目的:股骨粗隆间骨折是髋部骨折的一种类型,这是骨质疏松症最严重的后果。随着老年人口的增长,预计股骨粗隆间骨折的发病率会越来越高。这项研究的目的是评估天津市50岁及以上患者股骨粗隆间骨折后的超额死亡率,并确定治疗长期死亡率的预测因素。
方法:这是一项回顾性队列研究,对2014年12月26日至2018年12月31日在天津发生股骨粗隆间骨折的3029例50岁及以上患者的死亡率进行研究。数据来自天津医院髋部骨折(THHF)队列。随访期至2022年3月31日。死亡率,超额死亡率,对合并症进行分析,并按治疗方法和性别进行分层。进行时间依赖性Cox模型以估计变量的影响。
结果:所有患者3个月时的绝对死亡率为5.90%,12个月时12.55%,24个月为19.92%,36个月为27.28%。手术组3个月时的绝对死亡率为1.57%,12个月时4.77%,24个月为8.49%,36个月为12.07%,显著低于保守组:3个月时10.50%,12个月时20.73%,24个月为31.96%,36个月为43.04%。我们发现死亡率大大降低(危险比[HR]0.34,95%内部置信度,[CI]:0.23-0.52,p=0.000)在接受手术治疗的患者中,即使受性别控制,年龄,住院时间,和所有的合并症。女性患者(HR0.68,95%CI:0.58-0.79,p=0.000)在股骨粗隆间骨折后死亡的可能性低于男性患者。两种方法治疗的患者均发现与一般人群相比死亡率过高,虽然在不同的层次。保守治疗组患者的超额死亡率男性为14.46%,女性为17.93%,在手术治疗组,女性占2.78%,男性占4.37%。中度或重度肾脏疾病的合并症(HR2.19,95%CI:1.61-2.98,p=0.000),转移性实体瘤(HR6.35,95%CI:1.56-25.85,p=0.010),低蛋白血症(HR1.22,95%CI:1.01-1.47,p=0.034),年龄(HR1.89,95%CI:1.73-2.08,p=0.000)也是死亡率的危险因素。对主要结局进行了较差的病例分析作为敏感性分析,这与原始结论一致。
结论:发现50岁以上人群的股骨粗隆间骨折与天津市普通人群相比死亡率过高,预防老年人髋部骨折势在必行。在控制合并症和年龄后,女性性别和手术治疗是骨折后死亡的保护因素,这可以为患者和外科医生做出决定提供强有力的证据。
OBJECTIVE: Intertrochanteric fracture is one type of hip fracture, which is the most serious consequence of osteoporosis. Along with the growing elderly population, intertrochanteric fracture is expected to rise increasingly. The aim of this
study was to assess excess mortality after intertrochanteric fractures and to identify the predictors of long-term mortality by therapy among patients aged 50 years and older in Tianjin.
METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort
study on mortality for 3029 patients aged 50 years and older in Tianjin experiencing an intertrochanteric fracture between December 26, 2014 and December 31, 2018. Data were from Tianjin Hospital Hip Fracture (THHF) cohort. Follow-up period was until March 31, 2022. Mortality, excess mortality, and comorbidities were analyzed and stratified by therapy and gender. Time dependent Cox models were performed to estimate the effects of the variables.
RESULTS: Absolute mortality for all the patients was 5.90% at 3 months, 12.55% at 12 months, 19.92% at 24 months and 27.28% at 36 months. Absolute mortality for surgical group was 1.57% at 3 months, 4.77% at 12 months, 8.49% at 24 months and 12.07% at 36 months, significantly lower than conservative group: 10.50% at 3 months, 20.73% at 12 months, 31.96% at 24 months and 43.04% at 36 months. We found a substantially lower mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.34, 95% confidence internal, [CI]: 0.23-0.52, p = 0.000) among patients undergoing surgical therapy than those undergoing conservative therapy, even when controlled for gender, age, the length of hospital stay, and all the comorbidities. Female patients (HR 0.68, 95% CI: 0.58-0.79, p = 0.000) were less likely to die than male patients after an intertrochanteric fracture. Patients treated by the two methods were both found to have excess mortality rates compared to the general population, although in different levels. The excess mortality rates for patients in the conservative therapy group were 14.46% in males and 17.93% in females, while in the surgical therapy group, 2.78% in females and 4.37% in males. The comorbidities moderate or severe renal disease (HR 2.19, 95% CI: 1.61-2.98, p = 0.000), metastatic solid tumor (HR 6.35, 95% CI: 1.56-25.85, p = 0.010), hypoproteinemia (HR 1.22, 95% CI: 1.01-1.47, p = 0.034), and older age (HR 1.89, 95% CI: 1.73-2.08, p = 0.000) were also risk factors on mortality. A worse-case analysis for the primary outcome were performed as sensitivity analysis and it was consistent with the original conclusion.
CONCLUSIONS: Intertrochanteric factures for people aged 50 years older were found to have excess mortality compared to the general population in Tianjin city, and preventing the fractures in the hip for elderly people was imperative. After controlling tfor comorbidities and age, female gender and surgical therapy were protective factors for the death after fractures, which could provide strong evidence for patients and surgeons to make decisions.