Heroin Dependence

海洛因依赖
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:虽然随机对照试验表明,在难治性患者的治疗中,海洛因辅助治疗(HAT)优于美沙酮单独维持治疗,对与常规护理中HAT保留相关的客户因素知之甚少。
    方法:这项回顾性队列研究评估了2010年至2018年在丹麦接受HAT治疗的连续队列患者中首次治疗发作保留的预测因素,这些患者可以与丹麦人口登记册相匹配,并且在入院时可以进行简短的健康调查(SF-36)(N=432)。该研究从客户的自我报告和国家登记册中提供的管理数据中得出预测因子。Cox比例风险回归模拟治疗中的保留。
    结果:一年保留率为69.63%(95%CI65.06%-73.74%),中位治疗时间为2.45年(95%CI,1.83-3.12).双变量分析显示,最近使用可卡因或苯二氮卓类药物的客户以及在HAT入学前一年内服用过量的客户的保留率较低。40岁以下,最近的非法活动,较差的情绪健康,以前的住宅治疗经验,和之前的强化门诊治疗也是HAT退出的预测因素。
    结论:这项观察性研究发现,常规护理中HAT的保留率与在其他国家进行的随机对照试验中观察到的相似。结果表明,将多物质的使用作为HAT计划的一部分可能会促进长期保留,可能会将资源引导到摄入时确定的某些子组,包括40岁以下的客户和举报最近犯罪活动的客户,情绪问题,或者用药过量.以前的住院治疗和强化门诊治疗与辍学有关的发现是出乎意料的。
    BACKGROUND: While randomized-controlled trials have shown that heroin-assisted treatment (HAT) is superior to methadone maintenance alone in treatment of refractory clients, little is known about client factors associated with retention in HAT in routine care.
    METHODS: This retrospective cohort study assessed predictors of retention in first treatment episode among a consecutive cohort of clients admitted to HAT in Denmark from 2010 to 2018, who could be matched to the Danish population register and for whom a Short Form Health Survey (SF-36) was available at admission (N = 432). The study derived predictors from client self-reports at intake and administrative data available in national registers. Cox proportional hazards regression modelled retention in treatment.
    RESULTS: The one-year retention rate was 69.63 % (95 % CI 65.06 %-73.74 %), and the median time in treatment was 2.45 years (95 % CI, 1.83-3.12). Bivariate analyses showed that retention was lower for clients who had recent cocaine or benzodiazepine use and among those who had experienced an overdose in the year prior to enrollment in HAT. Age below 40, recent illegal activity, poorer emotional wellbeing, previous residential treatment experience, and previous intensive outpatient treatment were also predictors of dropout from HAT.
    CONCLUSIONS: This observational study found that retention in HAT in routine care was similar to rates observed in randomized-controlled trials conducted in other countries. The results suggest that addressing polysubstance use as part of the HAT program may promote long-term retention, as may directing resources to certain subgroups identified at intake, including clients under 40 years and those who report recent criminal activity, emotional problems, or overdoses. The findings that previous residential treatment and intensive outpatient treatment were associated with dropout were unexpected.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    药物依赖是一种慢性脑疾病,其特征是渴望和复发的反复发作。曲马多盐酸盐是戒断症状管理的有前途的药物,考虑到其相对较低的滥用潜力和安全性。口服给药,然而,在禁欲维护程序中不是首选。介绍一种可植入的,建议使用长效配方来帮助门诊戒断计划实现更高的治疗延续率。通过湿法在聚己内酯聚合物带上制备曲马多植入物(T350和T650)。雄性Wistar大鼠以递增剂量(3-30mg/kg,腹膜内,14天)。通过手术将植入物植入大鼠的背部皮肤中。14天后,记录CPP评分.纳洛酮(1mg/kg,腹膜内)用于在第15天诱导戒断,并对症状进行评分。对焦虑相关症状进行了高架迷宫和野外测试。纹状体分析了多巴胺中反映的神经化学变化,3,4-二羟基苯乙酸,γ-氨基丁酸,和血清素水平。评估了包括谷胱甘肽和脂质过氧化物在内的脑氧化变化。曲马多植入物(T350和T650)减少了海洛因的CPP,并限制了纳洛酮引起的戒断症状。纹状体显示3,4-二羟苯基乙酸的含量增加,海洛因戒断诱导后5-羟色胺和γ-氨基丁酸和多巴胺水平下降,植入T350和T650后逆转。植入物恢复大脑氧化状态。在幼稚受试者中使用植入物后,纳洛酮诱导的戒断评分不显着,表明植入物的滥用潜力较低。所提出的曲马多植入物可有效减少大鼠的海洛因CPP和戒断,建议进一步研究在阿片类药物戒断管理中的应用。
    Drug dependence is a chronic brain disease characterized by craving and recurrent episodes of relapse. Tramadol HCl is a promising agent for withdrawal symptoms management, considering its relatively low abuse potential and safety. Oral administration, however, is not preferred in abstinence maintenance programs. Introducing an implantable, long-lasting formula is suggested to help outpatient abstinence programs achieve higher rates of treatment continuation. Tramadol implants (T350 and T650) were prepared on polycaprolactone polymer ribbons by the wet method. Male Wistar rats were adapted to heroin-conditioned place preference (CPP) at escalating doses (3-30 mg/kg, intraperitoneally, for 14 days). Implants were surgically implanted in the back skin of rats. After 14 days, the CPP score was recorded. Naloxone (1 mg/kg, intraperitoneally) was used to induce withdrawal on day 15, and symptoms were scored. Elevated plus maze and open field tests were performed for anxiety-related symptoms. Striata were analyzed for neurochemical changes reflected in dopamine, 3,4-dihydroxyphenyl acetic acid, gamma-aminobutyric acid, and serotonin levels. Brain oxidative changes including glutathione and lipid peroxides were assessed. The tramadol implants (T350 and T650) reduced heroin CPP and limited naloxone-induced withdrawal symptoms. The striata showed increased levels of 3,4-dihydroxyphenyl acetic acid, and serotonin and decreased levels of gamma-aminobutyric acid and dopamine after heroin withdrawal induction, which were reversed after implanting T350 and T650. Implants restore the brain oxidative state. Nonsignificant low naloxone-induced withdrawal score after the implant was used in naive subjects indicating low abuse potential of the implants. The presented tramadol implants were effective at diminishing heroin CPP and withdrawal in rats, suggesting further investigations for application in the management of opioid withdrawal.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:先前的研究表明,个体及其同伴通常具有相似的物质使用行为,但是驱动这些相似性的机制——特别是在农村环境中,不是很了解。本分析的主要目标是:(1)确定农村吸毒人员网络(PWUD)中有助于关系周转和维持的因素,(2)确定是否同化和/或同形参与者使用注射药物,海洛因,和兴奋剂(甲基苯丙胺和可卡因),(3)评估这些机制影响网络关系和/或行为的程度,以及这些影响是否随时间变化。
    方法:在基线(2008-2010)和大约每半年进行的四次随访中,从肯塔基州东部农村的PWUD队列中收集了社会计量网络数据。随机角色导向模型(SAOMS)用于将网络结构和参与者行为建模为联合因变量,并识别与维护相关的特征。溶出度,网络联系的形成和吸毒行为的变化。
    结果:研究结果表明(1)随着时间的推移,互惠和传递关系的网络稳定性更高,(2)同质性和同化在塑造注射毒品使用(IDU)的开始和停止方面比在塑造海洛因和兴奋剂使用方面发挥更大的作用,(3)这些机制的重要性随着时间的推移似乎是一致的。
    结论:鉴于特定网络结构的稳定性以及在药物使用行为方面的同质性和同化性的证据,利用社交网络的干预措施可用于激励健康促进行为。
    Prior studies have shown that individuals and their peers often have similar substance use behaviors, but the mechanisms driving these similarities - particularly in rural settings, are not well understood. The primary objectives of this analysis are to (1) identify factors that contribute to relationship turnover and maintenance within a rural network of persons who use drugs (PWUD), (2) determine whether assimilation and/or homophily shape participants use of injection drugs, heroin, and stimulants (methamphetamine and cocaine), and (3) assess the extent that these mechanisms influence networks ties and/or behaviors and whether these effects vary across time.
    Sociometric network data were collected from a cohort of PWUD in rural Eastern Kentucky at baseline (2008-2010) and at four follow-up visits conducted approximately semiannually. Stochastic actor-oriented models (SAOMS) were used to model network structure and participant behaviors as jointly dependent variables and to identify characteristics associated with the maintenance, dissolution, and formation of network ties and changes in drug use behaviors.
    Findings suggest (1) greater network stability over time for reciprocal and transitive relationships, (2) both homophily and assimilation played a greater role in shaping injection drug use (IDU) initiation and cessation than they did in shaping heroin and stimulant use, and (3) the importance of these mechanisms appeared consistent over time.
    Given the stability of particular network structures and evidence of both homophily and assimilation with respect to drug-use behaviors, interventions that leverage social networks could be used to motivate health-promoting behaviors.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:在COVID-19大流行期间,瑞士海洛因辅助治疗的配药法律法规有所放松,允许长达7天而不是2天的长时间带回家,以减少患者接触和感染的风险。我们的研究旨在衡量这种新做法的后果。
    方法:这是一项在瑞士最大的阿片类药物激动剂治疗门诊中心进行的回顾性队列研究。接受口服二乙酰吗啡(DAM)的185名患者中有134名(72.4%)参加了该研究。
    方法:通过使用电子处方和配药软件,以及电子病历,提取以下数据来探索潜在的后果:DAM的剂量,抗生素治疗的数量,紧急住院和监禁。年龄,性别,我们对精神营养药物的处方和可注射DAM的额外处方进行了测试,以评估失去长期带回家特权的风险增加.将自延长带回家(第2期)以来的当年数据与前一年(第1期)的数据进行比较。
    结果:DAM带回家与DAM剂量的变化无关(P=0.548),急诊住院次数(P=0.186)或监禁次数(P=0.215);所有患者中有79.1%能够维持延长的带回家特权.然而,接受可注射DAM的患者的长期带回家特权显著减少.
    结论:允许患者回家口服二乙酰吗啡长达7天,因为阿片类药物使用障碍的治疗似乎不会造成任何明显的健康风险。对于大多数患者来说,这通常是可控的。然而,对于额外注射二乙酰吗啡的患者,建议仔细考虑延长带回家,因为这些患者更有可能失去回家的特权。
    OBJECTIVE: Legal regulations for dispensing in Swiss heroin-assisted treatment were relaxed during the COVID-19 pandemic, allowing prolonged take-home of up to 7 days instead of two to reduce patient contact and the risk of infection. Our study aimed to measure the consequences of this new practice.
    METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study set in Switzerland\'s largest outpatient centre for opioid agonist therapy. One hundred and thirty-four (72.4%) of the 185 patients receiving oral diacetylmorphine (DAM) participated in the study.
    METHODS: Through the utilization of electronic medication prescription and dispensing software, as well as the electronic medical record, the following data were extracted to explore the potential consequences: dose of DAM, the number of antibiotic therapies, emergency hospitalizations and incarcerations. Age, gender, prescriptions for psychotrophic drugs and additional prescription for injectable DAM were tested to assess an increased risk of losing prolonged take-home privileges. Data in the year since prolonged take-home (period 2) were compared with data from the equivalent prior year (period 1).
    RESULTS: DAM take-home was not associated with a change in DAM dose (P = 0.548), the number of emergency hospitalizations (P = 0.186) or the number of incarcerations (P = 0.215); 79.1% of all patients were able to maintain their extended take-home privileges. However, patients who had injectable DAM experienced significant reductions in their prolonged take-home privileges.
    CONCLUSIONS: Allowing patients to take home oral diacetylmorphine for up to 7 days as treatment for opioid use disorder does not appear to pose any demonstrable health risk. It is generally manageable for the large majority of patients. However, careful consideration of prolonged take-home for patients with additional injectable diacetylmorphine is recommended, as these patients are more likely to lose take-home privileges.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:成瘾是一种慢性疾病,伴随着情感和经济负担。几种神经生物学因素与阿片类药物使用障碍相关,后者是脑源性神经营养因子(BDNF)。已经发现BDNF参与突触强度的长期增强,一种被认为既能激发自然适应机制又能激发成瘾行为发展的机制。在这项研究中,我们旨在探讨BDNF血清水平与海洛因渴求之间的关系以及禁欲持续时间对它们的影响。
    方法:对来自KasrAl-Ainy精神病学和成瘾治疗医院的80名具有海洛因依赖史的受试者进行了案例研究,分为两组:A组有40名活跃的海洛因依赖受试者,而在B组中,40名1年戒除海洛因的受试者。通过成瘾严重程度指数评估成瘾的严重程度,通过简短物质渴望量表测量海洛因的渴望,并使用酶联免疫吸附测定法研究血清BDNF水平。
    结果:研究结果表明,与戒断组相比,活跃海洛因使用者的血清BDNF明显更高,这与海洛因的高渴望有关。
    结论:这项研究表明,活跃海洛因使用者与1年戒断受试者的血清BDNF水平与渴望之间存在显著正相关。这是第一项研究在1年戒断参与者中解决渴望与血清BDNF水平之间的关系。这些发现有助于确定与海洛因依赖的疾病和恢复相关的大脑变化。
    Addiction is a chronic disorder that comes with emotional and financial burdens. Several neurobiological factors were correlated to opiate-use disorder which is brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF). BDNF has been found to be involved in long-term potentiation of synaptic strength, a mechanism that is thought to motivate both natural adaption mechanisms as well as the development of addictive behavior. In this study, we aimed to address the relation between BDNF serum level and heroin craving and the effect of duration of abstinence on them.
    A case study was conducted on 80 subjects from Kasr Al-Ainy Psychiatry and Addiction Treatment Hospital with a history of heroin dependence and were divided into two groups: Group A had 40 active heroin-dependent subjects while in Group B, 40 subjects with 1-year heroin abstinence. Severity of addiction was assessed by the addiction severity index, heroin craving was measured by Brief Substance Craving Scale and serum BDNF level was investigated using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay.
    The findings show that active heroin users had significantly higher serum BDNF which is associated with high heroin craving in comparison to the abstinent group.
    This study revealed a significant positive correlation between serum BDNF levels and craving in active heroin users versus 1-year abstinent subjects. It is the first study to address the relationship between craving and serum BDNF level in a 1-year abstinent participants. These findings help to determine the brain alterations associated with illness and recovery in heroin dependence.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    大麻使用在阿片类药物使用障碍患者中很常见,但目前尚不清楚大麻使用是否与非法阿片类药物使用的增加或减少有关。为了克服以前纵向研究中发现的局限性,随访有限,作者在18至20年的多次随访中研究了大麻和海洛因使用之间的人内互惠关系.
    澳大利亚治疗结果研究(ATOS)在2001年和2002年招募了615名海洛因依赖者,并在基线后的3、12、24和36个月以及11和18-20年重新采访了他们。使用阿片类药物治疗指数在每个时间点评估海洛因和大麻的使用。进行了随机截获交叉滞后面板模型分析,以确定随后随访中大麻使用与海洛因使用之间的人内关系。
    在考虑了一系列人口统计学变量之后,其他物质使用,以及身心健康措施,基线后24个月大麻使用量增加与36个月时海洛因使用量增加显著相关(估计值=0.21,SE=0.10).此外,3个月和24个月时海洛因使用量的增加与12个月(估计值=-0.27,SE=0.09)和36个月时大麻使用量的减少显著相关(估计值=-0.22,SE=0.08).所有其他交叉滞后关联均不重要。
    尽管在早期的随访中有一些证据表明大麻和海洛因的使用之间存在重大关系,这是稀疏和不一致的时间点。总的来说,没有足够的证据表明这些物质的使用之间存在单向或双向关系.
    UNASSIGNED: Cannabis use is common among individuals with opioid use disorder, but it remains unclear whether cannabis use is associated with an increase or a reduction in illicit opioid use. To overcome limitations identified in previous longitudinal studies with limited follow-ups, the authors examined a within-person reciprocal relationship between cannabis and heroin use at several follow-ups over 18 to 20 years.
    UNASSIGNED: The Australian Treatment Outcome Study (ATOS) recruited 615 people with heroin dependence in 2001 and 2002 and reinterviewed them at 3, 12, 24, and 36 months as well as 11 and 18-20 years after baseline. Heroin and cannabis use were assessed at each time point using the Opiate Treatment Index. A random-intercept cross-lagged panel model analysis was conducted to identify within-person relationships between cannabis use and heroin use at subsequent follow-ups.
    UNASSIGNED: After accounting for a range of demographic variables, other substance use, and mental and physical health measures, an increase in cannabis use 24 months after baseline was significantly associated with an increase in heroin use at 36 months (estimate=0.21, SE=0.10). Additionally, an increase in heroin use at 3 months and 24 months was significantly associated with a decrease in cannabis use at 12 months (estimate=-0.27, SE=0.09) and 36 months (estimate=-0.22, SE=0.08). All other cross-lagged associations were not significant.
    UNASSIGNED: Although there was some evidence of a significant relationship between cannabis and heroin use at earlier follow-ups, this was sparse and inconsistent across time points. Overall, there was insufficient evidence to suggest a unidirectional or bidirectional relationship between the use of these substances.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:越来越多的证据表明,海洛因成瘾可能与三脑网络之间的功能障碍有关(默认模式网络[DMN],显著性网络[SN]和执行控制网络[ECN])。然而,三脑网络核心区域之间的糖代谢和代谢连接特征仍然未知.因此,我们假设海洛因依赖者在三脑网络内会表现出糖代谢异常,并伴有代谢连接异常.
    方法:海洛因依赖者和年龄和性别相匹配的健康对照者接受了整合的正电子发射断层扫描/磁共振成像(PET/MRI)。DMN之间的葡萄糖代谢和代谢连通性的差异,基于18F-氟代脱氧葡萄糖PET和静息状态fMRI数据分析SN和ECN。
    结果:我们在研究中纳入了36名海洛因依赖者和30名匹配的健康对照者。海洛因依赖组显示双侧前岛(AI)和下顶叶小叶(IPL)的葡萄糖代谢显着降低,右侧AI和左侧背外侧前额叶皮质(DLPFC)之间的代谢连接显着降低。美沙酮的日剂量与右AI和右IPL的葡萄糖代谢呈负相关。
    结论:结果显示,在海洛因依赖的个体中,糖代谢改变和代谢连接仅在三重脑网络内;在未来的研究中,应该研究更多的脑网络。尽管美沙酮是一种与海洛因具有相似神经生理机制的阿片类药物,美沙酮对脑代谢和代谢连通性的特定慢性影响也应在未来的研究中进行研究.
    结论:我们的研究结果表明,长期使用阿片类药物可能,在某种程度上,与SN和ECN之间的协同能力降低有关,这可能与认知控制功能障碍有关。特别是,正确的AI,这表明SN-ECN代谢连通性的低代谢和相关降低,在未来的研究中应该得到越来越多的关注。
    Increasing evidence suggests that heroin addiction may be related to the dysfunction among the triple brain network (default mode network [DMN], salience network [SN] and executive control network [ECN]). However, the characteristics of glucose metabolism and metabolic connectivity among core regions of the triple brain network remain unknown. Therefore, we hypothesized that individuals with heroin dependence would show abnormal glucose metabolism and accompanied abnormal metabolic connectivity within the triple brain network.
    Individuals with heroin dependence and healthy controls matched for age and sex underwent integrated positron emission tomography/magnetic resonance imaging (PET/MRI). Differences in glucose metabolism and metabolic connectivity among the DMN, SN and ECN were analyzed based on 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose PET and resting-state fMRI data.
    We included 36 individuals with heroin dependence and 30 matched healthy controls in our study. The heroin dependence group showed a significant reduction of glucose metabolism in the bilateral anterior insula (AI) and inferior parietal lobule (IPL), and a significantly decreased metabolic connectivity between the right AI and the left dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC). The daily dose of methadone was negatively correlated with glucose metabolism of the right AI and right IPL.
    The results revealed the glucose metabolism alterations and metabolic connectivity only within the triple brain network in individuals with heroin dependence; additional brain networks should be investigated in future studies. Although methadone is an opioid with a similar neurophysiological mechanism as heroin, the specific chronic effects of methadone on cerebral metabolism and metabolic connectivity should also be investigated in future studies.
    Our findings suggest that long-term opioid use might, to some extent, be associated with reduced synergistic ability between the SN and ECN, which may be associated with the dysfunction of cognitive control. In particular, the right AI, which showed hypometabolism and related reduction in SN-ECN metabolic connectivity, should receive increasing attention in future studies.
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  • 文章类型: Letter
    暂无摘要。
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:海洛因辅助治疗(HAT)在国际上得到了很好的证明,可以改善依赖阿片类药物的人的健康和社会结果,而传统治疗方案没有帮助。尽管有这样的证据基础,英格兰实施HAT的速度很慢。第一个在试验环境之外的服务于2019年开始,为米德尔斯堡的高危海洛因使用者提供每日两次有监督的注射医疗级海洛因(二吗啡)。本文探讨了他们的经验,包括在英国背景下进行新颖干预所需的严格定期控制的谈判。
    方法:我们在2021年9月至11月期间对米德尔斯堡HAT服务的服务提供商和用户进行了深入访谈。对每组的数据分别进行主题分析和报告。本文详细介绍了十二名依赖海洛因的男女使用HAT的经历。
    结果:参与者对HAT治疗的描述证明了监管约束与治疗提供的不确定性之间的紧张关系,以及通过提供支持性服务和可注射治疗方案获得的积极成果。对治疗效果的信心有限,资金的长寿,以及个人治疗成功的能力。停止与非法药物市场接触的强烈动机抵消了这一点。虽然出勤要求限制了日常活动,参与者也经历了来自强大的好处,通过服务提供商的持续参与与服务提供商建立的支持性债券。
    结论:米德尔斯堡HAT计划为无法或不愿意参加常规阿片类药物替代治疗的阿片类药物依赖高危人群提供了益处。本文的发现强调了服务修改以进一步增强参与度的潜力。2022年该计划的关闭禁止了米德尔斯堡社区的这一机会,但有可能为英格兰未来的HAT干预措施提供宣传和创新信息。
    Heroin-Assisted Treatment (HAT) is well evidenced internationally to improve health and social outcomes for people dependent on opioids who have not been helped by traditional treatment options. Despite this evidence base, England has been slow to implement HAT. The first service outside of a trial setting opened in 2019, providing twice-daily supervised injections of medical-grade heroin (diamorphine) to a select sample of high-risk heroin users in Middlesbrough. This paper explores their experiences, including the negotiation of the strict regularly controls required of a novel intervention in the UK context.
    We conducted in-depth interviews with service providers and users of the Middlesbrough HAT service between September and November 2021. Data from each group were thematically analysed and reported separately. This paper details the experiences of the twelve heroin dependent men and women accessing HAT.
    Participants\' accounts of HAT treatment evidenced a tension between the regulatory constraints and uncertainty of treatment provision, and the positive outcomes experienced through supportive service provision and an injectable treatment option. Limited confidence was held in treatment efficacy, longevity of funding, and personal capacity for treatment success. This was counteracted by a strong motivation to cease engagement with the illicit drug market. While attendance requirements placed restrictions on daily activities, participants also experienced benefits from strong, supportive bonds built with the service providers through their continued engagement.
    The Middlesbrough HAT programme provided benefits to a high-risk population of opioid dependent people who were unable or disinclined to participate in conventional opioid substitution treatments. The findings in this paper highlight the potential for service modifications to further enhance engagement. The closure of this programme in 2022 prohibits this opportunity for the Middlesbrough community, but holds potential to inform advocacy and innovation for future HAT interventions in England.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在过去的二十年里,美国已经卷入了日益增长的处方药流行之中。这种流行病的涟漪在缅因州尤为明显,努力减轻药物和非法阿片类药物成瘾造成的损害。在这项研究中,我们构建了阿片类药物流行的数学模型,该模型包含了对更好地理解阿片类药物滥用动态非常重要的新特征.这些特征包括人口易感性的人口统计学差异,一般传输表达式,以及药物阿片类药物和海洛因滥用的综合考虑。我们通过用缅因州的数据对其进行校准来证明该模型的有用性。模型校准伴随着敏感性和不确定性分析,以量化参数估计和预测中的潜在误差。对模型进行了分析,以确定对阿片类药物滥用者数量影响最大的机制,并找到控制阿片类药物滥用流行的有效方法。我们发现,对缅因州滥用者总数影响最大的机制是那些参与非法药物阿片类药物滥用传播的机制。因此,控制非法传播的预防策略比替代方法更有效,比如治疗。提出这些结果的希望有助于为公共政策提供最有效的干预手段。
    For the past two decades, the USA has been embroiled in a growing prescription drug epidemic. The ripples of this epidemic have been especially apparent in the state of Maine, which has fought hard to mitigate the damage caused by addiction to pharmaceutical and illicit opioids. In this study, we construct a mathematical model of the opioid epidemic incorporating novel features important to better understanding opioid abuse dynamics. These features include demographic differences in population susceptibility, general transmission expressions, and combined consideration of pharmaceutical opioid and heroin abuse. We demonstrate the usefulness of this model by calibrating it with data for the state of Maine. Model calibration is accompanied by sensitivity and uncertainty analysis to quantify potential error in parameter estimates and forecasts. The model is analyzed to determine the mechanisms most influential to the number of opioid abusers and to find effective ways of controlling opioid abuse prevalence. We found that the mechanisms most influential to the overall number of abusers in Maine are those involved in illicit pharmaceutical opioid abuse transmission. Consequently, preventative strategies that controlled for illicit transmission were more effective over alternative approaches, such as treatment. These results are presented with the hope of helping to inform public policy as to the most effective means of intervention.
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