mortality trends

死亡率趋势
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:心血管疾病(CVD)与前列腺癌(PCa)之间存在显着关联,导致高死亡率。这项研究评估了美国(US)老年(≥65岁)男性中与CVD和PCa相关的死亡率趋势。
    方法:本分析利用了疾病控制和预防中心的广泛的流行病学研究在线数据(CDCWONDER)。从1999年到2019年进行了多种死亡原因档案的分析,以确定CVD和PCa被列为死亡原因或潜在死亡原因。每100,000人口的粗死亡率和年龄调整死亡率(AAMR),例如年份,种族和民族,并确定了地理区域。为了评估年度百分比变化(APC),采用关节点回归程序。
    结果:1999年的总体AAMR为54.3,2019年为34.0。在1999年至2015年AAMR下降之后,直到2019年,死亡率都出现了惊人的上升。非西班牙裔(NH)黑人和非裔美国男性的死亡率最高(74.6)。地理上,死亡率最高的地区是西部(46.3)和非大都市地区(44.6)。AAMR排名在第90百分位的州是北达科他州,加州,内布拉斯加州,哥伦比亚特区,还有密西西比州.
    结论:在1999年至2015年与CVD和PCa相关的死亡率下降之后,从2015年至2019年观察到趋势逆转。解决死亡率上升的问题,特别是在弱势群体中,需要集中关注和有针对性的战略,以在未来几年实施必要的保障措施。
    OBJECTIVE: There is a significant association between cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and prostate cancer (PCa), leading to high mortality. This study evaluates the trends in mortality associated with CVDs and PCa among older (≥ 65 years) men in the United States (US).
    METHODS: This analysis utilized the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention\'s Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER). The analysis of Multiple Cause of Death Files was carried out from 1999 to 2019 to identify fatalities with CVD and PCa listed as either contributory or underlying causes of death. Crude and age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 populations for variables such as year, race and ethnicity, and geographic regions were determined. To assess annual percent change (APC), a Joinpoint regression program was employed.
    RESULTS: Overall AAMR was 54.3 in 1999 and 34.6 in 2019. After a decline in AAMR from 1999 to 2015, an alarming rise in mortality was observed until 2019. Mortality rates were highest among Non-Hispanic (NH) Black and African American men (74.9). Geographically, the highest mortalities were witnessed in the West (46.4) and non-metropolitan areas (44.6). States with AAMRs ranking in the 90th percentile were Nebraska, California, North Dakota, the District of Columbia, and Mississippi.
    CONCLUSIONS: After decreasing death rates associated with CVD and PCa from 1999 to 2015, a reversal in the trend was observed from 2015 to 2019. Addressing this increase in death rates, especially among the vulnerable population, requires focused attention and targeted strategies to implement necessary safeguards in the upcoming years.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:自1998年以来,病例混合调整后的血液透析死亡率有所下降。影响死亡率的许多因素可能导致了这一趋势,这些关联可能因大陆地区而异。我们研究了血液透析设施实践随时间的变化及其在介导患者生存变化中的潜在作用。
    方法:观察性前瞻性队列研究。
    方法:1999年至2015年在美国参加透析结果实践模式研究(DOPPS)的500家血液透析设施中接受治疗的成年血液透析患者,Japan,和4个欧洲国家:德国,意大利,西班牙,和英国。
    方法:每个设施的四种实践措施:Kt/V>1.2,透析间体重增加[IDWG]<5.7%的患者百分比,磷<6mg/dL,使用房室瘘。
    结果:患者生存。
    方法:调解分析,针对案例组合进行了调整,使用3年的研究阶段作为暴露和设施实践措施作为潜在的介体。
    结果:在欧洲,我们观察到每十年总病例混合校正生存率提高13%.设施实践措施的趋势,特别是Kt/V和磷,解释了病例组合生存率每十年提高10%,代表观察到的改善的77%(10%解释为13%的改善)。在日本,观察到的病例组合调整后生存率12%/十年的改善中,有73%可归因于设施实践,特别是Kt/V和IDWG。在美国,观察到的病例组合调整后生存率47%/十年的改善中,有56%可归因于设施实践,尤其是房室瘘的使用和磷的控制。
    结论:在此期间患者群体特征的未测量变化可能混淆了观察到的关联。
    结论:欧洲调整后血液透析患者生存率的改善,Japan,美国从1999年到2015年可以在很大程度上解释为具体设施实践的改进。患者生存率的未来变化可能会响应于共同临床实践实施的进一步发展。
    OBJECTIVE: Case-mix adjusted hemodialysis mortality has decreased since 1998. Many factors that influence mortality may have contributed to this trend and these associations may differ by continental region. We studied changes in hemodialysis facility practices over time and their potential role in mediating changes in patient survival.
    METHODS: Observational prospective cohort study.
    METHODS: Adult hemodialysis patients treated in hemodialysis 500 facilities participating in the Dialysis Outcomes Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS) between 1999 and 2015 in the US, Japan, and 4 four European countries: Germany, Italy, Spain, and UK.
    METHODS: Four practice measures at each facility: the percentages of patients with Kt/V>1.2, interdialytic weight gain [IDWG]<5.7%, phosphorus<6 mg/dL, and using AV fistulae.
    RESULTS: Patient survival.
    METHODS: Mediation analyses, adjusted for case mix, were conducted using 3-year study phase as the exposure and facility practice measures as potential mediators.
    RESULTS: In Europe, we observed a 13% improvement in overall case-mix adjusted survival per decade. Trends in facility practice measures, especially Kt/V and phosphorus, explained 10% improvement in case-mix survival per decade, representing 77% (10% explained of 13% improvement) of the observed improvement. In Japan, 73% of the observed 12%/decade improvement in case-mix adjusted survival could be attributed to facility practices, especially Kt/V and IDWG. In the US, 56% of the observed 47%/decade improvement in case-mix adjusted survival could be attributed to facility practices, especially AV fistula use and phosphorus control.
    CONCLUSIONS: Unmeasured changes in the characteristics of the patient population over this period may confound the observed associations.
    CONCLUSIONS: The improvements in adjusted hemodialysis patient survival in Europe, Japan, and the US from 1999 to 2015 can be largely explained by improvements in specific facility practices. Future changes in patient survival may be responsive to further evolution in the implementation of common clinical practices.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:很少有关于甲状腺乳头状癌(PTC)生存率和死亡率根据社会经济地位的分期和水平的趋势的研究。
    方法:全国队列研究。
    方法:从丹麦癌症登记处确定了2000-2015年在丹麦诊断为PTC的患者,并随访至2020年底。我们根据阶段和5年死亡率评估了5年全因死亡率和相对生存率,并根据阶段和教育程度评估了相应的年均百分比变化(AAPC)。最后,我们使用Cox回归评估了几个因素与PTC死亡率之间的相关性.
    结果:对于2000-2015年诊断的2006例PTC病例,相对生存率趋于增加,死亡率趋于降低。对于本地化PTC,死亡率在受过中等教育的个体中趋于下降(AAPC=-7.0,95%置信区间[CI]:-14.7至1.5),但在长期受教育的个体中显示出增加的模式(AAPC=19.8,95%CI:-4.2至50.0)。对于非局部PTC,中、长期受教育的个体死亡率呈下降趋势(AAPC=-5.5,95%CI:-13.2~2.9,AAPC=-10.4,95%CI:-20.8~1.4).在Cox回归分析中,在最近的日历期和长期教育中被诊断为PTC与较低的死亡率相关。
    结论:在2000-2015年期间,丹麦发现PTC在所有阶段的相对生存率增加和死亡率降低的模式。死亡率的下降模式在接受局部阶段和中等教育的个体中最为明显,以及非本地化阶段和中长期教育的个人。
    OBJECTIVE: Few studies exist on trends in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) survival and mortality according to stage and level of socioeconomic status.
    METHODS: Nationwide cohort study.
    METHODS: Patients diagnosed with PTC during 2000-2015 in Denmark were identified from the Danish Cancer Registry and followed until the end of 2020. We evaluated 5-year all-cause mortality and relative survival according to stage and 5-year mortality rates with corresponding average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) according to stage and education. Finally, we assessed the association between several factors and mortality of PTC using Cox regression.
    RESULTS: For the 2006 cases of PTC diagnosed during 2000-2015, relative survival tended to increase and mortality rates tended to decrease for all stages. For localized PTC, mortality rates tended to decrease among individuals with medium education (AAPC = -7.0, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -14.7 to 1.5), but showed an increasing pattern among individuals with long education (AAPC = 19.8, 95% CI: -4.2 to 50.0). For nonlocalized PTC, mortality rates showed a decreasing tendency among individuals with medium and long education (AAPC = -5.5, 95% CI: -13.2 to 2.9, and AAPC = -10.4, 95% CI: -20.8 to 1.4, respectively). Being diagnosed with PTC in a more recent calendar period and long education were associated with a lower mortality rate in the Cox regression analysis.
    CONCLUSIONS: A pattern of an increasing relative survival and decreasing mortality rates of PTC across all stages was seen in Denmark during 2000-2015. The decreasing pattern in mortality rates was most evident in individuals with localized stage and medium education, and in individuals with nonlocalized stage and medium or long education.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:《统一死亡判定法》(UDDA)确保不可逆地停止循环系统的个体,呼吸,或脑功能得到及时的姑息治疗。我们的研究集中在确定基于性别的唐氏综合症(DS)患者的死亡率差异,年龄,种族群体,以及美国超过22年的地理区域。本研究旨在分析死亡地点的差异,包括医院,疗养院,临终关怀护理设施,和未指定的位置,考虑人口和区域变量。
    方法:利用横断面观察研究设计,我们从疾病控制和预防中心的广泛的流行病学研究在线数据(CDC-WONDER)数据库中提取数据,专门针对国际疾病分类编码的死亡,第11版(ICD-11)代码“Q-90。“这个分析,涵盖1999年至2020年,按年龄细分数据,性别,种族,和美国人口普查地区。死亡地点被归类为家庭/临终关怀,医疗设施,和护理/其他设施。数据分析使用MicrosoftExcel进行,并应用自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)模型进行统计评估。
    结果:我们的分析包括与DS相关的22604例死亡,正如1999年至2020年CDC-WONDER数据库中记录的那样。这些死亡大部分发生在医疗或护理机构,家庭或临终关怀死亡占6106例,其他地方死亡占5.29%。单变量逻辑回归用于确定家庭或临终关怀死亡的预测因素,揭示了随着时间的推移,在这些环境中死亡人数增加的趋势。
    结论:在1999年至2020年之间,DS在家中或临终关怀中死亡的人数显着增加,尤其是55-64岁的人群。女性和被确定为白人的人的死亡率高于其他人口群体。这种转变凸显了需要了解该人群死亡地点的差异,确保所有DS患者公平获得优质的临终护理。
    BACKGROUND: The Uniform Determination of Death Act (UDDA) ensures that individuals with irreversible cessation of circulatory, respiratory, or brain functions receive timely palliative care. Our research has focused on identifying disparities in mortality among individuals with Down syndrome (DS) based on gender, age, racial groups, and geographic regions within the United States over 22 years. This study aims to analyze differences in the location of death, including hospitals, nursing homes, hospice care facilities, and unspecified locations, considering demographic and regional variables.
    METHODS: Utilizing a cross-sectional observational study design, we extracted data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention\'s Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC-WONDER) database, specifically targeting deaths coded under the International Classification of Diseases, 11th Revision (ICD-11) code \"Q-90.\" This analysis, covering 1999 to 2020, segmented the data by age, gender, race, and United States Census regions. Death locations were categorized into home/hospice, medical facilities, and nursing/other facilities. Data analysis was conducted using Microsoft Excel, and the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model was applied for statistical assessments.
    RESULTS: Our analysis included 22604 deaths related to DS, as recorded in the CDC-WONDER database from 1999 to 2020. The majority of these deaths occurred in medical or nursing facilities, with home or hospice deaths accounting for 6106 cases and other locations for 5.29% of deaths. Univariate logistic regression was used to identify predictors of home or hospice deaths, revealing a trend of increasing deaths in these settings over time.
    CONCLUSIONS: Between 1999 and 2020, there was a notable increase in the number of individuals with DS dying at home or in hospice care, especially among those aged 55-64. Female individuals and those identified as white experienced higher mortality rates than other demographic groups. This shift highlights the need to understand the disparity in places of death within this population, ensuring equitable access to quality end-of-life care for all individuals with DS.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在美国,肾衰竭是导致死亡的第十大原因,经常作为与糖尿病(DM)相关的并发症出现。
    方法:使用来自疾病控制和预防中心流行病学研究(CDCWONDER)数据库的死亡证明的横断面分析评估了DM和肾衰竭死亡率的趋势。获得了每100,000人的粗和年龄调整死亡率(AAMR)以及95%CI的年龄调整死亡率的年变化百分比(APC),并在不同的人口和地理亚组中进行了测量。
    结果:在1999年至2020年期间,共有325,515例死亡与肾衰竭和DM有关。从1999年到2012年,年龄调整后的总体死亡率没有显着变化,此后一直下降到2015年-64.8(95%CI-75.6至-44.8),并且此后一直稳步上升。在整个研究期间,男性的年龄调整死亡率始终高于女性(总体年龄调整死亡率男性:8.1vs.妇女:5.9)。非西班牙裔(NH)黑人或非裔美国人的总体年龄调整死亡率最高(13.9),其次是非西班牙裔美国印第安人或阿拉斯加原住民(13.7),西班牙裔或拉丁裔(10.3),非西班牙裔亚洲或太平洋岛民(6.1),和非西班牙裔白人(6.0)。年龄调整后的死亡率也因地区而异(总体年龄调整后的死亡率:西部:7.5;中西部:7.1;南部:6.8;东北部:5.8),非大都市地区的总体年龄调整死亡率(7.5)高于中小型(7.2)和大城市地区(6.4)。
    结论:在最初的下降之后,从2015年到2020年,所有人口群体的死亡率都在上升,这表明性别差异显著,种族,和区域。
    BACKGROUND: Kidney failure ranks as the tenth leading cause of mortality in the United States (US), frequently arising as a complication associated with diabetes mellitus (DM).
    METHODS: Trends in DM and kidney failure mortality were assessed using a cross-sectional analysis of death certificates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database. Crude and age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) per 100,000 people and annual percent change (APC) in age-adjusted mortality rate with 95% CI were obtained and measured across different demographic and geographic subgroups.
    RESULTS: Between 1999 and 2020, a total of 325,515 deaths occurred related to kidney failure and DM. The overall age-adjusted mortality rate showed no significant change between 1999 and 2012, after which it declined until 2015 - 64.8 (95% CI - 75.6 to - 44.8) and has been steadily increasing since. Men had consistently higher age-adjusted mortality rates than women throughout the study duration (overall age-adjusted mortality rate men: 8.1 vs. women: 5.9). Non-Hispanic (NH) Black or African American individuals had the highest overall age-adjusted mortality rate (13.9), followed by non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaskan Native (13.7), Hispanic or Latino (10.3), non-Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander (6.1), and non-Hispanic White (6.0). Age-adjusted mortality rate also varied by region (overall age-adjusted mortality rate: West:7.5; Midwest: 7.1; South: 6.8; Northeast: 5.8), and non metropolitan areas had higher overall age-adjusted mortality rate (7.5) than small/medium (7.2) and large metropolitan areas (6.4).
    CONCLUSIONS: After an initial decline, mortality rose across all the demographic groups from 2015 to 2020, revealing notable disparities in gender, race, and region.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    慢性下呼吸道疾病(CLRD)相关的死亡率在美国有所下降,这是由于普通人群的认识提高和预防工作的推进。诊断措施,和治疗。然而,整个美国的人口和地区差异仍然存在。在这项研究中,我们分析了CLRD相关死亡率的人口统计学和地理差异的时间趋势.数据是从疾病控制和预防中心广泛的流行病学研究在线数据(CDCWONDER)数据库中提取的。使用这些数据,每10万人的年龄调整死亡率(AAMR),年度百分比变化(APC),并评估了95%置信区间(CI)的平均年度百分比变化。Joinpoint回归程序用于根据人口和区域群体确定1999年至2020年之间的死亡率趋势。在本研究期间,与CLRD相关的死亡人数为3,064,049人,大多数人口统计学和地区呈现整体下降趋势。然而,非西班牙裔白人人口和农村地区的死亡率较高.有趣的是,与女性相比,男性在整个研究期间的死亡率呈下降趋势,他们在2010年代后半期才开始显示死亡率下降。利用这些结果,人们可以有针对性地努力并制定政策,以改善未来几十年与CLRD相关的死亡率并缩小差距。
    Chronic lower respiratory disease (CLRD) related mortality has decreased in the United States due to increasing awareness in the general population and advancing preventative efforts, diagnostic measures, and treatment. However, demographic and regional differences still persist throughout the United States. In this study, we analyzed the temporal trends of demographic and geographical differences in CLRD-related mortality. Data was extracted from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database. Using this data, age-adjusted mortality rates per 100,000 people (AAMR), annual percentage change (APC), and average annual percentage changes with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were assessed. The Joinpoint Regression Program was used to determine mortality trends between 1999 and 2020 based on demographic and regional groups.During this study period, there were 3,064,049 CLRD-related deaths, with most demographics and regional areas showing an overall decreasing trend. However, higher mortality rates were seen in the non-Hispanic White population and rural areas. Interestingly, mortality rates witnessed a decreasing trend for males throughout the study duration compared to females, who only began to show decreases in mortality during the latter half of the 2010s. Using these results, one can target efforts and build policies to improve CLRD-related mortality and reduce disparities in the coming decades.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:研究非西班牙裔(NH)成人胰腺癌的死亡率趋势。
    方法:CDC-WONDER数据库用于提取1999年至2020年≥45岁NH成人胰腺癌相关死亡率的死亡证明数据。每100,000人的年龄调整死亡率(AAMR)和年度变化百分比(APC)进行了计算和分层,年龄,性别,种族,和区域。
    结果:从1999年到2020年,783,772例死亡发生在中年(45-64岁)和老年(65-85岁)NH成年人中。总体AAMR从1999年的31.7增加到2020年的33.8(APC:0.35;95%CI:0.28-0.41)。NH老年人的AAMR(67.9)高于NH中年人(12.5)。男性的AAMR(37.7)始终高于女性(28.4)。与NH白人(32.1)相比,NH非裔美国人的AAMR最高(40.8),NH美洲印第安人(23.9),和NH亚洲人(22.4)。大都市地区的AAMR(32.7)高于非大都市地区(32.2)。东北地区的AAMR最高(34.0),其次是中西部(33.2),南(32.2),和西部(30.1)。特拉华州,哥伦比亚特区,路易斯安那州,密歇根州,密西西比州的AAMR是各州中最高的。
    结论:从1999年到2020年,NH成人的胰腺癌相关死亡率有所增加。据报道,老年男性的AAMR最高,NH非洲裔美国人,东北和大都市地区。
    OBJECTIVE: To examine mortality trends among non-Hispanic (NH) adults with pancreatic cancer.
    METHODS: CDC-WONDER database was used to extract death certificate data on pancreatic cancer-related mortality in NH adults aged ≥ 45 from 1999 to 2020. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 persons and annual percent changes (APCs) were calculated and stratified by year, age, sex, race, and region.
    RESULTS: From 1999 to 2020, 783,772 deaths occurred among middle-aged (45-64) and older (65-85 +) NH adults. Overall AAMR increased from 31.7 in 1999 to 33.8 in 2020 (APC: 0.35; 95% CI:0.28-0.41). NH older adults had higher AAMRs (67.9) than NH middle-aged adults (12.5). Men consistently had higher AAMRs (37.7) than women (28.4). NH African Americans had the highest AAMRs (40.8) compared to NH Whites (32.1), NH American Indians (23.9), and NH Asians (22.4). Metropolitan areas had a higher AAMR (32.7) than non-metropolitan areas (32.2). The Northeast region had the highest AAMR (34.0) followed by Midwest (33.2), South (32.2), and West (30.1). Delaware, District of Columbia, Louisiana, Michigan, and Mississippi had the highest AAMRs among states.
    CONCLUSIONS: Pancreatic cancer-related mortality among NH adults has increased from 1999 to 2020. Highest AAMRs were reported in older men, NH African Americans, the Northeastern and metropolitan areas.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:以前的报道描述了不同种族/族裔群体中阿片类药物过量死亡率的变化。我们分析了青少年和年轻人中阿片类药物和多物质阿片类药物过量死亡率的种族/种族趋势,以进一步表征该特定人群中的差异和潜在的亚流行病。
    方法:我们使用了1999年至2020年美国疾病控制和预防中心流行病学研究(WONDER)多重死亡原因档案中的死亡率数据。使用国际疾病分类确定药物过量死亡率,第十次修订(ICD-10)代码。Joinpoint回归用于检查所有阿片类药物的死亡率,阿片类药物与兴奋剂,阿片类药物与苯二氮卓类药物,以及种族/族裔群体中含有酒精的阿片类药物(非西班牙裔白人,非西班牙裔黑人,西班牙裔,非西班牙裔其他)在青少年和年轻人中。
    结果:所有种族/族裔群体的阿片类药物和阿片类药物多物质过量导致的死亡率平均年变化百分比(AAPC)在1999年至2020年期间有数据可供分析。对于任何阿片类药物和任何含有兴奋剂的阿片类药物造成的死亡率,在非西班牙裔黑人中发现了最大的AAPC。
    结论:在过去的二十年中,青少年和年轻人因阿片类药物过量而导致的死亡率空前增加。异质趋势支持这样一种观点,即先前定义的阿片类药物过量流行“波”可能无法准确描述危机在所有种族/族裔群体中的影响。此外,从2012年开始,阿片类兴奋剂过量死亡率的惊人增长进一步表征了第三波和第四波的相互关联的影响.
    Previous reports have described variations in opioid overdose mortalities among different race/ethnicity groups. We have analyzed racial/ethnicity trends in opioid and polysubstance opioid overdose mortalities in adolescents and young adults to further characterize differences and potential sub-epidemics within this specific population.
    We used mortality data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (WONDER) Multiple Cause of Death file from 1999 to 2020. Drug overdose mortalities were identified using International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes. Joinpoint regression was used to examine mortality rates for all opioids, opioids with a stimulant, opioids with benzodiazepines, and opioids with alcohol among racial/ethnic groups (non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, non-Hispanic other) in adolescents and young adults.
    The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) for mortality due to opioid and polysubstance opioid overdose increased for all racial/ethnic groups where data was available for analysis from 1999 to 2020. For mortality due to any opioid and any opioid with a stimulant, the greatest AAPC was seen among non-Hispanic Blacks.
    Unprecedented increases in mortality due to opioid overdose occurred in the last two decades among adolescents and young adults. Heterogenous trends support the notion that the previously defined opioid overdose epidemic \"waves\" may not accurately depict the effects of the crisis in all race/ethnicity groups. Additionally, alarming increases in opioid-stimulant overdose mortality starting in 2012 further characterize the interrelated effects of the third and fourth waves.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景在过去的二十年里,在急性心肌梗死(AMI)治疗方面取得了许多进展.我们评估了这些进展对AMI相关死亡率趋势的影响。方法回顾性分析疾病控制中心的广泛在线流行病学研究数据(CDC_WONDER)数据库,重点是1999年至2020年美国65岁及以上人群与AMI相关的死亡率。趋势-n粗和年龄调整后的死亡率(AAMR)基于社会人口统计学和区域变量,使用JoinpointRegression软件(JoinpointRegressionProgram,5.0.2版-2023年5月;统计方法和应用部门,监测研究计划,国家癌症研究所贝塞斯达,马里兰)。使用数据驱动的加权贝叶斯信息标准(BIC)模型,为连接接合点的线段计算了AAMR的95%置信区间(CI)的年度百分比变化(APC)。结果有2,354,971例AMI相关死亡,AAMR从1999年的474.6下降到2020年的153.2,平均年变化百分比(AAPC)为-5.3(95%CI-5.4至-5.2)。在不同性别之间观察到显著的下降,种族,年龄组,和城市化水平。然而,死者家庭与AMI相关的死亡率在2008年至2020年期间放缓,在2018年至2020年期间上升。除此之外,与大、中/小大都市地区相比,非大都市地区的死亡率下降幅度明显较低.结论虽然在降低AMI相关死亡率方面存在总体积极趋势,差距仍然存在,强调需要有针对性的干预措施。
    Background Over the past two decades, there have been numerous advances in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) care. We assessed the impact of these advances on the trend of AMI-related mortality. Methods This retrospective analysis of the Centers for Disease Control\'s Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC_WONDER) database focused on AMI-related mortality in individuals aged 65 and older in the United States from 1999 to 2020. Trends -n crude and age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) were assessed based on socio-demographic and regional variables using Joinpoint Regression software (Joinpoint Regression Program, Version 5.0.2 - May 2023; Statistical Methodology and Applications Branch, Surveillance Research Program, National Cancer Institute Bethesda, Maryland). Annual percentage change (APC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the AAMRs were calculated for the line segments linking a Joinpoint using a data-driven weighted Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) model. Results There were 2,354,971 AMI-related deaths with an overall decline in the AAMR from 474.6 in 1999 to 153.2 in 2020 and an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of -5.3 (95% CI -5.4 to -5.2). Notable declines were observed across gender, race, age groups, and urbanization levels. However, the rate of AMI-related deaths at decedents\' homes slowed down between 2008 and 2020 and climbed up between 2018 and 2020. In addition to this, nonmetropolitan areas were found to have a significantly lower decline in mortality when compared to large and medium/small metropolitan areas. Conclusion While there is an overall positive trend in reducing AMI-associated mortality, disparities persist, emphasizing the need for targeted interventions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景心包疾病表现为各种临床形式,包括急性心包炎,缩窄性心包炎,心包积液,和心脏填塞,以急性心包炎最为普遍.这些情况极大地导致了死亡率。因此,本文旨在根据年龄和性别分析巴西人口的死亡率趋势,阐明心包疾病对公共卫生结果的影响。方法对巴西(2000-2022年)心包疾病死亡率进行回顾性时间序列分析。数据来自统一卫生系统(DATASUS)的信息学部门,并纳入第10版国际疾病分类(ICD-10)编码:I30,I31和I32进行分析.我们从巴西地理与统计研究所(IBGE)收集了按年龄范围和性别分类的人口和人口统计数据。随后,我们计算了每100,000个人的年龄标准化死亡率,并使用连接点回归评估了年度百分比变化(APC)和平均年度百分比变化(AAPC),以及它们相应的95%置信区间(CI)。结果在基于性别的死亡率趋势方面,在研究期间,男性和合并性别的总死亡率保持稳定.然而,女性死亡率显著上升(AAPC=1.18),特别是在2020年至2022年之间,APC为27.55。分析不同年龄段(20至80岁及以上)的心包疾病,观察到在整个研究期间,70-79岁和80岁及以上年龄组的死亡率显著增加(分别为AAPC=1.0339和AAPC=3.4587).这两个年龄组在2020年至2022年期间的死亡率增幅最高。其他年龄组的AAPC没有显着变化。结论这项跨越二十年(2000-2022年)的综合分析,研究了巴西心包疾病的死亡率趋势,并揭示了总体相对稳定。男性由于心包疾病而表现出总体较高的死亡率;然而,女性在整个时期的死亡率上升趋势最为显著。在第一部分(2000-2015)中,死亡率在所有队列中上升,这归因于不合格的医疗设施和结核病等传染病。第二部分(2016-2020年)死亡率下降,可能是由于医疗保健的改善,特别是超声心动图的可用性增加。然而,第三部分(2020-2022)见证了死亡率的急剧上升,恰逢COVID-19大流行,有COVID-19后症状,尤其是心包炎.与心包积液相比,心包炎相关的死亡率下降,死亡率与年龄直接相关,由于合并症增加,老年人群的死亡率更高,健康和免疫能力下降。
    Background Pericardial diseases manifest in various clinical forms, including acute pericarditis, constrictive pericarditis, pericardial effusion, and cardiac tamponade, with acute pericarditis being the most prevalent. These conditions significantly contribute to mortality rates. Therefore, this article aimed to analyze mortality trends in the Brazilian population based on age and sex, shedding light on the impact of pericardial diseases on public health outcomes. Methods  This is a retrospective time-series analysis of pericardial disease mortality rates in Brazil (2000-2022). Data was obtained from the Department of Informatics of the Unified Health System (DATASUS), and the 10th edition of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) codes: I30, I31, and I32 were included for analysis. We gathered population and demographic data categorized by age range and sex from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). Subsequently, we computed the age-standardized mortality rate per 100,000 individuals and assessed the annual percentage changes (APCs) and average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) using joinpoint regression, along with their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results  In terms of mortality trends based on sex, overall mortality rates remained stable for males and combined sexes over the study period. However, there was a notable increase in mortality rates among females (AAPC=1.18), particularly between 2020 and 2022, with a significant APC of 27.55. Analyzing pericardial diseases across different age groups (20 to 80 years and above), it wasobserved that mortality rates significantly increased in the 70-79 and 80 years and above age groups throughout the study period (AAPC=1.0339 and AAPC=3.4587, respectively). These two age groups experienced the highest significant rise in mortality between 2020 and 2022. Other age groups did not exhibit a significant change in AAPC. Conclusions  This comprehensive analysis spanning two decades (2000-2022), examined the mortality trends of pericardial diseases in Brazil and revealed relative stability overall. Males exhibited an overall higher mortality number due to pericardial diseases; however, females showed the most significant increase in mortality trend throughout the whole period. In the first segment (2000-2015), mortality rose across all cohorts, which was attributed to substandard healthcare facilities and infectious diseases like tuberculosis. The second segment (2016-2020) saw a decline in mortality, likely due to improved healthcare, particularly the increased availability of echocardiograms. However, the third segment (2020-2022) witnessed a sharp rise in mortality, coinciding with the COVID-19 pandemic, with post-COVID-19 symptoms, particularly pericarditis. Pericarditis-related death rates declined compared to pericardial effusion, and mortality rates correlated directly with age, with older cohorts experiencing higher mortality due to increased comorbidities, and decline in health and immunocompetency.
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