consumer sentiment

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:这项研究调查了2021年COVID-19大流行期间澳大利亚公众对其卫生系统的看法,与之前的四次调查(2008年、2010年、2012年和2018年)相比。
    方法:2021年,对通过市场研究小组招募的具有代表性的澳大利亚人样本(N=5100)进行了全国性的在线调查。将结果与2018年以来澳大利亚全国范围的调查样本进行了比较(N=1024),2012(N=1200),2010年(N=1201)和2008年(N=1146)。调查包括与先前民意调查一致的问题,涉及自我报告的健康状况和总体意见,和信心,澳大利亚的卫生系统。
    结果:在2008年至2021年期间,在每次调查中报告积极看法的受访者比例均有所增加,与前几年相比,2021年对澳大利亚医疗保健系统持积极看法的受访者比例明显更高(χ2(8,N=9645)=487.63,p<0.001)。2021年,超过三分之二的受访者(n=3949/5100,77.4%)报告说,在COVID-19大流行之后,他们对澳大利亚医疗保健系统的信心保持不变(n=2433/5100,47.7%)或增加(n=1516/5100,29.7%).总的来说,居住在区域或偏远地区的受访者,年轻的澳大利亚人(<45岁)和妇女对该系统的看法不那么积极。2021年,最常见的紧急改进领域是需要更多的医护人员(n=1350/3576,37.8%)。特别是居住在地区或偏远地区的澳大利亚人关注的领域(n=590/1385,42.6%)。
    结论:不考虑COVID-19大流行对澳大利亚医疗保健系统造成的破坏,澳大利亚人对他们的医疗系统的看法在2021年是积极的。然而,人们对劳动力能力不足和医疗保健成本表示担忧,根据年龄组和地理位置确定的差异。
    澳大利亚消费者健康论坛的健康消费者代表为共同设计做出了贡献,部署,对本次调查结果进行分析和解释。澳大利亚消费者健康论坛的J.A.和L.W.为论文的开发做出了贡献。
    BACKGROUND: This study examines the perceptions of the Australian public canvassed in 2021 during the COVID-19 pandemic about their health system compared to four previous surveys (2008, 2010, 2012 and 2018).
    METHODS: In 2021, a nationwide online survey was conducted with a representative sample of Australians (N = 5100) recruited via market research panels. The results were compared to previous nationwide Australian survey samples from 2018 (N = 1024), 2012 (N = 1200), 2010 (N = 1201) and 2008 (N = 1146). The survey included questions consistent with previous polls regarding self-reported health status and overall opinions of, and confidence in, the Australian health system.
    RESULTS: There was an increase in the proportion of respondents reporting positive perceptions at each survey between 2008 and 2021, with a significantly higher proportion of respondents expressing a more positive view of the Australian healthcare system in 2021 compared to previous years (χ2(8, N = 9645) = 487.63, p < 0.001). In 2021, over two-thirds of respondents (n = 3949/5100, 77.4%) reported that following the COVID-19 pandemic, their confidence in the Australian healthcare system had either remained the same (n = 2433/5100, 47.7%) or increased (n = 1516/5100, 29.7%). Overall, respondents living in regional or remote regions, younger Australians (< 45 years) and women held less positive views in relation to the system. In 2021, the most frequently identified area for urgent improvement was the need for more healthcare workers (n = 1350/3576, 37.8%), an area of concern particularly for Australians residing in regional or remote areas (n = 590/1385, 42.6%).
    CONCLUSIONS: Irrespective of disruptions to the Australian healthcare system caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, Australians\' perceptions of their healthcare system were positive in 2021. However, concerns were raised about inadequate workforce capacity and the cost of healthcare, with differences identified by age groups and geographical location.
    UNASSIGNED: Health consumer representatives from the Consumers Health Forum of Australia contributed to the co-design, deployment, analysis and interpretation of the results of this survey. J.A. and L.W. from the Consumers Health Forum of Australia contributed to the development of the paper.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    自COVID-19爆发以来,消费者行为受到大流行威胁和经济不确定性的影响。本文旨在探讨COVID-19、消费者情绪、经济政策的不确定性,和燃油价格对美国旅行行为的影响。使用更新的每日行程数据,结果表明,消费者情绪对航空和汽车的旅行需求有积极的长期影响,这表明,从长远来看,消费者情绪的积极变化可以提高对这些运输方式的需求。此外,消费者情绪对长途旅行的需求有有利的影响(1.34),但它对留在家中的人数有负面影响(-0.42)。经济和政治冲击对航空和汽车旅行的需求产生不利影响,这表明,如果消费者对未来的经济状况和政策有悲观的预期,就会降低这些运输服务的频率和成本。然而,在短期内,美国旅行者似乎对消费者情绪和经济政策不确定性的冲击不敏感。关于大流行的威胁,结果表明,不断增加的COVID-19病例对航空旅行(-0.09)和公共交通(-0.19)的需求有负面的长期影响,而它们与汽车旅行需求呈正相关(0.06)。同样,COVID-19导致的死亡人数不断增加,导致公共交通工具(空中旅行和公共交通)转向私人汽车和非机动旅行,比如短期步行。
    Since the COVID-19 outbreak, consumer behavior has been affected by the perceived threat of the pandemic and economic uncertainty. This paper aims to explore the dynamic effects of COVID-19, consumer sentiment, economic policy uncertainty, and fuel prices on travel behavior in the United States. Using updated daily trip data, the results show that consumer sentiment has a positive long-run impact on travel demand for air and auto, suggesting that a positive change in consumer sentiment can boost demand for these modes of transportation in the long term. Additionally, consumer sentiment has a favorable effect (1.34) on demand for long-distance trips, but it has a negative impact (-0.42) on the number of people staying at home. Economic and political shocks have a detrimental impact on demand for air and auto travel, suggesting that consumers reduce the frequency and cost of these transport services if they have pessimistic expectations about the future state of the economy and policy. However, in the short term, US travelers appear to be insensitive to shocks in consumer sentiment and economic policy uncertainty. Regarding the perceived threat of the pandemic, the results indicate that rising COVID-19 cases have a negative long-term effect on demand for air travel (-0.09) and public transit (-0.19), while they are positively associated with demand for auto travel (0.06). Similarly, the increasing number of deaths due to COVID-19 has led to a shift from shared-use mass transportation (air travel and public transit) to private autos and non-motorized travel, such as walking in the short term.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文研究了有关政府和公众对COVID-19大流行反应的跨国评级信息对消费者宏观经济预期和情绪的影响。我们在泰国和越南进行了两次随机对照试验(RCT)的消费者调查。当显示的信息与消费者的先前信念相矛盾时,信息处理的效果最强。在第一次调查中,在第一次封锁放松时进行的,越南的治疗效果更强,引起更乐观的预期和情绪。在第二次调查中,在第二波感染开始时进行,泰国的治疗效果更强,造成更悲观的前景。
    This paper investigates the effect of information about cross-country ratings of the government\'s and the public\'s reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic on consumers\' macroeconomic expectations and sentiment. We conduct consumer surveys with randomized control trials (RCTs) in two waves in Thailand and Vietnam. The information treatments have the strongest effect when the information shown contradicts consumers\' prior beliefs. In the first survey, conducted when the first lockdown was eased, treatment effects are stronger in Vietnam, causing more optimistic expectations and sentiment. In the second survey, conducted at the start of the second wave of infections, treatment effects are stronger in Thailand, causing a more pessimistic outlook.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    大多数电子商务平台允许消费者发布产品评论,导致越来越多的消费者养成购买前阅读评论的习惯。这些在线评论作为消费者产品体验的情感反馈,包含许多重要信息,但不可避免地会有恶意或不相关的评论。及时发现和识别在线评论中的真实情感倾向尤为重要。因此,提出了一种基于深度学习的真实在线消费者情感分类模型。首先,基于专家知识,运用模糊数学,建立了商品在线评论与情感特征的映射关系,从而将高维的原始文本数据映射到连续的低维空间中。其次,在使用卷积运算获得局部上下文特征后,特征之间的长期依赖关系被一个双向的长短期记忆网络所充分考虑。然后,通过引入注意力机制来考虑不同单词对文本的贡献程度,并在目标函数中引入了正则项约束。实验结果表明,与其他模型相比,提出的卷积注意力长短期记忆网络(CA-LSTM)模型具有更高的测试准确率,达到83.3%,表明该模型具有更好的分类性能。
    Most e-commerce platforms allow consumers to post product reviews, causing more and more consumers to get into the habit of reading reviews before they buy. These online reviews serve as an emotional feedback of consumers\' product experience and contain a lot of important information, but inevitably there are malicious or irrelevant reviews. It is especially important to discover and identify the real sentiment tendency in online reviews in a timely manner. Therefore, a deep learning-based real online consumer sentiment classification model is proposed. First, the mapping relationship between online reviews of goods and sentiment features is established based on expert knowledge and using fuzzy mathematics, thus mapping the high-dimensional original text data into a continuous low-dimensional space. Secondly, after obtaining local contextual features using convolutional operations, the long-term dependencies between features are fully considered by a bidirectional long- and short-term memory network. Then, the degree of contribution of different words to the text is considered by introducing an attention mechanism, and a regular term constraint is introduced in the objective function. The experimental results show that the proposed convolutional attention-long and short-term memory network (CA-LSTM) model has a higher test accuracy of 83.3% compared with other models, indicating that the model has better classification performance.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    COVID-19大流行造成的经济危机促使许多政府向家庭提供财政援助。使用2020年大流行期间进行的代表性消费者调查,我们研究了这一财政政策工具对两个新兴经济体家庭的影响,泰国和越南。我们的论文通过研究消费者情绪和持久支出与获得政府财政支持的关系以及这些回应的潜在传播渠道,为文献做出了贡献。我们发现,对家庭的财政支持与更积极的消费者情绪以及实际和计划的持久支出的增加有关,同时也与更乐观的宏观经济前景相关,对政府的信任度更高,和更高的个人幸福感。
    The economic crisis created by the COVID-19 pandemic induced many governments to provide financial assistance to households. Using representative consumer surveys conducted during the pandemic in 2020, we examine the effects of this fiscal policy instrument on households in two emerging economies, Thailand and Vietnam. Our paper contributes to the literature by studying how consumer sentiment and durable spending relate to receiving government financial support and the underlying transmission channels for these responses. We find that financial support to households is related to more positive consumer sentiment and increases in actual and planned durable spending, while also being correlated with a more optimistic macroeconomic outlook, higher trust in the government, and higher personal well-being.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们研究了COVID-19前期和期间消费者支出与消费者情绪之间的动态关系。我们的结果表明,情绪与消费密切相关,因为相对于大流行前,消费者似乎对大流行期间情绪的影响保持着长期记忆。我们还发现,在每个子时期,有和没有情绪影响的消费增长的不对称行为。我们提供了一些对美国经济和其他国家有利的具体政策含义。
    We study the dynamic relationships between consumer expenditures and consumer sentiment in the pre- and during the COVID-19 periods. Our results indicate that sentiment is closely related to consumption as consumers seem to maintain a long memory of the impact of sentiment during the period of the pandemic relative to the pre-pandemic period. We also found asymmetric behavior of consumption growth with and without the influence of sentiment during each sub-period. We offer some specific policy implications that are beneficial to the US economy and other countries.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    We investigate gender differences in the effects of unemployment and sentiment on suicide rates. Using monthly Australian data, we find a positive relationship between the unemployment rate and the suicide rate, and a negative relationship between consumer sentiment and the suicide rate. However, there is strong evidence of nonlinearity in the effects of both unemployment and sentiment on suicide rates, with substantial gender differences. For men, an increase in the unemployment rate increases the suicide rate, but an unemployment decrease has no effect; we find the opposite for women. For men, an increase in sentiment has stronger effects on the suicide rate than a decrease in sentiment. Again, we observe the opposite effect for women. Among sentiment components, forward-looking expectations are stronger predictors of suicide rates than present conditions. Sentiment has a much stronger effect on male suicide rates than on female suicide rates.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Policy Points Preventive measures such as the national lockdown in Italy have been effective in slowing the spread of COVID-19. However, they also had psychological and economic impacts on people\'s lives, which should not be neglected as they may reduce citizens\' trust and compliance with future health mandates. Engaging citizens in their own health management and in the collaboration with health care professionals and authorities via the adoption of a collaborative approach to health policy development is fundamental to fostering such measures\' effectiveness. Psychosocial analysis of citizens\' concerns and emotional reactions to preventive policies is important in order to plan personalized health communication campaigns.
    Because of the COVID-19 pandemic, between February 23 and March 8, 2020, some areas of Italy were declared \"red zones,\" with citizens asked to stay home and avoid unnecessary interpersonal contacts. Such measures were then extended, between March 10 and May 4, 2020, to the whole country. However, compliance with such behaviors had an important impact on citizens\' personal, psychological, and economic well-being. This could result in reduced trust in authorities and lowered compliance. Keeping citizens engaged in their own health and in preventive behaviors is thus a key strategy for the success of such measures. This paper presents the results from a study conducted in Italy to monitor levels of people\'s health engagement, sentiment, trust in authorities, and perception of risk at two different time points.
    Two independent samples (n = 968 and n = 1,004), weighted to be representative of the adult Italian population, were recruited in two waves corresponding to crucial moments of the Italian COVID-19 epidemic: between February 28 and March 4 (beginning of \"phase 1,\" after the first regional lockdowns), and between May 12 and May 18 (beginning of \"phase 2,\" after the national lockdown was partially dismissed). Respondents were asked to complete an online survey with a series of both validated measures and ad hoc items. A series of t-tests, general linear models, and contingency tables were carried out to assess if and how our measures changed over time in different social groups.
    Although sense of self and social responsibility increased between the two waves, and trust toward authorities remained substantially the same, trust in science, consumer sentiment, and health engagement decreased. Our results showed that while both the level of general concern for the emergency and the perceived risk of infection increased between the two waves, in the second wave our participants reported being more concerned for the economic consequences of the pandemic than the health risk.
    The potentially disruptive psychological impact of lockdown may hamper citizens\' compliance with, and hence the effectiveness of, behavioral preventive measures. This suggests that preventive measures should be accompanied by collaborative educational plans aimed at promoting people\'s health engagement by making citizens feel they are partners in the health preventive endeavor and involved in the development of health policies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The views and experiences of the Australian public are an important barometer of the health system. This study provides key findings about the changing views held by Australians over time regarding their individual experiences and perceptions of the overall performance of the health system.
    A population-based online survey was conducted in 2018 (N = 1024). Participants were recruited through market research panels. The results were compared with previous Australian population survey data sets from 2008 (N = 1146), 2010 (N = 1201) and 2012 (N = 1200), each of which used different population samples. The survey included questions consistent with previous surveys regarding self-reported health status, and questions about use, opinions and experiences of the health system.
    Overall, there has been a shift in views from 2008 to 2018, with a higher proportion of respondents now viewing the Australian health-care system more positively (X2 (2, N = 4543) = 96.59, P < .001). In 2018, areas for attention continued to include the following: the need for more doctors, nurses and other health workers (29.0%); lower costs for care or Orion medicines (27.8%); more access to care (13.1%); and enhancements in residential aged care (17.3% rated these services as \'bad\' or \'very bad\').
    This research suggests that Australians\' perceptions of their health-care system have significantly improved over the last decade; however, concerns have emerged over access to medicines, inadequate workforce capacity and the quality of aged care facilities. Our study highlights the value of periodically conducting public sentiment surveys to identify potential emerging health system problems.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The measurement of online sentiment is a developing field in social science and big data research. The methodology from this study provides an analysis of online sentiment using a unique combination of NLP and human validation techniques in order to create net sentiment scores and categorise topics of online conversation. The study focused on measuring the online sentiment of South Africa\'s major banks (covering almost the entire retail banking industry) over a 12-month period. Through this methodology, firms are able to track shifts in online sentiment (including extreme firestorms) as well as to monitor relevant conversation topics. To date, no published methodology combines the use of big data NLP and human validation in such a structured way.•Microsampling for manual validation of sentiment analysis (both qualitative and quantitative approaches in order to obtain the most accurate results)•Sentiment measurement•Sentiment map.
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