Apparent temperature

表观温度
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:创伤性骨折在世界范围内经常发生。然而,关于短期温度暴露与创伤性骨折之间的关系的研究仍然有限.这项研究旨在探讨表观温度(AT)对创伤性骨折急诊就诊(EV)的影响。
    方法:基于创伤骨折的电动汽车数据和当代气象数据,采用广义泊松回归模型和分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)来确定AT对创伤性骨折EV的影响.同时进行性别、年龄亚组分析及敏感性分析。
    结果:本研究共纳入25,094例创伤性骨折患者。我们观察到AT和创伤性骨折风险之间存在广泛的“J”形关系,由于创伤性骨折,AT高于9.5°C与电动汽车呈正相关。热效应在累积滞后0-11天时变得显著,和中度高温的相对风险(RR)(第95百分位数,35.7°C)和极端高温(99.5百分位数,38.8°C)在累计滞后0-14天时的效果为1.311(95%CI:1.132-1.518)和1.418(95%CI:1.191-1.688),分别。在0-14天的单个或累积滞后日中,寒冷的影响始终不显着。在男性和18-65岁的人群中,热效应更高。敏感性分析结果仍然稳健。
    结论:较高的AT与累积性和延迟性较高的创伤性骨折EV相关。男性和18-65岁的人更容易患更高的AT。
    BACKGROUND: Traumatic fractures occur frequently worldwide. However, research remains limited on the association between short-term exposure to temperature and traumatic fractures. This study aims to explore the impact of apparent temperature (AT) on emergency visits (EVs) due to traumatic fractures.
    METHODS: Based on EVs data for traumatic fractures and the contemporary meteorological data, a generalized Poisson regression model along with a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) were undertaken to determine the impact of AT on traumatic fracture EVs. Subgroup analysis by gender and age and sensitivity analysis were also performed.
    RESULTS: A total of 25,094 EVs for traumatic fractures were included in the study. We observed a wide \"J\"-shaped relationship between AT and risk of traumatic fractures, with AT above 9.5 °C positively associated with EVs due to traumatic fractures. The heat effects became significant at cumulative lag 0-11 days, and the relative risk (RR) for moderate heat (95th percentile, 35.7 °C) and extreme heat (99.5th percentile, 38.8 °C) effect was 1.311 (95% CI: 1.132-1.518) and 1.418 (95% CI: 1.191-1.688) at cumulative lag 0-14 days, respectively. The cold effects were consistently non-significant on single or cumulative lag days across 0-14 days. The heat effects were higher among male and those aged 18-65 years old. The sensitivity analysis results remained robust.
    CONCLUSIONS: Higher AT is associated with cumulative and delayed higher traumatic fracture EVs. The male and those aged 18-65 years are more susceptible to higher AT.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:非最佳温度与呼吸系统疾病的风险增加有关,但是表观温度(AT)对呼吸系统疾病的影响仍有待研究。
    方法:使用赣州2016-2020年的每日数据,中国南方的一个大城市,我们分析了AT对呼吸系统疾病门诊和住院患者就诊的影响.我们考虑了总呼吸道疾病和五种亚型(流感和肺炎,上呼吸道感染(URTI),下呼吸道感染(LRTI),哮喘和慢性阻塞性肺疾病[COPD])。我们的分析采用了分布式滞后非线性模型(DLNM)和广义加性模型(GAM)。
    结果:我们记录了94,952名门诊患者和72,410名呼吸系统疾病住院患者。我们发现AT与每天门诊和住院的总呼吸道疾病显着非线性相关,流感和肺炎,URTI,主要是在舒适的AT水平,而它与LRTI和COPD的每日住院就诊完全相关。中热(32.1°C,75.0分位数)被观察到对总呼吸系统疾病的每日门诊和住院就诊的显着影响,相对风险为1.561(1.161,2.098)和1.276(1.027,1.585),分别(均P<0.05),而随着CO和O3的调整,住院患者的结果变得微不足道。门诊患者和住院患者的归因分数如下:总呼吸系统疾病(24.43%和18.69%),流感和肺炎(31.54%和17.33%),URTI(23.03%和32.91%),LRTI(37.49%和30.00%),哮喘(9.83%和3.39%),和COPD(30.67%和10.65%)。分层分析表明,≤5岁的儿童比年龄较大的参与者更容易受到中度热量的影响。
    结论:结论:我们的结果表明,适度的热量增加了每天门诊和住院呼吸道疾病的风险,尤其是5岁以下的儿童。
    BACKGROUND: Non-optimum temperatures are associated with increased risk of respiratory diseases, but the effects of apparent temperature (AT) on respiratory diseases remain to be investigated.
    METHODS: Using daily data from 2016 to 2020 in Ganzhou, a large city in southern China, we analyzed the impact of AT on outpatient and inpatient visits for respiratory diseases. We considered total respiratory diseases and five subtypes (influenza and pneumonia, upper respiratory tract infection (URTI), lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI), asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD]). Our analysis employed a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) combined with a generalized additive model (GAM).
    RESULTS: We recorded 94,952 outpatients and 72,410 inpatients for respiratory diseases. We found AT significantly non-linearly associated with daily outpatient and inpatient visits for total respiratory diseases, influenza and pneumonia, and URTI, primarily during comfortable AT levels, while it was exclusively related with daily inpatient visits for LRTI and COPD. Moderate heat (32.1 °C, the 75.0th centile) was observed with a significant effect on both daily outpatient and inpatient visits for total respiratory diseases at a relative risk of 1.561 (1.161, 2.098) and 1.276 (1.027, 1.585), respectively (both P < 0.05), while the results of inpatients became insignificant with the adjustment for CO and O3. The attributable fractions in outpatients and inpatients were as follows: total respiratory diseases (24.43% and 18.69%), influenza and pneumonia (31.54% and 17.33%), URTI (23.03% and 32.91%), LRTI (37.49% and 30.00%), asthma (9.83% and 3.39%), and COPD (30.67% and 10.65%). Stratified analyses showed that children ≤5 years old were more susceptible to moderate heat than older participants.
    CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, our results indicated moderate heat increase the risk of daily outpatient and inpatient visits for respiratory diseases, especially among children under the age of 5.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    近几十年来,气温(AT)和表观温度(AP)的上升带来了越来越大的健康风险。在中国快速城市化和全球气候变化的背景下,了解城市土地利用/土地覆盖(LULC)变化对AP的影响至关重要。本研究调查了AT和AP的空间分布和长期变异模式,使用1996年至2020年中国834个气象站的数据。它还探讨了AT之间的关系,AP,和LULC在30个主要城市的城市核心区。研究表明,AT和AP表现出整体高度的空间相似性,尽管AP的空间差异更大。值得注意的是,已经确定了两者之间存在显著差异的地区。此外,观察到高AP变化率的空间范围比AT宽。此外,研究表明,ΔT(AT和AP之差)与Wa_ratio和Ar_ratio之间存在潜在的二元二次函数关系,表示存在最不适合曲线(LSC),[公式:见正文]。城市LULC规划应谨慎避免与此曲线相交。这些发现可以为城市LULC规划提供有价值的见解,最终提高城市居民的热舒适度。
    In recent decades, rising air temperatures (AT) and apparent temperatures (AP) have posed growing health risks. In the context of China\'s rapid urbanization and global climate change, it is crucial to understand the impact of urban land use/land cover (LULC) changes on AP. This study investigates the spatial distribution and long-term variation patterns of AT and AP, using data from 834 meteorological stations across China from 1996 to 2020. It also explores the relationship between AT, AP, and LULC in the urban core areas of 30 major cities. Study reveals that AT and AP exhibit overall high spatial similarity, albeit with greater spatial variance in AP. Notably, regions with significant disparities between the two have been identified. Furthermore, it\'s observed that the spatial range of high AP change rates is wider than that of AT. Moreover, the study suggests a potential bivariate quadratic function relationship between ΔT (the difference between AT and AP) and Wa_ratio and Ar_ratio, indicating the presence of a Least Suitable Curve (LSC), [Formula: see text]. Urban LULC planning should carefully avoid intersecting with this curve. These findings can provide valuable insights for urban LULC planning, ultimately enhancing the thermal comfort of urban residents.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    大多数评估精液质量可能的季节性变化的研究都认为温度是唯一的因果因素。
    为了评估精子质量的可能季节性以及精液参数与几个气象变量(温度,湿度,湿度表观温度和大气压)在大量男性患者中。
    这是一个回顾,横断面和相关/描述性研究。
    患者(n:15665)分为四组(夏季,冬天,春季和秋季)根据生育中心的援助日期。每日温度值,表观温度,湿度和大气压力由国家天气系统提供,并计算为精液收集前74天的平均值(生精周期)。
    酌情,结果通过方差分析/Kruskal-Wallis,卡方检验,t检验/Mann-Whitney,正向条件回归模型和Spearman/Pearson相关性。
    我们检测到季节性对精子数量的影响,精子总数和活动精子总数,冬季最高,夏季最低。相关分析表明,表观温度和湿度与精液参数呈负相关,湿度是最强大的预测气象变量。
    精子质量受季节影响;环境温度和湿度的增加会对精液质量产生负面影响。
    UNASSIGNED: Most studies evaluating the possible seasonal variation of semen quality have considered temperature as the only causal factor.
    UNASSIGNED: To assess possible seasonality in sperm quality and associations between semen parameters and several meteorological variables (temperature, humidity, apparent temperature and atmospheric pressure) in a large cohort of andrological patients.
    UNASSIGNED: This was a retrospective, cross-sectional and correlational/descriptive study.
    UNASSIGNED: Patients (n: 15665) were categorised into four groups (summer, winter, spring and autumn) according to the date of assistance at the fertility centre. Daily values of temperature, apparent temperature, humidity and atmospheric pressure were provided by the National Weather System and were calculated as the average of the 74 days previous to semen collection (spermatogenic cycle).
    UNASSIGNED: As appropriate, the results were analysed by analysis of variance/Kruskal-Wallis, Chi-square test, t-test/Mann-Whitney, forward conditional regression model and Spearman/Pearson\'s correlations.
    UNASSIGNED: We detected seasonality effects on sperm count, total sperm count and total motile sperm count, with the highest values in winter and the lowest in summer. Correlation analysis showed that temperature, apparent temperature and humidity negatively correlated with semen parameters, being humidity the most powerful predictive meteorological variable.
    UNASSIGNED: Sperm quality is influenced by seasons; increased environmental temperature and humidity negatively affect semen quality.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在各种热应力指数中,表观温度(AT)与公共卫生指标密切相关,因此被世界各地的天气机构广泛使用。因此,在本文中,我们估计了整个韩国和五个主要城市(首尔,Gwanju,大邱,大田,和釜山)使用基于耦合模型相互比较项目(CMIP6)的国家标准气候情景。在今天,由于高温(TAS)和相对湿度(RH),在主要城市发生高AT。我们的研究结果表明,即使TAS相对较低,大AT发生在较高的湿度。值得注意的是,在未来更温暖的气候条件下,高AT可能首先出现在五大城市,然后延伸到周边地区。在热前季节(3月至6月),TAS和RH的增加可能会导致在未来较暖的气候条件下更早发生热风险,并更频繁地发生高热应力事件。我们的研究可以作为未来韩国热风险变化信息的参考。考虑到那些不适应高温环境的人,我们的研究结果表明,热风险将变得更加严重,在未来较温暖的气候条件下,在热前季节将需要热适应策略.
    Among the various thermal stress indices, apparent temperature (AT) is closely related to public health indicators, and consequently is widely used by weather agencies around the world. Therefore, in this paper we estimate the changes in AT and contributing components in Korea as a whole and in five major cities (Seoul, Gwanju, Daegu, Daejeon, and Busan) using national standard climate scenarios based on the coupled model inter-comparison project (CMIP6). In the present day, high AT occurs in major cities due to high temperature (TAS) and relative humidity (RH). Our findings reveal that even when TAS is relatively low, large AT occurs with higher humidity. Notably, in future warmer climate conditions, high AT may first appear in the five major cities and then extend to the surrounding areas. An increase in TAS and RH during the pre-hot season (March to June) may lead to earlier occurrence of thermal risks in future warmer climate conditions and more frequent occurrence of high thermal stress events. Our study can serve as a reference for future information on thermal risk changes in Korea. Considering those who have not adapted to high temperature environments, our findings imply that thermal risks will become more serious and that heat adaptation strategies will be needed during the pre-hot season under future warmer climate conditions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    对极端气候事件进行稳健的时空划分和准确识别受事件影响的区域是研究气候变化流行病学的前提。在先前的研究中,气候属性,如温度和湿度,通常被线性分配给研究单位的人口从最近的气象站。这可能导致不准确的事件描述和对极端热暴露的偏见评估。我们开发了一个时空模型,以动态地描绘跨空间和随时间的极端热事件(EHE)的边界。使用视在温度(AT)的相对测量。与标准的最近站(NS)分配方法相比,我们的表面插值方法提供了更高的时空分辨率。我们表明,所提出的方法可以在识别受EHEs影响的区域和人口方面提供至少80.8%的改进。平均值的这种提高调整了极端事件每天约100万加利福尼亚人的错误分类,在2017年至2021年期间,根据EHEs,他们要么身份不明,要么被误认。
    Robust spatio-temporal delineation of extreme climate events and accurate identification of areas that are impacted by an event is a prerequisite for identifying population-level and health-related risks. In prior research, attributes such as temperature and humidity have often been linearly assigned to the population of the study unit from the closest weather station. This could result in inaccurate event delineation and biased assessment of extreme heat exposure. We have developed a spatio-temporal model to dynamically delineate boundaries for Extreme Heat Events (EHE) across space and over time, using a relative measure of Apparent Temperature (AT). Our surface interpolation approach offers a higher spatio-temporal resolution compared to the standard nearest-station (NS) assignment method. We show that the proposed approach can provide at least 80.8 percent improvement in identification of areas and populations impacted by EHEs. This improvement in average adjusts the misclassification of about one million Californians per day of an extreme event, who would be either unidentified or misidentified under EHEs between 2017 and 2021.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    腹泻是全球发病率和死亡率的重要原因。有证据表明,腹泻的患病率与环境温度有关。这项研究旨在确定南非农村地区的环境温度与腹泻之间是否存在关联。Mopani区两家大型地区医院的每日腹泻医院(2007年至2016年),林波波省与日平均温度和表观温度(Tapp,\'真实感觉\'温度,结合温度,相对湿度,和风速)。线性回归和阈值回归,年龄分层为≤5岁和>5岁的参与者,考虑通过Tapp的单位°C增加每日入院率的变化。环境温度和Tapp的每日范围为2-42°C和-5-34°C,分别。每日平均气温每升高1°C,所有年龄段的患者因腹泻住院率增加了6%(95%CI:0.04-0.08;p<0.001),5岁以上患者住院率增加了4%(95%CI:0.02-0.05;p<0.001).≤5岁儿童的平均每日Tapp与所有每日腹泻入院之间的正线性关系无统计学意义(95%CI:-0.00-0.03;p=0.107)。腹泻常见于≤5岁的儿童,然而,更有可能是由温度/Tapp以外的因素触发的,而这可能与>5岁个体的温度升高有关。我们由于缺乏关于混杂因素和效应修饰符的数据而受到限制,因此,我们的发现是探索性的.为了全面量化温度如何影响腹泻的入院计数,未来的研究应包括社会经济人口因素以及与WASH相关的数据,例如个人卫生习惯和清洁水的获取。
    Diarrhea contributes significantly to global morbidity and mortality. There is evidence that diarrhea prevalence is associated with ambient temperature. This study aimed to determine if there was an association between ambient temperature and diarrhea at a rural site in South Africa. Daily diarrheal hospital admissions (2007 to 2016) at two large district hospitals in Mopani district, Limpopo province were compared to average daily temperature and apparent temperature (Tapp, \'real-feel\' temperature that combined temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed). Linear regression and threshold regression, age-stratified to participants ≤5 years and >5 years old, considered changes in daily admissions by unit °C increase in Tapp. Daily ranges in ambient temperature and Tapp were 2-42 °C and -5-34 °C, respectively. For every 1 °C increase in average daily temperature, there was a 6% increase in hospital admissions for diarrhea for individuals of all ages (95% CI: 0.04-0.08; p < 0.001) and a 4% increase in admissions for individuals older than 5 years (95% CI: 0.02-0.05; p < 0.001). A positive linear relationship between average daily Tapp and all daily diarrheal admissions for children ≤5 years old was not statistically significant (95% CI: -0.00-0.03; p = 0.107). Diarrhea is common in children ≤5 years old, however, is more likely triggered by factors other than temperature/Tapp, while it is likely associated with increased temperature in individuals >5 years old. We are limited by lack of data on confounders and effect modifiers, thus, our findings are exploratory. To fully quantify how temperature affects hospital admission counts for diarrhea, future studies should include socio-economic-demographic factors as well as WASH-related data such as personal hygiene practices and access to clean water.
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  • 文章类型: Randomized Controlled Trial
    这项研究的目的是探讨母亲在怀孕期间AT对儿童哮喘和喘息的影响,以及这种关联中的潜在效应修饰剂。于2018年12月至2019年3月在济南市实施横断面研究,调查18个月至3岁儿童哮喘和喘息的患病率。然后,我们进行了一项基于人群的病例对照研究,以探讨产前不同AT暴露水平与儿童哮喘和喘息之间的关系.通过广义加性模型和逻辑回归模型对关联进行评估,并进行了分层分析以探索潜在的效应修正剂。共有12384名接种疫苗的儿童参加了哮喘和喘息的筛查,筛查236例,以及1445名对照被随机分配.在调整协变量后,儿童哮喘和喘息与妊娠早期的冷暴露显著相关,OR为1.731(95%CI:1.117-2.628),妊娠晚期的冷暴露和热暴露,ORs为1.610(95%CI:1.030-2.473)和2.039(95%CI:1.343-3.048)。在妊娠晚期,在女孩中发现了增强的影响,居住距离最近的主要交通道路的儿童,和父母患有哮喘的孩子。研究表明,在妊娠早期和晚期暴露于极端AT可能会增加儿童哮喘和喘息的风险。
    The objective of this study was to explore the impact of maternal AT during pregnancy on childhood asthma and wheezing, as well as the potential effect modifiers in this association. A cross-sectional study was implemented from December 2018 to March 2019 in Jinan to investigate the prevalence of childhood asthma and wheezing among aged 18 months to 3 years. Then, we conducted a case-control study based on population to explore the association between prenatal different AT exposure levels and childhood asthma and wheezing. The association was assessed by generalized additive models and logistic regression models, and stratified analyses were performed to explore potential effect modifiers. A total of 12,384 vaccinated children participated in screening for asthma and wheezing, 236 cases were screened, as well as 1445 controls were randomized. After adjusting for the covariates, childhood asthma and wheezing were significantly associated with cold exposure in the first trimester, with OR 1.731 (95% CI: 1.117-2.628), and cold exposure and heat exposure in the third trimester, with ORs 1.610 (95% CI: 1.030-2.473) and 2.039 (95% CI: 1.343-3.048). In the third trimester, enhanced impacts were found among girls, children whose distance of residence was close to the nearest main traffic road, and children whose parents have asthma. The study indicates that exposure to extreme AT during the first and third trimesters could increase the risk of childhood asthma and wheezing.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    35°C的独特湿球温度通常用作人类生存能力的阈值,但是最近的实验表明,一个人的核心温度在很宽的临界湿球温度范围内开始上升。这里,结果表明,热指数背后的模型正确地预测了那些临界湿球温度,解释了在实验室热应激实验中观察到的值的95%的方差。这是首次针对来自实验室实验的生理数据验证热指数模型。对于室内环境中的轻度和适度的劳累,热指数模型预测临界湿球温度范围为20至32°C,根据相对湿度,与实验结果一致。对于相同的设置和使用,热指数模型预测致命的湿球温度范围为24至37°C。
    A unique wet-bulb temperature of 35°C is often used as the threshold for human survivability, but recent experiments have shown that a person\'s core temperature starts to rise at a wide range of critical wet-bulb temperatures. Here, it is shown that the model underlying the heat index correctly predicts those critical wet-bulb temperatures, explaining 95% of the variance in the values observed in laboratory heat-stress experiments. This is the first time the heat-index model has been validated against physiological data from laboratory experiments. For light and moderate exertion in an indoor setting, the heat index model predicts that the critical wet-bulb temperature ranges from 20°C to 32°C, depending on the relative humidity, consistent with experimental results. For the same setting and exertion, the heat index model predicts fatal wet-bulb temperatures ranging from 24°C to 37°C.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Recent experiments have identified the critical combinations of heat and humidity, in an indoor setting, above which an individual is unable to maintain a standard core temperature, indicating severe heat stress. It is shown here why this state of severe heat stress cannot be predicted using the wet-bulb temperature. Instead, it is shown that the recently extended heat index model can explain nearly all of the variance in the observed critical combinations of temperature and humidity, and can be used to calculate fatal combinations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    美国的个人不够活跃,增加他们的慢性病风险。由于热不适,极端温度可能会减少身体活动。较凉爽的气候研究表明,气候变化可能对身体活动产生净积极影响,然而,对于温暖的气候和一天内的身体活动模式,研究仍然存在差距。我们确定了潮湿的亚热带气候中环境温度(当代和预计)与城市步道使用之间的关联。在奥斯汀的一条小径上,TX,五个电子柜台在2019年记录了每小时行人和骑自行车的人数。天气数据是从世界天气在线获得的。广义加法模型估计了温度和踪迹计数之间的关联。然后,我们将NASANEX-GDDP针对中等(RCP4.5)和高(RCP8.5)排放情景的气候模型的估计暴露-响应关系与天气预测相结合。从夏天到秋天到春天到冬天,每小时的步道计数从双峰(上午和傍晚的高峰)转移到一个中午的高峰。行人更有可能在7至27°C(45-81°F)之间使用小径,峰值在17°C(63°F)使用,而骑自行车的人在15至33°C(59-91°F)之间使用峰值在27°C(81°F)比在极端温度下使用。估计到2041-2060年,步道使用量净减少(RCP4.5:行人=-4.5%,骑车人=-1.1%;RCP8.5:行人=-6.6%,骑车人=-1.6%)和2081-2100(RCP4.5:行人=-7.5%,骑车人=-1.9%;RCP8.5:行人=-16%,骑自行车的人=-4.5%)。结果表明,气候变化可能会减少小径的使用。我们建议在身体活动设置时进行热舒适干预。
    Individuals in the USA are insufficiently active, increasing their chronic disease risk. Extreme temperatures may reduce physical activity due to thermal discomfort. Cooler climate studies have suggested climate change may have a net positive effect on physical activity, yet research gaps remain for warmer climates and within-day physical activity patterns. We determined the association between ambient temperatures (contemporary and projected) and urban trail use in a humid subtropical climate. At a trail in Austin, TX, five electronic counters recorded hourly pedestrian and cyclist counts in 2019. Weather data were acquired from World Weather Online. Generalized additive models estimated the association between temperature and trail counts. We then combined the estimated exposure-response relation with weather projections from climate models for intermediate (RCP4.5) and high (RCP8.5) emissions scenarios by NASA NEX-GDDP. From summer to autumn to spring to winter, hourly trail counts shifted from bimodal (mid-morning and early-evening peaks) to one mid-day peak. Pedestrians were more likely to use the trail between 7 and 27 °C (45-81°F) with peak use at 17 °C (63°F) and cyclists between 15 and 33 °C (59-91°F) with peak use at 27 °C (81°F) than at temperature extremes. A net decrease in trail use was estimated by 2041-2060 (RCP4.5: pedestrians =  - 4.5%, cyclists =  - 1.1%; RCP8.5: pedestrians =  - 6.6%, cyclists =  - 1.6%) and 2081-2100 (RCP4.5: pedestrians =  - 7.5%, cyclists =  - 1.9%; RCP8.5: pedestrians =  - 16%, cyclists =  - 4.5%). Results suggest climate change may reduce trail use. We recommend interventions for thermal comfort at settings for physical activity.
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