spinal pain

脊柱疼痛
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    轴向SpA(axSpA)是一种慢性炎症性疾病,然而,尽管已知运动的抗炎作用,运动对axSpA炎症免疫细胞群和相关炎症谱的影响尚不清楚.这项随机对照试验研究了12周步行对症状严重程度的影响,心脏代谢健康,炎症生物标志物和免疫细胞群。
    20名服用稳定剂量NSAIDs的axSpA患者(60%为男性)参加。参与者被随机分配到控制或运动(每周5次步行30分钟)。每4周邀请参与者进行评估。
    运动组有0%的退出率,没有不良事件,显示步行锻炼的耐受性良好。以家庭为基础的步行12周可降低促炎单核细胞的比例,而对照组则增加。变化与较低的IL-6和CRP浓度有关,运动组的脊髓疼痛和收缩压较低,而这些标记在对照组中增加。运动时IL-6和促炎单核细胞的减少与下体脂肪百分比无关。
    步行运动补充NSAID治疗可以改善axSpA患者的炎症免疫状况,与脊柱疼痛的减轻相吻合。重要的是,这项运动耐受性良好,提示步行运动可作为NSAID治疗的辅助抗炎治疗.现在应该在患有axSpA的人中探索这一点,他们的疾病活动足够高,需要开出生物或合成DMARD治疗的处方。
    ClinicalTrials.gov(http://clinicaltrials.gov),NCT04368494。
    UNASSIGNED: Axial SpA (axSpA) is a chronic inflammatory disease, yet despite known anti-inflammatory effects of exercise, the effect of exercise on inflammatory immune cell populations and associated inflammatory profiles in axSpA is unknown. This randomized controlled trial investigated the effect of 12 weeks of walking on symptom severity, cardiometabolic health, inflammatory biomarkers and immune cell populations.
    UNASSIGNED: Twenty people (60% male) living with axSpA who were on a stable dose of NSAIDs participated. Participants were randomly assigned to control or exercise (30 min of walking five times per week). Participants were invited back every 4 weeks for assessment.
    UNASSIGNED: There was a 0% dropout rate and no adverse events in the exercise group, showing walking exercise was well tolerated. Home-based walking for 12 weeks lowered the proportion of pro-inflammatory monocytes, whereas they increased in the control group. Changes were associated with lower IL-6 and CRP concentrations, lower spinal pain and lower systolic blood pressure in the exercise group, whereas these markers increased in the control group. Reductions in IL-6 and pro-inflammatory monocytes with exercise were independent of lower body fat percentage.
    UNASSIGNED: Supplementing NSAID therapy with walking exercise can improve inflammatory immune profiles in people with axSpA, coinciding with reductions in spinal pain. Importantly, the exercise was well tolerated, suggesting walking exercise can be used as an adjuvant anti-inflammatory therapy for NSAID treatments. This should now be explored in people living with axSpA who have had high enough disease activity to necessitate the prescription of biologic or synthetic DMARD treatments.
    UNASSIGNED: ClinicalTrials.gov (http://clinicaltrials.gov), NCT04368494.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    认知功能下降和脊柱疼痛(背痛[BP]和颈痛[NP])是一项重大的公共卫生挑战,然而,他们之间的潜在关系仍然难以捉摸。对丹麦双胞胎的纵向研究进行了回顾性分析,以确定BP/NP与适应年龄的认知功能之间的任何潜在关系。性别,教育和社会经济地位。总共4731名78±6(SD)岁的成年人(2788名女性/1943名男性)被纳入分析。我们观察到BP的1个月患病率为25%,21%的NP和11%的联合BP/NP。虽然男性和女性合并BP/NP的认知评分没有差异,与没有合并BP/NP的那些相比(34.38点[95%置信区间(CI)=31.88,36.88]与35.72分[95%CI=35.19,36.26];P=0.180;35.72分[95%CI=35.19,36.26]与35.85分[95%CI=35.39,36.31];P=0.327;对于男性和女性,分别),调整后的分析显示,与没有合并BP/NP的男性相比,合并BP/NP的男性认知得分较低(81.26分[95%CI=73.80,88.72]与79.48分[95%CI=70.31,88.66];P=0.043)。这项假设生成研究的结果可能强调了脊柱疼痛与晚年神经变性之间潜在的性别特异性关联。
    Cognitive decline and spinal pain (back pain [BP] and neck pain [NP]) represent a major public health challenge, yet the potential relationship between them remains elusive. A retrospective analysis of the Longitudinal Study of Ageing Danish Twins was performed to determine any potential relationships between BP/NP and cognitive function adjusting for age, sex, educational and socioeconomic status. A total of 4731 adults (2788 females/1943 males) aged 78 ± 6 (SD) years were included in the analysis. We observed a 1-month prevalence of 25% with BP, 21% with NP and 11% for combined BP/NP. While there were no differences in cognition scores for males and females reporting combined BP/NP, compared to those without combined BP/NP (34.38 points [95% confidence interval (CI) = 31.88, 36.88] vs. 35.72 points [95% CI = 35.19, 36.26]; P = 0.180; and 35.72 points [95% CI = 35.19, 36.26] vs. 35.85 points [95% CI = 35.39, 36.31]; P = 0.327; for male and females, respectively), an adjusted analysis revealed that males with combined BP/NP presented with lower cognitive scores compared to males without combined BP/NP (81.26 points [95% CI = 73.80, 88.72] vs. 79.48 points [95% CI = 70.31, 88.66]; P = 0.043). The findings of this hypothesis-generating study may highlight a potential sex-specific association between spinal pain and later-life neurodegeneration.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:研究从婴儿期到儿童期和青春期的身高和身高轨迹如何与青春期前和晚期的脊柱疼痛相关。
    方法:这项前瞻性研究包括1996年至2003年在丹麦国家出生队列(DNBC)出生的43,765名个体。DNBC数据与丹麦统计局登记册中确定的健康和社会数据相关联。脊柱疼痛在DNBC的11年和18年随访中均自我报告,并根据严重程度进行分类。从出生到开始测量身高,并通过使用潜在的生长曲线建模进一步将其建模为不同的发育身高轨迹。使用多项逻辑回归模型估计关联。
    结果:与正常身高组的同龄人相比,儿童期和青春期身高较高的女孩在青春期前和青春期后期脊柱疼痛的可能性增加了约20%。对于男孩来说,仅在青春期后期,较高的身高与脊柱疼痛有关。无论18岁时的身高如何,青春期前的脊柱疼痛几乎使青春期后期脊柱疼痛的可能性增加了一倍。身高轨迹证实了女孩与高个子个体在青春期前和青春期后期最有可能患有脊柱疼痛的关系。
    结论:儿童期和青春期的身高高易导致青春期前和青春期后期女孩的脊柱疼痛,在青春期后期的男孩中。身高是青春期脊柱疼痛发病机制的一个促成因素;然而,机制可能与生长速度有关,但现在不确定。
    OBJECTIVE: To investigate how body height and trajectories of height from infancy through childhood and adolescence were associated with spinal pain in pre- and late adolescence.
    METHODS: This prospective study included 43,765 individuals born into The Danish National Birth Cohort (DNBC) from 1996 to 2003. DNBC-data were linked with health and social data identified from Statistics Denmark registers. Spinal pain was self-reported in both the 11-year- and 18-year follow-up of DNBC and classified according to severity. Body height was measured from birth and onwards and further modelled as distinct developmental height trajectories by using latent growth curve modelling. Associations were estimated by using multinomial logistic regression models.
    RESULTS: Taller body height in childhood and adolescence was associated with approximately 20% increased likelihood of spinal pain in pre- and late adolescence among girls compared to their peers in the normal height group. For boys, taller body height was associated with spinal pain by late adolescence only. Spinal pain in pre-adolescence almost doubled the likelihood of spinal pain in late adolescence regardless of body height at age 18. Height trajectories confirmed the relationship for girls with the tall individuals being most likely to have spinal pain in both pre- and late adolescence.
    CONCLUSIONS: Tall body height during childhood and adolescence predisposes to spinal pain among girls in both pre-and late adolescence, and among boys in late adolescence. Body height is a contributing factor to the pathogenesis of spinal pain in adolescence; however, the mechanisms may be related to growth velocity, but for now uncertain.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    姿势和脊柱畸形是肌肉骨骼(MSK)疾病的主要促成因素。体位筛查和评估可以帮助识别早期形态畸形,从而防止进展和减少或纠正他们与有效的治疗。该研究评估了使用具有结构光图案的移动结构光传感器构建准确的3D人体模型及其在姿势筛查中的用途的内部和内部可重复性。16名年轻男性(年龄:25±5.6岁,高度:172±5.3厘米,质量:69±8.6kg),没有任何肌肉骨骼疼痛或先前存在的腿部或脊柱异常。基于iPad的3D移动扫描工具,结构传感器TM(2018版),被用来捕捉参与者的背部和全身形状。收集的数据(3D模型)在开源软件中重新对齐和处理,NetfabbBasicTM(7.2版本)。对于每个参与者,五名受过训练的评估者在两个不同的场合分别测量了三次站立和身体姿势的试验,以计算评估者内部和评估者之间的可靠性。使用这个软件,九个姿势变量和角位移分别由评估者测量。结果表明,对于测量78%(9个中的7个)的姿势变量,ICC的范围为0.70至0.98,具有良好的内部评分者和良好的中等评分者之间的可靠性。其余22%的变量(9个变量中的2个;骨盆外侧倾斜和右前膝角度)显示出中至低的评估者间和评估者内可靠性,ICC的范围从0.26到0.79。
    Postural and spinal deformities are major contributing factors to musculoskeletal (MSK) disorders. Posture screening and assessment can help to identify early morphological deformities, thereby preventing progression and reducing or correcting them with effective treatments. The study evaluates both intra- and inter-repeatability of using a mobile structured light sensor with a structured light pattern for building an accurate 3D human model and its use in postural screening. 16 young males (age: 25 ± 5.6 years, height: 172 ± 5.3 cm, mass: 69 ± 8.6 kg) participated without any musculoskeletal pain or pre-existing leg or spinal abnormalities. An iPad-based 3D mobile scanning tool, Structure SensorTM (2018 version), was used to capture the participants\' back and whole-body shape. The collected data (3D model) were realigned and processed in the open-source software, Netfabb BasicTM (7.2 version). For each participant, five trained raters individually measured three trials of standing back and body posture on two separate occasions to calculate both intra- and inter-rater reliability. With the use of this software, nine postural variables and angular displacements were individually measured by the raters. The results indicated good to excellent intra-rater and good to moderate inter-rater reliability for measuring 78% (7 out of 9) of postural variables with an ICC ranging from 0.70 to 0.98. The remaining 22% of variables (2 out of 9; lateral pelvic tilt and right frontal knee angle) showed moderate to low inter- and intra-rater reliability, with ICCs ranging from 0.26 to 0.79.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    神经性疼痛是由各种病因如糖尿病引起的衰弱状况,多发性硬化症,和感染,并与生活质量下降有关,健康状况不佳,增加了经济负担。然而,在越南,关于神经性疼痛的流行病学研究在很大程度上受到限制。
    对三个制造工厂的越南成年工业工人进行了横断面研究。人口统计,社会经济,收集职业和健康数据。使用DouleurNeuropathique4(DN4)量表评估神经性疼痛的患病率。回归模型用于确定疼痛的预测因子。
    在276名工人中,43.1和24.3%的人报告说他们患有脊柱疼痛和骨关节炎疼痛,分别。在工作条件方面,工作30~60分钟时保持固定姿势(OR=3.15,95%CI=1.07;9.29),或超过60分钟(OR=2.59;95%CI=1.12;5.98)有更高的患脊柱疼痛的风险。在缺乏足够照明和接触有毒化学物质的条件下工作的人也可能患有骨关节炎疼痛,OR=4.26,95%CI=1.02;17.74和Coef。=1.93;95%CI分别=1.49;2.50。定期的健康检查和较高的医疗保健支出与较低的神经性疼痛患病率相关。
    这些结果可能为采用疼痛筛查和其他增加该人群获得医疗保健的计划提供信息,以及更严格的职业健康和安全标准。
    Neuropathic pain is a debilitating condition resulting from various etiologies such as diabetes, multiple sclerosis, and infection, and is associated with decreased quality of life, poor health outcomes, and increased economic burden. However, epidemiological studies on neuropathic pain have been largely limited in Vietnam.
    A cross-sectional study was conducted on adult Vietnamese industrial workers across three manufacturing plants. Demographic, socioeconomic, occupational and health data were collected. Prevalence of neuropathic pain was assessed using the Douleur Neuropathique 4 (DN4) scale. Regression modeling was utilized to identify predictors of pain.
    Among 276 workers, 43.1 and 24.3% reported that they had suffered from spinal pain and osteoarthritis pain, respectively. In terms of work conditions, people maintaining constant posture when working from 30 to 60 min (OR = 3.15, 95% CI = 1.07; 9.29), or over 60 min (OR = 2.59; 95% CI = 1.12; 5.98) had a higher risk of suffering from spinal pain. People who worked in conditions lacking adequate lighting and with exposures to toxic chemicals were also likely to be suffering from osteoarthritis pain with OR = 4.26, 95% CI = 1.02; 17.74 and Coef. = 1.93; 95% CI = 1.49; 2.50, respectively. Regular health examinations and higher expenditure for healthcare were correlated with a lower prevalence of neuropathic pain.
    These results may inform the adoption of pain screening and other programs that increase health care access for this population, as well as more stringent occupational health and safety standards.
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  • 文章类型: Review
    背景和目的:危险信号在严重脊柱病理学(SSP)中的相关性在过去几年中一直在发展。最近,有人提出了新的考虑因素来扩大对危险信号的考虑。这项研究的目的是确定,根据文献中可用的最新数据,批准和测试SSP分诊和管理过程的模型。材料和方法:SSP模型最初是在文献综述的基础上建立的。该模型由专家小组使用Delphi过程进一步确定和批准。最后,临床情景用于检验模型的适用性.结果:经过三轮Delphi过程,小组成员就该模型的最终版本达成了共识。专家对临床情景的使用为确定的模型和临床病例中描述的SSP带来了反射元素。结论:该模型的验证及其在临床领域的实施可以帮助评估一线从业者管理脊柱疼痛患者的技能。为此,应进一步考虑开发符合所确定模型的其他临床方案.
    Background and Objectives: The relevance of red flags in serious spinal pathology (SSP) has evolved throughout the last years. Recently, new considerations have been proposed to expand the consideration of red flags. The purpose of this study was to determine, approve and test a model for the triage and management process of SSPs based on the latest data available in the literature. Materials and Methods: The SSP model was initially built on the basis of a literature review. The model was further determined and approved by an expert panel using a Delphi process. Finally, clinical scenarios were used to test the applicability of the model. Results: After three rounds of the Delphi process, panellists reached a consensus on a final version of the model. The use of clinical scenarios by experts brought about reflexive elements both for the determined model and for the SSPs depicted in the clinical cases. Conclusions: The validation of the model and its implementation in the clinical field could help assess the skills of first-line practitioners managing spinal pain patients. To this end, the development of additional clinical scenarios fitting the determined model should be further considered.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:评估是慢性疼痛康复的重要组成部分,应根据当前疼痛的生物心理社会概念化进行评估,以捕捉疼痛的主观性和背景。然而,疼痛评估通常从生物医学框架进行.为脊柱疼痛临床医生提供了接受和承诺疗法(ACT)课程,作为促进更多以人为本和以心理社会为中心的评估以及相关的心理知情实践的框架。这项定性研究的目的是探讨在临床医生参加ACT课程之前和之后,在评估情况下,临床医生与患有脊柱疼痛的患者进行交流的口头内容。
    方法:由来自不同专业的6名脊柱疼痛临床医生对慢性下腰痛患者进行的疼痛评估是音频记录和转录的。这是在参加为期八天的ACT课程之前和之后完成的,并进行了四次监督。两位作者对所有材料进行了主题分析,并对课程前和课程后的代码应用数量进行了比较,作为变化的指标。
    结果:数据包括23名不同患者(12名患者参与疗程前)的6名临床医生的转录本。通过分析,开发了11个代码,它们集中在三个总体主题上:心理领域,通信技术,干预要素。总的来说,从课前到课后,成绩单中许多代码的应用有所增加,然而,不同的代码有很大的差异。增长主要与生活价值观和基于价值的行动和生活质量的讨论以及镜像的使用有关,挑战信念和假设,解决应对和起搏问题。
    结论:虽然并非所有因素都如此,本研究结果表明,在ACT课程后,包括心理因素和人际沟通技巧的使用有所增加。然而,由于设计原因,本研究报告的变化是否反映了临床上有价值的变化,以及它们是否归因于ACT训练本身,目前尚不清楚.未来的研究将提高我们对评估实践中这种干预的有效性的理解。
    BACKGROUND: Assessment is an important part of chronic pain rehabilitation and should be conducted in line with the current biopsychosocial conceptualization of pain to capture the subjectivity and context of pain. However, pain assessment is commonly conducted from a biomedical framework. A course in Acceptance and Commitment Therapy (ACT) was provided to spinal pain clinicians as a framework to promote more person-centered and psychosocially focused assessments and related psychologically informed practices. The purpose of this qualitative study was to explore the verbal content of clinicians\' communication with patients experiencing spinal pain in assessment situations before and after clinicians participated in an ACT course.
    METHODS: Pain assessments of patients with chronic low back pain conducted by six spinal pain clinicians from different professions were audio-recorded and transcribed. This was done before and after participation in an eight-day ACT course with four following supervisions. A thematic analysis was carried out by two authors across all material, and a comparison of the applied number of codes pre-course and post-course was carried out as an indicator of change.
    RESULTS: Data consisted of transcripts from the six clinicians across 23 different patients (12 before course participation). Through analysis, 11 codes were developed, which were clustered in three overarching themes: Psychological domains, Communication Techniques, and Intervention Elements. Overall, there was an increase in the application of many of the codes in the transcripts from pre-course to post-course, however with large differences across codes. Increases were primary related to the discussion of life values and value-based action and quality of life as well as the employment of mirroring, challenging beliefs and assumptions, and addressing coping and pacing.
    CONCLUSIONS: While not the case for all factors, the present findings indicate an increase in including psychological factors and employing interpersonal communication skills after a course in ACT. However, it remains unknown due to the design if the changes reported in this study reflect a clinically valuable change and whether they are due to the ACT training itself. Future research will improve our understanding of the effectiveness of this type of intervention in assessment practices.
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  • 文章类型: Randomized Controlled Trial
    中速疗法是一种将活性成分施用到皮肤厚度中以增加局部镇痛作用的技术。
    141名对NSAIDs全身治疗无反应的脊柱疼痛患者随机接受一种或多种经皮药物治疗。
    与基线相比,所有患者的疼痛减轻至少50%,和所有耐受的治疗,而不必诉诸全身药物剂量增加。
    来自我们研究的数据表明,渗入皮肤的活性成分在浸润液体与皮肤神经和细胞结构之间诱导中胚层调节,从中产生典型的中胚层疗法的药物节省效果。尽管需要进一步的研究来确定如何在各种临床环境中整合美素疗法,这似乎是执业医师可用的有用技术。这项研究也有助于指导未来的临床研究。
    Mesotherapy is a technique through which active ingredients are administered into the thickness of the skin in order to increase the local analgesic effect.
    141 patients with spinal pain not responding to systemic therapy with NSAIDs were randomized to receive one or more intra-cutaneous drugs on a weekly basis.
    All patients achieved a pain reduction of at least 50% compared to baseline, and all tolerated the therapy without having to resort to systemic drug dose increases.
    The data from our study show that the active ingredients infiltrated into the skin induce a mesodermal modulation between the infiltrated liquid and the cutaneous nervous and cellular structures from which the typical drug-saving effect of mesotherapy arises. Although further studies are needed to establish how to integrate mesotherapy in various clinical settings, it appears to be a useful technique available to the practicing physician. This research is also useful in guiding future clinical research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    颈/肩痛的病因是复杂的。我们的目的是调查呼吸系统疾病是否是没有或偶尔有颈/肩痛的人的颈部/肩痛的危险因素。
    这项前瞻性队列研究基于斯德哥尔摩公共卫生队列(SPHC)2006/2010和SPHC2010/2014。我们纳入了在基线时报告过去六个月没有或偶尔有颈/肩痛的成年人,来自两个子样本(SPHC06/10n=15155:和SPHC2010/14n=25273)。在SPHC06/10中,基线时的暴露是自我报告的哮喘,在SPHC10/14中,基线时的慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)。结果是在过去六个月中经历了至少一个麻烦的颈/肩痛,这限制了工作能力或在一定程度上或在很大程度上阻碍了日常活动,四年后问。二项回归分析用于计算具有95%置信区间(95%CI)的风险比(RR)。
    调整后的结果表明,那些在基线时报告患有哮喘的患者在4年后的随访中有更高的颈部/肩部疼痛风险(RR1.48,95%CI1.10-2.01),那些报告患有COPD的患者(RR2.1295CI1.54-2.93)。
    我们的研究结果表明,那些没有或偶尔出现颈/肩痛并报告患有哮喘或COPD的患者会随着时间的推移增加颈部/肩痛的风险。这突出了在医疗保健中考虑多发病率观点的重要性。未来的纵向研究需要证实我们的发现。
    The etiology of neck/shoulder pain is complex. Our purpose was to investigate if respiratory disorders are risk factors for troublesome neck/shoulder pain in people with no or occasional neck/shoulder pain.
    This prospective cohort study was based on the Stockholm Public Health Cohorts (SPHC) 2006/2010 and the SPHC 2010/2014. We included adults who at baseline reported no or occasional neck/shoulder pain in the last six months, from the two subsamples (SPHC 06/10 n = 15 155: and SPHC 2010/14 n = 25 273). Exposures were self-reported asthma at baseline in SPHC 06/10 and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) at baseline in SPHC 10/14. The outcome was having experienced at least one period of troublesome neck/shoulder pain which restricted work capacity or hindered daily activities to some or to a high degree during the past six months, asked for four years later. Binomial regression analyses were used to calculate risk ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI).
    Adjusted results indicate that those reporting to suffer from asthma at baseline had a higher risk of troublesome neck/shoulder pain at follow-up four years later (RR 1.48, 95% CI 1.10-2.01) as did those reporting to suffer from COPD (RR 2.12 95%CI 1.54-2.93).
    Our findings indicate that those with no or occasional neck/shoulder pain and reporting to suffer from asthma or COPD increase the risk for troublesome neck/shoulder pain over time. This highlights the importance of taking a multi-morbidity perspective into consideration in health care. Future longitudinal studies are needed to confirm our findings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:随着中国预期寿命的增加,下背部和颈部疼痛(脊柱疼痛)对医疗保健系统的相关负担增加,构成了巨大的公共卫生挑战。这项研究旨在调查1990年至2019年中国脊柱疼痛发病率的趋势,并预测2020年至2030年的发病率趋势。
    方法:数据来自2019年全球疾病负担研究(GBD)。使用Joinpoint回归分析计算了1990年至2019年之间的年百分比变化(APC)和年平均百分比变化(AAPC)。年龄的影响,period,和脊柱疼痛队列通过年龄周期队列模型进行估计.使用自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)模型预测2020年至2030年的发病率趋势。
    结果:从1990年到2019年,男性和女性受试者的腰背痛(LBP)的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)显着降低,而无论性别,颈痛(NP)的ASIR略有增加。Joinpoint回归分析显示,各年龄组LBP发生率均下降,男性和女性在45岁后NP的发病率增加。年龄效应显示LBP发病率的相对危险度(RR)随年龄增加而增加,40-49岁组的NP发病率RR最高,不管性别。周期效应表明,NP的风险随着时间段的增加而不断增加,但不是在LBP.队列效应在出生后期队列中呈持续下降趋势。ARIMA模型的预测结果表明,在未来10年内,我国男女被试NP的ASIR均呈现增加趋势,LBP的ASIR在男性受试者中升高,而在女性受试者中降低。
    结论:在过去的30年中,脊柱疼痛仍然是中国主要的公共卫生负担,并且随着人口老龄化可能会进一步增加。因此,脊柱疼痛应该是未来预防和治疗研究的重点,随着中国人口老龄化的加剧,尤其重要。
    BACKGROUND: With increasing life expectancy in China, the associated burden of low back and neck pain (spinal pain) on the healthcare system increases, posing a substantial public health challenge. This study aimed to investigate trends in spinal pain incidence across China from 1990 to 2019 and to predict incidence trends between 2020 and 2030.
    METHODS: Data were derived from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. The annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC) between 1990 and 2019 were calculated using Joinpoint regression analysis. The effects of age, period, and cohort on spinal pain were estimated by an age-period-cohort model. An autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was used to forecast incidence trends from 2020 to 2030.
    RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of low back pain (LBP) significantly decreased in both male and female subjects, while the ASIR of neck pain (NP) slightly increased regardless of sex. Joinpoint regression analysis showed that the incidence rates of LBP decreased in all age groups, and incidence rates of NP increased after 45 years old among men and women. The age effects showed that the relative risks (RR) of LBP incidence increased with age, and the group aged 40-49 years had the highest RR for NP incidence, regardless of sex. Period effects showed that the risk of NP continuously increased with increasing time periods, but not in LBP. The cohort effect showed a continuously decreasing trend in later birth cohorts. The prediction results of the ARIMA model show that the ASIR of NP in both male and female subjects in China shows an increasing trend in the next 10 years, and the ASIR of LBP increased in male but decreased in female subjects.
    CONCLUSIONS: Spinal pain has remained a major public health burden over the past 30 years in China and will likely increase further with population aging. Therefore, spinal pain should be a priority for future research on prevention and therapy, and is especially critical as the aging population increases in China.
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