Delphi process

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    第二代口服H1-抗组胺药,包括Bilastine,代表成人和儿童过敏性鼻炎(包括鼻结膜炎)和慢性荨麻疹的新兴治疗方法。这项研究分析了现有证据,支持在第二代抗组胺药中使用比拉斯汀对成人和儿童的过敏性鼻炎和荨麻疹进行对症治疗。
    来自17个国家的专家就鼻炎和荨麻疹的理想治疗达成共识,并通过改进的德尔菲法测量比拉斯汀的具体作用。专家们使用五点李克特量表对总共12项声明进行了投票(1=强烈不同意;2=不同意;3=未定;4=同意;5=强烈同意)。对于4+5分数(同意或强烈同意),共识的定义设定为至少80%一致。
    所有提议的声明都达成了共识,五个陈述的一致性≥98%,七个陈述的一致性≥96%。
    对提议的陈述获得的广泛共识表明,比拉斯汀在过敏性鼻炎和荨麻疹的管理中具有重要作用。
    UNASSIGNED: Second-generation oral H1-antihistamines, including bilastine, represent the emerging treatments of allergic rhinitis (including rhinoconjunctivitis) and chronic urticaria in both adults and children. This study analyses available evidence supporting the use of bilastine amongst second-generation antihistamines for the symptomatic treatment of allergic rhinitis and urticaria in adults and children.
    UNASSIGNED: Consensus amongst experts from 17 countries on the ideal treatment of rhinitis and urticaria, and the specific role of bilastine was measured by means of a modified Delphi process. A total of 12 statements were voted on by the experts using a five-point Likert scale (1 = strongly disagree; 2 = disagree; 3 = undecided; 4 = agree; 5 = strongly agree). The definition of consensus was set at a minimum of 80% concordance for 4+5 scores (agree or strongly agree).
    UNASSIGNED: All proposed statements reached consensus, with a concordance of ≥98% for five statements and ≥96% for seven.
    UNASSIGNED: The wide consensus obtained for the proposed statements suggests a prominent role for bilastine in the management of allergic rhinitis and urticaria.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    心脏骤停研究没有像其他主题的研究那样受到科学关注。这里,我们旨在从一个国际早期职业研究小组的角度确定心脏骤停研究障碍.
    2022年心脏骤停登记研究国际大师班的与会者陪同在Utstein举行的全球院外心脏骤停登记合作会议,挪威,并使用适应的混合名义组技术来获得多样化和全面的观点。使用基于网络的问卷确定障碍,并在面对面的后续会议上进行讨论和排名。在讨论和澄清每个回答后,障碍进行了两轮分类和排名。每位参与者从1(最不显著)到5(最显著)得分。
    九位参与者产生了36个回答,形成七大类心脏骤停研究障碍。“分配的研究时间”在两轮中均排名第一。\"科学环境\",包括适当的指导和支持系统,在最终排名中排名第二。\"资源\",包括资金和基础设施,排名第三。“心脏骤停研究数据的获取和可用性”是排名第四的障碍。这包括心脏骤停登记处的数据,医疗器械,和临床研究。最后,“独特性”是排名第五的障碍。这包括道德问题,患者招募挑战,和心脏骤停的独特特征。
    通过确定心脏骤停研究障碍并提出解决方案,这项研究可以作为利益相关者专注于帮助早期职业研究人员克服这些障碍的工具,从而为未来的研究铺平了道路。
    UNASSIGNED: Cardiac arrest research has not received as much scientific attention as research on other topics. Here, we aimed to identify cardiac arrest research barriers from the perspective of an international group of early career researchers.
    UNASSIGNED: Attendees of the 2022 international masterclass on cardiac arrest registry research accompanied the Global Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Registry collaborative meeting in Utstein, Norway, and used an adapted hybrid nominal group technique to obtain a diverse and comprehensive perspective. Barriers were identified using a web-based questionnaire and discussed and ranked during an in-person follow-up meeting. After each response was discussed and clarified, barriers were categorized and ranked over two rounds. Each participant scored these from 1 (least significant) to 5 (most significant).
    UNASSIGNED: Nine participants generated 36 responses, forming seven overall categories of cardiac arrest research barriers. \"Allocated research time\" was ranked first in both rounds. \"Scientific environment\", including appropriate mentorship and support systems, ranked second in the final ranking. \"Resources\", including funding and infrastructure, ranked third. \"Access to and availability of cardiac arrest research data\" was the fourth-ranked barrier. This included data from the cardiac arrest registries, medical devices, and clinical studies. Finally, \"uniqueness\" was the fifth-ranked barrier. This included ethical issues, patient recruitment challenges, and unique characteristics of cardiac arrest.
    UNASSIGNED: By identifying cardiac arrest research barriers and suggesting solutions, this study may act as a tool for stakeholders to focus on helping early career researchers overcome these barriers, thus paving the road for future research.
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  • 文章类型: Review
    背景:使用护理敏感性质量指标(QI)是监测养老院(NHs)护理质量的一种方法。这项研究的目的是为挪威NHs制定对护理敏感的QI的共识列表。
    方法:叙述性文献综述,然后是非面对面的,两轮,进行了六步改进的德尔菲调查。成立了一个由五人组成的项目小组,以从最低数据集(2.0)(MDS)和国际长期护理机构居民评估工具(interRAILTCF)中选择的24个QI的初步列表中起草护理敏感的QI列表。我们包括科学专家(研究人员),临床专家(医疗保健专业人员在NHs),和经验专家(NH居民的近亲)。专家们用七分李克特量表分两轮对护理敏感的QI进行了评分。共识是基于中值和分散水平。对四组进行了分析:1)所有专家,2)科学专家,3)临床专家,4)有经验的专家。
    结果:项目组制定了20个护理敏感QIs列表。从MDS/interRAILTCF中选择了19个QI,从挪威质量评估系统IPLOS(“与个人护理需求相关的统计数据”)中选择了一个(“系统药物审查”)。在第一轮和第二轮Delphi中,44名专家(13名研究人员,17名医疗保健专业人员,14名近亲)和28名专家(8名研究人员,10名医疗保健专业人员,10名近亲)参加了,分别。最终共识列表包括16个护理敏感QIs,按“所有专家组”的顺序排列:1)系统药物审查,2)压疮,3)行为症状,4)疼痛,5)脱水,6)口腔/牙齿健康问题,7)尿路感染,8)粪便嵌塞,9)抑郁症,10)使用抑制行动自由的辅助手段,11)参与感兴趣的活动,12)参加社会活动,13)日常生活活动减少,14)减肥,15)跌倒,和16)不使用助听器的听力损失。
    结论:多学科专家能够就16个护理敏感QIs达成共识。这项研究的结果可用于在挪威NHs中实施QIs,这可以提高护理质量。
    BACKGROUND: Use of nursing-sensitive quality indicators (QIs) is one way to monitor the quality of care in nursing homes (NHs). The aim of this study was to develop a consensus list of nursing-sensitive QIs for Norwegian NHs.
    METHODS: A narrative literature review followed by a non-in-person, two-round, six-step modified Delphi survey was conducted. A five-member project group was established to draw up a list of nursing-sensitive QIs from a preliminary list of 24 QIs selected from Minimum Data Set (2.0) (MDS) and the international Resident Assessment Instrument for Long-Term Care Facilities (interRAI LTCF). We included scientific experts (researchers), clinical experts (healthcare professionals in NHs), and experts of experience (next-of-kin of NH residents). The experts rated nursing-sensitive QIs in two rounds on a seven-point Likert scale. Consensus was based on median value and level of dispersion. Analyses were conducted for four groups: 1) all experts, 2) scientific experts, 3) clinical experts, and 4) experts of experience.
    RESULTS: The project group drew up a list of 20 nursing-sensitive QIs. Nineteen QIs were selected from MDS/interRAI LTCF and one (\'systematic medication review\') from the Norwegian quality assessment system IPLOS (\'Statistics linked to individual needs of care\'). In the first and second Delphi round, 44 experts (13 researchers, 17 healthcare professionals, 14 next-of-kin) and 28 experts (8 researchers, 10 healthcare professionals, 10 next-of-kin) participated, respectively. The final consensus list consisted of 16 nursing-sensitive QIs, which were ranked in this order by the \'all expert group\': 1) systematic medication review, 2) pressure ulcers, 3) behavioral symptoms, 4) pain, 5) dehydration, 6) oral/dental health problems, 7) urinary tract infection, 8) fecal impaction, 9) depression, 10) use of aids that inhibit freedom of movement, 11) participation in activities of interest, 12) participation in social activities, 13) decline in activities of daily living, 14) weight loss, 15) falls, and 16) hearing loss without the use of hearing aids.
    CONCLUSIONS: Multidisciplinary experts were able to reach consensus on 16 nursing-sensitive QIs. The results from this study can be used to implement QIs in Norwegian NHs, which can improve the quality of care.
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  • 文章类型: Multicenter Study
    背景:反向肩关节置换术(RSA)后的不稳定是最常见的并发症之一,仍然是临床挑战。目前的证据受到样本量小的限制,单中心,或单植入方法限制了普遍性。我们试图确定RSA术后脱位的发生率和患者相关的危险因素。使用一个大的,具有不同植入物的多中心队列。
    方法:回顾性研究,多中心研究涉及美国15个机构和24个ASES成员。纳入标准包括在2013年1月至2019年6月期间接受原发性或修订RSA的患者,并进行至少3个月的随访。所有定义,纳入标准,并使用德尔菲法确定收集的变量,涉及所有主要研究者的迭代调查过程,要求至少75%的共识被认为是每个研究元素的方法的最终组成部分.脱位被定义为肱骨组件和关节球之间的关节完全丧失,并且需要影像学检查确认。进行二元逻辑回归以确定RSA术后脱位的患者预测因素。
    结果:我们确定了6,621例符合纳入标准的患者,平均随访时间为19.4个月(范围3-84)。研究人群为40%的男性,平均年龄为71.0岁(范围23-101)。整个队列的脱位率为2.1%(n=138),1.6%(n=99)的主要注册会计师,修订RSAs为6.5%(n=39)(P<.001)。脱位发生在手术后的中位数为7.0周(IQR3.0-36.0),创伤后占23.0%(n=32)。与其他诊断的患者相比,主要诊断为肩袖完整的肱骨骨关节炎的患者的整体脱位率较低(0.8%vs.2.5%;P<.001)。患者相关因素独立预测脱位,按照效果的大小,在影像学证实的脱位之前有术后半脱位的病史(赔率比[OR]19.52,P<.001),骨折不愈合的主要诊断(OR6.53,P<.001),翻修关节成形术(OR5.61,P<.001),肩袖疾病的主要诊断(OR2.64,P<.001),男性(OR2.21,P<.001),手术时无肩胛骨下修复(OR1.95,P=.001)。
    结论:与脱位相关的最重要的患者相关因素是术后半脱位病史,并且主要诊断为骨折不愈合。值得注意的是,骨关节炎的RSAs显示脱位率低于肩袖疾病的RSAs。这些数据可用于在RSA之前优化患者咨询,尤其是在接受翻修RSA的男性患者中。
    BACKGROUND: Instability after reverse shoulder arthroplasty (RSA) is one of the most frequent complications and remains a clinical challenge. Current evidence is limited by small sample size, single-center, or single-implant methodologies that limit generalizability. We sought to determine the incidence and patient-related risk factors for dislocation after RSA, using a large, multicenter cohort with varying implants.
    METHODS: A retrospective, multicenter study was performed involving 15 institutions and 24 American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons members across the United States. Inclusion criteria consisted of patients undergoing primary or revision RSA between January 2013 and June 2019 with minimum 3-month follow-up. All definitions, inclusion criteria, and collected variables were determined using the Delphi method, an iterative survey process involving all primary investigators requiring at least 75% consensus to be considered a final component of the methodology for each study element. Dislocations were defined as complete loss of articulation between the humeral component and the glenosphere and required radiographic confirmation. Binary logistic regression was performed to determine patient predictors of postoperative dislocation after RSA.
    RESULTS: We identified 6621 patients who met inclusion criteria with a mean follow-up of 19.4 months (range: 3-84 months). The study population was 40% male with an average age of 71.0 years (range: 23-101 years). The rate of dislocation was 2.1% (n = 138) for the whole cohort, 1.6% (n = 99) for primary RSAs, and 6.5% (n = 39) for revision RSAs (P < .001). Dislocations occurred at a median of 7.0 weeks (interquartile range: 3.0-36.0 weeks) after surgery with 23.0% (n = 32) after a trauma. Patients with a primary diagnosis of glenohumeral osteoarthritis with an intact rotator cuff had an overall lower rate of dislocation than patients with other diagnoses (0.8% vs. 2.5%; P < .001). Patient-related factors independently predictive of dislocation, in order of the magnitude of effect, were a history of postoperative subluxations before radiographically confirmed dislocation (odds ratio [OR]: 19.52, P < .001), primary diagnosis of fracture nonunion (OR: 6.53, P < .001), revision arthroplasty (OR: 5.61, P < .001), primary diagnosis of rotator cuff disease (OR: 2.64, P < .001), male sex (OR: 2.21, P < .001), and no subscapularis repair at surgery (OR: 1.95, P = .001).
    CONCLUSIONS: The strongest patient-related factors associated with dislocation were a history of postoperative subluxations and having a primary diagnosis of fracture nonunion. Notably, RSAs for osteoarthritis showed lower rates of dislocations than RSAs for rotator cuff disease. These data can be used to optimize patient counseling before RSA, particularly in male patients undergoing revision RSA.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:本研究的目的是设计和验证一个新的检查表和标准化方案,用于评估新生儿生命支持(NLS)期间提供者的表现。
    方法:我们邀请了12位新生儿科专家参加一个三步的德尔菲过程。他们对新设计的评估工具的每个项目的重要性进行了评估,以评估参与者在新生儿生活支持期间的独立表现,从1到5(1=最低;5=最高)的数字评分量表,并能够给出额外的评论。在第三轮后达到平均评级低于4的所有项目都被删除。为了检查表的可靠性,我们计算了评分者间的可靠性。
    结果:使用标准化的Delphi过程,我们根据专家的评级和评论修改了最初的检查表。最终评估工具包括38个项目,涵盖NLS期间的所有相关步骤。所有项目的平均专家评级为4.40。评估者之间的可靠性在第一稿(κ=0.80)以及清单的最终稿(κ=0.73)中显示出两个评估者之间的实质性共识。
    结论:我们设计了一种可行的评估工具来评估NLS期间的表现。我们使用Delphi验证过程并计算了评分者间的可靠性,证明了检查表的有效性和合理性。
    BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to design and validate a new checklist and standardized scenario for assessing providers\' performance during Newborn Life Support (NLS).
    METHODS: We invited twelve experts in Neonatology to take part in a three-step Delphi process. They rated the importance of each item of a newly designed assessment tool to evaluate participants\' performance during Newborn Life Support independently on a numeric rating scale from 1 to 5 (1 = lowest; 5 = highest) and were able to give additional comments. All items achieving a mean rating below four after the third round were deleted. For the reliability of the checklist, we calculated interrater reliability.
    RESULTS: Using a standardized Delphi process, we revised the initial checklist according to the experts\' ratings and comments. The final assessment tool includes 38 items covering all relevant steps during NLS. The mean expert rating of all items was 4.40. Interrater reliability showed substantial agreement between the two raters in the first draft (κ = 0.80) as well as in the final draft of the checklist (κ = 0.73).
    CONCLUSIONS: We designed a feasible assessment tool for evaluating performance during NLS. We proved the checklist to be valid and reasonable using a Delphi validation process and calculating interrater reliability.
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  • 文章类型: Multicenter Study
    背景:患者和植入物相关变量都与反向肩关节置换术后肩峰骨折(ASF)和肩胛骨骨折(SSF)的发生率有关;然而,以前的研究没有对包括肩袖完整的原发性肱骨关节炎(GHOA)在内的各种适应症的风险特征进行表征或区分,肩袖关节病(CTA),和巨大的不可修复的肩袖撕裂(MCT)。这项研究的目的是确定预测术前诊断和肩袖状态的累积ASF/SSF风险的患者因素。
    方法:2013年1月至2019年6月期间连续接受RSA的患者来自15个机构,包括24名美国肩肘外科医师(ASES)成员,GHOA的术前诊断,纳入CTA和MCT进行研究。纳入标准,定义,通过迭代Delphi过程确定在多变量模型中纳入患者因素以预测ASF/SSF的累积风险。CTA和MCT组合并分析。共识被定义为贡献者之间超过75%的共识。仅包括经临床和影像学相关性证实的ASF/SSF用于分析。
    结果:我们的研究队列包括4764例术前诊断为GHOA的患者,CTA,或MCT,最少随访3个月(范围:3-84)。累积应力性骨折的发生率为4.1%(n=196)。GHOA组的应力性骨折发生率为2.1%(n=34/1637),而CTA/MCT组的发生率为5.2%(n=162/3127)(P<0.001)。炎性关节炎的存在(OR2.90,95%CI1.08-7.78;P=0.035)是GHOA应力性骨折的唯一预测因素,与炎性关节炎相比(OR1.86,95%CI1.19-2.89;P=0.016),女性(OR1.81,95%CI1.20-2.72;P=0.007),CTA/MCT队列中的骨质疏松症(OR1.56,95%CI1.02-2.37;P=0.003)。
    结论:术前诊断GHOA与CTA/MCT患者相比,RSA术后发生应力性骨折的风险不同。虽然肩袖完整性可能对ASF/SSF有保护作用,大约1/46例接受RSA合并原发性GHOA的患者会出现这种并发症,主要受炎性关节炎病史的影响。通过不同的诊断了解接受RSA的患者的风险状况在咨询中很重要,期望管理,和外科医生的治疗。
    BACKGROUND: Both patient and implant related variables have been implicated in the incidence of acromial (ASF) and scapular spine fractures (SSF) following reverse shoulder arthroplasty (RSA); however, previous studies have not characterized nor differentiated risk profiles for varying indications including primary glenohumeral arthritis with intact rotator cuff (GHOA), rotator cuff arthropathy (CTA), and massive irreparable rotator cuff tear (MCT). The purpose of this study was to determine patient factors predictive of cumulative ASF/SSF risk for varying preoperative diagnosis and rotator cuff status.
    METHODS: Patients consecutively receiving RSA between January 2013 and June 2019 from 15 institutions comprising 24 members of the American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons (ASES) with primary, preoperative diagnoses of GHOA, CTA and MCT were included for study. Inclusion criteria, definitions, and inclusion of patient factors in a multivariate model to predict cumulative risk of ASF/SSF were determined through an iterative Delphi process. The CTA and MCT groups were combined for analysis. Consensus was defined as greater than 75% agreement amongst contributors. Only ASF/SSF confirmed by clinical and radiographic correlation were included for analysis.
    RESULTS: Our study cohort included 4764 patients with preoperative diagnoses of GHOA, CTA, or MCT with minimum follow-up of 3 months (range: 3-84). The incidence of cumulative stress fracture was 4.1% (n = 196). The incidence of stress fracture in the GHOA cohort was 2.1% (n = 34/1637) compared to 5.2% (n = 162/3127) (P < .001) in the CTA/MCT cohort. Presence of inflammatory arthritis (odds ratio [OR] 2.90, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08-7.78; P = .035) was the sole predictive factor of stress fractures in GHOA, compared with inflammatory arthritis (OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.19-2.89; P = .016), female sex (OR 1.81, 95% CI 1.20-2.72; P = .007), and osteoporosis (OR 1.56, 95% CI 1.02-2.37; P = .003) in the CTA/MCT cohort.
    CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative diagnosis of GHOA has a different risk profile for developing stress fractures after RSA than patients with CTA/MCT. Though rotator cuff integrity is likely protective against ASF/SSF, approximately 1/46 patients receiving RSA with primary GHOA will have this complication, primarily influenced by a history of inflammatory arthritis. Understanding risk profiles of patients undergoing RSA by varying diagnosis is important in counseling, expectation management, and treatment by surgeons.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    过敏性鼻结膜炎和慢性荨麻疹是常见的组胺驱动的疾病,对认知功能产生有害影响,睡眠,日常活动和生活质量。非镇静第二代H1-抗组胺药是首选的一线治疗。该研究的目的是确定第二代H1抗组胺药中bilastine在治疗不同年龄患者的过敏性鼻结膜炎和荨麻疹中的作用。
    进行了一项国际Delphi研究,以评估来自17个欧洲和欧洲以外国家的专家在三个主要主题上的共识:1)疾病负担;2)当前的治疗方案;3)第二代抗组胺药中比拉斯汀的具体特征。
    这里,我们介绍了27个共识声明中的15个所获得的结果,专注于疾病负担,第二代抗组胺药和比拉斯汀的作用。4项陈述的一致率≥98%,6名≥96%,3名≥94%,2名≥90%。
    获得的高度共识表明,来自世界各地的专家对过敏性鼻结膜炎和慢性荨麻疹的负担有了广泛的认识,并反映了对第二代抗组胺药的作用的广泛共识。
    Allergic rhinoconjunctivitis and chronic urticaria are common histamine-driven diseases, exerting detrimental effects on cognitive functions, sleep, daily activities, and quality of life. Non-sedating second-generation H1-antihistamines are the first-line treatment of choice. Aim of the study was to define the role of bilastine among second-generation H1-antihistamines in the treatment of allergic rhinoconjunctivitis and urticaria in patients of different ages.
    An international Delphi study was carried out to assess consensus among experts from 17 European and extra-European countries on three main topics: 1) Burden of disease; 2) Current treatment options; 3) Specific characteristics of bilastine among second-generation antihistamines.
    Here, we present the results obtained for a selection of 15 out of 27 consensus statements, focused on disease burden, role of second-generation antihistamines and bilastine profile. The rate of concordance was ≥98% for 4 statements, ≥ 96% for 6, ≥ 94% for 3, and ≥90% for 2.
    The high degree of agreement obtained suggests a wide awareness of the burden of allergic rhinoconjunctivitis and chronic urticaria among experts from all over the world and reflects a broad consensus on the role of second-generation antihistamines in general and of bilastine in particular for their management.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    样本量计算是设计随机对照试验的重要步骤。对于比较对照组和干预组的试验,结果是二进制的,样本量计算需要选择对照组和干预组的预期事件发生率的值(效应大小),和错误率。TriAls指南中的差异启发建议效果大小应该既现实,以及对利益相关者群体的临床重要性。高估效应大小会导致样本量太小,无法可靠地检测真实的群体效应大小,这又导致实现的功率低。在这项研究中,我们使用Delphi方法就Balanced-2的最小临床重要效应大小达成共识,Balanced-2是一项随机对照试验,比较了脑电图引导下的“轻度”至“深度”全身麻醉对接受大手术的老年人术后谵妄发生率的影响。
    使用电子调查进行了德尔菲轮。对两个利益相关者进行了调查:来自奥克兰市医院普通成人部门的专业麻醉师,新西兰(第1组),和具有临床研究专长的专业麻醉师,来自澳大利亚和新西兰麻醉师学院的临床试验网络(第2组)。总共邀请了187名麻醉师参加(第1组81名,第2组106名)。总结来自每个Delphi轮的结果并在随后的轮中呈现,直到达成共识(>70%一致)。
    第一次Delphi调查的总体响应率为47%(88/187)。两个利益相关者组的中位数最小临床重要效应大小为5.0%(四分位距:5.0-10.0)。第二次Delphi调查的总应答率为51%(95/187)。第二轮后达成共识,因为第1组74%的受访者和第2组82%的受访者同意中值效应大小.两组的联合最小临床重要效应大小为5.0%(四分位距:3.0-6.5)。
    这项研究表明,使用Delphi过程调查利益相关者群体是定义最小临床重要效应大小的简单方法,这有助于样本量计算,并确定随机研究是否可行。
    The sample size calculation is an important step in designing randomised controlled trials. For a trial comparing a control and an intervention group, where the outcome is binary, the sample size calculation requires choosing values for the anticipated event rates in both the control and intervention groups (the effect size), and the error rates. The Difference ELicitation in TriAls guidance recommends that the effect size should be both realistic, and clinically important to stakeholder groups. Overestimating the effect size leads to sample sizes that are too small to reliably detect the true population effect size, which in turn results in low achieved power. In this study, we use the Delphi approach to gain consensus on what the minimum clinically important effect size is for Balanced-2, a randomised controlled trial comparing processed electroencephalogram-guided \'light\' to \'deep\' general anaesthesia on the incidence of postoperative delirium in older adults undergoing major surgery.
    Delphi rounds were conducted using electronic surveys. Surveys were administered to two stakeholder groups: specialist anaesthetists from a general adult department in Auckland City Hospital, New Zealand (Group 1), and specialist anaesthetists with expertise in clinical research, identified from the Australian and New Zealand College of Anaesthetist\'s Clinical Trials Network (Group 2). A total of 187 anaesthetists were invited to participate (81 from Group 1 and 106 from Group 2). Results from each Delphi round were summarised and presented in subsequent rounds until consensus was reached (>70% agreement).
    The overall response rate for the first Delphi survey was 47% (88/187). The median minimum clinically important effect size was 5.0% (interquartile range: 5.0-10.0) for both stakeholder groups. The overall response rate for the second Delphi survey was 51% (95/187). Consensus was reached after the second round, as 74% of respondents in Group 1 and 82% of respondents in Group 2 agreed with the median effect size. The combined minimum clinically important effect size across both groups was 5.0% (interquartile range: 3.0-6.5).
    This study demonstrates that surveying stakeholder groups using a Delphi process is a simple way of defining a minimum clinically important effect size, which aids the sample size calculation and determines whether a randomised study is feasible.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:自1969年以来,英国就有一项诊断发育性髋关节发育不良(DDH)的国家筛查计划。然而,筛查和治疗的各个方面仍然存在争议.世界各地的筛查方案千差万别,在英国,筛查方法和治疗途径存在显著差异。我们报告了英国儿童骨科手术协会(BSCOS)试图确定全国范围内DDH管理共识的结果,以统一治疗并提出筛查方法。
    方法:在BSCOS成员中进行了Delphi共识研究。指导小组就三个月以下儿童的DDH管理方面发表了声明,即筛查和监测(15个问题),超声波扫描技术(八个问题),开始治疗(19个问题),用夹板治疗期间的护理(十个问题),在质量上,治理,和研究(八个问题)。使用了两轮德尔菲程序,并在指导小组的最后会议上编写了共识文件。
    结果:共有60份陈述在第一轮中由128名临床医生和第二轮中由132名临床医生进行了分级。第一轮60份声明中有30份达成共识,另有12份达成共识。这在共识声明中进行了总结,并提炼成流程图以指导临床实践。
    结论:我们确定了一个医学领域的共识,这个领域有很长的争议和不同的实践。没有一个领域的共识是基于高质量的证据。因此,该文件是指导临床实践的框架,可以在其上开发高质量的临床试验。引用本文:骨关节J2023;105-B(2):209-214。
    A national screening programme has existed in the UK for the diagnosis of developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) since 1969. However, every aspect of screening and treatment remains controversial. Screening programmes throughout the world vary enormously, and in the UK there is significant variation in screening practice and treatment pathways. We report the results of an attempt by the British Society for Children\'s Orthopaedic Surgery (BSCOS) to identify a nationwide consensus for the management of DDH in order to unify treatment and suggest an approach for screening.
    A Delphi consensus study was performed among the membership of BSCOS. Statements were generated by a steering group regarding aspects of the management of DDH in children aged under three months, namely screening and surveillance (15 questions), the technique of ultrasound scanning (eight questions), the initiation of treatment (19 questions), care during treatment with a splint (ten questions), and on quality, governance, and research (eight questions). A two-round Delphi process was used and a consensus document was produced at the final meeting of the steering group.
    A total of 60 statements were graded by 128 clinicians in the first round and 132 in the second round. Consensus was reached on 30 out of 60 statements in the first round and an additional 12 in the seond. This was summarized in a consensus statement and distilled into a flowchart to guide clinical practice.
    We identified agreement in an area of medicine that has a long history of controversy and varied practice. None of the areas of consensus are based on high-quality evidence. This document is thus a framework to guide clinical practice and on which high-quality clinical trials can be developed.Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2023;105-B(2):209-214.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    上、下呼吸道反复感染具有重要的临床和经济影响,可以通过适当的预防措施来减少,包括使用免疫调节剂,例如OM-85,被证明对成人和儿童都是有效和安全的。虽然OM-85可用于预防呼吸道感染,它在临床实践中仍未得到充分利用。为了评估成人和儿童对复发性呼吸道感染疾病负担的认识水平,并评估对该疾病的预防和治疗方法的共识水平,包括使用免疫调节剂,进行了Delphi研究。任命了一个由六名呼吸道感染领域专家组成的委员会,以阐述一系列涵盖四个主要主题的声明(疾病,预防,OM-85和未来战略),此后由30名专家组成的小组投票通过。结果表明,预防被一致认为是减轻疾病负担最重要的干预措施,使用免疫调节来提高疫苗接种的有效性越来越受到临床医生的青睐。在这方面,OM-85被认为是目前研究最多的免疫调节剂,其有效性和安全性使其成为优化成人和儿童复发性呼吸道感染管理的有价值的工具。特别是,OM-85和流感疫苗的联合使用被认为是一种有效和安全的方法,可以改进当前的预防策略,从而减轻反复呼吸道感染的负担.
    Recurrent infections of upper and lower respiratory tract have an important clinical and economic impact, which can be reduced through appropriate preventive measures, including the use of immunomodulating agents, such as OM-85, which proved to be effective and safe in both adults and children. Although OM-85 can be useful for the prevention of respiratory tract infections, it is still underused in clinical practice. In order to evaluate the level of awareness of the disease burden of recurrent respiratory infections in adults and children and to assess the level of agreement on the prophylactic and therapeutic approach to the disease, including the use of immunomodulants, a Delphi study was performed. A board of six experts in the field of respiratory infections was appointed to elaborate a series of statements covering four main topics (disease, prevention, OM-85, and future strategies), which were thereafter voted by a panel of 30 experts. Results showed that prevention is unanimously recognized as the most important intervention to reduce disease burden, and the use of immunomodulation to improve the effectiveness of vaccination is gaining increasing favor among clinicians. In this respect, OM-85 is recognized as the most studied immunomodulating agent currently available, whose efficacy and safety make it a valuable tool to optimize the management of recurrent respiratory infections in both adults and children. In particular, the combined use of OM-85 and influenza vaccine was recognized as an effective and safe approach to improve the current prevention strategies in order to reduce the burden of recurrent respiratory infections.
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