Statistical

统计
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:评估教育计划对三种健康访问者结构的影响:“母乳喂养支持:知识,自我效能感和行动能力。此外,本研究旨在确认这三个结构的因子结构。
    背景:卫生专业人员是支持母乳喂养妇女的关键,但研究报告称卫生专业人员在母乳喂养支持知识和能力方面存在差距。本干预研究旨在加强家庭对母乳喂养的支持,以提高母乳喂养率。健康访客接受互动教育计划,以提高他们的母乳喂养支持知识,自我效能感和行动能力,包括电子学习和为期两天的讲座课程,角色扮演和讨论。
    方法:在一项集群随机试验中应用了一项测试前和测试后研究方法:集群单位是丹麦市政健康访问计划,按地区和每个集群的年度出生情况进行分层。来自21个集群的健康访客(11个干预,10控制)参与。知识,在教育前后的自我报告问卷中评估了自我效能和行动能力(n=368;干预措施n=176,对照组n=196).为了分析影响,采用意向治疗原则和线性混合模型。验证性因子分析用于确认假设知识的因素结构,自我效能感和行动能力建构。
    结果:对照组的158名健康访客和干预组的157名访客完成了基线问卷,并在意向治疗分析中进行了分析。分别为125和116,完成随访问卷并进行敏感性分析.两个试验组的健康访问者在基线时的自我效能和行动能力都很高。教育计划的平均治疗效果为0.5分(CI95%0.1-0.8)的知识,自我效能感2.4分(CI95%1.6-3.3),行动能力1.4分(CI95%0.7-2.0)。用于衡量知识的项目的因素结构,自我效能感和行动能力得到证实。
    结论:教育计划提高了自我报告的母乳喂养支持知识,健康访问者的自我效能感和行动能力。通过验证性因子分析确认了用于测量效果的仪器的因子结构。
    背景:临床试验:NCT05311631。首次发布于2022年4月5日。
    OBJECTIVE: To assess the effect of the education programme on three constructs of health visitors\' breastfeeding support: knowledge, self-efficacy and action competence. Furthermore, the study aimed to confirm the factor structure of these three constructs.
    BACKGROUND: Health professionals are key in supporting breastfeeding women but studies report gaps in health professionals\' breastfeeding support knowledge and competences. The present intervention study aimed to strengthen the breastfeeding support of families to improve breastfeeding rates. Health visitors received an interactive education programme to enhance their breastfeeding support knowledge, self-efficacy and action competence, including e-learning and a two-day course of lectures, role plays and discussions.
    METHODS: A pre- and post-test study was applied in a cluster randomised trial METHODS: Cluster units were Danish municipal health visiting programmes, randomised by stratifying for region and annual births per cluster. Health visitors from 21 clusters (11 intervention, 10 control) participated. The knowledge, self-efficacy and action competence were assessed in self-reported questionnaires before and after education (n=368; intervention n=176, control n=196). To analyse the effects, the intention-to-treat principle and linear mixed models were applied. Confirmatory Factor Analysis was used to confirm the factor structures of the hypothesised knowledge, self-efficacy and action competence constructs.
    RESULTS: 158 health visitors in the control arm and 157 in the intervention arm completed the baseline questionnaire and were analysed in intention-to-treat analyses. 125 and 116, respectively, completed the follow-up questionnaire and were analysed in sensitivity analyses. Health visitors in both trial arms had high levels of self-efficacy and action competence at baseline. Mean treatment effect of the education programme was 0.5 points (CI95 % 0.1-0.8) for knowledge, 2.4 points (CI95 % 1.6-3.3) for self-efficacy and 1.4 points (CI95 % 0.7-2.0) for action competence. The factor structure of the items used to measure knowledge, self-efficacy and action competence were confirmed.
    CONCLUSIONS: The education programme improved the self-reported breastfeeding support knowledge, self-efficacy and action competence of health visitors. The factor structures of the instruments used to measure effects were confirmed by confirmatory factor analysis.
    BACKGROUND: Clinical Trials: NCT05311631. First posted April 5, 2022.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在全球范围内,免疫抑制的特征和细分为临床风险组的方式存在明显的不一致.这不利于疾病监测工作的准确性和可比性,这对免疫抑制者的护理及其健康结果具有负面影响。这在COVID-19大流行期间尤其明显;尽管集体动机保护这些患者,相互矛盾的临床定义在这段时间内如何监测和管理免疫抑制患者方面造成了国际分歧.我们建议围绕导致免疫抑制的条件及其与COVID-19有关的严重程度建立国际临床共识。然后可以将这些信息形式化为数字表型,以增强疾病监测,并提供对这些患者进行风险优先排序的急需情报。
    目的:我们的目的是展示电子德尔菲目标,方法论,和统计方法将有助于解决国际上缺乏共识的问题,并为成人免疫抑制提供COVID-19风险分层表型。\"
    方法:利用现有证据证明免疫抑制的成人COVID-19结果不均匀,这项工作将招募50多名世界领先的临床医生,研究,或免疫学或临床风险优先领域的政策专家。经过2轮临床共识构建和1轮总结辩论,这些小组成员将确认应被归类为免疫抑制的医疗状况及其对COVID-19的差异脆弱性。还将提出关于这些风险的时间和剂量依赖性的共识声明。这项工作将迭代进行,小组成员有机会在各轮之间提出澄清问题,并提供持续的反馈以改进问卷项目。统计分析将侧重于答复之间的协议水平。
    结果:该方案概述了一种有效的方法,用于提高对COVID-19成人免疫抑制的定义和有意义的细分的共识。小组成员的招募发生在2024年4月至5月之间;实现了为50多名小组成员设定的目标。该研究于5月底启动,数据收集预计于2024年7月结束。
    结论:本方案,如果全面实施,将提供一个普遍接受的,临床相关,和成人免疫抑制的电子健康记录兼容表型。除了对COVID-19资源优先排序具有立竿见影的价值外,这项研究及其结果对所有不成比例地影响免疫抑制患者的疾病的临床决策具有前瞻性价值.
    PRR1-10.2196/56271。
    BACKGROUND: Globally, there are marked inconsistencies in how immunosuppression is characterized and subdivided into clinical risk groups. This is detrimental to the precision and comparability of disease surveillance efforts-which has negative implications for the care of those who are immunosuppressed and their health outcomes. This was particularly apparent during the COVID-19 pandemic; despite collective motivation to protect these patients, conflicting clinical definitions created international rifts in how those who were immunosuppressed were monitored and managed during this period. We propose that international clinical consensus be built around the conditions that lead to immunosuppression and their gradations of severity concerning COVID-19. Such information can then be formalized into a digital phenotype to enhance disease surveillance and provide much-needed intelligence on risk-prioritizing these patients.
    OBJECTIVE: We aim to demonstrate how electronic Delphi objectives, methodology, and statistical approaches will help address this lack of consensus internationally and deliver a COVID-19 risk-stratified phenotype for \"adult immunosuppression.\"
    METHODS: Leveraging existing evidence for heterogeneous COVID-19 outcomes in adults who are immunosuppressed, this work will recruit over 50 world-leading clinical, research, or policy experts in the area of immunology or clinical risk prioritization. After 2 rounds of clinical consensus building and 1 round of concluding debate, these panelists will confirm the medical conditions that should be classed as immunosuppressed and their differential vulnerability to COVID-19. Consensus statements on the time and dose dependencies of these risks will also be presented. This work will be conducted iteratively, with opportunities for panelists to ask clarifying questions between rounds and provide ongoing feedback to improve questionnaire items. Statistical analysis will focus on levels of agreement between responses.
    RESULTS: This protocol outlines a robust method for improving consensus on the definition and meaningful subdivision of adult immunosuppression concerning COVID-19. Panelist recruitment took place between April and May of 2024; the target set for over 50 panelists was achieved. The study launched at the end of May and data collection is projected to end in July 2024.
    CONCLUSIONS: This protocol, if fully implemented, will deliver a universally acceptable, clinically relevant, and electronic health record-compatible phenotype for adult immunosuppression. As well as having immediate value for COVID-19 resource prioritization, this exercise and its output hold prospective value for clinical decision-making across all diseases that disproportionately affect those who are immunosuppressed.
    UNASSIGNED: PRR1-10.2196/56271.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    积极心理健康(PMH)在促进心理健康方面起着举足轻重的作用。评估这种现象对于早期识别和干预心理健康至关重要。迄今为止,在葡萄牙年轻成人中,只有一个工具通过39个项目进行了验证,用于评估PMH.
    这项研究旨在检查葡萄牙大学生中简短版本的积极心理健康问卷(PMHQ)的心理测量特性。PMHQ简表通过在线平台对3,647名大学生进行了管理。进行了探索性和验证性因素分析。采用主因子解是因为某些项目显示出较高的峰度。多变量分析采用Mardia检验,Henze-Zirkler,还有罗伊斯顿.内容的发现,构造效度测试,和Cronbach的阿尔法证明了PMHQ-ShortForm(PMHQ-SF)的令人满意的有效性和适当的可靠性。
    探索性因子分析产生了PMHQ-SF的六个维度,每个因子中的三个项目证明了足够的内部可靠性。全球内部一致性为0.92,因子在0.60至0.82之间。结果表明,PMHQ-SF是可靠的,更容易,由于项目数量的缩短,大学生完成的实用性更强。PMHQ-SF可用于评估年轻人的积极心理健康。该仪器的最终版本包含32至18个项目。
    UNASSIGNED: Positive Mental Health (PMH) plays a pivotal role in the promoting of mental health. Assessing this phenomenon is essential for early recognition and intervention in mental health. To date, only one tool was validated with 39 items to assess PMH among Portuguese young adults.
    UNASSIGNED: This study sought to examine the psychometric properties of the short version of the Positive Mental Health Questionnaire (PMHQ) among Portuguese university students. The PMHQ Short Form was administered to a sample of 3,647 university students via an online platform. Exploratory and confirmatory factor analyses were performed. The principal factor solution was employed because some items showed higher levels of kurtosis. Multivariate analysis was tested using the Mardia\'s Test, Henze-Zirkler, and Royston. Findings of content, construct validity tests, and Cronbach\'s alfa demonstrated the satisfactory validity and suitable reliability of the PMHQ-Short Form (PMHQ-SF).
    UNASSIGNED: The exploratory factor analysis produced six dimensions of the PMHQ-SF with three items in each factor demonstrating adequate internal reliability. The global internal consistency was 0.92, with factors ranging between 0.60 to 0.82. The results suggest that the PMHQ-SF is reliable, easier, and more practical to complete by university students due to the shortening of the number of items. The PMHQ-SF is useful for assessing positive mental health in young adults. The final version of the instrument contains from 32 to 18 items.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    今天的热力学主要基于Gibbs分别在1873年和1901年得出的平衡系统和统计力学的组合定律,而非平衡系统的不可逆热力学基本上属于Onsager定理,是1930年代发展起来的热力学的一个独立分支。在他们之间,量子力学是在1960年代发明的,并根据密度泛函理论(DFT)进行了定量求解。这三个科学领域基于不同的原理运作,并且彼此非常分离。类似于佩杜所表达的盲人和大象的寓言,它们分别代表复杂系统的不同部分,因此单独而言是不完整的,导致他们的预测和实验观察之间缺乏定量一致性。在过去的二十年里,作者小组开发了一种多尺度熵方法(最近称为z熵理论),该方法集成了基于DFT的量子力学和Gibbs统计力学,能够准确预测复杂系统的熵和自由能。此外,结合希勒特提出的非平衡系统的组合定律,作者发展了超越现象学Onsager定理的交叉现象理论。熵理论和交叉现象理论共同为从电子到任何可观察尺度的系统提供了定量预测理论,如本文所述。
    Today\'s thermodynamics is largely based on the combined law for equilibrium systems and statistical mechanics derived by Gibbs in 1873 and 1901, respectively, while irreversible thermodynamics for nonequilibrium systems resides essentially on the Onsager Theorem as a separate branch of thermodynamics developed in 1930s. Between them, quantum mechanics was invented and quantitatively solved in terms of density functional theory (DFT) in 1960s. These three scientific domains operate based on different principles and are very much separated from each other. In analogy to the parable of the blind men and the elephant articulated by Perdew, they individually represent different portions of a complex system and thus are incomplete by themselves alone, resulting in the lack of quantitative agreement between their predictions and experimental observations. Over the last two decades, the author\'s group has developed a multiscale entropy approach (recently termed as zentropy theory) that integrates DFT-based quantum mechanics and Gibbs statistical mechanics and is capable of accurately predicting entropy and free energy of complex systems. Furthermore, in combination with the combined law for nonequilibrium systems presented by Hillert, the author developed the theory of cross phenomena beyond the phenomenological Onsager Theorem. The zentropy theory and theory of cross phenomena jointly provide quantitative predictive theories for systems from electronic to any observable scales as reviewed in the present work.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    钠-葡萄糖协同转运蛋白2抑制剂(SGLT2i)是新型口服抗高血糖药物,对2型糖尿病(T2D)患者具有心血管和代谢益处。心力衰竭(HF),慢性肾病(CKD)。在门诊环境中预测对SGLT-2i的依从性的真实世界数据的知识有限。该研究旨在通过使用EPIC数据集中提供的电子处方索赔数据建立预测模型来预测T2D和/或HF和/或CKD患者的SGLT-2i依从性。这是一项回顾性研究,对2020年1月1日至2021年4月30日在加州大学圣地亚哥分校健康门诊药房服用SGLT-2i的174名成年患者进行了回顾性研究。粘附性通过覆盖天数(PDC)的比例来衡量。R包用于确定回归和非线性回归预测模型以预测依从性。年龄,性别,种族/民族,血红蛋白A1c,和保险计划都包含在模型中。基于血红蛋白A1c(HbA1c)和肾小球滤过率(GFR)的糖尿病控制也使用Welcht检验进行评估,p值为0.05。衡量依从性的最佳预测模型是简单的决策树。其曲线下面积(AUC)最高,为74%,准确度为82%。该模型占21个变量,主要节点预测因子,包括糖化血红蛋白,年龄,性别,和保险计划支付金额。依从率与HbA1c成反比,与计划支付金额成正比。至于次要结果,从基线到治疗后90天的HbA1c值在非依从性组中始终较高:7.4%vs.9.6%,PDC≥0.80和PDC<0.80分别为p<0.001。基线eGFR为55.18mL/min/1.73m2,与90天54.23mL/min/m2。研究结束时(最少治疗90天)的平均eGFR在组间有统计学差异:53.1vs.对于PDC≥0.80和PDC<0.80,分别为59.6mL/min/1.73m2,p<0.001。依从性预测模型将帮助临床医生根据非依从性风险评分定制治疗方案。
    Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) are novel oral anti-hyperglycemic drugs that demonstrate cardiovascular and metabolic benefits for patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D), heart failure (HF), and chronic kidney disease (CKD). There is limited knowledge of real-world data to predict adherence to SGLT-2i in an ambulatory setting. The study aims to predict SGLT-2i adherence in patients with T2D and/or HF and/or CKD by building a prediction model using electronic prescription claims data presented within EPIC datasets. This is a retrospective study of 174 adult patients prescribed SGLT-2i at UC San Diego Health ambulatory pharmacies between 1 January 2020 to 30 April 2021. Adherence was measured by the proportion of days covered (PDC). R packages were used to identify regression and non-linear regression predictive models to predict adherence. Age, gender, race/ethnicity, hemoglobin A1c, and insurance plan were included in the model. Diabetes control based on hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and the glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was also evaluated using Welch t-test with a p-value of 0.05. The best predictive model for measuring adherence was the simple decision tree. It had the highest area under the curve (AUC) of 74% and accuracy of 82%. The model accounted for 21 variables with the main node predictors, including glycated hemoglobin, age, gender, and insurance plan payment amount. The adherence rate was inversely proportional to HbA1c and directly proportional to the plan payment amount. As for secondary outcomes, HbA1c values from baseline till 90 days post-treatment duration were consistently higher in the non-compliant group: 7.4% vs. 9.6%, p < 0.001 for the PDC ≥ 0.80 and PDC < 0.80, respectively. Baseline eGFR was 55.18 mL/min/1.73m2 vs. 54.23 mL/min/m2 at 90 days. The mean eGFR at the end of the study (minimum of 90 days of treatment) was statistically different between the groups: 53.1 vs. 59.6 mL/min/1.73 m2, p < 0.001 for the PDC ≥ 0.80 and PDC < 0.80, respectively. Adherence predictive models will help clinicians to tailor regimens based on non-adherence risk scores.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在循证实践的背景下,本文揭示了对报告和研究出版物中共享的研究结果所提供信息的理解和有用性的思考,根据统计学意义和临床意义的解释揭示差异。
    对p值(统计意义)研究报告的信息的含义和使用以及这些结果的价值和有用性的基本方面进行了分析和举例说明,对比对临床意义的额外判断的实践价值。除了建立概念上的差异,强调护士需要有能力根据其潜在实施的临床背景来区分和应用他们中的每一个.
    关于护理背景下的干预措施的研究的真正有用性在于它的实际应用和对患者的实践和益处。为了发生这种情况,护士必须充分解释科学出版物和其他研究报告提供的信息。
    UNASSIGNED: Within the context of evidence-based practice, this article exposes the reflection on the understanding and usefulness of the information provided by the research findings shared in reports and research publications, exposing differences based on the interpretation of statistical significance and clinical significance.
    UNASSIGNED: Basic aspects of the meaning and use of the information reported by research on p value (statistical significance) and the value and usefulness of these results are analyzed and exemplified, contrasting the value for the practice of an additional judgment on clinical significance. In addition to establishing conceptual differences, the need is highlighted for nurses to have the competencies to differentiate and apply each of them according to the clinical contexts of their potential implementation.
    UNASSIGNED: The real usefulness of research about interventions within the context of nursing care is given by its real application and reach for the practice and benefit for patients. For this to occur, nurses must interpret adequately the information provided by scientific publications and other research reports.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于性别相关因素,女性和男性的慢性非癌性疼痛的经历有所不同。这项研究(1)使用PAIN_积分量表©评估了女性和男性对慢性非癌性疼痛对日常生活影响的反应差异,并且(2)通过多组验证性因子分析评估了其不变性。这是通过多组验证性因子分析对不变性进行分析来进行的。在西班牙公共卫生系统的疼痛单位和初级保健中心招募了400名18岁以上患有慢性非肿瘤疼痛的参与者的横断面样本(2020年1月至3月)。进行分析以评估仪器中的任何项目是否显示出不同的行为。所有分析均使用AMOS®v.26软件进行。结果表明,在分析女性和男性的不变性时,PAIN_Integral©量表的结构仍然足够,没有显示度量,标量和/或严格不变性。因此,这些结果表明,PAIN_积分量表©仪器对女性和男性有不同的解释,确定八个项目在两性中具有独特的功能,并且属于主动性的子量表,弹性和支持网络。这些发现可以用性别刻板印象来解释,因为存在差异的维度具有重要的社会负担。
    The experience of chronic non-cancer pain differs between women and men due to gender-related factors. This study (1) assessed the difference in responses to the impact of chronic non-cancer pain on daily life in women and men using the PAIN_Integral Scale© and (2) evaluated its invariance through multigroup confirmatory factor analysis. This was conducted by means of an analysis of invariance through a multigroup confirmatory factor analysis. A cross-sectional sample of 400 participants over 18 years of age with Chronic Non-Oncological Pain in Pain Units and Primary Care Centres belonging to the Spanish Public Health System was recruited (January to March 2020). An analysis was performed to assess whether any of the items in the instrument showed different behaviours. All analyses were performed using AMOS® v.26 software. The results showed that the structure of the PAIN_Integral© Scale remained adequate when analysing its invariance in women and men, showing no metric, scalar and/or strict invariance. Therefore, these results indicated that the PAIN_Integral Scale© instrument has a different interpretation for women and men, identifying eight items with a singular functioning in both sexes and belonging to the subscales of proactivity, resilience and support network. These findings can be explained by gender stereotypes, since the dimensions where there are differences have an important social burden.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    与工作相关的肌肉骨骼疾病(WMSD)包括一系列影响肌肉的疾病,肌腱,和神经。视觉图广泛用于识别症状并生成肌肉骨骼不适指标。然而,对于可能源于个体自我报告的肌肉骨骼症状的不适程度,目前尚无共识.
    这项研究旨在测试来自工人的WMSD症状模型在两个不同大小的样本中的适合性。
    使用全信息项目因子分析(FIFA)和项目反应理论(IRT)的组合来分析和测试模型。该研究是在两个工人样本(n1=6944和n2=420)中进行的,这些工人的症状是借助人体图确定的。对每个样本的一维模型和三个多维模型进行了分析。
    一维模型(一般肌肉骨骼不适),二维模型(上半身和下半身的不适),和三维模型(上肢不适,下肢,和树干)显示出良好的因子负荷和社区价值,以及令人满意的项目辨别能力。不管样本大小,IRT和FIFA的参数估计没有问题,提供合适的拟合参数。
    对于更广泛和更小的样本,三种模型是有效和可靠的。然而,三维模型最适合在身体部位产生不适评分.公司和安全专业人员可以使用这些发现来设计策略,以根据感知的症状位置减轻肌肉骨骼疼痛。
    UNASSIGNED: Work-related musculoskeletal disorders (WMSD) encompass a range of conditions affecting muscles, tendons, and nerves. Visual diagrams are widely used to identify symptoms and to generate musculoskeletal discomfort metrics. However, there is no consensus on the number of discomfort dimensions that can originate from self-reported musculoskeletal symptoms by individuals.
    UNASSIGNED: This study aimed to test the fit of WMSD symptom models from workers in two samples of different sizes.
    UNASSIGNED: A combination of Full-Information Item Factor Analysis (FIFA) and Item Response Theory (IRT) was utilized to analyze and test the models. The study was conducted in two samples of workers (n1 = 6944 and n2 = 420) who had their symptoms identified with the aid of a human body diagram. An analysis was conducted considering each sample\'s unidimensional and three multidimensional models.
    UNASSIGNED: The unidimensional model (general musculoskeletal discomfort), bi-dimensional model (discomfort in upper and lower body), and tridimensional model (discomfort in the upper limbs, lower limbs, and trunk) showed good values of factor loading and communalities, along with satisfactory item discrimination ability. Regardless of sample size, parameter estimation for IRT and FIFA proceeded without issues, presenting suitable fit parameters.
    UNASSIGNED: Three models were valid and reliable for more extensive and smaller samples. However, the tridimensional model was best for generating discomfort scores in body regions. Companies and safety professionals can use these findings to devise strategies to mitigate musculoskeletal pains based on perceived symptom locations.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们开发了新的机器学习(ML)模型,并外部验证了现有的统计模型[缺血性卒中预测风险评分(iScore)和血管事件总健康风险评分(THRIVE)评分],用于预测首次急性缺血性卒中(AIS)住院后90天和3年的复发性卒中或全因死亡率。
    在2005年1月至2016年11月因AIS住院的成年人中,随访至2019年11月,我们开发了三种ML模型[随机森林(RF),支持向量机(SVM),和极端梯度增强(XGBOOST)]并外部验证了iScore和THRIVE评分,以预测AIS住院后的综合结局,使用721例患者的数据和90个潜在预测变量。在90天和3年,11%和34%的患者,分别,达到复合结果。对于90天的预测,RF的接收器工作特性曲线下面积(AUC)为0.779,0.771的SVM,XGBOOST为0.772,iScore为0.720,和0.664为THRIVE。对于3年预测,射频的AUC为0.743,0.777的SVM,0.773为XGBOOST,iScore为0.710,和0.675为THRIVE。
    该研究提供了三种基于ML的预测模型,这些模型在AIS后的结果预测中实现了良好的区分度和临床实用性,并扩大了iScore和THRIVE评分系统在长期结果预测中的应用。我们的发现值得对ML和现有的基于统计方法的风险预测工具进行比较分析,以在新数据集中进行AIS后的结果预测。
    UNASSIGNED: We developed new machine learning (ML) models and externally validated existing statistical models [ischaemic stroke predictive risk score (iScore) and totalled health risks in vascular events (THRIVE) scores] for predicting the composite of recurrent stroke or all-cause mortality at 90 days and at 3 years after hospitalization for first acute ischaemic stroke (AIS).
    UNASSIGNED: In adults hospitalized with AIS from January 2005 to November 2016, with follow-up until November 2019, we developed three ML models [random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBOOST)] and externally validated the iScore and THRIVE scores for predicting the composite outcomes after AIS hospitalization, using data from 721 patients and 90 potential predictor variables. At 90 days and 3 years, 11 and 34% of patients, respectively, reached the composite outcome. For the 90-day prediction, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.779 for RF, 0.771 for SVM, 0.772 for XGBOOST, 0.720 for iScore, and 0.664 for THRIVE. For 3-year prediction, the AUC was 0.743 for RF, 0.777 for SVM, 0.773 for XGBOOST, 0.710 for iScore, and 0.675 for THRIVE.
    UNASSIGNED: The study provided three ML-based predictive models that achieved good discrimination and clinical usefulness in outcome prediction after AIS and broadened the application of the iScore and THRIVE scoring system for long-term outcome prediction. Our findings warrant comparative analyses of ML and existing statistical method-based risk prediction tools for outcome prediction after AIS in new data sets.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于人为活动和人口的快速增长,饮用水质量迅速恶化。这些活动,在发展中国家,将导致水资源短缺。在巴基斯坦,70%的人口无法获得安全的水,人们用运河水喝。这项研究进行了水化学,水文地质,以及对TahsilHasilpur的癌症风险分析,巴哈瓦尔布尔,巴基斯坦。选择了13口管井进行地下水和钻孔测井研究。使用标准方法和质量检查分析了22个饮用水水质参数。钻孔数据(2D和3D)显示出砂的丰度(细砂和粗砂)具有一定的一致性,这改变了地下水的质量。水质参数结果表明,TDS浓度(2064-11,159mg/L),Cl-1(213-4917mg/L),As+3(0.048-0.158mg/L),Pb+2(1.294-1.673mg/L),Cd+2(0.008-0.053mg/L)超出指导值。统计分析表明,各参数具有中等到强的相关性(Pearson相关),这可能是由于相同的起源(ANOVA)。主成分分析和聚类分析证实了研究区地下水中污染物的多种来源。吹笛者,Durov,僵硬,和Scholler图证实地下水系统中含有大量的Ca+2和Mg+2和Cl-1。吉布斯图显示地下水不饱和,倾向于溶解更多的矿物质。危险商值高于1.0,表明非癌症风险严重。HQ趋势为As+3>Pb+2>Cd+2>Ni+2>Cu+2>Cr+2>Zn+2>Fe+2。癌症风险值显示3-5人/100人暴露于癌症风险。CR的变化趋势为As+3>Cd+2>Cr+2>Pb+2>Ni+2。污染物的GIP制图显示,与远离运河的位置相比,运河附近的污染物浓度较高。整体地下水质量令人震惊,需要政府立即关注。
    Drinking water quality deteriorates rapidly due to anthropogenic activities and rapid population growth. These activities, in developing countries, will lead to water scarcity. In Pakistan, 70% of the population has no access to safe water, and people use canal water to drink. This study performed hydrochemical, hydrogeological, and cancer risk analyses on Tahsil Hasilpur, Bahawalpur, Pakistan. Thirteen tube wells were selected for groundwater and borehole log study. Twenty-two drinking water quality parameters were analyzed using standard methods and quality checks. The borehole data (2D and 3D) shows the abundance of sand (fine and coarse) with some uniformities, which changes the groundwater quality. The results of water quality parameters show that the concentration of TDS (2064-11,159 mg/L), Cl-1 (213-4917 mg/L), As+3 (0.048-0.158 mg/L), Pb+2 (1.294-1.673 mg/L), and Cd+2 (0.008-0.053 mg/L) were beyond guideline values. The statistical analysis showed that the parameters have a moderate to strong correlation (Pearson correlation), which may be due to the same origin (ANOVA). The principal component analysis and cluster analysis confirm the multiple sources of pollutants in the groundwater of the study area. The Piper, Durov, Stiff, and Scholler diagrams confirm that the groundwater system has an abundance of Ca+2 and Mg+2 with Cl-1. The Gibbs diagram showed that the groundwater is not saturated and tends to dissolve more minerals. The hazard quotient values are above 1.0, which indicates noncancer risk severity. The HQ trend was As+3 > Pb+2 > Cd+2 > Ni+2 > Cu+2 > Cr+2 > Zn+2 > Fe+2. The cancer risk values showed that 3-5 people/100 population were exposed to cancer risk. The trend of CR was As+3 > Cd+2 > Cr+2 > Pb+2 > Ni+2. The GIP mapping of pollutants showed that the concentration of pollutants near the canals was high compared to the locations away from the canal. The overall groundwater quality is alarming and needs immediate government attention.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

公众号