背景:呼吸道传染病(RID)仍然是一个紧迫的公共卫生问题,对个人的福祉和生命构成重大威胁。这项研究深入研究了2017-2021年期间7种主要RID的发病率,旨在更深入地了解其流行病学特征,以加强控制和预防策略。
方法:与七个应通知的RID有关的数据,即,季节性流感,肺结核(PTB),腮腺炎,猩红热,百日咳,风疹和麻疹,在2017年至2021年的中国大陆,从国家法定疾病报告系统(NNDRS)获得。利用Joinpoint回归软件分析时间趋势,而具有泊松概率模型的SaTScan软件用于评估季节和空间模式。
结果:在2017-2021年期间,共报告了7例RID中的11,963,886例病例,五年平均发病率为每100,000个人170.73例。在这些RID中,季节性流感的平均发病率最高(每100,000人中有94.14人),其次是PTB(每100,000人中有55.52人),腮腺炎(15.16/100,000),猩红热(4.02/100,000),百日咳(1.10/100,000),风疹(0.59/100,000),和麻疹(每100,000人中有0.21人)。在所有七个RID中,男性的发病率较高。农民和65岁以上的个人的PTB发病率显着升高,而其他RID主要影响15岁以下的儿童和学生。从2017年到2021年,PTB和麻疹的发病率呈下降趋势(APC=-7.53%,P=0.009;APC=-40.87%,P=0.02),而其他五个RID在2019年达到峰值。关于季节和空间分布,七个RID显示出不同的特征,在不同地区观察到相同RID的变化。从2017年到2021年,实验室确诊病例的比例在七个RID中波动,麻疹和风疹的比例较高,腮腺炎和猩红热的比例较低。
结论:在2017年至2021年期间,中国大陆的PTB和麻疹的发病率有所下降,而其余5个RID在2019年达到峰值。总的来说,RID继续构成重大的公共卫生挑战。需要采取紧急行动,加强能力建设工作,加强对RID的控制和预防战略,考虑到地区差异和流行病学的细微差别。随着高科技解决方案的快速发展,必须开发和有效实施数字/智能RID控制和预防系统,以促进精确监视,预警,和迅速的反应。
BACKGROUND: Respiratory infectious diseases (RIDs) remain a pressing public health concern, posing a significant threat to the well-being and lives of individuals. This study delves into the incidence of seven primary RIDs during the period 2017-2021, aiming to gain deeper insights into their epidemiological characteristics for the purpose of enhancing control and prevention strategies.
METHODS: Data pertaining to seven notifiable RIDs, namely, seasonal influenza, pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB), mumps, scarlet fever, pertussis,
rubella and measles, in the mainland of
China between 2017 and 2021 were obtained from the National Notifiable Disease Reporting System (NNDRS). Joinpoint regression software was utilized to analyze temporal trends, while SaTScan software with a Poisson probability model was used to assess seasonal and spatial patterns.
RESULTS: A total of 11,963,886 cases of the seven RIDs were reported during 2017-2021, and yielding a five-year average incidence rate of 170.73 per 100,000 individuals. Among these RIDs, seasonal influenza exhibited the highest average incidence rate (94.14 per 100,000), followed by PTB (55.52 per 100,000), mumps (15.16 per 100,000), scarlet fever (4.02 per 100,000), pertussis (1.10 per 100,000),
rubella (0.59 per 100,000), and measles (0.21 per 100,000). Males experienced higher incidence rates across all seven RIDs. PTB incidence was notably elevated among farmers and individuals aged over 65, whereas the other RIDs primarily affected children and students under 15 years of age. The incidences of PTB and measles exhibited a declining trend from 2017 to 2021 (APC = -7.53%, P = 0.009; APC = -40.87%, P = 0.02), while the other five RIDs peaked in 2019. Concerning seasonal and spatial distribution, the seven RIDs displayed distinct characteristics, with variations observed for the same RIDs across different regions. The proportion of laboratory-confirmed cases fluctuated among the seven RIDs from 2017 to 2021, with measles and
rubella exhibiting higher proportions and mumps and scarlet fever showing lower proportions.
CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of PTB and measles demonstrated a decrease in the mainland of
China between 2017 and 2021, while the remaining five RIDs reached a peak in 2019. Overall, RIDs continue to pose a significant public health challenge. Urgent action is required to bolster capacity-building efforts and enhance control and prevention strategies for RIDs, taking into account regional disparities and epidemiological nuances. With the rapid advancement of high-tech solutions, the development and effective implementation of a digital/intelligent RIDs control and prevention system are imperative to facilitate precise surveillance, early warnings, and swift responses.