Logistic Regression

Logistic 回归
  • 文章类型: English Abstract
    Objective To investigate the expression levels of selenoprotein genes in the patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and the possible regulatory mechanisms.Methods The dataset GSE177477 was obtained from the Gene Expression Omnibus,consisting of a symptomatic group (n=11),an asymptomatic group (n=18),and a healthy control group (n=18).The dataset was preprocessed to screen the differentially expressed genes (DEG) related to COVID-19,and gene ontology functional annotation and Kyoto encyclopedia of genes and genomes enrichment analysis were performed for the DEGs.The protein-protein interaction network of DEGs was established,and multivariate Logistic regression was employed to analyze the effects of selenoprotein genes on the presence/absence of symptoms in the patients with COVID-19.Results Compared with the healthy control,the symptomatic COVID-19 patients presented up-regulated expression of GPX1,GPX4,GPX6,DIO2,TXNRD1,SELENOF,SELENOK,SELENOS,SELENOT,and SELENOW and down-regulated expression of TXNRD2 and SELENON (all P<0.05).The asymptomatic patients showcased up-regulated expression of GPX2,SELENOI,SELENOO,SELENOS,SELENOT,and SELENOW and down-regulated expression of SELP (all P<0.05).The results of multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that the abnormally high expression of GPX1 (OR=0.067,95%CI=0.005-0.904,P=0.042) and SELENON (OR=56.663,95%CI=3.114-856.999,P=0.006) was the risk factor for symptomatic COVID-19,and the abnormally high expression of SELP was a risk factor for asymptomatic COVID-19 (OR=15.000,95%CI=2.537-88.701,P=0.003).Conclusions Selenoprotein genes with differential expression are involved in the regulation of COVID-19 development.The findings provide a new reference for the prevention and treatment of COVID-19.
    目的 探讨硒蛋白基因在新型冠状病毒感染(COVID-19)患者中的表达水平及其可能的调控机制。方法 从基因表达综合数据库获取数据集GSE177477,样本由有症状组(n=11)、无症状组(n=18)和健康对照组(n=18)构成。对数据集进行预处理,筛选出与COVID-19相关的差异表达基因,并进行基因本体功能注释和京都基因与基因组百科全书富集分析,建立差异表达硒蛋白基因的蛋白质-蛋白质相互作用网络,采用多因素Logistic回归分析硒蛋白基因对COVID-19患者是否出现症状的影响。结果 与健康对照组比较,有症状的COVID-19患者中GPX1、GPX4、GPX6、DIO2、TXNRD1、SELENOF、SELENOK、SELENOS、SELENOT、SELENOW基因表达均升高,TXNRD2、SELENON基因表达均下降(P均<0.05);无症状的COVID-19患者中GPX2、SELENOI、SELENOO、SELENOS、SELENOT、SELENOW基因表达均升高,SELP基因表达下降(P均<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,GPX1(OR=0.067,95%CI=0.005~0.904,P=0.042)、SELENON(OR=56.663,95%CI=3.114~856.999,P=0.006)基因的异常高表达是有症状COVID-19患者的影响因素,SELP基因的异常高表达是无症状COVID-19患者的危险因素(OR=15.000,95%CI=2.537~88.701,P=0.003)。结论 硒蛋白基因的差异表达参与调控COVID-19疾病的发生发展,为COVID-19的预防和治疗提供新的参考依据。.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    脑小血管病(CSVD)是老年人常见的神经退行性疾病,与认知障碍密切相关。早期识别CSVD患者发生认知障碍的风险较高,对于及时干预和改善患者预后至关重要。
    本研究的目的是利用LASSO回归和二元逻辑回归构建预测模型,目的是准确预测CSVD患者认知障碍的风险。
    该研究在CSVD患者队列中使用LASSO回归进行特征选择和逻辑回归进行模型构建。通过校准曲线和决策曲线分析(DCA)评估模型的有效性。
    开发了一个列线图来预测认知障碍,合并高血压,CSVD负担,载脂蛋白A1(ApoA1)水平,和年龄。该模型表现出很高的准确性,训练集和验证集的AUC值为0.866和0.852,分别。校准曲线证实了模型的可靠性,DCA强调了其临床实用性。模型对训练集的敏感性和特异性分别为75.3%和79.7%,以及验证集的76.9和74.0%。
    这项研究成功地展示了机器学习在开发CSVD认知障碍的可靠预测模型中的应用。该模型的高精度和强大的预测能力为CSVD患者认知障碍的早期发现和干预提供了重要的工具。有可能改善这种特定条件的结果。
    UNASSIGNED: Cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) is a common neurodegenerative condition in the elderly, closely associated with cognitive impairment. Early identification of individuals with CSVD who are at a higher risk of developing cognitive impairment is crucial for timely intervention and improving patient outcomes.
    UNASSIGNED: The aim of this study is to construct a predictive model utilizing LASSO regression and binary logistic regression, with the objective of precisely forecasting the risk of cognitive impairment in patients with CSVD.
    UNASSIGNED: The study utilized LASSO regression for feature selection and logistic regression for model construction in a cohort of CSVD patients. The model\'s validity was assessed through calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA).
    UNASSIGNED: A nomogram was developed to predict cognitive impairment, incorporating hypertension, CSVD burden, apolipoprotein A1 (ApoA1) levels, and age. The model exhibited high accuracy with AUC values of 0.866 and 0.852 for the training and validation sets, respectively. Calibration curves confirmed the model\'s reliability, and DCA highlighted its clinical utility. The model\'s sensitivity and specificity were 75.3 and 79.7% for the training set, and 76.9 and 74.0% for the validation set.
    UNASSIGNED: This study successfully demonstrates the application of machine learning in developing a reliable predictive model for cognitive impairment in CSVD. The model\'s high accuracy and robust predictive capability provide a crucial tool for the early detection and intervention of cognitive impairment in patients with CSVD, potentially improving outcomes for this specific condition.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在促性腺激素释放激素拮抗剂(GnRH-ant)周期中,研究体重指数(BMI)对触发日孕酮(P)水平的影响。
    本研究为回顾性队列研究。选取2017年10月至2022年4月在我院生殖中心接受GnRH-ant方案控制性超促排卵(COH)的412例体外受精(IVF)/卵胞浆内单精子注射(ICSI)患者为研究对象。根据BMI水平分为3组:正常体重组(n=230):18.5kg/m2≤BMI<24kg/m2;超重组(n=122):24kg/m2≤BMI<28kg/m2;肥胖组(n=60):BMI≥28kg/m2。单变量分析中p<.10的变量(BMI,基础FSH,基底P,FSH天,Gn起始剂量和触发日的E2水平)以及可能影响触发日P水平的变量(不育因素,基础LH,总FSH,将HMG天数和总HMG)纳入多因素logistic回归模型,以分析BMI对GnRH-ant方案触发日P水平的影响。
    调整混杂因素后,与正常体重患者相比,超重和肥胖患者在触发日血清P升高的风险显著降低(OR分别为0.434和0.199,p<.05)。
    随着BMI的增加,GnRH-ant周期中触发日P升高的风险降低,BMI可作为GnRH-ant周期触发日P水平的预测因子之一。
    UNASSIGNED: To investigate the effect of body mass index (BMI) on progesterone (P) level on trigger day in gonadotropin-releasing hormone antagonist (GnRH-ant) cycles.
    UNASSIGNED: This study was a retrospective cohort study. From October 2017 to April 2022, 412 in-vitro fertilization (IVF)/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) patients who were treated with GnRH-ant protocol for controlled ovarian hyperstimulation (COH) in the reproductive center of our hospital were selected as the research objects. Patients were divided into three groups according to BMI level: normal weight group (n = 230):18.5 kg/m2≤BMI < 24 kg/m2; overweight group (n = 122): 24 kg/m2≤BMI < 28 kg/m2; Obesity group (n = 60): BMI ≥ 28 kg/m2. Variables with p < .10 in univariate analysis (BMI, basal FSH, basal P, FSH days, Gn starting dose and E2 level on trigger day) and variables that may affect P level on trigger day (infertility factors, basal LH, total FSH, HMG days and total HMG) were included in the multivariate logistic regression model to analyze the effect of BMI on P level on trigger day of GnRH-ant protocol.
    UNASSIGNED: After adjustment for confounding factors, compared with that in normal weight patients, the risk of serum P elevation on trigger day was significantly lower in overweight and obese patients (OR = 0.434 and 0.199, respectively, p < .05).
    UNASSIGNED: The risk of P elevation on trigger day in GnRH-ant cycles decreased with the increase of BMI, and BMI could be used as one of the predictors of P level on trigger day in GnRH-ant cycles.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:不同截断值的围手术期心肌损伤(PMI)与心脏手术后不同的预后效果相关。机器学习(ML)方法已广泛应用于心脏手术围手术期风险预测。然而,ML在PMI中的利用尚未研究。因此,我们试图开发和验证在体外循环(CPB)心脏手术中不同截断值PMI的ML表现.
    方法:这是对多中心临床试验(OPTIMAL)的第二次分析,由于回顾性设计,放弃了书面知情同意的要求。2018年12月至2021年4月在中国招募18-70岁接受CPB择期心脏手术的患者。这些模型是使用阜外医院的数据开发的,并由其他三个心脏中心进行了外部验证。构建了传统逻辑回归(LR)和11个ML模型。主要结果是PMI,定义为术后最大心肌肌钙蛋白I超过参考上限的不同时间(40x,70x,100x,130x)我们通过检查接收器工作特性曲线(AUROC)下的面积来测量模型性能,精度-召回曲线(AUPRC),和校准布里尔分数。
    结果:共有2983名符合条件的患者最终参与了模型开发(n=2420)和外部验证(n=563)。CatboostClassifier和RandomForestClassifier成为预测PMI的LR模型的潜在替代方法。AUROC显示四个截止值中的每一个都增加,在测试数据集中达到100xURL的峰值,在外部验证数据集中达到70xURL的峰值。然而,值得注意的是,AUPRC随着每个截止值的增加而下降。此外,Brier损失分数随着截止值的增加而减少,以130x的URL截止值达到最低点0.16。此外,CPB时间延长,主动脉持续时间,术前N端脑钠肽升高,术前中性粒细胞计数减少,较高的体重指数,高敏C反应蛋白水平的升高在所有4个临界值中被确定为PMI的危险因素.
    结论:CatboostClassifier和RandomForestClassifer算法可以替代LR预测PMI。此外,术前较高的N末端脑钠肽和较低的高敏C反应蛋白是PMI的强危险因素,潜在机制需要进一步调查。
    BACKGROUND: Perioperative myocardial injury (PMI) with different cut-off values has showed to be associated with different prognostic effect after cardiac surgery. Machine learning (ML) method has been widely used in perioperative risk predictions during cardiac surgery. However, the utilization of ML in PMI has not been studied yet. Therefore, we sought to develop and validate the performances of ML for PMI with different cut-off values in cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB).
    METHODS: This was a second analysis of a multicenter clinical trial (OPTIMAL) and requirement for written informed consent was waived due to the retrospective design. Patients aged 18-70 undergoing elective cardiac surgery with CPB from December 2018 to April 2021 were enrolled in China. The models were developed using the data from Fuwai Hospital and externally validated by the other three cardiac centres. Traditional logistic regression (LR) and eleven ML models were constructed. The primary outcome was PMI, defined as the postoperative maximum cardiac Troponin I beyond different times of upper reference limit (40x, 70x, 100x, 130x) We measured the model performance by examining the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), precision-recall curve (AUPRC), and calibration brier score.
    RESULTS: A total of 2983 eligible patients eventually participated in both the model development (n = 2420) and external validation (n = 563). The CatboostClassifier and RandomForestClassifier emerged as potential alternatives to the LR model for predicting PMI. The AUROC demonstrated an increase with each of the four cutoffs, peaking at 100x URL in the testing dataset and at 70x URL in the external validation dataset. However, it\'s worth noting that the AUPRC decreased with each cutoff increment. Additionally, the Brier loss score decreased as the cutoffs increased, reaching its lowest point at 0.16 with a 130x URL cutoff. Moreover, extended CPB time, aortic duration, elevated preoperative N-terminal brain sodium peptide, reduced preoperative neutrophil count, higher body mass index, and increased high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels were identified as risk factors for PMI across all four cutoff values.
    CONCLUSIONS: The CatboostClassifier and RandomForestClassifer algorithms could be an alternative for LR in prediction of PMI. Furthermore, preoperative higher N-terminal brain sodium peptide and lower high-sensitivity C-reactive protein were strong risk factor for PMI, the underlying mechanism require further investigation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:非龋齿宫颈病变(NCCL)是多因素的,可由牙齿的解剖结构引起,侵蚀,磨损和异常闭塞。本病例对照研究的目的是探讨NCCL的危险因素。
    方法:锥束计算机断层扫描用于确定牙釉质交界处是否存在楔形缺损。我们比较了63名有NCCL的参与者和63名无NCCL的对照,匹配性别,年龄(±1岁)和刷牙相关因素(例如,刷毛类型和刷牙模式,频率和强度)。所有参与者都被要求填写一份关于自我管理的日常饮食习惯和健康状况的问卷。进行单因素和多因素logistic回归分析以确定NCCL的危险因素。
    结果:单变量分析中的重要变量(即,p<2)包括碳酸饮料消费频率,鞍区-下颌点B角(SNB)和法兰克福-下颌平面角(FMA)。多变量逻辑回归表明碳酸饮料的消费频率(比值比[OR]=3.147;95%置信区间[CI],1.039-9.532),FMA(OR=1.100;95%CI,1.004~1.204)和SNB(OR=0.896;95%CI,0.813~0.988)是独立影响因素。回归模型1的接受者工作特性曲线下面积(AUC)值(建立了与碳酸饮料消费频率、FMA,SNB和睡眠磨牙症)为0.700(95%CI,0.607-0.792;p<.001),和回归模型2(使用碳酸饮料消费频率建立,FMA和SNB)为0.704(95%CI,0.612-0.796;p<.001)。
    结论:碳酸饮料和FMA的消费频率是NCCL的危险因素;碳酸饮料和FMA的消费频率越高,NCCL的概率越高。SNB是NCCL发生的保护因素;SNB越大,NCCL发生的概率越低.这些发现进一步阐明了NCCL的病因,并为临床医生提供了预防牙齿组织丢失的有价值的见解。
    OBJECTIVE: Noncarious cervical lesions (NCCLs) are multifactorial and can be caused by the anatomical structure of the teeth, erosion, abrasion and abnormal occlusion. The aim of this case-control study was to explore the risk factors for NCCLs.
    METHODS: Cone-beam computed tomography was used to determine whether a wedge-shaped defect existed at the cementoenamel junction. We compared 63 participants with NCCLs with 63 controls without NCCLs, matched for sex, age (±1 year) and toothbrushing-related factors (e.g., type of bristle and brushing patterns, frequency and strength). All participants were asked to complete a questionnaire about self-administered daily diet habits and health condition. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to determine the risk factors for NCCLs.
    RESULTS: Significant variables in the univariate analysis (i.e., p < .2) included frequency of carbonated beverage consumption, sella-nasion-point B angle (SNB) and Frankfort-mandibular plane angle (FMA). Multivariate logistic regression demonstrated that the consumption frequency of carbonated beverages (odds ratio [OR] = 3.147; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.039-9.532), FMA (OR = 1.100; 95% CI, 1.004-1.204) and SNB (OR = 0.896; 95% CI, 0.813-0.988) was independent influencing factors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) value of regression Model 1 (established with the frequency of carbonated beverage consumption, FMA, SNB and sleep bruxism) was 0.700 (95% CI, 0.607-0.792; p < .001), and that of regression Model 2 (established using the frequency of carbonated beverage consumption, FMA and SNB) was 0.704 (95% CI, 0.612-0.796; p < .001).
    CONCLUSIONS: The consumption frequency of carbonated beverages and FMA was risk factors for NCCLs; the higher the frequency of carbonated beverage consumption and FMA, the higher was the probability of NCCLs. SNB was a protective factor for NCCL occurrence; the larger the SNB, the lower was the probability of NCCL occurrence. These findings have further clarified the aetiology of NCCLs and provided clinicians with valuable insights into strategies for preventing the loss of dental tissue.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)是一种严重的并发症,可导致多发性创伤患者死亡。然而,居住在高海拔地区的多发性创伤患者中ARDS的发生率和早期预测仍未知.
    这项研究共纳入了168名多发性创伤患者,他们在2019年1月1日至2021年12月31日期间在日喀则人民医院重症监护病房(ICU)接受了治疗。评估患者的临床特征和ARDS的发生率。单变量和多变量logistic回归模型用于识别ARDS的潜在危险因素。并分析这些危险因素的预测效果。
    在高海拔地区,多发伤患者ARDS发生率为37.5%(63/168),医院死亡率为16.1%(27/168)。使用逻辑回归模型,损伤严重度评分(ISS)和胸部损伤被确定为ARDS的重要预测因子。曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.75和0.75。此外,结合ISS和胸部损伤的新型预测风险评分显示出改善的预测能力,实现0.82的AUC。
    这项研究显示了居住在西藏地区的多发性创伤患者ARDS的发生率,并确定两个关键预测因素以及早期预测ARDS的风险评分。这些发现有可能增强临床医生准确评估ARDS风险并主动预防其发作的能力。
    UNASSIGNED: Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a severe complication that can lead to fatalities in multiple trauma patients. Nevertheless, the incidence rate and early prediction of ARDS among multiple trauma patients residing in high-altitude areas remain unknown.
    UNASSIGNED: This study included a total of 168 multiple trauma patients who received treatment at Shigatse People\'s Hospital Intensive Care Unit (ICU) between January 1, 2019 and December 31, 2021. The clinical characteristics of the patients and the incidence rate of ARDS were assessed. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were employed to identify potential risk factors for ARDS, and the predictive effects of these risk factors were analyzed.
    UNASSIGNED: In the high-altitude area, the incidence of ARDS among multiple trauma patients was 37.5% (63/168), with a hospital mortality rate of 16.1% (27/168). Injury Severity Score (ISS) and thoracic injuries were identified as significant predictors for ARDS using the logistic regression model, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.75 and 0.75, respectively. Furthermore, a novel predictive risk score combining ISS and thoracic injuries demonstrated improved predictive ability, achieving an AUC of 0.82.
    UNASSIGNED: This study presents the incidence of ARDS in multiple trauma patients residing in the Tibetan region, and identifies two critical predictive factors along with a risk score for early prediction of ARDS. These findings have the potential to enhance clinicians\' ability to accurately assess the risk of ARDS and proactively prevent its onset.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    急性腹痛(AAP)是急诊科(ED)的常见症状,客观准确的分诊至关重要。本研究旨在开发一种基于机器学习的AAP分诊预测模型。目标是确定危重病人的分诊指标,并确保及时提供诊断和治疗资源。
    在这项研究中,我们对2019年武汉普仁医院ED收治的急性腹痛患者的病历资料进行回顾性分析.为了识别高风险因素,采用31个预测变量进行单变量和多变量逻辑回归分析.使用测试和验证队列对八个机器学习分诊预测模型进行评估,以优化AAP分诊预测模型。
    确定了11项具有统计学意义(p<0.05)的临床指标,发现它们与急性腹痛的严重程度有关。在从训练和测试队列构建的八个机器学习模型中,基于人工神经网络(ANN)的模型表现出最佳性能,达到0.9792的精度和0.9972的曲线下面积(AUC)。进一步的优化结果表明,通过仅纳入七个变量,ANN模型的AUC值可以达到0.9832:糖尿病史,中风史,脉搏,血压,苍白的外观,肠鸣音,和疼痛的位置。
    ANN模型在预测AAP的分诊方面最有效。此外,当只考虑七个变量时,包括糖尿病史,等。,该模型仍然显示出良好的预测性能。这有助于AAP患者的快速临床分诊和医疗资源的分配。
    UNASSIGNED: Acute abdominal pain (AAP) is a common symptom presented in the emergency department (ED), and it is crucial to have objective and accurate triage. This study aims to develop a machine learning-based prediction model for AAP triage. The goal is to identify triage indicators for critically ill patients and ensure the prompt availability of diagnostic and treatment resources.
    UNASSIGNED: In this study, we conducted a retrospective analysis of the medical records of patients admitted to the ED of Wuhan Puren Hospital with acute abdominal pain in 2019. To identify high-risk factors, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used with thirty-one predictor variables. Evaluation of eight machine learning triage prediction models was conducted using both test and validation cohorts to optimize the AAP triage prediction model.
    UNASSIGNED: Eleven clinical indicators with statistical significance (p < 0.05) were identified, and they were found to be associated with the severity of acute abdominal pain. Among the eight machine learning models constructed from the training and test cohorts, the model based on the artificial neural network (ANN) demonstrated the best performance, achieving an accuracy of 0.9792 and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.9972. Further optimization results indicate that the AUC value of the ANN model could reach 0.9832 by incorporating only seven variables: history of diabetes, history of stroke, pulse, blood pressure, pale appearance, bowel sounds, and location of the pain.
    UNASSIGNED: The ANN model is the most effective in predicting the triage of AAP. Furthermore, when only seven variables are considered, including history of diabetes, etc., the model still shows good predictive performance. This is helpful for the rapid clinical triage of AAP patients and the allocation of medical resources.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    研究表明,抑郁和睡眠障碍都与心血管疾病(CVD)有关。然而,睡眠障碍在抑郁症和CVD之间的联系中的确切作用尚不清楚.因此,我们试图研究这些因素之间的关联,并进一步探讨睡眠障碍在抑郁和心血管疾病之间的中介作用.
    这项研究包括来自29,831名成年人(≥20岁)的数据。进行了多因素逻辑回归分析,以检查抑郁症,睡眠障碍,和CVD。此外,引导试验用于调查抑郁症和CVD之间的关联是否由睡眠障碍介导.
    我们的研究表明,经历过抑郁或睡眠障碍的人比没有这些问题的人患CVD的可能性更大(抑郁:OR:2.21,95%CI=1.96-2.49;睡眠障碍:OR:1.74,95%CI=1.6-1.9)。即使在调整了潜在的混杂因素之后,抑郁症仍与睡眠障碍风险呈正相关(OR:4.07,95%CI=3.73-4.44)。此外,睡眠障碍显著介导了抑郁症和CVD之间的关联,具有18.1%的中介效应。
    我们的研究表明,睡眠障碍,和CVD是相互关联的。抑郁症患者的CVD风险增加可能归因于睡眠障碍的中介作用。这一发现强调了以睡眠障碍为重点的干预措施作为解决抑郁症与CVD之间联系的手段的重要性。
    UNASSIGNED: Studies suggest that both depression and disrupted sleep disturbance are linked to cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the precise role of sleep disturbance in the connection between depression and CVD is poorly understood. Therefore, we sought to examine the associations among these factors and further explore the mediating role of sleep disturbance in the association between depression and CVD.
    UNASSIGNED: This study included data from 29,831 adults (≥20 years old). Multifactorial logistic regression analyses were conducted to examine the relationships among depression, sleep disturbance, and CVD. Additionally, bootstrap tests were used to investigate whether the association between depression and CVD was mediated by sleep disturbance.
    UNASSIGNED: Our research showed that individuals who experienced depression or sleep disturbance had a notably greater likelihood of developing CVD than those who did not have these issues (depression: OR: 2.21, 95% CI=1.96-2.49; sleep disturbance: OR: 1.74, 95% CI=1.6-1.9). Even after adjusting for potential confounders, depression was still positively associated with the risk of sleep disturbance (OR: 4.07, 95% CI=3.73-4.44). Furthermore, sleep disturbance significantly mediated the association between depression and CVD, with a mediating effect of 18.1%.
    UNASSIGNED: Our study demonstrated that depression, sleep disturbance, and CVD are interrelated. The increased risk of CVD among patients with depression may be attributed to the mediating role of sleep disturbance. This finding underscores the importance of interventions focused on sleep disturbances as a means to address the connection between depression and CVD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:精神分裂症是一种普遍的精神障碍,导致严重残疾。目前,缺乏客观的生物标志物阻碍了有效的诊断.这项研究是为了探索异常的自发大脑活动,并使用机器学习方法研究异常大脑指标作为诊断生物标志物的潜力。
    方法:本研究共纳入61例精神分裂症患者和70例人口统计学匹配的健康对照。静息态功能磁共振成像(rs-fMRI)的静态指标包括低频波动幅度(ALFF),分数ALFF(fALFF),区域同质性(ReHo),计算度中心性(DC)以评估自发性脑活动。随后,然后使用滑动窗口方法进行时间动态分析。患者组和对照组静态和动态rs-fMRI指标的比较采用双样本t检验。最后,应用机器学习分析评估脑活动异常指标的诊断价值。
    结果:精神分裂症患者额下回ALFF值显著升高,在左中央后回和右小脑后叶观察到fALFF值显着下降。在精神分裂症患者中观察到ReHo指数的普遍畸变,尤其是额叶和小脑。在包括双侧额叶的灰质区域中观察到动态指数的体素一致性显着降低,顶叶,枕骨,temporal,和岛状皮质。当应用线性支持向量机并利用指定大脑区域中的异常静态和动态指数的组合作为特征时,分类分析实现了曲线下面积的最高值为0.87,准确度为81.28%。
    结论:脑活动的静态和动态指标显示为诊断精神分裂症的潜在神经影像学生物标志物。
    BACKGROUND: Schizophrenia is a prevalent mental disorder, leading to severe disability. Currently, the absence of objective biomarkers hinders effective diagnosis. This study was conducted to explore the aberrant spontaneous brain activity and investigate the potential of abnormal brain indices as diagnostic biomarkers employing machine learning methods.
    METHODS: A total of sixty-one schizophrenia patients and seventy demographically matched healthy controls were enrolled in this study. The static indices of resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rs-fMRI) including amplitude of low frequency fluctuations (ALFF), fractional ALFF (fALFF), regional homogeneity (ReHo), and degree centrality (DC) were calculated to evaluate spontaneous brain activity. Subsequently, a sliding-window method was then used to conduct temporal dynamic analysis. The comparison of static and dynamic rs-fMRI indices between the patient and control groups was conducted using a two-sample t-test. Finally, the machine learning analysis was applied to estimate the diagnostic value of abnormal indices of brain activity.
    RESULTS: Schizophrenia patients exhibited a significant increase ALFF value in inferior frontal gyrus, alongside significant decreases in fALFF values observed in left postcentral gyrus and right cerebellum posterior lobe. Pervasive aberrations in ReHo indices were observed among schizophrenia patients, particularly in frontal lobe and cerebellum. A noteworthy reduction in voxel-wise concordance of dynamic indices was observed across gray matter regions encompassing the bilateral frontal, parietal, occipital, temporal, and insular cortices. The classification analysis achieved the highest values for area under curve at 0.87 and accuracy at 81.28% when applying linear support vector machine and leveraging a combination of abnormal static and dynamic indices in the specified brain regions as features.
    CONCLUSIONS: The static and dynamic indices of brain activity exhibited as potential neuroimaging biomarkers for the diagnosis of schizophrenia.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:准确预测疫苗接种行为可以为卫生保健专业人员制定有针对性的干预措施提供见解。
    目的:本研究的目的是建立中国儿童流感疫苗接种行为的预测模型。
    方法:我们从无锡的一项前瞻性观察研究中获得了数据,中国东部。预测结果是个体水平的疫苗摄取,协变量包括儿童和父母的社会人口统计学,父母的疫苗犹豫,对临床方便的看法,对诊所服务的满意度,并愿意接种疫苗。贝叶斯网络,逻辑回归,最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归,支持向量机(SVM),朴素贝叶斯(NB),随机森林(RF),用决策树分类器构建预测模型。各种性能指标,包括接受者工作特性曲线下面积(AUC),用于评估不同模型的预测性能。接收器工作特性曲线和校准图用于评估模型性能。
    结果:总共2383名参与者被纳入研究;这些儿童中83.2%(n=1982)<5岁,6.6%(n=158)以前接种过流感疫苗。超过一半(1356/2383,56.9%)的父母表示愿意为孩子接种流感疫苗。在2383名儿童中,26.3%(n=627)在2020-2021年季节接受了流感疫苗接种。在训练集中,RF模型在所有指标中显示出最佳性能。在验证集中,logistic回归模型和NB模型的AUC值最高;SVM模型的准确率最高;NB模型的召回率最高;logistic回归模型的准确率最高。F1得分,和科恩κ值。LASSO和逻辑回归模型得到了很好的校准。
    结论:开发的预测模型可用于量化中国儿童季节性流感疫苗接种的吸收。逐步逻辑回归模型可能更适合预测目的。
    BACKGROUND: Predicting vaccination behaviors accurately could provide insights for health care professionals to develop targeted interventions.
    OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to develop predictive models for influenza vaccination behavior among children in China.
    METHODS: We obtained data from a prospective observational study in Wuxi, eastern China. The predicted outcome was individual-level vaccine uptake and covariates included sociodemographics of the child and parent, parental vaccine hesitancy, perceptions of convenience to the clinic, satisfaction with clinic services, and willingness to vaccinate. Bayesian networks, logistic regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, support vector machine (SVM), naive Bayes (NB), random forest (RF), and decision tree classifiers were used to construct prediction models. Various performance metrics, including area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), were used to evaluate the predictive performance of the different models. Receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration plots were used to assess model performance.
    RESULTS: A total of 2383 participants were included in the study; 83.2% of these children (n=1982) were <5 years old and 6.6% (n=158) had previously received an influenza vaccine. More than half (1356/2383, 56.9%) the parents indicated a willingness to vaccinate their child against influenza. Among the 2383 children, 26.3% (n=627) received influenza vaccination during the 2020-2021 season. Within the training set, the RF model showed the best performance across all metrics. In the validation set, the logistic regression model and NB model had the highest AUC values; the SVM model had the highest precision; the NB model had the highest recall; and the logistic regression model had the highest accuracy, F1 score, and Cohen κ value. The LASSO and logistic regression models were well-calibrated.
    CONCLUSIONS: The developed prediction model can be used to quantify the uptake of seasonal influenza vaccination for children in China. The stepwise logistic regression model may be better suited for prediction purposes.
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