Insurance

保险
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    欺诈活动,特别是在汽车保险和信用卡交易中,给企业和个人造成了巨大的经济损失。为了克服这个问题,我们提出了一种新的欺诈检测方法,将卷积神经网络(CNN)与支持向量机(SVM)相结合,k最近邻(KNN),朴素贝叶斯(NB),和决策树(DT)算法。这种方法的核心在于利用从CNN提取的深层特征作为各种机器学习模型的输入。从而大大有助于提高欺诈检测的准确性和效率。我们的研究结果表明,与以前的研究相比,我们的研究表现优异,突出了我们的模式在打击欺诈活动中被广泛采用的潜力。
    Fraudulent activities especially in auto insurance and credit card transactions impose significant financial losses on businesses and individuals. To overcome this issue, we propose a novel approach for fraud detection, combining convolutional neural networks (CNNs) with support vector machine (SVM), k nearest neighbor (KNN), naive Bayes (NB), and decision tree (DT) algorithms. The core of this methodology lies in utilizing the deep features extracted from the CNNs as inputs to various machine learning models, thus significantly contributing to the enhancement of fraud detection accuracy and efficiency. Our results demonstrate superior performance compared to previous studies, highlighting our model\'s potential for widespread adoption in combating fraudulent activities.
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  • 文章类型: Letter
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    分级诊疗(HDT)是缓解我国卫生费用和医保基金支出上涨压力的重要探索方向,维护和保护这个国家的公众健康。近年来,紧凑型县级医疗社区(CCMC)的建设已成为实施HDT的主要方法。本研究利用2019年四川省CCMC试点项目的准自然实验,结合从2008年至2021年的《四川省卫生统计年鉴》中提取的县级数据,评估了CCMC试点项目在医疗保险套餐支付模式下促进HDT的效果。结果显示,CCMC试点使试点县医疗卫生机构人均就诊人数显著提高0.434倍,其中基层医疗机构人均就诊人数增长0.340倍;试点县公立医院和基层医疗机构人均住院人数大幅增加,公立医院住院患者的手术率比试点前增加了5%。对试点县的医疗设施和人力资源配置没有显著影响。因此,医保套餐支付模式下CCMC的构建促进了县级HDT的实现。这些发现为医疗保健政策提供了有价值的见解,特别是在县级医疗机构制定和实施HDT有效策略方面。
    Hierarchical diagnosis and treatment (HDT) is an important exploration direction to alleviate the rising pressure of health expenses and medical insurance fund expenditure in China, and to maintain and protect the public health in this country. In recent years, the construction of compact county medical communities (CCMC) has become the primary approach for implementing the HDT. Utilizing the quasi-natural experiment of the pilot project of CCMC in Sichuan Province in 2019, coupled with county-level data extracted from the \' Sichuan Provincial Health Statistics Yearbook \' spanning the years 2008 to 2021, this research evaluates the effect of the pilot project of CCMC on promoting HDT under the medical insurance package payment model. The results show that the pilot project of CCMC has significantly increased the number of consultations per capita of medical and health institutions in pilot counties by 0.434 times, of which the number of consultations per capita of primary medical institutions has increased by 0.340 times; the number of hospitalizations per capita in public hospitals and primary medical institutions in pilot counties increased significantly, and the surgery rate of inpatients in public hospitals increased by 5% compared to before the pilot. There was no significant impact on the allocation of medical facilities and human resources in the pilot counties. Therefore, the construction of CCMC under the medical insurance package payment mode has promoted the realization of the county-level HDT. These findings provide valuable insights for healthcare policy, especially in developing and implementing effective strategies for HDT in county-level medical institutions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    缩小城乡差距的重要途径在于鼓励农民工返乡创业。本文研究了综合医疗保险制度对农民工返乡创业的影响。使用2013年至2019年中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)的微观数据,我们发现综合医疗保险系统(IMIS)使农民工返乡创业的可能性显着提高了0.44%。在一系列鲁棒性检查之后,该结果保持稳定。异质性结果表明,对于男性和受教育程度较低的人来说,这种“回调效应”更为明显。更高的收入,更大的社交网络,和较低的风险偏好。最后,大众创业与创新政策(MEI)和IMIS之间的相互作用可以在促进农民工返乡创业活动方面产生更显著的综合效应。
    An important way to reduce urban-rural disparity lies in encouraging migrant workers to return to their hometowns for entrepreneurship. This paper examines the effect of the Integrated Medical Insurance System on the return-to-hometown entrepreneurship among migrant workers. Using microdata from the China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) spanning from 2013 to 2019, we find that the Integrated Medical Insurance System (IMIS) significantly increases the likelihood of migrant workers returning to their hometowns for entrepreneurship by 0.44%. This result remains stable after a series of robustness checks. Heterogeneity results indicate that this \"pullback effect\" is more pronounced for those who are male and with lower educational levels, higher income, larger social networks, and lower risk preferences. Finally, the interaction between the Mass Entrepreneurship and Innovation policy (MEI) and IMIS can create a more significant combined effect in promoting the return of migrant workers to their hometowns for entrepreneurial activities.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:癌症相关疼痛是晚期肺癌患者临终期(EOL)的常见优先症状之一。缓解疼痛无疑是肺癌姑息治疗的重要组成部分。我们的研究旨在研究阿片类药物处方水平结局的趋势,作为中国治疗不足疼痛的潜在指标。
    方法:本研究采用2014-2017年中国城市医疗保险诊断肺癌患者1330例资料。阿片类药物处方水平的结果由服用阿片类药物处方的患者比例的年度趋势决定。死者填充的阿片类药物的总剂量,和吗啡毫克当量每天(MMED)在EOL(定义为死亡前60天)。我们进一步分析了阿片类药物处方数量的每月变化,MMED,和平均每日剂量的阿片类药物的处方(MDDP)的最后60天的生命的一年和年龄,分别。
    结果:共纳入959例患者的确切死亡日期,432例(45.06%;95%CI:44.36%-45.77%)在EOL接受至少一种阿片类药物处方。服用阿片类药物的患者比例呈下降趋势,死者和MMED填充的阿片类药物的总剂量,年下降0.341%(p=0.01),104.23毫克(p=0.011)和2.84毫克(p=0.014),分别。在31-60天到0-30天的生命中,MMED下降6.08毫克(95%CI:-7.14至-5.03;p=0.000351),阿片类药物处方数量上升0.66(95%CI:0.160-1.16;p=0.025)。像MMED一样,与前一个月相比,MDDP在死亡前最后一个月下降了4.11mg(95%CI:-5.86至-2.37;p=0.005)。
    结论:中国城市晚期肺癌人群在EOL获得阿片类药物的机会减少。临床医生没有给每个处方开出令人满意的阿片类药物剂量,而患者在生命的最后30天内疼痛加剧。在EOL期间,肺癌患者应提倡使用足够的阿片类镇痛药。
    BACKGROUND: Cancer-related pain is one of the common priority symptoms in advanced lung cancer patients at the end-of-life (EOL). Alleviating pain is undoubtedly a critical component of palliative care in lung cancer. Our study was initiated to examined trends in opioid prescription-level outcomes as potential indicators of undertreated pain in China.
    METHODS: This study used data on 1330 patients diagnosed with lung cancer of urban city medical insurance in China who died between 2014 and 2017. Opioid prescription-level outcomes were determined by annual trends of the proportion of patients filling an opioid prescription, the total dose of opioids filled by decedents, and morphine milligram equivalents per day (MMED) at the EOL (defined as the 60 days before death). We further analyzed monthly changes in the number of opioid prescriptions filled, MMED, and mean daily dose of opioids per prescription (MDDP) of the last 60 days of life by year at death and age, respectively.
    RESULTS: A total of 959 patients with exact dates of death were included, with 432 cases (45.06%; 95% CI: 44.36%-45.77%) receiving at least one opioid prescription at the EOL. The declining trends were shown in the proportion of patients filling any opioid prescription, the total dose of opioids filled by decedents and MMED, with an annual decrease of 0.341% (p = 0.01), 104.23 mg (p = 0.011) and 2.84 mg (p = 0.014), respectively. Within the 31-60 days to the 0-30 days of life, the MMED declined 6.08 mg (95% CI: -7.14 to -5.03; p = 0.000351), while the number of opioid prescriptions rose 0.66 (95% CI: 0.160-1.16; p = 0.025). Like the MMED, the MDDP fell 4.11 mg (95% CI: -5.86 to -2.37; p = 0.005) within the last month before death compared to the previous month.
    CONCLUSIONS: Terminal lung cancer populations in urban China have experienced reduced access to opioids at the EOL. The clinicians did not prescribe a satisfactory dose of opioids per prescription, while the patients suffered increasing pain in the last 30 days of life. Sufficient opioid analgesic administration should be advocated for lung cancer patients during the EOL period.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在数字化的背景下,保险业的价值链正在经历重大转变。然而,关于其理解和测量的现有研究仍然相对有限。本研究从数字基础设施、数字平台,数字应用。利用中国31个省份的数据,本研究采用熵权法,用层次分析法和最小相对熵值法衡量指标的权重,实证应用这一指标体系。结果表明,2014-2020年我国DTII快速发展,年均增长率为20.46%,且存在较强的区域趋同。此外,DTII的空间集聚和空间效应主要集中在寿险业和东部地区。本研究为评估DTII提供了指标体系和经验证据,为探索数字时代保险业可持续发展路径提供政策启示。
    In the context of digitization, the insurance industry\'s value chain is undergoing significant shifts. However, the existing research on its comprehension and measurement remains relatively limited. This study constructs an index system for digital transformation in the insurance industry (DTII) on three components: digital infrastructure, digital platform, and digital applications. Utilizing data from 31 provinces in China, this study employs the entropy weight method, analytic hierarchy process method and minimum relative entropy method to measure the weights of indicators, empirically applying this index system. The results show that DTII in China experiences rapid advancement with an average annual growth rate of 20.46% from 2014 to 2020 and there exists strong regional convergence. In addition, the spatial agglomeration and spatial effects of DTII are mainly concentrated in the life insurance industry and the eastern region. This study provides an index system and empirical evidence for evaluating the DTII, providing policy insights for exploring the sustainable development path of the insurance industry in the digital era.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:创新抗癌药物的高成本阻碍了许多癌症患者在中国获得这些药物。为了解决这个问题,2018年,医疗保险准入谈判(MIAN)政策实施,当17种创新抗癌药物的价格谈判成功后,它们被列入报销清单。本研究旨在探讨MIAN政策对创新抗癌药物利用的影响。
    方法:根据2017年1月至2019年12月每种创新抗癌药物的药物支出和确定的每日剂量(DDDs)的月度数据,采用中断的时间序列分析来估计MIAN政策在药物支出和DDDs方面对药物利用的即时(结果水平变化)和长期(结果趋势变化)影响。我们的样本由12种创新抗癌药物组成。
    结果:从2017年1月到2019年12月,12种创新抗癌药物的每月药物支出和DDDs增加了约573%(从8,931,809.30美元增加到51,138,331.09美元)和1400%(从47,785增加到668,754),分别。总的来说,MIAN政策的实施导致药物支出立即大幅增加8,734,414美元,DDDs增加158,192.5美元。此外,据报道,随着时间的推移,上升趋势更加明显,药物支出和DDDs的每月增长率分别增加了2,889,078美元和38,715.3美元,分别。关于个别创新抗癌药物,药物利用的即时变化和趋势变化最突出的是奥希替尼,克唑替尼,还有ibrutinib.相比之下,pegaspargase的利用几乎没有受到MIAN政策的影响。
    结论:MIAN政策有效促进了创新抗癌药物的利用。确保效果的连续性,消除差异,应采取补充措施,例如精心选择医疗保险谈判的药物,卫生技术评估系统和多渠道筹资机制。
    BACKGROUND: The high costs of innovative anticancer drugs hinder a number of cancer patients\' access to these drugs in China. To address this problem, in 2018, the medical insurance access negotiation (MIAN) policy was implemented, when the prices of 17 innovative anticancer drugs were successfully negotiated and they were therefore included in the reimbursement list. This study aimed to explore the impact of the MIAN policy on the utilization of innovative anticancer drugs.
    METHODS: With monthly data on drug expenditures and defined daily doses (DDDs) of each innovative anticancer drug from January 2017 to December 2019, interrupted time series analysis was employed to estimate both the instant (change in the level of outcome) and long-term (change in trends of outcomes) impacts of the MIAN policy on drug utilization in terms of drug expenditures and DDDs. Our sample consists of 12 innovative anticancer drugs.
    RESULTS: From January 2017 to December 2019, the monthly drug expenditures and DDDs of 12 innovative anticancer drugs increased by about 573% (from US$8,931,809.30 to US$51,138,331.09) and 1400% (from 47,785 to 668,754), respectively. Overall, the implementation of the MIAN policy led to instant substantial increases of US$8,734,414 in drug expenditures and 158,192.5 in DDDs. Moreover, a sharper upward trend over time was reported, with increases of US$2,889,078 and 38,715.3 in the monthly growth rates of drug expenditures and DDDs, respectively. Regarding individual innovative anticancer drugs, the most prominent instant change and trend change in drug utilization were found for osimertinib, crizotinib, and ibrutinib. In contrast, the utilization of pegaspargase was barely affected by the MIAN policy.
    CONCLUSIONS: The MIAN policy has effectively promoted the utilization of innovative anticancer drugs. To ensure the continuity of the effects and eliminate differentiation, supplementary measures should be carried out, such as careful selection of drugs for medical insurance negotiations, a health technology assessment system and a multichannel financing mechanism.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:医疗保险欺诈给世界各国造成了巨大的损失,公众举报已成为打击医疗保险欺诈的重要手段。医疗保险欺诈举报人的态度影响人们的举报行为,了解民众对医保欺诈举报人的态度,为进一步完善公众参与医保基金监管的制度和政策提供依据。
    方法:我们采用问卷调查的方法对中国公众进行了全国横断面调查,并使用卡方检验对数据进行了分析,费希尔的精确检验,和二元逻辑回归模型。
    结果:共包括837名受访者,81.8%的人口对医疗保险欺诈举报人持支持态度,性别,他们是否使用了医疗保险报销,生活满意度有统计学意义(P<0.05)。
    结论:公众普遍支持医疗保险欺诈举报人,和女人,那些使用医疗保险报销的人,那些对自己的生活感到满意的人更有可能支持医疗保险欺诈举报人。
    Medical insurance fraud has caused huge losses to countries around the world, and public reporting has become an important means to combat medical insurance fraud. The attitude of medical insurance fraud whistleblowers affects people\'s reporting behavior, and understanding people\'s attitude toward medical insurance fraud whistleblowers provides a basis for further improving the system and policy of public participation in medical insurance fund supervision.
    We adopted the questionnaire method to conduct a national cross-sectional survey of the Chinese public and analyzed the data using Chi-square tests, Fisher\'s exact tests, and binary logistic regression models.
    A total of 837 respondents were included, and 81.8% of the population had a supportive attitude toward medical insurance fraud whistleblowers, with gender, whether they had used medical insurance reimbursement, and present life satisfaction being statistically significant (P < 0.05).
    The public is generally supportive of medical insurance fraud whistleblowers, and women, those who have used medical insurance for reimbursement, and those who are satisfied with their lives are more likely to be supportive of medical insurance fraud whistleblowers.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了促进共同繁荣,中国政府在基本医疗保险制度上投入了大量的财力,提高参保群体的健康水平,防止因病返贫,具有重要意义。基本医疗保险能否改善健康状况,是我国赢得绝对扶贫运动后的重要政策问题。
    基于中国家庭面板研究的数据,本文构建了一个具有两个层次信息的强平衡面板数据,其中包括家庭层面和个人层面的变量。本文采用面板数据固定效应模型和倾向得分匹配模型进行分析。
    本文发现,在控制家庭和个人混杂变量后,基本医疗保险对健康状况有积极影响。使用倾向得分匹配模型,本文发现基本医疗保险与公共卫生之间存在因果关系。
    基本医疗保险具有显著的健康效应,也就是说,基本医疗保险对个人自评健康有显著的正向影响。参加基本医疗保险可以显著提高家庭面对风险冲击的能力,促进家庭健康资本的积累,促进民生战略的多样化,有效防止因病返贫。
    To promote common prosperity, China government has devoted much financial resources to the basic medical insurance system, it is of great significance to improve the health level of the insured groups to prevent them from returning to poverty due to illness. Whether or not the basic medical insurance can improve health status is an important policy issue after China has win the absolute poverty alleviation movement.
    Based on the data of China Family Panel Studies this paper constructs a strong balanced panel data with two levels information, which including variables from family level and personal level. This paper uses the panel data fixed effect model and propensity score matching model to analysis.
    This paper finds that after controlling the family and personal confounding variables, the basic medical insurance has positive effect toward health status. With propensity score matching model, this paper finds that there is causality between basic medical insurance and public health.
    Basic medical insurance has a significant health effect, that is, basic medical insurance has a significant positive impact on individual self-rated health. Participating in basic medical insurance can significantly improve the ability of families to face risk shocks, promote the accumulation of health capital in families, promote the diversification of livelihood strategies, and effectively prevent the occurrence of returning to poverty due to illness.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们研究了美国和中国自我评估健康(SAH)分布的不平等,近几十年来扩大保险条款的两个大国,但是缺乏全民覆盖,并且在健康的其他社会决定因素上有所不同。使用中国和美国的可比健康调查数据,我们比较了两国公共健康保险覆盖范围扩大期间的健康不平等趋势。我们发现,美国或中国的SAH不平等是否更大取决于地位的概念和使用的不平等敏感性参数;然而,SAH不平等的区域模式显然与美国的医疗保险覆盖面扩张相关,但在中国并不显著。
    We study inequality in the distribution of self-assessed health (SAH) in the United States and China, two large countries that have expanded their insurance provisions in recent decades, but that lack universal coverage and differ in other social determinants of health. Using comparable health survey data from China and the United States, we compare health inequality trends throughout the period covering the public health insurance coverage expansions in the two countries. We find that whether SAH inequality is greater in the US or in China depends on the concept of status and the inequality-sensitivity parameter used; however, the regional pattern of SAH inequality is clearly associated with health-insurance coverage expansions in the US but not significant in China.
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