excess mortality

超额死亡率
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在大流行期间,糖尿病酮症酸中毒(DKA)和高渗性高血糖状态(HHS)显着增加,需要紧急管理的条件,已报告。我们旨在调查大流行期间DKA和HHS相关死亡率和超额死亡的趋势。
    方法:使用全国数据库估算了2006年至2021年与DKA和HHS相关的年年龄标准化死亡率。进行了基于前流行数据的预测分析,以预测大流行期间的死亡率。通过比较观察到的死亡率与预测的死亡率来计算超额死亡率。进行人口统计学因素的亚组分析。
    结果:在2006-2021年期间,记录了71575例DKA相关死亡和8618例HHS相关死亡。DKA,在大流行之前显示出稳定的增长,在大流行期间显示出明显的超额死亡率(2020年为36.91%,2021年为46.58%),年百分比变化(APC)为29.4%(95%CI:16.0%-44.0%)。尽管HHS在2006-2019年期间呈下降趋势,但2020年(40.60%)和2021年(56.64%)的超额死亡人数却很严重。儿科死者表现出最高的超额死亡率。DKA导致的超额死亡人数中有一半以上与2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)相关(2020年为51.3%,2021年为63.4%),而HHS导致的超额死亡中只有不到四分之一与COVID-19相关。观察到种族/族裔差异扩大,女性的死亡率高于男性。
    结论:大流行期间与DKA和HHS相关的超额死亡率和相关差异强调迫切需要有针对性的策略来减轻公共卫生危机期间这些人群的风险升级。
    BACKGROUND: During the pandemic, a notable increase in diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) and hyperosmolar hyperglycemic state (HHS), conditions that warrant emergent management, was reported. We aimed to investigate the trend of DKA- and HHS-related mortality and excess deaths during the pandemic.
    METHODS: Annual age-standardized mortality rates related to DKA and HHS between 2006 and 2021 were estimated using a nationwide database. Forecast analyses based on prepandemic data were conducted to predict the mortality rates during the pandemic. Excess mortality rates were calculated by comparing the observed versus predicted mortality rates. Subgroup analyses of demographic factors were performed.
    RESULTS: There were 71 575 DKA-related deaths and 8618 HHS-related deaths documented during 2006-2021. DKA, which showed a steady increase before the pandemic, demonstrated a pronounced excess mortality during the pandemic (36.91% in 2020 and 46.58% in 2021) with an annual percentage change (APC) of 29.4% (95% CI: 16.0%-44.0%). Although HHS incurred a downward trend during 2006-2019, the excess deaths in 2020 (40.60%) and 2021 (56.64%) were profound. Pediatric decedents exhibited the highest excess mortality. More than half of the excess deaths due to DKA were coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) related (51.3% in 2020 and 63.4% in 2021), whereas only less than a quarter of excess deaths due to HHS were COVID-19 related. A widened racial/ethnic disparity was observed, and females exhibited higher excess mortality than males.
    CONCLUSIONS: The DKA- and HHS-related excess mortality during the pandemic and relevant disparities emphasize the urgent need for targeted strategies to mitigate the escalated risk in these populations during public health crises.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究的目的是估算2012年至2021年中国流感病毒感染的超额死亡负担,并同时分析其相关疾病表现。
    关于流感的实验室监测数据,相关人口统计,和死亡率记录,包括中国的死因数据,从2012年到2021年,都纳入了综合分析。负二项回归模型用于计算与流感相关的超额死亡率,考虑到年份等因素,子类型,和死因。
    没有证据表明恶性肿瘤与任何亚型流感之间存在相关性,尽管检查了流感对八种疾病死亡率的影响。在2012年至2021年期间,共分离出327,520份流感病毒检测呈阳性的样品,在2012-2013年和2019-2020年期间观察到的阳性率显着下降。在研究期间,中国平均每年与流感相关的超额死亡人数为201721.78,平均每年超额死亡率为每10万人14.53。在检查的死亡原因中,呼吸和循环系统疾病(R&C)所占比例最高(58.50%)。归因于呼吸和循环系统疾病的死亡表现出明显的时间模式,而其他原因导致的死亡在一年中分散。
    理论上,这些疾病类型对流感相关死亡人数过多的贡献可以作为早期预警和有针对性的流感监测的基础。此外,有可能更精确地评估预防和控制措施的成本以及流行病对公共卫生的影响。
    UNASSIGNED: The aim of this study is to estimate the excess mortality burden of influenza virus infection in China from 2012 to 2021, with a concurrent analysis of its associated disease manifestations.
    UNASSIGNED: Laboratory surveillance data on influenza, relevant population demographics, and mortality records, including cause of death data in China, spanning the years 2012 to 2021, were incorporated into a comprehensive analysis. A negative binomial regression model was utilized to calculate the excess mortality rate associated with influenza, taking into consideration factors such as year, subtype, and cause of death.
    UNASSIGNED: There was no evidence to indicate a correlation between malignant neoplasms and any subtype of influenza, despite the examination of the effect of influenza on the mortality burden of eight diseases. A total of 327,520 samples testing positive for influenza virus were isolated between 2012 and 2021, with a significant decrease in the positivity rate observed during the periods of 2012-2013 and 2019-2020. China experienced an average annual influenza-associated excess deaths of 201721.78 and an average annual excess mortality rate of 14.53 per 100,000 people during the research period. Among the causes of mortality that were examined, respiratory and circulatory diseases (R&C) accounted for the most significant proportion (58.50%). Fatalities attributed to respiratory and circulatory diseases exhibited discernible temporal patterns, whereas deaths attributable to other causes were dispersed over the course of the year.
    UNASSIGNED: Theoretically, the contribution of these disease types to excess influenza-related fatalities can serve as a foundation for early warning and targeted influenza surveillance. Additionally, it is possible to assess the costs of prevention and control measures and the public health repercussions of epidemics with greater precision.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:抑郁症患者有相当大的死亡风险。死亡率的增加可能归因于抑郁症的生物学后果或健康风险行为(HRBs)的大量流行。这项研究旨在量化四种主要HRBs的综合影响-吸烟,过度饮酒,缺乏身体活动,和不健康的饮食-抑郁症患者的死亡率过高。
    方法:这项研究包括2005-06至2017-18年度国家健康和营养检查调查的35,738名成年人,死亡率随访数据截止到2019年。计算有和没有抑郁症的人群的HRBs的标准化患病率。使用泊松回归模型计算死亡率比(MRR)。基于对社会人口因素的模型调整,在进一步校正HRBs后确定MRR的衰减.
    结果:共有3147名参与者被确定为患有抑郁症。所有HRBs在抑郁症患者中的患病率均显着较高。在调整了社会人口因素后,抑郁症与全因死亡率和心血管疾病死亡率高1.7和1.8倍相关,分别。对所有当前HRBs的进一步调整导致全因死亡率降低21.9%,心血管疾病死亡率降低15.4%。
    结论:在单个时间点报告了HRBs,我们无法证明因果关系。
    结论:抑郁症患者的超额死亡率至少有1/5归因于HRBs。应努力解决抑郁症患者中的HRB问题。
    BACKGROUND: The population with depression had a considerable excess mortality risk. This increased mortality may be attributed to the biological consequences of depression or the substantial prevalence of health risk behaviors (HRBs). This study aimed to quantify the combined effects of four major HRBs - smoking, excessive alcohol use, physical inactivity, and an unhealthy diet - on excess mortality among depressed individuals.
    METHODS: This study included 35,738 adults from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2005-06 to 2017-18, with mortality follow-up data censored through 2019. The standardized prevalence of HRBs was calculated for populations with and without depression. Poisson regression models were used to calculate the mortality rate ratio (MRR). Based on model adjusting for socio-demographic factors, the attenuation of MRR was determined after further adjustment for HRBs.
    RESULTS: A total of 3147 participants were identified as having depression. All HRBs showed a significantly higher prevalence among the population with depression. After adjusting for socio-demographic factors, depression was associated with 1.7 and 1.8 times higher all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality rate, respectively. Further adjustment for all current HRBs resulted in a 21.9 % reduction in all-cause mortality rate and a 15.4 % decrease in cardiovascular disease mortality rate.
    CONCLUSIONS: HRBs were reported at a single time point, and we are unable to demonstrate a causal effect.
    CONCLUSIONS: At least 1/5 of excess mortality for population with depression was attributable to HRBs. Efforts should be made to address HRBs among population with depression.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    暂无摘要。
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:通过估计超额死亡率,在国家以下一级衡量2020年COVID-19大流行的负担,定义为全因死亡率相对于预期基线死亡率水平的增加.
    方法:由21个欧洲国家的生命统计系统为中欧和西欧的561个地区提供的区域全因死亡率数据的统计和人口统计学分析。估计了男性和女性在0岁和60岁时的预期寿命损失。
    结果:我们在391个地区发现了预期寿命下降的证据,而2020年只有三个地区的预期寿命显着提高。对于12个地区,预期寿命损失达2年以上,三个地区的预期寿命损失超过3年。我们强调了意大利北部高死亡率的地理集群,西班牙和波兰,虽然在法国西部发现了低死亡率的集群,德国/丹麦和挪威/瑞典。
    结论:预期寿命损失的地区差异令人印象深刻,从亏损4年以上到收益8个月不等。这些发现为区域分析提供了强有力的理由,因为国家估计隐藏了巨大的地区差异。
    OBJECTIVE: To measure the burden of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 at the subnational level by estimating excess mortality, defined as the increase in all-cause mortality relative to an expected baseline mortality level.
    METHODS: Statistical and demographic analyses of regional all-cause mortality data provided by the vital statistics systems of 21 European countries for 561 regions in Central and Western Europe. Life expectancy losses at ages 0 and 60 for males and females were estimated.
    RESULTS: We found evidence of a loss in life expectancy in 391 regions, whilst only three regions exhibit notable gains in life expectancy in 2020. For 12 regions, losses of life expectancy amounted to more than 2 years and three regions showed losses greater than 3 years. We highlight geographical clusters of high mortality in Northern Italy, Spain and Poland, whilst clusters of low mortality were found in Western France, Germany/Denmark and Norway/Sweden.
    CONCLUSIONS: Regional differences of loss of life expectancy are impressive, ranging from a loss of more than 4 years to a gain of 8 months. These findings provide a strong rationale for regional analysis, as national estimates hide significant regional disparities.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:挪威和瑞典选择了两种不同的方法来减轻SARS-CoV-2病毒的传播。挪威在欧洲实行了最严格的封锁,严格的边境管制和对所有当地疫情的密集病毒追踪,而瑞典则没有。这导致2020年477例COVID-19死亡(挪威)和9737例(瑞典)。
    方法:收集2020-22年与COVID-19相关的每周死亡人数和总死亡人数,以及2015-19年的每周死亡人数,在计算超额死亡率时用作对照。在社会病毒传播率高的前12-18个月,超额死亡率被用作COVID-19死亡的替代品。当超额死亡率后来由于死亡率流离失所而变为负值时,使用了COVID-19死亡,校正了由于过度报告导致的偏倚。
    结果:研究期间,瑞典有17521例COVID-19死亡,挪威有4272例死亡。瑞典与COVID-19相关死亡的比率(RR)截至2022年第43周,挪威为2.11(95%CI2.05-2.19)。COVID-19相关死亡的RR与超额死亡人数分别为2.5(瑞典)和1.3(挪威),分别。瑞典COVID-19死亡的RR与挪威在调整了死亡率、流离失所和封锁后,为1.35(95%CI1.31-1.39),相当于在挪威拯救2025年的生命。如果包括2022年的所有死亡,RR=1.28(95%CI1.24-1.31)。
    结论:与COVID-19相关的死亡率和超额死亡率都是有偏差的估计。当调整偏置时,在大流行30个月后,随着时间的推移,瑞典的死亡率差异下降至约30%,在挪威,每次预防死亡的费用为1200万欧元.
    BACKGROUND: Norway and Sweden picked two different ways to mitigate the dissemination of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Norway introduced the strictest lockdown in Europe with strict border controls and intense virus tracking of all local outbreaks while Sweden did not. That resulted in 477 COVID-19 deaths (Norway) and 9737 (Sweden) in 2020, respectively.
    METHODS: Weekly number of COVID-19 related deaths and total deaths for 2020-22 were collected as well as weekly number of deaths for 2015-19 which were used as controls when calculating excess mortality. During the first 12-18 months with high rate of virus transmission in the society, excess mortality rates were used as substitute for COVID-19 deaths. When excess mortality rates later turned negative because of mortality displacement, COVID-19 deaths adjusted for bias due to overreporting were used.
    RESULTS: There were 17521 COVID-19 deaths in Sweden and 4272 in Norway in the study period. The rate ratio (RR) of COVID-19 related deaths in Sweden vs. Norway to the end of week 43, 2022, was 2.11 (95% CI 2.05-2.19). RR of COVID-19 related deaths vs. excess number of deaths were 2.5 (Sweden) and 1.3 (Norway), respectively. RR of COVID-19 deaths in Sweden vs. Norway after adjusting for mortality displacement and lockdown, was 1.35 (95% CI 1.31-1.39), corresponding to saving 2025 life in Norway. If including all deaths in 2022, RR= 1.28 (95% CI 1.24-1.31).
    CONCLUSIONS: Both COVID-19 related mortality and excess mortality rates are biased estimates. When adjusting for bias, mortality differences declined over time to about 30% higher mortality in Sweden after 30 months with pandemics.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:股骨粗隆间骨折是髋部骨折的一种类型,这是骨质疏松症最严重的后果。随着老年人口的增长,预计股骨粗隆间骨折的发病率会越来越高。这项研究的目的是评估天津市50岁及以上患者股骨粗隆间骨折后的超额死亡率,并确定治疗长期死亡率的预测因素。
    方法:这是一项回顾性队列研究,对2014年12月26日至2018年12月31日在天津发生股骨粗隆间骨折的3029例50岁及以上患者的死亡率进行研究。数据来自天津医院髋部骨折(THHF)队列。随访期至2022年3月31日。死亡率,超额死亡率,对合并症进行分析,并按治疗方法和性别进行分层。进行时间依赖性Cox模型以估计变量的影响。
    结果:所有患者3个月时的绝对死亡率为5.90%,12个月时12.55%,24个月为19.92%,36个月为27.28%。手术组3个月时的绝对死亡率为1.57%,12个月时4.77%,24个月为8.49%,36个月为12.07%,显著低于保守组:3个月时10.50%,12个月时20.73%,24个月为31.96%,36个月为43.04%。我们发现死亡率大大降低(危险比[HR]0.34,95%内部置信度,[CI]:0.23-0.52,p=0.000)在接受手术治疗的患者中,即使受性别控制,年龄,住院时间,和所有的合并症。女性患者(HR0.68,95%CI:0.58-0.79,p=0.000)在股骨粗隆间骨折后死亡的可能性低于男性患者。两种方法治疗的患者均发现与一般人群相比死亡率过高,虽然在不同的层次。保守治疗组患者的超额死亡率男性为14.46%,女性为17.93%,在手术治疗组,女性占2.78%,男性占4.37%。中度或重度肾脏疾病的合并症(HR2.19,95%CI:1.61-2.98,p=0.000),转移性实体瘤(HR6.35,95%CI:1.56-25.85,p=0.010),低蛋白血症(HR1.22,95%CI:1.01-1.47,p=0.034),年龄(HR1.89,95%CI:1.73-2.08,p=0.000)也是死亡率的危险因素。对主要结局进行了较差的病例分析作为敏感性分析,这与原始结论一致。
    结论:发现50岁以上人群的股骨粗隆间骨折与天津市普通人群相比死亡率过高,预防老年人髋部骨折势在必行。在控制合并症和年龄后,女性性别和手术治疗是骨折后死亡的保护因素,这可以为患者和外科医生做出决定提供强有力的证据。
    OBJECTIVE: Intertrochanteric fracture is one type of hip fracture, which is the most serious consequence of osteoporosis. Along with the growing elderly population, intertrochanteric fracture is expected to rise increasingly. The aim of this study was to assess excess mortality after intertrochanteric fractures and to identify the predictors of long-term mortality by therapy among patients aged 50 years and older in Tianjin.
    METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study on mortality for 3029 patients aged 50 years and older in Tianjin experiencing an intertrochanteric fracture between December 26, 2014 and December 31, 2018. Data were from Tianjin Hospital Hip Fracture (THHF) cohort. Follow-up period was until March 31, 2022. Mortality, excess mortality, and comorbidities were analyzed and stratified by therapy and gender. Time dependent Cox models were performed to estimate the effects of the variables.
    RESULTS: Absolute mortality for all the patients was 5.90% at 3 months, 12.55% at 12 months, 19.92% at 24 months and 27.28% at 36 months. Absolute mortality for surgical group was 1.57% at 3 months, 4.77% at 12 months, 8.49% at 24 months and 12.07% at 36 months, significantly lower than conservative group: 10.50% at 3 months, 20.73% at 12 months, 31.96% at 24 months and 43.04% at 36 months. We found a substantially lower mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.34, 95% confidence internal, [CI]: 0.23-0.52, p = 0.000) among patients undergoing surgical therapy than those undergoing conservative therapy, even when controlled for gender, age, the length of hospital stay, and all the comorbidities. Female patients (HR 0.68, 95% CI: 0.58-0.79, p = 0.000) were less likely to die than male patients after an intertrochanteric fracture. Patients treated by the two methods were both found to have excess mortality rates compared to the general population, although in different levels. The excess mortality rates for patients in the conservative therapy group were 14.46% in males and 17.93% in females, while in the surgical therapy group, 2.78% in females and 4.37% in males. The comorbidities moderate or severe renal disease (HR 2.19, 95% CI: 1.61-2.98, p = 0.000), metastatic solid tumor (HR 6.35, 95% CI: 1.56-25.85, p = 0.010), hypoproteinemia (HR 1.22, 95% CI: 1.01-1.47, p = 0.034), and older age (HR 1.89, 95% CI: 1.73-2.08, p = 0.000) were also risk factors on mortality. A worse-case analysis for the primary outcome were performed as sensitivity analysis and it was consistent with the original conclusion.
    CONCLUSIONS: Intertrochanteric factures for people aged 50 years older were found to have excess mortality compared to the general population in Tianjin city, and preventing the fractures in the hip for elderly people was imperative. After controlling tfor comorbidities and age, female gender and surgical therapy were protective factors for the death after fractures, which could provide strong evidence for patients and surgeons to make decisions.
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  • 文章类型: Observational Study
    COVID-19大流行在全球范围内增加了发病率和死亡率,特别是在肾脏和肾脏-胰腺移植受体(KTR/KPTR)人群中。为了评估葡萄牙KTR/KPTR队列中的绝对和相对超额死亡率(EM),我们对两个KTR/KPTRs队列进行了回顾性观察研究:2012年9月至2020年3月的队列1(P1;n=2,179);2020年3月至2022年8月的队列2(P2;n=2067).相对和绝对EM与年龄之间的相关性,性别,探讨了移植时间和死亡原因。在P1和P2中,共有145例和84例各种原因死亡。P2与P1的绝对EM为19.2死亡(观察/预期死亡率1.30,p=0.006),相对EM为1.47/1,000人-月(95%CI1.11-1.93,p=0.006)。与普通人群的同期相比,按年龄划分的P2标准死亡率为3.86(95%CI2.40-5.31),P2C的峰值为9.00(95%CI4.84-13.16)。在该人群中确定的较高EM是相关的,主要是,COVID-19感染,与普通人群相比,在第二个季节性COVID-19高峰期间的数值要高得多,尽管普遍接种疫苗。这些强调了在这些患者中需要进一步的预防措施和改进的治疗方法。
    The COVID-19 pandemic increased morbidity and mortality worldwide, particularly in the Kidney and Kidney-Pancreas Transplant Recipient (KTR/KPTR) population. Aiming at assessing the absolute and relative excess mortality (EM) in a Portuguese KTR/KPTR cohort, we conducted a retrospective observational study of two KTR/KPTRs cohorts: cohort 1 (P1; n = 2,179) between September/2012 and March/2020; cohort 2 (P2; n = 2067) between March/2020, and August/2022. A correlation between relative and absolute EM and age, sex, time from transplantation and cause of death was explored. A total of 145 and 84 deaths by all causes were observed in P1 and P2, respectively. The absolute EM in P2 versus P1 was 19.2 deaths (observed/expected mortality ratio 1.30, p = 0.006), and the relative EM was 1.47/1,000 person-months (95% CI 1.11-1.93, p = 0.006). Compared to the same period in the general population, the standardized mortality rate by age in P2 was 3.86 (95% CI 2.40-5.31), with a peak at 9.00 (95% CI 4.84-13.16) in P2C. The higher EM identified in this population was associated, mainly, with COVID-19 infection, with much higher values during the second seasonal COVID-19 peak when compared to the general population, despite generalized vaccination. These highlight the need for further preventive measures and improved therapies in these patients.
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  • 文章类型: Observational Study
    背景:对COVID-19大流行期间超额死亡率的大多数分析都采用了汇总数据。来自美国最大的综合医疗保健系统的个人水平数据可能会增强对超额死亡率的理解。
    方法:我们在2018年3月1日至2022年2月28日接受退伍军人事务部(VA)护理的患者后进行了一项观察性队列研究。我们以绝对规模估计超额死亡率(即超额死亡率,超额死亡人数)和通过比较大流行和大流行前时期的死亡率危险比(HR)来衡量相对比例,总体上以及在人口统计学和临床亚组内。使用Charlson合并症指数和退伍军人老化队列研究指数测量合并症负担和虚弱,分别。
    结果:在5905747名患者中,中位年龄为65.8岁,91%为男性.总的来说,超额死亡率为10.0例死亡/1000人年(PY),共有103164例超额死亡,大流行HR为1.25(95%CI1.25-1.26)。在最虚弱的患者(52.0/1000PY)和共病负担最高的患者(16.3/1000PY)中,超额死亡率最高。然而,在最不虚弱的人群(HR1.31,95%CI1.30-1.32)和合并症负担最低的人群(HR1.44,95%CI1.43-1.46)中观察到最大的相对死亡率增加.
    结论:个人水平的数据为COVID-19大流行期间美国的超额死亡率模式提供了重要的临床和操作见解。临床风险组之间出现了显著差异,强调有必要报告绝对和相对的超额死亡率,以便为未来疫情的资源分配提供信息。
    BACKGROUND: Most analyses of excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic have employed aggregate data. Individual-level data from the largest integrated healthcare system in the US may enhance understanding of excess mortality.
    METHODS: We performed an observational cohort study following patients receiving care from the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) between 1 March 2018 and 28 February 2022. We estimated excess mortality on an absolute scale (i.e. excess mortality rates, number of excess deaths) and a relative scale by measuring the hazard ratio (HR) for mortality comparing pandemic and pre-pandemic periods, overall and within demographic and clinical subgroups. Comorbidity burden and frailty were measured using the Charlson Comorbidity Index and Veterans Aging Cohort Study Index, respectively.
    RESULTS: Of 5 905 747 patients, the median age was 65.8 years and 91% were men. Overall, the excess mortality rate was 10.0 deaths/1000 person-years (PY), with a total of 103 164 excess deaths and pandemic HR of 1.25 (95% CI 1.25-1.26). Excess mortality rates were highest among the most frail patients (52.0/1000 PY) and those with the highest comorbidity burden (16.3/1000 PY). However, the largest relative mortality increases were observed among the least frail (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.30-1.32) and those with the lowest comorbidity burden (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.43-1.46).
    CONCLUSIONS: Individual-level data offered crucial clinical and operational insights into US excess mortality patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic. Notable differences emerged among clinical risk groups, emphasizing the need for reporting excess mortality in both absolute and relative terms to inform resource allocation in future outbreaks.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:患有精神疾病的人的预期寿命缩短,但南非精神疾病患者死亡率差距的程度以及自然和非自然原因对死亡率过高的贡献尚不清楚。
    方法:我们分析了15-85岁南非医疗保险计划受益人的报销申请。我们估计与有机相关的剩余寿命年损失(LYL),物质使用,精神病患者,心情,焦虑,吃,个性,发育或任何精神障碍。
    结果:我们追踪了1,070,183名受益人,中位数为三年,其中282,926人(26.4%)接受了心理健康诊断。与没有精神健康诊断的男性相比,有精神健康诊断的男性损失了3.83岁(95%CI3.58-4.10)。与没有心理健康诊断的女性相比,有心理健康诊断的女性失去了2.19岁(1.97-2.41)。超额死亡率因性别和诊断而异,从患有酒精使用障碍的男性的11.50LYL(95%CI9.79-13.07)到患有广泛性焦虑症的女性的0.87LYL(0.40-1.43)。大多数LYL归因于自然原因(男性:3.42,女性:1.94)。在患有双相性(1.52)或物质使用(2.45)障碍的男性中,大量的LYL归因于非自然原因。
    结论:精神诊断基于报销申请。
    结论:南非精神障碍患者的过早死亡率很高。我们的发现支持预防干预措施,早期发现,和治疗该人群的身体合并症。有针对性的自杀预防和药物使用治疗计划,尤其是在男性中,可以帮助减少非自然原因造成的超额死亡率。
    People with mental illness have a reduced life expectancy, but the extent of the mortality gap and the contribution of natural and unnatural causes to excess mortality among people with mental illness in South Africa are unknown.
    We analysed reimbursement claims from South African medical insurance scheme beneficiaries aged 15-85 years. We estimated excess life years lost (LYL) associated with organic, substance use, psychotic, mood, anxiety, eating, personality, developmental or any mental disorders.
    We followed 1,070,183 beneficiaries for a median of three years, of whom 282,926 (26.4 %) received mental health diagnoses. Men with a mental health diagnosis lost 3.83 life years (95 % CI 3.58-4.10) compared to men without. Women with a mental health diagnosis lost 2.19 life years (1.97-2.41) compared to women without. Excess mortality varied by sex and diagnosis, from 11.50 LYL (95 % CI 9.79-13.07) among men with alcohol use disorder to 0.87 LYL (0.40-1.43) among women with generalised anxiety disorder. Most LYL were attributable to natural causes (men: 3.42, women: 1.94). A considerable number of LYL were attributable to unnatural causes among men with bipolar (1.52) or substance use (2.45) disorder.
    Mental diagnoses are based on reimbursement claims.
    Premature mortality among South African individuals with mental disorders is high. Our findings support interventions for the prevention, early detection, and treatment of physical comorbidities in this population. Targeted programs for suicide prevention and substance use treatment, particularly among men, can help reduce excess mortality from unnatural causes.
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