Case–control studies

病例对照研究
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    流行病学研究在医学和公共卫生中至关重要,因为它们有助于确定疾病的危险因素和原因。此外,它们是规划的关键,实施,并评估旨在预防和控制疾病传播的健康干预措施。在这些研究中,分析性观察研究,例如横截面,病例控制,和队列研究,是最常用的。其结果的有效性在很大程度上取决于设计的鲁棒性,执行,和统计分析。目的:本研究的目的是检查分析性观察研究中方法学设计和统计检验选择中最常见的错误,并提供纠正建议。方法:对流行病学观察研究中有关方法的现有文献进行了全面回顾,专注于横截面,病例控制,和队列研究。确定并分析了设计选择和统计测试中的常见错误。结果和结论:在流行病学观察研究中,方法设计和统计检验的选择错误很常见。根据识别出的错误,提供了一系列建议,以改善方法设计和统计测试的选择,从而增加结果在横截面的可靠性,病例控制,和队列研究。
    Epidemiological studies are essential in medicine and public health as they help identify risk factors and causes of diseases. Additionally, they are key to planning, implementing, and evaluating health interventions aimed at preventing and controlling the spread of diseases. Among these studies, analytical observational studies, such as cross-sectional, case-control, and cohort studies, are the most used. The validity of their results largely depends on the robustness of the design, execution, and statistical analysis. Objective: The objective of this study is to examine the most common errors in the selection of methodological design and statistical tests in analytical observational studies and to provide recommendations to correct them. Methodology: A comprehensive review of the available literature on methodology in epidemiological observational studies was conducted, focusing on cross-sectional, case-control, and cohort studies. Common errors in the selection of designs and statistical tests were identified and analyzed. Results and Conclusions: Errors in the selection of methodological design and statistical tests are common in epidemiological observational studies. Based on the identified errors, a series of recommendations is provided to improve the selection of methodological design and statistical tests, thereby increasing the reliability of the results in cross-sectional, case-control, and cohort studies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:匹配的病例对照设计,直到最近主要与流行病学研究有关,在生物医学应用中也越来越常见。例如,在组学研究中,比较同一患者的癌症和健康组织是很常见的。此外,今天的研究人员通常从各种可变来源收集他们希望与病例控制状态相关的数据。这突出表明需要制定和实施能够考虑到这些趋势的统计方法。
    结果:我们提出了一个R包惩罚,这提供了惩罚条件逻辑回归模型的实施,用于分析匹配的病例对照研究。它允许对协变量的不同块进行不同的惩罚,因此,它在存在多源组学数据的情况下特别有用。L1和L2惩罚都被实施。此外,该软件包在考虑的回归模型中实现变量选择的稳定性选择。
    结论:所提出的方法填补了用于拟合高维条件逻辑回归模型的可用软件中的空白,该软件考虑了预测因子/特征的匹配设计和块结构。输出包括一组与病例控制状态显著相关的选定变量。然后,可以根据功能解释或进一步验证来研究这些变量,更有针对性的研究。
    BACKGROUND: The matched case-control design, up until recently mostly pertinent to epidemiological studies, is becoming customary in biomedical applications as well. For instance, in omics studies, it is quite common to compare cancer and healthy tissue from the same patient. Furthermore, researchers today routinely collect data from various and variable sources that they wish to relate to the case-control status. This highlights the need to develop and implement statistical methods that can take these tendencies into account.
    RESULTS: We present an R package penalizedclr, that provides an implementation of the penalized conditional logistic regression model for analyzing matched case-control studies. It allows for different penalties for different blocks of covariates, and it is therefore particularly useful in the presence of multi-source omics data. Both L1 and L2 penalties are implemented. Additionally, the package implements stability selection for variable selection in the considered regression model.
    CONCLUSIONS: The proposed method fills a gap in the available software for fitting high-dimensional conditional logistic regression models accounting for the matched design and block structure of predictors/features. The output consists of a set of selected variables that are significantly associated with case-control status. These variables can then be investigated in terms of functional interpretation or validation in further, more targeted studies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:先前的研究报道了关于痛风与癌症风险之间关联的有争议的结果。本研究旨在探讨痛风与头颈部肿瘤发病的关系。方法:使用韩国国家健康保险数据库对2009年进行健康体检的参与者数据进行分析。总共分析了14,348名HNC患者和57,392名对照参与者的痛风病史。应用了重叠加权,分析HNC患者痛风的比值比(OR)。重叠加权模型根据人口统计进行了调整,社会经济,生活方式因素和合并症。HNC部位被归类为口腔癌,口咽癌,鼻咽癌,下咽癌,鼻腔/窦癌,喉癌,或者唾液腺癌,并估计每个部位的痛风OR。结果:总体而言,HNC患者患痛风的几率高1.12倍(95%置信区间[CIs]=1.04~1.20).根据HNC的网站,口腔癌,口咽癌,喉癌患者出现痛风的几率很高(口腔癌的OR=1.25,95%CI=1.16~1.34;口咽癌的OR=1.08,95%CI=1.01~1.15;喉癌的OR=1.12,95%CI=1.06~1.20).另一方面,鼻腔/窦癌,鼻咽癌,和唾液腺癌出现痛风的几率较低(对于鼻腔/窦癌,OR=0.78,95%CI=0.72~0.84;对于鼻咽癌,OR=0.89,95%CI=0.83~0.96;对于唾液腺癌,OR=0.88,95%CI=0.81~0.96).结论:既往痛风病史与HNC总体发病率高相关。口腔癌,口咽癌,喉癌在痛风患者中发病率较高。然而,鼻腔/窦癌,鼻咽癌,而涎腺癌在痛风患者中发病率较低。痛风对HNC风险的影响应根据HNC的部位具体考虑。
    Objective: Previous studies have reported controversial results on the association between gout and the risk of cancer. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between gout and the incidence of head and neck cancer (HNC). Methods: The data of participants who underwent health checkups in 2009 were analyzed using the National Health Insurance Database in South Korea. A total of 14,348 HNC patients and 57,392 control participants were analyzed for a prior history of gout. Overlap weighting was applied, and odds ratios (ORs) of gout for HNC patients were analyzed. The overlap-weighted model adjusted for demographic, socioeconomic, and lifestyle factors and comorbidities. HNC sites were classified as oral cavity cancer, oropharyngeal cancer, nasopharyngeal cancer, hypopharyngeal cancer, nasal cavity/sinus cancer, larynx cancer, or salivary gland cancer, and the ORs of gout were estimated for each site. Results: Overall, patients with HNC had 1.12-fold greater odds of having gout (95% confidence intervals [CIs] = 1.04-1.20). According to the site of HNC, oral cavity cancer, oropharynx cancer, and larynx cancer demonstrated high odds of having gout (OR = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.16-1.34 for oral cavity cancer; OR = 1.08, 95% CI = 1.01-1.15 for oropharynx cancer; and OR = 1.12, 95% CI = 1.06-1.20 for larynx cancer). On the other hand, nasal cavity/sinus cancer, nasopharynx cancer, and salivary gland cancer presented low odds of having gout (OR = 0.78, 95% CI = 0.72-0.84 for nasal cavity/sinus cancer; OR = 0.89, 95% CI = 0.83-0.96 for nasopharynx cancer; and OR = 0.88, 95% CI = 0.81-0.96 for salivary gland cancer). Conclusions: A prior history of gout was associated with a high overall incidence of HNC. Oral cavity cancer, oropharynx cancer, and larynx cancer have a high incidence in gout patients. However, nasal cavity/sinus cancer, nasopharyngeal cancer, and salivary gland cancer have low incidences in gout patients. The impact of gout on HNC risk should be specifically considered according to the site of the HNC.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:疲劳是一种常见症状,对类风湿关节炎(RA)患者的预后和功能产生负面影响。本研究旨在通过两个量表评估疲劳并验证其一致性,全面评估RA患者疲劳相关危险因素。
    方法:在本病例对照研究中,通过布里斯托尔类风湿关节炎疲劳多维问卷(BRAF-MDQ)和中文版疲劳简表(BFI-C)评估了160例RA患者和60例健康对照者的疲劳。使用RA患者的红细胞沉降率评估28关节疾病活动评分。
    结果:与健康对照相比,RA患者的BRAF-MDQ和BFI-C评分均升高(均p<.001)。有趣的是,在RA患者(r=.669,p<.001)和健康对照组(r=.527,p<.001)中,BRAF-MDQ整体疲劳评分与BFI-C整体疲劳评分呈正相关;同时,Kendall的tau-b检验显示,RA患者(W=0.759,p<.001)和健康对照(W=0.933,p<.001)的BRAF-MDQ和BFI-C整体疲劳评分之间具有高度一致性。值得注意的是,较高的教育水平(B=-4.547;95%置信区间:-7.065,-2.029;p<.001)和关节肿胀计数(B=1.965;95%置信区间:1.375,2.554;p<.001)与BRAF-MDQ整体疲劳评分独立相关;较高的教育水平(=-0.613;95%置信区间:-0.956,-0.269;p=
    结论:疲劳通常发生在RA患者中,独立地与教育水平和疾病活动有关。此外,BRAF-MDQ和BFI-C量表在评估疲劳方面表现出很高的一致性。
    BACKGROUND: Fatigue is a common symptom that negatively affects the outcomes and functions of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients. This study aimed to assess the fatigue by two scales and validate their consistency, also to comprehensively evaluate fatigue-related risk factors in RA patients.
    METHODS: In this case-control study, the fatigue of 160 RA patients and 60 healthy controls was evaluated by the Bristol Rheumatoid Arthritis Fatigue Multi-Dimensional Questionnaire (BRAF-MDQ) and the Chinese version of the Brief Fatigue Inventory (BFI-C). The 28-joint disease activity score using erythrocyte sedimentation rate of RA patients was assessed.
    RESULTS: The BRAF-MDQ and BFI-C scores were elevated in RA patients versus healthy controls (all p < .001). Interestingly, BRAF-MDQ global fatigue score positively correlated with BFI-C global fatigue score in both RA patients (r = .669, p < .001) and healthy controls (r = .527, p < .001); meanwhile, Kendall\'s tau-b test showed a high consistency between BRAF-MDQ and BFI-C global fatigue scores in RA patients (W = 0.759, p < .001) and healthy controls (W = 0.933, p < .001). Notably, higher education level (В = -4.547; 95% confidence interval: -7.065, -2.029; p < .001) and swollen joint count (В = 1.965; 95% confidence interval: 1.375, 2.554; p < .001) independently related to BRAF-MDQ global fatigue score; higher education level (В = -0.613; 95% confidence interval: -0.956, -0.269; p = .001) and clinical disease activity index (В = 0.053; 95% confidence interval: 0.005, 0.102; p = .032) independently linked with BFI-C global fatigue score.
    CONCLUSIONS: Fatigue commonly occurs in RA patients, which independently relates to education level and disease activity. Furthermore, BRAF-MDQ and BFI-C scales exhibit a high consistency in assessing fatigue.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    2023年9月,法国是最早开始使用nirsevimab进行全国免疫运动的国家之一,一种新的抗呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)的单克隆抗体。使用来自儿科重症监护病房(PICU)网络的数据,我们旨在评估nirsevimab对法国严重RSV毛细支气管炎的疗效.我们进行了一项基于测试阴性设计的病例对照研究,包括20个PICU报告的288名婴儿。我们在主要分析中估计nirsevimab的有效性为75.9%(48.5-88.7),在两次敏感性分析中估计为80.6%(61.6-90.3)和80.4%(61.7-89.9)。这些真实世界的估计证实了在临床研究中观察到的功效。
    In September 2023, France was one of the first countries that started a national immunisation campaign with nirsevimab, a new monoclonal antibody against respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). Using data from a network of paediatric intensive care units (PICUs), we aimed to estimate nirsevimab effectiveness against severe cases of RSV bronchiolitis in France. We conducted a case-control study based on the test-negative design and included 288 infants reported by 20 PICUs. We estimated nirsevimab effectiveness at 75.9% (48.5-88.7) in the main analysis and 80.6% (61.6-90.3) and 80.4% (61.7-89.9) in two sensitivity analyses. These real-world estimates confirmed the efficacy observed in clinical studies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:呼吸系统疾病住院后的再入院率已成为一个常见且具有挑战性的临床问题。社会和功能患者变量可以帮助识别再入院风险高的病例。目的是确定与西班牙呼吸道疾病住院后再次入院相关的护理诊断。
    方法:在西班牙一家三级公立医院(n=3781)的2016-19年期间因呼吸道疾病入院的患者队列中进行的病例对照研究。
    方法:病例是指在出院前30天内再次入院的患者,他们的对照组是其余的病人.所有护理诊断(n=130)均从电子健康记录中收集。然后将它们分为29个信息诊断类别。使用逻辑回归模型计算临床混杂校正比值比(OR)和95%置信区间(95%CIs)。
    结果:再入院率为13.1%。护理诊断类别“知识缺陷”(OR:1.61;95CI:1.13-2.31),“皮肤完整性受损和溃疡感染风险”(OR:1.45;95CI:1.06-1.97)和“与疲劳相关的活动不耐受”(OR:1.56;95CI:1.21-2.01)与出院后30%再次入院的风险增加相关,这与社会人口统计学背景无关,护理变量和合并症。
    住院期间作为患者护理计划的一部分而指定的护理诊断可能有助于预测再入院。
    OBJECTIVE: The rate of readmission after hospitalisation for respiratory diseases has become a common and challenging clinical problem. Social and functional patient variables could help identify cases at high risk of readmission. The aim was to identify the nursing diagnoses that were associated with readmission after hospitalisation for respiratory disease in Spain.
    METHODS: Case-control study within the cohort of patients admitted for respiratory disease during 2016-19 in a tertiary public hospital in Spain (n = 3781).
    METHODS: Cases were patients who were readmitted within the first 30 days of discharge, and their controls were the remaining patients. All nursing diagnoses (n = 130) were collected from the electronic health record. They were then grouped into 29 informative diagnostic categories. Clinical confounder-adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated using logistic regression models.
    RESULTS: The readmission rate was 13.1%. The nursing diagnoses categories \'knowledge deficit\' (OR: 1.61; 95%CI: 1.13-2.31), \'impaired skin integrity and risk of ulcer infection\' (OR: 1.45; 95%CI: 1.06-1.97) and \'activity intolerance associated with fatigue\' (OR: 1.56; 95%CI: 1.21-2.01) were associated with an increased risk of suffering an episode of hospital readmission rate at 30% after hospital discharge, and this was independent of sociodemographic background, care variables and comorbidity.
    UNASSIGNED: The nursing diagnoses assigned as part of the care plan of patients during hospital admission may be useful for predicting readmissions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景/简介:牙源性感染是颈深感染(DNI)的主要病因之一。然而,慢性牙周炎(CP)与DNI发病率之间的关系尚未研究。本研究旨在评估CP后DNI和扁桃体周围脓肿(PTA)的发生率。方法:采用2002-2019年韩国国家健康保险服务-国家样本队列。在研究I中,4585名PTA患者与19,340名对照I参与者相匹配。收集了1年的CP历史,采用条件逻辑回归分析PTA的CP比值比(OR)。在研究二,46,293名DNI患者和185,172名对照II参与者进行匹配。收集了1年的CP历史,并对DNI的CP的OR进行条件逻辑回归。次要分析是在人口统计学中进行的,社会经济,和合并症亚组。结果:在研究I中,CP病史与PTA的发生率无关(校正OR=1.28,95%置信区间[CI]=0.91~1.81).在研究二,有CP病史的参与者中DNI的发生率更高(校正OR=1.55,95%CI=1.41~1.71).CP病史与DNI之间的关系在年轻群体中更明显,男性,低收入,和农村居民。结论:在韩国普通人群中,CP的既往史与DNI的高发病率相关。CP患者需要对DNI的潜在风险进行管理。
    Background/Introduction: Odontogenic infection is one of the main etiologies of deep neck infection (DNI). However, the relationship between chronic periodontitis (CP) and the incidence of DNI has not been examined. This study aimed to evaluate the incidence of DNI and peritonsillar abscess (PTA) after CP. Methods: The Korean National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort 2002-2019 was used. In Study I, 4585 PTA patients were matched with 19,340 control I participants. A previous history of CP for 1 year was collected, and the odds ratios (ORs) of CP for PTA were analyzed using conditional logistic regression. In Study II, 46,293 DNI patients and 185,172 control II participants were matched. A previous history of CP for 1 year was collected, and conditional logistic regression was conducted for the ORs of CP for DNI. Secondary analyses were conducted in demographic, socioeconomic, and comorbidity subgroups. Results: In Study I, a history of CP was not related to the incidence of PTA (adjusted OR = 1.28, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.91-1.81). In Study II, the incidence of DNI was greater in participants with a history of CP (adjusted OR = 1.55, 95% CI = 1.41-1.71). The relationship between CP history and DNI was greater in groups with young, male, low-income, and rural residents. Conclusions: A prior history of CP was associated with a high incidence of DNI in the general population of Korea. Patients with CP need to be managed for the potential risk of DNI.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究旨在通过使用心率变异性(HRV)数据来开发重症监护病房(ICU)入院的预测模型。这项回顾性病例对照研究使用了两个数据集(急诊科[ED]入住ICU的患者,和未入住ICU的手术室患者)来自单一的学术三级医院。使用R-峰-R-峰(R-R)间隔每5分钟测量HRV度量。我们开发了一个广义线性混合模型来预测ICU入院并评估受试者工作特征曲线(AUC)下的面积。根据系数计算具有95%置信区间(CI)的赔率比(OR)。我们分析了610名(ICU:122;非ICU:488)患者,影响ICU入院几率的因素包括糖尿病史(OR[95%CI]:3.33[1.71-6.48]);较高的心率(OR[95%CI]:每10个单位增加3.40[2.97-3.90]);连续R-R间隔差异的均方根较高(RMSSD;OR[95%CI]:每10个R-单位增加1.36[1.22-1.51],RR(OR每10个单位增加0.68[0.60-0.78])。最终模型的AUC为0.947(95%CI:0.906-0.987)。开发的模型有效地预测了ED和手术室混合人群中的ICU入院情况。
    This study aimed to develop a predictive model for intensive care unit (ICU) admission by using heart rate variability (HRV) data. This retrospective case-control study used two datasets (emergency department [ED] patients admitted to the ICU, and patients in the operating room without ICU admission) from a single academic tertiary hospital. HRV metrics were measured every 5 min using R-peak-to-R-peak (R-R) intervals. We developed a generalized linear mixed model to predict ICU admission and assessed the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated from the coefficients. We analyzed 610 (ICU: 122; non-ICU: 488) patients, and the factors influencing the odds of ICU admission included a history of diabetes mellitus (OR [95% CI]: 3.33 [1.71-6.48]); a higher heart rate (OR [95% CI]: 3.40 [2.97-3.90] per 10-unit increase); a higher root mean square of successive R-R interval differences (RMSSD; OR [95% CI]: 1.36 [1.22-1.51] per 10-unit increase); and a lower standard deviation of R-R intervals (SDRR; OR [95% CI], 0.68 [0.60-0.78] per 10-unit increase). The final model achieved an AUC of 0.947 (95% CI: 0.906-0.987). The developed model effectively predicted ICU admission among a mixed population from the ED and operating room.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    丙烯酰胺是一种可能的致癌物。它的主要来源是饮食和烟草。先前尚未评估饮食中丙烯酰胺摄入量与烟草和前列腺癌(PCa)之间的关联。我们旨在评估膳食丙烯酰胺摄入量与通过香烟接触丙烯酰胺和PCa风险之间的关系。进行了一项基于人群的病例对照(CAPLIFE)研究,包括428例PCa事件和393例控制。吸烟和饮食信息,一份经过验证的食物频率问卷,被收集。我们计算了两种来源的丙烯酰胺含量,和三元(Ts)被创建。应用多变量逻辑回归和有限的三次样条模型来评估丙烯酰胺暴露与PCa风险之间的关联。在PCa病例和对照组中,饮食和吸烟丙烯酰胺的中位数相似。饮食丙烯酰胺摄入量与总体PCa风险之间未观察到关联(调整后的ORT3vsT1=0.90(95%CI0.59,1.37))。观察到吸烟引起的丙烯酰胺暴露的风险趋势(p趋势=0.032),在那些通过香烟高度接触丙烯酰胺的受试者中,几率最高(调整后的ORT3vsT1=1.67(95%CI0.92,3.04))。受限三次样条表示线性关系。总之,吸烟产生的丙烯酰胺可能与PCa风险呈正相关,但未观察到膳食丙烯酰胺的相关性。
    Acrylamide is a probable carcinogen. Its main sources are the diet and tobacco. The association between acrylamide intake from the diet and tobacco and prostate cancer (PCa) has not been previously evaluated. We aimed to evaluate the relationship between dietary acrylamide intake and exposure to acrylamide through cigarettes and PCa risk. A population-based case-control (CAPLIFE) study was conducted, including 428 incident PCa cases and 393 controls. Smoking and dietary information, with a validated food frequency questionnaire, was collected. We calculated the amount of acrylamide from both sources, and tertiles (Ts) were created. Multivariable logistic regression and restricted cubic spline models were applied to assess the association between exposure to acrylamide and PCa risk. The median was similar for acrylamide in both dietary and smoking acrylamide among PCa cases and controls. No association was observed between dietary acrylamide intake and overall PCa risk (adjusted ORT3vsT1 = 0.90 (95% CI 0.59, 1.37)). A risk trend was observed for acrylamide exposure from cigarette smoking (p-trend = 0.032), with the highest odds in those subjects with the high exposure to acrylamide through cigarettes (adjusted ORT3vsT1 = 1.67 (95% CI 0.92, 3.04)). The restricted cubic splines suggested a linear relationship. In conclusion, acrylamide from smoking could be positively associated with PCa risk, but no association was observed for dietary acrylamide.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:双相情感障碍是严重的精神疾病,然而,有证据表明,双相情感障碍的诊断和治疗可以延迟约6年。
    目的:使用常规收集的电子健康记录来识别未诊断的双相情感障碍的信号。
    方法:使用英国临床实践研究数据链(CPRD)GOLD数据集进行的嵌套病例对照研究,与医院记录相关的匿名电子初级保健患者数据库。“病例”为2010年1月1日至2017年7月31日期间诊断为双相情感障碍的成年患者。
    方法:双相障碍患者(双相障碍组)按年龄进行匹配,性别,并对20个未记录双相情感障碍的“对照组”进行了一般实践注册(对照组)。在指数(诊断)日期之前,对记录的健康事件进行了估算,并报告了条件逻辑回归模型的比值比。
    结果:有2366例发生双相情感障碍的患者和47138例匹配的对照组患者(中位年龄40岁,60.4%为女性:n=1430/2366患有双相情感障碍,n=28471/47138没有)。与对照组相比,双相情感障碍组有更高的发病率诊断抑郁症,精神病患者,焦虑,在双相情感障碍诊断前10年,人格障碍和自我伤害升级。睡眠障碍,物质滥用,双相情感障碍组的情绪波动比对照组更频繁。双相情感障碍组进行了更频繁的面对面咨询,并且更有可能错过多次预定的预约,并且在给定年份中被开处方≥3种不同的精神药物类别。
    结论:精神病诊断,精神药物处方,卫生服务使用模式可能是未报告的双相情感障碍的信号。认识到这些信号可能会促使进一步调查未诊断的重大精神病理学,导致及时转诊,评估,并开始适当的治疗。
    BACKGROUND: Bipolar disorders are serious mental illnesses, yet evidence suggests that the diagnosis and treatment of bipolar disorder can be delayed by around 6 years.
    OBJECTIVE: To identify signals of undiagnosed bipolar disorder using routinely collected electronic health records.
    METHODS: A nested case-control study conducted using the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD dataset, an anonymised electronic primary care patient database linked with hospital records. \'Cases\' were adult patients with incident bipolar disorder diagnoses between 1 January 2010 and 31 July 2017.
    METHODS: The patients with bipolar disorder (the bipolar disorder group) were matched by age, sex, and registered general practice to 20 \'controls\' without recorded bipolar disorder (the control group). Annual episode incidence rates were estimated and odds ratios from conditional logistic regression models were reported for recorded health events before the index (diagnosis) date.
    RESULTS: There were 2366 patients with incident bipolar disorder diagnoses and 47 138 matched control patients (median age 40 years and 60.4% female: n = 1430/2366 with bipolar disorder and n = 28 471/47 138 without). Compared with the control group, the bipolar disorder group had a higher incidence of diagnosed depressive, psychotic, anxiety, and personality disorders and escalating self-harm up to 10 years before a bipolar disorder diagnosis. Sleep disturbance, substance misuse, and mood swings were more frequent among the bipolar disorder group than the control group. The bipolar disorder group had more frequent face-to-face consultations, and were more likely to miss multiple scheduled appointments and to be prescribed ≥3 different psychotropic medication classes in a given year.
    CONCLUSIONS: Psychiatric diagnoses, psychotropic prescriptions, and health service use patterns might be signals of unreported bipolar disorder. Recognising these signals could prompt further investigation for undiagnosed significant psychopathology, leading to timely referral, assessment, and initiation of appropriate treatments.
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