OBJECTIVE: Early prediction of response to immunotherapy may help guide patient management by identifying resistance to treatment and allowing adaptation of therapies. This analysis evaluated a mathematical model of response to immunotherapy that provides patient-specific prediction of outcome using the initial change in tumor size/burden from baseline to the first follow-up visit on standard imaging scans.
METHODS: We applied the model to 600 patients with advanced solid tumors who received durvalumab in Study 1108, a phase I/II trial, and compared outcome prediction performance versus size-based criteria with RECIST version 1.1 best overall response (BOR), baseline circulating tumor (ct)DNA level, and other clinical/pathologic predictors of immunotherapy response.
RESULTS: In multiple solid tumors, the mathematical parameter representing net tumor growth rate at the first on-treatment computed tomography (CT) scan assessed around 6 weeks after starting durvalumab (α1) had a concordance index to predict overall survival (OS) of 0.66-0.77 on multivariate analyses. This measurement of early tumor dynamics significantly improved multivariate OS models that included standard RECIST v1.1 criteria, baseline ctDNA levels, and other clinical/pathologic factors in predicting OS. Furthermore, α1 was assessed consistently at the first on-treatment CT scan, whereas all traditional RECIST BOR groups were confirmed only after this time.
CONCLUSIONS: These results support further exploring α1 as an integral biomarker of response to immunotherapy. This biomarker may be predictive of further benefit and can be assessed before RECIST response groups can be assigned, potentially providing an opportunity to personalize oncologic management.

OBJECTIVE: We investigated metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) on pre-treatment FDG-PET as prognostic markers for survival in patients with metastatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (NENs) receiving peptide receptor radionuclide therapy (PRRT).
METHODS: A retrospective review of patients with metastatic NENs receiving PRRT was undertaken. Pre-treatment FDG-PET images were analyzed and variables collected included MTV and TLG (dichotomized by median into high vs low). Main Outcomes were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) by MTV and TLG (high vs low).
RESULTS: One hundred five patients were included. Median age was 64 years (50% male). Main primary NEN sites were small bowel (43.8%) and pancreas (40.0%). Median MTV was 3.8 mL and median TLG was 19.9. Dichotomization formed identical cohorts regardless of whether MTV or TLG were used. Median OS was 72 months; OS did not differ based on MTV/TLG high versus low (47.4 months vs not reached; hazard ratio, 0.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.18-1.04; P = 0.0594). Median PFS was 30.4 months; PFS differed based on MTV/TLG high versus low (21.6 months vs 45.7 months; hazard ratio, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.19-0.64; P = 0.007).
CONCLUSIONS: Low MTV/TLG on pre-treatment FDG-PET was associated with longer PFS in metastatic NEN patients receiving PRRT.

This study aims to assess the predictive capability of cylindrical Tumor Growth Rate (cTGR) in the prediction of early progression of well-differentiated gastro-entero-pancreatic tumours after Radio Ligand Therapy (RLT), compared to the conventional TGR. Fifty-eight patients were included and three CT scans per patient were collected at baseline, during RLT, and follow-up. RLT response, evaluated at follow-up according to RECIST 1.1, was calculated as a percentage variation of lesion diameters over time (continuous values) and as four different RECIST classes. TGR between baseline and interim CT was computed using both conventional (approximating lesion volume to a sphere) and cylindrical (called cTGR, approximating lesion volume to an elliptical cylinder) formulations. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were employed for Progressive Disease class prediction, revealing that cTGR outperformed conventional TGR (area under the ROC equal to 1.00 and 0.92, respectively). Multivariate analysis confirmed the superiority of cTGR in predicting continuous RLT response, with a higher coefficient for cTGR (1.56) compared to the conventional one (1.45). This study serves as a proof of concept, paving the way for future clinical trials to incorporate cTGR as a valuable tool for assessing RLT response.

Tumour morphology (tumour burden score (TBS)) and liver function (albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR)) have been shown to correlate with outcomes in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). This study aimed to evaluate the combined predictive effect of TBS and AAPR on survival outcomes in ICC patients. We conducted a retrospective analysis using a multicentre database of ICC patients who underwent curative surgery from 2011 to 2018. The Kaplan-Meier method was employed to examine the relationship between a new index (combining TBS and AAPR) and long-term outcomes. The predictive efficacy of this index was compared to other conventional indicators. A total of 560 patients were included in the study. Based on TBS and AAPR stratification, patients were classified into three groups. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that 124 patients with low TBS and high AAPR had the best overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS), while 170 patients with high TBS and low AAPR had the worst outcomes (log-rank p < 0.001). Multivariate analyses identified the combined index as an independent predictor of OS and RFS. Furthermore, the index showed superior accuracy in predicting OS and RFS compared to other conventional indicators. Collectively, this study demonstrated that the combination of liver function and tumour morphology provides a synergistic effect in evaluating the prognosis of ICC patients. The novel index combining TBS and AAPR effectively stratified postoperative survival outcomes in ICC patients undergoing curative resection.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies demonstrated that wedge resection is sufficient for ground glass-dominant lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) with tumour diameter ≤2 cm, however, the optimal surgical type for ground glass-dominant LUAD with tumour diameter of 2-3 cm remains unclear. The purpose of this trial is to investigate the safety and efficacy of segmentectomy for ground glass-dominant invasive LUAD with tumour size of 2-3 cm.
METHODS: We initiated a phase III trial to investigate whether segmentectomy is suitable for ground glass-dominant invasive LUAD with tumour size of 2-3 cm. This trial plans to enrol 307 patients from multiple institutions including four general hospitals and two specialty cancer hospitals over a period of 5 years. The primary endpoint is 5 year disease-free survival. Secondary endpoints are lung function, 5 year overall survival, the site of tumour recurrence and metastasis, segmentectomy completion rate, radical segmentectomy (R0 resection) completion rate and surgery-related complications.
BACKGROUND: This trial has been approved by the Ethics Committee of Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Centre (reference 2212267-18) and by the institutional review boards of each participating centre. Written informed consent is required from all participants. The study results will be published in a peer-reviewed international journal.
BACKGROUND: NCT05717803.

To retrospectively investigate the impact of pre-treatment Extracellular Volume Fraction (ECV) measured by Computed Tomography (CT) on the response of primary lesions to preoperative chemotherapy in abdominal neuroblastoma.
A total of seventy-five patients with abdominal neuroblastoma were retrospectively included in the study. The regions of interest for the primary lesion and aorta were determined on unenhanced and equilibrium phase CT images before treatment, and their average CT values were measured. Based on patient hematocrit and average CT values, the ECV was calculated. The correlation between ECV and the reduction in primary lesion volume was examined. A receiver operating characteristic curve was generated to assess the predictive performance of ECV for a very good partial response of the primary lesion.
There was a negative correlation between primary lesion volume reduction and ECV (r = -0.351, p = 0.002), and primary lesions with very good partial response had lower ECV (p < 0.001). The area under the curve for ECV in predicting the very good partial response of primary lesion was 0.742 (p < 0.001), with a 95 % Confidence Interval of 0.628 to 0.836. The optimal cut-off value was 0.28, and the sensitivity and specificity were 62.07 % and 84.78 %, respectively.
The measurement of pre-treatment ECV on CT images demonstrates a significant correlation with the response of the primary lesion to preoperative chemotherapy in abdominal neuroblastoma.

With the rapid adoption of immunotherapy into clinical practice for HPV-associated malignancies, assessing tumor burden using \"liquid biopsies\" would further our understanding of clinical outcomes mediated by immunotherapy and allow for tailoring of treatment based on real-time tumor dynamics. In this review, we examine translational studies on peripheral surrogates of tumor burden derived from peripheral blood in HPV-associated malignancies, including levels and methylation of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), miRNA derived from extracellular vesicles, circulating tumor cells (CTCs), and HPV-specific antibodies and T cell responses. We review their utility as prognostic and predictive biomarkers of response to chemotherapy and radiation, with a focus on how they may inform and guide immunotherapies to treat locally advanced and metastatic HPV-associated malignancies. We also highlight unanswered questions that must be addressed to translate and integrate these peripheral tumor biomarkers into the clinic.

BACKGROUND: This study delves into the complex interplay among prostate-specific antigen, alkaline phosphatase, and the temporal dynamics of tumor shrinkage in prostate cancer. By investigating the longitudinal trajectories and time-to-prostate cancer tumor shrinkage, we aim to untangle the intricate patterns of these biomarkers. This understanding is pivotal for gaining profound insights into the multifaceted aspects of prostate cancer progression. The joint model approach serves as a comprehensive framework, facilitating the elucidation of intricate interactions among these pivotal elements within the context of prostate cancer .
METHODS: A new joint model under a shared parameters strategy is proposed for mixed bivariate longitudinal biomarkers and event time data, for obtaining accurate estimates in the presence of missing covariate data. The primary innovation of our model resides in its effective management of covariates with missing observations. Built upon established frameworks, our joint model extends its capabilities by integrating mixed longitudinal responses and accounting for missingness in covariates, thus confronting this particular challenge. We posit that these enhancements bolster the model\'s utility and dependability in real-world contexts characterized by prevalent missing data. The main objective of this research is to provide a model-based approach to get full information from prostate cancer data collected with patients\' baseline characteristics ( Age , body mass index ( BMI ), GleasonScore , Grade , and Drug ) and two longitudinal endogenous covariates ( Platelets and Bilirubin ).
RESULTS: The results reveal a clear association between prostate-specific antigen and alkaline phosphatase biomarkers in the context of time-to-prostate cancer tumor shrinkage. This underscores the interconnected dynamics of these key indicators in gauging disease progression.
CONCLUSIONS: The analysis of the prostate cancer dataset, incorporating a joint evaluation of mixed longitudinal prostate-specific antigen and alkaline phosphatase biomarkers alongside tumor status, has provided valuable insights into disease progression. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed joint model, as evidenced by accurate estimates. The shared variables associated with both longitudinal biomarkers and event times consistently deviate from zero, highlighting the robustness and reliability of the model in capturing the complex dynamics of prostate cancer progression. This approach holds promise for enhancing our understanding and predictive capabilities in the clinical assessment of prostate cancer.

Purpose: This study aims to elucidate the role of quantitative SSTR-PET metrics and clinicopathological biomarkers in the progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) treated with peptide receptor radionuclide therapy (PRRT). Methods: A retrospective analysis including 91 NET patients (M47/F44; age 66 years, range 34-90 years) who completed four cycles of standard 177Lu-DOTATATE was conducted. SSTR-avid tumors were segmented from pretherapy SSTR-PET images using a semiautomatic workflow with the tumors labeled based on the anatomical regions. Multiple image-based features including total and organ-specific tumor volume and SSTR density along with clinicopathological biomarkers including Ki-67, chromogranin A (CgA) and alkaline phosphatase (ALP) were analyzed with respect to the PRRT response. Results: The median OS was 39.4 months (95% CI: 33.1-NA months), while the median PFS was 23.9 months (95% CI: 19.3-32.4 months). Total SSTR-avid tumor volume (HR = 3.6; P = 0.07) and bone tumor volume (HR = 1.5; P = 0.003) were associated with shorter OS. Also, total tumor volume (HR = 4.3; P = 0.01), liver tumor volume (HR = 1.8; P = 0.05) and bone tumor volume (HR = 1.4; P = 0.01) were associated with shorter PFS. Furthermore, the presence of large lesion volume with low SSTR uptake was correlated with worse OS (HR = 1.4; P = 0.03) and PFS (HR = 1.5; P = 0.003). Among the biomarkers, elevated baseline CgA and ALP showed a negative association with both OS (CgA: HR = 4.9; P = 0.003, ALP: HR = 52.6; P = 0.004) and PFS (CgA: HR = 4.2; P = 0.002, ALP: HR = 9.4; P = 0.06). Similarly, number of prior systemic treatments was associated with shorter OS (HR = 1.4; P = 0.003) and PFS (HR = 1.2; P = 0.05). Additionally, tumors originating from the midgut primary site demonstrated longer PFS, compared to the pancreas (HR = 1.6; P = 0.16), and those categorized as unknown primary (HR = 3.0; P = 0.002). Conclusion: Image-based features such as SSTR-avid tumor volume, bone tumor involvement, and the presence of large tumors with low SSTR expression demonstrated significant predictive value for PFS, suggesting potential clinical utility in NETs management. Moreover, elevated CgA and ALP, along with an increased number of prior systemic treatments, emerged as significant factors associated with worse PRRT outcomes.

Introduction: Prostate Specific Membrane Antigen Positron Emission Tomography (PSMA-PET) is routinely used for the staging of patients with prostate cancer, but data on response assessment are sparse and primarily stem from metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) patients treated with PSMA radioligand therapy. Still, follow-up PSMA-PET is employed in earlier disease stages in case of clinical suspicion of disease persistence, recurrence or progression to decide if localized or systemic treatment is indicated. Therefore, the prognostic value of PSMA-PET derived tumor volumes in earlier disease stages (i.e., hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (HSPC) and non-[177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 (LuPSMA) therapy castration resistant prostate cancer (CRPC)) are evaluated in this manuscript. Methods: A total number of 73 patients (6 primary staging, 42 HSPC, 25 CRPC) underwent two (i.e., baseline and follow-up, median interval: 379 days) whole-body [68Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 PET/CT scans between Nov 2014 and Dec 2018. Analysis was restricted to non-LuPSMA therapy patients. PSMA-PETs were retrospectively analyzed and primary tumor, lymph node-, visceral-, and bone metastases were segmented. Body weight-adjusted organ-specific and total tumor volumes (PSMAvol: sum of PET volumes of all lesions) were measured for baseline and follow-up. PSMAvol response was calculated as the absolute difference of whole-body tumor volumes. High metastatic burden (>5 metastases), RECIP 1.0 and PSMA-PET Progression Criteria (PPP) were determined. Survival data were sourced from the cancer registry. Results: The average number of tumor lesions per patient on the initial PET examination was 10.3 (SD 28.4). At baseline, PSMAvol was strongly associated with OS (HR 3.92, p <0.001; n = 73). Likewise, response in PSMAvol was significantly associated with OS (HR 10.48, p < 0.005; n = 73). PPP achieved significance as well (HR 2.19, p <0.05, n = 73). Patients with hormone sensitive disease and poor PSMAvol response (upper quartile of PSMAvol change) in follow-up had shorter outcome (p < 0.05; n = 42). PSMAvol in bones was the most relevant parameter for OS prognostication at baseline and for response assessment (HR 31.11 p < 0.001; HR 32.27, p < 0.001; n = 73). Conclusion: PPP and response in PSMAvol were significantly associated with OS in the present heterogeneous cohort. Bone tumor volume was the relevant miTNM region for OS prognostication. Future prospective evaluation of the performance of organ specific PSMAvol in more homogeneous cohorts seems warranted.