optimization

优化
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:自2020年2月28日第一例COVID-19病例出现以来,COVID-19大流行仍然是南苏丹的一个公共卫生问题,造成了痛苦。COVAX疫苗已经使用多种策略引入,包括固定位点,临时移动,在受洪水和冲突影响的地区肇事逃逸。我们的目标是描述2022年2月至2022年6月在南苏丹首次推出COVID-19疫苗接种计划期间为改善吸收和记录经验教训而开展的2次ICVOPT运动,每次持续7天。
    方法:我们从2022年2月至2022年6月对一系列强化的COVID-19疫苗接种优化(ICVOPT)活动进行了操作性横断面描述性流行病学研究。在竞选之前,进行了自下而上的微观规划,由县卫生部门(CHD)和国家卫生部团队验证。2个运动中的每个运动持续7天,目标是30%的18岁及以上的合格未接种疫苗的目标人群。每个小组由2名疫苗接种员组成,2个记录器和1个动员器。团队使用了两个固定站点,临时移动,在受洪水和冲突影响的地区肇事逃逸。团队数量是根据运动期间每天的每日工作量(每个团队每天80人)计算的。
    结果:在目标635,030人中,共有44,030人接种了初级系列COVID-19疫苗(J&J)。在为期7天的ICVOPT运动中,这代表了选定的28个县和10个州的目标人口的69.9%。在开展为期7天的活动中,获得的符合条件的人数比在开展ICVOPT活动之前使用固定地点策略在卫生机构岗位推出COVID-19疫苗的9个月更多。
    结论:与固定地点疫苗接种策略相比,加强COVID-19疫苗接种优化(ICVOPT)运动在扩大疫苗接种范围方面至关重要且快速(2022年关于“健康生活和所有人的福祉全球行动计划”的进度报告加强合作,以实现与健康相关的可持续发展目标的公平和有弹性的恢复,激励合作,2022)在南苏丹复杂的人道主义紧急情况和难以到达的地区。
    BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic is still a public health concern in South Sudan having caused suffering since the first case of COVID-19 was introduced on 28th February 2020. COVAX vaccines have since been introduced using a number of strategies including fixed site, temporary mobile, hit and run in flooded and conflict affected areas. We aim to describe the 2 ICVOPT campaigns that were conducted to improve the uptake and document lessons learnt during the initial rollout of the COVID-19 vaccination programin South Sudan between February 2022 and June 2022 each lasting for 7-days.
    METHODS: We conducted an operational cross-sectional descriptive epidemiological study of a series of the intensified COVID-19 vaccination Optimization (ICVOPT) campaigns from February 2022 to June 2022. Before the campaign, a bottom up micro-planning was conducted, validated by the County Health Departments (CHDs) and national MOH team. Each of the 2 campaigns lasted for 7 days targeting 30% of the eligible unvaccinated target population who were18 years and above. Each team consisted of 2 vaccinators, 2 recorders and 1 mobilizer. The teams employed both fixed site, temporary mobile, hit and run in flooded and conflict affected areas. The number of teams were calculated based on the daily workload per day (80 persons per team/day) for the duration of the campaigns.
    RESULTS: A total of 444,030 individuals were vaccinated with primary series COVID-19 vaccine (J&J) out of the targeted 635,030 persons. This represented 69.9% of target population in the selected 28 counties and 10 states of South Sudan in 7 days\' ICVOPT campaigns. More eligible persons were reached in 7 days campaigns than the 9 months of rollout of the COVID-19 vaccine prior to ICVOPT campaigns using the fixed site strategy at the health facility posts.
    CONCLUSIONS: Intensified COVID-19 vaccination Optimization (ICVOPT) campaigns were vital and fast in scaling up vaccination coverages as compared to the fixed site vaccination strategies (2022 progress report on the Global Action Plan for Healthy Lives and Well-being for All Stronger collaboration for an equitable and resilient recovery towards the health-related Sustainable Development Goals, incentivizing collaboration, 2022) in complex humanitarian emergency settings and hard-to-reach areas of South Sudan.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    COVID-19大流行对公共交通服务提供商产生了严重的不利影响。大多数公共交通线路的乘客量都有所下降,而同时,其中一些可能表现出超出大流行施加的容量限制的乘客需求水平。本研究在周期性滚动范围优化框架内对公交调度时间优化问题进行了建模,该框架可对出行时间和乘客需求变化做出反应。这种模式允许公共交通服务提供商定期调整公交时刻表,以避免车内拥挤超过大流行规定的容量限制。所提出的模型是一个混合整数线性程序,该程序考虑了车辆时间表的可能变化,并试图在遵守COVID-19容量限制的同时最大限度地减少执行服务所需的车辆数量。提供了在荷兰特温特地区的2号线公交线路上实施我们的模型的案例研究结果,证明了重新安排行程调度时间和车辆时间表时的潜在收益。
    The COVID-19 pandemic has had serious adverse impacts on public transport service providers. Most public transport lines exhibit reduced ridership levels while, at the same time, some of them may exhibit passenger demand levels beyond the pandemic-imposed capacity limitations. This study models the problem of bus dispatching time optimization within a periodic rolling horizon optimization framework that reacts to travel time and passenger demand variations. This model allows public transport service providers to adjust their bus schedules periodically to avoid in-vehicle crowding beyond the pandemic-imposed capacity limit. The proposed model is a mixed-integer linear program that considers the possible changes to vehicle schedules and tries to minimize the number of vehicles required to perform the service while adhering to the COVID-19 capacity restrictions. Case study results from the implementation of our model on bus Line 2 in the Twente region in the Netherlands are provided demonstrating the potential gains when rescheduling the trip dispatching times and vehicle schedules.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    城市温室气体排放监测对于评估减缓气候变化行动的影响至关重要。使用大气连续测量空气质量和二氧化碳(CO2),我们开发了一个梯度下降优化系统来估算巴黎市的排放量。我们评估了我们在第一个SARS-CoV-2相关封锁期间的联合CO2-CO-NOx优化,导致NOx排放量减少40%,CO2排放量减少30%,这与使用自下而上的活动数据进行的初步估算一致,但低于贝叶斯大气反演的减少估算值(50%)。在评估模型之前,我们首先对三个排放数据集进行深入分析。在巴黎周围地区(称为法兰西岛),由于所有数据集都受到报告的国家和地区总数的限制,因此在总数上达成了普遍协议。然而,数据集显示其部门分布以及种间比率存在分歧。季节性还显示与非工业固定燃烧(住宅和三次燃烧)相关的排放产品之间存在分歧。本文提供的结果表明,通过部署并置的大气温室气体和空气质量监测站,多物种方法有可能提供部门信息来监测城市地区的CO2排放。
    Urban greenhouse gas emissions monitoring is essential to assessing the impact of climate mitigation actions. Using atmospheric continuous measurements of air quality and carbon dioxide (CO2), we developed a gradient-descent optimization system to estimate emissions of the city of Paris. We evaluated our joint CO2-CO-NOx optimization over the first SARS-CoV-2 related lockdown period, resulting in a decrease in emissions by 40% for NOx and 30% for CO2, in agreement with preliminary estimates using bottom-up activity data yet lower than the decrease estimates from Bayesian atmospheric inversions (50%). Before evaluating the model, we first provide an in-depth analysis of three emission data sets. A general agreement in the totals is observed over the region surrounding Paris (known as Île-de-France) since all the data sets are constrained by the reported national and regional totals. However, the data sets show disagreements in their sector distributions as well as in the interspecies ratios. The seasonality also shows disagreements among emission products related to nonindustrial stationary combustion (residential and tertiary combustion). The results presented in this paper show that a multispecies approach has the potential to provide sectoral information to monitor CO2 emissions over urban areas enabled by the deployment of collocated atmospheric greenhouse gases and air quality monitoring stations.
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  • 文章类型: Randomized Controlled Trial
    背景:纵向队列研究对于理解影响健康的行为的演变至关重要,比如电子烟的使用,随着时间的推移。在纵向研究中优化随访率对于确保具有足够分析能力的高质量数据是必要的。然而,在基于网络的纵向研究中实现高随访率可能是具有挑战性的,即使提供了货币激励。
    目的:本研究通过调查和人口统计学比较了使用电子烟的美国成年人中2种激励结构(有条件和混合无条件条件)的参与者进展,以了解最佳激励结构。
    方法:本研究中使用的数据来自一项基于网络的纵向队列研究(第4波;2022年7月至9月),该研究涉及每周使用电子烟≥5天的美国成年人(21岁或以上)。被邀请参加后续调查(平均完成时间=16分钟)的参与者(N=1804)被随机分配到2个激励结构组中的1个(每个n=902):(1)有条件(调查完成后30美元的礼物代码)和(2)混合无条件条件(调查完成前15美元的礼物代码和调查完成后15美元的礼物代码)。卡方检验通过调查的5个连续阶段(开始调查,已完成的筛选器,视为合格,已完成的调查,并被视为有效)和人口统计。
    结果:在每组被邀请参加后续调查的902名参与者中,有条件组(662/902,73.4%)的比例高于混合组(565/902,62.6%)的比例(P<.001)。在那些开始调查的人中,条件组中的643名(97.1%)参与者和混合组中的548名(97%)参与者完成了筛选器(P=.89),每波都使用它来确保参与者仍然合格。在那些完成筛选的人中,有条件组的555名(86.3%)参与者和混合组的446名(81.4%)参与者被认为符合调查条件(P=0.02)。在那些符合条件的人中,514名(92.6%)来自有条件组的参与者和401名(89.9%)来自混合组的参与者完成了调查,并在数据审查后被认为是有效的(P=0.14)。总的来说,与杂种组(401/902,44.5%;P<.001)相比,有条件组(514/902,57%)产生的有效完成更多。在有效完成调查的人中,各组性别没有发现显著差异,收入,种族,种族,区域,电子烟使用频率,过去30天的香烟使用,或先前完成的波浪数。
    结论:在调查完成时提供30美元的礼品代码比在调查完成前后提供15美元的礼品代码产生更高的调查开始率和完成率。这两种方法产生了具有相似人口统计特征的参与者,这表明一种方法在获得平衡样本方面并不优越。基于这个案例研究,未来基于网络的调查美国成年人使用电子烟的调查可以考虑在调查完成后提供充分的激励。
    RR2-10.2196/38732。
    Longitudinal cohort studies are critical for understanding the evolution of health-influencing behaviors, such as e-cigarette use, over time. Optimizing follow-up rates in longitudinal studies is necessary for ensuring high-quality data with sufficient power for analyses. However, achieving high rates of follow-up in web-based longitudinal studies can be challenging, even when monetary incentives are provided.
    This study compares participant progress through a survey and demographics for 2 incentive structures (conditional and hybrid unconditional-conditional) among US adults using e-cigarettes to understand the optimal incentive structure.
    The data used in this study are from a web-based longitudinal cohort study (wave 4; July to September 2022) of US adults (aged 21 years or older) who use e-cigarettes ≥5 days per week. Participants (N=1804) invited to the follow-up survey (median completion time=16 minutes) were randomly assigned into 1 of 2 incentive structure groups (n=902 each): (1) conditional (US $30 gift code upon survey completion) and (2) hybrid unconditional-conditional (US $15 gift code prior to survey completion and US $15 gift code upon survey completion). Chi-square tests assessed group differences in participant progress through 5 sequential stages of the survey (started survey, completed screener, deemed eligible, completed survey, and deemed valid) and demographics.
    Of the 902 participants invited to the follow-up survey in each group, a higher proportion of those in the conditional (662/902, 73.4%) than the hybrid (565/902, 62.6%) group started the survey (P<.001). Of those who started the survey, 643 (97.1%) participants in the conditional group and 548 (97%) participants in the hybrid group completed the screener (P=.89), which was used each wave to ensure participants remained eligible. Of those who completed the screener, 555 (86.3%) participants in the conditional group and 446 (81.4%) participants in the hybrid group were deemed eligible for the survey (P=.02). Of those eligible, 514 (92.6%) participants from the conditional group and 401 (89.9%) participants from the hybrid group completed the survey and were deemed valid after data review (P=.14). Overall, more valid completions were yielded from the conditional (514/902, 57%) than the hybrid group (401/902, 44.5%; P<.001). Among those who validly completed the survey, no significant differences were found by group for gender, income, race, ethnicity, region, e-cigarette use frequency, past 30-day cigarette use, or number of waves previously completed.
    Providing a US $30 gift code upon survey completion yielded higher rates of survey starts and completions than providing a US $15 gift code both before and after survey completion. These 2 methods yielded participants with similar demographics, suggesting that one approach is not superior in obtaining a balanced sample. Based on this case study, future web-based surveys examining US adults using e-cigarettes could consider providing the full incentive upon completion of the survey.
    RR2-10.2196/38732.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    保护和增加农业用地中的线性景观要素(LLE)被认为是向生物多样性更高的农业系统过渡的可能解决方案。然而,优化LLE保护区的空间配置具有挑战性,特别是考虑到粮食生产对土地的需求。系统保护规划(SCP)可以应对这一挑战,通过优先考虑具有成本效益的保护区。我们使用SCP方法观察了荷兰北布拉班特省的LLE网络,确定优化物种保护之间可能的权衡,生态系统服务(ES)的成本和货币价值。为此,我们定义了两种情况。一种方案侧重于以最低成本实现物种保护目标,另一个侧重于实现目标,同时最大化ES提供的利益。对于每个场景,我们进一步开发了两种土地管理方案,即土地共享和土地节约。对于每个解决方案,我们通过计算实施成本来测试它们的成本效益,ES提供的经济效益,和成本/效益比。首先,我们的情景分析表明,ES提供的经济利益总是超过实施成本。第二,它表明,在SCP(最大化ES方案)中包括ES作为共同利益会产生更具成本效益的保护解决方案。第三,土地共享和土地节约都是实现保护目标的可能成本效益高的方法。我们的结果在空间上是明确的,并确定了保护选定物种的关键栖息地,代表当前未受保护的LLE网络的12-20%。我们的发现展示了保护物种和LLE的净经济效益,因此代表了生物多样性保护的另一个原因。
    Protecting and increasing linear landscape elements (LLEs) in agricultural lands is regarded as a possible solution for a transition to a more biodiverse agricultural system. However, optimizing the spatial configuration of LLEs protected areas is challenging, especially given the demand for land for food production. Systematic Conservation Planning (SCP) can address this challenge, by prioritizing cost-efficient protection areas. We used a SCP approach to look at the LLEs network in the Province of Noord-Brabant in the Netherlands, identifying the possible trade-off between optimizing species conservation, costs and the monetary values of ecosystem services (ES). For this we defined two scenarios. One scenario focuses on achieving species conservation targets at the minimum cost, and the other focuses on achieving targets while maximizing the benefits provided by ES. For each scenario, we further developed two land-management options, namely land-sharing and land-sparing. For each solution, we tested their cost-effectiveness by calculating implementation costs, economic benefits provided by ES, and cost/benefit ratios. First, our scenario analysis indicates that the economic benefits provided by ES always outweigh the implementation costs. Second, it shows that including ES as co-benefits in SCP (Maximize ES Scenario) yields more cost-efficient conservation solutions. Third, both land-sharing and land-sparing are possible cost-efficient approaches to achieve conservation targets. Our results are spatially explicit and identify crucial habitat areas for the conservation of the selected species, which represent 12-20% of the current unprotected network of LLEs. Our findings showcase net economic benefit of conserving species and LLEs, thus representing an additional reason for biodiversity conservation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    废物设施选址是城市发展中地区废物管理决策者遇到的复杂问题之一。位于中转站旁边的废物转化能源(WtE)设施涉及多标准决策分析(MCDA),并利用了废物价值链。然而,这个过程需要考虑环境的相互关联的领域,社会文化和经济/技术因素作为地理信息系统(GIS)在缺乏知识和专业知识的背景下。本研究旨在通过基于GIS的模糊层次分析法(FAHP)和洛美在多哥的案例研究中的位置分配方法,提出一个WtE设施选址框架。该方法应用于布尔逻辑和模糊叠加算子,通过考虑ArcGIS下的转运站和道路网络的位置分配求解器,评估潜在站点并优化其选择。此外,WTE技术归因于基于领土方面的站点。因此,研究区域的30.70%被排除在外,最小值为3.47km2的三个潜在区域占研究区域的0.81%至1.01%,并且以0.09的可接受稠度比获得。在经济/技术和社会文化因素下,潜在地点受坡度和居住标准的影响更大,重量分别为29.13%和19.84%。因此,通过位置分配方法获得两个优化的站点并将其分配给转运站;靠近工业区的第一个合适的站点适合于气化炉,因此在厌氧消化器之前分类,适合于靠近农业区的第二个合适的站点。因此,优先考虑WtE技术和选址应考虑地区方面,废物来源以及其他环境,社会文化和经济/技术因素。这种方法已经证明了其稳健性,并为位于发展中城市地区的WTE设施的决策者提供了逐步的工具。
    Waste facilities siting is one of the complex problems encountered by decision makers of waste management in urban developing areas. Waste to Energy (WtE) facilities siting alongside transfer stations involves a Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) and has leveraged waste value chain. However, the process requires to consider the interlinked fields of environment, socio-cultural and economic/technical factors as Geographical Information Systems (GIS) in a context of lack of knowledge and expertise. This study aims to propose a framework of WtE facilities siting through a GIS-based Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) and location-allocation method in Lomé\'s case study in Togo. This method was applied with boolean logic and fuzzy overlay operators, to assess the potential sites and optimize their selection through a location-allocation solver considering transfer stations and road networks under ArcGIS. Moreover, WtE technologies were attributed to sites based on the territorial aspect. As result, 30.70% of the study area was excluded and three potential areas with a minimum value of 3.47 km2 comprised between 0.81% and 1.01% of the study area, and have been obtained with an acceptable consistency ratio of 0.09. The potential sites are more influenced by slope and residence criteria under economic/technical and socio-cultural factors, with 29.13% and 19.84% of weight respectively. Therefore, through the location-allocation method two optimized sites are obtained and assigned to transfer stations; the first suitable site close to industrial area is appropriate for the gasifier which consequently classified ahead of the anaerobic digester that is suitable for the second suitable site close to agricultural area. As result, prioritizing WtE technologies and site selection should take into account territory aspect, waste sources as well other environmental, socio-cultural and economic/technical factors. This approach has demonstrated its robustness and serves as a stepwise tool for decision makers in WtE facilities siting in developing urban areas.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了追求可持续性,有效管理农业工业和食品加工残留物(AFR)至关重要。这项研究提出了一种通过固态发酵(SSF)将AFR转化为有价值的产品的系统方法。以真菌酶生产为例,这种适应性强的方法适合任何SSF生物过程。最初,评估了AFR的理化性质,以评估其作为SSF碳源和固体基质的可行性。然后,筛选了5个菌株产生酶的能力(木聚糖酶,X;果胶酶,P;纤维素酶,C).苹果渣(AP)和带有曲霉的啤酒厂废谷物(BSG)。选择(菌株G5)。随后的步骤涉及两阶段统计方法,确定关键因素并优化它们。使用Plackett-Burman设计筛选工艺条件,将关键变量缩小到三个(BSG/AP,pH值,湿度)。响应面法(中心复合设计)进一步优化了这些因素,用于X的共合成,P,和C。湿度对这三个响应的影响最显著。最佳条件取决于每种酶,并进一步验证以最大化X,将获得的提取物用于从橙皮中提取果胶。主要含有木聚糖酶的提取物(X=582.39,P=22.86,C=26.10UmL-1)显示出主要的果胶产率恢复(12.33±0.53%),并且使用BSG/AP的最佳设置(81/19)获得,湿度(50.40%),和pH(4.58)。该发现将能够调整工艺条件以获得具有用于特定应用的定制组合物的酶混合物。
    In the pursuit of sustainability, managing agro-industrial and food processing residues (AFR) efficiently is crucial. This study proposes a systematic approach to convert AFR into valuable products via solid-state fermentation (SSF). Using fungal enzyme production as a case study, this adaptable methodology suits any SSF bioprocess. Initially, AFR\'s physicochemical properties were evaluated to assess their feasible use as carbon sources and solid matrices for SSF. Then, five strains were screened for their capability to produce enzymes (Xylanase, X; pectinase, P; cellulase, C). Apple pomace (AP) and brewery spent grain (BSG) with Aspergillus sp. (strain G5) were selected. Subsequent steps involved a two-phase statistical approach, identifying critical factors and optimizing them. Process conditions were screened using a Plackett-Burman design, narrowing critical variables to three (BSG/AP, pH, humidity). Response Surface Methodology (Central Composite Design) further optimized these factors for co-synthesis of X, P, and C. The humidity had the most significant effect on the three responses. The optimum conditions depended on each enzyme and were further validated to maximize either X, P or C. The obtained extracts were used for pectin extraction from orange peels. The extract containing primarily xylanase (X = 582.39, P = 22.86, C = 26.10 U mL-1) showed major pectin yield recovery (12.33 ± 0.53%) and it was obtained using the optimal settings of BSG/AP (81/19), humidity (50.40%), and pH (4.58). The findings will enable adjusting process conditions to obtain enzymatic cocktails with a tailored composition for specific applications.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    土地管理策略通常优先考虑农业供应服务,而牺牲其他生态系统服务。实现多种生态系统服务的高、稳供给,在适合农业的地区优化土地管理做法至关重要。然而,许多关于土地管理的研究往往侧重于它们对生态系统服务交付的好处,而没有充分考虑可能涉及的其他服务的潜在风险。在这里,我们使用现代投资组合理论来定量衡量土地管理策略的收益和风险,以增强生态系统服务。我们创建了七个土地管理情景,以不同的方式在茂名的农业产区平衡不同的生态系统服务,广东省,中国。该方法产生了最佳的土地管理模式组合,可增强生态系统服务,同时尽可能降低风险。这包括农业生产服务增加22%的方案,同时将与自然有关的生态系统服务的提供增加2%。然而,没有一个优化方案是完美的,在获得某些生态系统服务利益和创造失去其他利益的风险之间总是存在权衡。我们的投资组合理论方法表明,必须同时考虑土地管理策略的收益和风险。
    :Land management strategies often prioritize agricultural supply services at the expense of other ecosystem services. To achieve a high and steady supply of multiple ecosystem services, it is essential to optimize land management practices in areas suitable for agriculture. However, many studies on land management tend to focus on their benefits to ecosystem service delivery without adequately considering the potential risks to other services that might be involved. Here we use modern portfolio theory to quantitatively measure benefits and risks from land management strategies to enhance ecosystem services. We create seven land management scenarios that balance different kinds of ecosystem services in different ways in the agricultural production area of Maoming, Guangdong Province, China. The method yielded optimal portfolios of land management patterns that enhanced ecosystem services while reducing risk as much as possible. This includes a scenario delivering a 22% increase in agricultural production service, while simultaneously increasing the provision of nature-related ecosystem services by 2%. However, no optimization scenario was perfect, and there was always a trade-off between gaining certain ecosystem service benefits and creating a risk of losing others. Our portfolio theory approach reveals that it is essential to consider both the benefits and risks of land management strategies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    洪水是爱荷华州的主要自然灾害,在过去的几十年中,洪水对财产和关键基础设施造成了数十亿美元的破坏。土地改建,城市化,不断变化的降水状态增加了洪水事件的规模和频率。考虑到风险的增加,减轻洪水的努力对于减少未来的损失具有重要意义。在这项研究中,我们对雪松瀑布市进行了全面的防洪评估,雪松急流,还有爱荷华州的滑铁卢,利用各种数据集,如房地产信息,洪水淹没地图,缓解成本,和深度损伤函数。研究表明,在200年重现期洪水情景下,洪水对滑铁卢的影响最小,但是雪松瀑布和雪松急流非常脆弱,需要更多的缓解投资和规划。这项研究进行了效益成本分析,表明干防洪是减少所有研究社区洪水影响的最可行选择。此外,这项研究进行了气候数据驱动的分析,发现提升结构显著增加了可行的缓解方案的数量,不管各种长期的气候预测。该研究还分析了预定的缓解预算,揭示具有最高BCR的物业的潜在避免损失和收益成本比,并优先考虑它们以最大化社区的总收益。研究结果提供了重要的见解和建议,以指导社区决策者优先考虑具有成本效益的防洪策略并最大程度地减少所研究地区的洪水影响。
    Flooding is the leading natural hazard in Iowa and has resulted in billions of dollars of damage to properties and critical infrastructure over the past couple of decades. Land alterations, urbanization, and changing precipitation regimes increase the magnitude and frequency of flood events. Considering the increasing risk, flood mitigation efforts are significant to reduce future losses. In this study, we present a comprehensive flood mitigation assessment for the cities of Cedar Falls, Cedar Rapids, and Waterloo in Iowa, utilizing various datasets such as property information, flood inundation maps, mitigation costs, and depth-damage functions. The research revealed that flooding has a minimal impact on Waterloo below the 200-year return period flood scenario, but Cedar Falls and Cedar Rapids are significantly vulnerable, requiring more mitigation investments and planning. The study conducted a benefit-cost analysis, indicating that dry floodproofing is the most feasible option to reduce flood impacts in all studied communities. Moreover, the research conducted a climate data-driven analysis, which found that elevating structures significantly increases the number of feasible mitigation options, regardless of various long-term climate projections. The study also analyzed predetermined mitigation budgets, revealing potential avoided losses and benefit-cost ratios for properties with the highest BCRs and prioritizing them to maximize the total benefit to the communities. The study findings offer crucial insights and recommendations to guide decision-makers in the community on prioritizing cost-effective flood mitigation strategies and minimizing flood impact in the studied regions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    地下水脆弱性评估如今已发展成为适当保护和管理地下水的重要工具,而DRASTIC方法是应用最广泛的漏洞评估方法之一。然而,DRASTIC方法的高度不确定性主要与分配参数评级和权重的主观性有关,这促使许多研究人员应用各种方法来提高效率。在这种情况下,在本研究中,实施了不同的技术,目的是修改DRASTIC框架,从而提高其在Bouficha含水层中地下水脆弱性评估的性能,突尼斯。在第一阶段,土地利用类型(L)作为典型DRASTIC框架中的附加参数,因此考虑到人为活动对地下水脆弱性的影响。随后,通过应用统计方法(DRASTIC-L-SA)和遗传算法(GA)(DRASTIC-L-GA)对已开发的DRASTIC-L框架的评级和加权系统进行了修改,试图研究和比较线性和非线性修改.为了评估各种漏洞框架,脆弱性值与硝酸盐浓度之间的相关性,表示为斯皮尔曼等级相关系数(ρ)和相关指数(CI),被检查过。结果表明,通过应用完全基于GA的优化程序开发的DRASTIC-L-GA框架在使用的性能指标方面提供了最高值,使其最适合研究区域。此外,当采用典型的DRASTIC框架而不是经过修改的框架时,发现所研究的含水层不太容易受到污染,得出的结论是,前者大大低估了研究区域的污染潜力。
    Groundwater vulnerability assessment has nowadays evolved into an essential tool towards proper groundwater protection and management, while the DRASTIC method is included among the most widely applied vulnerability assessment methods. However, the high uncertainty of the DRASTIC method mainly associated with the subjectivity in assigning parameters ratings and weights has driven many researchers to apply various methods for improving its efficiency. In this context, in the present study, different techniques were implemented with the aim of modifying the DRASTIC framework and thus enhancing its performance for groundwater vulnerability assessment in the Bouficha aquifer, Tunisia. In a first stage, the land use type (L) was incorporated as an additional parameter in the typical DRASTIC framework, thus taking into consideration the impact of anthropogenic activities on groundwater vulnerability. Subsequently, the rating and weighting systems of the developed DRASTIC-L framework were modified through the application of statistical methods (DRASTIC-L-SA) and genetic algorithms (GA) (DRASTIC-L-GA) in an attempt to investigate and compare both linear and nonlinear modifications. To evaluate the various vulnerability frameworks, correlation between vulnerability values and nitrate concentrations, expressed as Spearman\'s rank correlation coefficient (ρ) and Correlation Index (CI), was examined. The results revealed that the DRASTIC-L-GA framework developed by applying a fully GA-based optimization procedure provided the highest values in terms of the performance metrics used, making it the most suitable for the study area. In addition, the aquifer under study was found to be less vulnerable to pollution when employing the typical DRASTIC framework instead of the modified ones, leading to the conclusion that the former substantially underestimates pollution potential in the study area.
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