case–control studies

病例对照研究
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    流行病学研究在医学和公共卫生中至关重要,因为它们有助于确定疾病的危险因素和原因。此外,它们是规划的关键,实施,并评估旨在预防和控制疾病传播的健康干预措施。在这些研究中,分析性观察研究,例如横截面,病例控制,和队列研究,是最常用的。其结果的有效性在很大程度上取决于设计的鲁棒性,执行,和统计分析。目的:本研究的目的是检查分析性观察研究中方法学设计和统计检验选择中最常见的错误,并提供纠正建议。方法:对流行病学观察研究中有关方法的现有文献进行了全面回顾,专注于横截面,病例控制,和队列研究。确定并分析了设计选择和统计测试中的常见错误。结果和结论:在流行病学观察研究中,方法设计和统计检验的选择错误很常见。根据识别出的错误,提供了一系列建议,以改善方法设计和统计测试的选择,从而增加结果在横截面的可靠性,病例控制,和队列研究。
    Epidemiological studies are essential in medicine and public health as they help identify risk factors and causes of diseases. Additionally, they are key to planning, implementing, and evaluating health interventions aimed at preventing and controlling the spread of diseases. Among these studies, analytical observational studies, such as cross-sectional, case-control, and cohort studies, are the most used. The validity of their results largely depends on the robustness of the design, execution, and statistical analysis. Objective: The objective of this study is to examine the most common errors in the selection of methodological design and statistical tests in analytical observational studies and to provide recommendations to correct them. Methodology: A comprehensive review of the available literature on methodology in epidemiological observational studies was conducted, focusing on cross-sectional, case-control, and cohort studies. Common errors in the selection of designs and statistical tests were identified and analyzed. Results and Conclusions: Errors in the selection of methodological design and statistical tests are common in epidemiological observational studies. Based on the identified errors, a series of recommendations is provided to improve the selection of methodological design and statistical tests, thereby increasing the reliability of the results in cross-sectional, case-control, and cohort studies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:先前评估注意缺陷/多动障碍(ADHD)社会认知的研究结果不一致。为了总结这些数据,并阐明可能解释观察到的不一致的主持人,我们进行了系统回顾和荟萃分析,探索社会认知(心理理论(ToM),移情,面部和非面部情绪识别)和患有ADHD的儿童和青少年的日常社交技能。
    方法:目前的荟萃分析涉及142项研究,包括652项效应大小。这些研究比较了患有ADHD的儿童和青少年(n=8,300)和典型发育(n=7,983)。
    结果:患有ADHD的参与者表现出中度至非常大的ToM缺陷(SMD=0.84,95%CI=0.68-0.99),面部情绪识别(SMD=0.63,95%CI=0.46-0.81),和日常社交技能(SMD=1.23,95%CI=1.08-1.37)。当考虑对某些协变量和研究的方法学质量进行调整的效应大小时,这些损伤的程度是相似的。很少有研究调查同理心和非面部情绪识别,这排除了明确的结论。
    结论:患有ADHD的儿童和青少年在ToM中经历了严重的损害,面部情绪识别和日常社交技能。未来的研究应该探讨这些缺陷是否是其他认知领域困难的结果(例如,执行功能)。我们已经开放了我们所有的原始数据,以方便社区使用目前的工作(例如,临床医生寻找工具,评估社会损害,或设计新研究的研究人员)。
    BACKGROUND: Previous studies that have assessed social cognition in Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) have produced inconsistent findings. To summarize these data and shed light upon moderators that may explain observed inconsistencies, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis exploring social cognition (Theory of Mind (ToM), Empathy, Facial and Non-Facial Emotion Recognition) and Everyday Social Skills in children and adolescents with ADHD.
    METHODS: The current meta-analysis involved 142 studies including 652 effect sizes. These studies compared children and adolescents with ADHD (n = 8,300) and with typical development (n = 7,983).
    RESULTS: Participants with ADHD exhibited moderate to very large deficits in ToM (SMD = 0.84, 95% CI = 0.68-0.99), Facial Emotion Recognition (SMD = 0.63, 95% CI = 0.46-0.81), and Everyday Social Skills (SMD = 1.23, 95% CI = 1.08-1.37). The magnitude of these impairments was similar when considering effect sizes adjusted for some covariates and the methodological quality of the studies. Few studies have investigated Empathy and Non-Facial Emotion Recognition, which precludes definitive conclusions.
    CONCLUSIONS: Children and adolescents with ADHD experience robust impairments in ToM, Facial Emotion Recognition and Everyday Social Skills. Future studies should explore whether these deficits are a consequence of difficulties in other areas of cognition (e.g., executive functioning). We have made all our raw data open access to facilitate the use of the present work by the community (e.g., clinicians looking for tools, assessing social impairments, or researchers designing new studies).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    OBJECTIVE: To assess clinical-causal validity evidence of the nursing diagnosis, risk for unstable blood glucose level (00179), in individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus.
    METHODS: A case-control study was conducted in 5 primary healthcare units, involving 107 subjects with type 2 diabetes mellitus, 60 in the case group and 47 in the control group. Causality was determined by the association between sociodemographic and clinical factors, risk factors related to the nursing diagnosis, and the occurrence of unstable blood glucose level. An association was considered when the risk factor had a p-value of <0.05 and odds ratio >1.
    RESULTS: Risk factors, such as stress, inadequate physical activity, and low adherence to therapeutic regimen, were prevalent in the sample. Time since diagnosis between 1-5 and 6-10 years, multiracial ethnicity, and the risk factor of low adherence to therapeutic regimen increased the likelihood of the outcome. Completion of high school education was identified as a protective factor.
    CONCLUSIONS: The clinical validation of the nursing diagnosis, risk for unstable blood glucose level, has been successfully established, revealing a clear association between sociodemographic and clinical factors and the risk factors inherent to the nursing diagnosis.
    CONCLUSIONS: The results contribute to advancing scientific knowledge related to nursing education, research, and practice and provide support for the evolution of nursing care processes for individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus.
    OBJECTIVE: Avaliar a evidência de validade clínico‐causal do diagnóstico de enfermagem, risco para nível instável de glicose no sangue (00179), em indivíduos com diabetes mellitus tipo 2. MÉTODO: Foi realizado um estudo caso‐controle em cinco unidades básicas de saúde, envolvendo 107 indivíduos com diabetes mellitus tipo 2, 60 no grupo caso e 47 no grupo controle. A causalidade foi determinada pela associação entre fatores sociodemográficos e clínicos, fatores de risco relacionados ao diagnóstico de enfermagem e a ocorrência de nível instável de glicose no sangue. Uma associação foi considerada quando o fator de risco tinha um valor de p < 0.05 e odds ratio > 1.
    RESULTS: Fatores de risco como estresse, atividade física inadequada e baixa adesão ao regime terapêutico foram predominantes na amostra. O tempo desde o diagnóstico entre 1 e 5 anos e 6 a 10 anos, a etnia parda e o fator de risco baixa adesão ao regime terapêutico aumentaram a probabilidade do resultado. A conclusão do ensino médio foi identificada como um fator de proteção. CONCLUSÕES: A validação clínica do diagnóstico de enfermagem, risco para nível instável de glicose no sangue, foi estabelecida com sucesso, revelando uma clara associação entre fatores sociodemográficos e clínicos e os fatores de risco inerentes ao diagnóstico de enfermagem. IMPLICAÇÕES PARA A PRÁTICA DE ENFERMAGEM: Os resultados contribuem para o avanço do conhecimento científico relacionado à educação, à pesquisa e à prática de enfermagem e fornecem suporte para a evolução dos processos de cuidados de enfermagem para indivíduos com diabetes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:呼吸系统疾病住院后的再入院率已成为一个常见且具有挑战性的临床问题。社会和功能患者变量可以帮助识别再入院风险高的病例。目的是确定与西班牙呼吸道疾病住院后再次入院相关的护理诊断。
    方法:在西班牙一家三级公立医院(n=3781)的2016-19年期间因呼吸道疾病入院的患者队列中进行的病例对照研究。
    方法:病例是指在出院前30天内再次入院的患者,他们的对照组是其余的病人.所有护理诊断(n=130)均从电子健康记录中收集。然后将它们分为29个信息诊断类别。使用逻辑回归模型计算临床混杂校正比值比(OR)和95%置信区间(95%CIs)。
    结果:再入院率为13.1%。护理诊断类别“知识缺陷”(OR:1.61;95CI:1.13-2.31),“皮肤完整性受损和溃疡感染风险”(OR:1.45;95CI:1.06-1.97)和“与疲劳相关的活动不耐受”(OR:1.56;95CI:1.21-2.01)与出院后30%再次入院的风险增加相关,这与社会人口统计学背景无关,护理变量和合并症。
    住院期间作为患者护理计划的一部分而指定的护理诊断可能有助于预测再入院。
    OBJECTIVE: The rate of readmission after hospitalisation for respiratory diseases has become a common and challenging clinical problem. Social and functional patient variables could help identify cases at high risk of readmission. The aim was to identify the nursing diagnoses that were associated with readmission after hospitalisation for respiratory disease in Spain.
    METHODS: Case-control study within the cohort of patients admitted for respiratory disease during 2016-19 in a tertiary public hospital in Spain (n = 3781).
    METHODS: Cases were patients who were readmitted within the first 30 days of discharge, and their controls were the remaining patients. All nursing diagnoses (n = 130) were collected from the electronic health record. They were then grouped into 29 informative diagnostic categories. Clinical confounder-adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated using logistic regression models.
    RESULTS: The readmission rate was 13.1%. The nursing diagnoses categories \'knowledge deficit\' (OR: 1.61; 95%CI: 1.13-2.31), \'impaired skin integrity and risk of ulcer infection\' (OR: 1.45; 95%CI: 1.06-1.97) and \'activity intolerance associated with fatigue\' (OR: 1.56; 95%CI: 1.21-2.01) were associated with an increased risk of suffering an episode of hospital readmission rate at 30% after hospital discharge, and this was independent of sociodemographic background, care variables and comorbidity.
    UNASSIGNED: The nursing diagnoses assigned as part of the care plan of patients during hospital admission may be useful for predicting readmissions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景/简介:牙源性感染是颈深感染(DNI)的主要病因之一。然而,慢性牙周炎(CP)与DNI发病率之间的关系尚未研究。本研究旨在评估CP后DNI和扁桃体周围脓肿(PTA)的发生率。方法:采用2002-2019年韩国国家健康保险服务-国家样本队列。在研究I中,4585名PTA患者与19,340名对照I参与者相匹配。收集了1年的CP历史,采用条件逻辑回归分析PTA的CP比值比(OR)。在研究二,46,293名DNI患者和185,172名对照II参与者进行匹配。收集了1年的CP历史,并对DNI的CP的OR进行条件逻辑回归。次要分析是在人口统计学中进行的,社会经济,和合并症亚组。结果:在研究I中,CP病史与PTA的发生率无关(校正OR=1.28,95%置信区间[CI]=0.91~1.81).在研究二,有CP病史的参与者中DNI的发生率更高(校正OR=1.55,95%CI=1.41~1.71).CP病史与DNI之间的关系在年轻群体中更明显,男性,低收入,和农村居民。结论:在韩国普通人群中,CP的既往史与DNI的高发病率相关。CP患者需要对DNI的潜在风险进行管理。
    Background/Introduction: Odontogenic infection is one of the main etiologies of deep neck infection (DNI). However, the relationship between chronic periodontitis (CP) and the incidence of DNI has not been examined. This study aimed to evaluate the incidence of DNI and peritonsillar abscess (PTA) after CP. Methods: The Korean National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort 2002-2019 was used. In Study I, 4585 PTA patients were matched with 19,340 control I participants. A previous history of CP for 1 year was collected, and the odds ratios (ORs) of CP for PTA were analyzed using conditional logistic regression. In Study II, 46,293 DNI patients and 185,172 control II participants were matched. A previous history of CP for 1 year was collected, and conditional logistic regression was conducted for the ORs of CP for DNI. Secondary analyses were conducted in demographic, socioeconomic, and comorbidity subgroups. Results: In Study I, a history of CP was not related to the incidence of PTA (adjusted OR = 1.28, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.91-1.81). In Study II, the incidence of DNI was greater in participants with a history of CP (adjusted OR = 1.55, 95% CI = 1.41-1.71). The relationship between CP history and DNI was greater in groups with young, male, low-income, and rural residents. Conclusions: A prior history of CP was associated with a high incidence of DNI in the general population of Korea. Patients with CP need to be managed for the potential risk of DNI.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究旨在通过使用心率变异性(HRV)数据来开发重症监护病房(ICU)入院的预测模型。这项回顾性病例对照研究使用了两个数据集(急诊科[ED]入住ICU的患者,和未入住ICU的手术室患者)来自单一的学术三级医院。使用R-峰-R-峰(R-R)间隔每5分钟测量HRV度量。我们开发了一个广义线性混合模型来预测ICU入院并评估受试者工作特征曲线(AUC)下的面积。根据系数计算具有95%置信区间(CI)的赔率比(OR)。我们分析了610名(ICU:122;非ICU:488)患者,影响ICU入院几率的因素包括糖尿病史(OR[95%CI]:3.33[1.71-6.48]);较高的心率(OR[95%CI]:每10个单位增加3.40[2.97-3.90]);连续R-R间隔差异的均方根较高(RMSSD;OR[95%CI]:每10个R-单位增加1.36[1.22-1.51],RR(OR每10个单位增加0.68[0.60-0.78])。最终模型的AUC为0.947(95%CI:0.906-0.987)。开发的模型有效地预测了ED和手术室混合人群中的ICU入院情况。
    This study aimed to develop a predictive model for intensive care unit (ICU) admission by using heart rate variability (HRV) data. This retrospective case-control study used two datasets (emergency department [ED] patients admitted to the ICU, and patients in the operating room without ICU admission) from a single academic tertiary hospital. HRV metrics were measured every 5 min using R-peak-to-R-peak (R-R) intervals. We developed a generalized linear mixed model to predict ICU admission and assessed the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated from the coefficients. We analyzed 610 (ICU: 122; non-ICU: 488) patients, and the factors influencing the odds of ICU admission included a history of diabetes mellitus (OR [95% CI]: 3.33 [1.71-6.48]); a higher heart rate (OR [95% CI]: 3.40 [2.97-3.90] per 10-unit increase); a higher root mean square of successive R-R interval differences (RMSSD; OR [95% CI]: 1.36 [1.22-1.51] per 10-unit increase); and a lower standard deviation of R-R intervals (SDRR; OR [95% CI], 0.68 [0.60-0.78] per 10-unit increase). The final model achieved an AUC of 0.947 (95% CI: 0.906-0.987). The developed model effectively predicted ICU admission among a mixed population from the ED and operating room.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:双相情感障碍是严重的精神疾病,然而,有证据表明,双相情感障碍的诊断和治疗可以延迟约6年。
    目的:使用常规收集的电子健康记录来识别未诊断的双相情感障碍的信号。
    方法:使用英国临床实践研究数据链(CPRD)GOLD数据集进行的嵌套病例对照研究,与医院记录相关的匿名电子初级保健患者数据库。“病例”为2010年1月1日至2017年7月31日期间诊断为双相情感障碍的成年患者。
    方法:双相障碍患者(双相障碍组)按年龄进行匹配,性别,并对20个未记录双相情感障碍的“对照组”进行了一般实践注册(对照组)。在指数(诊断)日期之前,对记录的健康事件进行了估算,并报告了条件逻辑回归模型的比值比。
    结果:有2366例发生双相情感障碍的患者和47138例匹配的对照组患者(中位年龄40岁,60.4%为女性:n=1430/2366患有双相情感障碍,n=28471/47138没有)。与对照组相比,双相情感障碍组有更高的发病率诊断抑郁症,精神病患者,焦虑,在双相情感障碍诊断前10年,人格障碍和自我伤害升级。睡眠障碍,物质滥用,双相情感障碍组的情绪波动比对照组更频繁。双相情感障碍组进行了更频繁的面对面咨询,并且更有可能错过多次预定的预约,并且在给定年份中被开处方≥3种不同的精神药物类别。
    结论:精神病诊断,精神药物处方,卫生服务使用模式可能是未报告的双相情感障碍的信号。认识到这些信号可能会促使进一步调查未诊断的重大精神病理学,导致及时转诊,评估,并开始适当的治疗。
    BACKGROUND: Bipolar disorders are serious mental illnesses, yet evidence suggests that the diagnosis and treatment of bipolar disorder can be delayed by around 6 years.
    OBJECTIVE: To identify signals of undiagnosed bipolar disorder using routinely collected electronic health records.
    METHODS: A nested case-control study conducted using the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD dataset, an anonymised electronic primary care patient database linked with hospital records. \'Cases\' were adult patients with incident bipolar disorder diagnoses between 1 January 2010 and 31 July 2017.
    METHODS: The patients with bipolar disorder (the bipolar disorder group) were matched by age, sex, and registered general practice to 20 \'controls\' without recorded bipolar disorder (the control group). Annual episode incidence rates were estimated and odds ratios from conditional logistic regression models were reported for recorded health events before the index (diagnosis) date.
    RESULTS: There were 2366 patients with incident bipolar disorder diagnoses and 47 138 matched control patients (median age 40 years and 60.4% female: n = 1430/2366 with bipolar disorder and n = 28 471/47 138 without). Compared with the control group, the bipolar disorder group had a higher incidence of diagnosed depressive, psychotic, anxiety, and personality disorders and escalating self-harm up to 10 years before a bipolar disorder diagnosis. Sleep disturbance, substance misuse, and mood swings were more frequent among the bipolar disorder group than the control group. The bipolar disorder group had more frequent face-to-face consultations, and were more likely to miss multiple scheduled appointments and to be prescribed ≥3 different psychotropic medication classes in a given year.
    CONCLUSIONS: Psychiatric diagnoses, psychotropic prescriptions, and health service use patterns might be signals of unreported bipolar disorder. Recognising these signals could prompt further investigation for undiagnosed significant psychopathology, leading to timely referral, assessment, and initiation of appropriate treatments.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    结节病发病率在50至60岁之间的女性中达到高峰,这与更年期相吻合,表明某些性激素,主要是雌激素,可能在疾病发展中发挥作用。我们调查了绝经激素治疗(MHT)是否与女性结节病风险相关,以及风险是否因治疗类型而异。我们进行了一项巢式病例对照研究(2007-2020年),包括瑞典国家患者登记册(n=2593)的结节病病例,并与出生年份的一般人群对照(n=20,003)相匹配(1:10)。县,在结节病诊断时居住在瑞典。在结节病诊断/匹配之前,从瑞典规定的药物登记册中获得MHT的分配。结节病的调整比值比(aOR)使用条件逻辑回归估计。与从未使用MHT相比,曾经使用MHT与结节病的风险高25%(aOR1.25,95%CI1.13-1.38)。当MHT类型和给药途径一起考虑时,全身雌激素与结节病的最高风险相关(aOR1.51,95%CI1.23-1.85),其次是局部雌激素(aOR1.25,95%CI1.11-1.42),而与从未使用过的患者相比,全身性联合使用雌激素-孕激素的风险最低(aOR1.12,95%CI0.96~1.31).结节病的aOR在使用MHT的持续时间上没有很大差异。我们的研究结果表明,使用MHT的历史与结节病的风险增加有关。接受全身雌激素治疗的女性风险最高。
    Sarcoidosis incidence peaks in women between 50 and 60 years old, which coincides with menopause, suggesting that certain sex hormones, mainly estrogen, may play a role in disease development. We investigated whether menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) was associated with sarcoidosis risk in women and whether the risk varied by treatment type. We performed a nested case-control study (2007-2020) including incident sarcoidosis cases from the Swedish National Patient Register (n = 2593) and matched (1:10) to general population controls (n = 20,003) on birth year, county, and living in Sweden at the time of sarcoidosis diagnosis. Dispensations of MHT were obtained from the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register before sarcoidosis diagnosis/matching. Adjusted odds ratios (aOR) of sarcoidosis were estimated using conditional logistic regression. Ever MHT use was associated with a 25% higher risk of sarcoidosis compared with never use (aOR 1.25, 95% CI 1.13-1.38). When MHT type and route of administration were considered together, systemic estrogen was associated with the highest risk of sarcoidosis (aOR 1.51, 95% CI 1.23-1.85), followed by local estrogen (aOR 1.25, 95% CI 1.11-1.42), while systemic estrogen-progestogen combined was associated with the lowest risk compared to never users (aOR 1.12, 95% CI 0.96-1.31). The aOR of sarcoidosis did not differ greatly by duration of MHT use. Our findings suggest that a history of MHT use is associated with increased risk of sarcoidosis, with women receiving estrogen administered systemically having the highest risk.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:尽管世界卫生组织于2023年5月宣布结束了以COVID-19为重点的国际关注的突发公共卫生事件,但这种令人烦恼的病毒仍在变异,并且出现具有高传染性和严重发病率的突变菌株的可能性尚未消失。因此,必须积累医学证据,这对于保护接受免疫抑制治疗的患者和健康人群都是必不可少的。这项研究检查了日本自身免疫性肝炎(AIH)患者与健康对照组相比的SARS-CoV-2疫苗接种反应。
    方法:本观察性研究登记了我院22例经组织学诊断为AIH的患者和809例健康对照。评估了接种前后的Elecsys抗SARS-CoV-2抗体浓度。
    结果:在这项研究中,72.7%和18.2%的AIH患者接受了类固醇和硫唑嘌呤,分别。在两组中,年龄与抗SARS-CoV-2峰值抗体浓度之间存在显着负相关;但是,没有发现性别差异。尽管AIH组的抗SARS-CoV-2抗体浓度在第二次接种后急剧增加(p<0.05),这些水平显着低于对照组(p<0.05)。在年龄和性别匹配分析中,在第二次疫苗接种后26周,AIH患者的最低反应人群比率(≤100结合抗体单位(BAU/mL)高于对照组(44%vs.7%,p<0.05)。
    结论:第二次接种后,AIH患者的抗SARS-CoV-2尖峰抗体浓度明显低于对照组。持续和广泛的疫苗接种,特别是对于需要医学免疫调节的患者,是推荐的。
    OBJECTIVE: Although the World Health Organization declared the end of the public health emergency of international concern focusing on COVID-19 in May 2023, this bothersome virus continues to mutate, and the possibility of the emergence of mutant strains with high infectivity and severe disease rates has not disappeared. Thus, medical evidence must be accumulated, which is indispensable for protecting both patients under immunosuppressive treatments and the healthy population. This study examined SARS-CoV-2 vaccination responses in Japanese patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) compared with healthy controls.
    METHODS: This observational study registered 22 patients with histologically diagnosed AIH and 809 healthy controls in our hospital. Their Elecsys anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike antibody concentrations before and after vaccination were evaluated.
    RESULTS: In this study, 72.7% and 18.2% of patients with AIH received steroids and azathioprine, respectively. Significant negative correlations were found between age and anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike antibody concentration in both groups; however, no sex differences were found. Although anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike antibody concentration was drastically augmented after the second vaccination (p < 0.05) in the AIH group, these levels were significantly lower than those in the controls (p < 0.05). In the age- and sex-matched analysis, the population ratio with a minimum response (≤100 binding antibody units (BAU/mL) was higher among patients with AIH than among controls 26 weeks after the second vaccination (44% vs. 7%, p < 0.05).
    CONCLUSIONS: The anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike antibody concentration in AIH patients was significantly lower than that in controls after the second vaccination. Continued and widespread vaccination, particularly for patients requiring medical immunomodulation, is recommended.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:确定疫苗有效性(VE)是研究每种新疫苗的重要组成部分。测试阴性病例对照(TNCC)研究最近已用于确定VE。然而,来自TNCC设计的估计VE取决于测试灵敏度和特异性.在这里,提出了一种校正TNCC研究得出的VE值的方法。
    方法:提出了一种分析方法,用于根据所使用的诊断测试的灵敏度和特异性来计算校正的VE。为了展示所提出方法的应用,提出了一项假想的TNCC研究。在这项计算机模拟研究中,10万名涉及COVID-19样疾病医疗系统的人接受了诊断测试,敏感性为0.6、0.8和1.0,特异性为0.85至1.00。疫苗接种覆盖率为60%,未接种组COVID-19的发病率为0.05,并且假设真实的VE为0.70。在这个模拟中,发病率为0.30的COVID-19样疾病也可能影响所有研究人群,无论他们的疫苗接种状况如何。
    结果:观察到的VE范围从0.11(计算测试灵敏度为0.60和特异性为0.85)到0.71(计算测试灵敏度和特异性为1.0)。从所提出的方法得出的平均计算校正VE为0.71(标准偏差为0.02)。
    结论:从TNCC研究中观察到的VE可以很容易地校正。无论研究中使用的诊断测试灵敏度和特异性如何,都可以计算VE的可接受估计值。
    BACKGROUND: Determining the vaccine effectiveness (VE) is an important part of studying every new vaccine. Test-negative case-control (TNCC) studies have recently been used to determine the VE. However, the estimated VE derived from a TNCC design depends on the test sensitivity and specificity. Herein, a method for correction of the value of VE derived from a TNCC study is presented.
    METHODS: An analytical method is presented to compute the corrected VE based on the sensitivity and specificity of the diagnostic test utilized. To show the application of the method proposed, a hypothetical TNCC study is presented. In this in silico study, 100 000 individuals referring to a healthcare system for COVID-19-like illness were tested with diagnostic tests with sensitivities of 0.6, 0.8, and 1.0, and specificities ranging from 0.85 to 1.00. A vaccination coverage of 60%, an attack rate of 0.05 for COVID-19 in unvaccinated group, and a true VE of 0.70, were assumed. In this simulation, a COVID-19-like illness with an attack rate of 0.30 could also affect all the studied population regardless of their vaccination status.
    RESULTS: The observed VE ranged from 0.11 (computed for a test sensitivity of 0.60 and specificity of 0.85) to 0.71 (computed for a test sensitivity and specificity of 1.0). The mean computed corrected VE derived from the proposed method was 0.71 (the standard deviation of 0.02).
    CONCLUSIONS: The observed VE derived from TNCC studies can be corrected easily. An acceptable estimate for VE can be computed regardless of the diagnostic test sensitivity and specificity used in the study.
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