Economic Factors

经济因素
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了研究我国安全生产指标与经济社会指标的关系,统计分析了近20年指标数据的发展趋势,采用灰色关联分析和多元线性回归分析方法进行定性和定量研究。在过去的二十年里,死亡人数有了显著的改善,工伤,和职业患者在中国的安全生产,全国三大14项经济社会指标实现了较快发展。运用灰色关联分析方法,死亡人数之间的灰色关联度,工伤,和职业患者在过去的二十年中,获得了14个经济和社会指标。影响死亡人数的经济社会指标排名,工伤,职业患者差异很大。建立了死亡人数的多元线性回归模型,工伤,职业病,14项经济和社会指标。从R2、F值、P值,以及实际值和拟合值之间的偏差。通过研究为我国安全生产指标和经济社会指标的发展提供指导。
    In order to study the relationship between China\'s safety production indicators and economic and social indicators, the development trend of indicator data in the past 20 years was statistically analyzed, and qualitative and quantitative research was conducted using grey relational analysis and multiple linear regression analysis methods. In the past two decades, there has been a significant improvement in the number of deaths, work-related injuries, and occupational patients in China\'s safety production, and the country\'s three categories of 14 economic and social indicators have achieved rapid development. Using the grey relation analysis method, the grey correlation degree between the number of deaths, work-related injuries, and occupational patients in China over the past twenty years and 14 economic and social indicators was obtained. The ranking of economic and social indicators that affect the number of deaths, work-related injuries, and occupational patients varies greatly. A multiple linear regression model was established for the number of deaths, work-related injuries, occupational diseases, and 14 economic and social indicators. The rationality of the model was verified from four aspects: R2, F-value, P-value, and deviation between actual and fitted values. Provide guidance for the development of safety production indicators and economic and social indicators in China through research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    区域人口死亡率与区域社会经济发展相关。本研究旨在确定影响中国各省死亡模式的关键社会经济因素。利用第七次人口普查的数据,我们分析了31个省按性别和城乡划分的死亡率模式。使用函数回归模型,我们评估了14项指标对死亡率模式的影响.主要发现:(1)中国显示出不同年龄段的性别和城乡死亡率差异。男性的死亡率通常高于女性,与城市地区相比,农村地区的死亡率更高。40岁以下个体的死亡率主要受城乡因素的影响,在40-84岁年龄段,性别变得更加明显。(2)社会经济因素对死亡率模式的实质性边际影响一般在45岁以后变得明显,其对早年死亡率模式的影响差异不那么明显。(3)各种因素对死亡率有不同年龄的影响。教育对0-29岁的人的死亡率有负面影响,延伸到30-59岁的人,在老年群体中下降。城市化对45-54岁个体的死亡概率有积极影响,而交通事故的影响随着年龄的增长而增加。在老年人中,社会经济变量的影响较小,强调这些影响的复杂性和异质性,并承认某些局限性。
    Regional population mortality correlates with regional socioeconomic development. This study aimed to identify the key socioeconomic factors influencing mortality patterns in Chinese provinces. Using data from the Seventh Population Census, we analyzed mortality patterns by gender and urban‒rural division in 31 provinces. Using a functional regression model, we assessed the influence of fourteen indicators on mortality patterns. Main findings: (1) China shows notable gender and urban‒rural mortality variations across age groups. Males generally have higher mortality than females, and rural areas experience elevated mortality rates compared to urban areas. Mortality in individuals younger than 40 years is influenced mainly by urban‒rural factors, with gender becoming more noticeable in the 40-84 age group. (2) The substantial marginal impact of socioeconomic factors on mortality patterns generally becomes evident after the age of 45, with less pronounced differences in their impact on early-life mortality patterns. (3) Various factors have age-specific impacts on mortality. Education has a negative effect on mortality in individuals aged 0-29, extending to those aged 30-59 and diminishing in older age groups. Urbanization positively influences the probability of death in individuals aged 45-54 years, while the impact of traffic accidents increases with age. Among elderly people, the effect of socioeconomic variables is smaller, highlighting the intricate and heterogeneous nature of these influences and acknowledging certain limitations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:每年,中国超重和肥胖人口比例上升,以及与肥胖相关的疾病的流行。虽然减肥手术越来越受欢迎,与西方国家相比,它的推广还有几个问题。由于中国欠发达地区由于不同地区的发展差异而更加广泛,对于这些地区接受减肥手术可能相关的因素几乎没有探索.
    方法:对2018-2022年在川北医学院附属医院胃肠外科就诊并存在肥胖或其他相关代谢问题的患者进行问卷调查。人口因素之间的关系,社会经济地位,并对减肥手术的接受程度进行了分析。
    结果:在334名患者中,171人接受了减肥手术。BMI,教育水平,婚姻史,医疗保险,家庭支持,2型糖尿病的病史都与减肥手术有关,根据单变量分析。在多变量分析中,BMI(P=0.02),教育(P=0.02),家庭支持(P<0.001),医疗保险范围(P<0.001),2型糖尿病病史(P=0.004)均与接受减肥手术的意愿呈正相关。在163名非肥胖肥胖患者中,15.3%的人不反对手术,但更喜欢先尝试药物治疗,54.6%倾向于药物治疗,30%的人犹豫不决。此外,大多数患者(48.55%)通常缺乏关于减重治疗的足够知识.年龄,高度,性别,吸烟,饮酒,2型糖尿病家族史,教育,婚姻状况差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。
    结论:许多患者担心手术治疗的安全性和体重恢复的可能性。由于减肥手术的费用相对较高,他们倾向于选择医疗。为了提高中国欠发达地区减肥手术的接受度,重点传播减肥手术知识至关重要,向社区提供相关的健康教育,并促进患者家属的支持。政府应该更加关注肥胖问题,并以医疗保险的形式提供支持。
    BACKGROUND: From year to year, the proportion of people living with overweight and obesity in China rises, along with the prevalence of diseases linked to obesity. Although bariatric surgery is gaining popularity, there are still several issues with its promotion compared to Western nations. Since less developed places in China are more widespread due to disparities in the development of different regions, there has been little exploration of the factors that might be related to acceptance of bariatric surgery in these regions.
    METHODS: Patients who visited the Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery at the North Sichuan Medical College Affiliated Hospital from 2018 to 2022 and had obesity or other relevant metabolic problems were surveyed using a questionnaire. The relationship between demographic factors, socioeconomic status, and acceptance of bariatric surgery was analyzed.
    RESULTS: Of 334 patients, 171 had bariatric surgery. BMI, education level, marriage history, medical insurance, family support, and a history of type 2 diabetes were all linked to having bariatric surgery, according to a univariate analysis. In a multivariate analysis, BMI (P = 0.02), education (P = 0.02), family support (P<0.001), medical insurance coverage (P<0.001), and history of type 2 diabetes (P = 0.004) were all positively associated with a willingness to have bariatric surgery. Among 163 non-bariatric patients with obesity, 15.3% were not opposed to surgery but preferred trying medication first, 54.6% leaned towards medical therapy, and 30% were hesitant. Additionally, a majority of patients (48.55%) often lacked adequate knowledge about weight reduction therapy. Age, height, gender, smoking, drinking, family history of type 2 diabetes, education, and marital status did not significantly differ (P > 0.05).
    CONCLUSIONS: Many patients are concerned about the safety of surgical treatment and the possibility of regaining weight. Due to the relatively high cost of bariatric surgery, they tend to choose medical treatment. To enhance the acceptance of bariatric surgery in underdeveloped regions of China, it is crucial to focus on disseminating knowledge about bariatric surgery, offer pertinent health education to the community, and foster support from patients\' families. The government should pay more attention to obesity and provide support in the form of medical insurance.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:灌区斑疹伤寒的大规模爆发及其作为媒介传播的立克次体病在新的地区出现,突出了对这种疾病的持续忽视。本研究旨在探讨中国斑疹伤寒的长期变化及区域主导因素,目的是为疾病预防和控制提供有价值的见解。
    方法:本研究利用贝叶斯时空层次模型(BSTHM)研究了2006-2018年中国南方和北方斑疹伤寒的时空异质性,并分析了环境因子与斑疹伤寒的关系。此外,使用GeoDetector模型来评估两个地区地理和社会经济因素的主要影响。
    结果:斑疹伤寒表现出季节性规律,通常发生在夏季和秋季(6月至11月),十月的高峰。地理上,高风险地区,或热点,集中在南方,而低风险地区,或冷点,位于北部。此外,斑疹伤寒的分布受环境和社会经济因素的影响。在北方和南方,主导因子为月归一化植被指数(NDVI)和温度。每四分位距NDVI(IQR)的增加导致中国北方斑疹伤寒风险降低7.580%,南部地区增长19.180%。同样,温度升高1IQR可使北部斑疹伤寒的风险降低10.720%,而南部则增加15.800%。就地理和社会经济因素而言,文盲率和海拔是各自地区的关键决定因素,q值为0.844和0.882。
    结论:这些结果表明,适当的气候,环境,和社会条件会增加斑疹伤寒的风险。本研究为合理配置资源和控制斑疹伤寒的发生提供了有益的建议和依据。
    BACKGROUND: Large-scale outbreaks of scrub typhus combined with its emergence in new areas as a vector-borne rickettsiosis highlight the ongoing neglect of this disease. This study aims to explore the long-term changes and regional leading factors of scrub typhus in China, with the goal of providing valuable insights for disease prevention and control.
    METHODS: This study utilized a Bayesian space-time hierarchical model (BSTHM) to examine the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of scrub typhus and analyze the relationship between environmental factors and scrub typhus in southern and northern China from 2006 to 2018. Additionally, a GeoDetector model was employed to assess the predominant influences of geographical and socioeconomic factors in both regions.
    RESULTS: Scrub typhus exhibits a seasonal pattern, typically occurring during the summer and autumn months (June to November), with a peak in October. Geographically, the high-risk regions, or hot spots, are concentrated in the south, while the low-risk regions, or cold spots, are located in the north. Moreover, the distribution of scrub typhus is influenced by environment and socio-economic factors. In the north and south, the dominant factors are the monthly normalized vegetation index (NDVI) and temperature. An increase in NDVI per interquartile range (IQR) leads to a 7.580% decrease in scrub typhus risk in northern China, and a 19.180% increase in the southern. Similarly, of 1 IQR increase in temperature reduces the risk of scrub typhus by 10.720% in the north but increases it by 15.800% in the south. In terms of geographical and socio-economic factors, illiteracy rate and altitude are the key determinants in the respective areas, with q-values of 0.844 and 0.882.
    CONCLUSIONS: These results indicated that appropriate climate, environment, and social conditions would increase the risk of scrub typhus. This study provided helpful suggestions and a basis for reasonably allocating resources and controlling the occurrence of scrub typhus.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    乡村旅游刺激了经济增长和就业,但由于能源需求而损害了环境。这项研究说明了能源的使用,全球化,和经济增长来评估和减轻乡村旅游的环境影响。对于2001Q1至2019Q4的数据,采用GMM方法分析了乡村旅游企业的环境影响。调查结果表明,乡村旅游相关的餐饮服务增加了大量和积极的整体环境质量,除了N2O。然而,食品和饮料服务对温室气体排放和空气污染中的PM2.5产生负面影响。观光会伤害温室气体排放,同时对空气污染产生积极影响。此外,旅行对空气污染物中的CO排放有相当大的负面影响。能源使用仅对CO2和CO有重大影响,但GDP对N2O排放有负面影响。全球化对二氧化碳和PM2.5以外的空气污染物产生负面影响。与乡村旅游相关的餐饮服务对整体环境质量有积极影响,不包括N2O排放。乡村旅游的食品和饮料服务危害温室气体排放(包括CO2)和空气污染(尤其是PM2.5)。旅行对CO排放有显著的负面影响,但是观光有双重影响,既对温室气体排放产生负面影响,也对空气污染产生积极影响。此外,购物和休闲对我国整体环境质量影响不大。关键努力的政策后果也得到了解决。
    Rural tourism spurs economic growth and jobs but harms the Environment due to energy demands. The study accounts for energy use, globalization, and economic growth to assess and mitigate rural tourism\'s environmental impact. For data covering 2001Q1 to 2019Q4, GMM approaches are utilized to analyze the environmental implications of rural tourist enterprises. The findings suggest that rural tourism-related catering services increased substantial and positive overall environmental quality, except N2O. However, food and beverage services negatively influence greenhouse gas emissions and only PM2.5 in air pollution. Sightseeing hurts greenhouse gas emissions while having a positive impact on air pollution. Furthermore, traveling has a considerable negative influence on CO emissions in air pollutants. Energy use only has a substantial influence on CO2 and CO, but GDP has a negative impact on N2O emissions. Globalization has a negative impact on CO2 and air pollutants other than PM2.5. Catering services associated with rural tourism positively affect overall environmental quality, excluding N2O emissions. Rural tourism\'s food and beverage services harm greenhouse gas emissions (including CO2) and air pollution (particularly PM2.5). Traveling has a significant negative impact on CO emissions, but sightseeing has a dual impact, both negative on greenhouse gas emissions and positive influence on air pollution. Furthermore, shopping and leisure have little impact on overall environmental quality in China. The crucial efforts\' policy ramifications are addressed as well.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The objective of this study was to examine the influence of household socio-economic factors on maternal mortality and under-five survival in Nigeria. Consequently, data from 2005 to 2021 were collected from the World Development Indicators, and fully modified least squares and canonical cointegrating regression were utilised to implement the study. The results showed that for every 100,000 live births, at least 1097 mothers die in Nigeria. GDP per capita showed a positive but insignificant impact on maternal mortality, while adjusted net national income had a significant negative relationship with maternal mortality. Broad money supply reduced under-five survival in Nigeria, while social inclusion causes a reduction in under-5 mortality with 32 deaths per 1,000 live births in Nigeria. Hence, to reduce the high rate of maternal mortality in Nigeria, policy and programmes that will be socially inclusive for women and children should be implemented in the country.
    L\'objectif de cette étude était d\'examiner l\'influence des facteurs socio-économiques des ménages sur la mortalité maternelle et la survie des moins de cinq ans au Nigeria. Par conséquent, les données de 2005 à 2021 ont été collectées à partir des indicateurs de développement dans le monde, et les moindres carrés entièrement modifiés et la régression canonique de cointégration ont été utilisés pour mettre en oeuvre l\'étude. Les résultats ont montré que pour 100 000 naissances vivantes, au moins 1 097 mères meurent au Nigeria. Le PIB par habitant a montré un impact positif mais insignifiant sur la mortalité maternelle, tandis que le revenu national net ajusté avait une relation négative significative avec la mortalité maternelle. Une masse monétaire importante a réduit la survie des moins de cinq ans au Nigeria, tandis que l\'inclusion sociale entraîne une réduction de la mortalité des moins de cinq ans avec 32 décès pour 1 000 naissances vivantes au Nigeria. Par conséquent, pour réduire le taux élevé de mortalité maternelle au Nigeria, des politiques et des programmes socialement inclusifs pour les femmes et les enfants doivent être mis en oeuvre dans le pays.
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  • 文章类型: Letter
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    近年来,中国取得了无数的经济奇迹,但也受到严重的空气污染的困扰。频繁的雾霾天气严重制约了我国的可持续发展。为探讨社会经济因素对我国城市雾霾的非线性阈值效应,本研究利用2004-2016年中国大陆223个地级及以上城市的PM2.5遥感反演数据,构建了基于STIRPAT理论的空间计量经济学平滑过渡自回归(STAR)模型。在这项研究中,ARAR-STAR模型是通过准极大似然估计来估计的,并通过蒙特卡罗模拟验证了参数估计的准确性,证明了本研究构建的ARAR-STAR模型是稳健的。结论:经济发展水平等社会经济因素之间存在复杂的空间非线性关系,人口密度,先进的产业结构,能源消耗,开放,和雾霾污染。空间影响下的社会经济因素对雾霾减排的影响具有复杂的异质性,随着经济的发展,高低政权之间的平稳过渡。本文构建的ARAR-STAR模型,同时具有个体固定效应和时间固定效应,拓展了现有空间面板非线性模型的形式,丰富和实现了空间面板平滑转移阈值模型在环境领域的应用。不仅可以为我国尽快实现“减污减碳协同增效”提供政策建议,但它也有助于中国应对全球气候变化和促进全球可持续发展的计划。
    In recent years, China has achieved numerous economic miracles but it has also been plagued by severe air pollution. The frequent hazy weather has severely restricted China\'s sustainable development. To investigate the nonlinear threshold effect of socio-economic factors on urban haze in China, this study constructs a spatial econometric Smooth Transition Autoregressive Regression (STAR) model based on the STIRPAT theory by using the remote sensing inversion PM2.5 data of 223 prefecture-level and above cities in China mainland during 2004-2016. In this study, the ARAR-STAR model is estimated by quasi-maximum likelihood estimation, and the accuracy of parameter estimation is verified by Monte Carlo simulation, which proves that the ARAR-STAR model constructed in this study is robust. It is concluded that: there is a complex spatial nonlinear relationship between socio-economic factors such as economic development level, population density, advanced industrial structure, energy consumption, opening-up, and haze pollution. The effect of socio-economic factors on haze emission reduction under the spatial influence has complex heterogeneity with the smooth transition between high and low regimes with economic development. The ARAR-STAR model constructed in this paper, which has both individual fixed effects and time fixed effects, expands the form of existing spatial panel nonlinear models and enriches and implements the application of spatial panel smooth transfer threshold models in the environmental field. Not only can it provide policy recommendations for China to achieve \"coordinated efficiency in pollution reduction and carbon reduction\" as soon as possible, but it also contributes to China\'s plan to address global climate change and promote global sustainable development.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究的目的是确定创新的影响,经济增长,金融发展,贸易,外国直接投资(FDI),电力消耗,和城市化对巴基斯坦环境退化的影响。本研究采用了动态自回归分布滞后模型(ARDL),通过图形研究自变量的实际变化及其对因变量的影响。研究结果表明,能源消耗,GDP增长,城市化,贸易在短期内对碳排放产生负面影响。另一方面,研究结果表明,从长远来看,只有GDP增长和贸易对排放有显著的负面影响。从长远来看,城市化对二氧化碳的排放具有积极而可观的影响。另一方面,金融发展和外国直接投资(FDI)有助于减少短期和长期的环境退化。此外,创新在长期和短期都会对碳排放产生积极影响。根据本研究的结果给出了政策建议。
    The purpose of this research is to determine the impact of innovation, economic growth, financial development, trade, foreign direct investment (FDI), electricity consumption, and urbanization on the environmental degradations in Pakistan. This study has employed the dynamic autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL), to investigate the actual change in the independent variables and its impact on the dependent variable through graphs. The findings demonstrate that energy consumption, GDP growth, urbanization, and trade negatively influence the carbon emissions in the short term. On the other hand, the findings indicate that in the long term, only GDP growth and trade had a significantly negative impact on emissions. Urbanization has a positive and considerable impact on the emissions of carbon dioxide in the long run. On the other hand, financial development and foreign direct investment (FDI) help reduce the environmental degradation in the short term and long term. Moreover, innovation positively affects the carbon emissions in both the long and short run. Policy recommendations are given based on the findings of this study.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Divisional water quality management (DWQM) is widely adopted in watershed pollution control. During 2011-2015, China zoned 708 priority controlled areas (PCAs) and 774 non-priority controlled areas (NPCAs) for key watersheds. DWQM at watershed level provides guidance on pollution source control (PSC) at local (provincial, city, and county) level. To identify the consistency between DWQM and PSC, a total of 29,688 enterprise-level data from China was analyzed with the difference-in-difference model. The economic factors that affect both are adopted to identify the causes of the disparities between them. The results show that PCAs were more effective than NPCAs and non-controlled areas (NCAs) in reducing COD emissions, thus better achieving divisional water quality goals. NPCAs were no more effective in reducing COD emissions than NCAs. Local government administration and potential subsidies are key to COD emission reductions, but they do not encourage technological progress. Lesser COD emission reductions were achieved in China\'s national key ecological function zones (NKEFZs) and upstream areas than in other areas. Current DWQM potentially aimed at relatively short-term economic benefits, which led to inconsistency with PSC particularly in NPCAs. To improve the coordination between them, ecological integrity should be the focus. Market-based watershed funding mechanism, especially watershed ecological compensation, transforms the short-term economic welfare from pollution control into long-term watershed ecological benefits.
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