postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome

体位性心动过速综合征
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究的目的是检查心电图(ECG)中观察到的加速度指数的实用性,以预测被诊断为体位性心动过速综合征(POTS)的儿科患者的体位训练的有效性。本次调查的重点是2012年1月至2022年10月在北京大学第一医院儿科接受体位训练的POTS患儿。具体来说,2012年1月至2019年12月住院的患者纳入培训集(54例),而2020年1月至2022年10月住院的患者被纳入外部验证集(37例)。所有的孩子都接受了3个月的体位训练,基线症状评分(SS)与治疗前直立不耐受症状频率一致。此外,我们在治疗3个月后通过电话随访确定了治疗后的SS.治疗后SS下降≥基线50%的儿童被视为应答者;否则,他们被认为是无应答者。人口统计数据(年龄,性别,和体重指数),血液动力学参数(仰卧位血压,是时候实现积极的站立测试了,站立试验期间心率的最大增加,在站立测试期间达到的最大心率,和站立测试中最大心率时的血压),和心电图参数(仰卧位的RR间期,直立位置的最短RR间隔,和加速指数)在治疗前从所有儿童中收集。采用单因素和多因素回归分析探讨与体位训练效果相关的因素。使用受试者工作特征(ROC)分析评估这些指标对POTS儿童体位训练的治疗效果的预测价值,并使用验证集验证指标。在训练集中的54名儿童中,28对立位训练有反应,26人没有反应。与非响应者相比,反应者的加速指数显着降低(P<0.01)。加速度指数预测值的ROC曲线显示曲线下面积=0.81(95%置信区间:0.685-0.926)。加速度指数阈值<27.93%时,POTS患儿体位训练效果预测的敏感性和特异性分别为85.7%和69.2%,分别。外部验证结果表明,以加速度指数<27.93%为阈值,灵敏度,特异性,预测POTS患儿体位训练效果的准确性为89.5%,77.8%,和83.8%,分别。
    结论:心电图加速度指数可用于预测体位训练治疗POTS患儿的有效性。
    背景:•体位性心动过速综合征(POTS)是一种涉及多种机制的慢性体位性不耐受。自主神经功能障碍是儿童POTS的主要机制之一,可以通过体位训练进行治疗。•为了提高POTS儿童体位训练的疗效,在治疗前明确以自主神经功能障碍为主要机制的患者尤为重要。
    背景:•我们发现心电图(ECG)的加速度指数可以作为预测儿童POTS治疗中体位训练疗效的令人满意的指标。•使用加速度指数来预测儿童POTS体位训练的功效,由于它是非侵入性的,因此易于在各级医院推广。方便,而且不贵。
    The objective of this study was to examine the utility of the acceleration index observed in an electrocardiogram (ECG) for the prediction of the effectiveness of orthostatic training in pediatric patients diagnosed with postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS). This investigation focused on children diagnosed with POTS and undergoing orthostatic training at the Department of Pediatrics of Peking University First Hospital from January 2012 to October 2022. Specifically, patients hospitalized from January 2012 to December 2019 were included in the training set (54 cases), while those hospitalized from January 2020 to October 2022 were included in the external validation set (37 cases). All children received a 3-month orthostatic training, and the baseline symptom score (SS) was calculated in agreement with the pretreatment orthostatic intolerance symptom frequency. Additionally, we determined post-treatment SS during follow-up via telephone after the 3-month treatment. Children with a decrease in post-treatment SS by ≥ 50% of the baseline were considered as responders; otherwise, they were considered as non-responders. Demographic data (age, sex, and body mass index), hemodynamic parameters (supine blood pressure, time to achieve a positive standing test, maximum increase in heart rate during the standing test, maximal heart rate reached during the standing test, and blood pressure at the point of maximal heart rate during the standing test), and electrocardiographic parameters (RR interval in the supine position, shortest RR interval in the upright position, and acceleration index) were collected from all the children prior to treatment. Univariate and multivariate regression analysis were conducted to investigate factors associated with the efficacy of orthostatic training. The predictive value of these indicators for the therapeutic effectiveness of orthostatic training in children with POTS was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and the indicators were validated using the validation set. Among the 54 children in the training set, 28 responded to orthostatic training, and 26 were nonresponsive. Compared with the non-responders, the responders demonstrated a significant reduction in acceleration index (P < 0.01). The ROC curve for the predictive value of the acceleration index exhibited an area under the curve = 0.81 (95% confidence interval: 0.685-0.926). With the acceleration index threshold < 27.93%, the sensitivity and specificity in the prediction of orthostatic training efficacy among children with POTS were 85.7% and 69.2%, respectively. The external validation results demonstrated that using acceleration index < 27.93% as the threshold, the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of predicting orthostatic training efficacy among children with POTS were 89.5%, 77.8%, and 83.8%, respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: Electrocardiographic acceleration index can be used to predict the effectiveness of orthostatic training in treating children with POTS.
    BACKGROUND: • Postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS) is a chronic orthostatic intolerance involving multiple mechanisms. Autonomic dysfunction is one of the main mechanisms of POTS in children and could be treated with orthostatic training. • In order to improve the efficacy of orthostatic training in children with POTS, it is particularly important to identify the patients with autonomic dysfunction as the main mechanism before the treatment.
    BACKGROUND: • We found acceleration index of the electrocardiogram (ECG) can be used as a satisfactory index to predict the efficacy of orthostatic training in the treatment of POTS in children. • Using the acceleration index to predict the efficacy of orthostatic training on POTS in children is easy to be popularized in hospitals at all levels because it is non-invasive, convenient, and not expensive.
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  • 文章类型: Editorial
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    新型冠状病毒感染对儿童健康的影响已成为突出的公共健康问题。新型冠状病毒感染后体位性心动过速综合征在儿童新型冠状病毒感染后遗症中较常见。本文针对儿童新型冠状病毒感染后体位性心动过速综合征的定义、流行病学、主要临床表现、诊断及初步治疗方案进行综述。.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:经验性和非选择性使用口服补液盐(ORS)对儿童体位性心动过速综合征(POTS)的治疗效果并不令人满意。因此,对于POTS儿科患者实施个体化治疗,在治疗前寻找ORS治疗效果的合适预测因子是非常必要的.
    方法:对130例(5-18岁)患有POTS并接受3个月ORS治疗的患者进行回顾性病例对照分析。在训练集(n=87)中开发了列线图模型来预测对ORS的治疗反应。应用单因素分析和逻辑回归来选择最有用的预测因子。ROC曲线用于评估列线图模型的判别性能。然后通过校准曲线和Hosmer-Lemeshow(H-L)试验评价列线图。使用1000个引导重采样进一步验证了结果。在独立的验证集中进行外部验证(n=43)。
    结果:在单变量分析中,响应者和非响应者之间存在显着差异的十个变量中,在进一步的逻辑回归中,发现五个变量是POTS儿童ORS治疗效果的独立相关因素,包括平均红细胞血红蛋白浓度(MCHC),平均红细胞体积(MCV),直立姿势第一分钟的平均动脉压(MAP),尿液比重(SG),和P波电压峰值比(PWP)。在训练集中建立列线图模型(AUC0.926[95%CI:0.865-0.988],灵敏度为87.8%,特异性为86.8%)。校准曲线显示了列线图的预测与训练集和验证集的实际观察之间的良好一致性。列线图也有效地预测了外部验证集(灵敏度82.1%,特异性73.3%,和准确率79.1%)。
    结论:我们建立了一个可行的高精度列线图模型来预测ORS的疗效,这将有助于为患有POTS的儿童实施个性化治疗。
    背景:本研究得到国家高级医院临床研究资助(北京大学第一医院多中心临床研究项目)(2022CR59)的资助。
    BACKGROUND: The therapeutic effectiveness of the empirical and unselected use of oral rehydration salts (ORS) on postural tachycardia syndrome (POTS) is not satisfactory in children. Therefore, looking for suitable predictors of the therapeutic effects of ORS before treatment is extremely necessary to implement individualised treatment for paediatric patients with POTS.
    METHODS: A retrospective case-control analysis of 130 patients (aged 5-18 years) who suffered from POTS with a 3-month treatment of ORS was conducted. A nomogram model was developed in the training set (n = 87) to predict the therapeutic response to ORS. Univariate analysis and logistic regression were applied to select the most useful predictors. ROC curves were applied to evaluate the discriminative performance of the nomogram model. The nomogram was then evaluated by calibration curves and the Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test. The results were further validated using 1000 bootstrap resamples. External validation was performed in an independent validation set (n = 43).
    RESULTS: Among the ten variables with significant differences between the responders and non-responders in univariate analysis, five variables were found to be independently associated factors for ORS therapeutic efficacy among POTS children in the further logistic regression, including mean corpuscular haemoglobin concentration (MCHC), mean corpuscular volume (MCV), mean arterial pressure (MAP) at the first minute of the upright position, urine specific gravity (SG), and P-wave voltage peaking ratio (PWP). The nomogram model was established in the training set (AUC 0.926 [95% CI: 0.865-0.988], yielding a sensitivity of 87.8% and a specificity of 86.8%). The calibration curves showed good agreement between the prediction of the nomogram and actual observation in both the training and validation sets. The nomogram also effectively predicted the external validation set (sensitivity 82.1%, specificity 73.3%, and accuracy 79.1%).
    CONCLUSIONS: We established a feasible and high-precision nomogram model to predict the efficacy of ORS, which would help implement individualised treatment for children with POTS.
    BACKGROUND: This study was supported by National High-Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding (Multi-centre Clinical Research Project of Peking University First Hospital) (2022CR59).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    研究庞加莱图是否可以帮助预测美托洛尔对儿童体位性心动过速综合征(POTS)的疗效。
    回顾性纳入接受美托洛尔治疗的POTS患儿。收集的数据包括一般数据(性别,年龄,高度,体重,和体重指数),表现和治疗(基线直立不耐受症状评分和美托洛尔治疗的过程),生命体征(仰卧心率[HR],仰卧血压,并在站立测试期间增加HR),HR变异性指数(正常到正常间隔的标准偏差[SDNN];正常到正常间隔的平均值的标准偏差[SDANN];每个5分钟段的NN间隔的平均标准偏差[SDNNI];连续差异的均方根[rMSSD];相邻NN间隔相差>50ms的百分比[pNN50];三角指数;超低[ULF],非常低的[VLF],低[LF],和高频[HF];总功率[TP];和LF/HF比),和庞加莱图的图形参数(纵轴[L],横轴[T],和L/T)。使用受试者操作员特征曲线来计算指标的预测功能,这些指标在有反应的患者和没有反应的患者之间存在显着差异。通过串并联分析得到预测值最高的指标组合。
    总的来说,包括40名响应者和23名非响应者。庞加莱图和rMSSD中的L和T,pNN50,HF,对美托洛尔有反应的参与者的HR变异性数据和TP显著低于对美托洛尔无反应的参与者(p<0.001).对美托洛尔有反应的参与者的L/T大于无反应者的L/T(p<0.001)。此外,我们注意到L中每两个指数之间都有很强的相关性,T,rMSSD,pNN50,HF,TP,和L/T(p<0.05)。T<573.9ms与L/T>2.9的组合对于预测美托洛尔的有效性具有最佳性能,灵敏度为85.0%,特异性为82.6%,准确率为84.1%。
    在庞加莱情节中,T<573.9ms结合L/T>2.9有助于预测使用美托洛尔治疗小儿POTS的良好结果。
    UNASSIGNED: To study whether a Poincaré plot can help predict the curative effect of metoprolol for postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS) in children.
    UNASSIGNED: Pediatric patients with POTS who were administered metoprolol were retrospectively included. The collected data included general data (sex, age, height, weight, and body mass index), the manifestations and treatment (baseline orthostatic intolerance symptom score and course of metoprolol treatment), vital signs (supine heart rate [HR], supine blood pressure, and increased HR during the standing test), HR variability indexes (standard deviation of normal-to-normal intervals [SDNN]; standard deviation of the averages of normal-to-normal intervals [SDANN]; mean standard deviation of the NN intervals for each 5-min segment [SDNNI]; root mean square of the successive differences [rMSSD]; percentage of adjacent NN intervals that differ by >50 ms [pNN50]; triangular index; ultra-low [ULF], very low [VLF], low [LF], and high frequency [HF]; total power [TP]; and LF/HF ratio), and graphical parameters of the Poincaré plot (longitudinal axis [L], transverse axis [T], and L/T). Receiver operator characteristic curves were used to calculate the predictive function of the indexes with significant differences between patients who responded and those who did not. The index combination with the highest predictive value was obtained through series-parallel analysis.
    UNASSIGNED: Overall, 40 responders and 23 non-responders were included. The L and T in the Poincaré plots and rMSSD, pNN50, HF, and TP of the HR variability data were significantly lower in participants who responded to metoprolol than in participants who did not (p < 0.001). The L/T of participants who responded to metoprolol was greater than that of non-responders (p < 0.001). Moreover, we noted a strong correlation between every two indexes among L, T, rMSSD, pNN50, HF, TP, and L/T (p < 0.05). T < 573.9 ms combined with L/T > 2.9 had the best performance for predicting the effectiveness of metoprolol, with a sensitivity of 85.0%, specificity of 82.6%, and accuracy of 84.1%.
    UNASSIGNED: In the Poincaré plot, a T < 573.9 ms combined with an L/T > 2.9 helps predict good outcomes of using metoprolol to treat pediatric POTS.
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  • 文章类型: Meta-Analysis
    目标:解决严重急性呼吸道综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)感染和2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)疫苗接种后发生的体位性心动过速综合征(POTS)的最新问题。
    方法:我们搜索了PubMed,WebofScience,和截至2023年6月1日的Scopus。我们从流行病学研究中对SARS-CoV-2感染组和COVID-19疫苗组的合并POTS率进行了系统评价和荟萃分析,其次是按特征进行的亚组分析。进行了风险比的Meta分析,以比较感染组与未感染组的POTS率。还进行了人口统计学的荟萃分析,以比较病例报告和系列报告中感染后和疫苗接种后POTS的病例。
    结果:我们估计每10,000例的合并POTS率为107.75(95%CI:9.73至273.52)和3.94(95%CI:0至16.39)(即,根据5和2项研究,感染和接种疫苗的个体中的1.08%和0.039%),分别。Meta回归显示年龄是影响感染人群合并POTS率86.2%方差的显著变量(P<0.05)。此外,感染个体发生POTS的可能性是未感染个体的2.12倍(RR=2.12,95%CI:1.71~2.62,P<0.001)。对感染后(n=43)和接种后(n=17)POTS病例的人口统计学进行荟萃分析,发现两组之间的几个变量没有显着差异。除了接种后POTS病例从暴露到症状发作的时间较短(P<0.05)。
    结论:尽管疫苗接种后的证据有限,我们的研究表明,SARS-CoV-2感染后POTS的发生率高于COVID-19疫苗。
    To address recent concerns of postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS) occurring after severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination.
    We searched PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus as of 1st June 2023. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of pooled POTS rate in SARS-CoV-2-infected and COVID-19-vaccinated groups from epidemiological studies, followed by subgroup analyses by characteristic. Meta-analysis of risk ratio was conducted to compare POTS rate in infected versus uninfected groups. Meta-analysis of demographics was also performed to compare cases of post-infection and post-vaccination POTS from case reports and series.
    We estimated the pooled POTS rate of 107.75 (95 % CI: 9.73 to 273.52) and 3.94 (95 % CI: 0 to 16.39) cases per 10,000 (i.e., 1.08 % and 0.039 %) in infected and vaccinated individuals based on 5 and 2 studies, respectively. Meta-regression revealed age as a significant variable influencing 86.2 % variance of the pooled POTS rate in infected population (P < 0.05). Moreover, POTS was 2.12-fold more likely to occur in infected than uninfected individuals (RR = 2.12, 95 % CI: 1.71 to 2.62, P < 0.001). Meta-analyzed demographics for cases of post-infection (n = 43) and post-vaccination (n = 17) POTS found no significant differences in several variables between groups, except that the time from exposure to symptom onset was shorter for cases of post-vaccination POTS (P < 0.05).
    Although evidence is limited for post-vaccination POTS, our study showed that POTS occur more frequently following SARS-CoV-2 infection than COVID-19 vaccination.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    免疫系统和大脑之间的持续对话在对环境线索的各种免疫反应中起着关键的稳态作用。几种功能在基于迷走神经的炎症反射的控制下,神经信号调节免疫功能的生理机制。在胆碱能抗炎途径中,迷走神经,它的关键神经递质乙酰胆碱,与相应的受体一起在调节哺乳动物的免疫应答中起关键作用。通过外周神经与免疫细胞的通讯,它调节各种免疫细胞亚群的增殖和分化活性。因此,该通路是治疗自身免疫性疾病的潜在靶点,其特征是明显的炎症和迷走神经张力降低。始终如一,在动物模型和临床试验中进行的融合观察表明,使用药理学方法靶向胆碱能抗炎途径可以提供有益效果.并行,生物电子医学最近已成为管理全身性炎症的替代方法。在一些研究中,据报道,神经电刺激在减少自身免疫性疾病的慢性炎症方面具有临床相关性,包括类风湿性关节炎和糖尿病.在未来,这些新方法可能代表自身免疫性疾病和炎症性疾病的主要治疗策略.
    Continuous dialogue between the immune system and the brain plays a key homeostatic role in various immune responses to environmental cues. Several functions are under the control of the vagus nerve-based inflammatory reflex, a physiological mechanism through which nerve signals regulate immune functions. In the cholinergic anti-inflammatory pathway, the vagus nerve, its pivotal neurotransmitter acetylcholine, together with the corresponding receptors play a key role in modulating the immune response of mammals. Through communications of peripheral nerves with immune cells, it modulates proliferation and differentiation activities of various immune cell subsets. As a result, this pathway represents a potential target for treating autoimmune diseases characterized by overt inflammation and a decrease in vagal tone. Consistently, converging observations made in both animal models and clinical trials revealed that targeting the cholinergic anti-inflammatory pathway using pharmacologic approaches can provide beneficial effects. In parallel, bioelectronic medicine has recently emerged as an alternative approach to managing systemic inflammation. In several studies, nerve electrostimulation was reported to be clinically relevant in reducing chronic inflammation in autoimmune diseases, including rheumatoid arthritis and diabetes. In the future, these new approaches could represent a major therapeutic strategy for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    体位性心动过速综合征(POTS)在儿童中很常见,从仰卧位移动到直立位时心率过度增加。它对儿科患者的日常生活有显著的负面影响。POTS的发病机制包括外周血管功能障碍,中枢血容量不足,自主功能异常,高肾上腺素状态,骨骼肌泵功能受损,血管活性因子的异常释放,和自身免疫异常。因此,由于药物治疗机制的多样性,经验性使用限制了治疗效果。管理POTS的一个关键方面是选择针对特定发病机制的适当治疗。这篇综述总结了常用的药物干预措施,重点关注他们对治疗反应的预测指标。心率变异性等因素,血浆生物标志物,和心脏功能参数被讨论为治疗效果的潜在预测因子,能够实施个性化治疗以提高治疗效果。这篇综述巩固了当前关于POTS的知识,包括其临床特征,流行病学模式,潜在的致病机制,和治疗反应的预测指标。有必要进行进一步的研究,以增强对POTS的理解,并促进开发针对这种具有挑战性的综合征的更有效的治疗方法。
    Postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS) is common in children, with an excessive increment in heart rate when moving from the supine to upright position. It has significant negative impacts on the daily life of pediatric patients. The pathogenesis of POTS includes peripheral vascular dysfunction, central hypovolemia, abnormal autonomic function, a high-adrenergic state, impaired skeletal-muscle pump function, the abnormal release of vasoactive factors, and autoimmune abnormalities. Therefore, the empirical use of pharmacological treatments has limited therapeutic efficacy due to the diversity of its mechanisms. A crucial aspect of managing POTS is the selection of appropriate treatment targeting the specific pathogenesis. This review summarizes the commonly used pharmacological interventions, with a focus on their predictive indicators for treatment response. Factors such as heart rate variability, plasma biomarkers, and cardiac-function parameters are discussed as potential predictors of therapeutic efficacy, enabling the implementation of individualized treatment to improve therapeutic effectiveness. This review consolidates the current knowledge on POTS, encompassing its clinical characteristics, epidemiological patterns, underlying pathogenic mechanisms, and predictive indicators for treatment response. Further research is warranted to enhance the understanding of POTS and facilitate the development of more effective therapeutic approaches for this challenging syndrome.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    性别之间儿童的体位性心动过速综合征(POTS)的发生率和表现存在差异。然而,关于性别如何影响儿童POTS预后的证据有限.这项研究旨在探讨性别之间关于POTS儿童预后的差异。对被诊断患有POTS的儿童(n=53;6-14岁)进行了回顾性研究。所有POTS患者均给予健康教育和自主功能训练,他们的水和盐摄入量增加(口服补液盐III,250mL,Bid),口服美托洛尔(每天1mg/kg)3个月。预后由治疗后的抬头倾斜试验结果确定。观察到男性和女性儿童在POTS预后方面表现出不同的趋势。Further,性别对POTS患儿的预后有稳定的独立影响.为了详细说明,与男性相比,女性的不良预后风险增加了503%.因此,我们假设儿童的性别与POTS预后之间存在关联。与男性相比,女性患者预后不良的风险明显更高。口服补液盐的剂量略有增加可能有助于降低POTS儿童预后不良的风险。总美托洛尔的吸收较高,较低的局部浓度,在女性POTS患者治疗期间的研究中记录了较慢的代谢排泄。建议接受治疗的女性儿童应降低美托洛尔的最佳剂量,以限制不良预后的风险。
    There are differences in postural tachycardia syndrome (POTS) incidence and manifestations in children between the sexes. However, there is limited evidence on how the gender affects the prognosis of POTS in children. This study is aimed at exploring the differences between the sexes regarding the prognosis of children with POTS. A retrospective study was conducted on children (n = 53; aged 6-14 years) who were diagnosed with POTS. All the POTS patients were given health education and autonomic function training, their water and salt intake was increased (oral rehydration salt III, 250 mL, Bid), and they were administered oral metoprolol (1 mg/kg per day) for 3 months. The prognosis was defined by the head-up tilt test results after treatment. It was observed that male and female children exhibited different trends in POTS prognosis. Further, the sex showed a stable independent effect on prognostic in children with POTS. To elaborate, females had a 503% increased risk of poor prognosis compared to males. We hence hypothesize that there is an association between the sex and the POTS prognosis in children. Female patients have a significantly higher risk of poor prognosis compared to males. A slight increase in the dose of oral rehydration salt could help lower the risk of poor prognosis in children with POTS. A higher absorption of total metoprolol, lower local concentrations, and slower metabolic excretion are documented in research in female POTS patients during treatment. It is recommended that the optimal dose of metoprolol should be lowered in female children undergoing treatment, to limit the risk of poor prognosis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:本研究旨在探索基于心电图(ECG)指数的模型是否可以预测美托洛尔治疗小儿体位性心动过速综合征(POTS)的有效性。
    方法:本研究由训练集和外部验证集组成。纳入接受美托洛尔治疗的POTS儿童和青少年,在后续行动之后,根据美托洛尔的疗效,将他们分为无应答者和应答者.在训练集中分析两组之间治疗前基线ECG指标的差异。进一步对显著不同的基线变量和治疗效果之间的关联进行二元logistic回归分析。建立列线图模型来预测对美托洛尔的治疗反应。接收器工作特性曲线(ROC),校准,和内部验证用于评估预测模型。在外部验证集中验证了模型的预测能力。
    结果:在95名患者中,65对美托洛尔治疗有反应,30人没有回应。在响应者中,校正后P波的最大值(Pcmax),P波色散(Pd),修正后的Pd(Pcd),QT间期离散度(QTd),校正后的QTd(QTcd),最大T峰到T端间隔(Tpemax),T峰间离散度(Tped)延长(P均<0.01),与无反应者相比,P波振幅增加(P<0.05)。相比之下,校正后P波持续时间的最小值(Pcmin),校正后QT间期的最小值(QTcmin),应答者的最小T峰至T端间隔(Tpemin)短于非应答者(分别为P<0.01,<0.01和<0.01)。基于临床意义和多重共线性分析筛选上述指标,构建二元logistic回归模型。因此,预处理Pcmax,QTcmin,和Tped被确定为显著相关的因素,可以组合在一起,以提供对研究对象中美托洛尔治疗反应的准确预测,产生良好的辨别力[曲线下面积(AUC)=0.970,95%置信区间(CI)0.942-0.998],预测灵敏度为93.8%,特异性为90.0%,良好的校准,校正的C指数为0.961。此外,校正曲线与标准曲线拟合良好。引导重复采样的内部验证的准确性为0.902。相比之下,kappa值为0.769,表明预测模型与实际观测结果的一致性令人满意.在外部验证集中,预测模型的AUC为0.895,敏感性和特异性分别为90.9%和95.0%,分别。
    结论:成功开发了高精度预测模型,并进行了外部验证。它对美托洛尔对儿童和青少年POTS的治疗效果具有良好的预测价值。
    The present work was designed to explore whether electrocardiogram (ECG) index-based models could predict the effectiveness of metoprolol therapy in pediatric patients with postural tachycardia syndrome (POTS).
    This study consisted of a training set and an external validation set. Children and adolescents with POTS who were given metoprolol treatment were enrolled, and after follow-up, they were grouped into non-responders and responders depending on the efficacy of metoprolol. The difference in pre-treatment baseline ECG indicators was analyzed between the two groups in the training set. Binary logistic regression analysis was further conducted on the association between significantly different baseline variables and therapeutic efficacy. Nomogram models were established to predict therapeutic response to metoprolol. The receiver-operating characteristic curve (ROC), calibration, and internal validation were used to evaluate the prediction model. The predictive ability of the model was validated in the external validation set.
    Of the 95 enrolled patients, 65 responded to metoprolol treatment, and 30 failed to respond. In the responders, the maximum value of the P wave after correction (Pcmax), P wave dispersion (Pd), Pd after correction (Pcd), QT interval dispersion (QTd), QTd after correction (QTcd), maximum T-peak-to-T-end interval (Tpemax), and T-peak-to-T-end interval dispersion (Tped) were prolonged (all P < 0.01), and the P wave amplitude was increased (P < 0.05) compared with those of the non-responders. In contrast, the minimum value of the P wave duration after correction (Pcmin), the minimum value of the QT interval after correction (QTcmin), and the minimum T-peak-to-T-end interval (Tpemin) in the responders were shorter (P < 0.01, < 0.01 and < 0.01, respectively) than those in the non-responders. The above indicators were screened based on the clinical significance and multicollinearity analysis to construct a binary logistic regression. As a result, pre-treatment Pcmax, QTcmin, and Tped were identified as significantly associated factors that could be combined to provide an accurate prediction of the therapeutic response to metoprolol among the study subjects, yielding good discrimination [area under curve (AUC) = 0.970, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.942-0.998] with a predictive sensitivity of 93.8%, specificity of 90.0%, good calibration, and corrected C-index of 0.961. In addition, the calibration curve and standard curve had a good fit. The accuracy of internal validation with bootstrap repeated sampling was 0.902. In contrast, the kappa value was 0.769, indicating satisfactory agreement between the predictive model and the results from the actual observations. In the external validation set, the AUC for the prediction model was 0.895, and the sensitivity and specificity were 90.9% and 95.0%, respectively.
    A high-precision predictive model was successfully developed and externally validated. It had an excellent predictive value of the therapeutic effect of metoprolol on POTS among children and adolescents.
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