p-value

p 值
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究调查了首尔市每日确诊病例多次接种COVID-19疫苗的有效性。利用来自韩国内政和安全部官方网站的有关接种疫苗的个人和确诊病例的全面数据,我们进行了详细的统计分析,以评估每次疫苗接种剂量的影响.该研究涵盖了2021年4月21日至2022年9月29日的数据。统计多元线性回归分析每日确诊病例(PCR检测阳性结果)与多剂量疫苗之间的关系,使用p值作为确定每个剂量有效性的标准。分析包括来自四个疫苗接种剂量的数据。分析表明,第一,第二,第三剂COVID-19疫苗与每日确诊病例相关,具有统计学显著的正效应。然而,研究发现,第四剂对减少每日确诊病例没有统计学意义。这表明,尽管最初的三个剂量对于建立和维持高水平的免疫力至关重要,后续剂量的增量益处可能会减少。
    This study investigates the effectiveness of multiple COVID-19 vaccinations on daily confirmed cases in Seoul City. Utilizing comprehensive data on vaccinated individuals and confirmed cases sourced from the official website of the Korean Ministry of the Interior and Safety, we conducted detailed statistical analyses to assess the impact of each vaccination dose. The study covers data from April 21, 2021, to September 29, 2022. Statistical multiple linear regression was employed to analyze the relationship between daily confirmed cases (positive outcomes from PCR tests) and multiple vaccine doses, using p-values as the criteria for determining the effectiveness of each dose. The analysis included data from four vaccination doses. The analysis reveals that the first, second, and third doses of the COVID-19 vaccines have a statistically significant positive effect associated with the daily confirmed cases. However, the study finds that the fourth dose does not show a statistically significant impact on the reduction of daily confirmed cases. This suggests that while the initial three doses are crucial for establishing and maintaining high levels of immunity, the incremental benefit of subsequent doses may diminish.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:颞下颌关节紊乱病(TMD)是用于描述咀嚼肌和颞下颌关节(TMJ)的病理(功能障碍和疼痛)的术语。牙科研究的出版有明显的上升趋势,需要不断提高研究质量。因此,本研究旨在分析TMD随机对照试验中样本量和效应量计算的使用.
    方法:期限限制为整整5年,即,2019年、2020年、2021年、2022年和2023年发表的论文。使用过滤器文章类型-“随机对照试验”。这些研究以两级量表进行分级:0-1。在1的情况下,计算样本量(SS)和效应量(ES)。
    结果:在整个研究样本中,58%的研究中使用了SS,而15%的研究使用ES。
    结论:质量应该随着研究的增加而提高。影响质量的一个因素是统计水平。SS和ES计算为理解作者获得的结果提供了基础。访问公式,在线计算器和软件促进了这些分析。高质量的试验为医学进步提供了坚实的基础,促进个性化疗法的发展,提供更精确和有效的治疗,增加患者康复的机会。提高TMD研究的质量,和一般的医学研究,有助于增加公众对医疗进步的信心,并提高病人护理的标准。
    OBJECTIVE: Temporomandibular disorder (TMD) is the term used to describe a pathology (dysfunction and pain) in the masticatory muscles and temporomandibular joint (TMJ). There is an apparent upward trend in the publication of dental research and a need to continually improve the quality of research. Therefore, this study was conducted to analyse the use of sample size and effect size calculations in a TMD randomised controlled trial.
    METHODS: The period was restricted to the full 5 years, i.e., papers published in 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023. The filter article type-\"Randomized Controlled Trial\" was used. The studies were graded on a two-level scale: 0-1. In the case of 1, sample size (SS) and effect size (ES) were calculated.
    RESULTS: In the entire study sample, SS was used in 58% of studies, while ES was used in 15% of studies.
    CONCLUSIONS: Quality should improve as research increases. One factor that influences quality is the level of statistics. SS and ES calculations provide a basis for understanding the results obtained by the authors. Access to formulas, online calculators and software facilitates these analyses. High-quality trials provide a solid foundation for medical progress, fostering the development of personalized therapies that provide more precise and effective treatment and increase patients\' chances of recovery. Improving the quality of TMD research, and medical research in general, helps to increase public confidence in medical advances and raises the standard of patient care.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    已经讨论了通过将显著性阈值降低到0.005来提高再现性的建议,但对进行临床试验的影响尚待从研究设计的角度进行研究.使用2015年至2022年发表的125项II期研究的设计设置调查了对样本量和研究持续时间的影响。使用样本量增加的百分比和额外的应计年限来评估影响,中位数分别高出110.97%和2.65年。结果表明,该建议会导致额外的财务负担,从而降低进行临床试验的效率。
    The proposal of improving reproducibility by lowering the significance threshold to 0.005 has been discussed, but the impact on conducting clinical trials has yet to be examined from a study design perspective. The impact on sample size and study duration was investigated using design setups from 125 phase II studies published between 2015 and 2022. The impact was assessed using percent increase in sample size and additional years of accrual with the medians being 110.97% higher and 2.65 years longer respectively. The results indicated that this proposal causes additional financial burdens that reduce the efficiency of conducting clinical trials.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    空假设显著性检验(NHST)是老年和康复领域的主要统计方法。然而,NHST经常被误解或误用。在这种情况下,临床试验的结果将被视为没有效果的证据,事实上,临床相关问题可能具有“非显著”p值。相反,当观察到组间存在显著差异时,研究结果被认为具有临床相关性.假设p值不是关联或效果存在的唯一指标,应鼓励研究人员报告其他统计分析方法,如贝叶斯分析和补充统计工具以及p值(例如,效果大小,置信区间,最小的临床重要差异,和基于幅度的推断),通过提供更有效,更全面的分析来改善对临床试验结果的解释。然而,对贝叶斯分析和二级统计分析的关注并不意味着NHST不那么重要.只有这个,为了观察真正的干预效果,研究人员应结合NHST或贝叶斯统计分析使用二级统计分析的组合,以揭示老年和康复研究中无法显示的p值(例如,与对照组相比,干预组长寿老年人的握力增加1kg的临床重要性)。本文通过利用贝叶斯和二级统计分析来更好地审查临床试验的结果,为改善康复和老年领域科学数据的解释提供了潜在的见解,其中p值可能不适合单独确定干预措施的疗效。
    Null hypothesis significant testing (NHST) is the dominant statistical approach in the geriatric and rehabilitation fields. However, NHST is routinely misunderstood or misused. In this case, the findings from clinical trials would be taken as evidence of no effect, when in fact, a clinically relevant question may have a \"non-significant\" p-value. Conversely, findings are considered clinically relevant when significant differences are observed between groups. To assume that p-value is not an exclusive indicator of an association or the existence of an effect, researchers should be encouraged to report other statistical analysis approaches as Bayesian analysis and complementary statistical tools alongside the p-value (eg, effect size, confidence intervals, minimal clinically important difference, and magnitude-based inference) to improve interpretation of the findings of clinical trials by presenting a more efficient and comprehensive analysis. However, the focus on Bayesian analysis and secondary statistical analyses does not mean that NHST is less important. Only that, to observe a real intervention effect, researchers should use a combination of secondary statistical analyses in conjunction with NHST or Bayesian statistical analysis to reveal what p-values cannot show in the geriatric and rehabilitation studies (eg, the clinical importance of 1kg increase in handgrip strength in the intervention group of long-lived older adults compared to a control group). This paper provides potential insights for improving the interpretation of scientific data in rehabilitation and geriatric fields by utilizing Bayesian and secondary statistical analyses to better scrutinize the results of clinical trials where a p-value alone may not be appropriate to determine the efficacy of an intervention.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    斯托里对真实零假设比例的估计,最初是在持续框架下提出的,在离散框架下进行了修改。该修改导致对感兴趣参数的改进的估计。所提出的估计器用于制定Benjamini-Hochberg程序的自适应版本。通过分析证明了所提出的自适应过程对错误发现率的控制。拟议的估计值还用于制定Benjamini-Hochberg-Heyse程序的自适应版本。仿真实验建立了这种新的自适应过程的保守性。相对于标准程序,对于新的自适应程序观察到了大量的功率增益。为了演示所提出的方法,两个重要的现实生活基因表达数据集,一个与HIV的研究有关,另一个与甲基化研究有关,使用。
    Storey\'s estimator for the proportion of true null hypotheses, originally proposed under the continuous framework, has been modified in this work under the discrete framework. The modification results in improved estimation of the parameter of interest. The proposed estimator is used to formulate an adaptive version of the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure. Control over the false discovery rate by the proposed adaptive procedure has been proved analytically. The proposed estimate is also used to formulate an adaptive version of the Benjamini-Hochberg-Heyse procedure. Simulation experiments establish the conservative nature of this new adaptive procedure. Substantial amount of gain in power is observed for the new adaptive procedures over the standard procedures. For demonstration of the proposed method, two important real life gene expression data sets, one related to the study of HIV and the other related to methylation study, are used.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    介绍味精(MSG),加工食品中常见的全球食品添加剂,由于其化学复杂性和营养复杂性,影响风味和质地。尽管年产量为190万吨,历史上存在安全隐患,对健康的多方面影响,从代谢紊乱到神经和心血管疾病,需要进行知情消费和均衡饮食的持续研究。材料和方法这项横断面研究调查了沙特阿拉伯城市人口中与味精相关的复杂性。研究包括问卷开发,翻译,和文化适应,并由营养专家验证。对于95%的置信水平,计算样本大小为420。数据收集发生在2023年9月13日至10月31日,并确保了道德考虑。统计分析,包括卡方检验,回归分析,SPSS,探索错综复杂的关系。结果沙特阿拉伯城市人口的味精复杂性研究,涉及420名受访者,在人口统计学上表现出显著的相关性(P<0.05)。主要发现表明人们意识到味精对健康的影响,它与各种条件的联系,并大力支持将其排除在食品之外。区域,性别,年龄,社会地位相关性突出了不同的观点。西部省份的反应率最高,为42.61%,提出区域意识问题。性别动态显示,90.47%的受访者是女性,强调潜在的针对性别的关切。20-30岁(61.9%)的人口集中强调了世代因素。虽然注意到值得称赞的基线认识,73.09%的参与者认为味精有害,提示进一步调查。情绪反应,包括快乐(25.95%)和沮丧(18.33%),突出个人经验的复杂性,强调需要量身定制的沟通策略。结论沙特阿拉伯城市人口的味精复杂性研究揭示了对知识的见解,态度,和行为,强调需要考虑到地区和情绪差异的细微差别干预措施。调查结果强调了健康问题,配套法规,和知识对行为的影响。这项调查是在沙特阿拉伯城市独特的社会文化背景下进行知情的公共话语和决策的宝贵工具。
    Introduction Monosodium glutamate (MSG), a common global food additive in processed foods, influences flavors and textures due to its chemical complexity and nutritional intricacy. Despite an annual production of 1.9 million tons and historical safety concerns, the multifaceted impact on health, ranging from metabolic disorders to neurological and cardiovascular implications, necessitates ongoing research for informed consumption and balanced dietary practices. Materials and methods This cross-sectional study investigates MSG-associated intricacies among Saudi Arabia\'s urban population. The research included questionnaire development, translation, and cultural adaptation, and was validated by nutrition experts. A sample size of 420 was calculated for a 95% confidence level. Data collection occurred from September 13 to October 31, 2023, and ethical considerations were ensured. Statistical analysis, including chi-square tests, regression analysis, and SPSS, explored intricacy relationships. Results The MSG intricacy study in Saudi Arabia\'s urban population, involving 420 respondents, showed statistically significant correlations (P < 0.05) in demographics. The key findings indicate an awareness of the impact of MSG on health, its associations with various conditions, and strong support for its exclusion from foods. Region, gender, age, and social status correlations highlighted diverse perspectives. The Western province showed the highest response rate at 42.61%, prompting regional awareness questions. Gender dynamics showed that 90.47% of the respondents were females, emphasizing potential gender-specific concerns. Concentration among ages 20-30 (61.9%) underscored generational factors. While commendable baseline awareness was noted, 73.09% of the participants believing MSG is harmful prompts further investigation. Emotional responses, including happiness (25.95%) and frustration (18.33%), highlight the complexity of the individuals\' experiences, emphasizing the need for tailored communication strategies. Conclusion The MSG intricacy study in Saudi Arabia\'s urban population reveals insights into knowledge, attitudes, and behaviors, emphasizing the need for nuanced interventions considering regional and emotional differences. The findings underscore health concerns, supporting regulations, and knowledge impact on behavior. This survey serves as a valuable tool for informed public discourse and decision-making in the unique socio-cultural context of urban Saudi Arabia.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    高含量筛选(HCS)作为高通量筛选方式正被广泛采用,使用成千上万的化合物库。在图像分析中使用机器学习和人工智能正在放大这一趋势。另一个因素是认识到不同的细胞表型可能与疾病相关的生物途径的变化有关。HCS运动面临许多挑战。这些包括支持复制的能力有限,珍贵和独特的细胞或试剂的可用性低,大量的实验批次,长时间准备用于成像的细胞,图像采集时间(每板45-60分钟)和图像处理时间,随着细胞固定后的时间以及孔和批次内的可变性,图像质量恶化。为了利用HCS中的数据,需要基于细胞群体而不是基于良好的分析。历史上,统计分析和假设检验在非高内容高通量活动中的作用有限.因此,到目前为止,仅开发了数量有限的HCS命中选择标准统计标准。除了HCS活动中复杂的生物含量外,额外的可变性受到细胞和试剂处理以及可能发生故障或执行不均匀的仪器的影响。这些一起可导致大量的孔或板失效。在这里,我们描述了一种在HCS中进行命中分析和检测的自动化方法。我们的方法使用基于记录的统计框架的方法自动进行HCS命中检测。我们引入了虚拟板的概念,其中将来自不同板的选定井整理成新的,虚拟板。这样就可以对由于技术问题而失败的复合井进行救援和分析,并将击中的井收集到一块板中,允许用户更轻松地访问命中数据。
    High content screening (HCS) is becoming widely adopted as a high throughput screening modality, using hundred-of-thousands compounds library. The use of machine learning and artificial intelligence in image analysis is amplifying this trend. Another factor is the recognition that diverse cell phenotypes can be associated with changes in biological pathways relevant to disease processes. There are numerous challenges in HCS campaigns. These include limited ability to support replicates, low availability of precious and unique cells or reagents, high number of experimental batches, lengthy preparation of cells for imaging, image acquisition time (45-60 min per plate) and image processing time, deterioration of image quality with time post cell fixation and variability within wells and batches. To take advantage of the data in HCS, cell population based rather than well-based analyses are required. Historically, statistical analysis and hypothesis testing played only a limited role in non-high content high throughput campaigns. Thus, only a limited number of standard statistical criteria for hit selection in HCS have been developed so far. In addition to complex biological content in HCS campaigns, additional variability is impacted by cell and reagent handling and by instruments which may malfunction or perform unevenly. Together these can cause a significant number of wells or plates to fail. Here we describe an automated approach for hit analysis and detection in HCS. Our approach automates HCS hit detection using a methodology that is based on a documented statistical framework. We introduce the Virtual Plate concept in which selected wells from different plates are collated into a new, virtual plate. This allows the rescue and analysis of compound wells which have failed due to technical issues as well as to collect hit wells into one plate, allowing the user easier access to the hit data.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    最近,人们非常感兴趣的是对高维线性模型中的参数进行推断。在本文中,我们认为这个任务是一个简单而非常幼稚的两步程序,其中我们(I)拟合套索模型以获得变量的子集,和(ii)在套索选择集合上拟合最小二乘模型。传统的统计智慧告诉我们,我们不能利用标准的统计推断工具对由此产生的最小二乘模型(如置信区间和p值),因为我们偷看了两次数据:一次是在运行套索时,并再次拟合最小二乘模型。然而,在本文中,我们证明,在一组假设下,很有可能,套索选择的变量集与无噪声套索选择的变量集相同,因此是确定性的。因此,幼稚的两步法可以得出渐近有效的推论。我们利用这一发现来开发幼稚的置信区间,可以用来推断套索选择的模型的回归系数,以及天真的分数测试,它可以用来检验关于全模型回归系数的假设。
    A great deal of interest has recently focused on conducting inference on the parameters in a high-dimensional linear model. In this paper, we consider a simple and very naïve two-step procedure for this task, in which we (i) fit a lasso model in order to obtain a subset of the variables, and (ii) fit a least squares model on the lasso-selected set. Conventional statistical wisdom tells us that we cannot make use of the standard statistical inference tools for the resulting least squares model (such as confidence intervals and p-values), since we peeked at the data twice: once in running the lasso, and again in fitting the least squares model. However, in this paper, we show that under a certain set of assumptions, with high probability, the set of variables selected by the lasso is identical to the one selected by the noiseless lasso and is hence deterministic. Consequently, the naïve two-step approach can yield asymptotically valid inference. We utilize this finding to develop the naïve confidence interval, which can be used to draw inference on the regression coefficients of the model selected by the lasso, as well as the naïve score test, which can be used to test the hypotheses regarding the full-model regression coefficients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    代谢组学数据的单变量分析目前遵循频率论的方法,使用p值拒绝零假设。我们在这里建议使用贝叶斯统计来量化支持不同假设的证据,并区分零假设与缺乏统计能力。我们使用来自三个独立人类队列的代谢组学数据,这些数据研究了患有肌痛性脑脊髓炎/慢性疲劳综合征(ME/CFS)的受试者的血浆特征。数据是公开的,每个研究涵盖84-197名受试者,有562-888个确定的代谢物,其中777个是两项研究中常见的,93个是所有三项研究中报告的化合物。我们展示了贝叶斯统计如何将一项研究的结果作为“先验信息”纳入下一项研究,从而提高了对发现血浆代谢物水平之间特定差异的可能性的总体评估。使用经典统计数据和Benjamini-HochbergFDR校正,研究1检测到18种代谢差异,研究2检测到无差异。对相同的数据使用贝叶斯统计,在使用研究1的结果作为先验分布后,我们发现在研究2中97种化合物的浓度发生改变的可能性很高.这些发现包括较低水平的过氧化物酶体产生的醚脂,较高水平的长链不饱和三酰甘油酯,以及暴露化合物的存在,这可以通过健康受试者和ME/CFS患者之间的饮食和药物差异来解释。尽管研究3仅报道了与其他两项研究相同的92种化合物,这些主要差异得到了证实。我们还发现前列腺素F2alpha,生理相关的脂质介质,在所有三项研究中,ME/CFS患者均减少。贝叶斯统计的使用导致了从代谢组学数据中得出的生物学结论,而这些结论是通过频率方法无法找到的。我们认为,如果使用相似的代谢组学测定,贝叶斯统计对于具有相似研究设计的研究非常有用。
    Univariate analyses of metabolomics data currently follow a frequentist approach, using p-values to reject a null hypothesis. We here propose the use of Bayesian statistics to quantify evidence supporting different hypotheses and discriminate between the null hypothesis versus the lack of statistical power. We used metabolomics data from three independent human cohorts that studied the plasma signatures of subjects with myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS). The data are publicly available, covering 84-197 subjects in each study with 562-888 identified metabolites of which 777 were common between the two studies and 93 were compounds reported in all three studies. We show how Bayesian statistics incorporates results from one study as \"prior information\" into the next study, thereby improving the overall assessment of the likelihood of finding specific differences between plasma metabolite levels. Using classic statistics and Benjamini-Hochberg FDR-corrections, Study 1 detected 18 metabolic differences and Study 2 detected no differences. Using Bayesian statistics on the same data, we found a high likelihood that 97 compounds were altered in concentration in Study 2, after using the results of Study 1 as the prior distributions. These findings included lower levels of peroxisome-produced ether-lipids, higher levels of long-chain unsaturated triacylglycerides, and the presence of exposome compounds that are explained by the difference in diet and medication between healthy subjects and ME/CFS patients. Although Study 3 reported only 92 compounds in common with the other two studies, these major differences were confirmed. We also found that prostaglandin F2alpha, a lipid mediator of physiological relevance, was reduced in ME/CFS patients across all three studies. The use of Bayesian statistics led to biological conclusions from metabolomic data that were not found through frequentist approaches. We propose that Bayesian statistics is highly useful for studies with similar research designs if similar metabolomic assays are used.
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