In bipolar disorders, abnormalities of sleep patterns and of circadian rhythms of activity are observed during mood episodes, but also persist during euthymia. Shared vulnerabilities between mood disorders and abnormalities of sleep patterns and circadian rhythms of activity have been suggested. This exploratory study investigated the association between polygenic risk scores for bipolar disorder and major depressive disorder, actigraphy estimates of sleep patterns, and circadian rhythms of activity in a sample of 62 euthymic individuals with bipolar disorder. The polygenic risk score - bipolar disorder and polygenic risk score - major depressive disorder were calculated for three stringent thresholds of significance. Data reduction was applied to aggregate actigraphy measures into dimensions using principal component analysis. A higher polygenic risk score - major depressive disorder was associated with more fragmented sleep, while a higher polygenic risk score - bipolar disorder was associated with a later peak of circadian rhythms of activity. These results remained significant after adjustment for age, sex, bipolar disorder subtype, body mass index, current depressive symptoms, current tobacco use, and medications prescribed at inclusion, but not after correction for multiple testing. In conclusion, the genetic vulnerabilities to major depression and to bipolar disorder might be associated with different abnormalities of sleep patterns and circadian rhythms of activity. The results should be replicated in larger and independent samples.

OBJECTIVE: Metabolic risk factors and plasma biomarkers for diabetes have previously been shown to change prior to a clinical diabetes diagnosis. However, these markers only cover a small subset of molecular biomarkers linked to the disease. In this study, we aimed to profile a more comprehensive set of molecular biomarkers and explore their temporal association with incident diabetes.
METHODS: We performed a targeted analysis of 54 proteins and 171 metabolites and lipoprotein particles measured in three sequential samples spanning up to 11 years of follow-up in 324 individuals with incident diabetes and 359 individuals without diabetes in the Danish Blood Donor Study (DBDS) matched for sex and birth year distribution. We used linear mixed-effects models to identify temporal changes before a diabetes diagnosis, either for any incident diabetes diagnosis or for type 1 and type 2 diabetes mellitus diagnoses specifically. We further performed linear and non-linear feature selection, adding 28 polygenic risk scores to the biomarker pool. We tested the time-to-event prediction gain of the biomarkers with the highest variable importance, compared with selected clinical covariates and plasma glucose.
RESULTS: We identified two proteins and 16 metabolites and lipoprotein particles whose levels changed temporally before diabetes diagnosis and for which the estimated marginal means were significant after FDR adjustment. Sixteen of these have not previously been described. Additionally, 75 biomarkers were consistently higher or lower in the years before a diabetes diagnosis. We identified a single temporal biomarker for type 1 diabetes, IL-17A/F, a cytokine that is associated with multiple other autoimmune diseases. Inclusion of 12 biomarkers improved the 10-year prediction of a diabetes diagnosis (i.e. the area under the receiver operating curve increased from 0.79 to 0.84), compared with clinical information and plasma glucose alone.
CONCLUSIONS: Systemic molecular changes manifest in plasma several years before a diabetes diagnosis. A particular subset of biomarkers shows distinct, time-dependent patterns, offering potential as predictive markers for diabetes onset. Notably, these biomarkers show shared and distinct patterns between type 1 diabetes and type 2 diabetes. After independent replication, our findings may be used to develop new clinical prediction models.

BACKGROUND: Associations between metabolic status and metabolic changes with the risk of cardiovascular outcomes have been reported. However, the role of genetic susceptibility underlying these associations remains unexplored. We aimed to examine how metabolic status, metabolic transitions, and genetic susceptibility collectively impact cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality across diverse body mass index (BMI) categories.
METHODS: In our analysis of the UK Biobank, we included a total of 481,576 participants (mean age: 56.55; male: 45.9%) at baseline. Metabolically healthy (MH) status was defined by the presence of < 3 abnormal components (waist circumstance, blood pressure, blood glucose, triglycerides, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol). Normal weight, overweight, and obesity were defined as 18.5 ≤ BMI < 25 kg/m2, 25 ≤ BMI < 30 kg/m2, and BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2, respectively. Genetic predisposition was estimated using the polygenic risk score (PRS). Cox regressions were performed to evaluate the associations of metabolic status, metabolic transitions, and PRS with cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality across BMI categories.
RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 14.38 years, 31,883 (7.3%) all-cause deaths, 8133 (1.8%) cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths, and 67,260 (14.8%) CVD cases were documented. Among those with a high PRS, individuals classified as metabolically healthy overweight had the lowest risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratios [HR] 0.70; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.65, 0.76) and CVD mortality (HR 0.57; 95% CI 0.50, 0.64) compared to those who were metabolically unhealthy obesity, with the beneficial associations appearing to be greater in the moderate and low PRS groups. Individuals who were metabolically healthy normal weight had the lowest risk of CVD morbidity (HR 0.54; 95% CI 0.51, 0.57). Furthermore, the inverse associations of metabolic status and PRS with cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality across BMI categories were more pronounced among individuals younger than 65 years (Pinteraction < 0.05). Additionally, the combined protective effects of metabolic transitions and PRS on these outcomes among BMI categories were observed.
CONCLUSIONS: MH status and a low PRS are associated with a lower risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality across all BMI categories. This protective effect is particularly pronounced in individuals younger than 65 years. Further research is required to confirm these findings in diverse populations and to investigate the underlying mechanisms involved.

BACKGROUND: Bariatric surgery (BS) is currently the most effective long-term treatment of severe obesity. However, the interindividual variability observed in surgical outcomes suggests a moderating effect of several factors, including individual genetic background. This study aimed to investigate the contribution of the genetic architecture of body mass index (BMI) to the variability in weight loss outcomes after BS.
METHODS: A total of 106 patients with severe obesity who underwent Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) or sleeve gastrectomy were followed up for 5 years. Changes in BMI (BMIchange) and percentage of total weight loss (%TWL) were evaluated during the postoperative period. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs), including 50 genetic variants, were calculated for each participant to determine their genetic risk of high BMI based on a previous genome-wide association study. Generalized estimating equation models were used to study the role of the individual\'s polygenic score and other factors on BMIchange and %TWL in the long term after surgery.
RESULTS: This study found an effect of the polygenic score on %TWL and BMIchange, in which patients with lower scores had better outcomes after surgery than those with higher scores. Furthermore, when analyzing only patients who underwent RYGB, the results were replicated, showing greater weight loss after surgery for patients with lower polygenic scores.
CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that genetic background assessed with PRSs, along with other individual factors, such as biological sex, age, and preoperative BMI, has an effect on BS outcomes and could represent a useful tool for estimating surgical outcomes in advance.

UNASSIGNED: Schizophrenia (SCZ) patients exhibit 30% higher prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) compared to the general population with its suboptimal management contributing to increased mortality. Large-scale studies providing real-world evidence of the underlying causes remain limited.
UNASSIGNED: To address this gap, we used real-world health data from the Estonian Biobank, spanning a median follow-up of ten years, to investigate the impact of genetic predisposition and antipsychotic treatment on the development of MetS in SCZ patients. Specifically, we set out to characterize antipsychotic treatment patterns, genetic predisposition of MetS traits, MetS prognosis, and body mass index (BMI) trajectories, comparing SCZ cases (n = 677) to age- and sex-matched controls (n = 2708).
UNASSIGNED: SCZ cases exhibited higher genetic predisposition to SCZ (OR = 1.75, 95% CI 1.58-1.94), but lower polygenic burden for increased BMI (OR = 0.88, 95% CI 0.88-0.96) and C-reactive protein (OR = 0.88, 95% CI 0.81-0.97) compared to controls. While SCZ cases showed worse prognosis of MetS (HR 1.95, 95% CI 1.54-2.46), higher antipsychotic adherence within the first treatment year was associated with reduced long-term MetS incidence. Linear mixed modelling, incorporating multiple BMI timepoints, underscored the significant contribution of both, antipsychotic medication, and genetic predisposition to higher BMI, driving the substantially upward trajectory of BMI in SCZ cases.
UNASSIGNED: These findings contribute to refining clinical risk prediction and prevention strategies for MetS among SCZ patients and emphasize the significance of incorporating genetic information, long-term patient tracking, and employing diverse perspectives when analyzing real-world health data.
UNASSIGNED: EU Horizon 2020, Swedish Research Council, Estonian Research Council, Estonian Ministry of Education and Research, University of Tartu.

BACKGROUND: There is limited information on the mixture effect and weights of light physical activity (LPA), moderate physical activity (MPA), and vigorous physical activity (VPA) on dementia risk.
METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted based on the UK Biobank dataset. We included participants aged at least 45 years old without dementia at baseline between 2006-2010. The weighted quantile sum regression was used to explore the mixture effect and weights of three types of physical activity on dementia risk.
RESULTS: This study includes 354,123 participants, with a mean baseline age of 58.0-year-old and 52.4 % of female participants. During a median follow-up time of 12.5 years, 5,136 cases of dementia were observed. The mixture effect of LPA, MPA, and VPA on dementia was statistically significant (β: -0.0924, 95 % Confidence Interval (CI): (-0.1402, -0.0446), P < 0.001), with VPA (weight: 0.7922) contributing most to a lower dementia risk, followed by MPA (0.1939). For Alzheimer\'s disease, MPA contributed the most (0.8555); for vascular dementia, VPA contributed the most (0.6271).
CONCLUSIONS: For Alzheimer\'s disease, MPA was identified as the most influential factor, while VPA stood out as the most impactful for vascular dementia.

BACKGROUND: Attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is often comorbid with other medical conditions in adult patients. However, ADHD is extremely underdiagnosed in adults and little is known about the medical comorbidities in undiagnosed adult individuals with high ADHD liability. In this study we investigated associations between ADHD genetic liability and electronic health record (EHR)-based ICD-10 diagnoses across all diagnostic categories, in individuals without ADHD diagnosis history.
METHODS: We used data from the Estonian Biobank cohort (N = 111 261) and generated polygenic risk scores (PRS) for ADHD (PRSADHD) based on the ADHD genome-wide association study. We performed a phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) to test for associations between standardized PRSADHD and 1515 EHR-based ICD-10 diagnoses in the full and sex-stratified sample. We compared the observed significant ICD-10 associations to associations with (1) ADHD diagnosis and (2) questionnaire-based high ADHD risk analyses.
RESULTS: After Bonferroni correction (p = 3.3 × 10-5) we identified 80 medical conditions associated with PRSADHD. The strongest evidence was seen with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 1.15, CI 1.11-1.18), obesity (OR 1.13, CI 1.11-1.15), and type 2 diabetes (OR 1.11, CI 1.09-1.14). Sex-stratified analysis generally showed similar associations in males and females. Out of all identified associations, 40% and 78% were also observed using ADHD diagnosis or questionnaire-based ADHD, respectively, as the predictor.
CONCLUSIONS: Overall our findings indicate that ADHD genetic liability is associated with an increased risk of a substantial number of medical conditions in undiagnosed individuals. These results highlight the need for timely detection and improved management of ADHD symptoms in adults.

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a leading cause of death among the 38.4 million people with HIV globally. The extent to which cardiovascular polygenic risk scores (PRSs) derived in non-HIV populations generalize to people with HIV is not well understood.
RESULTS: PRSs for CAD (GPSMult) and lipid traits were calculated in a global cohort of people with HIV treated with antiretroviral therapy with low-to-moderate atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk enrolled in REPRIEVE (Randomized Trial to Prevent Vascular Events in HIV). The PRSs were associated with baseline lipid traits in 4495 genotyped participants, and with subclinical CAD in a subset of 662 who underwent coronary computed tomography angiography. Among participants who underwent coronary computed tomography angiography (mean age, 50.9 [SD, 5.8] years; 16.1% women; 41.8% African, 57.3% European, 1.1% Asian), GPSMult was associated with plaque presence with odds ratio (OR) per SD in GPSMult of 1.42 (95% CI, 1.20-1.68; P=3.8×10-5), stenosis >50% (OR, 2.39 [95% CI, 1.48-3.85]; P=3.4×10-4), and noncalcified/vulnerable plaque (OR, 1.45 [95% CI, 1.23-1.72]; P=9.6×10-6). Effects were consistent in subgroups of age, sex, 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk, ancestry, and CD4 count. Adding GPSMult to established risk factors increased the C-statistic for predicting plaque presence from 0.718 to 0.734 (P=0.02). Furthermore, a PRS for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol was associated with plaque presence with OR of 1.21 (95% CI, 1.01-1.44; P=0.04), and partially calcified plaque with OR of 1.21 (95% CI, 1.01-1.45; P=0.04) per SD.
CONCLUSIONS: Among people with HIV treated with antiretroviral therapy without documented atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and at low-to-moderate calculated risk in REPRIEVE, an externally developed CAD PRS was predictive of subclinical atherosclerosis. PRS for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol was also associated with subclinical atherosclerosis, supporting a role for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol in HIV-associated CAD.
BACKGROUND: URL: https://www.reprievetrial.org; Unique identifier: NCT02344290.

The influence of genetics and environment on the association of the plasma proteome with body mass index (BMI) and changes in BMI remains underexplored, and the links to other omics in these associations remain to be investigated. We characterized protein-BMI trajectory associations in adolescents and adults and how these connect to other omics layers.
Our study included two cohorts of longitudinally followed twins: FinnTwin12 (N = 651) and the Netherlands Twin Register (NTR) (N = 665). Follow-up comprised 4 BMI measurements over approximately 6 (NTR: 23-27 years old) to 10 years (FinnTwin12: 12-22 years old), with omics data collected at the last BMI measurement. BMI changes were calculated in latent growth curve models. Mixed-effects models were used to quantify the associations between the abundance of 439 plasma proteins with BMI at blood sampling and changes in BMI. In FinnTwin12, the sources of genetic and environmental variation underlying the protein abundances were quantified by twin models, as were the associations of proteins with BMI and BMI changes. In NTR, we investigated the association of gene expression of genes encoding proteins identified in FinnTwin12 with BMI and changes in BMI. We linked identified proteins and their coding genes to plasma metabolites and polygenic risk scores (PRS) applying mixed-effects models and correlation networks.
We identified 66 and 14 proteins associated with BMI at blood sampling and changes in BMI, respectively. The average heritability of these proteins was 35%. Of the 66 BMI-protein associations, 43 and 12 showed genetic and environmental correlations, respectively, including 8 proteins showing both. Similarly, we observed 7 and 3 genetic and environmental correlations between changes in BMI and protein abundance, respectively. S100A8 gene expression was associated with BMI at blood sampling, and the PRG4 and CFI genes were associated with BMI changes. Proteins showed strong connections with metabolites and PRSs, but we observed no multi-omics connections among gene expression and other omics layers.
Associations between the proteome and BMI trajectories are characterized by shared genetic, environmental, and metabolic etiologies. We observed few gene-protein pairs associated with BMI or changes in BMI at the proteome and transcriptome levels.

Dysregulation of the urea cycle (UC) has been detected in colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the impact of the UC\'s end product, urea, on CRC development remains unclear. We investigated the association between serum urea and CRC risk based on the data of 348 872 participants cancer-free at recruitment from the UK Biobank. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were fitted to conduct risk estimates. Stratification analyses based on sex, diet pattern, metabolic factors (including body mass index [BMI], the estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] and type 2 diabetes [T2D]) and genetic profiles (the polygenic risk score [PRS] of CRC) were conducted to find potential modifiers. During an average of 9.0 years of follow-up, we identified 3408 (1.0%) CRC incident cases. Serum urea showed a nonlinear relationship with CRC risk (P-nonlinear: .035). Lower serum urea levels were associated with a higher CRC risk, with a fully-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.26 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.13-1.41) in the first quartile (Q1) of urea, compared to the Q4. This association was largely consistent across subgroups of sex, protein diet, BMI, eGFR and CRC-PRSs (P-interaction >.05); however, it was stronger in the T2D, with an interaction between urea and T2D on both additive (synergy index: 3.32, [95% CI: 1.24-8.88]) and multiplicative scales (P-interaction: .019). Lower serum urea concentrations were associated with an increased risk of CRC, with a more pronounced effect observed in individuals with T2D. Maintaining stable levels of serum urea has important implications for CRC prevention, particularly in individuals with T2D.