背景:HIV/AIDS是一种慢性疾病,在全球范围内挑战公共卫生,并导致人类发病和死亡。这项研究的主要目的是调查2016年1月至2019年12月在Yabelo总医院成年HIV/AIDS患者中CD4细胞计数和生存至死亡时间的纵向变化的决定因素。这项研究的智力差距集中在研究领域,这意味着与联合建模相关的研究在Borena的牧民社区中不存在。
方法:这项研究涉及293名感染艾滋病毒的成人,可以从记录的患者图表数据中收集,研究设计是回顾性队列设计。这项研究使用了Cox比例风险模型,线性混合效应模型,和一个关节模型,这是两个模型过程的组合。
结果:联合模型显示,纵向CD4细胞计数与生存时间显着相关(p值=0.0253)。协变量,如访问时间,年龄,体重,教育状况,ART坚持,和功能状态是与HIV患者CD4细胞计数平均变化相关的统计学显著因素。世卫组织阶段,教育状况,居住地,TB,家族史,机会性感染疾病对HIV患者的生存时间有显著影响。
结论:估计的关联参数为负值,这表明两个结果都是负相关的,和更高的CD4细胞计数值与更好的生存率相关。
BACKGROUND: HIV/AIDS is a chronic disease that challenges public health worldwide and causes morbidity and mortality in humans. The main purpose of this study was to investigate the determinants of longitudinal changes in CD4 cell count and survival time to death among HIV/AIDS patients as adults from January 2016 to December 2019 at Yabelo General Hospital. The intellectual gap in this study was focused on the study area, which means that the study related to joint modeling doesn\'t exist in the pastoralist community of Borena.
METHODS: This study involved 293 adult HIV-infected adults that could be collected from the recorded patient chart data, and the study design is a retrospective cohort design. The study used a Cox proportional hazard model, a linear mixed effect model, and a joint model, which is the combination of both model processes.
RESULTS: The joint model showed that longitudinal CD4 cell count is significantly associated with survival time (p-value = 0.0253). Covariates such as visiting time, age, weight, educational status, ART adherence, and functional status were statistically significant factors associated with mean changes in the CD4 cell count of HIV patients. WHO stage, educational status, place of residence, TB, family history, and opportunistic infection disease had a significant effect on the survival time of HIV patients.
CONCLUSIONS: The estimated association parameter is a negative value, which indicates both outcomes are negatively associated, and higher values of the CD4 cell count are associated with better survival.