regression tree

回归树
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    抗菌素耐药基因(ARGs)通过水平基因转移(HGT)在细菌之间传播,然而,环境因素对水环境中ARG动力学的影响尚未得到很好的理解。在这次系统审查中,基于过去的相关研究结果,我们采用回归树算法来确定促进/抑制通过结合在浮游/生物膜形成的细菌细胞中ARGs转移的环境因素。大肠杆菌菌株是在属内类别中作为供体/受体进行缀合实验的研究最多的属。相反,假单胞菌属。,不动杆菌属。,和沙门氏菌。主要作为跨属间细菌的接受者进行研究。发现缀合效率(ce)高度依赖于潜伏期。一些抗生素,例如呋喃妥因(≥0.2µgml-1)和卡那霉素(≥9.5mgl-1)以及金属化合物,如氯化汞(II)(HgCl2,≥3µmoll-1),和氯化钒(III)(VCl3,≥50μmoll-1)对缀合有增强作用。最高的ce值(-0.90log10)在15-19°C时达到,亚油酸浓度<8mgl-1,是公认的缀合抑制剂。确定影响ARG在水生环境中传播的关键环境因素将加速控制其扩散和对抗抗生素耐药性的策略。
    Antimicrobial-resistance genes (ARGs) are spread among bacteria by horizontal gene transfer, however, the effect of environmental factors on the dynamics of the ARG in water environments has not been very well understood. In this systematic review, we employed the regression tree algorithm to identify the environmental factors that facilitate/inhibit the transfer of ARGs via conjugation in planktonic/biofilm-formed bacterial cells based on the results of past relevant research. Escherichia coli strains were the most studied genus for conjugation experiments as donor/recipient in the intra-genera category. Conversely, Pseudomonas spp., Acinetobacter spp., and Salmonella spp. were studied primarily as recipients across inter-genera bacteria. The conjugation efficiency (ce) was found to be highly dependent on the incubation period. Some antibiotics, such as nitrofurantoin (at ≥0.2 µg ml-1) and kanamycin (at ≥9.5 mg l-1) as well as metallic compounds like mercury (II) chloride (HgCl2, ≥3 µmol l-1), and vanadium (III) chloride (VCl3, ≥50 µmol l-1) had enhancing effect on conjugation. The highest ce value (-0.90 log10) was achieved at 15°C-19°C, with linoleic acid concentrations <8 mg l-1, a recognized conjugation inhibitor. Identifying critical environmental factors affecting ARG dissemination in aquatic environments will accelerate strategies to control their proliferation and combat antibiotic resistance.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:实证研究表明,十种原始不良儿童经历(ACE)与多种健康结局之间存在关联。确定扩大的ACE可以捕获其他可能具有重要健康影响的儿童逆境的负担。
    目的:我们试图确定需要考虑的儿童逆境作为扩大ACE。我们假设,与仅经历原始ACE相比,经历扩大的和原始的ACE将与较差的成人健康结果相关。
    方法:国家纵向调查(NLS)和儿童和青少年调查的11,545名受访者中,女性占48.9%,22.7%黑色,15.8%西班牙裔,36.1%白色,1.7%亚洲/夏威夷原住民/太平洋岛民/美洲原住民/阿拉斯加原住民,其他7.5%。
    方法:本研究使用回归树和广义线性模型来确定扩展ACE是否与6种健康结果相关的原始ACE相互作用。
    结果:四个扩展的ACE-基本需求不稳定,缺乏父母的爱和感情,社区压力源,和母亲在童年时期身体虐待的经历-与一般健康显著互动,抑郁症状的严重程度,焦虑症状的严重程度,和成年后的暴力犯罪受害(所有p值<0.005)。基本需求不稳定和/或缺乏父母的爱和感情出现在多个结果中。经历缺乏父母的爱和感情以及原始ACE与更大的焦虑症状相关(p=0.022)。
    结论:这是第一项使用监督机器学习研究原始ACE和扩展ACE之间的交互影响的研究。两个扩大的ACE作为三个成人健康结果的预测因子,值得在ACE评估中进一步考虑。
    BACKGROUND: Empirical studies have demonstrated associations between ten original adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) and multiple health outcomes. Identifying expanded ACEs can capture the burden of other childhood adversities that may have important health implications.
    OBJECTIVE: We sought to identify childhood adversities that warrant consideration as expanded ACEs. We hypothesized that experiencing expanded and original ACEs would be associated with poorer adult health outcomes compared to experiencing original ACEs alone.
    METHODS: The 11,545 respondents of the National Longitudinal Surveys (NLS) and Child and Young Adult Survey were 48.9 % female, 22.7 % Black, 15.8 % Hispanic, 36.1 % White, 1.7 % Asian/Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander/Native American/Native Alaskan, and 7.5 % Other.
    METHODS: This study used regression trees and generalized linear models to identify if/which expanded ACEs interacted with original ACEs in association with six health outcomes.
    RESULTS: Four expanded ACEs-basic needs instability, lack of parental love and affection, community stressors, and mother\'s experience with physical abuse during childhood -significantly interacted with general health, depressive symptom severity, anxiety symptom severity, and violent crime victimization in adulthood (all p-values <0.005). Basic needs instability and/or lack of parental love and affection emerged as correlates across multiple outcomes. Experiencing lack of parental love and affection and original ACEs was associated with greater anxiety symptoms (p = 0.022).
    CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to use supervised machine learning to investigate interaction effects among original ACEs and expanded ACEs. Two expanded ACEs emerged as predictors for three adult health outcomes and warrant further consideration in ACEs assessments.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究探索了使用机器学习模型预测混凝土抗压强度的方法,旨在克服传统方法的耗时和复杂性。四种模型-人工神经网络(ANN),多元线性回归,支持向量机,和回归树-被采用并比较性能,使用评估指标,如平均绝对偏差,均方根误差,相关系数,和平均绝对百分比误差。预处理1030个样本后,数据集分为两个子集:70%用于训练,30%用于测试。ANN模型,进一步分为培训,验证(15%),和测试(15%),在准确性和效率方面优于其他人。这一结果简化了建筑行业的抗压强度测定,节省时间,简化流程。
    This study explores the prediction of concrete compressive strength using machine learning models, aiming to overcome the time-consuming and complex nature of conventional methods. Four models-an artificial neural network (ANN), a multiple linear regression, a support vector machine, and a regression tree-are employed and compared for performance, using evaluation metrics such as mean absolute deviation, root mean square error, coefficient of correlation, and mean absolute percentage error. After preprocessing 1030 samples, the dataset is split into two subsets: 70% for training and 30% for testing. The ANN model, further divided into training, validation (15%), and testing (15%), outperforms others in accuracy and efficiency. This outcome streamlines compressive strength determination in the construction industry, saving time and simplifying the process.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    人为影响显着改变了整个亚洲河流生态系统的水化学特性和物质流,可能占全球排放量的40-50%。尽管亚洲河流受到普遍影响,缺乏调查它们与二氧化碳(CO2)排放的相关性的研究。在这项研究中,我们使用基于碳酸盐平衡的模型(pCO2SYS)计算了CO2分压(pCO2),并根据2013-2021年恒河91个站点的历史记录检查了其与水化学参数的相关性。调查揭示了整个恒河中pCO2的巨大空间异质性。pCO2浓度从1321.76μatm变化,1130.98μatm,上部为1174.33μatm,中间,和较低的拉伸,分别,平均值为1185.29μatm。有趣的是,与中段和下段相比,上段拉伸表现出升高的平均pCO2和FCO2水平(CO2逸度:3.63gm2d-1),强调水化学和CO2动力学之间复杂的相互作用。在二氧化碳波动的背景下,上段的硝酸盐浓度以及中段和下段的生物需氧量(BOD)和溶解氧(DO)水平正在成为关键的解释因素。此外,回归树(RT)和重要性分析指出生化需氧量(BOD)是影响恒河pCO2变化的最重要因素(n=91)。还观察到BOD和FCO2之间存在强烈的负相关。这两个参数的不同纵向模式可能会导致BOD和pCO2之间的负相关。因此,有必要进行全面的研究,以破译管理这种关系的潜在机制。目前的见解有助于理解恒河中二氧化碳排放的潜力,并促进河流的恢复和管理。我们的发现强调了将南亚河流纳入全球碳预算评估的重要性。
    Anthropogenic influences significantly modify the hydrochemical properties and material flow in riverine ecosystems across Asia, potentially accounting for 40-50% of global emissions. Despite the pervasive impact on Asian rivers, there is a paucity of studies investigating their correlation with carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. In this study, we computed the partial pressure of CO2 (pCO2) using the carbonate equilibria-based model (pCO2SYS) and examined its correlation with hydrochemical parameters from historical records at 91 stations spanning 2013-2021 in the Ganga River. The investigation unveiled substantial spatial heterogeneity in the pCO2 across the Ganga River. The pCO2 concentration varied from 1321.76 μatm, 1130.98 μatm, and 1174.33 μatm in the upper, middle, and lower stretch, respectively, with a mean of 1185.29 μatm. Interestingly, the upper stretch exhibited elevated mean pCO2 and FCO2 levels (fugacity of CO2: 3.63 gm2d-1) compared to the middle and lower stretch, underscoring the intricate interplay between hydrochemistry and CO2 dynamics. In the context of pCO2 fluctuations, nitrate concentrations in the upper segment and levels of biological oxygen demand (BOD) and dissolved oxygen (DO) in the middle and lower segments are emerging as crucial explanatory factors. Furthermore, regression tree (RT) and importance analyses pinpointed biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) as the paramount factor influencing pCO2 variations across the Ganga River (n = 91). A robust negative correlation between BOD and FCO2 was also observed. The distinct longitudinal patterns of both parameters may induce a negative correlation between BOD and pCO2. Therefore, comprehensive studies are necessitated to decipher the underlying mechanisms governing this relationship. The present insights are instrumental in comprehending the potential of CO2 emissions in the Ganga River and facilitating riverine restoration and management. Our findings underscore the significance of incorporating South Asian rivers in the evaluation of the global carbon budget.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    尽管低出生体重(LBW)的患病率随着时间的推移有所下降,它作为孟加拉国公共卫生问题的持续重要性仍然显而易见。低出生体重被认为是导致婴儿死亡率的一个因素,长期的健康并发症,以及对非传染性疾病的脆弱性。本研究利用2012-2013年和2019年进行的多指标类集调查(MICS)的全国代表性数据来探讨与出生体重相关的因素。出生体重数据建模考虑了因素之间的相互作用,数据中的聚类,和空间相关性。生成区级地图以识别LBW的高风险区域。平均出生体重略有增加,从2012-2013年的2.93公斤上升到2019年的2.96公斤。这项研究采用了回归树,一种流行的机器学习算法,辨别出生体重潜在决定因素之间的基本相互作用。各种模型的发现,包括固定效应,混合效应,和空间依赖模型,强调产妇年龄等因素的重要性,户主的教育,产前保健,很少有数据驱动的相互作用影响出生体重。特定地区的地图显示,西南地区和选定的北部地区的平均出生体重较低,在两个调查期间坚持。考虑层次结构和空间自相关,提高了模型性能,特别是在拟合最近一轮调查数据时。该研究旨在通过利用机器学习技术和回归模型来识别需要高度关注的弱势儿童群体,从而为地区一级的政策制定和有针对性的干预措施提供信息。
    Despite a decrease in the prevalence of low birth weight (LBW) over time, its ongoing significance as a public health concern in Bangladesh remains evident. Low birth weight is believed to be a contributing factor to infant mortality, prolonged health complications, and vulnerability to non-communicable diseases. This study utilizes nationally representative data from the Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS) conducted in 2012-2013 and 2019 to explore factors associated with birth weight. Modeling birth weight data considers interactions among factors, clustering in data, and spatial correlation. District-level maps are generated to identify high-risk areas for LBW. The average birth weight has shown a modest increase, rising from 2.93 kg in 2012-2013 to 2.96 kg in 2019. The study employs a regression tree, a popular machine learning algorithm, to discern essential interactions among potential determinants of birth weight. Findings from various models, including fixed effect, mixed effect, and spatial dependence models, highlight the significance of factors such as maternal age, household head\'s education, antenatal care, and few data-driven interactions influencing birth weight. District-specific maps reveal lower average birth weights in the southwestern region and selected northern districts, persisting across the two survey periods. Accounting for hierarchical structure and spatial autocorrelation improves model performance, particularly when fitting the most recent round of survey data. The study aims to inform policy formulation and targeted interventions at the district level by utilizing a machine learning technique and regression models to identify vulnerable groups of children requiring heightened attention.
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    文章类型: Journal Article
    随着时间的推移可靠的临床进展预测可以改善抑郁症的预后。整合各种抑郁症危险因素的工作很少,确定效用最大的因素组合,以确定哪些个体风险最大。
    这项研究表明,数据驱动的机器学习(ML)方法,如随机效应/期望最大化(RE-EM)树和混合效应随机森林(MERF),可用于可靠地识别对抑郁风险最大的亚组进行分类的最大效用变量。185名年轻人完成了抑郁风险的测量,包括沉思,担心,消极的认知方式,认知和应对灵活性和负面生活事件,还有抑郁症的症状.我们训练了RE-EM树和MERF算法,并将其与传统的线性混合模型(LMM)进行了比较,并通过交叉验证同时预测了抑郁症状。
    我们的结果表明,RE-EM树和MERF方法对复杂的相互作用进行建模,识别个体的亚组并预测与LMM相当的抑郁严重程度。Further,机器学习模型确定了沉思,负面生活事件,消极的认知方式,和感知控制是未来抑郁水平最相关的预测因子。
    随机效应机器学习模型具有高临床效用的潜力,可以用于干预措施以减少对抑郁症的脆弱性。
    UNASSIGNED: Reliable prediction of clinical progression over time can improve the outcomes of depression. Little work has been done integrating various risk factors for depression, to determine the combinations of factors with the greatest utility for identifying which individuals are at the greatest risk.
    UNASSIGNED: This study demonstrates that data-driven Machine Learning (ML) methods such as Random Effects/Expectation Maximization (RE-EM) trees and Mixed Effects Random Forest (MERF) can be applied to reliably identify variables that have the greatest utility for classifying subgroups at greatest risk for depression. 185 young adults completed measures of depression risk, including rumination, worry, negative cognitive styles, cognitive and coping flexibilities and negative life events, along with symptoms of depression. We trained RE-EM trees and MERF algorithms and compared them to traditional Linear Mixed Models (LMMs) predicting depressive symptoms prospectively and concurrently with cross-validation.
    UNASSIGNED: Our results indicated that the RE-EM tree and MERF methods model complex interactions, identify subgroups of individuals and predict depression severity comparable to LMM. Further, machine learning models determined that brooding, negative life events, negative cognitive styles, and perceived control were the most relevant predictors of future depression levels.
    UNASSIGNED: Random effects machine learning models have the potential for high clinical utility and can be leveraged for interventions to reduce vulnerability to depression.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    确定SCI后具有不同功能结局的患者亚组,并研究功能状态与初始ISNCSCI成分之间的关联。
    使用CART,我们对2014年至2019年Rick-Hansen登记处(RHSCIR)的675例患者的数据进行了观察性队列研究.结果是脊髓独立性测量(SCIM),预测因子包括AIS,NLI,UEMS,LEMS,针刺(PPSS),和光触摸(LTSS)得分。对来自2020年至2021年在RHSCIR参与中心之一接受治疗的62名患者的数据进行了时间验证。
    最终的CART导致四个亚组,根据PPSS,totSCIM增加,LEMS,和UEMS:1)PPSS<27(totSCIM=28.4±16.3);2)PPSS≥27,LEMS<1.5,UEMS<45(totSCIM=39.5±19.0);3)PPSS≥27,LEMS<1.5,UEMS≥45(totSCIM=57.4±13.8);4)验证模型与原始模型类似地执行。在发展队列中,调整后的R平方和F检验分别为0.556和62.2(P值<0.001),验证队列中0.520和31.9(P值<0.001)。
    确认存在基于PPSS的功能恢复的不同表型的患者的四个特征性亚组,LEMS,和UEMS可以在tSCI后的早期被临床医生用来计划康复和建立现实的目标。改善的感觉功能可能是增强运动增益的关键,PPSS≥27是良好功能的预测因子。
    创伤性脊髓损伤(SCI)后,建议使用脊髓损伤神经分类国际标准(ISNCSCI)进行早期神经系统检查,以确定初始损伤的严重程度和预后.这项研究确定了三个初始的ISNCSCI成分,定义了四个对功能结局有不同期望的SCI患者亚组,即最初的针刺感觉评分,下肢运动评分,和上肢运动评分.临床医生可以在tSCI后早期使用这些亚组来计划康复并设定有关功能结果的现实治疗目标。在临床实践中,在预测功能或根据预期功能对患者进行分层时,在SCI后早期对针刺感觉进行仔细和准确的评估是至关重要的.
    UNASSIGNED: Identify patient subgroups with different functional outcomes after SCI and study the association between functional status and initial ISNCSCI components.
    UNASSIGNED: Using CART, we performed an observational cohort study on data from 675 patients enrolled in the Rick-Hansen Registry(RHSCIR) between 2014 and 2019. The outcome was the Spinal Cord Independence Measure (SCIM) and predictors included AIS, NLI, UEMS, LEMS, pinprick(PPSS), and light touch(LTSS) scores. A temporal validation was performed on data from 62 patients treated between 2020 and 2021 in one of the RHSCIR participating centers.
    UNASSIGNED: The final CART resulted in four subgroups with increasing totSCIM according to PPSS, LEMS, and UEMS: 1)PPSS < 27(totSCIM = 28.4 ± 16.3); 2)PPSS ≥ 27, LEMS < 1.5, UEMS < 45(totSCIM = 39.5 ± 19.0); 3)PPSS ≥ 27, LEMS < 1.5, UEMS ≥ 45(totSCIM = 57.4 ± 13.8); 4)PPSS ≥ 27, LEMS ≥ 1.5(totSCIM = 66.3 ± 21.7). The validation model performed similarly to the original model. The adjusted R-squared and F-test were respectively 0.556 and 62.2(P-value <0.001) in the development cohort and, 0.520 and 31.9(P-value <0.001) in the validation cohort.
    UNASSIGNED: Acknowledging the presence of four characteristic subgroups of patients with distinct phenotypes of functional recovery based on PPSS, LEMS, and UEMS could be used by clinicians early after tSCI to plan rehabilitation and establish realistic goals. An improved sensory function could be key for potentiating motor gains, as a PPSS ≥ 27 was a predictor of a good function.
    After a traumatic Spinal Cord Injury (SCI), early neurological examination using the International Standards for Neurological Classification of Spinal Cord Injury (ISNCSCI) is recommended to determine initial injury severity and prognosis.This study identified three initial ISNCSCI components defining four subgroups of SCI patients with different expectations in functional outcomes, namely the initial pinprick sensory score, the Lower Extremity Motor Score, and the Upper Extremity Motor Score.Clinicians could use these subgroups early after tSCI to plan rehabilitation and set realistic therapeutic goals regarding functional outcomes.In clinical practice, careful and accurate assessment of pinprick sensation early after the SCI is crucial when predicting function or stratifying patients based on the expected function.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    双酚A(BPA)是一种用于食品接触材料的内分泌干扰物,由聚碳酸酯塑料和环氧树脂的应用。这项研究的主要目的是比较13岁和成年葡萄牙人口中每日BPA暴露的估计值,使用不同的方法论方法,并评估这种暴露与社会人口统计学特征之间的关联。
    方法:来自基于人群的出生队列XXI(GXXI)(n=2804)和国家食品的13年随访的横截面数据,使用营养和身体活动调查(IAN-AF2015-2016)(n=3845,≥18岁)。通过针对青少年的三份食物日记和针对成年人的两次非连续24小时召回来收集饮食信息。为了估计每天暴露于BPA,使用了三种方法。“食物组归因”将食物消费数据与食物组中BPA的浓度合并在一起。“回归树模型”和“随机森林”将食物消耗信息与尿BPA相结合,在24小时尿液的子样本中测量(在青少年中n=216,在成年人中n=82),两者都用于预测剩余样本中的双酚A暴露。方法的拟合指数通过均方根误差(RMSE)进行评估,平均绝对误差(MAE)和斯皮尔曼相关系数(ρ)。通过线性回归模型检验了双酚A暴露与社会人口统计学变量之间的关联,适应性,年龄组(成人)和教育水平。每日摄取量(TDI)为0.2ng/kg体重(bw),最近由欧洲食品安全局(EFSA)提出,用于BPA暴露的风险表征。
    结果:发现“随机森林”是估计每日BPA暴露的最佳方法(青少年:RMSE=0.989,MAE=0.727,ρ=0.168;成年人:RMSE=0.193,MAE=0.147,ρ=0.250)。膳食BPA暴露中位数,按“食物组归属”计算,青少年和成人为79.1和46.1纳克/千克体重/天,分别,而“随机森林”估计BPA暴露量为26.7和38.0ng/kgbw/天。99.9%的葡萄牙人每天的暴露量高于TDI。男性青少年,女性和受过高等教育的成年人,那些更容易接触双酚A的人。
    结论:估计的每日BPA暴露在很大程度上取决于方法学方法。食物组归因可能会高估暴露量,而随机森林似乎是估算BPA暴露量的更好方法。然而,对于所有方法,葡萄牙人口呈现不安全的BPA暴露,大大超过了EFSA提出的安全水平。
    Bisphenol A (BPA) is an endocrine disruptor used in food contact materials, by the application of polycarbonate plastics and epoxy resins. The main objective of this study is to compare the estimate of daily BPA exposure at 13 years of age and in the adult Portuguese population, using different methodological approaches, and assess the associations between this exposure and sociodemographic characteristics.
    Cross-sectional data of 13-years follow-up from a population-based birth cohort Generation XXI (GXXI) (n = 2804) and from the National Food, Nutrition and Physical Activity Survey (IAN-AF 2015-2016) (n = 3845, ≥18 years old) was used. Dietary information was collected through three food diaries for adolescents and two non-consecutive 24-hour-recalls for adults. To estimate the daily exposure to BPA, three methodological approaches were used. \"Food groups attribution\" merged the food consumption data with the concentration of BPA in food groups. \"Regression tree model\" and \"random forest\" combined food consumption information with urinary BPA, measured in a subsample of 24-hour urine (in adolescents n = 216, and in adults n = 82), both used to predict BPA exposure in the remaining sample. The fit-index of the methodologies was assessed through the root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and Spearman correlation coefficient (ρ). Associations between BPA exposure and sociodemographic variables were tested by linear regression models, adjusted for sex, age groups (in adults) and educational level. Tolerable Daily Intake (TDI) of 0.2 ng/kg body weight (bw), recently proposed by the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), was used for the risk characterization of BPA exposure.
    The \"random forest\" was found as the best methodology to estimate the daily BPA exposure (adolescents: RMSE = 0.989, MAE = 0.727, ρ = 0.168; adults: RMSE = 0.193, MAE = 0.147, ρ = 0.250). The median dietary BPA exposure, calculated by \"food groups attribution\", was 79.1 and 46.1 ng/kg bw/day for adolescents and adults, respectively, while \"random forest\" estimated a BPA exposure of 26.7 and 38.0 ng/kg bw/day. 99.9% of the Portuguese population presented a daily exposure above TDI. Male adolescents, females and higher educated adults, were those more exposed to BPA.
    The estimated daily BPA exposure strongly depends on the methodological approach. Food groups attribution may overestimate the exposure while the random forest appears to be a better methodological approach to estimate BPA exposure. Nevertheless, for all methods, the Portuguese population presented an unsafe BPA exposure by largely exceeding the safe levels proposed by EFSA.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    定量了解综合健康水平之间的关系,例如健康的预期寿命及其相关因素,通过一个高度解释性的模型是重要的卫生研究和卫生政策的制定。在这项研究中,我们开发了一个结合了多元线性回归和随机森林模型的回归模型,探索日本男性健康预期寿命与城市层面开源区域变量之间的关系,作为一个说明性案例。每个决策树中节点分裂的优化基于二元分裂子节点中多元回归模型的总均方误差。每个城市的标准化部分回归系数的变化是作为多棵树的集合获得的,并在散点图上可视化。通过考虑它们,与分段线性函数的相互作用项被探索性地引入到最终的多元回归模型中。图表显示,健康预期寿命与解释变量之间的关系可能因城市特征而异。建议将此处实施的程序作为一种有用的探索性方法,用于灵活地实现多元回归模型中的交互,同时保持可解释性。
    A quantitative understanding of the relationship between comprehensive health levels, such as healthy life expectancy and their related factors, through a highly explanatory model is important in both health research and health policy making. In this study, we developed a regression model that combines multiple linear regression and a random forest model, exploring the relationship between men\'s healthy life expectancy in Japan and regional variables from open sources at the city level as an illustrative case. Optimization of node-splitting in each decision tree was based on the total mean-squared error of multiple regression models in binary-split child nodes. Variations of standardized partial regression coefficients for each city were obtained as the ensemble of multiple trees and visualized on scatter plots. By considering them, interaction terms with piecewise linear functions were exploratorily introduced into a final multiple regression model. The plots showed that the relationship between the healthy life expectancy and the explanatory variables could differ depending on the cities\' characteristics. The procedure implemented here was suggested as a useful exploratory method for flexibly implementing interactions in multiple regression models while maintaining interpretability.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:将运动功能与阿尔茨海默病(AD)进展联系起来的机制尚未得到很好的研究,尽管在运动脑区有AD病理的证据。因此,需要对AD敏感且特定的新的运动测量。
    方法:在121名老年人的样本中(54名认知未受损[CU],35健忘轻度认知障碍[aMCI],和32可能的轻度AD),使用分类和回归树(CART)分析,利用体积区域灰质和神经心理学评分,预测一项新型上肢运动任务6项试验的受试者内标准差(ISD).
    结果:灰质和神经心理学CART模型均表明,运动任务ISD(我们对运动学习的测量)与皮质区域和与记忆相关的认知测试分数有关,执行功能,和视觉空间技能。CART模型还可以准确区分MCI的运动任务ISD和CU中可能的轻度AD。
    结论:实践试验中运动任务表现的变异性可能对了解临床前和早期AD有价值。
    The mechanisms linking motor function to Alzheimer\'s disease (AD) progression have not been well studied, despite evidence of AD pathology within motor brain regions. Thus, there is a need for new motor measure that is sensitive and specific to AD.
    In a sample of 121 older adults (54 cognitive unimpaired [CU], 35 amnestic Mild Cognitive Impairment [aMCI], and 32 probable mild AD), intrasubject standard deviation (ISD) across six trials of a novel upper-extremity motor task was predicted with volumetric regional gray matter and neuropsychological scores using classification and regression tree (CART) analyses.
    Both gray matter and neuropsychological CART models indicated that motor task ISD (our measure of motor learning) was related to cortical regions and cognitive test scores associated with memory, executive function, and visuospatial skills. CART models also accurately distinguished motor task ISD of MCI and probable mild AD from CU.
    Variability in motor task performance across practice trials may be valuable for understanding preclinical and early-stage AD.
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