biases

偏见
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文探讨了历史上和当代冲突中与冲突有关的性暴力(CRSV)持续存在且令人深感不安的问题。它研究了战时性暴力的根源,不断演变的保护平民的国际法律框架,以及对保护妇女和女孩免受此类暴力的关注。这篇文章深入探讨了有争议的方面,包括解释CRSV的相互竞争的理论,获取有关其患病率的准确数据的挑战,以及经常被忽视的CRSV对男人和男孩的问题。它还解决了使CRSV长期存在的文化和社会因素以及对幸存者的长期影响。文章最后强调了对幸存者进行全面护理的重要性,以及解决这种暴力的深层次原因的必要性,包括性别不平等。
    This article explores the persistent and deeply troubling issue of conflict-related sexual violence (CRSV) throughout history and in contemporary conflicts. It examines the roots of wartime sexual violence in wartime, the evolving international legal framework for the protection of civilians, and the emergence of concerns about the protection of women and girls from such violence. The article delves into controversial aspects, including competing theories to explain CRSV, the challenges in obtaining accurate data on its prevalence, and the often-overlooked issue of CRSV against men and boys. It also addresses the cultural and societal factors that perpetuate CRSV and the long-lasting consequences on survivors. The article concludes by underscoring the importance of comprehensive care for survivors and the need to tackle the deep-seated causes of this violence, including gender inequality.
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  • 文章类型: Systematic Review
    目的:病例交叉设计是一种自我对照研究设计,用于比较事件发生前的暴露与早期对照时期的暴露。该设计最适用于瞬态曝光,以避免在将情况交叉设计用于非瞬态时可能出现的偏差(即,慢性)暴露。我们的目标是对病例交叉研究及其变体(病例时间控制和病例时间控制)进行系统评价,以比较药物类型的设计和分析选择。
    方法:我们进行了系统的搜索,以确定最近的病例交叉,case-time-control,病例-病例-时间对照研究侧重于药物暴露。确定了使用这些研究设计在2015年1月至2021年12月之间以英语发布的MEDLINE和EMBASE索引的文章。评论,方法学研究,评论,没有药物的物品作为感兴趣的暴露,没有可用全文的文章被排除在外。研究特点,包括研究设计,结果,风险窗口,控制窗口,报告不和谐的对,并对纳入的敏感性分析进行了总体总结和药物类型总结.我们进一步评估了推荐方法的实施情况,以解决在非瞬态暴露中使用案例交叉设计的文章中由非瞬态暴露引入的偏见。
    结果:在最初确定的2,036篇文章中,共有114篇文章。病例交叉是最常见的研究设计(88%),其次是病例时间控制(17%),和病例-病例-时间控制(3%)。53%的文章只包括短暂的药物,35%仅包括非暂时性药物,12%包括两者。多年来,评估非暂时性药物治疗的病例交叉文章的比例从2018年的30%到2017年的69%不等.我们发现,41%的评价非暂时性药物的文章没有应用任何推荐的方法来解释偏见,其中一半以上是由没有病例交叉研究发表史的作者进行的。
    结论:使用病例交叉设计来评估非暂时性药物在药物流行病学中仍然很常见。在选择使用非暂时性药物暴露的病例交叉设计时,研究人员应采用适当的设计和分析选择。本文受版权保护。保留所有权利。
    The case-crossover design is a self-controlled study design used to compare exposure immediately preceding an event occurrence with exposure in earlier control periods. The design is most suitable for transient exposures in order to avoid biases that can be problematic when using the case-crossover design for non-transient (i.e., chronic) exposures. Our goal was to conduct a systematic review of case-crossover studies and its variants (case-time-control and case-case-time-control) in order to compare design and analysis choices by medication type.
    We conducted a systematic search to identify recent case-crossover, case-time-control, and case-case-time-control studies focused on medication exposures. Articles indexed in MEDLINE and EMBASE using these study designs that were published between January 2015 and December 2021 in the English language were identified. Reviews, methodological studies, commentaries, articles without medications as the exposure of interest, and articles with no available full text were excluded. Study characteristics including study design, outcome, risk window, control window, reporting of discordant pairs, and inclusion of sensitivity analyses were summarized overall and by medication type. We further evaluated the implementation of recommended methods to account for biases introduced by non-transient exposures among articles that used the case-crossover design on a non-transient exposure.
    Of the 2036 articles initially identified, 114 articles were included. The case-crossover was the most common study design (88%), followed by the case-time-control (17%), and case-case-time-control (3%). Fifty-three percent of the articles included only transient medications, 35% included only non-transient medications, and 12% included both. Across years, the proportion of case-crossover articles evaluating a non-transient medication ranged from 30% in 2018 to 69% in 2017. We found that 41% of the articles that evaluated a non-transient medication did not apply any of the recommended methods to account for biases and more than half of which were conducted by authors with no previous publication history of case-crossover studies.
    Using the case-crossover design to evaluate a non-transient medication remains common in pharmacoepidemiology. Researchers should apply appropriate design and analysis choices when opting to use a case-crossover design with non-transient medication exposures.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    准确评估自杀风险对临床实践至关重要,实证进展,并告知公共政策。在这篇叙事文献综述中,我们收集了来自纵向研究的证据,这些研究确定了过去自我伤害思想和行为(SITB)的报告偏倚,并研究了不一致报告的可能相关性.
    我们进行了广泛的文献检索,包括19个纵向样本或子样本,他们在初始评估时报告了当前或过去的SITB,但在随后的评估中未报告(是/否不一致的报告)。
    中位数为33%,纵向样本中SITB报告不一致的患病率的加权平均值为39%(95%CI,37%-41%).重要的是,不一致的报告与较少的内在化的精神病理学和更多的适应性功能有关.招募的样本类型和评估间隔也可能是需要考虑的相关因素。
    样本特征和方法的可变性使得在研究中得出确切的结论但提供有关偏见的关键来源的信息变得具有挑战性。
    结果提示临床相当谨慎,实证,和基于自杀终生报告的政策决策,并鼓励继续考虑为SITB确定潜在的报告偏见。
    Accurate assessment of suicide risk is critical for clinical practice, empirical advances, and informing public policy. In this narrative review of the literature, we compiled evidence from longitudinal studies that identify reporting bias of past self-injurious thoughts and behaviors (SITB) and examined possible correlates of inconsistent reporting.
    We conducted an extensive literature search, including 19 longitudinal samples or subsamples who reported the presence of current or past SITB at an initial but not at a subsequent assessment (yes/no inconsistent reports).
    The median was 33%, and the weighted mean was 39% (95% CI, 37%-41%) for the prevalence of inconsistent reporting of SITB across the longitudinal samples. Importantly, inconsistent reports were linked with less internalizing psychopathology and more adaptive functioning. The type of sample recruited and assessment interval may also be relevant factors to consider.
    Variability of sample characteristics and methodology made it challenging to draw firm conclusions across studies but provide information about critical sources of bias.
    Results suggest considerable caution for clinical, empirical, and policy decision-making based on lifetime reports of suicide and encourage a continued consideration for identifying potential reporting biases for SITB.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    遗传影响无处不在,因为几乎所有的表型和通常被归类为环境的大多数暴露都被发现是可遗传的。多基因评分总结了每个个体的数百万个遗传变异与结果之间的关联。不断降低成本使许多与儿童心理学和精神病学研究相关的样本的基因分型成为可能,包括队列研究,导致多基因评分研究的增殖。人们很容易认为,在这些研究中检测到的多基因评分和表型之间的关联仅反映了遗传效应。然而,这种关联可以反映许多途径(例如通过环境调解)和偏见。
    这里,我们全面概述了多基因分数之间关联的许多原因,环境暴露,和表型存在。我们使用结构方程模型在多基因评分研究中包括常见分析的形式表示。我们推导出偏见,提供说明性的经验例子,如果可能,提到可以采取的措施来减轻这些偏见。
    结构方程模型和推导显示了由多基因评分与环境暴露和表型共同建模而产生的许多复杂性。反直觉的例子包括:(a)即使在没有直接遗传效应的情况下,多基因评分和表型之间也可能存在关联;(b)在没有唤起/活跃的基因-环境相关性的情况下,儿童多基因评分和环境暴露之间可能存在关联;(c)调整多基因评分的暴露-结果关联可以增加而不是减少偏倚。
    引人注目的是,使用多基因评分可以,在某些情况下,导致比不使用它们更多的偏见。因此,适当地进行和解释多基因评分研究需要儿童心理学和精神病学及其他领域的研究人员精通流行病学和遗传方法,或者建立在跨学科合作的基础上。
    Genetic influences are ubiquitous as virtually all phenotypes and most exposures typically classified as environmental have been found to be heritable. A polygenic score summarises the associations between millions of genetic variants and an outcome in a single value for each individual. Ever lowering costs have enabled the genotyping of many samples relevant to child psychology and psychiatry research, including cohort studies, leading to the proliferation of polygenic score studies. It is tempting to assume that associations detected between polygenic scores and phenotypes in those studies only reflect genetic effects. However, such associations can reflect many pathways (e.g. via environmental mediation) and biases.
    Here, we provide a comprehensive overview of the many reasons why associations between polygenic scores, environmental exposures, and phenotypes exist. We include formal representations of common analyses in polygenic score studies using structural equation modelling. We derive biases, provide illustrative empirical examples and, when possible, mention steps that can be taken to alleviate those biases.
    Structural equation models and derivations show the many complexities arising from jointly modelling polygenic scores with environmental exposures and phenotypes. Counter-intuitive examples include that: (a) associations between polygenic scores and phenotypes may exist even in the absence of direct genetic effects; (b) associations between child polygenic scores and environmental exposures can exist in the absence of evocative/active gene-environment correlations; and (c) adjusting an exposure-outcome association for a polygenic score can increase rather than decrease bias.
    Strikingly, using polygenic scores may, in some cases, lead to more bias than not using them. Appropriately conducting and interpreting polygenic score studies thus requires researchers in child psychology and psychiatry and beyond to be versed in both epidemiological and genetic methods or build on interdisciplinary collaborations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    神经外科医生以建设性的方式分析和反思其并发症的能力对于专业发展和患者安全都很重要。本文的目的是强调一些心理因素,这些因素可能会损害或偏向神经外科医生成功做到这一点的能力。
    五个虚构的案例,受到真实事件和情况的启发,在理解神经外科并发症的背景下,作为讨论一些最重要的潜在心理偏见来源的基础。
    a)自我服务偏见和演员-观察者效应的问题;b)解释概率事件的启发式和偏见;c)情感回避和否认;d)注意力的限制(双系统理论)和e)记忆错误,正在讨论。
    有许多心理因素,这对科学来说是众所周知的,可能是影响神经外科医生通过反思自己的并发症来成长的能力的无处不在的来源。这些因素如何能够和应该有效地由个人神经外科医生和/或组织和团队,神经外科医生的工作可能会有所不同,根据类型的偏见,背景和环境。然而,意识到这些问题并在个人和组织层面上解决这些问题对我们的工艺质量仍然很重要。
    UNASSIGNED: The ability of neurosurgeons to analyze and reflect on their complications in a constructive way is important both for professional development and for patient safety. The purpose of the present paper is to highlight some psychological factors that might impair or bias the ability of the neurosurgeon to do this successfully.
    UNASSIGNED: Five fictitious cases, loosely inspired by real events and situations, are used as a basis for a discussion of some of the most important potential sources of psychological bias in the context of understanding neurosurgical complications.
    UNASSIGNED: The issues of a) self-serving bias and the actor-observer effect; b) heuristics and biases in interpreting probabilistic events; c) emotional avoidance and denial; d) limitations of attention (dual systems theory) and e) errors of memory, are discussed.
    UNASSIGNED: There are a number of psychological factors, that are well known to science that may be ubiquitous sources of influence on the ability of neurosurgeons to grow by reflection on their own complications. Exactly how these factors can and should be efficiently adressed by the individual neurosurgeon and/or the organisation and team in which the neurosurgeon works may vary according to type of bias, context and circumstances. However, being aware of these issues and addressing them on an individual and organizational level remains important to the quality of our craft.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Being confronted with uncertainty in the context of health-related judgments and decision making can give rise to the occurrence of systematic biases. These biases may detrimentally affect lay persons and health experts alike. Debiasing aims at mitigating these negative effects by eliminating or reducing the biases. However, little is known about its effectiveness. This study seeks to systematically review the research on health-related debiasing to identify new opportunities and challenges for successful debiasing strategies.
    A systematic search resulted in 2748 abstracts eligible for screening. Sixty-eight articles reporting 87 relevant studies met the predefined inclusion criteria and were categorized and analyzed with regard to content and quality. All steps were undertaken independently by 2 reviewers, and inconsistencies were resolved through discussion.
    The majority of debiasing interventions ( n = 60) was at least partially successful. Optimistic biases ( n = 25), framing effects ( n = 14), and base rate neglects ( n = 10) were the main targets of debiasing efforts. Cognitive strategies ( n = 36) such as \"consider-the-opposite\" and technological interventions ( n = 33) such as visual aids were mainly tested. Thirteen studies aimed at debiasing health care professionals\' judgments, while 74 interventions addressed the general population. Studies\' methodological quality ranged from 26.2% to 92.9%, with an average rating of 68.7%.
    In the past, the usefulness of debiasing was often debated. Yet most of the interventions reviewed here are found to be effective, pointing to the utility of debiasing in the health context. In particular, technological strategies offer a novel opportunity to pursue large-scale debiasing outside the laboratory. The need to strengthen the transfer of debiasing interventions to real-life settings and a lack of conceptual rigor are identified as the main challenges requiring further research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The role of cognitive biases and heuristics in medical decision making is of growing interest. The purpose of this study was to determine whether studies on cognitive biases and heuristics in medical decision making are based on actual or hypothetical decisions and are conducted with populations that are representative of those who typically make the medical decision; to categorize the types of cognitive biases and heuristics found and whether they are found in patients or in medical personnel; and to critically review the studies based on standard methodological quality criteria.
    Data sources were original, peer-reviewed, empirical studies on cognitive biases and heuristics in medical decision making found in Ovid Medline, PsycINFO, and the CINAHL databases published in 1980-2013. Predefined exclusion criteria were used to identify 213 studies. During data extraction, information was collected on type of bias or heuristic studied, respondent population, decision type, study type (actual or hypothetical), study method, and study conclusion.
    Of the 213 studies analyzed, 164 (77%) were based on hypothetical vignettes, and 175 (82%) were conducted with representative populations. Nineteen types of cognitive biases and heuristics were found. Only 34% of studies (n = 73) investigated medical personnel, and 68% (n = 145) confirmed the presence of a bias or heuristic. Each methodological quality criterion was satisfied by more than 50% of the studies, except for sample size and validated instruments/questions. Limitations are that existing terms were used to inform search terms, and study inclusion criteria focused strictly on decision making.
    Most of the studies on biases and heuristics in medical decision making are based on hypothetical vignettes, raising concerns about applicability of these findings to actual decision making. Biases and heuristics have been underinvestigated in medical personnel compared with patients.
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