Union formation

联盟形成
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    使用来自监测未来研究的数据,包括31名19-30岁的高中生(1976年至2006年),我们确定了工会形成轨迹及其协变量的异质性(队列,性别,种族/民族,和父母教育)。我们确定了9个轨迹,其中大约40%遵循单个到已婚序列(序列的时间变化),大约35%的人仍然单身,其余受访者表现出相当大的异质性。最近的队列更有可能保持单身,经历更多的转变,女性做出了更早的转变,和黑人受访者不太可能遵循涉及婚姻的途径。
    Using data from Monitoring the FutureStudy that include 31 cohorts of high school seniors (1976 to 2006) who were followed from ages 19-30, weidentified heterogeneity in union formation trajectories andits covariates (cohort, sex, race/ethnicity, and parental education). We identified nine trajectorieswith approximately 40% following a single to married sequence (with variation in the timing of the sequence), about 35% remaining single, and the remaining respondents showing considerable heterogeneity.Recent cohortswere more likely to remain single and experience more transitions, women made earlier transitions, and Blackrespondents were less likely to follow pathways entailing marriage.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在许多高收入社会中,分居(LAT)伙伴关系越来越突出,促使正在进行的关于他们的意义和他们在家庭形成过程中的作用的讨论。这项研究提供了西班牙LAT关系的当代更新,特别强调不同生命阶段的变化。该研究集中在几个关键方面:(1)LAT关系流行的最新趋势,(2)与LAT关系相关的社会人口因素,(3)双方特征的共同影响,(4)共同居住的短期意图。使用2018年西班牙生育率调查的数据,我们采用逻辑回归模型来分析影响个体处于LAT关系而非共同居住伙伴关系的可能性的因素.我们的研究结果表明,在过去的二十年中,西班牙的LAT合作伙伴关系显着增加,除了最年轻的年龄组。LAT关系的个人动机和社会归因意义,然而,不同取决于个人的生活阶段。在年轻人中,LAT伙伴关系在很大程度上是家庭形成过程中的过渡阶段,在与伴侣共同居住之前。在这个成年早期阶段,失业和临时工作合同-影响任何合作伙伴-通常会阻碍家庭形成,但是在不久的将来共同居住的意图仍然很强。相比之下,中年阶段的LAT伙伴关系通常源于保持个人独立性的愿望,并且经常与先前的伙伴关系和生殖传记联系在一起。
    Living-apart-together (LAT) partnerships are gaining prominence in many high-income societies, prompting ongoing discussions about their significance and their role in the family formation process. This study provides a contemporary update on LAT relationships in Spain, with a specific emphasis on variations across different life stages. The study focuses on several key aspects: (1) recent trends in the prevalence of LAT relationships, (2) socio-demographic factors associated with being in a LAT relationship, (3) joint influence of both partners\' characteristics, and (4) short-term intentions to co-reside. Using data from the 2018 Spanish Fertility Survey, we employ logistic regression models to analyze the factors influencing individuals\' likelihood of being in a LAT relationship as opposed to a co-residential partnership. Our findings reveal a noticeable rise in LAT partnerships in Spain over the past two decades, except among the youngest age group. Personal motivations and socially attributed meanings of LAT relationships, however, differ depending on an individual\'s life stage. Among young adults, LAT partnerships largely serve as a transitional phase in the family formation process, preceding co-residence with a partner. In this early adulthood stage, unemployment and temporary work contracts - affecting any of the partners - often hinder household formation, but intentions to co-reside in the near future remain strong. In contrast, LAT partnerships in the mid-life stage often stem from a desire to maintain personal independence and are frequently linked to prior partnership and reproductive biographies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    随着时间的推移,婚姻和同居形成的普遍性的发展长期以来受到了极大的关注,但对欧洲国家不同人口亚组的最新发展知之甚少。这也适用于瑞典。一个被认为是家庭人口变化先行者的国家。相比之下,2010年代出生率下降受到了广泛关注,以及关注不确定性增加的作用的解释。在瑞典的情况下,所有主要社会人口亚组的生育率下降都有记录.这项研究的目的是研究在2010年代和新冠肺炎大流行的特殊年份,第一次婚姻和同居的情况是否相同。根据瑞典人口登记,包括新的同居数据,我们提供了多个社会人口阶层的首次婚姻形成(1991-2022)和同居形成(2012-2022)的年度指数.我们证明,自2010年代初以来,第一次婚姻的形成持续下降,在大流行期间又有大幅下降,大流行后恢复。相比之下,2012-2022年期间,同居形成有显著的稳定性.尽管社会人口群体在婚姻和同居形成的总体水平上有所不同,最近的趋势在不同群体中惊人地相似。同居的夫妻,在人口亚组中,变得不太倾向于将他们的工会地位过渡到更坚定的水平,表现为婚姻或父母。尽管2010年代经济形势良好,家庭政策稳定,但这种情况还是发生了。表明其他力量在起作用。
    Developments over time in the prevalence of marriage and cohabitation formation has long received much interest, but less is known about more recent developments for different population subgroups in European countries. This applies as well to Sweden, a country considered a forerunner in family-demographic change. In contrast, much attention has been paid to the falling birth rates during the 2010s, and explanations that focus on the role of increasing uncertainties. In the Swedish case, the fertility decline has been documented across all main socio-demographic subgroups. The objective of this study is to examine whether the same situation holds for first marriage and cohabitation formation during the 2010s and the exceptional years of the Covid-19 pandemic. Based on Swedish population registers, including with new cohabitation data, we present annual indices of first marriage formation (1991-2022) and cohabitation formation (2012-2022) across a number of socio-demographic strata. We demonstrate a continuous decline in first marriage formation since the early 2010s with an additional sharp dip during the pandemic and a post-pandemic recovery. In contrast, there was a remarkable stability in cohabitation formation during 2012-2022. Although socio-demographic groups differ in their overall levels of marriage and cohabitation formation, the recent trends are strikingly similar across groups. Cohabiting couples, across population subgroups, have become less inclined to transition their union status to a more committed level, as manifested by marriage or parenthood. This occurred in spite of a positive economic climate in the 2010s and stable family policies, indicating that other forces are at play.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    同居和婚姻是向成年过渡的重要里程碑;然而,关于年轻人第一次同性结合的时机的研究有限。有一些证据表明同性婚姻可能会延迟,尤其是对于男人。Further,同性和异性约会关系的形成,在性少数群体的年轻人中很常见,也可能延伸到同居和婚姻。我们使用了全国青少年对成人健康的纵向研究来预测第一次浪漫结合的时机,定义为同居或婚姻,在性少数群体的年轻人中。然后,我们区分了男女以及不同性别与同性结合的时机。与异性恋年轻人相比,男女同性恋年轻人在以后的年龄(由男性驱动)进入工会,而双性恋的年轻人在更年轻的时候(由女性驱动)就进入了联盟。与同性伴侣进入第一次工会的男女同性恋年轻人比与不同性伴侣进入第一次工会的人年龄晚。结果表明,性少数民族约会关系的形成模式可能会扩展到工会。
    Cohabitation and marriage are critical milestones during the transition to adulthood; however, there is limited research on the timing of young adults\' first same-sex unions. There is some evidence that same-sex unions may be delayed, particularly for men. Further, formation of both same- and different-sex dating relationships, common among sexual minority young adults, may also extend to cohabitation and marriage. We used the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health to predict the timing of a first romantic union, defined as a cohabitation or marriage, among sexual minority young adults. We then distinguished between women and men and the timing of a different-sex versus a same-sex union. Compared with heterosexual young adults, lesbian and gay young adults entered a union at later ages (driven by men), whereas bisexual young adults entered a union at younger ages (driven by women). Lesbian and gay young adults who entered a first union with a same-sex partner did so at later ages than those who entered a first union with a different-sex partner. Results suggest that patterns of sexual minority dating relationship formation might extend to unions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在西方国家,以临时就业或失业风险较高为特征的就业不确定性上升通常被视为延迟和拒绝合作的驱动力。然而,这种就业伙伴关系是劳动力市场机构的背景,因此随着时间的推移,可能会在各国之间产生分歧。本文旨在研究劳动力市场法规的国家一级变化如何减轻不稳定就业对工会形成的个人水平影响,包括向婚姻或同居结合的过渡。使用来自欧盟收入和生活条件统计(2010-2019年)的26个国家的比较面板数据,我们的多级固定效应模型表明,临时就业和失业对欧洲单身男女形成工会的可能性产生负面影响。此外,当劳动力市场改革刺激内部-外部隔离或减少福利规定时,不稳定就业与工会形成之间的负相关关系得到了加强。具体来说,更严格的就业保护立法和更高的集体谈判协议覆盖率可以加强临时就业和失业对工会形成的负面影响,而更慷慨的失业救济金可以缓冲这种负面影响。
    Rising employment uncertainty featured by higher risks of being temporarily employed or unemployed is often seen as the driving force behind delayed and declined partnering in Western countries. However, such an employment-partnering relationship is contextualized by labour market institutions and thus could diverge across countries over time. This paper aims to investigate how country-level variations in labour market regulations moderate individual-level effects of unstable employment on union formation, including the transitions into marriage or cohabitation unions. Using comparative panel data for 26 countries from the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (the years 2010-2019), our multilevel fixed effects models showed that temporary employment and unemployment negatively affected the probability of union formation for single women and men in Europe. Moreover, the negative relationship between unstable employment and union formation was reinforced when labour market reforms were stimulating insider-outsider segregations or decreasing welfare provisions. Specifically, stricter employment protection legislations and higher coverage rates of collective bargaining agreements could reinforce the negative effects of temporary employment and unemployment on union formation, while more generous provisions of unemployment benefits could buffer such negative effects.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    西方社会已经观察到住宅过渡和家庭形成模式的实质性变化,但是在东亚背景下,人们对成年途径的去标准化关注较少,独特的社会,经济和文化环境可能会产生不同的轨迹,而这些轨迹在现有的理论和经验框架中探索得较少。采用生命历程的观点,这项研究确定了住房的多轨迹,台湾成年后的伴侣和生育,住房成本高,生育率低。来自台湾家庭动态小组研究2000-2020(N=6,931)的数据用于基于群体的轨迹建模,考虑到早期生活资源和社会起源,采用混合效应多项回归来检查群体成员的可能性。确定了六个常见的住房伙伴生育轨迹。最普遍的生活安排是住在父母家里(50.7%),其次是出租房屋(25%),自有房屋(15.5%)和宿舍或其他(8.8%)。联盟的形成通常先于生育,而住房过渡可能发生在不同的时间点。年轻人离家出走和拥有房屋似乎与他们的父母背景密切相关,例如他们的父母的教育程度和职业状况。总的来说,这些发现与成年期途径的去标准化相一致,证明了成人轨迹的多样性和缺乏单一的主导模式。
    Substantial changes in residential transitions and family formation patterns have been observed in Western societies, but less attention has been paid to the de-standardisation of adulthood pathways in East Asian contexts, where unique social, economic and cultural circumstances may produce diverse trajectories that are less explored in existing theoretical and empirical frameworks. Adopting a life course perspective, this study identifies the multi-trajectories of housing, partnering and childbearing across adulthood in Taiwan, a setting marked by high housing costs and low fertility rates. Data from the Taiwanese Panel Study of Family Dynamics 2000-2020 (N = 6,931) were used for group-based trajectory modelling, and mixed-effects multinomial regression was employed to examine the likelihood of group membership given early-life resources and social origin. Six common housing-partnering-childbearing trajectories were identified. The most prevalent living arrangement was living in parental homes (50.7%), followed by rental homes (25%), self-owned homes (15.5%) and dorms or other (8.8%). Union formation generally precedes childbearing, whereas housing transitions may occur at various time points. Young adults\' home-leaving and homeownership access appear to be closely related to their parental backgrounds, such as their parents\' educational attainment and occupational status. Overall, the findings are consistent with the de-standardisation of pathways to adulthood, demonstrating the diversity in adult trajectories and the lack of a single dominant pattern.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在过去十年中,有关家庭全球变化的研究大大增加了,采用特定国家和,最近,跨国比较的视角。虽然大多数研究都集中在全球家庭变化的驱动因素上,很少有比较研究探讨家庭过程对儿童健康和福祉的影响。这项研究旨在填补这一空白,并启动一项新的研究议程,探索低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs)的婚姻形成和夫妻内部动态对儿童健康和福祉的代际影响。在全球范围内,区域性,以及生育率过渡阶段。我们通过采用宏观层面的观点和儿童结果的多轴概念化来做到这一点-出生时的健康,在以后的生活中,和学校教育-并利用人口和健康调查以及世界银行在75个低收入国家的数据。我们的结果表明,在伴侣关系以配偶之间地位更平等为特征的社会中,即配偶之间的年龄范围和伴侣之间受教育年限的差异更小——孩子在几个方面表现更好。这些关联在中高生育率环境中尤其强烈。尽管有一系列规律,我们的结果还突出了一组发现,在宏观层面,婚姻和离婚/分居的普遍性并不总是与孩子的结局相关,特别是在生育率相对较低的低收入国家。我们记录的跨区域异质性很小,主要强调人口因素的中心地位,如年龄相对于,例如,特定地区的特征,与特定社会的社会结构更紧密地联系在一起。
    Studies on global changes in families have greatly increased over the past decade, adopting both a country-specific and, more recently, a cross-national comparative perspective. While most studies are focused on the drivers of global changes in families, little comparative research has explored the implications of family processes for the health and well-being of children. This study aims to fill this gap and launch a new research agenda exploring the intergenerational implications of union-formation and within-couple dynamics for children\'s health and well-being across low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), both globally, regionally, and by the stage of fertility transition. We do so by adopting a macro-level perspective and a multi-axis conceptualization of children\'s outcomes - health at birth, health in later life, and schooling - and leveraging Demographic and Health Survey and World Bank data across 75 LMICs. Our results show that in societies where partnerships are characterized by more equal status between spouses - i.e., where the age range between spouses and differences in years of schooling between partners are narrower - children fare better on several outcomes. These associations are particularly strong in mid- and high-fertility settings. Despite a series of regularities, our results also highlight a set of findings whereby, at a macro-level, the prevalence of marriage and divorce/separation are not invariably associated with children\'s outcomes, especially in LMICs where fertility is comparatively lower. We document little cross-regional heterogeneity, primarily highlighting the centrality of demographic factors such as age vis-à-vis, for instance, region-specific characteristics that are more tied to the social fabric of specific societies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在本文中,我们探索了从典型女性毕业的受过大学教育的女性之间的交配模式,典型的男性,或混合学科。使用一组来自欧盟劳动力调查数据的一组女性毕业生(2010年)的横截面观察,并应用多层次多项logit模型,我们估计了与受过大学教育的伴侣(同性恋)生活的相对风险,和受教育程度较低的伴侣生活在一起(虚荣),或者单身.专注于毕业后的前五年,分析表明,研究领域是交配行为的重要预测指标。在男性主导领域拥有学位的女性不太可能与受教育程度较低的男性合作。在女性就业率较高的国家,来自男性主导领域的女性的交配优势更强。此外,更自由的性别角色似乎增加了男性主导领域女性的单身水平。最后,如果男性从男性典型学科毕业,那么女性占主导地位和混合学科的女性更有可能成为伴侣。然而,在男性主导学科的女性中,没有观察到这种权衡。
    In this paper, we explore the patterns of assortative mating among college-educated women who graduated from typically female, typically male, or mixed disciplines. Using a set of cross-sectional observations of a single cohort of female graduates (2010) from European Union Labour Force Survey data and applying multilevel multinomial logit models, we estimated the relative risk of living with a college-educated partner (homogamy), living with less educated partner (hypogamy), or being single. Focusing on the first five years after graduation, the analysis demonstrated that field of study is a significant predictor of mating behaviour. Women with degrees in male-dominated fields are less likely to partner down with less educated men. The mating advantage of women from male-dominated fields is stronger in countries with a higher female employment rate. Furthermore, more liberal gender roles seem to increase the level of singlehood among women from male-dominated fields. Finally, women from female-dominated and mixed disciplines are more likely to partner down if the man graduated from a male-typical discipline. However, among women from male-dominated disciplines, such a trade-off was not observed.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文探讨了同居和婚姻后对生育的态度如何变化。加入工会可能会影响对生育的态度,但与此同时,更倾向于生育的个人可能更有决心组建工会。为了解开联盟形成与随后的生育态度变化之间的相互作用,我们实施了倾向得分匹配,将其应用于来自保加利亚的一项调查的面板数据,以确定工会形成对与生育有关的态度的影响。此方法控制可观察到的混杂因素,这些混杂因素可能会影响进入工会的可能性和生育偏好,减少选择偏差。我们发现男性对父母的态度存在积极而显著的因果关系,而对女性的影响较弱,而且往往不确定。
    This paper explores how attitudes towards childbearing change after cohabitation and marriage. Entering in a union may affect attitudes towards childbearing, but at the same time individuals who are more oriented towards childbearing may be more determined to form unions. In order to disentangle the interplay between union formation and subsequent changes in attitudes towards childbearing we implement propensity score matching, which is applied to a panel data coming from a survey in Bulgaria to identify the effect of union formation on attitudes related to childbearing. This method controls for observable confounders which may affect both the probability of entering into a union and childbearing preferences, reducing selection bias. We find a positive and significant causal relationship of entering into union on attitudes towards parenthood among men, whereas the effect is weaker and often uncertain for women.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究调查了1974年至1990年在英格兰和威尔士出生的年轻人的伙伴关系转变。这些群体受到高等教育扩张的影响,提高性别平等,和观念的变化,但面临经济和住房危机导致的经济不稳定。鉴于这些变化,很可能是年轻人的伙伴关系经历,包括婚姻,同居,分离,合作关系也发生了相当大的变化。我们将竞争风险事件历史分析应用于英国家庭小组调查和英国家庭纵向研究的综合数据,以确定出生队列性别,社会经济背景,和教育程度影响伙伴关系的变化。我们研究了16岁至27岁之间首次同居和结婚以及伴侣关系的过渡。同居已成为20世纪70年代末和80年代末出生的年轻人的普遍首次结合形式,无论他们的社会经济背景或教育水平如何,但是他们的第一次工会不会持续很长时间。虽然同居者在最古老的群体(1974-1979年)中同样有可能结婚或分居,同居工会很可能以两个最年轻的同伙(1980-1984和1985-1990)的分离而告终。因此,合作已经变得很普遍;最年轻的队列中的人很快就会重新成为合作伙伴,这表明越来越多的人经历了多种合作伙伴关系。在所有队列中,受过高等教育的年轻人的首次同居率都高于受教育程度较低的年轻人。然而,我们没有发现不同社会经济背景和教育水平的同居结局存在差异,这表明主要变化发生在出生队列中.结果还表明,青年男女之间的伙伴关系经验趋同。滑入和脱离同居的患病率增加,可能表明年轻人对第一伴侣关系的含义发生了重大变化。
    This study investigates partnership transitions of young adults born between 1974 and 1990 in England and Wales. These cohorts were affected by the expansion of higher education, increasing gender equality, and ideational changes, but faced increased economic precarity caused by the economic and housing crisis. Given these changes, it is likely that the partnership experiences of young adults including marriage, cohabitation, separation, and repartnering have also undergone considerable changes. We apply competing risks event history analysis to combined data from the British Household Panel Survey and the UK Household Longitudinal Study to determine how birth cohort, gender, socio-economic background, and educational attainment influence partnership changes. We study the transition into and out of first cohabitation and marriage and repartnering between age 16 and 27. Cohabitation has become a universal form of first union among young adults born in the late 1970s and 1980s regardless of their socio-economic background or educational level, but their first unions do not last long. While cohabiters are equally likely to marry or separate in the oldest cohort (1974-1979), cohabiting unions are very likely to end in separation among the two youngest cohorts (1980-1984 and 1985-1990). Consequently, repartnering has become common; those in the youngest cohort repartner rather quickly suggesting that an increasing number of individuals experience multiple partnerships. Highly educated young adults have higher rates of entry into first cohabitation than their lower educated counterparts across all cohorts. However, we do not find differences in cohabitation outcomes by socio-economic background and educational level indicating that the main changes have taken place across birth cohorts. The results also suggest that there is a convergence in partnership experiences among young men and women. The increased prevalence of sliding into and out of cohabitation could indicate significant changes in the meaning young people attach to first partnerships.
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