stroke-associated pneumonia

卒中相关性肺炎
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    卒中相关性肺炎(SAP)通常会使卒中复杂化,并与不良预后有关。甘油三酯,总胆固醇,体重指数(TCBI)是一种新的简单计算的营养指数。本研究旨在调查TCBI与SAP发病率之间的关系。以及它的预测价值。
    9162例急性缺血性卒中患者分为SAP组和非SAP组。TCBI分为三层:T1,TCBI<948.33;T2,TCBI948.33-1647.15;T3,TCBI>1647.15。采用二元Logistic回归分析确定TCBI水平与SAP发病率之间的关系。此外,限制性三次样条(RCS)分析用于评估TCBI对SAP风险的影响.
    SAP组的TCBI明显低于非SAP组(P<0.001)。Logistic回归模型显示,使用T3图层作为参考,T1层的SAP患病率最高(OR=2.962,95%CI:1.600-5.485,P=0.001)。混杂因素得到控制。RCS模型发现TCBI与SAP呈线性关系(非线性P=0.490,总体P=0.004)。此外,将TCBI纳入A2DS2(年龄,心房颤动,吞咽困难,性别,和严重性)模型大大提高了初始模型的预测准确性。
    低TCBI与SAP的高风险相关。在临床实践中,TCBI已显示出对SAP的预测价值,有助于SAP的早期干预和治疗。
    UNASSIGNED: Stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) usually complicates stroke and is linked to adverse prognoses. Triglycerides, total cholesterol, and body weight index (TCBI) is a new and simple calculated nutrition index. This study seeks to investigate the association between TCBI and SAP incidence, along with its predictive value.
    UNASSIGNED: Nine hundred and sixty-two patients with acute ischemic stroke were divided into SAP group and Non-SAP group. The TCBI was divided into three layers: T1, TCBI < 948.33; T2, TCBI 948.33-1647.15; T3, TCBI > 1647.15. Binary Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the relationship between TCBI levels and the incidence of SAP. Furthermore, restricted cubic splines (RCS) analysis was utilized to evaluate the influence of TCBI on the risk of SAP.
    UNASSIGNED: TCBI in the SAP group was markedly lower compared to that in the Non-SAP group (P < 0.001). The Logistic regression model revealed that, using T3 layer as the reference, T1 layer had the highest risk for SAP prevalence (OR = 2.962, 95% CI: 1.600-5.485, P = 0.001), with confounding factors being controlled. The RCS model found that TCBI had a linear relationship with SAP (P for nonlinear = 0.490, P for overall = 0.004). Moreover, incorporating TCBI into the A2DS2 (Age, atrial fibrillation, dysphagia, sex, and severity) model substantially enhanced the initial model\'s predictive accuracy.
    UNASSIGNED: Low TCBI was associated with a higher risk of SAP. In clinical practice, TCBI has shown predictive value for SAP, contributing to early intervention and treatment of SAP.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:Futile再灌注(FR)正在成为急性缺血性卒中(AIS)患者血管内血栓切除术治疗的主要挑战。这项研究旨在确定接受血管内血栓切除术的AIS患者的低密度脂蛋白胆固醇(LDL-C)水平与FR风险之间的剂量反应关系,并研究潜在的介质。
    方法:共纳入614例接受血管内血栓切除术的AIS患者,根据LDL-C水平的五分位数分为五组:Q1(≤2.27mmol/l),Q2(2.27-2.5mmol/l),Q3(2.5-2.59mmol/l),Q4(2.59-2.97mmol/l)和Q5(≥2.97mmol/l)。使用多变量逻辑回归模型估计LDL-C水平与FR和卒中相关性肺炎(SAP)风险之间的关联。使用限制性三次样条曲线来描述LDL-C水平与FR和SAP风险之间的剂量-反应关系。在R软件中对100个bootstrap样品进行中介效应分析。
    结果:调整混杂因素后,与参考组(Q3)相比,低LDL-C水平和高LDL-C水平均与较高的FR风险显著相关.我们观察到LDL-C水平与FR风险之间存在U形关联(非线性P=0.012)。中介分析显示LDL-C水平与FR风险之间的关联为29.7%(95%CI:2.96%-75.0%,P=0.02)介导的SAP。
    结论:我们发现LDL-C水平与SAP介导的FR风险之间存在U型关联。临床医生应该注意,在接受血管内血栓切除术的AIS患者中,较低的LDL-C水平并不总是更好。
    OBJECTIVE: Futile reperfusion (FR) is becoming a major challenge in the treatment of patients with acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) undergoing endovascular thrombectomy. This study aims to determine the dose-response relationship between low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels and the risk of FR in patients with AIS undergoing endovascular thrombectomy and to investigate potential mediators.
    METHODS: A total of 614 patients with AIS undergoing endovascular thrombectomy were enrolled and divided into five groups according to quintiles of LDL-C levels: Q1(≤2.27 mmol/l), Q2 (2.27-2.5 mmol/l), Q3 (2.5-2.59 mmol/l), Q4 (2.59-2.97 mmol/l) and Q5 (≥2.97 mmol/l). Associations between LDL-C levels and the risk of FR and stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) were estimated using multivariate logistic regression models. Restricted cubic spline curves were used to describe the dose-response relationship between LDL-C levels and the risk of FR and SAP. Mediation effect analysis was performed in R software with 100 bootstrap samples.
    RESULTS: After adjustment for confounders, both low and high LDL-C levels were significantly associated with a higher risk of FR compared with the reference group (Q3). We observed a U-shaped association between LDL-C levels and the risk of FR (P for nonlinear =0.012). Mediation analysis showed that the association between LDL-C levels and the risk of FR was 29.7 % (95 % CI: 2.96 %-75.0 %, P=0.02) mediated by SAP.
    CONCLUSIONS: We found a U-shaped association between LDL-C levels and the risk of FR that was mediated by SAP. Clinicians should note that in AIS patients undergoing endovascular thrombectomy, lower LDL-C levels are not always better.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在黑素瘤2(AIM2)中缺失与炎症过程有关。我们测量了血清AIM2,旨在揭示其对急性脑出血(ICH)后卒中相关性肺炎(SAP)和功能预后的预测意义。
    在这项前瞻性队列研究中,163例ICH患者在入院时测定血清AIM2浓度,其中57例患者也同意在第1,3,5,7,10和14天进行测定.加上57名没有健康状况的人,发现血清AIM2水平的动态变化。美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)评分和血肿体积被确定为严重程度的双重指标。卒中后六个月改良的Rankin量表(mRS)评分范围为3至6,表明预后不良。在ICH后的前7天期间观察到SAP。进行顺序单变量和多变量分析以辨别SAP和不良预后的预测因子。
    患者入院时血清AIM2水平明显升高,在第三和第五天达到峰值水平,与对照组相比,直到第14天仍然显着升高。血清AIM2水平与NIHSS评分和血肿体积均呈独立相关性。此外,AIM2浓度与6个月时的不良预后和SAP独立相关。在受限三次样条分析的框架内,血清AIM2浓度与发生SAP和预后不良的可能性呈线性关系.在接收器工作特性(ROC)曲线分析的背景下,血清AIM2浓度可有效区分SAP的风险和不良预后。通过采用分段分析,血清AIM2浓度与几个传统变量的相互作用可忽略不计,比如年龄,性别,吸烟习惯,酒精消费,还有更多.纳入血清AIM2、NIHSS评分、通过列线图描绘血肿体积,并在各种评估指标中对不良预后或SAP表现出强大的预测能力,包括ROC曲线分析,校正曲线分析,和决策曲线分析。
    脑出血(ICH)后不久,血清AIM2水平显着增加,这可以准确反映中风的严重程度,并有效预测SAP和不良的神经系统结果,因此,血清AIM2作为ICH的一个令人鼓舞的预测指标。
    UNASSIGNED: Absent in melanoma 2 (AIM2) is implicated in inflammatory processes. We measured serum AIM2 with intent to unveil its predictive significance for stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) and functional prognosis following acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).
    UNASSIGNED: In this prospective cohort study, serum AIM2 concentrations of 163 ICH patients were gauged upon admission and 57 of them also consented for measurements at days 1, 3, 5, 7, 10 and 14. Coupled with 57 individuals without health conditions, dynamic change of serum AIM2 levels were uncovered. National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores and hematoma volume were identified as the dual indicators of severity. Poststroke six-month modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores ranging from 3 to 6 indicated an unfavorable outcome. SAP was observed during the first seven days after ICH. Sequential univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to discern predictors of SAP and adverse prognosis.
    UNASSIGNED: The serum levels of AIM2 in patients exhibited a marked elevation upon admission, reaching peak levels on the third and fifth days, and remained notably elevated until day 14 compared to those of the control group. Serum AIM2 levels showed independent correlations with both NIHSS scores and the volume of hematoma. Additionally, AIM2 concentrations were independently associated with a poor prognosis and SAP at the six-month mark. Within the framework of restricted cubic spline analysis, serum AIM2 concentrations exhibited a linear correlation with the likelihood of developing SAP and experiencing a poor prognosis. In the context of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, serum AIM2 concentrations effectively differentiated risks of SAP and poor prognosis. By employing segmented analysis, serum AIM2 concentrations showed negligible interactions with several traditional variables, such as age, gender, smoking habits, alcohol consumption, and more. The integrated model incorporating serum AIM2, NIHSS scores, and the volume of hematoma was depicted by employing a nomogram and demonstrated strong predictive performance for poor prognosis or SAP across various evaluation metrics, including ROC curve analysis, calibration curve analysis, and decision curve analysis.
    UNASSIGNED: Serum AIM2 levels show a marked increase shortly after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), which may accurately reflect stroke severity, and effectively predict SAP and poor neurological outcomes, and therefore serum AIM2 stands out as an encouraging predictive indicator for ICH.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    卒中相关性肺炎(SAP)是卒中患者的严重并发症,死亡率显著上升。艾伯塔省卒中计划早期CT评分(ASPECTS)是公认的急性缺血性卒中预后预测指标。我们旨在调查连续ASPECTS评估的表现(基线ASPECTS,24小时方面,和ASPERTS的变化)用于预测溶栓性急性前循环缺血性卒中(AACIS)患者的SAP。
    对成人AACIS溶栓患者进行回顾性观察性队列研究。使用非对比计算机断层扫描(NCCT)的基线和24小时ASPECTS,中风并发症,包括SAP和使用改良水吞咽试验的吞咽功能障碍,被收集。基线和24小时ASPECTS由经过认证的神经科医生和神经放射学家进行评估。预测性能基于接收器工作特征曲线(ROC)确定。采用多变量逻辑回归分析来评估连续ASPECTS评估对预测SAP的影响。
    在我们研究的345例AACIS患者中,18.4%(64/345)经历过SAP。患者的平均年龄为62岁[四分位距(IQR):52-73],53.4%是男性。NIHSS评分中位数为11分(IQR:8-17)。ROC分析揭示了用基线ASPECTS预测SAP的曲线下面积,24小时方面,方面的变化为0.75(95%CI,0.69-0.82),0.84(95%CI,0.79-0.89),和0.82(95%CI,0.76-0.87),分别。在这三项措施中,24小时ASPECTS是SAP的更好预测指标(比值比:5.33,95CI:2.08-13.67,p<0.001),并且具有更高的灵敏度(0.84[95CI,0.74-0.92])和特异性(0.79[95CI,0.74-0.84])。
    24小时NCCT-ASPECTS在预测SAP方面的表现优于基线ASPECTS和ASPECTS变化。值得注意的是,24小时方面,截止值≤6时,表现出良好的预测性能,并成为SAP的更好预测指标。
    UNASSIGNED: Stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) is a serious complication in stroke patients, significantly increasing mortality. The Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS) is a recognized predictor of acute ischemic stroke outcomes. We aimed to investigate the performance of serial ASPECTS assessments (baseline ASPECTS, 24-h ASPECTS, and change in ASPECTS) for predicting SAP in patients with thrombolyzed acute anterior circulation ischemic stroke (AACIS).
    UNASSIGNED: A retrospective observational cohort study of adult patients with thrombolyzed AACIS was conducted. Baseline and 24-h ASPECTS using non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT), complications of stroke, including SAP and swallowing dysfunction using the Modified Water Swallowing test, were collected. Baseline and 24-h ASPECTS were evaluated by a certified neurologist and neuroradiologist. The predictive performance was determined based on the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). Multivariable logistic regression analyses were employed to assess the impact of serial ASPECTS assessment on predicting SAP.
    UNASSIGNED: Of the 345 patients with thrombolyzed AACIS in our study, 18.4% (64/345) experienced SAP. The patients\' median age was 62 years [interquartile range (IQR): 52-73], with 53.4% being male. The median NIHSS score was 11 points (IQR: 8-17). The ROC analysis revealed areas under the curve for predicting SAP with baseline ASPECTS, 24-h ASPECTS, and change in ASPECTS were 0.75 (95% CI, 0.69-0.82), 0.84 (95% CI, 0.79-0.89), and 0.82 (95% CI, 0.76-0.87), respectively. Of the three measures, 24-h ASPECTS was a better predictor of SAP (odds ratio: 5.33, 95%CI: 2.08-13.67, p < 0.001) and had a higher sensitivity (0.84 [95%CI, 0.74-0.92]) and specificity (0.79 [95%CI, 0.74-0.84]) than both baseline ASPECTS and change in ASPECTS.
    UNASSIGNED: 24-h NCCT-ASPECTS outperformed both baseline ASPECTS and change in ASPECTS for predicting SAP. Notably, 24-h ASPECTS, with a cut-off value of ≤6, exhibited good predictive performance and emerged as the better predictor for SAP.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究旨在确定因急性缺血性卒中而接受血栓切除术的患者与卒中相关性肺炎(SAP)相关的危险因素,并开发出预测肺炎发生的列线图模型。
    泰州恩泽医疗中心三家医院连续收治因急性缺血性卒中而接受血栓切除的患者。他们以7:3的比例随机分为训练组和验证组。训练组数据用于使用LASSO回归筛选有效的预测因子。然后进行多元逻辑回归以确定预测因素并构建列线图。使用验证组对模型进行了评估,分析其歧视,校准,和临床决策曲线。最后,将新构建的模型与AIS-APS进行了比较,A2DS2,ISAN,急性缺血性卒中相关性肺炎的PANTHERIS评分。
    在913名接受血栓切除术的患者中,762人被纳入分析,由473名男性和289名女性组成。SAP发生率为45.8%。基于NIHSS≥16、术后LMR、吞咽困难。该模型表现出良好的辨别和校准。将列线图应用于7%至90%之间的阈值概率时,净收益增加。此外,AUC高于其他评分系统.
    本研究中构造的列线图优于AIS-APS,A2DS2评分,伊桑得分,和PANTHERIS评分在预测急性缺血性卒中患者血栓切除术后卒中相关性肺炎风险中的作用。可用于急性缺血性卒中取栓后卒中相关性肺炎的临床风险预测。
    UNASSIGNED: This study aims to identify the risk factors associated with stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) in patients who have undergone thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke and to develop a nomogram chart model for predicting the occurrence of pneumonia.
    UNASSIGNED: Consecutive patients who underwent thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke were enrolled from three hospitals at Taizhou Enze Medical Center. They were randomly divided into a training group and a validation group in a 7:3 ratio. The training group data was used to screen for effective predictive factors using LASSO regression. Multiple logistic regression was then conducted to determine the predictive factors and construct a nomogram chart. The model was evaluated using the validation group, analyzing its discrimination, calibration, and clinical decision curve. Finally, the newly constructed model was compared with the AIS-APS, A2DS2, ISAN, and PANTHERIS scores for acute ischemic stroke-associated pneumonia.
    UNASSIGNED: Out of 913 patients who underwent thrombectomy, 762 were included for analysis, consisting of 473 males and 289 females. The incidence rate of SAP was 45.8%. The new predictive model was constructed based on three main influencing factors: NIHSS ≥16, postoperative LMR, and difficulty swallowing. The model demonstrated good discrimination and calibration. When applying the nomogram chart to threshold probabilities between 7 and 90%, net returns were increased. Furthermore, the AUC was higher compared to other scoring systems.
    UNASSIGNED: The constructed nomogram chart in this study outperformed the AIS-APS, A2DS2 score, ISAN score, and PANTHERIS score in predicting the risk of stroke-associated pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke after thrombectomy. It can be utilized for clinical risk prediction of stroke-associated pneumonia in patients after thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    已经提出了用于诊断和管理卒中相关肺炎(SAP)的改良疾病控制和预防中心(mCDC)标准。目的是根据SAP是否符合mCDC标准来研究SAP对卒中结局的影响。我们的次要目标是确定中风患者开始使用抗生素的相关因素。
    我们进行了前瞻性,多中心,24小时内收治的中度至重度卒中(NIHSS≥4)的缺血性卒中患者的观察性研究。每天评估mCDC标准,记录感染和抗生素。肺炎分为符合mCDC标准(mCDC-SAP)或不符合mCDC标准(其他肺炎,OPn).在单独的逻辑回归模型中评估每种类型的肺炎对3个月预后的影响。使用随机森林分析探索与抗生素启动相关的因素。
    在研究的342名患者中,72例(21.6%)被诊断出感染,包括39例(11.7%)肺炎病例。其中,25(7.5%)符合mCDC标准。在92%的mCDC-SAP和64.3%的OPn中使用抗生素。在逻辑回归分析中,mCDC-SAP,但不是OPN,是不良结局的独立预测因子[OR,4.939(1.022-23.868)]。随机森林分析显示,发烧对抗生素启动的重要性最高。
    mCDC标准可能对检测临床相关SAP有用,这与糟糕的结果有关。对于抗生素启动,孤立的感染迹象比遵守预定义标准更为重要。因此,坚持mCDC标准可能导致抗生素节约,而不影响临床结局.
    UNASSIGNED: The modified Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (mCDC) criteria have been proposed for diagnosing and managing stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP). The objective was to investigate the impact of SAP on stroke outcome depending on whether or not it conforms to mCDC criteria. Our secondary objective was to identify the responsible factors for antibiotic initiation in stroke patients.
    UNASSIGNED: We conducted a prospective, multicenter, observational study of ischemic stroke patients with moderate to severe stroke (NIHSS≥4) admitted within 24 h. For 7 days, mCDC criteria were assessed daily, and infections and antibiotics were recorded. Pneumonias were divided into those fulfilling mCDC criteria (mCDC-SAP) or not (other pneumonias, OPn). The effect of each type of pneumonia on 3-month outcome was evaluated in separated logistic regression models. Factors associated with antibiotic initiation were explored using a random forest analysis.
    UNASSIGNED: Of the 342 patients studied, infections were diagnosed in 72 (21.6%), including 39 (11.7%) cases of pneumonia. Of them, 25 (7.5%) fulfilled mCDC criteria. Antibiotics were used in 92% of mCDC-SAP and 64.3% of OPn. In logistic regression analysis, mCDC-SAP, but not OPn, was an independent predictor of poor outcome [OR, 4.939 (1.022-23.868)]. The random forest analysis revealed that fever had the highest importance for antibiotic initiation.
    UNASSIGNED: The mCDC criteria might be useful for detecting clinically relevant SAP, which is associated with poor outcomes. Isolated signs of infection were more important for antibiotic initiation than compliance with pre-defined criteria. Therefore, adherence to mCDC criteria might result in antibiotic saving without compromising clinical outcome.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:急性缺血性卒中(AIS)期间的高血糖(HG)不仅与不利的功能结局相关,而且与卒中相关性肺炎(SAP)相关。本研究旨在确定马来西亚AIS患者中SAP的患病率以及AIS期间HG患者中SAP的预测因子。
    方法:这是一项回顾性横断面研究,包括SultanahNurZahirah医院收治的AIS患者,马来西亚从2017年到2020年。SAP定义为在IS后的前7天感染肺炎。HG定义为入院后72小时内血糖水平>7.8mmol/L。根据HG状态将SAP患者分为两组。采用SPSS软件进行多因素logistic回归分析,第22版(IBM公司,Armonk,NY)以确定HG患者中的SAP预测因子。使用Kaplan-Meier对数秩检验比较有和没有SAP的高血糖患者的不良功能结局的生存率。
    结果:在412例AIS患者中,69人(16.74%)患有SAP。在AIS期间,HG和血糖正常的患者中SAP的患病率为20.98%,10.65%,分别。年龄在60岁以上,白细胞增多症,入院时美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)>14是SAP的独立预测因子,aOR为2.08(95%CI;1.01-4.30),2.83(95%CI;1.41-5.67),和3.67(95%CI;1.53-8.80),分别。在有和没有SAP的患者中,不利的功能结局生存率没有显着差异(p=0.653)。
    结论:这项研究表明,与AIS期间血糖正常相比,HG患者中SAP的患病率更高。病人老了,入院时白细胞增多和严重卒中可预测AIS期间HG患者SAP的发生。
    BACKGROUND: Hyperglycaemia (HG) during an acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is not only associated with unfavourable functional outcomes but also associated with stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP). This study aimed to determine the prevalence of SAP among Malaysian patients with AIS and the predictors of SAP among patients with HG during AIS.
    METHODS: This is a retrospective cross-sectional study that included patients with AIS admitted to Hospital Sultanah Nur Zahirah, Malaysia from 2017 to 2020. SAP was defined as infection with pneumonia during the first seven days after IS. HG was defined as a blood glucose level > 7.8 mmol/L within 72 h after admission. Patients with SAP were divided into two groups according to HG status. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed using SPSS software, version 22 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY) to identify SAP predictors among patients with HG. Kaplan-Meier log-rank test was used to compare the survival rate from unfavourable functional outcomes between hyperglycaemic patients with and without SAP.
    RESULTS: Among 412 patients with AIS, 69 (16.74%) had SAP. The prevalence of SAP among patients with HG and normoglycemia during AIS was 20.98%, and 10.65%, respectively. Age above 60 years, leucocytosis, and National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) > 14 on admission were independent predictors of SAP with aOR of 2.08 (95% CI;1.01-4.30), 2.83 (95% CI; 1.41-5.67), and 3.67 (95% CI; 1.53-8.80), respectively. No significant difference in unfavourable functional outcomes survival was found among patients with and without SAP (p = 0.653).
    CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated the prevalence of SAP was higher among patients with HG compared to normoglycemia during AIS. The patient being old, leucocytosis and severe stroke upon admission predict the occurrence of SAP among patients with HG during AIS.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:探讨影像组学对急性缺血性卒中(AIS)患者卒中相关性肺炎(SAP)的预测价值,并构建基于临床特征和DWI-MRI影像组学特征的预测模型。
    方法:使用单因素和多因素logistic回归分析来确定SAP的独立临床预测因子。使用Pearson相关性分析和具有10倍交叉验证的最小绝对收缩和选择操作符来计算每个特征的放射组学得分并鉴定SAP的预测性放射组学特征。使用多变量逻辑回归将预测影像组学特征与独立的临床预测因子相结合。使用接收器工作特性(ROC)评估SAP模型的预测性能,校正曲线,决策曲线分析,和亚组分析。
    结果:甘油三酯,中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞的比率,吞咽困难,美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)评分,和颈内动脉狭窄被确定为SAP的临床独立危险因素。SAP患者的影像组学评分普遍高于非SAP患者(P<0。05).影像组学评分与NIHSS评分呈线性正相关,以及影像组学评分和梗死体积之间。梗死体积在预测SAP发生方面表现中等,AUC为0.635。与其他型号相比,组合预测模型在训练(AUC=0.859,95%CI0.759-0.936)和验证(AUC=0.830,95%CI0.758-0.896)队列中均取得了最佳的ROC下区域(AUC)(P<0.05).校准曲线和决策曲线分析进一步证实了列线图的临床价值。亚组分析表明,该列线图具有潜在的泛化能力。
    结论:在临床模型中添加影像组学特征改善了AIS患者对SAP的预测,验证了其可行性。
    OBJECTIVE: To explore the predictive value of radiomics in predicting stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients and construct a prediction model based on clinical features and DWI-MRI radiomics features.
    METHODS: Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify the independent clinical predictors for SAP. Pearson correlation analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator with ten-fold cross-validation were used to calculate the radiomics score for each feature and identify the predictive radiomics features for SAP. Multivariate logistic regression was used to combine the predictive radiomics features with the independent clinical predictors. The prediction performance of the SAP models was evaluated using receiver operating characteristics (ROC), calibration curves, decision curve analysis, and subgroup analyses.
    RESULTS: Triglycerides, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, dysphagia, the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, and internal carotid artery stenosis were identified as clinically independent risk factors for SAP. The radiomics scores in patients with SAP were generally higher than in patients without SAP (P < 0. 05). There was a linear positive correlation between radiomics scores and NIHSS scores, as well as between radiomics scores and infarct volume. Infarct volume showed moderate performance in predicting the occurrence of SAP, with an AUC of 0.635. When compared with the other models, the combined prediction model achieved the best area under the ROC (AUC) in both training (AUC = 0.859, 95% CI 0.759-0.936) and validation (AUC = 0.830, 95% CI 0.758-0.896) cohorts (P < 0.05). The calibration curves and decision curve analysis further confirmed the clinical value of the nomogram. Subgroup analysis showed that this nomogram had potential generalization ability.
    CONCLUSIONS: The addition of the radiomics features to the clinical model improved the prediction of SAP in AIS patients, which verified its feasibility.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:探讨白细胞介素-6(IL-6)联合中性粒细胞脂质运载蛋白(HNL)对急性缺血性脑卒中(AIS)患者卒中相关性肺炎(SAP)的预测价值。
    方法:108例患者分为肺炎组(52例)和非肺炎组(56例),根据患者在入院后7天内是否发生SAP。比较两组的一般资料,像年龄,性别,高血压病史,糖尿病,心血管疾病,吞咽困难,有吸烟和酗酒史。记录并比较临床资料,包括脂质分布,白细胞介素-6(IL-6),同型半胱氨酸(Hcy),美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)评分,和HNL。采用多因素Logistic回归分析筛选AIS-AP的危险因素,并通过受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)评估IL-6和HNL单独和组合的预测价值。
    结果:Logistic回归分析显示吞咽困难(OR,0.018;95%CI,0.001~0.427;P=0.013),NIHSS分数增加(或,0.012;95%CI,0.000~0.434;P=0.016),和高水平的IL-6(OR,0.014;95%CI,0.000~0.695;P=0.032)和HNL(OR,0.006;95%CI0.000~0.280;P=0.009)是SAP的独立危险因素,差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。根据IL-6的ROC曲线分析,曲线下面积(AUC)为0.881(95%CI:0.820~0.942),最佳截断值为6.89pg/mL,灵敏度为73.1%,特异性为85.7%。至于HNL的ROC曲线分析,AUC为0.896(95%CI:0.839~0.954),最佳截断值为99.66ng/mL,灵敏度为76.9%,特异度为89.3%。IL-6和HNL联合用药的AUC升高至0.952(95%CI:0.914~0.989),敏感性和特异性分别提高到80.8%和92.9%,分别。
    结论:在这项研究中,IL-6≥6.89pg/mL和HNL≥99.66ng/mL被认为是AIS患者并发SAP的危险因素.联合检测对SAP患者有较高的预测价值,这可能有助于确定谁是高风险的。
    OBJECTIVE: To explore the predictive value of interleukin-6 (IL-6) combined with human neutrophil lipocalin (HNL) of stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) in patients who were diagnosed with acute ischemic stroke (AIS).
    METHODS: 108patients were divided into two groups: pneumonia group (52 cases) and non-pneumonia group (56 cases), according to whether the patients developed SAP within 7 days of admission. General information was compared between the two groups, like age, gender, history of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, cardiovascular disease, dysphagia, smoking and alcoholhistory. Clinical data were recorded and compared, including lipid profile, interleukin-6 (IL-6), homocysteine (Hcy), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, and HNL. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to screen the risk factors of AIS-AP, and the predictive value of IL-6 and HNL alone and in combination was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve).
    RESULTS: Logistic regression analysis showed that dysphagia (OR,0.018; 95% CI, 0.001 ~ 0.427; P = 0.013), increased NIHSS scores(OR,0.012; 95% CI, 0.000 ~ 0.434; P = 0.016), and high levels of IL-6 (OR,0.014; 95% CI, 0.000 ~ 0.695; P = 0.032)and HNL (OR,0.006; 95% CI, 0.000 ~ 0.280; P = 0.009) were independent risk factors for SAP with significant difference (all P < 0.05). According to the ROC curve analysis of IL-6, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.881 (95% CI: 0.820 ~ 0.942), and the optimal cutoff value was 6.89 pg/mL with the sensitivity of 73.1% and specificity of 85.7%. As for the ROC curve analysis of HNL, the AUC was 0.896 (95% CI: 0.839 ~ 0.954), and the best cutoff value was 99.66ng/mL with the sensitivity of 76.9% and specificity of 89.3%. The AUC of the combination of IL-6 and HNL increased to 0.952 (95% CI: 0.914 ~ 0.989), and the sensitivity and specificity increased to 80.8% and 92.9%, respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: In this research, the levels of IL-6 ≥ 6.89 pg/mL and HNL ≥ 99.66ng/mL were considered as risk factors for AIS patients complicated with SAP. The combined detection had higher predictive value for patients with SAP, which may help to identify who were in highrisk.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    讨论急性缺血性卒中(AIS)患者卒中相关性肺炎(SAP)的老年营养风险指数(GNRI)和血小板淋巴细胞比(PLR)之间的关系,开发和验证基于Web的动态列线图。
    收集徐州医科大学附属医院综合内科和神经内科收治的AIS患者996例。根据SAP发生情况分为非SAP组和SAP组。数据以7:3的比例随机分为训练集和验证集。使用LASSO回归和多变量logistic回归分析筛选独立危险因素并建立动态列线图。受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC-ROC),校正曲线,和决策曲线分析(DCA)曲线用于验证模型的判别能力,校准,和临床价值,分别。
    在AIS患者中,221例(22.19%)发生SAP。年龄,NIHSS得分,心房颤动合并症,吞咽困难,PLR,和GNRI被确定为影响AIS患者SAP发生的独立因素。基于这六个变量开发了基于网络的动态列线图。训练集显示AUC-ROC为0.864(95%CI:0.828-0.892),而验证集显示AUC-ROC为0.825(95%CI:0.772-0.882),表明模型具有良好的预测能力和判别能力。校准曲线证明了模型的良好校准,DCA曲线显示其临床价值。网站上的任何人都可以访问和使用此模型(https://moonlittledoctor。shinyapps.io/ANADPG/)。
    PLR和GNRI是影响AIS患者SAP发生的独立因素,并构建动态列线图来预测AIS患者SAP的风险。它可以指导临床决策,改善患者预后。
    UNASSIGNED: Discussing the relationship between geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) on stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients, developing and validating a web-based dynamic nomogram.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 996 AIS patients admitted to the Department of General Medicine and Neurology at Xuzhou Medical University Affiliated Hospital were collected. They were divided into Non-SAP group and SAP group based on the occurrence of SAP. The data was randomly divided into training set and validation set in a ratio of 7:3. LASSO regression and multivariable logistic regression analysis were used to screen for independent risk factors and develop a dynamic nomogram. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) curve were used to validate the model\'s discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical value, respectively.
    UNASSIGNED: Among AIS patients, a total of 221 cases (22.19%) developed SAP. Age, NIHSS score, comorbid atrial fibrillation, dysphagia, PLR, and GNRI were identified as independent factors influencing the occurrence of SAP in AIS patients. A web-based dynamic nomogram was developed based on these six variables. The training set showed an AUC-ROC of 0.864 (95% CI: 0.828-0.892), while the validation set showed an AUC-ROC of 0.825 (95% CI: 0.772-0.882), indicating good predictive ability and discrimination of the model. The calibration curve demonstrated good calibration of the model, and the DCA curve showed its clinical value. This model can be accessed and utilized by anyone on the website (https://moonlittledoctor.shinyapps.io/ANADPG/).
    UNASSIGNED: PLR and GNRI are independent factors influencing the occurrence of SAP in AIS patients, and a dynamic nomogram was constructed to predict the risk of SAP in AIS patients. It can guide clinical decision-making and improve patient prognosis.
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