的最重要因素。
    UNASSIGNED: Sepsis and septic shock are the leading causes of critical care-related mortality worldwide. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of sepsis, its intensive care unit (ICU) mortality rate and the factors associated with both ICU mortality and prolonged stay.
    UNASSIGNED: A prospective cohort study was conducted from January 2019 to December 2019 with adult patients presenting evidence of sepsis who were admitted to the ICU. Parameters were assessed in the ICU to determine the association with all-cause ICU mortality and prolonged stay.
    UNASSIGNED: Out of 607 adults, 292 with sepsis were admitted to the ICU in 2019, with a mean age of 50.98 (standard deviation [SD] = 17.75) years old. There was, thus, a 48% incidence of sepsis. Mortality was observed in 78 patients (mortality rate = 26.7%) (95% confidence interval [CI]: 21.7, 32.2). Patients with higher Glasgow coma scale (GCS) scores had lower odds of ICU mortality (adjusted odds ratio [OR] = 0.90; 95% CI: 0.82, 0.98; P = 0.019), while patients with higher sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores had higher odds (adjusted OR = 1.22; 95% CI: 1.11, 1.35; P < 0.001). Eighty patients (37.4%) who survived had prolonged ICU stays (95% CI: 30.9, 44.2). Patients with higher albumin levels had lower odds of a prolonged ICU stay (adjusted OR = 0.94; 95% CI: 0.90, 0.98; P = 0.006) and patients on renal replacement therapy had higher odds of a prolonged ICU stay (adjusted OR = 1.25; 95% CI: 1.74, 7.12; P < 0.001).
    UNASSIGNED: Our study identified a sepsis prevalence of 48% and an ICU mortality rate of 26.7% among adult patients admitted to the ICU. GCS and SOFA scores were the most important factors associated with ICU mortality.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    高效的药物递送系统对于改善患者预后至关重要。对乙酰氨基酚(AP),这是一种口服给药,是一种常用的止痛药和退烧剂。然而,口服给药有各种健康风险,特别是过量和频繁使用;例如,AP每天施用约4次。因此,这项研究的目的是通过结合海藻酸钠和聚琥珀酰亚胺(PSI)水凝胶来延迟镇痛AP的释放,开发一种每天一次给药的有效递送系统。PSI是一种可生物降解的聚合物,可以安全有效地用于药物递送系统,因为它在肠道中通过水解被消除。PSI的使用还改善了水凝胶的机械性能并延长了药物释放。在这项研究中,水凝胶表征,如机械性能,药物溶出度,和生物降解性进行了测量,以评估PSI在肠道中的水解。根据结果,水凝胶可以被设计成改善结构机械性能并允许药物完全溶解,并通过肠道中的PSI水解从体内消除。此外,评估了AP在水凝胶中的释放曲线,水凝胶可持续释放AP24小时。我们的研究表明,海藻酸钠/PSI水凝胶可作为AP的生物可降解递送系统。这些发现可能对开发用于其他类别药物的有效药物递送系统具有重要意义。
    Efficient drug delivery systems are essential for improving patient outcomes. Acetaminophen (AP), which is a kind of oral administration, is a commonly used pain reliever and fever reducer. However, oral administration carries various health risks, especially overdose and frequent use; for instance, AP is administered approximately 4 times per day. Therefore, the aim of this study is to develop an efficient delivery system for once-daily administration by combining sodium alginate and polysuccinimide (PSI) hydrogels to delay the release of analgesic AP. PSI is a biodegradable polymer that can be used safely and effectively in drug delivery systems because it is eliminated by hydrolysis in the intestine. The use of PSI also improves the mechanical properties of hydrogels and prolongs drug release. In this study, hydrogel characterizations such as mechanical properties, drug dissolution ability, and biodegradability were measured to evaluate the hydrolysis of PSI in the intestine. Based on the results, hydrogels could be designed to improve the structural mechanical properties and to allow the drug to be completely dissolved, and eliminated from the body through PSI hydrolysis in the intestines. In addition, the release profiles of AP in the hydrogels were evaluated, and the hydrogels provided continuous release of AP for 24 h. Our research suggests that sodium alginate/PSI hydrogels can potentially serve as biodegradable delivery systems for AP. These findings may have significant implications for developing efficient drug delivery systems for other classes of drugs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Foley导管的使用是最古老的已知引产方法之一。因此,已经开发并测试了使用不同体积的Foley导管球囊的方案,以准确确定其有效性。在这项研究中,我们决定对两种引产(IOL)方案进行回顾性评估.选择符合该标准并接受低容量球囊方案(40-60mL)IOL的最后300例符合条件的患者。然后接下来,选择符合标准并接受高容量球囊(80-100mL)IOL的300例患者。结果包括分娩时间和分娩类型,催产素增强,手术分娩和产时麻醉的应用。总的来说,大多数患者在24小时内分娩。接受高容量Foley导管的患者在统计学上有更多的阴道分娩。高容量导管组的平均分娩时间在统计学上明显短于低容量导管组。与使用低容量Foley导管的患者相比,接受高容量Foley导管的患者在引产期间需要统计学上明显减少催产素的增加。不管使用了多少气球,手术分娩的百分比保持在相似的水平,低水平(8.36%和2.14%)。无论使用多少导管,大多数患者选择硬膜外麻醉而不是静脉麻醉。总之,高容量球囊Foley导管人工晶状体的特点是阴道分娩的百分比增加,缩短交货时间,无论交货类型如何,并降低催产素增强的需求。
    The use of a Foley catheter is one of the oldest known methods of labor induction. Therefore, protocols using different volumes of Foley catheter balloons have been developed and tested to accurately determine their effectiveness. In this study, it was decided to retrospectively evaluate two induction of labor (IOL) protocols. The last 300 eligible patients who met the criteria and underwent the low-volume balloon protocol (40-60 mL) IOL were selected. Then next, 300 patients who met the criteria and underwent high-volume balloon (80-100 mL) IOL were selected. Outcomes included time to delivery and parturition type, oxytocin augmentation, operative deliveries and application of intrapartum anesthesia. Overall, the majority of patients delivered within 24 h. Patients who received a high-volume Foley catheter had statistically significantly more vaginal deliveries. The mean-time to delivery in the high-volume catheter group was statistically significantly shorter than in the low-volume catheter group. Patients who received a high-volume Foley catheter required statistically significantly less oxytocin augmentation during induction of labor compared to patients with a low-volume Foley catheter. Regardless of the balloon volume used, the percentage of operative deliveries remained at a similar, low level (8.36% and 2.14%). Regardless of the catheter volume used, the majority of patients chose epidural over intravenous anesthesia. In conclusion, a high-volume balloon Foley catheter IOL is characterized by an increased percentage of vaginal deliveries, shortened time to delivery regardless of the type of delivery, and lower need for oxytocin augmentation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    黄疸是婴儿期最常见的问题之一。人们认为,母乳性黄疸是在延长黄疸14天后黄疸持续存在的原因之一。这项研究评估了氯贝特和光疗对足月和健康新生儿母乳引起的长期黄疸的影响。
    这项双盲临床试验研究是在Besat医院新生儿病房中对100名随机分配的新生儿进行的。除了光疗,病例组接受溶解在2个CC蒸馏水中的单剂量可食用氯贝特(50mg/kg).对照组接受与光疗组相同量的蒸馏水。治疗后,胆红素变化率,住院时间,以及任何与性别的联系,胎龄,血红蛋白,血型,在整个两组中测定并比较新生儿的Rh。
    数据分析显示,病例组胆红素降低率明显高于对照组(P<0.05)。病例组的平均住院时间和光疗时间明显低于对照组(P=0.005)。胆红素降低率不受胎龄的显著影响,血型,或Rh。
    这项研究的结果表明,氯贝特可有效降低可能有母乳黄疸的婴儿的胆红素水平,缩短光疗和住院时间。
    IRCT2012092910933N1。
    UNASSIGNED: Jaundice is one of the most common problems during infancy. It is believed that breast milk jaundice is one of the reasons for the persistence of jaundice after 14 days of prolonged jaundice. This study evaluates the effect of Clofibrate and phototherapy on prolonged jaundice originating from breast milk in term and healthy neonates.
    UNASSIGNED: This double-blind clinical trial study was performed on 100 randomly divided neonates in the neonatal ward of Besat Hospital. In addition to phototherapy, the case group received a single dose of edible Clofibrate (50 mg/kg) dissolved in 2 CCs of distilled water. The control group received the same amount of distilled water as the phototherapy group. After treatment, bilirubin change rate, duration of hospitalization, and any association with gender, gestational age, hemoglobin, blood type, and Rh of neonates were determined and compared throughout the 2 groups.
    UNASSIGNED: Data analysis showed that the bilirubin reduction rate was statistically significantly higher in the case group than in the control group (P < .05). The mean duration of hospitalization and phototherapy in the case group was significantly lower than in the control group (P = .005). The bilirubin reduction rate was not affected significantly by gestational age, blood type, or Rh.
    UNASSIGNED: This study\'s results demonstrated that Clofibrate effectively decreased bilirubin levels and shortened the duration of phototherapy and hospitalization in infants with probable breast milk jaundice.
    UNASSIGNED: IRCT2012092910933N1.
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  • 文章类型: Randomized Controlled Trial
    背景:尽管化疗引起的恶心和呕吐(CINV)在急性期可以得到很好的控制,延迟CINV的发生率仍然很高。在这项研究中,我们打算研究除5-HT3RA和地塞米松(DEX)外,长期使用NK-1受体拮抗剂(RA)是否更有效地预防延迟的CINV.
    方法:这是随机的,开放标签,对照研究旨在比较接受高致吐性化疗(HEC)的患者在第1、3天(延长组)和第1天(常规组)给予福沙匹坦150mg的疗效和安全性。所有患者也在第1天接受帕洛诺司琼治疗,在第1-3天接受DEX治疗。主要终点是迟发性恶心和呕吐的发生率。第二个终点是AE。所有上述终点均根据CTCAE5.0定义。
    结果:77名患者被随机分配到延长组,79名患者被随机分配到常规组。延长组在控制延迟CINV方面优于常规组,具有统计学意义的较低的恶心发生率(6.17%vs12.66%,P=0.0056),1级呕吐的发生率略低(1.62%vs3.80%,P=0.0953)在延迟阶段。此外,长期使用福沙吡坦是安全的.两组在便秘方面无显著差异,腹泻,咳嗽,疲劳,心悸和头痛在延迟期。
    结论:在接受HEC的患者中,长期使用福沙吡坦可以有效且安全地预防延迟的CINV。
    BACKGROUND: Even though chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting (CINV) can be well controlled in the acute phase, the incidence of delayed CINV remains high. In this study, we intend to investigate whether prolonged use of NK-1 receptor antagonist (RA) in addition to 5-HT3 RA and dexamethasone (DEX) was more effective in preventing delayed CINV.
    METHODS: This randomised, open-label, controlled study was designed to compare the efficacy and safety of fosaprepitant 150 mg given on days 1,3 (prolonged group) versus on day 1 (regular group) in patients receiving highly emetogenic chemotherapy (HEC). All patients also treated with palonosetron on day 1 and DEX on days 1-3. The primary endpoint was the incidence of delayed nausea and vomiting. The second endpoint was AEs. All the above endpoints were defined according to CTCAE 5.0.
    RESULTS: Seventy-seven patients were randomly assigned to prolonged group and seventy-nine to regular group. Prolonged group demonstrated superiority in controlling delayed CINV to regular group, with statistically significant lower incidence of nausea (6.17% vs 12.66%, P = 0.0056), and slightly lower incidence of grade 1 vomiting (1.62% vs 3.80%, P = 0.0953) in the delayed phase. In addition, prolonged use of fosaprepitant was safe. No significant difference was found between the two groups regarding constipation, diarrhea, hiccough, fatigue, palpitation and headache in delayed phase.
    CONCLUSIONS: Prolonged use of fosaprepitant can effectively and safely prevent delayed CINV in patients receiving HEC.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    评价儿科患者每3个月更换气管切开置管的安全性,并确定置管相关并发症的发生情况。回顾性观察图表审查于2018年至2021年在泰国的三级医疗中心完成。根据气管造口术导管改变之间的间隔长度,评估了与导管相关的并发症。将并发症的发生率与以前的研究进行了比较。在总共108次访问中,每次换管的平均间隔时间为87天.在所有的相遇中,6.48%导致导管相关并发症。在这七次访问中,两人在30天内因呼吸道感染入院,3例经历了意外拔管,2例导致肉芽组织形成过多。从卡方检验获得0.8的p值。小儿气管切开置管更换间隔90天不会增加气管切开置管相关并发症的发生率。该间隔对于资源有限设置中的那些是实用的。
    To evaluate the safety of changing tracheostomy tubes every three months in paediatric patients and determine the occurrence of tube-related complications. Retrospective observational chart review was completed from 2018 to 2021 at a tertiary medical centre in Thailand. Tube associated complications were assessed with regards to interval length between tracheostomy tube changes. The rate of complication was compared with previous studies. Out of a total of 108 visits, the average interval between each tube change was 87 days. Of all encounters, 6.48% resulted in a tube-related complication. Of these seven visits, two had an admission for a respiratory infection within 30 days, three experienced accidental decannulation and two resulted in excess granulation tissue formation. A p-value of 0.8 was obtained from a chi-squared test. An interval of 90-days between paediatric tracheostomy tube changes does not increase the rate of tracheostomy tube related complications. This interval may be practical for those in resource limited settings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    激活部分凝血活酶时间(aPTT)或凝血酶原时间(PT)通常在利伐沙班给药后检测到,已知aPTT或PT可以延长或正常。然而,延长的临床危险因素和结局未知.在单中心,回顾性病例对照研究,在利伐沙班给药之前和之后在指定的12个月期间进行aPTT/PT检测的成年住院患者符合纳入标准.根据他们的aPTT/PT是否延长,患者被分配到延长病例组或正常对照组.人口统计,利伐沙班适应症和日剂量,和实验室值进行了比较。采用多因素logistic回归分析独立危险因素。分析实验室值和临床结果的变化。共有155名患者被纳入研究,其中54名(34.84%)被报告为aPTT/PT中的一种或两种延长。PT平均延长时间在0.8~0.9s之间,和1.8和3.5s的aPTT。多因素回归模型显示,身高(比值比[OR]1.12,95%置信区间[CI]1.02-1.22,P=.02)和人白蛋白替代(OR3.19,95%CI1.05-9.74,P=.04)是aPTT/PT延长的独立危险因素。两组之间出血事件的发生率和实验室值的变化相似。患者身高和接受人白蛋白替代治疗是利伐沙班导致aPTT/PT轻度延长的独立危险因素。延长与出血事件发生率增加无关。
    Activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) or prothrombin time (PT) is often detected after rivaroxaban administration, and it is known that aPTT or PT can be prolonged or normal. However, the clinical risk factors and outcomes of prolongation were unknown. In a single-center, retrospective case-control study, adult inpatients who had aPTT/PT tested before and after administration of rivaroxaban during a designated 12-month period were eligible for inclusion. Depending on whether their aPTT/PT was prolonged, patients were allocated to the prolonged case or normal control group. Demographics, rivaroxaban indications and daily dose, and laboratory values were compared. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify independent risk factors. The changes in laboratory values and clinical outcomes were analyzed. A total of 155 patients were included in the study among which 54 (34.84%) were reported to have either or both aPTT/PT prolonged. The average prolongation time of PT was between 0.8 and 0.9 s, and 1.8 and 3.5 s for aPTT. Multivariable regression modeling showed that height (odds ratio [OR] 1.12, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-1.22, P = .02) and human albumin replacement (OR 3.19, 95% CI 1.05-9.74, P = .04) were independent risk factors for aPTT/PT prolongation. The incidence of bleeding events and changes in laboratory values were similar between the groups. Patient height and receiving human albumin replacement were independent risk factors for aPTT/PT mild prolongation caused by rivaroxaban. The prolongation was not associated with an increased occurrence of bleeding events.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    骨质疏松性股骨颈骨折患者的住院时间(LOS)延长会增加医院护理成本,并显示出住院并发症。本研究旨在建立骨质疏松性股骨颈骨折患者长期LOS的易用性预测模型。在这项为期5年的回顾性研究中,我们回顾了2014年1月至2018年12月因单纯跌倒导致骨质疏松性股骨颈骨折入院的255例患者的病历.应用多变量分数多项式(MFP)算法从长期LOS的候选预测因子开发预测模型。使用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)评估预测模型的判别性能。使用自举评估内部效度。在整个研究中,从289例住院的股骨颈骨质疏松性骨折患者中,255(88%)符合纳入标准。54.90%(255例患者中的140例)的患者有延长的LOS。预测模型的预测因素是年龄,BMI,ASA评分3级或4级,关节置换术和从损伤到手术的时间。模型ROC曲线下面积为0.83(95%置信区间0.77~0.88)。使用自举重新采样的内部验证显示乐观为-0.002(范围-0.300-0.296),预测模型的估计收缩因子为0.907。当前的预测模型是根据术前预测因子开发的,该模型具有很好的区分能力,可以区分骨质疏松性股骨颈患者住院时间少于14天和LOS延长。该模型可以作为易于使用的计算器应用程序来帮助患者,他们的家人和临床医生在治疗计划方面做出适当的决定,术后护理计划,以及在患者接受明确治疗之前的成本效益。
    Prolonged length of stay (LOS) in osteoporotic femoral neck fracture patients increased the hospital care cost and demonstrated in-hospital complications. This study aimed to develop an ease-of use predictive model of prolonged LOS in osteoporotic femoral neck fracture patients. In this 5-year retrospective study, the medical charts of 255 patients admitted to hospital with an osteoporotic femoral neck fracture resulting from a simple fall from January 2014 to December 2018 were reviewed. Multivariable fractional polynomials (MFP) algorithms was applied to develop the predictive model from candidate predictors of prolonged LOS. The discrimination performance of predictive model was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). Internal validity was assessed using bootstrapping. From 289 patients who were hospitalized with an osteoporotic fracture of femoral neck throughout this study, 255 (88%) fulfilled the inclusion criteria. There was 54.90% (140 of 255 patients) of patients who had prolonged LOS. The predictors of the predictive model were age, BMI, ASA score class 3 or 4, arthroplasty and time from injury to surgery. The area under ROC curve of the model was 0.83 (95% confidence interval 0.77-0.88). Internal validation with bootstrap re-sampling revealed an optimism of -0.002 (range -0.300-0.296) with an estimated shrinkage factor of 0.907 for the predictive model. The current predictive model developed from preoperative predictors which had a good discriminative ability to differentiate between length of hospitalization less than 14 days and prolonged LOS in osteoporotic femoral neck patients. This model can be applied as ease-of use calculator application to help patients, their families and clinicians make appropriate decisions in terms of treatment planning, postoperative care program, and cost-effectiveness before patients receiving the definitive treatments.
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