consequence management

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究的重点是优化城市供水管网中的后果管理行为。将EPANET仿真模型与基于档案的多目标改进海鸥优化算法(MOMSOA)相结合,以实现更高效的优化过程。开发了两个目标函数:最小化反应性活动(降低成本)和最小化消耗的污染质量。探索了利用截止阀和消火栓隔离网络和排放污染的方法。没有后果管理,消耗84.5公斤的污染。有18项反应性活动,污染消耗减少到59.8公斤。此外,为了将所提出的方法与其他算法进行比较,用其他方法获得了反应活性与污染物质量消耗量之间的相互作用曲线,包括MOSOA,NSGA-II,MOPSO,和MOSMA。根据得到的曲线,所提出的方法在减少消耗的污染质量方面表现更好。使用MOMSOA和最多18个活动提取最佳活动大约需要80分钟。采用归档技术的MOMSOA大大缩短了实时结果管理的时间。所提出的方法表明,增加档案种群可将目标之间的相互作用曲线的提取时间减少多达60%。由于搜索类似的解决方案,较小的存档容量会稍微增加提取最佳活动所需的时间。然而,利用存档容量可以实现网络中的实时优化和结果管理。
    This study focuses on the optimization of consequence management actions in the urban water distribution network. The EPANET simulation model is employed in combination with the multi-objective modified seagull optimization algorithm (MOMSOA) based on archives for a more efficient optimization process. Two objective functions are developed: minimizing reactive activities (cost reduction) and minimizing consumed pollution mass. The utilization of shut-off valves and hydrants for isolating the network and discharging pollution is explored. Without consequence management, 84.5 kg of pollution is consumed. With 18 reactive activities, pollution consumption was reduced to 59.8 kg. Also, to compare the proposed method with other algorithms, the interaction curve between reactive activities and the amount of pollutant mass consumed was obtained using other methods, including MOSOA, NSGA-II, MOPSO, and MOSMA. According to the obtained curve, the proposed method performed better in reducing the mass of consumed pollution. Extracting optimal activities using MOMSOA and a maximum of 18 activities takes about 80 min. The MOMSOA with archive technique significantly shortens this time for real-time consequence management. The proposed approach demonstrates that increasing the archive population decreases the extraction time of interaction curves between objectives by up to 60 %. A small archive capacity slightly increases the time required to extract optimal activities due to searching for similar solutions. However, utilizing the archive capacity enables real-time optimization and consequence management in the network.
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  • 文章类型: Introductory Journal Article
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在没有疫苗的情况下,社交距离和减少旅行等非药物干预措施是减缓COVID-19大流行传播的唯一策略.使用2020年3月至5月在大流行开始时从夏威夷收集的调查数据(n=22,200),调查了将疾病带入州的旅行者传播者与社区传播者之间的差异。除了描述人口统计学属性并将其与那些易受COVID-19影响的人的属性进行比较外,还开发并测试了解释旅行行为的Logit模型。旅行者传播者可能是男性,年轻,返回的学生。社区传播者更可能是男性,基本工人,第一反应者,和暴露风险最高的医务人员。使用空间统计,绘制了高危个体的集群和热点位置。由于交通研究人员能够将他们的关键分析能力和经验与有关移动性和传染病传播的相关数据库相结合,这一分析可以支持应对和减缓大流行蔓延的努力。
    In the absence of a vaccine, nonpharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing and travel reductions were the only strategies for slowing the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. Using survey data from Hawaii (n = 22,200) collected in March through May of 2020 at the onset of the pandemic, the differences between traveler spreaders who brought the disease into the state and community spreaders were investigated. In addition to describing the demographic attributes and comparing them with attributes of those who were vulnerable to COVID-19, logit models explaining travel behaviors were developed and tested. Traveler spreaders were likely to be male, younger, and returning students. Community spreaders were more likely to be male, essential workers, first responders, and medical personnel at the highest risk of exposure. Using spatial statistics, clusters and hotspot locations of high-risk individuals were mapped. As transportation researchers are in a position to combine their critical analytical capabilities and experience with relevant databases on mobility and the spread of infectious diseases, this analysis could support efforts to respond to and slow the spread of the pandemic.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    COVID-19大流行给交通运输研究人员和从业人员带来了重大挑战,但也带来了前所未有的机遇。在这篇文章中,确定了运输部门工作人员的主要经验教训和知识差距,包括以下内容:(1)公共卫生与交通的整合;(2)支持接触者追踪和旅行者追踪的技术;(3)关注弱势群体,有风险的运营商,顾客,和服务不足的社会成员;(4)重新设计旅行需求模型,以支持社会距离,检疫,和公共卫生干预措施;(5)大数据和信息技术的挑战;(6)公众之间的信任关系,政府,私营部门,(7)灾害期间的冲突管理;(8)跨学科知识和参与的复杂性;(9)培训和教育的需求;(10)支持社区复原力的变革性变革。专注于交通规划和社区复原力,大流行的教训需要针对不同的系统进行分享和定制,服务,模态,和用户。虽然大流行期间的许多干预措施都是基于公共卫生,管理层,回应,recovery,适应,危机导致的运输系统的转变需要多学科的合作,多辖区沟通和协调,和资源共享。需要进一步的研究来支持知识到行动。
    The COVID-19 pandemic has created significant challenges but also unprecedented opportunities for transportation researchers and practitioners. In this article, the major lessons and gaps in knowledge for those working in the transportation sector are identified, including the following: (1) integration between public health and transportation; (2) technology to support contact tracing and tracking of travelers; (3) focus on vulnerable, at-risk operators, patrons, and underserved members of society; (4) re-engineering of travel demand models to support social distancing, quarantine, and public health interventions; (5) challenges with Big Data and information technologies; (6) trust relationships between the general public, government, private sector, and others in disaster management; (7) conflict management during disasters; (8) complexities of transdisciplinary knowledge and engagement; (9) demands for training and education; and (10) transformative change to support community resilience. With a focus on transportation planning and community resilience, the lessons from the pandemic need to be shared and customized for different systems, services, modalities, and users. While many of the interventions during the pandemic have been based on public health, the management, response, recovery, adaptation, and transformation of transportation systems resulting from the crisis require multi-disciplinary, multi-jurisdictional communications and coordination, and resource sharing. Further research to support knowledge to action is needed.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Firefighters are a critical component of the emergency response system and therefore a potential target for organizations seeking to disrupt this system. Terrorist organizations may deliberately attack firefighters to both increase the devastation of an attack and impair the affected community\'s ability to respond to an attack. We performed a focused search of the Global Terrorism Database to identify terrorist attacks against firefighters worldwide. The database includes incidents from 1970 through 2019, with a total of 201,183 entries. These entries were searched for incidents involving firefighters or fire trucks. We analyzed trends in the number of incidents occurring per year, regions of the world impacted, methods employed, and number of casualties inflicted. A total of 42 attacks involving firefighters were identified in the Global Terrorism Database resulting in 26 deaths and 95 wounded. Of the 42 attacks, 12 (28.6%) were secondary attacks, where firefighters responding to an initial attack were themselves targeted. The most common method for both primary and secondary attacks was the use of a bomb or explosive. Although attacks against firefighters are uncommon, they highlight both the strategic value and vulnerability of firefighters to terrorist attacks. Increased efforts must be made to protect firefighters from future terrorist attacks.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们进行了全面的,InBios主动类鼻虫病检测(AMD)快速检测的多阶段实验室评估,一种侧流免疫测定法,旨在检测由伯克霍尔德氏菌或假伯克霍尔德氏菌产生的荚膜多糖,与OmniArrayReader一起使用,用于快速鉴定Bmallei或B假mallei的培养分离株,以支持大规模伤亡事件期间的临床诊断反应和分诊,比如生物攻击。在2个位点进行研究以评估AMD测试的性能。敏感性,特异性,使用35个包容性菌株和64个临床背景菌株的5个重复实验确定了该测定的可重复性。总共进行了520次测试,其中包括阳性和阴性对照。目测和使用OmniArrayReader获得的结果显示,对Bmallei的灵敏度为92.3%,对B假allei的灵敏度为95.6%;与64种临床背景生物中的任何一种均未观察到交叉反应性。这项研究的结果表明,用于推定鉴定Bmallei和B假allei分离株以支持临床诊断的AMD测试是高度稳健的,具体,和敏感。此评估支持将此测试用作快速,定性测定,用于在临床环境中推定鉴定Bmallei和B假allei。
    We conducted a comprehensive, multiphase laboratory evaluation of the InBios Active Melioidosis Detect (AMD) rapid test, a lateral flow immunoassay designed to detect capsular polysaccharides produced by Burkholderia mallei or Burkholderia pseudomallei, used in conjunction with the Omni Array Reader for the rapid identification of culture isolates of B mallei or B pseudomallei to support clinical diagnosis for response and triage during a mass casualty event, such as a biological attack. The study was conducted at 2 sites to assess the performance of the AMD test. The sensitivity, specificity, and reproducibility of the assay was determined using 5 replicates of 35 inclusivity strains and 64 clinical background strains. A total of 520 tests were performed, which included both positive and negative controls. Results obtained visually and with the Omni Array Reader showed a sensitivity of 92.3% for B mallei and 95.6% for B pseudomallei; no cross-reactivity was observed with any of the 64 clinical background organisms. The results from this study indicate that the AMD test for the presumptive identification of B mallei and B pseudomallei isolates to support clinical diagnosis is highly robust, specific, and sensitive. This evaluation supports the use of this test as a rapid, qualitative assay for the presumptive identification of B mallei and B pseudomallei in a clinical setting.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    疫苗接种人员通过减轻人口的疾病负担,在国家的公共卫生中发挥着重要作用。了解针对疫苗接种者的攻击模式对于确定如何保护他们很重要。我们对全球恐怖主义数据库进行了搜索,以了解1970年至2018年期间发生的针对疫苗接种者的恐怖袭击。使用搜索词“医院,\“\”医疗保健,\"\"诊所,\"\"医生,\"\"护士,\"\"疫苗接种者,“和”疫苗接种,“确定了2,322个与医疗保健相关的条目。然后,我们手动搜索数据集,查找与疫苗接种者攻击相关的事件,这导致了133次针对疫苗接种者的攻击。大多数(133次中的128次)攻击发生在2010年或之后。除了一次袭击,每一次袭击都发生在中东,南亚,或者撒哈拉以南非洲。巴基斯坦对疫苗接种者的袭击最多,记录了112起事件。疫苗接种者仍然容易受到恐怖袭击。在大规模疫苗接种工作期间保护医护人员至关重要,这样他们才能继续他们的救生任务。
    Vaccinators fulfill an important role in a nation\'s public health by reducing the burden of disease on the population. Understanding patterns of attack employed against vaccinators is important to determine how to protect them. We conducted a search of the Global Terrorism Database for terrorist attacks against vaccinators that occurred between the years 1970 and 2018. Using the search terms \"hospital,\" \"healthcare,\" \"clinic,\" \"doctor,\" \"nurses,\" \"vaccinators,\" and \"vaccinations,\" 2,322 healthcare-related entries were identified. We then manually searched the dataset for incidents related to attacks on vaccinators, which resulted in the identification of 133 attacks against vaccinators. The majority (128 out of 133) of attacks occurred during or after 2010. Every attack except one has occurred in the Middle East, South Asia, or sub-Saharan Africa. Pakistan has seen the most attacks against vaccinators, with 112 incidents recorded. Vaccinators continue to be vulnerable to terrorist attacks. Protection of healthcare personnel during mass vaccination efforts is critical so that they can continue their lifesaving mission.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The COVID-19 pandemic has generated fear, panic, distress, anxiety, and depression among many people in Bangladesh. In this cross-sectional study, we examined factors associated with different levels of psychological impact as a result of COVID-19 in Bangladesh. From April 1 to 30, 2020, we used a self-administered online questionnaire to collect data from 10,609 respondents. Using the Impact of Event Scale-Revised to assess the psychological impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on respondents, we categorized the levels of impact as normal, mild, moderate, or severe. Ordinal logistic regression was used to examine the associated factors. The prevalence of mild, moderate, and severe psychological impact was 10.2%, 4.8%, and 45.5%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that the odds of reporting normal vs mild, moderate, or severe psychological impact were 5.9 times higher for people living in the Chittagong Division, 1.7 times higher for women with lower education levels, 3.0 times higher among those who were divorced or separated, 1.8 times higher for those working full time, and 2.4 times higher for those living in shared apartments. The odds of reporting a psychological impact were also higher among people who did not enforce protective measures inside the home, those in self-quarantine, those who did not wear face masks, and those who did not comply with World Health Organization precautionary measures. Increased psychological health risks due to COVID-19 were significantly higher among people who experienced chills, headache, cough, breathing difficulties, dizziness, and sore throat before data collection. Our results showed that 1 in 2 respondents experienced a significant psychological impact as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Public health researchers should consider these factors when targeting interventions that would have a protective effect on the individual\'s psychological health during a pandemic or future disease outbreak.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
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