滑坡是对景观影响较大的自然现象之一,自然资源,和全世界的人类健康。安第斯地貌学,城市化,贫穷,不平等使它更容易受到山体滑坡的影响。这项研究的重点是了解解释性滑坡因素并促进定量敏感性映射。这两项任务都为安第斯地区提供了宝贵的知识,专注于区域规划和风险管理支持。这项工作以Azuay-Ecuador省作为研究区域解决了以下问题:(i)EFA和LR如何评估滑坡发生因素的重要性?(ii)在安第斯背景下进行敏感性分析的最重要的滑坡发生因素是什么?(iii)研究区域的滑坡敏感性图是什么?方法论框架使用定量技术来描述滑坡行为。EFA和LR模型基于665条记录的历史清单。两者都确定了NDVI,NDWI,高度,断层密度,道路密度,和PC2是最重要的因素。后一个因素代表标准偏差,降水的最大值,雨季的降雨(一月,二月,和三月)。EFA模型由7个潜在因素组成,这解释了55%的累积方差,具有1.5的中等项目复杂度,0.02的RMSR和0.89的TLI。这项技术还确定了TWI,故障距离,平面曲率,和道路距离是重要因素。LR的模型,AIC为964.63,残余偏差为924.63,AUC为0.92,准确度为0.84,Kappa为0.68,也显示出斜率的统计学意义,道路密度,地质学,和土地覆盖因素。这项研究包括对NDVI的时间序列分析,NDWI,和降水,包括滑坡发生的植被和天气动力。最后,这种方法论框架取代了传统的基于专家知识的定性模型,研究区和安第斯地区的定量方法。
Landslides are one of the natural phenomena with more negative impacts on landscape, natural resources, and human health worldwide. Andean geomorphology, urbanization, poverty, and inequality make it more vulnerable to landslides. This research focuses on understanding explanatory landslide factors and promoting quantitative susceptibility mapping. Both tasks supply valuable knowledge for the Andean region, focusing on territorial planning and risk management support. This work addresses the following questions using the province of Azuay-Ecuador as a study area: (i) How do EFA and LR assess the significance of landslide occurrence factors? (ii) Which are the most significant landslide occurrence factors for susceptibility analysis in an Andean context? (iii) What is the landslide susceptibility map for the study area? The methodological framework uses quantitative techniques to describe landslide behavior. EFA and LR models are based on a historical inventory of 665 records. Both identified NDVI, NDWI, altitude, fault density, road density, and PC2 as the most significant factors. The latter factor represents the standard deviation, maximum value of precipitation, and rainfall in the wet season (January, February, and March). The EFA model was built from 7 latent factors, which explained 55% of the accumulated variance, with a medium item complexity of 1.5, a RMSR of 0.02, and a TLI of 0.89. This technique also identified TWI, fault distance, plane curvature, and road distance as important factors. LR\'s model, with AIC of 964.63, residual deviance of 924.63, AUC of 0.92, accuracy of 0.84, and Kappa of 0.68, also shows statistical significance for slope, roads density, geology, and land cover factors. This research encompasses a time-series analysis of NDVI, NDWI, and precipitation, including vegetation and weather dynamism for landslide occurrence. Finally, this methodological framework replaces traditional qualitative models based on expert knowledge, for quantitative approaches for the study area and the Andean region.