PDF(Pubmed)
Abstract：
Developments over time in the prevalence of marriage and cohabitation formation has long received much interest, but less is known about more recent developments for different population subgroups in European countries. This applies as well to Sweden, a country considered a forerunner in family-demographic change. In contrast, much attention has been paid to the falling birth rates during the 2010s, and explanations that focus on the role of increasing uncertainties. In the Swedish case, the fertility decline has been documented across all main socio-demographic subgroups. The objective of this study is to examine whether the same situation holds for first marriage and cohabitation formation during the 2010s and the exceptional years of the Covid-19 pandemic. Based on Swedish population registers, including with new cohabitation data, we present annual indices of first marriage formation (1991-2022) and cohabitation formation (2012-2022) across a number of socio-demographic strata. We demonstrate a continuous decline in first marriage formation since the early 2010s with an additional sharp dip during the pandemic and a post-pandemic recovery. In contrast, there was a remarkable stability in cohabitation formation during 2012-2022. Although socio-demographic groups differ in their overall levels of marriage and cohabitation formation, the recent trends are strikingly similar across groups. Cohabiting couples, across population subgroups, have become less inclined to transition their union status to a more committed level, as manifested by marriage or parenthood. This occurred in spite of a positive economic climate in the 2010s and stable family policies, indicating that other forces are at play.
摘要：
随着时间的推移，婚姻和同居形成的普遍性的发展长期以来受到了极大的关注，但对欧洲国家不同人口亚组的最新发展知之甚少。这也适用于瑞典。一个被认为是家庭人口变化先行者的国家。相比之下,2010年代出生率下降受到了广泛关注，以及关注不确定性增加的作用的解释。在瑞典的情况下，所有主要社会人口亚组的生育率下降都有记录.这项研究的目的是研究在2010年代和新冠肺炎大流行的特殊年份，第一次婚姻和同居的情况是否相同。根据瑞典人口登记,包括新的同居数据，我们提供了多个社会人口阶层的首次婚姻形成(1991-2022)和同居形成(2012-2022)的年度指数.我们证明，自2010年代初以来，第一次婚姻的形成持续下降，在大流行期间又有大幅下降，大流行后恢复。相比之下,2012-2022年期间,同居形成有显著的稳定性.尽管社会人口群体在婚姻和同居形成的总体水平上有所不同，最近的趋势在不同群体中惊人地相似。同居的夫妻,在人口亚组中，变得不太倾向于将他们的工会地位过渡到更坚定的水平，表现为婚姻或父母。尽管2010年代经济形势良好，家庭政策稳定，但这种情况还是发生了。表明其他力量在起作用。
