PDF(Pubmed)
Abstract：
Evidence linking past experiences of worsening health with support for radical political views has generated concerns about the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic. The influenza pandemic that began in 1918 had a devastating health impact: 4.1 million Italians contracted influenza and about 500 000 died. We tested the hypothesis that deaths from the 1918 influenza pandemic contributed to the rise of Fascism in Italy. To provide a \"thicker\" interpretation of these patterns, we applied historical text mining to the newspaper Il Popolo d\'Italia (Mussolini\'s newspaper). Our observations were consistent with evidence from other contexts that worsening mortality rates can fuel radical politics. Unequal impacts of pandemics may contribute to political polarization. (Am J Public Health. 2022;112(2):242-247. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2021.306574).
摘要：
将过去健康状况恶化的经验与对激进政治观点的支持联系起来的证据引起了人们对COVID-19大流行后果的担忧。1918年开始的流感大流行对健康造成了毁灭性的影响：410万意大利人感染了流感，约50万人死亡。我们检验了1918年流感大流行导致法西斯主义在意大利兴起的假设。为了提供对这些模式的“更厚”的解释，我们将历史文本挖掘应用于意大利报纸IlPopolod'Italia（墨索里尼报纸）。我们的观察结果与其他情况下的证据一致，即死亡率恶化可能助长激进政治。大流行的不平等影响可能导致政治两极分化。（AmJ公共卫生。2022年；112（2）：242-247。https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2021.306574)。
