Apparent temperature

表观温度
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:创伤性骨折在世界范围内经常发生。然而,关于短期温度暴露与创伤性骨折之间的关系的研究仍然有限.这项研究旨在探讨表观温度(AT)对创伤性骨折急诊就诊(EV)的影响。
    方法:基于创伤骨折的电动汽车数据和当代气象数据,采用广义泊松回归模型和分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)来确定AT对创伤性骨折EV的影响.同时进行性别、年龄亚组分析及敏感性分析。
    结果:本研究共纳入25,094例创伤性骨折患者。我们观察到AT和创伤性骨折风险之间存在广泛的“J”形关系,由于创伤性骨折,AT高于9.5°C与电动汽车呈正相关。热效应在累积滞后0-11天时变得显著,和中度高温的相对风险(RR)(第95百分位数,35.7°C)和极端高温(99.5百分位数,38.8°C)在累计滞后0-14天时的效果为1.311(95%CI:1.132-1.518)和1.418(95%CI:1.191-1.688),分别。在0-14天的单个或累积滞后日中,寒冷的影响始终不显着。在男性和18-65岁的人群中,热效应更高。敏感性分析结果仍然稳健。
    结论:较高的AT与累积性和延迟性较高的创伤性骨折EV相关。男性和18-65岁的人更容易患更高的AT。
    BACKGROUND: Traumatic fractures occur frequently worldwide. However, research remains limited on the association between short-term exposure to temperature and traumatic fractures. This study aims to explore the impact of apparent temperature (AT) on emergency visits (EVs) due to traumatic fractures.
    METHODS: Based on EVs data for traumatic fractures and the contemporary meteorological data, a generalized Poisson regression model along with a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) were undertaken to determine the impact of AT on traumatic fracture EVs. Subgroup analysis by gender and age and sensitivity analysis were also performed.
    RESULTS: A total of 25,094 EVs for traumatic fractures were included in the study. We observed a wide \"J\"-shaped relationship between AT and risk of traumatic fractures, with AT above 9.5 °C positively associated with EVs due to traumatic fractures. The heat effects became significant at cumulative lag 0-11 days, and the relative risk (RR) for moderate heat (95th percentile, 35.7 °C) and extreme heat (99.5th percentile, 38.8 °C) effect was 1.311 (95% CI: 1.132-1.518) and 1.418 (95% CI: 1.191-1.688) at cumulative lag 0-14 days, respectively. The cold effects were consistently non-significant on single or cumulative lag days across 0-14 days. The heat effects were higher among male and those aged 18-65 years old. The sensitivity analysis results remained robust.
    CONCLUSIONS: Higher AT is associated with cumulative and delayed higher traumatic fracture EVs. The male and those aged 18-65 years are more susceptible to higher AT.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    心血管疾病(CVD)是全球范围内死亡的主要原因,对公众健康构成重大威胁。关于CVD与温度之间关系的研究主要集中在发达的城市环境中,在发展水平较低的农村地区进行的研究有限。此外,与相对风险相比,在评估与表观温度(AT)暴露相关的CVD住院风险时,可归因风险可以提供更多信息.视温度是综合考虑气象因素和温度的综合温度指数,提供人类热感觉的客观反映。因此,本研究调查了AT对心血管疾病住院的影响,并量化了中国农村地区心血管疾病住院的负担.我们使用分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)来估计AT与CVD住院相对风险(RR)之间的关系。最后,我们使用归因风险方法来进一步量化这种关系.
    Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality worldwide, posing a significant threat to public health. Research on the relationship between CVD and temperature has primarily focused on developed urban settings, with limited studies conducted in rural regions with lower levels of development. Additionally, compared to relative risks, attributable risks can provide more information when assessing the risk of CVD hospitalizations associated with exposure to apparent temperature (AT). Apparent temperature is a composite temperature index that takes into account both meteorological factors and temperature, providing an objective reflection of human thermal sensation. Therefore, this study investigates the impact of AT on CVD hospitalization and quantifies the burden of CVD admission in the rural areas of China. We employed the distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) to estimate the relationship between AT and the relative risk (RR) of CVD hospitalization. Finally, we used attributable risk methods to quantify this relationship further.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:非最佳温度与呼吸系统疾病的风险增加有关,但是表观温度(AT)对呼吸系统疾病的影响仍有待研究。
    方法:使用赣州2016-2020年的每日数据,中国南方的一个大城市,我们分析了AT对呼吸系统疾病门诊和住院患者就诊的影响.我们考虑了总呼吸道疾病和五种亚型(流感和肺炎,上呼吸道感染(URTI),下呼吸道感染(LRTI),哮喘和慢性阻塞性肺疾病[COPD])。我们的分析采用了分布式滞后非线性模型(DLNM)和广义加性模型(GAM)。
    结果:我们记录了94,952名门诊患者和72,410名呼吸系统疾病住院患者。我们发现AT与每天门诊和住院的总呼吸道疾病显着非线性相关,流感和肺炎,URTI,主要是在舒适的AT水平,而它与LRTI和COPD的每日住院就诊完全相关。中热(32.1°C,75.0分位数)被观察到对总呼吸系统疾病的每日门诊和住院就诊的显着影响,相对风险为1.561(1.161,2.098)和1.276(1.027,1.585),分别(均P<0.05),而随着CO和O3的调整,住院患者的结果变得微不足道。门诊患者和住院患者的归因分数如下:总呼吸系统疾病(24.43%和18.69%),流感和肺炎(31.54%和17.33%),URTI(23.03%和32.91%),LRTI(37.49%和30.00%),哮喘(9.83%和3.39%),和COPD(30.67%和10.65%)。分层分析表明,≤5岁的儿童比年龄较大的参与者更容易受到中度热量的影响。
    结论:结论:我们的结果表明,适度的热量增加了每天门诊和住院呼吸道疾病的风险,尤其是5岁以下的儿童。
    BACKGROUND: Non-optimum temperatures are associated with increased risk of respiratory diseases, but the effects of apparent temperature (AT) on respiratory diseases remain to be investigated.
    METHODS: Using daily data from 2016 to 2020 in Ganzhou, a large city in southern China, we analyzed the impact of AT on outpatient and inpatient visits for respiratory diseases. We considered total respiratory diseases and five subtypes (influenza and pneumonia, upper respiratory tract infection (URTI), lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI), asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD]). Our analysis employed a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) combined with a generalized additive model (GAM).
    RESULTS: We recorded 94,952 outpatients and 72,410 inpatients for respiratory diseases. We found AT significantly non-linearly associated with daily outpatient and inpatient visits for total respiratory diseases, influenza and pneumonia, and URTI, primarily during comfortable AT levels, while it was exclusively related with daily inpatient visits for LRTI and COPD. Moderate heat (32.1 °C, the 75.0th centile) was observed with a significant effect on both daily outpatient and inpatient visits for total respiratory diseases at a relative risk of 1.561 (1.161, 2.098) and 1.276 (1.027, 1.585), respectively (both P < 0.05), while the results of inpatients became insignificant with the adjustment for CO and O3. The attributable fractions in outpatients and inpatients were as follows: total respiratory diseases (24.43% and 18.69%), influenza and pneumonia (31.54% and 17.33%), URTI (23.03% and 32.91%), LRTI (37.49% and 30.00%), asthma (9.83% and 3.39%), and COPD (30.67% and 10.65%). Stratified analyses showed that children ≤5 years old were more susceptible to moderate heat than older participants.
    CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, our results indicated moderate heat increase the risk of daily outpatient and inpatient visits for respiratory diseases, especially among children under the age of 5.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    近几十年来,气温(AT)和表观温度(AP)的上升带来了越来越大的健康风险。在中国快速城市化和全球气候变化的背景下,了解城市土地利用/土地覆盖(LULC)变化对AP的影响至关重要。本研究调查了AT和AP的空间分布和长期变异模式,使用1996年至2020年中国834个气象站的数据。它还探讨了AT之间的关系,AP,和LULC在30个主要城市的城市核心区。研究表明,AT和AP表现出整体高度的空间相似性,尽管AP的空间差异更大。值得注意的是,已经确定了两者之间存在显著差异的地区。此外,观察到高AP变化率的空间范围比AT宽。此外,研究表明,ΔT(AT和AP之差)与Wa_ratio和Ar_ratio之间存在潜在的二元二次函数关系,表示存在最不适合曲线(LSC),[公式:见正文]。城市LULC规划应谨慎避免与此曲线相交。这些发现可以为城市LULC规划提供有价值的见解,最终提高城市居民的热舒适度。
    In recent decades, rising air temperatures (AT) and apparent temperatures (AP) have posed growing health risks. In the context of China\'s rapid urbanization and global climate change, it is crucial to understand the impact of urban land use/land cover (LULC) changes on AP. This study investigates the spatial distribution and long-term variation patterns of AT and AP, using data from 834 meteorological stations across China from 1996 to 2020. It also explores the relationship between AT, AP, and LULC in the urban core areas of 30 major cities. Study reveals that AT and AP exhibit overall high spatial similarity, albeit with greater spatial variance in AP. Notably, regions with significant disparities between the two have been identified. Furthermore, it\'s observed that the spatial range of high AP change rates is wider than that of AT. Moreover, the study suggests a potential bivariate quadratic function relationship between ΔT (the difference between AT and AP) and Wa_ratio and Ar_ratio, indicating the presence of a Least Suitable Curve (LSC), [Formula: see text]. Urban LULC planning should carefully avoid intersecting with this curve. These findings can provide valuable insights for urban LULC planning, ultimately enhancing the thermal comfort of urban residents.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    透水路面有助于降低地表温度,并已在城市地区广泛实施。这项研究利用了台湾台北市中心一个大众快速运输站前的正在使用的透水人行道,以确定实际的路面温度性能。还监测了邻近的沥青路面和不透水路面。经过一整年的持续监测,结果表明,在炎热季节,透水路面的温度比不透水路面的温度低3.7℃,比沥青路面的温度低4.5℃。春季的频繁降雨导致不同路面类型之间的温差最小。透水路面的冷却效果在不同的空气温度下有所不同。在气温低于15°C时,路面表面温度之间的差异很明显。然而,当空气温度高于35°C时,透水路面的表面温度与不透水路面的温度没有区别,并且大于55°C。进行了实地观察,以确定气候变化情景对表观温度和未来地表温度的影响。结果表明,透水路面能使平均表观温度降低到接近空气温度,沥青路面可使表观温度提高1.2°C,假设路面温度完全影响空气温度。凭借机器学习方法的良好预测能力和15个环境因素,初步预测显示了2033年台北市的地表温度变化。在最坏的情况下,路面平均不透水温度高达39.12℃,而平均透水路面温度为32.50°C。
    Permeable pavements help reduce surface temperatures and have been widely implemented in urban areas. This study utilized an in-use permeable pavement sidewalk in front of a mass rapid transit station in the Taipei city center of Taiwan to determine the actual pavement surface temperature performance. A neighboring asphalt road and impervious pavement were also monitored. With a full year of continuous monitoring, the results showed that the temperature of permeable pavement was 3.7 °C lower than that of impervious pavement and 4.5 °C lower than that of asphalt pavement in the hot season. The frequent rainfall in spring resulted in the smallest temperature differences between the different pavement types. The cooling effects of permeable pavement differed at the different air temperatures. At air temperatures lower than 15 °C, the differences among pavement surface temperatures were noticeable. However, when the air temperature was higher than 35 °C, the surface temperature of permeable pavement was not different from that of impervious pavement and was greater than 55 °C. Field observations were carried out to determine the effects on the apparent temperature and the future surface temperature of climate change scenarios. The results showed that permeable pavement could reduce the average apparent temperature to near the air temperature, and asphalt pavement could increase the apparent temperature by 1.2 °C, assuming that the pavement temperature completely affects the air temperature. With the good prediction ability of the machine learning approach and 15 environmental factors, the preliminary prediction showed the projected surface temperature change in Taipei city in 2033. In the worst-case scenario, the average impervious pavement temperature is as high as 39.12 °C, whereas the average permeable pavement temperature is 32.50 °C.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    江苏省511767例心血管疾病死亡病例交叉研究中国,在2015-2021年期间,我们进行了评估环境臭氧(O3)和热浪暴露与CVD死亡率之间的关联,并探讨了它们之间可能的相互作用.热浪被定义为至少连续两天的极端高温。网格级热波由表观温度阈值和持续时间的多种组合定义。使用网格数据集评估了住宅O3和热波暴露(空间分辨率:O3为1km×1km;热波为0.0625°×0.0625°)。条件逻辑回归模型用于暴露反应分析和加性相互作用的评估。在不同的热浪定义下,与低水平O3相比,与中等水平和高水平O3暴露相关的CVD死亡率的比值比(ORs)为1.029~1.107,而热浪暴露的OR为1.14~1.65.对于O3和热浪暴露,观察到对CVD死亡率的显着协同作用,通常随着O3暴露水平的提高,较高的温度阈值,和更长的热浪暴露时间。高达5.8%的CVD死亡归因于O3和热浪。妇女和老年人更容易暴露于O3和热浪暴露。暴露于O3和热浪与CVD死亡率的增加显著相关,O3和热浪可以协同相互作用,引发CVD死亡。
    A case-crossover study among 511,767 cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths in Jiangsu province, China, during 2015-2021 was conducted to assess the association of exposure to ambient ozone (O3) and heat wave with CVD mortality and explore their possible interactions. Heat wave was defined as extreme high temperature for at least two consecutive days. Grid-level heat waves were defined by multiple combinations of apparent temperature thresholds and durations. Residential O3 and heat wave exposures were assessed using grid data sets (spatial resolution: 1 km × 1 km for O3; 0.0625° × 0.0625° for heat wave). Conditional logistic regression models were applied for exposure-response analyses and evaluation of additive interactions. Under different heat wave definitions, the odds ratios (ORs) of CVD mortality associated with medium-level and high-level O3 exposures ranged from 1.029 to 1.107 compared with low-level O3, while the ORs for heat wave exposure ranged from 1.14 to 1.65. Significant synergistic effects on CVD mortality were observed for the O3 and heat wave exposures, which were generally greater with higher levels of the O3 exposure, higher temperature thresholds, and longer durations of heat wave exposure. Up to 5.8% of the CVD deaths were attributable to O3 and heat wave. Women and older adults were more vulnerable to the exposure to O3 and heat wave exposure. Exposure to both O3 and heat wave was significantly associated with an increased odds of CVD mortality, and O3 and heat wave can interact synergistically to trigger CVD deaths.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    大多数评估精液质量可能的季节性变化的研究都认为温度是唯一的因果因素。
    为了评估精子质量的可能季节性以及精液参数与几个气象变量(温度,湿度,湿度表观温度和大气压)在大量男性患者中。
    这是一个回顾,横断面和相关/描述性研究。
    患者(n:15665)分为四组(夏季,冬天,春季和秋季)根据生育中心的援助日期。每日温度值,表观温度,湿度和大气压力由国家天气系统提供,并计算为精液收集前74天的平均值(生精周期)。
    酌情,结果通过方差分析/Kruskal-Wallis,卡方检验,t检验/Mann-Whitney,正向条件回归模型和Spearman/Pearson相关性。
    我们检测到季节性对精子数量的影响,精子总数和活动精子总数,冬季最高,夏季最低。相关分析表明,表观温度和湿度与精液参数呈负相关,湿度是最强大的预测气象变量。
    精子质量受季节影响;环境温度和湿度的增加会对精液质量产生负面影响。
    UNASSIGNED: Most studies evaluating the possible seasonal variation of semen quality have considered temperature as the only causal factor.
    UNASSIGNED: To assess possible seasonality in sperm quality and associations between semen parameters and several meteorological variables (temperature, humidity, apparent temperature and atmospheric pressure) in a large cohort of andrological patients.
    UNASSIGNED: This was a retrospective, cross-sectional and correlational/descriptive study.
    UNASSIGNED: Patients (n: 15665) were categorised into four groups (summer, winter, spring and autumn) according to the date of assistance at the fertility centre. Daily values of temperature, apparent temperature, humidity and atmospheric pressure were provided by the National Weather System and were calculated as the average of the 74 days previous to semen collection (spermatogenic cycle).
    UNASSIGNED: As appropriate, the results were analysed by analysis of variance/Kruskal-Wallis, Chi-square test, t-test/Mann-Whitney, forward conditional regression model and Spearman/Pearson\'s correlations.
    UNASSIGNED: We detected seasonality effects on sperm count, total sperm count and total motile sperm count, with the highest values in winter and the lowest in summer. Correlation analysis showed that temperature, apparent temperature and humidity negatively correlated with semen parameters, being humidity the most powerful predictive meteorological variable.
    UNASSIGNED: Sperm quality is influenced by seasons; increased environmental temperature and humidity negatively affect semen quality.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    OBJECTIVE: Although it has previously been shown that temperature is associated with cardiovascular disease, no investigations exploring the association between apparent temperature (AT) and hypertension in farmers in Zhangye and Longnan, Gansu Province, China, have been undertaken. As hypertension is a commonly known risk factor for cardiovascular disease, the relationship between apparent temperature (AT) and hypertension is examined in Zhangye and Longnan to provide advice to local governments on preventive measures.
    METHODS: Daily data and weather conditions were collected in Zhangye and Longnan from 2014-2015. The Poisson generalized linear model and the distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) were combined to investigate the relationship between AT and hypertension in hospital admissions in the study areas.
    RESULTS: A non-linear relationship between AT and hypertension in hospital admissions in both Zhangye and Longnan were recorded. The cold effects were stronger in Zhangye than that in Longnan for both study group and subgroups. The heat effects were more deleterious for the entire study group, female subgroup and adult subgroup in Longnan, but stronger for the male subgroup and elderly subgroup in Zhangye.
    CONCLUSIONS: This investigation indicates that AT has adverse impacts on hypertension hospital admissions in Zhangye and Longnan, especially under low AT exposure levels. The results from this study may promote the formulation of further prevention measures for hypertension disease.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在各种热应力指数中,表观温度(AT)与公共卫生指标密切相关,因此被世界各地的天气机构广泛使用。因此,在本文中,我们估计了整个韩国和五个主要城市(首尔,Gwanju,大邱,大田,和釜山)使用基于耦合模型相互比较项目(CMIP6)的国家标准气候情景。在今天,由于高温(TAS)和相对湿度(RH),在主要城市发生高AT。我们的研究结果表明,即使TAS相对较低,大AT发生在较高的湿度。值得注意的是,在未来更温暖的气候条件下,高AT可能首先出现在五大城市,然后延伸到周边地区。在热前季节(3月至6月),TAS和RH的增加可能会导致在未来较暖的气候条件下更早发生热风险,并更频繁地发生高热应力事件。我们的研究可以作为未来韩国热风险变化信息的参考。考虑到那些不适应高温环境的人,我们的研究结果表明,热风险将变得更加严重,在未来较温暖的气候条件下,在热前季节将需要热适应策略.
    Among the various thermal stress indices, apparent temperature (AT) is closely related to public health indicators, and consequently is widely used by weather agencies around the world. Therefore, in this paper we estimate the changes in AT and contributing components in Korea as a whole and in five major cities (Seoul, Gwanju, Daegu, Daejeon, and Busan) using national standard climate scenarios based on the coupled model inter-comparison project (CMIP6). In the present day, high AT occurs in major cities due to high temperature (TAS) and relative humidity (RH). Our findings reveal that even when TAS is relatively low, large AT occurs with higher humidity. Notably, in future warmer climate conditions, high AT may first appear in the five major cities and then extend to the surrounding areas. An increase in TAS and RH during the pre-hot season (March to June) may lead to earlier occurrence of thermal risks in future warmer climate conditions and more frequent occurrence of high thermal stress events. Our study can serve as a reference for future information on thermal risk changes in Korea. Considering those who have not adapted to high temperature environments, our findings imply that thermal risks will become more serious and that heat adaptation strategies will be needed during the pre-hot season under future warmer climate conditions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    对极端气候事件进行稳健的时空划分和准确识别受事件影响的区域是研究气候变化流行病学的前提。在先前的研究中,气候属性,如温度和湿度,通常被线性分配给研究单位的人口从最近的气象站。这可能导致不准确的事件描述和对极端热暴露的偏见评估。我们开发了一个时空模型,以动态地描绘跨空间和随时间的极端热事件(EHE)的边界。使用视在温度(AT)的相对测量。与标准的最近站(NS)分配方法相比,我们的表面插值方法提供了更高的时空分辨率。我们表明,所提出的方法可以在识别受EHEs影响的区域和人口方面提供至少80.8%的改进。平均值的这种提高调整了极端事件每天约100万加利福尼亚人的错误分类,在2017年至2021年期间,根据EHEs,他们要么身份不明,要么被误认。
    Robust spatio-temporal delineation of extreme climate events and accurate identification of areas that are impacted by an event is a prerequisite for identifying population-level and health-related risks. In prior research, attributes such as temperature and humidity have often been linearly assigned to the population of the study unit from the closest weather station. This could result in inaccurate event delineation and biased assessment of extreme heat exposure. We have developed a spatio-temporal model to dynamically delineate boundaries for Extreme Heat Events (EHE) across space and over time, using a relative measure of Apparent Temperature (AT). Our surface interpolation approach offers a higher spatio-temporal resolution compared to the standard nearest-station (NS) assignment method. We show that the proposed approach can provide at least 80.8 percent improvement in identification of areas and populations impacted by EHEs. This improvement in average adjusts the misclassification of about one million Californians per day of an extreme event, who would be either unidentified or misidentified under EHEs between 2017 and 2021.
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