economics

经济学
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    基于激素的生殖管理方案有利于提高奶牛的繁殖性能。这项研究旨在比较使用系统激素治疗的生殖管理计划对具有特定DIM范围的个体母牛的经济影响,以及使用基于在生育力检查期间对卵巢功能障碍的兽医诊断的母牛特异性激素治疗的生殖管理计划。现有的以奶牛为基础的个体,动态,和随机生物经济模拟模型,模仿每天200头牛群的生产动态,随着卵巢功能障碍和生育能力的输入而扩展。建立了四个基于激素的生殖管理计划。在默认的生殖管理程序中,反映了荷兰牧群目前的生殖管理,基于发情期的检测对泌乳奶牛进行授精,并且基于在生育力检查期间的卵巢功能障碍的兽医诊断,用激素处理非循环奶牛。兽医规定的激素治疗,囊性的,和次发情母牛是8天孕酮释放阴道内装置(PRID)-同步方案(PRIDsynch),Ovsynch协议,和PGF2治疗,分别。其他3个生殖管理计划反映了在特定DIM下对奶牛的系统激素治疗,并包括1)TAI的Double-Ovsynch方案,未怀孕的奶牛已提交再同步方案(FTAI),2)Double-OvsynchprotocolforTAIwithnonpregnantcowsdetectedinesterusorsubmittedtoaresynchronizationprotocol(FTAI+ED),和3)对未检测到的奶牛的发情检测提交PRIDsynch方案(ED+TAI)。基于黄体(CL)的不存在(PRIDsynch)或存在(Ovsynch协议),将所有未怀孕的母牛提交给重新同步协议。计算了所有生殖管理计划的年平均净经济回报(NER)。与默认的生殖管理程序相比,FTAI+ED生殖管理计划的NER最高,净收入增加了23,764欧元,其次是FTAI和ED+TAI生殖管理计划,净收入增加了19,550欧元和14,314欧元,分别。总的来说,系统的基于激素的生殖管理计划由于施用更多的激素而导致更高的成本,并且由于更多的怀孕母牛而导致更高的产牛和饲料成本。然而,在系统的基于激素的生殖管理计划中,牛奶和小牛的额外收入超过了总成本。例如,与默认情况相比,FTAI+ED生殖管理计划每年的总成本增加了8,953欧元,但收入增加了32,654欧元。总之,与当前默认的生殖管理计划相比,系统地使用激素的生殖管理计划具有经济优势,在当前默认的生殖管理计划中,根据在生育检查期间对卵巢功能障碍的兽医诊断,对个体奶牛施用激素。
    Hormone-based reproductive management programs can be beneficial to improve dairy cow\'s reproductive performance. This study aimed to compare the economic impact of reproductive management programs using systematic hormonal treatments to individual cows with a specific DIM range with a reproductive management program using cow-specific hormonal treatment based on a veterinary diagnosis of ovarian dysfunction during a fertility check. An existing individual cow-based, dynamic, and stochastic bio-economic simulation model, mimicking the production dynamics of a 200 cow-herd in daily time steps, was extended with ovarian dysfunction and fertility inputs. Four hormone-based reproductive management programs were modeled. In the default reproductive management program, reflecting the current reproductive management of Dutch herds, lactating dairy cows are inseminated based on detection of estrus and non-cyclic dairy cows are treated with hormones based on a veterinary diagnosis of ovarian dysfunction during a fertility check. Hormone treatments prescribed by the veterinarian for anestrus, cystic, and sub-estrus cows were an 8-d progesterone-releasing intravaginal device (PRID)-Synch protocol (PRIDsynch), an Ovsynch protocol, and a PGF2⍺ treatment, respectively. The 3 other reproductive management programs reflected systematic hormonal treatments to cows at specific DIM and included a 1) Double-Ovsynch protocol for TAI with nonpregnant cows submitted to a resynchronization protocol (FTAI), 2) Double-Ovsynch protocol for TAI with nonpregnant cows detected in estrus or submitted to a resynchronization protocol (FTAI+ED), and 3) detection of estrus with cows not detected submitted to a PRIDsynch protocol (ED+TAI). All nonpregnant cows were submitted to a resynchronization protocol based on the absence (PRIDsynch) or presence (Ovsynch protocol) of a corpus luteum (CL). The annual mean net economic return (NER) was calculated for all reproductive management programs. Compared with the default reproductive management program, the highest NER was observed for the FTAI+ED reproductive management program with €23,764 higher net revenues, followed by the FTAI and the ED+TAI reproductive management programs with €19,550 and €14,314 higher net revenues, respectively. Overall, systematic hormone-based reproductive management programs gave higher costs due to more hormones administered and higher calving and feed costs due to more pregnant cows. Nevertheless, the additional revenues of milk and calves in the systematic hormone-based reproductive management programs outweighed the total cost. For instance, the FTAI+ED reproductive management program gave €8,953 higher total cost per year compared with the default but with €32,654 higher revenues. In summary, reproductive management programs where hormones were systematically used gave economic advantages over the current default reproductive management program in which hormones are administered to individual cows based on a veterinary diagnosis of ovarian dysfunction during a fertility check.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在英国,儿童心理健康已成为越来越重要的问题,特别是在重大福利改革的背景下。通用信贷(UC)对英国的社会保障体系进行了重大改革,严重影响低收入家庭。我们的目的是评估UC引入对符合UC条件的家庭的儿童心理健康的影响,与不符合标准的样本相比。
    方法:使用2012年至2018年英国4582名儿童(5岁或8岁)的5806观察数据,我们创建了两组:父母符合UC条件的儿童(干预组)和父母不符合UC条件的儿童(对照组)。使用父母报告的优势和困难问卷评估儿童心理健康状况。分析了在引入UC后,干预组和对照组之间发生心理健康困难的儿童患病率的OR和百分比变化。我们还调查了儿童保育服务的利用和家庭收入的变化是否是UC影响儿童心理健康的机制。
    结果:Logistic回归结果表明,父母失业的合格儿童的心理健康问题患病率增加了2.18的OR(95%CI1.14至4.18),相当于UC引入后增加8个百分点(95%CI1至14个百分点),相对于对照组。探索潜在机制,我们发现既没有减少家庭收入,也没有增加儿童保育服务的使用,作为减少与父母在一起的时间的代理,显著影响儿童的心理健康。
    结论:UC导致受援儿童的心理健康问题增加,特别是对于大家庭和8岁的儿童。政策制定者在引入新的福利政策时,应仔细评估对特定人口统计学的潜在健康后果。
    BACKGROUND: Child mental health has become an increasingly important issue in the UK, especially in the context of significant welfare reforms. Universal Credit (UC) has introduced substantial changes to the UK\'s social security system, significantly impacting low-income families. Our aim was to assess the effects of UC\'s introduction on children\'s mental health for families eligible for UC versus a comparable non-eligible sample.
    METHODS: Using Understanding Society data from 5806 observations of 4582 children (aged 5 or 8 years) in Great Britain between 2012 and 2018, we created two groups: children whose parents were eligible for UC (intervention group) and children whose parents were ineligible for UC (comparison group). Child mental health was assessed using a parent-reported Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire. The OR and percentage point change in the prevalence of children experiencing mental health difficulties between the intervention group and the comparison group following the introduction of UC were analysed. We also investigated whether the utilisation of childcare services and changes in household income were mechanisms by which UC impacted children\'s mental health.
    RESULTS: Logistic regression results demonstrated that the prevalence of mental health problems among eligible children whose parents were unemployed increased by an OR of 2.18 (95% CI 1.14 to 4.18), equivalent to an 8-percentage point increase (95% CI 1 to 14 percentage points) following the introduction of UC, relative to the comparison group. Exploring potential mechanisms, we found neither reduced household income nor increased use of childcare services, which served as a proxy for reduced time spent with parents, significantly influenced children\'s mental health.
    CONCLUSIONS: UC has led to an increase in mental health problems among recipient children, particularly for children in larger families and those aged 8. Policymakers should carefully evaluate the potential health consequences for specific demographics when introducing new welfare policies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在2020年代初期,近一半的新西兰成年人报告说,治疗费用使他们无法获得牙科护理,毛利人的比率更高,Pasifika和生活在最贫困地区的个人。负担不起的牙科护理可能是由于牙科服务费相对于个人收入随着时间的推移而上升,1978年至1993年在新西兰记录。然而,在新西兰,目前还没有关于牙科护理的可负担性如何变化的估计。这项研究的目的是分析1978年至2023年新西兰人的牙科治疗费和个人收入的变化,并探讨不同种族的牙科护理负担能力差异。
    方法:牙科治疗的平均费用来自新西兰执业牙医完成的调查。收入(1978年)和个人收入数据(2000年的全部人口和2008年的种族)来自新西兰统计局和新西兰官方年鉴。通货膨胀调整后的平均费用变化,每周的个人收入和收入是根据1978年的费用和收入水平以及2000年的个人收入水平的百分比变化计算的。
    结果:对于从1978年到2023年可获得数据的五种牙科治疗,费用在75%-236%的范围内增加,而同期收入增长了46%。其他治疗的费用(从1981年到2009年的数据)也同样增加,并且大部分超过了收入的变化。从2008年到2023年,个人收入的总体增长(所有种族中约为21%)与大多数治疗费用的上涨保持同步。然而,由于持续的收入不平等,2023年,毛利人和Pasifika需要花费更高比例的每周收入(分别约为16%和23%)来接受与新西兰欧洲人相同的牙科治疗。
    结论:近几十年来,牙科治疗费用显著上升,比其他商品和服务的价格更高。
    BACKGROUND: In the early 2020s, nearly half of New Zealand adults reported that cost of treatment had prevented them from accessing dental care, with higher rates among Māori, Pasifika and individuals living in the most deprived areas. Unaffordable dental care may be explained by a rise in dental service fees over time relative to personal income, as documented in New Zealand between 1978 and 1993. However, there have been no contemporary estimates in New Zealand of how the affordability of dental care has changed. The aims of this study were to analyse the change in dental treatment fees and the personal income of New Zealanders from 1978 to 2023 and to explore differences in affordability of dental care by ethnicity.
    METHODS: Average fees for dental treatments were sourced from surveys completed by practising New Zealand dentists. Earnings (from 1978) and personal income data (full population from 2000 and by ethnicity from 2008) were sourced from Statistics NZ and NZ Official Yearbooks. Inflation-adjusted changes in average fees, weekly personal earnings and income were calculated as a percentage change from 1978 levels for fees and earnings and from 2000 for personal income.
    RESULTS: For the five dental treatments with data available from 1978 to 2023, fees increased in the range of 75%-236%, while earnings increased by 46% over the same period. Fees for other treatments (with data available from 1981 to 2009) similarly increased and mostly surpassed changes in earnings. From 2008 to 2023 the overall increase in personal income (about 21% across all ethnic groups) kept pace with the rising cost of most treatments. However, due to persistent income inequalities, in 2023, Māori and Pasifika would need to spend a higher proportion of their weekly income (approximately 16% and 23% respectively) to receive the same dental treatments as NZ Europeans.
    CONCLUSIONS: Fees for dental treatments have risen markedly in recent decades, more sharply than the price of other goods and services.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    人口标准化指标(例如,人均国内生产总值),在指标与人口线性缩放的假设下,普遍用于国家发展绩效比较。这个假设,然而,是无效的,因为它可能会忽略社会经济系统中非线性相互作用产生的集聚效应。这里,我们提供了大量的经验证据,表明人口与国家发展绩效的多个指标之间存在次线性缩放比例,而不是假定的线性缩放比例。然后,我们根据城市中观察到的缩放规则开发了一个理论框架,以探索国家缩放的起源。最后,我们证明,城市化在将国家发展从有限的次线性增长转变为无限的超线性增长中起着关键作用。这强调了城市化在实现持续增长和提高国家一级人类生活水平方面的重要性。我们的调查结果有可能为旨在促进国家间公平比较和实现各国可持续发展的政策提供信息。
    Population-normalized indicators (e.g., GDP per capita), under the assumption of the indicators scaling linearly with population, are ubiquitously used in national development performance comparison. This assumption, however, is not valid because it may ignore agglomeration effect resulting from nonlinear interactions in socioeconomic systems. Here, we present extensive empirical evidence showing the sub-linear scaling rather than the presumed linear scaling between population and multiple indicators of national development performance. We then develop a theoretical framework based on the scaling rule observed in cities to explore the origin of scaling in countries. Finally, we demonstrate that urbanization plays a pivotal role in transforming national development from limited sub-linear growth to unlimited super-linear growth. This underscores the significance of urbanization in achieving sustained growth and elevating human living standards at the national level. Our findings have the potential to inform policies aimed at promoting equitable inter-country comparison and achieving sustainable development in countries.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    牲畜提供肉,牛奶,劳动力,用于繁殖,并充当小农的价值储备。较高的年轻种群死亡率(YSM)有可能造成重大的经济损失。青年种群死亡率降低协会合作开展了一个项目,提供一揽子基本的健康和畜牧业干预措施,以减少埃塞俄比亚混合和牧区生产系统中牛和小反刍动物的YSM。在干预之前,混合系统中小牛的YSM率为9.8%,牧区系统中的小反刍动物为35.6%。干预措施的YSM减少比例为小牛和混合系统中的小反刍动物的60%,牧区小牛的比例为72%。这份简短的研究报告评估了事后干预的成本和收益,以确定其效率。干预措施的NPV(每个家庭)是在一系列受益期(从1年到20年)计算的,根据培训统计员和农民的成本以及每个福利期内实现的年度家庭福利净额。我们发现,在牧区和混合系统中,干预措施的年度家庭净收益均为正。对于牧民家庭,干预在2年后达到了正的净现值。对于混合家庭,干预措施在11年后实现了正的净现值。总的来说,我们发现干预的好处超过了成本,在牧区系统中大量存在,对于拥有大量繁殖雌性的家庭来说,这种好处更大。
    Livestock provide meat, milk, draught labour, are used for breeding, and act as a store of value for smallholder farmers. High young stock mortality (YSM) has the potential to cause significant financial loss. The Young Stock Mortality Reduction Consortium collaborated on a project to deliver a package of basic health and husbandry interventions to reduce YSM for cattle and small ruminants in mixed and pastoral production systems in Ethiopia. Prior to the intervention, YSM rates ranged from 9.8% for calves in mixed systems, to 35.6% for small ruminants in pastoral systems. Proportional reductions YSM from the intervention ranged from 60% for calves and for small ruminants in mixed systems, to 72% for calves in pastoral systems. This brief research report assesses the costs and benefits of the intervention ex-poste to determine its efficiency. NPVs for the intervention (per household) were calculated for a range of benefit periods (from 1 to 20 years), based on the cost of training enumerators and farmers and the net annual household benefits realised within each benefit period. We found in both pastoral and mixed systems the net annual household benefit for the intervention was positive. For pastoral households the intervention achieves a positive NPV after 2 years. For mixed households the intervention achieves a positive NPV after 11 years. Overall, we found the benefits of the intervention exceed the costs, by a very large amount in pastoral systems, and that benefits were larger for households that kept larger numbers of breeding females.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    成功实施《昆明-蒙特利尔全球生物多样性框架》需要确定一个衡量和评估生物多样性变化的过程,该过程建立在认识到经济学和评估必须在“制止和扭转”生物多样性丧失方面发挥关键作用的基础上。这里,我们讨论了评估生物多样性变化的实用路径的考虑因素。将生物多样性价值的变化作为某些自然资产变化的总结,可以利用与环境经济核算相关的现有方法和国际标准。我们讨论了为什么从单个物种构建的方法,进化群体,或功能组到一个实用的,分层统计分类体系的发展优于任何一种生物多样性指数。我们融合了生态学和其他自然科学的技术,国家和环境经济核算,和经济学,所有这些都处于使测量生物多样性价值变化成为可能的风口浪尖。重点应该是扩大和整合这些方法。前进的道路似乎始于不完善但有用的措施,植根于强大的概念,同时确立了进一步扩大测量规模的雄心-就像许多其他官方统计系列的过去演变一样。
    Successful implementation of the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework requires identifying a process for measuring and valuing changes in biodiversity that build on the recognition that economics and valuation must play a key role in \"halting and reversing\" biodiversity loss. Here, we discuss considerations for a practical path to valuing changes in biodiversity. Framing changes in the value of biodiversity as a summary of changes in certain natural assets enables leveraging existing approaches and international standards associated with environmental-economic accounting. We discuss why an approach that builds from individual species, evolutionary groups, or functional groups into a practical, hierarchical statistical classification system is better than the development of any one biodiversity index. We merge techniques from ecology and other natural sciences, national and environmental-economic accounting, and economics, which are all on the cusp of making measurement of the change in the value of biodiversity possible. The focus should be on scaling and integrating these approaches. The path forward appears to begin with imperfect but useful measures, grounded in robust concepts, while establishing ambition to further scale-up measurements-just like the past evolution of many other official statistical series.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:我们旨在评估已发表文献中阿片类药物使用障碍(OUD)成本效益模型中发现的关键健康状态的健康状态效用值(HSUVs)。
    方法:数据来自6项试验,代表1,777名OUD患者。我们实施了映射算法,以协调来自不同生活质量度量的数据(SF-12版本1和2以及EQ-5D-3L)。我们进行了回归分析,以量化HSUV与以下变量之间的关系:过去30天内使用阿片类药物的天数,注射行为,用药物治疗OUD,艾滋病毒状况,和年龄。次要分析探讨了阿片类药物戒断症状的影响。
    结果:海洛因或其他阿片类药物每天额外使用与医疗外阿片类药物相关的HSUV有统计学意义的显着减少(-0.002(95%CI[-0.003,-0.0001])至-0.003(95%CI[-0.005,-0.002]),分别),药物注射与不注射相比(-0.043(95%CI[-0.079,-0.006])),HIV阳性诊断与未诊断相比(-0.074(95%CI[-0.143,-0.005])),和年龄(每年-0.001(95%CI[-0.003,-0.0002]))。与OUD治疗药物相关的参数在控制药物外阿片类药物使用后没有统计学意义(0.0131(95%CI[-0.0479,0.0769]),与之前的研究一致。次要分析表明,戒断症状是HSUV的基本驱动因素,预测为0.817(95%CI[0.768,0.858]),0.705(95%CI[0.607,0.786]),中度和0.367(95%CI[0.180,0.575]),严重,最严重的症状,分别。
    结论:我们观察到OUD的HSUVs高于以前的研究,这些研究是在没有患者输入的情况下进行的。
    到目前为止,美国阿片类药物使用障碍患者与健康相关的生活质量估计有限,而且重要的是,它们不是从患有这种疾病的人的研究中产生的。这项研究从六项临床试验中提取了数据,这些临床试验提供了1777名阿片类药物使用障碍患者的数据。由美国国立卫生研究院公开提供,产生与健康相关的生活质量的估计。我们的研究发现,与以前的研究相比,健康相关的生活质量估计更高,药物对阿片类药物使用障碍的适度影响以及戒断症状对该结果的强烈影响。阿片类药物使用障碍患者的这些较高的值可能反映了普通人群(其中这些估计是先前产生的)对这种情况的非常负面的看法。然而,这些相对较高的估计也可以反映对疾病的适应或缺乏对依赖背景下相关健康损害的认识。提供阿片类药物使用障碍的药物数据的观察数量很少,导致与健康相关的生活质量相关估计的不确定性很高。但我们的发现也可以反映患者在没有非药物阿片类药物的积极作用的情况下的真实经历,在临床实践中值得更多关注。我们的研究表明,系统地测量戒断症状并在健康经济模型中表示这些症状可能会更准确地表示阿片类药物使用障碍患者与健康相关的生活质量,从而提供干预措施的影响和成本效益。
    OBJECTIVE: We aimed to estimate health state utility values (HSUVs) for the key health states found in opioid use disorder (OUD) cost-effectiveness models in the published literature.
    METHODS: Data obtained from six trials representing 1,777 individuals with OUD. We implemented mapping algorithms to harmonize data from different measures of quality of life (the SF-12 Versions 1 and 2 and the EQ-5D-3 L). We performed a regression analysis to quantify the relationship between HSUVs and the following variables: days of extra-medical opioid use in the past 30 days, injecting behaviors, treatment with medications for OUD, HIV status, and age. A secondary analysis explored the impact of opioid withdrawal symptoms.
    RESULTS: There were statistically significant reductions in HSUVs associated with extra-medical opioid use (-0.002 (95% CI [-0.003,-0.0001]) to -0.003 (95% CI [-0.005,-0.002]) per additional day of heroin or other opiate use, respectively), drug injecting compared to not injecting (-0.043 (95% CI [-0.079,-0.006])), HIV-positive diagnosis compared to no diagnosis (-0.074 (95% CI [-0.143,-0.005])), and age (-0.001 per year (95% CI [-0.003,-0.0002])). Parameters associated with medications for OUD treatment were not statistically significant after controlling for extra-medical opioid use (0.0131 (95% CI [-0.0479,0.0769])), in line with prior studies. The secondary analysis revealed that withdrawal symptoms are a fundamental driver of HSUVs, with predictions of 0.817 (95% CI [0.768, 0.858]), 0.705 (95% CI [0.607, 0.786]), and 0.367 (95% CI [0.180, 0.575]) for moderate, severe, and worst level of symptoms, respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: We observed HSUVs for OUD that were higher than those from previous studies that had been conducted without input from people living with the condition.
    Thus far, health-related quality of life estimates for patients with opioid use disorder in the United States are limited, and importantly, they were not generated from studies among people living with the condition. This study extracted data from six clinical trials providing data among 1,777 people with opioid use disorder, made publicly available by the National Institutes of Health, to produce estimates of health-related quality of life. Our study found higher health-related quality of life estimates as compared to previous studies, modest impact of medications for opioid use disorder and strong impact of withdrawal symptoms on this outcome. These higher values among people with opioid use disorder might reflect the very negative perception of this condition among members of the general population (among whom these estimates have been generated previously). However, these relatively high estimates could also reflect an adaptation to the condition or a lack of awareness of associated-health damage in the context of dependence. The low number of observations providing data on medications for opioid use disorder led to high uncertainty around related estimates of health-related quality of life, but our findings could also reflect real experiences by patients in the absence of the positive effects of non-medication opioids, which deserve more attention in clinical practice. Our study suggests that systematically measuring withdrawal symptoms and representing these in health economic models might provide a more accurate representation of health-related quality of life among people with opioid use disorder and therefore of the impact and cost-effectiveness of interventions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    骨科手术标本的常规组织病理学检查是许多机构的标准做法。先前的研究表明,这种做法很少改变几种骨科手术的患者管理。因此,这种做法的价值受到质疑。这项研究的目的是确定在全踝关节置换术(TAA)期间获得的标本的常规组织病理学分析的成本效益。
    对接受无并发症原发性TAA的患者进行了回顾性分析,学术,2015年1月至2021年12月的卫生系统。将术后组织病理学诊断与相应患者的术前临床和术中诊断进行比较。和谐的流行,不一致,并确定了不一致的诊断。进行了成本效益分析,以评估获取常规标本进行TAA组织病理学检查的财务影响。
    在85例患者中确定了总共85例TAA,并将其纳入本研究。总共172个标本被送去进行常规组织病理学检查。关于组织病理学分析,在所审查的全部标本中,有82例(96.5%)确诊为最终诊断.诊断不一致3例(3.5%;痛风/假性痛风2例,骨坏死1例),诊断不一致0例(0%),对应于97%和100%的阳性和阴性预测值,分别对研究中包括的所有标本进行常规分析所产生的总费用估计在$12299.20和17846.00之间。确定每个差异诊断的估计成本在$4099.73和$5948.67之间,并且无法确定不一致诊断的成本。
    在TAA期间获得的标本的常规组织病理学分析很少显示不一致的诊断,并且没有改变患者的护理计划。此外,常规组织病理学检查的额外费用是显著的.因此,建议TAA的此类干预措施应根据病例由手术外科医生自行决定.
    UNASSIGNED: Routine histopathologic examination of orthopaedic surgical specimens is a standard practice at many institutions. Previous studies have demonstrated that this practice seldom altered patient management for several orthopaedic procedures. As a result, the value of such practices has come into question. The purpose of this study is to determine the cost-effectiveness of routine histopathologic analysis of specimens obtained during total ankle arthroplasty (TAA).
    UNASSIGNED: A retrospective analysis was performed of patients who underwent uncomplicated primary TAA at a large, academic, health system between January 2015 and December 2021. The postoperative histopathologic diagnoses were compared with the respective patient\'s preoperative clinical and intraoperative diagnoses. The prevalence of concordant, discrepant, and discordant diagnoses was determined. Cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted to assess the financial implications of obtaining routine specimens for histopathologic examination for TAA.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 85 TAAs were identified in 85 individual patients and were included in the present study. A total of 172 specimens were sent for routine histopathologic review. On histopathologic analysis, a final diagnosis was confirmed in 82 (96.5%) of the total specimens reviewed. A discrepant diagnosis was discovered in 3 (3.5%; 2 cases of gout/pseudogout and 1 case of osteonecrosis) cases and 0 (0%) discordant diagnoses were discovered, corresponding to positive and negative predictive values of 97% and 100%, respectively The total estimate of costs incurred for the routine analysis of all specimens included in the study was between $12 299.20 and 17 846.00. The estimated cost to establish each discrepant diagnosis ranged between $4099.73 and $5948.67, and the cost for a discordant diagnosis was unable to be established.
    UNASSIGNED: Routine histopathologic analysis of specimens obtained during TAA rarely revealed a discordant diagnosis and resulted in no alterations to patients\' plan of care. Furthermore, the additional costs of routine histopathologic examination are significant. As such, it is recommended that such interventions in TAA should be performed on a per-case basis at the operating surgeon\'s discretion.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:接近生命尽头的人在医疗保健费用中占了不成比例的比例,这些费用中的大部分是在医院累积的。提高对这一人群的护理价值的经济证据基础很薄。自然实验方法可能有助于弥合证据差距与可靠的因果估计从常规数据,但这些方法很少应用于这一领域。
    方法:在主要分析中,我们评估了急诊住院后及时接受姑息治疗是否会影响住院时间(LOS);在次要分析中,我们验证了姑息医学服务(PMS)的实施是否与住院死亡率的任何变化同时发生,我们估计了与LOS任何变化相关的成本差异。这是对爱尔兰公立医院急性入院常规收集数据的二次分析。我们使用差异差异分析来利用2010年至2015年间爱尔兰急性公立医院PMS团队的交错实施。我们使用ICD-10代码确定了PMS实施后的姑息治疗收据,我们使用倾向评分权重将涉及姑息治疗互动的入院与PMS实施前几年的入院进行了匹配.
    结果:我们的主要分析样本包括4,314个观测值,其中608人(14%)接受了及时的姑息治疗。我们估计干预措施使LOS减少了近两天,估计每次入场费为1820欧元。这些分析对回归规范的多重敏感性分析是稳健的,加权策略和选址。实施PMS后,以死亡告终的入院比例没有变化。
    结论:适当的患者与姑息治疗之间的迅速互动可以提高该人群的护理质量和效率。许多患者在住院后期接受姑息治疗,这不会产生成本节约。未来的研究可以用更好的数据来扩展和加强我们的方法,以及使用不同的方法来了解如何在入院早期触发姑息治疗并实现可获得的收益。
    People approaching end of life account disproportionately for health care costs, and the majority of these costs accrue in hospitals. The economic evidence base to improve value of care to this population is thin. Natural experiment methods may be helpful in bridging evidence gaps with credible causal estimates from routine data, but these methods have seldom been applied in this field. This study aimed to evaluate the association between timely palliative care consultation and length of stay for adults with serious illness admitted to acute hospital in Ireland.
    In primary analysis we evaluated if timely palliative care receipt following emergency hospital inpatient admission impacted length of stay (LOS); in secondary analysis we verified if palliative medicine service (PMS) implementation co-occurred with any changes in in-hospital mortality, and we estimated cost differences associated with any change in LOS. This was a secondary analysis on routinely collected data for acute admissions to public hospitals in Ireland. We used difference-in-differences analysis to exploit the staggered implementation of PMS teams at acute public hospitals in Ireland between 2010 and 2015. We identified palliative care receipt following PMS implementation using ICD-10 codes, and we matched admissions involving a palliative care interaction to admissions in years prior to PMS implementation using propensity score weights.
    Our primary analytic sample included 4,314 observations, of whom 608 (14%) received timely palliative care. We estimated that the intervention reduced LOS by nearly two days, with an estimated associated saving per admission of €1,820. These analyses were robust to multiple sensitivity analyses on regression specification, weighting strategy and site selection. Proportion of admissions ending in death did not change following PMS implementation.
    Prompt interaction between suitable patients and palliative care can improve the quality and efficiency of care to this population. Many patients receive palliative care later in the hospital stay, which does not yield cost-savings. Future studies can extend and strengthen our approach with better data, as well as using different methods to understand how to trigger palliative care early in a hospital admission and realise available gains.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在英国,社会护理部门的需求正在上升,加上资金大幅减少,难以满足这些需求。这篇由两部分组成的评论的目的是对证据基础进行批判性评估,以解决对健康和社会护理日益增长的需求。第1部分重点介绍了有关高收入国家老年人利用社会护理和医疗保健的可用性和供应之间的关系的系统回顾的证据。
    基于以下系统综述的证据摘要:SpiersG,马修斯·费,MoffattS,巴克RO,贾维斯·H,收起D,金斯敦A,HanrattyB(2019)社会护理供应对老年人医疗保健利用的影响:系统评价和荟萃分析。年龄和老龄化48(1):57-66。https://doi.org/10.1093/aging/afy147.
    In the United Kingdom, demand on the social care sector is rising coupled with a significant reduction in funding making it difficult to meet these needs. The aim of this two-part commentary is to provide a critical evaluation of the evidence base in relation to solutions to tackle the growing demands on health and social care. Part 1 focuses on the evidence from a systematic review around the association between the availability and supply of social care and healthcare on utilisation for older adults in high income countries.
    UNASSIGNED: An evidence summary based on the following systematic review:Spiers G, Matthews FE, Moffatt S, Barker RO, Jarvis H, Stow D, Kingston A, Hanratty B (2019) Impact of social care supply on healthcare utilisation by older adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Age and Ageing 48(1):57-66. https://doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afy147.
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