Tripartite evolutionary game

三方进化博弈
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    传统制造业正处于向低碳创新生产转型的初期,迫切需要低碳创新体系来实现碳中和的目标。为了实现对企业碳排放的有效监管,本文构建了一个企业间的三方演化博弈模型,从动态补贴和税收的角度来看政府和公众。主要结果如下。首先,政府补贴的增加在一定程度上有助于鼓励企业选择低碳创新生产战略,但是更多的补贴并不总是更好的。过度的补贴会增加政府监管的成本,降低政府监管的概率。第二,在静态补贴和税收机制下,三方进化博弈系统不收敛。但是,在动态补贴和税收的情况下,该系统可以迅速收敛到稳定状态。稳定点是企业低碳创新的状况,政府监管,和公众监督。第三,公众的干预和监督可以有效防止政府不当行为和企业过度排放生产的现象。而公共奖惩的影响对政府比对企业更有效。
    Traditional manufacturing industry is in the early stages of transition to low-carbon innovative production, and is in urgent need of a low-carbon innovation system to achieve the goal of carbon neutrality. In order to realize the effective supervision of enterprise carbon emissions, this paper constructs a tripartite evolutionary game model among the corporate, government and public from the perspective of dynamic subsidies and taxes. The main results are as follows. First, the increase in government subsidies to a certain extent will help encourage companies to choose low-carbon innovative production strategies, but more subsidies are not always better. Excessive subsidies will increase the cost of government regulation and reduce the probability of government regulation. Second, the tripartite evolutionary game system does not converge under the static subsidies and taxes mechanism. But the system could quickly converges to the stable condition under dynamic subsidies and taxes. The stable point is the situation of corporate low-carbon innovation, government regulation, and public supervision. Third, the public intervention and supervision can effectively prevent the phenomenon of government misconduct and enterprises over-emission production. And the influence of public reward and punishment is more effective for the government than for enterprises.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    随着废弃电气和电子设备(WEEE)数量的增加,WEEE带来的资源浪费和环境危害不容忽视。同时,消费者缺乏环保意识,以及非正规回收商的存在,对政府治理电子废弃物回收行业构成了巨大挑战。本研究构建了由政府与正式和非正式回收商组成的三方进化博弈模型。然后,收益矩阵,得到复制动力学方程和所有平衡点,并对平衡点进行稳定性分析,得出演化稳定性策略(ESS)及其形成条件。最后,通过数值分析研究了重要参数对WEEE回收行业的影响。结果表明,政府不能忽视非正式回收商的存在,而应采取治理措施干预非正式回收,并引导此类回收商升级其加工技术。此外,非正式回收商投资加工技术的意愿随着环境损害税的增加而增加。第二,政府应向正规的回收商提供适当的促销补贴。第三,政府应该控制自己的治理成本,减轻财政负担。第四,政府补贴,正规的回收商应根据投资成本以及投资和政府补贴的收益总和来决定是否进行促销投资。最后,在政府税收压力和正规回收商促销投资的影响下,非正规回收商应积极投资加工技术。
    With an increase in the amount of waste electrical and electronic equipment (WEEE), the waste of resources and environmental hazards caused by WEEE cannot be ignored. Meanwhile, the lack of environmental awareness among consumers and the existence of informal recyclers pose a great challenge to the government in governing the WEEE recycling industry. This study constructs a tripartite evolutionary game model consisting of the government and formal and informal recyclers. Then, the payoff matrix, replicator dynamic equations and all the equilibrium points are obtained, and a stability analysis of the equilibrium points is performed to derive the evolutionary stability strategies (ESSs) and their formation conditions. Finally, the influence of important parameters on the WEEE recycling industry is examined through numerical analysis. The results suggest that the government cannot ignore the existence of informal recyclers but should take governance measures to intervene in informal recycling and guide such recyclers to upgrade their processing technology. Moreover, the willingness of informal recyclers to invest in processing technology increases with the increase in environmental damage taxes. Second, the government should provide formal recyclers with appropriate promotional subsidies. Third, the government should control its own cost of governance and reduce its financial burden. Fourth, with government subsidies, formal recyclers should decide whether to make promotional investments based on the investment cost and the sum of the benefits from the investment and government subsidy. Finally, under government tax pressure and the influence of formal recyclers\' promotional investments, informal recyclers should actively invest in processing technology.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目前,废物管理分类是一个关键的话题,不仅涉及环境保护,还有循环经济的发展。为了在循环经济的背景下解决这个问题,这项研究发展了一种由“中央调节”组成的不合作的三分法范式,当地推广,和普遍参与。“该模型分析了中央政府和地方政府的策略选择,同时使用进化博弈方法鼓励居民促进垃圾分类。使用数值模拟,这项研究考察了随着时间的推移影响三方战略选择的变量。结果表明:(1)中央政府的愿望,地方政府,公民参与对每个实体都有不同的影响;地方政府的行为受到中央政府准备的重大影响,但居民行为受中央政府意图的影响相对较小;相比之下,主要受收支心理预期的影响;(2)地方政府和居民对彼此的影响具有不平衡关系,随着地方政府对居民参与意愿更加敏感,政策支持的变化更加敏感;(3)居民对奖励资金表现出更加敏感,补偿,处罚,和利益分配系数。为了促进中国的废物分类,建立对生态文明的合理预期至关重要,建立有效的环境保护监督机制,完善当地的废物分离计划,增加地方政府促进它们的责任,确保普遍参与的法律方法,完善普遍参与保护环境的监管机制。此外,改善废物分类教育体系和继续进行废物分类相关研究至关重要。
    Currently, waste management classification is a critical topic that concerns not only environmental protection, but also the advancement of a circular economy. To address this issue within the context of a circular economy, this study develops an uncooperative triumvirate paradigm consisting of \"central regulation, local promotion, and universal participation.\" The model analyzes the strategy choices of both the central and local governments while using an evolutionary game method to encourage residents to promote waste separation. Using numerical simulations, this study examines the variables that impact the strategy choices of the three parties over time. The results show that (1) the desire of the central government, local governments, and citizens to engage has varying effects on each of these entities; the conduct of local government is significantly influenced by the preparedness of the central government, but residents\' behavior is comparatively less influenced by the central government\'s intention; in comparison, it is mainly affected by psychological expectations of income and expenditure; (2) the impact of the local government and residents on each other is characterized by an unbalanced relationship, with the local government being more sensitive to residents\' willingness to participate and changes in policy support being more sensitive; and (3) residents show more sensitivity to incentive funds, compensation, penalties, and benefit distribution coefficients. To promote waste separation in China, it is crucial to establish a reasonable expectation of ecological civilization, establish an efficient mechanism for environmental protection supervision, refine local waste separation programs, increase local governments\' responsibility for promoting them, ensure legal methods for universal participation, and improve the regulatory mechanism for universal participation to protect the environment. In addition, it is essential to improve the education system for waste separation and continue research related to waste separation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    预制建筑的实践说明了预制市场的激励以及利益相关者的决策行为,这可以影响转变,升级,和建筑业的可持续性。预制建筑市场中的利益相关者之间的博弈变得复杂,因为他们根据不断变化的市场条件动态调整策略。为了定量研究装配式建筑利益相关者的动态决策行为对装配式建筑市场的影响,本研究引入了零部件供应商作为参与代理商,政府补贴和处罚作为主要措施。本研究构建了涉及政府补贴和惩罚性计划的演化博弈的三方模型。文章利用MATLAB研究了各博弈主体的进化均衡策略以及原策略和不同参数选择对各博弈主体决策的影响。研究结果表明:(1)政府之间的决策行为,组件供应商,开发人员既相互关联又受到限制,但是政府是预制建筑发展的主要主体。(2)补贴等参数,处罚,成本,和利益影响三方进化模型的稳定性,这与之前的研究保持一致。(3)组件供应商在预制建筑的开发中与开发商和承包商等公认实体一样具有同等重要的地位。(4)当补贴保持在增量成本的40%,罚款保持在增量成本的80%时,该模型将快速进化速率与稳定的模型进化相结合。总之,本文的研究结果不仅验证了零部件供应商作为研究对象的合理性和可行性,确认了零部件供应商的重要性,而且提出了更合理的惩罚和补贴边界值,为政府完善激励和惩罚措施以及利益相关者的动态调整策略提供了参考,也为实现建筑业可持续发展目标提供了新的视角。
    The practices of prefabricated buildings illustrate the incentives in prefabricated markets as well as the decision-making behavior of stakeholders, which can influence the transformation, upgrading, and sustainability of the buildings sector. The game between the stakeholders in the prefabricated buildings market becomes complicated by the fact that they dynamically adjust their strategies in response to changing market conditions. With the aim of quantitatively studying the implications of the dynamic decision behavior of prefabricated construction stakeholders on the prefabricated construction market, this study introduces component suppliers as participating agents and government subsidies and penalties as the main measures. And a three-way model of the evolutionary game involving government subsidies and punitive schemes is constructed by this study. The essay examines the evolutionary equilibrium strategies of each game subject as well as the effect of original strategies and different parameter choices on the decision-making of each subject using MATLAB. The findings reveal that (1) decision-making behaviors among the government, component suppliers, and developers are both interrelated and constrained, but governments are the dominant agents in the evolution of prefabricated buildings. (2) Parameters such as subsidies, penalties, costs, and benefits affect the stability of the tripartite evolutionary model, which remains consistent with the previous research. (3) Component suppliers have an equally important position in the development of prefabricated buildings as recognized entities such as developers and contractors. (4) When subsidies are kept at 40% of the incremental cost and penalties at 80% of the incremental cost, the model combines a fast evolutionary rate with stable model evolution. In conclusion, the article\'s research findings not only validate the rationality and feasibility of component suppliers as research subjects and confirm the importance of component suppliers but also propose a more reasonable boundary value for penalties and subsidies, which provides a reference for the government to improve the incentive and punishment measures as well as the dynamic adjustment strategy of stakeholders and also provides a new perspective to achieve the goal of sustainable development of construction.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    随着科学技术的进步和居民需求的多样化,电子产品更新换代的步伐正在加快,产生数量迅速增加的废弃电子产品。信息技术的飞速发展,比如互联网,为回收废旧电子产品带来了重大机遇。然而,这受到居民信息安全担忧的阻碍。实现促进废旧电子产品互联网回收和防止信息泄露的双赢,这项研究使用互联网废旧电子产品回收的关键利益相关者进行了博弈分析。回收废旧电子产品的博弈分析显示,个人信息泄露率越低,参与回收的居民越多。严格的政府监管将提高互联网回收公司在保护信息安全方面的可信度。Further,如果政府对违反信息安全的公司处以高额罚款,互联网回收公司将努力保护信息安全。总之,本研究从利益相关者的角度为实现促进废旧电子产品互联网回收和防止信息泄露的双赢提供了政策建议和理论依据。
    With scientific and technological advancements and the diversification of residents\' demands, the pace of electronic product replacement is accelerating, generating a rapidly increasing number of waste electronics. The rapid development of information technologies, such as the Internet, has brought significant opportunities for recycling waste electronics. However, this is hindered by information safety concerns from residents. To achieve a win-win situation of promoting Internet recycling of waste electronics and preventing information leakage, this study performed a game analysis using key stakeholders in the Internet recycling of waste electronics. The game analysis of recycling waste electronics revealed that the lower the personal information leakage, the more residents would participate in recycling. Strict government regulation would increase the credibility of Internet recycling companies in protecting information security. Further, if the government imposed high fines on companies that breach information security, Internet recycling companies would endeavor to protect information security. In conclusion, this study offers policy recommendations and a theoretical basis to achieve a win-win situation of promoting Internet recycling of waste electronics and preventing information leakage from the perspective of stakeholders.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究旨在通过构建“村收集-镇运输-县管理”的回收流程,确定农药包装废物回收关键节点的最优策略和驱动因素。\"县,城镇,村庄是收集的中心节点,协调,和回收过程中的沟通。它们的策略选择和影响因素分析与循环利用的发展有关。县加工中心,乡镇运输中心,选择村回收中心构建博弈模型,并进行策略和参数假设,得到最优策略组合。结果表明,严格的监管,专业运输和严格执行是县的最佳策略,城镇和村庄,分别。模拟分析证实,成本等因素,奖励限制了每个受试者的策略选择。监督越高,运输,和投入成本,县的积极性越低,城镇,和村庄参与回收,分别。合理控制奖励可以帮助每个参与者选择稳定的策略。该研究为政府提供了在推广之前进行试点的想法,并强调了控制激励政策和相对成本以改善农药包装废物回收过程的重要性。
    This study aims to determine the optimal strategy and driving factors of the critical nodes of pesticide packaging waste recycling by constructing the recycling process of \"village collection-town transport-county management.\" Counties, towns, and villages are the central nodes of collection, coordination, and communication in the recycling process. Their strategy selection and influencing factor analysis are related to the development of recycling. The county processing center, township transit center, and village recycling center were selected to construct a game model, and strategy and parameter assumptions were made to obtain the optimal strategy combination. The results showed that strict supervision, professional transportation and strict implementation are the best strategies for counties, towns and villages, respectively. Simulation analysis confirmed that factors such as cost, reward restricted the strategy selection of each subject. The higher the supervision, transport, and input costs, the lower the enthusiasm of counties, towns, and villages to participate in recycling, respectively. Reasonable control of reward could help each participant choose a stable strategy. The study provided the idea of a pilot before promotion for the government and emphasized the importance of controlling incentive policies and relative costs to improve the recycling process of pesticide packaging waste.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    公众参与对生态文明的成功至关重要。公众参与能否在自然资源离任审计(OANR)中有效发挥作用是一个有待探讨的重要问题。本文运用三方进化博弈,探讨审计主体的作用机制,领导干部,以及OANR中的公众。研究发现,审计主体与领导干部之间存在双向联动关系。审计主体和领导干部以间接方式和直接方式影响公众的行为策略,分别。然而,公众缺乏直接影响其他两个主题的途径。“审计对象进行尽职审计”的三方理想审计模式,领导干部履行职责,公众参与“无法实现。公众战略选择的外部效应不足以使领导干部的损益发生结构性变化,进而改变其行为。本文从三个方面论证了现阶段公众不能有效参与OANR的原因,这是复制动力学方程的解释,审计制度的特殊性,以及公众参与的有效性。提出了鼓励公民间接参与OANR的三点建议,披露OANR的信息,提高公民对OANR的认识。本文对其他发展中国家促进公众参与自然资源审计具有重要的指导意义。
    Public participation is essential to the success of ecological civilization. Whether public participation can effectively play a role in the outgoing audit of natural resources (OANR) is an important issue that remains to be explored. This paper uses the tripartite evolutionary game to explore the mechanism of the audit subjects, the leading cadres, and the public in the OANR. The research finds that there is a two-way linkage relationship between the audit subjects and the leading cadres. The audit subjects and the leading cadres affect the behavior strategies of the public in the indirect way and direct way, respectively. However, the public lacks the path to directly affect the other two subjects. The tripartite ideal audit model of \"the audit subjects conduct due diligence audits, leading cadres perform duties, the public participate\" cannot be realized. The external effect of the public\'s strategic choice is not enough to make the profit or loss of leading cadres change structurally and then change their behaviors. This paper demonstrates the reasons why the public cannot effectively participate in the OANR at the current stage from three aspects, which are the interpretation of the equations for replication dynamics, the particularity of the audit system, and the effectiveness of public participation. Three suggestions are put forward which are encouraging citizens\' indirect participation in the OANR, disclosing information about the OANR, and improving citizens\' awareness of the OANR. This paper has important guiding significance for other developing countries to promote public participation in natural resource auditing.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    良性退出已成为我国P2P借贷行业转型的主旋律。保护投资者在良性退出过程中的利益,本文提出了一种利用三方进化博弈模型捕捉P2P借贷平台行为策略的社会共治模式,投资者,和金融监管机构。结果表明,博弈模型有四种进化稳定策略,其中积极处置P2P网贷平台,投资者的参与,金融监管机构的共同治理政策是良性退出过程中的最优策略。结果还表明,P2P借贷平台的初始比例,投资者,而金融监管机构会显著影响演化稳定策略的收敛速度。提出的社会共治模式将有效维护投资者的利益,惩罚,声誉机制设计良好。本文对P2P借贷行业转型中保护投资者利益、促进金融科技行业可持续发展具有深入的启示意义。
    Benign exit has become the main theme of the transformation in China\'s peer-to-peer (P2P) lending industry. To protect the interests of investors in the benign exit process, this paper proposes a social co-governance pattern using a tripartite evolutionary game model to capture the behavior strategies of P2P lending platforms, investors, and financial regulators. The results demonstrate that there are four evolutionary stable strategies for the game model, among which the positive disposal of P2P lending platforms, the participation of the investors, and the co-governance policy of financial regulators is the optimal strategy in the benign exit process. The results also show that the initial proportion of P2P lending platforms, investors, and financial regulators would significantly affect the convergence speed of the evolutionary stable strategy. The proposed social co-governance pattern would effectively safeguard the interests of investors if incentive, penalty, and reputation mechanisms are well-designed. This paper provides in-depth implications for protecting investors\' interests in the transformation of the P2P lending industry and enhancing the sustainable development of the FinTech industry.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我国医疗保险欺诈问题由来已久,且日益严重,迫切需要解决。本文构建了一个三方进化博弈模型来研究医保欺诈的形成机制,游戏参与者,包括医疗管理机构(MAO,负责健康保险监督的政府部门),医疗机构(MI,如医院),和被保险人(II,参加医疗和医疗保险的人)。通过分析三方进化博弈的均衡,本文对健康保险欺诈的形成和解决进行了深入研究。研究结果表明:(1)如何防范医疗机构的欺诈行为是该问题的难点和核心。有必要实现对MAO的有效监督,完善MI的内部管理,发挥II的监督作用。(2)MAO的监管行为需要重点保护II的利益,不仅鼓励他们积极发挥监督和报告的作用,而且防止他们与MI勾结。(3)一方面,MAO需要加强监管,加大对欺诈行为的惩罚力度。另一方面,他们还需要采取激励措施,引导所有主体形成健全的内部管理机制。
    The problem of fraud in China\'s health insurance has existed for a long time and is becoming more serious, which needs to be solved urgently. This article constructs a tripartite evolutionary game model to study the formation mechanism of the Health Insurance fraud, game participants including medical administrative organization (MAO, a government department responsible for health insurance supervision), medical institutions (MI, such as hospitals), and insured individuals (II, who participating in medical and healthcare insurance). By analyzing the equilibrium of the tripartite evolutionary game, this paper makes an in-depth study on the formation and resolution of health insurance fraud. The results show that: (1) How to prevent the fraud behavior of the medical institutions is the difficulty and core of the problem. It is necessary to achieve effective supervision of the MAO, improve the internal management of the MI and give play to the supervisory role of the II. (2) The regulatory behavior of the MAO needs to focus on protecting the interests of the II, not only to encourage them to actively play the role of supervision and reporting but also to prevent their collusion with MI. (3) On the one hand, the MAO needs to strengthen supervision and increase the punishment for fraud. On the other hand, they also need to take incentive measures to guide all subjects to form a sound internal management mechanism.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    随着现代农业的快速发展,高污染农场的非点源氮污染已成为流域富营养化的主要原因之一。本文首先构建了一个涉及地方政府的三方演化博弈模型,污染较高的农场,和消费者,所有这些都参与了流域氮污染的减少。其次,通过数值模拟分析了演化稳定性策略(ESS)的演化过程以及关键参数对三个利益相关者策略的影响。结果表明:(1)确定了该系统的六个ESS,只有(1,0,1)被认为是最理想的ESS:地方政府的监管,采用不购买排污权的高污染农场,消费者购买绿色农产品。(2)地方政府的调控策略取决于政治损失与减排补贴和监督成本之和的比较。(3)边际减排成本,氮排放许可证的价格,氮的利用效率,单位减排补贴标准是影响高污染养殖场ESS的主要因素。(4)低氮偏好对消费者ESS的影响显著,政府补贴,和氮的利用效率。本研究建议政府应从完善氮素交易的市场机制,建立动态监测系统,创新补贴机制。
    With the rapid development of modern agriculture, non-point source nitrogen pollution from higher polluting farms has become one of the main contributions to the eutrophication of the watershed. This paper first constructed a tripartite evolutionary game model concerning local governments, higher polluting farms, and consumers, all of which participate in the reduction of nitrogen pollution in the river basin. Secondly, the evolution process of evolutionary stability strategy (ESS) and the impact of critical parameters on the strategies of the three stakeholders were analyzed through numerical simulation. The results demonstrated that (1) six ESSs of the system are determined, only (1, 0, 1) is regarded as the most ideal ESS: regulation by local governments, higher polluting farms adopting not purchasing emission rights, and consumers purchasing green agricultural products. (2) The regulation strategy of local governments depends on comparing political losses with the sum of emission reduction subsidies and the supervision cost. (3) The marginal abatement costs, the price of nitrogen emission permits, nitrogen use efficiency, and the subsidy standard for unit emission reduction are the main factors that affect the ESS of higher polluting farms. (4) The ESS of consumers is significantly affected by low-nitrogen preference, government subsidies, and nitrogen use efficiency. This study suggests that the government should strengthen the supervision of the watershed environment from the aspects of improving the market mechanism of nitrogen trading, establishing a dynamic monitoring system, and innovating a subsidy mechanism.
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