Global Warming

全球变暖
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    地球的平均表面温度已经比工业化前的水平高出约1.1°C。到2050年超过1.5°C的平均上升将使全球适应气候变化的后果变得不可能。为了保护公众健康,麻醉提供者需要减少他们的做法对全球变暖的贡献。我们召集了一个由45个麻醉提供者组成的工作组,对可持续性有公认的兴趣,并使用三阶段改进的Delphi共识程序,就全球可实现的环境可持续麻醉原则达成共识。工作组商定了以下三个重要的基本声明:患者安全不应受到可持续麻醉实践的损害;高,中低收入国家应在提供可持续医疗保健(包括麻醉)方面相互支持;应授权医疗保健系统减少其对全球变暖的贡献。我们制定了七个基本原则,以指导麻醉提供者转向环境可持续实践,包括:药物和设备的选择;最大限度地减少浪费和资源的过度使用;以及解决麻醉师教育中的环境可持续性问题,研究,质量改进和当地医疗保健领导活动。这些变化可以用最少的物质资源和财政投资来实现,并应在发布更好的证据时进行重新评估和更新。本文分别讨论了每个原则,并指导读者进一步的重要参考资料。
    The Earth\'s mean surface temperature is already approximately 1.1°C higher than pre-industrial levels. Exceeding a mean 1.5°C rise by 2050 will make global adaptation to the consequences of climate change less possible. To protect public health, anaesthesia providers need to reduce the contribution their practice makes to global warming. We convened a Working Group of 45 anaesthesia providers with a recognised interest in sustainability, and used a three-stage modified Delphi consensus process to agree on principles of environmentally sustainable anaesthesia that are achievable worldwide. The Working Group agreed on the following three important underlying statements: patient safety should not be compromised by sustainable anaesthetic practices; high-, middle- and low-income countries should support each other appropriately in delivering sustainable healthcare (including anaesthesia); and healthcare systems should be mandated to reduce their contribution to global warming. We set out seven fundamental principles to guide anaesthesia providers in the move to environmentally sustainable practice, including: choice of medications and equipment; minimising waste and overuse of resources; and addressing environmental sustainability in anaesthetists\' education, research, quality improvement and local healthcare leadership activities. These changes are achievable with minimal material resource and financial investment, and should undergo re-evaluation and updates as better evidence is published. This paper discusses each principle individually, and directs readers towards further important references.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Do the environmental impacts inherent in national food-based dietary guidelines (FBDG) vary around the world, and, if so, how? Most previous studies that consider this question focus on a single country or compare countries\' guidelines without controlling for differences in country-level consumption patterns. To address this gap, we model the carbon footprint of the dietary guidelines from seven different countries, examine the key contributors to this, and control for consumption differences between countries.
    In this purposive sample, we obtained FBDG from national sources for Germany, India, the Netherlands, Oman, Thailand, Uruguay, and the United States. These were used to structure recommended diets using 6 food groups: protein foods, dairy, grains, fruits, vegetables, and oils/fats. To determine specific quantities of individual foods within these groups, we used data on food supplies available for human consumption for each country from the UN Food and Agriculture Organization\'s food balance sheets. The greenhouse gas emissions (GHGE) used to produce the foods in these consumption patterns were linked from our own database, constructed from an exhaustive review of the life cycle assessment literature. All guidelines were scaled to a 2000-kcal diet.
    Daily recommended amounts of dairy foods ranged from a low of 118 ml/d for Oman to a high of 710 ml/d for the US. The GHGE associated with these two recommendations were 0.17 and 1.10 kg CO2-eq/d, respectively. The GHGE associated with the protein food recommendations ranged from 0.03 kg CO2-eq/d in India  to 1.84 kg CO2-eq/d in the US, for recommended amounts of 75 g/d and 156 g/d, respectively. Overall, US recommendations had the highest carbon footprint at 3.83 kg CO2-eq/d, 4.5 times that of the recommended diet for India, which had the smallest footprint. After controlling for country-level consumption patterns by applying the US consumption pattern to all countries, US recommendations were still the highest, 19% and 47% higher than those of the Netherlands and Germany, respectively.
    Despite our common human biology, FBDG vary tremendously from one country to the next, as do the associated carbon footprints of these guidelines. Understanding the carbon footprints of different recommendations can assist in future decision-making to incorporate environmental sustainability in dietary guidance.
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  • 文章类型: Editorial
    暂无摘要。
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  • 文章类型: Historical Article
    1983年美国国家科学院报告题为“气候变化,由威廉·尼伦伯格主持的物理和社会科学家委员会撰写,是对人为造成的大气CO2水平增加的影响的早期全面审查。研究围绕委员会创建的事件,审议,随后的报告表明,报告的结论是整个委员会的共识,符合当时的科学共识。这一结果与NaomiOreskes在2008年的一篇论文相反,埃里克·M·康威,马修·辛德尔断言,这份报告与关于气候变化的日益增长的共识相矛盾,Nierenberg出于政治原因故意改变了报告的摘要和结论,从而淡化了委员会其他物理科学家的担忧。审查报告的编写情况,并在同期的科学和政治讨论中对报告进行背景分析,相反,我们展示了这是一项多年的努力,工作根据委员会各成员的专长进行分配。综合和结论明确是委员会的联合声明,与当时的其他评估一致,表达了对潜在问题的深切关注,同时由于不确定性而没有建议重大政策变化,缺乏好的选择。
    The 1983 National Academy of Sciences report entitled \"Changing Climate,\" authored by a committee of physical and social scientists chaired by William Nierenberg, was an early comprehensive review of the effects of human-caused increases in the levels of atmospheric CO2. Study of the events surrounding the committee\'s creation, deliberations, and subsequent report demonstrates that the conclusions of the report were the consensus of the entire committee and in line with the scientific consensus of the time. This result contraverts a 2008 paper in which Naomi Oreskes, Erik M. Conway, and Matthew Shindell asserted that the report contradicted a growing consensus about climate change, and that Nierenberg for political reasons deliberately altered the summary and conclusions of the report in a way that played down the concerns of the other physical scientists on the committee. Examining the production of the report and contextualizing it in contemporaneous scientific and political discussion, we instead show how it was a multi-year effort with work divided among the various members of the committee according to their expertise. The synthesis and conclusions were expressly a joint statement of the committee and were consistent with other assessments of that time expressing deep concern over the potential issues while stopping short of recommending major policy changes due to the uncertainties, and to a lack of good alternatives.
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