heatwaves

热浪
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    热浪(HW)对人类健康的影响是一个越来越感兴趣的话题,因为这些现象及其巨大的社会经济影响在全球范围内扩大。至于南欧的其他国家,西班牙是一个受高温及其在气候变化下增加的地区。这在平均值以及极端天气事件和相关死亡率的增加中观察到。尽管在这个主题上有丰富的知识,目前尚不清楚HW的特定类型和特征是否对人群特别有害,以及这是否显示出区域相互依存。本研究对西班牙12个城市的HW特征与死亡率之间的关系进行了全面分析。我们在每个城市中使用了准泊松回归模型以及分布滞后线性和非线性模型的分离时间序列分析。结果表明,在HW频率较低的城市中,HW条件下的死亡风险增加。然而,这种增加在研究的城市中表现出显著差异,在HW特征-死亡率关联中没有显示任何一般模式.这种关系被证明是复杂的,并且在很大程度上取决于每个城市的当地财产,指出迫切需要在当地范围内检查和了解HW特征和HW与死亡率的关系,以便有效设计和实施预防措施。
    The impact of heatwaves (HWs) on human health is a topic of growing interest due to the global magnification of these phenomena and their substantial socio-economic impacts. As for other countries of Southern Europe, Spain is a region highly affected by heat and its increase under climate change. This is observed in the mean values and the increasing incidence of extreme weather events and associated mortality. Despite the vast knowledge on this topic, it remains unclear whether specific types and characteristics of HW are particularly harmful to the population and whether this shows a regional interdependency. The present study provides a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between HW characteristics and mortality in 12 Spanish cities. We used separated time series analysis in each city applying a quasi-Poisson regression model and distributed lag linear and non-linear models. Results show an increase in the mortality risk under HW conditions in the cities with a lower HW frequency. However, this increase exhibits remarkable differences across the cities under study not showing any general pattern in the HW characteristics-mortality association. This relationship is shown to be complex and strongly dependent on the local properties of each city pointing out the crucial need to examine and understand on a local scale the HW characteristics and the HW-mortality relationship for an efficient design and implementation of prevention measures.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    极端气候的同时发生会显著影响生态系统,增加了对物理风险的脆弱性。尽管对全球极端炎热和干旱进行了广泛的研究,在理解这种情况方面仍然存在很大的差距,量级,空间范围,以及相关的极端复合风险,涵盖温暖/干燥等场景,冷/干,温暖/潮湿,冷/湿。本研究使用从印度气象部门(IMD)获得的1951年至2014年印度陆地的月度数据,通过检查最高温度(Tx)和标准化降水蒸散指数(SPEI)的组合来调查各种复合极端情景。从结果来看,温暖/干燥事件的空间范围以每十年1.8%的速度增加,而印度的冷/湿事件减少了1.1%。暖/湿事件显示约0.3%的上升趋势,和寒冷/干旱事件每十年温和上升0.7%。此外,印度的复合热/干和冷/湿极端表现出极端的频率和较短的重现期,带来更大的风险。相反,复合寒冷/干燥和温暖/潮湿极端情况发生的频率较低,表明更长的回报期和更低的风险。在全国大部分地区,温暖/干燥的频率,冷/干,温暖/潮湿,和寒冷/潮湿的极端范围从30到45、15-30、20-30和25-45个月,分别。值得注意的是,与基准期(1951-1982年)相比,最近一段时期(1983-2014年)的温暖/干燥条件表现出31年的频率增加,基准期(1951-1982年)约为24年,空间范围超过5%。这项研究的结果有助于从多变量的角度加深对复合极端气候变化的理解。
    The simultaneous occurrence of climate extremes significantly impacts ecosystems, increasing the vulnerability to physical risks. Despite extensive research on hot extremes and droughts globally, there remains a significant gap in comprehending the occurrence, magnitude, spatial extent, and associated risks of compound extremes, encompassing scenarios like warm/dry, cold/dry, warm/wet, and cold/wet. This study investigates various compound extreme scenarios by examining combinations of maximum temperature (Tx) and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) using monthly data from 1951 to 2014 acquired from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) for Indian landmass. From the results, the spatial extent of warm/dry events has increased at 1.8 % per decade, while cold/wet events decreased by 1.1 % over India. The warm/wet events have shown an increased trend of about 0.3 %, and cold/dry events at modest rise of 0.7 % per decade. Furthermore, compound warm/dry and cold/wet extremes over India exhibit extreme frequency and shorter return periods, posing greater risk. Conversely, compound cold/dry and warm/wet extremes occur less often, indicating longer return periods and lower risk. Across much of the country, the frequency of warm/dry, cold/dry, warm/wet, and cold/wet extremes ranges from 30 to 45, 15-30, 20-30, and 25-45 months, respectively. Notably, warm/dry conditions exhibit increased frequency in the recent period (1983-2014) with 31 years compared to the base period (1951-1982) which had approximately 24 years for a spatial extent exceeding 5 %. The findings of this study contribute to an enhanced understanding of the changes in compound climate extremes from a multivariate perspective.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    导致21世纪极端气候的气候变化在世界各地的特大城市中更为明显,尤其是在西非。大阿克拉地区是西非人口最多的地区之一。因此,该地区变得更容易受到洪水等极端气候的影响,热浪,和干旱。该研究采用了耦合模型比较项目6模型,模拟了1979年至2059年间西非共享社会经济途径情景(SSP)下的气候极端指数,以大阿克拉地区为例。该研究观察到历史时期的干旱普遍较弱,预计在大阿克拉地区的SSP585下尤其会加剧。例如,在SSP下,连续干燥天数(CDD)呈增加趋势。同样,西非CDD的总体预测趋势表明,未来干旱将更加频繁和更长。洪水指数显示,在该地区的SSP下,极端降水事件的强度和持续时间激增。例如,在SSP下,R99pTOT和Rx5天预计将显着增加,在SSP245,SSP370和SSP585下将加剧。西非也有类似的趋势,尤其是在几内亚海岸.该研究预计,大阿克拉地区的热浪指数将逐渐上升。在历史时期以及在SSP下,特别是在阿克拉和特马等城市中心,变暖和降温指数分别显示出增加和减少的趋势。预计大多数西非国家将观察到更频繁的温暖日夜,而寒冷的夜晚和白天变得不那么频繁。未来极端气候指数的预期影响对水构成潜在威胁,食物,和能源系统,并引发大阿克拉地区的经常性洪水和干旱。该研究的结果预计将为气候政策和《巴黎协定》的国家自主贡献提供信息,并解决西非的可持续发展目标11(可持续城市)和13(气候行动)。
    Climate change leading to Climate extremes in the twenty-first century is more evident in megacities across the world, especially in West Africa. The Greater Accra region is one of the most populated regions in West Africa. As a result, the region has become more susceptible to climate extremes such as floods, heatwaves, and droughts. The study employed the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 models in simulating climate extreme indices under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios (SSPs) over West Africa between 1979 and 2059 as exemplified by the Greater Accra region. The study observed a generally weak drought in the historical period and expected to intensify especially under SSP585 in Greater Accra. For instance, continuous dry days (CDD) reveal an increasing trend under the SSPs. Similarly, the overall projected trend of CDD over West Africa reveals an increase signifying a more frequent and longer drought in the future. The flood indices revealed a surge in the intensity and duration of extreme precipitation events under the SSPs in the region. For instance, R99pTOT and Rx5days are expected to significantly increase under the SSPs with intensification under the SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585. A similar trend has been projected across West Africa, especially along the Guinean coast. The study foresees a gradual and intensifying rise in heatwave indices over the Greater Accra region. The warming and cooling indices reveal an increasing and decreasing trend respectively in the historical period as well as under the SSPs particularly within urban centers like Accra and Tema. Most West African countries are projected to observe more frequent warm days and nights with cold nights and days becoming less frequent. Expected effects of future climate extreme indices pose potential threats to the water, food, and energy systems as well as trigger recurrent floods and droughts over Greater Accra. The findings of the study are expected to inform climate policies and the nationally determined contribution of the Paris Agreement as well as address the sustainable development goal 11 (Sustainable cities) and 13 (Climate action) in West Africa.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:平均气温升高和多次极端天气事件,比如热浪和干旱,对人类构成重大健康风险。本范围审查旨在研究有关药物滥用与气候变化之间潜在关系的现有文献的现状。以及它所包含的方面。
    方法:审查遵循PRISMA方法学严谨指南,旨在确定有关药物滥用的研究。使用特定搜索字符串在主要数据库中进行搜索。质量评估涉及评估研究问题的清晰度,搜索策略透明度,应用纳入/排除标准的一致性,和数据提取的可靠性。
    结果:大多数研究在美国进行。他们包括观察性和回顾性定量研究,以及定性和前瞻性观测。研究检查了极端天气与某些药物滥用之间的相关性。所有研究都分析了气候变化的不利影响,尤其是热浪,在生理和病理层面。
    结论:范围审查指出,关于药物滥用与气候变化之间相关性的研究很少,并强调因气候变化而导致药物滥用和精神健康障碍的个人所面临的威胁。
    BACKGROUND: The increase in average air temperature and multiple extreme weather events, such as heatwaves and droughts, pose significant health risks to humans. This scoping review aims to examine the current state of the existing literature concerning the potential relationship between substance abuse and climate change, along with the aspects it encompasses.
    METHODS: The review followed PRISMA guidelines for methodological rigor, aiming to identify studies on drug abuse. Searches were conducted across the primary databases using specific search strings. Quality assessment involved evaluating the research question\'s clarity, search strategy transparency, consistency in applying the inclusion/exclusion criteria, and reliability of data extraction.
    RESULTS: Most studies were conducted in the USA. They included observational and retrospective quantitative studies, as well as qualitative and prospective observational ones. Research examined the correlation between extreme weather and some substance abuse. All studies analyzed the adverse effects of climate change, especially heatwaves, on both physiological and pathological levels.
    CONCLUSIONS: The scoping review notes the scarcity of studies about the correlation between substance abuse and climate change, and emphasizes the threats faced by individuals with substance abuse and mental health disorders due to climate change.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于在整个个体发育过程中的耐热性会有所不同,因此升高的温度通常会对外温产生特定的生命周期影响。高温的影响可能会超出暴露的寿命阶段,如果发育可塑性导致早期暴露,或者在多个生命阶段的暴露累积产生影响。生殖性状可能对发育过程中经历的不同热环境敏感,但是这种影响尚未在鳞翅目中得到全面测量。在这项研究中,我们研究了不同生命阶段的高温如何改变欧洲玉米蛾的繁殖,玉米花。我们在幼虫期间分别或附加地测试了暴露于高温(28°C)的影响,蛹,与控制温度(23°C)相比,成人生活阶段。我们发现,暴露于高p和成年温度会减少产生的卵簇数量,但是仅限于单个阶段的暴露不会显着影响生殖输出。此外,p期温度升高导致向成虫期的更快过渡,幼虫温度升高改变了成虫羽化的同步性,无论是本身或与p温度暴露。这些结果表明,在发育过程中暴露于高温会以多种方式改变玉米bore的繁殖,包括通过结转和加性效应。温度在生命阶段的附加效应被认为比特定阶段或结转效应更不常见,但是我们的研究结果表明,在预测昆虫对热浪的生殖反应时,需要考虑所有生命阶段经历的热环境。
    Elevated temperature often has life stage-specific effects on ectotherms because thermal tolerance varies throughout ontogeny. Impacts of elevated temperature may extend beyond the exposed life stage, if developmental plasticity causes early exposure to carry over, or if exposure at multiple life stages cumulatively produces effects. Reproductive traits may be sensitive to different thermal environments experienced during development, but such effects have not been comprehensively measured in Lepidoptera. In this study, we investigate how elevated temperature at different life stages alters reproduction in the European corn borer moth, Ostrinia nubilalis. We tested effects of exposure to elevated temperature (28°C) separately or additively during larval, pupal, and adult life stages compared to control temperatures (23°C). We found that exposure to elevated pupal and adult temperature decreased the number of egg clusters produced, but exposure limited to a single stage did not significantly impact reproductive output. Furthermore, elevated temperature during the pupal stage led to a faster transition to the adult stage and elevated larval temperature altered synchrony of adult eclosion, either by itself or combined with pupal temperature exposure. These results suggest that exposure to elevated temperature during development alters reproduction in corn borers in multiple ways, including through carry-over and additive effects. Additive effects of temperature across life stages are thought to be less common than stage-specific or carry-over effects, but our results suggest thermal environments experienced at all life stages need to be considered when predicting reproductive responses of insects to heatwaves.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    鉴于全球变暖的阴影下复合干旱和热浪(CDH)事件的破坏性影响和潜在的上升趋势,这项研究开始全面考察它们的时空演变,以及内在的驱动因素。本研究基于非平稳标准化降水蒸散指数(NSPEI)和相对阈值方法确定了CDH事件。该研究还量化了频率的空间和时间模式,强度,以及不同气候分区域中CDH事件的持续时间,量化干旱-热浪相互依存对这些事件的贡献,并评估单个极端气候事件对其扩散的影响。这项研究产生了几个关键发现:1)频率,强度,CDH事件的持续时间在研究期间表现出高度的空间异质性和显着的增长趋势。2)在干旱和热浪的发生之间观察到显著的正相互依赖性,显着导致CDH事件的增加。3)与非干旱条件(NDCH)下的热浪相比,干旱加剧了CDH事件的强度和持续时间。4)热浪和CDH事件的空间分布特征和变化指数非常相似,表明一致的进化。值得注意的是,与干旱相比,热浪的增加对CDH事件的升级有更明显的影响。5)西太平洋副热带高压(WPSH)和南亚高压(SAH)对中国大陆的CDH事件产生了重大影响。这项研究提供了对CDH事件动态的重要见解,强调它们在气候变化背景下日益增长的频率和严重性。它为决策者和灾害管理当局制定有针对性的气候适应和缓解战略提供了重要的视角。
    Given the devastating effects and potential rising trends of compound drought and heatwave (CDH) events under the specter of global warming, this study embarks on a comprehensive examination of their spatial and temporal evolution, as well as the intrinsic drivers. This study identified CDH events based on the non-stationary standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (NSPEI) and the relative threshold method. The study also quantified the spatial and temporal patterns of frequency, intensity, and duration of CDH events across different climatic sub-regions, quantifying the contribution of drought-heatwave interdependence to these events and assessing the impact of single extreme climate events on their proliferation. The study yielded several key findings: 1) The frequency, intensity, and duration of CDH events exhibited high spatial heterogeneity and a significant increasing trend over the study period. 2) A notable positive interdependence was observed between the occurrences of droughts and heatwaves, significantly contributing to the rise in CDH events. 3) Droughts exacerbated the intensity and duration of CDH events compared to heatwaves under non-drought conditions (NDCH). 4) The spatial distribution characteristics and the change indices of heatwaves and CDH events were strikingly similar, indicating a consistent evolution. Notably, the increase in heatwaves had a more pronounced influence on the escalation of CDH events compared to droughts. 5) The West Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) and the South Asian High (SAH) have had significant impacts on CDH events in mainland China. This research provides vital insights into the dynamics of CDH events, emphasizing their growing frequency and severity in the context of climate change. It offers a crucial perspective for policymakers and disaster management authorities in developing targeted strategies for climate adaptation and mitigation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    大多数评估化学和非化学胁迫对水生生态系统的综合影响的研究都是基于同步胁迫应用。然而,异步暴露场景在本质上可能更常见,特别是对于热浪和农药浓度峰值等脉冲应激源。在这项研究中,我们使用同步(CPFHW)和异步(HW→CPF和CPF→HW)暴露方案,研究了杀虫剂毒死rif(CPF)和热浪(HW)对代表地中海沿海湿地的浮游动物群落的单一和综合影响。CPF的浓度为0.8μg/L(单脉冲),在淡水微观世界中,通过比控制温度(20°C)高8°C的温度升高7天来模拟HW。压力源之间同步的相互作用导致种群水平(Daphniamagna)的协同作用和社区水平的累加作用。敏感物种的部分减少导致竞争物种的丰度增加,这些物种对评估的应激源更具耐受性(例如Moinasp。).与同步情况相比,异步暴露情况导致敏感人群的丰度下降相似;但是,从长远来看,压力源的时间会导致不同的反应。在HW→CPF治疗中,D.magna种群恢复至少比CPF+HW治疗快一个月,可能是由于生存选择和交叉耐受机制。在CPF→HW治疗中,效果持续时间比CPF+HW更长,种群在实验期内没有恢复,最有可能是由于排毒的能量成本和对内部损伤恢复的影响。在经过测试的异步方案中,间接影响的时间和大小不同,对CPF→HW处理中浮游动物群落的结构产生了更严重的影响。我们的研究强调了考虑压力源顺序以预测化学物质和热浪在人口和社区层面的长期影响的相关性。
    Most studies assessing the combined effects of chemical and non-chemical stressors on aquatic ecosystems have been based on synchronous stressor applications. However, asynchronous exposure scenarios may be more common in nature, particularly for pulsed stressors such as heatwaves and pesticide concentration peaks. In this study, we investigated the single and combined effects of the insecticide chlorpyrifos (CPF) and a heatwave (HW) on a zooplankton community representative of a Mediterranean coastal wetland using synchronous (CPF+HW) and asynchronous (HW→CPF and CPF→HW) exposure scenarios. CPF was applied at a concentration of 0.8 µg/L (single pulse), and the HW was simulated by a temperature increase of 8°C above the control temperature (20°C) for 7 days in freshwater microcosms. The interaction between stressors in synchrony resulted in synergistic effects at the population level (Daphnia magna) and additive at the community level. The partial reduction of sensitive species resulted in an abundance increase of competing species that were more tolerant to the evaluated stressors (e.g. Moina sp.). The asynchronous exposure scenarios resulted in a similar abundance decline of sensitive populations as compared to the synchronous one; however, the timing of stressor resulted in different responses in the long term. In the HW→CPF treatment, the D. magna population recovered at least one month faster than in the CPF+HW treatment, probably due to survival selection and cross-tolerance mechanisms. In the CPF→HW treatment, the effects lasted longer than in the CPF+HW, and the population did not recover within the experimental period, most likely due to the energetic costs of detoxification and effects on internal damage recovery. The different timing and magnitude of indirect effects among the tested asynchronous scenarios resulted in more severe effects on the structure of the zooplankton community in the CPF→HW treatment. Our study highlights the relevance of considering the order of stressors to predict the long-term effects of chemicals and heatwaves both at the population and community levels.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    最近的热浪强调了在运动环境中进行准确和连续的核心温度(TCORE)监测的重要性。例如,环境热应激下体育锻炼引起的TCORE升高会增加热疾病的风险。因此,使用有效和可重复的设备对于确保安全的运动实践至关重要。在这项研究中,我们评估了CaleraResearchSensor(CRS)在炎热环境下进行自行车运动时估计男性和女性参与者TCORE的有效性和可重复性.七名男性(年龄:36.2±10.1岁)和八名女性自行车手(年龄:30.1±5.0岁)在干球温度为32°C和相对湿度为60%的条件下进行了两次相同的自行车试验。该方案包括最初的10分钟休息,然后是60分钟的运动,包括20%的10分钟,25分钟,55%,在最大有氧能力的75%下25分钟,运动后再恢复25分钟。使用胃肠胶囊(TGi)和CRS(TSENSOR)每分钟同时记录TCORE。进行Bland-Altman分析以计算偏倚,一致上限(LCS)和下限(LCI),和95%置信区间(95CI)。两个装置之间的最大可接受差异预定为±0.4°C。混合线性模型用于评估两个测量系统之间的成对差异,考虑到参与者,试验,环境条件为随机效应,循环阶段为固定效应。当分析来自整个实验的数据时,记录到0.98的类内相关系数(ICC)。非显著偏差值为0.01°C,LCS为0.38°C,LCI为-0.35°C,发现95%的CI为±0.36°C。当根据参与者的性别分析数据时,男女的CRS重现性均较高:男性和女性的ICC值为0.98和0.99,分别。CI95%在男性实验中为0.35°C,女性为0.37°C,从而落在可接受的差异范围内。因此,CRS被认为是有效的(与TGi相比),并且可以在高温下各种强度的自行车运动中估计两种性别的TCORE。
    Recent heatwaves have highlighted the importance of accurate and continuous core temperature (TCORE) monitoring in sports settings. For example, accentuated rises in TCORE caused by physical exercises under environmental heat stress increase the risk of heat illnesses. Thus, using valid and reproducible devices is essential to ensure safe sports practice. In this study, we assessed the validity and reproducibility of the Calera Research Sensor (CRS) in estimating the TCORE of male and female participants during cycling exercise in a hot environment. Seven male (age: 36.2 ± 10.1 years) and eight female cyclists (age: 30.1 ± 5.0 years) underwent two identical cycling trials in a dry-bulb temperature of 32 °C and relative humidity of 60%. The protocol consisted of an initial 10-min rest followed by a 60-min exercise comprising 10 min at 20%, 25 min at 55%, and 25 min at 75% of maximal aerobic power, and an additional 25 min of post-exercise recovery. TCORE was recorded simultaneously every minute using a gastrointestinal capsule (TGi) and the CRS (TSENSOR). Bland-Altman analysis was performed to calculate bias, upper (LCS) and lower (LCI) concordance limits, and the 95% confidence interval (95%CI). The maximum acceptable difference between the two devices was predetermined at ±0.4 °C. A mixed linear model was used to assess the paired differences between the two measurement systems, considering the participants, trials, and environmental conditions as random effects and the cycling stages as fixed effects. An intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) of 0.98 was recorded when analyzing data from the entire experiment. A non-significant bias value of 0.01 °C, LCS of 0.38 °C, LCI of -0.35 °C, and CI95% of ±0.36 °C were found. When analyzing data according to the participants\' sex, CRS reproducibility was high in both sexes: ICC values of 0.98 and 0.99 were reported for males and females, respectively. CI95% was 0.35 °C in experiments with males and 0.37 °C with females, thereby falling within the acceptable margin of difference. Therefore, CRS was considered valid (compared to TGi) and reproducible in estimating TCORE in both sexes at various intensities of cycling exercise in the heat.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    气候变化正在增加热浪的频率和强度,引起人们对其对空气质量的不利影响的担忧。然而,尚未确定热浪-人类-环境相互作用在空气污染加剧中的作用。2022年夏天,破纪录的热浪袭击了中国和欧洲。在这项研究中,我们使用集成的观测数据和机器学习来阐明中国中东部有记录以来最严重的臭氧污染季节之一的形成机制,该地区约占中国总人口和播种土地的一半。我们的研究结果表明,恶化的臭氧和二氧化氮污染是由于能源需求和供应之间的不匹配,这是由热浪和能源政策相关因素驱动的。观察到的不利的热浪-能源-环境反馈回路突出了清洁能源多样化的需求,更具弹性的能源结构和电力政策,并进一步控制排放,以应对未来不断升级的气候挑战。
    Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, raising concerns about their detrimental effects on air quality. However, a role for heatwave-human-environment interactions in air pollution exacerbation has not been established. In the summer of 2022, record-breaking heatwaves struck China and Europe. In this study, we use integrated observational data and machine learning to elucidate the formation mechanism underlying one of the most severe ozone pollution seasons on record in central eastern China, an area that encompasses approximately half of China\'s total population and sown land. Our findings reveal that the worsened ozone and nitrogen dioxide pollution resulted from a mismatch between energy demand and supply, which was driven by both heatwaves and energy policy-related factors. The observed adverse heatwave-energy-environment feedback loop highlights the need for the diversification of clean energy sources, more resilient energy structures and power policies, and further emission control to confront the escalating climate challenge in the future.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:公共卫生受到热浪的极大影响,尤其是气候变化的结果。目前尚不清楚热浪是否会影响受伤住院,特别是作为面临气候变化影响的发展中国家。
    目的:评估热浪对伤害相关住院和经济负担的影响。
    方法:收集2014-2019年中国11个气象地理区23个研究点的每日住院和气象资料。我们基于时间分层的案例交叉设计进行了两阶段时间序列分析,结合DLNM评估热浪与每日损伤住院之间的关系,并通过计算超额住院费用(直接经济损失)和人工损失(间接经济损失),进一步评估住院造成的地区和国家经济损失。确定弱势群体和地区,我们还按年龄进行了分层分析,性别,和区域。
    结果:我们发现6.542%(95CI:3.939%,9.008%)的伤害住院归因于2014-2019年温暖季节(5月至9月)的热浪。在中国,每年约有361,447人受伤住院归因于热浪,导致超额经济损失5.173(95CI:3.104,71.96)亿元人民币,其中男性3.114(95CI:1.454,47.2)亿元人民币,15-64岁人群4.785(95CI:3.203,6321)亿元人民币。由于热浪造成的伤害住院的归因分数(AF)在高原山区气候区最高,其次是亚热带季风气候区和温带季风气候区。
    结论:热浪显著增加伤害住院的疾病和经济负担,并且因人口和地区而异。我们的发现暗示了采取针对性措施的必要性,包括提高公众意识,改善医疗基础设施,制定气候复原政策,减少热浪对脆弱人群的威胁以及相关疾病和经济负担。
    BACKGROUND: Public health is greatly affected by heatwaves, especially as a result of climate change. It is unclear whether heatwaves affect injury hospitalization, especially as developing countries facing the impact of climate change.
    OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of heatwaves on injury-related hospitalization and the economic burden.
    METHODS: The daily hospitalizations and meteorological data from 2014 to 2019 were collected from 23 study sites in 11 meteorological geographic zones in China. We conducted a two-stage time series analysis based on a time-stratified case-crossover design, combined with DLNM to assess the association between heatwaves and daily injury hospitalization, and to further assess the regional and national economic losses resulting from hospitalization by calculating excess hospitalization costs (direct economic losses) and labor losses (indirect economic losses). To determine the vulnerable groups and areas, we also carried out stratified analyses by age, sex, and region.
    RESULTS: We found that 6.542% (95%CI: 3.939%, 9.008 %) of injury hospitalization were attributable to heatwaves during warm season (May to September) from 2014 to 2019. Approximately 361,447 injury hospitalizations were attributed to heatwaves each year in China, leading to an excess economic loss of 5.173 (95%CI: 3.104, 7.196) billion CNY, of which 3.114 (95%CI: 1.454, 4.720) billion CNY for males and 4.785 (95%CI: 3.203, 6.321) billion CNY for people aged 15-64 years. The attributable fraction (AF) of injury hospitalizations due to heatwaves was the highest in the plateau mountain climate zone, followed by the subtropical monsoon climate zone and the temperate monsoon climate zone.
    CONCLUSIONS: Heatwaves significantly increase the disease and economic burden of injury hospitalizations, and vary across populations and regions. Our findings implicate the necessity for targeted measures, including raising public awareness, improving healthcare infrastructure, and developing climate resilience policies, to reduce the threat of heatwaves to vulnerable populations and the associated disease and economic burden.
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