Pre-test probability

预测试概率
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:怀疑慢性冠脉综合征(CCS)低危患者的过度检测非常普遍。当添加到预测试概率(PTP)时,基于声学的冠状动脉疾病(CAD)评分具有优越的排除能力。FILTER-SCAD测试了在限制性测试中,向心脏病专家提供CAD评分和PTP是否优于单独的PTP。
    方法:在六个丹麦和瑞典门诊诊所,疑似新发CCS患者随机接受标准诊断检查(SDE)并进行PTP,或SDE加CAD评分,和心脏病专家提供相应的推荐诊断流程图。主要终点为1年诊断试验的累积次数和主要安全性终点主要心脏不良事件(MACE)。
    结果:2008年患者(46%为男性,中位年龄63岁)从2019年10月至2022年9月随机分组。当随机分配到CAD评分(n=1002)时,成功测量了94.5%。总的来说,13.5%的PTP≤5%,39.5%的CAD评分≤20分。22%的测试被推迟,组间的诊断测试没有差异(优势p=0.56)。在PTP≤5%亚组中,延迟测试的比例从28%增加到52%(p<0.001)。总体MACE为每100人年2.4。建立了关于安全的非劣效性,绝对风险差异0.4%(95%CI-1.85至1.06)(非劣效性p=0.005)。与心绞痛相关的健康状况或生活质量没有差异。
    结论:为心脏病学家提供CAD评分和SDE的实施策略并没有减少总体检测,但在CCS可能性低的患者中可能发挥作用。需要进一步的策略来解决该患者群体对改变诊断途径的抗性。
    OBJECTIVE: Overtesting of low-risk patients with suspect chronic coronary syndrome (CCS) is widespread. The acoustic-based coronary artery disease (CAD) score has superior rule-out capabilities when added to pre-test probability (PTP). FILTER-SCAD tested whether providing a CAD score and PTP to cardiologists was superior to PTP alone in limiting testing.
    METHODS: At six Danish and Swedish outpatient clinics, patients with suspected new-onset CCS were randomised to either standard diagnostic examination (SDE) with PTP, or SDE plus CAD score, and cardiologists provided with corresponding recommended diagnostic flowcharts. The primary endpoint was cumulative number of diagnostic tests at one year and key safety endpoint major adverse cardiac events (MACE).
    RESULTS: In total 2008 patients (46% male, median age 63 years) were randomised from October 2019 to September 2022. When randomised to CAD score (n=1002), it was successfully measured in 94.5%. Overall, 13.5% had PTP ≤5%, and 39.5% had CAD score ≤20. Testing was deferred in 22% with no differences in diagnostic tests between groups (p for superiority =0.56). In the PTP ≤5% subgroup, the proportion with deferred testing increased from 28% to 52% (p<0.001). Overall MACE was 2.4 per 100 person-years. Non-inferiority regarding safety was established, absolute risk difference 0.4% (95% CI -1.85 to 1.06) (p for non-inferiority = 0.005). No differences were seen in angina-related health status or quality of life.
    CONCLUSIONS: The implementation strategy of providing cardiologists with a CAD score alongside SDE did not reduce testing overall but indicated a possible role in patients with low CCS likelihood. Further strategies are warranted to address resistance to modifying diagnostic pathways in this patient population.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:具有高风险特征的动脉粥样硬化斑块患者发生事件的可能性增加,预后较差。肌钙蛋白I(TnI)和C反应蛋白(CRP)水平的升高是否与高风险冠状动脉粥样硬化斑块(HRP)的存在有关,目前尚未得到很好的描述。我们评估了1)TnI和2)CRP与量化冠状动脉斑块负荷之间的相关性,管腔直径狭窄,和HRP在低/中等的阻塞性冠状动脉疾病(CAD)的患者中进行冠状动脉计算机断层扫描血管造影(CCTA)。
    方法:使用半自动软件对1615例患者的CCTA进行冠状动脉斑块表征分析。确定了高TnI(>6​ng/L)和高CRP(>2​mg/L)的患者。TnI和CRP与斑块负荷的关系,狭窄(CCTA管腔直径狭窄≥50%),和HRP进行了调查。
    结果:TnI和CRP均与总斑块负荷呈正相关(TnIrs=0.14,p<0.001;CRPrs=0.08,p<0.001)。在多变量逻辑回归分析中,高TnI与狭窄相关(OR1.43,95%置信区间(CI)1.03-1.99,p=0.034),HRP的存在(OR1.79,95%CI:1.17-2.74,p=0.008),和HRP的亚型;低衰减斑块(OR1.93,95%CI:1.24-3.00,p=0.003),和正重塑(OR1.51,95%CI:1.07-2.13,p​=0.018)。对于CRP,仅狭窄与餐巾环征显著相关。
    结论:在疑似CAD患者中,TnI和CRP与HRP特征相关。这些发现可能表明,炎症,尤其是缺血性生物标志物可能会改善早期风险分层并影响患者管理。
    结果:
    NCT02264717。
    BACKGROUND: Patients with atherosclerotic plaques containing high-risk features have an increased likelihood of events and a worse prognosis. Whether increased levels of Troponin I (TnI) and C-reactive protein (CRP) are associated with the presence of high-risk coronary atherosclerotic plaques (HRP) is not well described. We assessed the association between 1) TnI and 2) CRP with quantified coronary plaque burden, luminal diameter stenosis, and HRP in patients with low/intermediate pre-test probability of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) referred for coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA).
    METHODS: The CCTA from 1615 patients were analyzed using a semiautomatic software for coronary artery plaque characterization. Patients with high TnI (>6 ​ng/L) and high CRP (>2 ​mg/L) were identified. Associations of TnI and CRP with plaque burden, stenosis (≥50% luminal diameter stenosis on CCTA), and HRP were investigated.
    RESULTS: TnI and CRP were both positively correlated with total plaque burden (TnI rs ​= ​0.14, p ​< ​0.001; CRP rs ​= ​0.08, p ​< ​0.001). In multivariate logistic regression analyses, high TnI was associated with stenosis (OR 1.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.99, p ​= ​0.034), the presence of HRP (OR 1.79, 95% CI: 1.17-2.74, p ​= ​0.008), and the subtypes of HRP; low attenuation plaque (OR 1.93, 95% CI: 1.24-3.00, p ​= ​0.003), and positive remodeling (OR 1.51, 95% CI: 1.07-2.13, p ​= ​0.018). For CRP, only stenosis and napkin ring sign correlated significantly.
    CONCLUSIONS: In patients with suspected CAD, TnI and CRP are associated with HRP features. These findings may suggest that inflammatory and particularly ischemic biomarkers might improve early risk stratification and affect patient management.
    RESULTS:
    UNASSIGNED: NCT02264717.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:阻塞性冠状动脉疾病(CAD)的预测试概率(PTP)模型在2019年由欧洲心脏病学会(ESC)更新。据我们所知,该模型从未在CAD高发人群中进行过外部验证.这项研究的目的是在我们的人群中验证新的PTPESC模型,该模型具有较高的CAD发病率,并将其与2013年以前的PTPESC模型进行比较。
    方法:我们回顾性分析了2015年至2019年间转诊至我们中心的1294例有症状的疑似CAD患者。在所有患者中,PTP评分是根据年龄计算的,根据2013年(2013-ESC-PTP)和2019年(2019-ESC-PTP)的ESC模型,性别和症状。所有患者均行有创冠状动脉造影(ICA)。
    结果:在1294名患者中,533例(41.2%)患者被诊断为阻塞性CAD.与2013-ESC-PTP模型相比,2019-ESC-PTP模型将更多患者归类为低概率组(PTP<15%)(39.8%vs.5.6%,P<0.001)。在所有PTP水平(校准截距1.15,校准斜率0.96)下,使用2019-ESC-PTP低估了阻塞性CAD患病率。2013-ESC-PTP高估了阻塞性CAD患病率(校准截距-0.24,校准斜率0.73)。用曲线下面积测量的判别对于两个模型都是相似的,表明模型的中等准确性。
    结论:在高风险的塞尔维亚人群中,2013年和2019年的ESC-PTP模型在诊断CAD方面都具有中等的准确性,2019-ESC-PTP低估了CAD的患病率,而2013-ESC-PTP高估了它。需要进一步的研究来建立高风险国家的PTP模型。
    OBJECTIVE: The pre-test probability (PTP) model for obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) was updated in 2019 by the European Society of Cardiology (ESC). To our knowledge, this model was never externally validated in a population with a high incidence of CAD. The aim of this study is to validate the new PTP ESC model in our population, which has a high CAD incidence, and to compare it with the previous PTP ESC model from 2013.
    METHODS: We retrospectively analysed 1294 symptomatic patients with suspected CAD referred to our centre between 2015 and 2019. In all patients, the PTP score was calculated based on age, gender, and symptoms according to the ESC model from 2013 (2013-ESC-PTP) and 2019 (2019-ESC-PTP). All patients underwent invasive coronary angiography (ICA).
    RESULTS: Of the 1294 patients, obstructive CAD was diagnosed in 533 patients (41.2%). The 2019-ESC-PTP model categorised significantly more patients into the low probability group (PTP < 15%) than the 2013-ESC-PTP model (39.8% vs. 5.6%, p < 0.001). Obstructive CAD prevalence was underestimated using 2019-ESC-PTP at all PTP levels (calibration intercept 1.15, calibration slope 0.96). The 2013-ESC-PTP overestimated obstructive CAD prevalence (calibration intercept -0.24, calibration slope 0.73). The discrimination measured with an area under the curve was similar for both models, indicating moderate accuracy of the models.
    CONCLUSIONS: In high-risk Serbian population, both the 2013 and 2019 ESC-PTP models had moderate accuracy in diagnosing CAD, with the 2019-ESC-PTP underestimating the prevalence of CAD and the 2013-ESC-PTP overestimating it. Further studies are warranted to establish PTP models for high-risk countries.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    自身抗体是自身免疫的标志,特别是,抗核抗体(ANA)是全身性自身免疫性疾病(AID)中存在的最相关的抗体之一。在本研究中,在系统性AID预测试概率较低的人群中,我们评估了ANA与社会人口统计学和生物行为因素之间的关系.使用间接免疫荧光测定法,在来自Camargo队列的2997名参与者的基线访视时测定血清样本中的ANA,和两个固相分析(SPA),可寻址激光珠免疫测定,和荧光酶免疫分析。使用结构化问卷在基线访问时获得受试者的社会人口统计学和生物行为特征。与SPAs相比,使用间接免疫荧光法作为筛查方法时,ANA阳性结果的患病率明显更高。女性更高,年长的科目,和那些C反应蛋白水平较高的人。考虑到生物行为特征,在那些久坐不动的人中患病率更高,以及前和非酒精使用者。此外,考虑使用ANA筛选的抗体负荷的相关性,抗体负荷的患病率也随着年龄的增长而增加,尤其是女性。总之,ANA的患病率取决于受试者的社会人口统计学和生物行为特征,这可能与系统性AID的预测试概率低的人群特别相关。
    Autoantibodies are the hallmark of autoimmunity, and specifically, antinuclear antibodies (ANA) are one of the most relevant antibodies present in systemic autoimmune diseases (AID). In the present study, we evaluate the relationship between ANA and sociodemographic and biobehavioral factors in a population with a low pre-test probability for systemic AID. ANA were determined in serum samples at baseline visit from 2997 participants from the Camargo Cohort using indirect immunofluorescence assay, and two solid phase assays (SPA), addressable laser bead immunoassay, and fluorescence enzyme immunoassay. Sociodemographic and biobehavioral features of the subjects were obtained at baseline visit using a structured questionnaire. The prevalence of ANA positive results was significantly higher when indirect immunofluorescence assay was used as screening method in comparison with SPAs, being higher in females, older subjects, and those with higher C-reactive protein levels. Considering biobehavioral features, the prevalence was higher in those individuals with a sedentary lifestyle, and in ex- and non-alcohol users. Moreover, considering the relevance of the antibody load using ANA Screen, the prevalence of the antibody load also increased with age, especially in females. In conclusion, the prevalence of ANA varies depending on sociodemographic and biobehavioral features of the subjects, which could be relevant specifically in a population with a low pre-test probability for systemic AIDs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    运动心电图(ECG)在稳定胸痛研究中的作用受到质疑。美国心脏协会指南建议在胸痛稳定且严重冠状动脉疾病的预测试概率(PTP)较低的患者中使用运动心电图,而欧洲心脏病学会指南没有。这项回顾性观察性研究旨在评估运动心电图在稳定胸痛的低PTP人群中的有效性。我们回顾了在内科和急诊科因稳定的胸痛而进行的所有门诊运动心电图的病历,Sahlgrenska大学医院,Mölndal,瑞典,2016-2018年。确定的患者被分类为低,中介-,或重大冠状动脉疾病的高风险预测试概率。所有低PTP患者在调查后随访一年,了解急性冠脉综合征的发病率和全因死亡率。因此,505名患者(平均年龄60岁,56%的女性)低PTP被纳入研究。只有4名患者(0.6%)发生了心肌梗死(3名患者)或全因死亡(1名患者)。运动心电图的阴性预测值为99.7%,阳性预测值为28.6%。在这个低PTP人群中,运动心电图产生良好的阴性预测值和不良的阳性预测值。
    The role of exercise electrocardiography (ECG) in the investigation of stable chest pain has been questioned. The American Heart Association guidelines suggest the use of exercise ECG in patients with stable chest pain and low pre-test probability (PTP) of significant coronary artery disease, while the European Society of Cardiology Guidelines does not. This retrospective observational study aimed to assess the usefulness of exercise ECG in the low-PTP population with stable chest pain. We reviewed the medical records for all outpatient exercise ECGs conducted because of stable chest pain at the Department of Medicine and Emergency, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Mölndal, Sweden, during 2016-2018. The identified patients were categorized in low-, intermediate-, or high-risk pre-test probability of significant coronary artery disease. All low-PTP patients were followed for one year post investigation for the incidence of acute coronary syndrome and all-cause mortality. Thus, 505 patients (mean age 60 years, 56% women) with low PTP were included in the study. Only four patients (0.6%) experienced incident myocardial infarction (three patients) or all-cause mortality (one patient). The negative predictive value of exercise ECG was 99.7%, and the positive predictive value was 28.6%. In this low-PTP population, exercise ECG yields a good negative predictive value and a poor positive predictive value.
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  • 文章类型: Systematic Review
    背景:艰难梭菌感染的临床特征和预测因素与许多疾病重叠。
    目的:我们进行了系统评价,以评估临床特征的诊断效用(临床检查,危险因素,实验室测试,影像学检查结果)与艰难梭菌相关。
    方法:数据源:MEDLINE,EMBASE,CINAHL,和Cochrane数据库被搜索到2021年9月。
    方法:报道艰难梭菌临床特征的研究,用于确认艰难梭菌诊断的有效参考标准测试,以及测试结果为阳性和阴性的患者之间的比较。
    方法:不同临床环境的成人和儿童患者。
    结果:灵敏度,特异性,似然比。
    粪便核酸扩增试验,酶免疫测定,细胞毒性试验,和粪便产毒培养。偏差风险评估:理性临床检查系列和QUADAS-2。数据综合方法:单变量和双变量分析。
    结果:我们筛选了11,231篇文章,其中40篇被纳入,能够评估66个特征对艰难梭菌的诊断效用(10个临床检查结果,4个实验室测试,10个射线照相结果,以前接触过13种抗生素,和29个临床危险因素)。在临床检查中确定的十个特征中,在临床上没有与艰难梭菌感染可能性增加显著相关。一些增加艰难梭菌感染可能性的特征是粪便白细胞(LR+5.31,95%CI3.29-8.56)和前三个月入院(LR+2.14,95%CI1.48-3.11)。一些影像学检查结果也大大增加了艰难梭菌感染如腹水的可能性(LR+2.91,95%CI1.89-4.49)。
    结论:仅床旁临床检查在检测艰难梭菌感染方面的作用有限。艰难梭菌感染的准确诊断需要周到的临床评估,以解释所有疑似病例的微生物检测。
    BACKGROUND: The clinical features and predictors of Clostridioides difficile infection overlap with many conditions.
    OBJECTIVE: We performed a systematic review to evaluate the diagnostic utility of clinical features (clinical examination, risk factors, laboratory tests, and radiographic findings) associated with C. difficile.
    METHODS: Systematic review and meta-analysis of diagnostic features for C. difficile.
    METHODS: MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, and Cochrane databases were searched up to September 2021.
    METHODS: Studies that reported clinical features of C. difficile, a valid reference standard test for confirming diagnosis of C. difficile, and a comparison among patients with a positive and negative test result.
    METHODS: Adult and paediatric patients across diverse clinical settings.
    RESULTS: Sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratios.
    UNASSIGNED: Stool nucleic acid amplification tests, enzyme immunoassays, cell cytotoxicity assay, and stool toxigenic culture.
    UNASSIGNED: Rational Clinical Examination Series and Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2.
    UNASSIGNED: Univariate and bivariate analyses.
    RESULTS: We screened 11 231 articles of which 40 were included, enabling the evaluation of 66 features for their diagnostic utility for C. difficile (10 clinical examination findings, 4 laboratory tests, 10 radiographic findings, prior exposure to 13 antibiotic types, and 29 clinical risk factors). Of the ten features identified on clinical examination, none were significantly clinically associated with increased likelihood of C. difficile infection. Some features that increased likelihood of C. difficile infection were stool leukocytes (LR+ 5.31, 95% CI 3.29-8.56) and hospital admission in the prior 3 months (LR+ 2.14, 95% CI 1.48-3.11). Several radiographic findings also strongly increased the likelihood of C. difficile infection like ascites (LR+ 2.91, 95% CI 1.89-4.49).
    CONCLUSIONS: There is limited utility of bedside clinical examination alone in detecting C. difficile infection. Accurate diagnosis of C. difficile infection requires thoughtful clinical assessment for interpretation of microbiologic testing in all suspected cases.
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  • 文章类型: Multicenter Study
    背景:正确和及时地诊断冠状动脉疾病(CAD)是疾病管理的重要组成部分,可以降低CAD患者的死亡风险并改善生活质量。目前,美国心脏病学会(ACC)/美国心脏协会(AHA)和欧洲心脏病学会(ESC)指南建议根据CAD概率为个体患者选择合适的诊断前检查.这项研究的目的是使用机器学习(ML)为阻塞性CAD患者开发一种实用的预测试概率(PTP);将ML-PTP在CAD中的表现与冠状动脉造影(CAG)的最终结果进行比较.
    方法:我们使用了来自单中心的数据库,prospective,自2004年以来,旨在反映现实世界实践的所有人注册。所有受试者在首尔的韩国大学Guro医院接受了侵入性CAG,韩国。我们使用逻辑回归算法,随机森林(RF),支持向量机,和ML模型的K最近邻分类。根据注册周期将数据集分为两个连续集合,以验证ML模型。用于PTP和内部验证的ML训练使用了2004年至2012年之间注册的第一个数据集(8631名患者)。2013年至2014年注册的第二个数据集(1546名患者)用于外部验证。主要终点为阻塞性CAD。阻塞性CAD被定义为在心外膜主冠状动脉的定量CAG上具有>70%的狭窄直径。
    结果:我们根据用于获取信息的主题得出了一个基于ML的模型,该模型由三个不同的模型组成,例如患者本人(数据集1),社区的第一个医疗中心(数据集2),和医生(数据集3)。与胸痛患者通过CAG进行侵入性测试的结果相比,ML-PTP模型作为非侵入性测试的性能范围具有0.795至0.984的C统计量。将训练的ML-PTP模型调整为对CAD具有99%的敏感性,以便不遗漏实际的CAD患者。在测试数据集中,ML-PTP模型的最佳准确率在数据集1中为45.7%,在数据集2中为47.2%,在数据集3和RF算法中为92.8%.CAD预测灵敏度为99.0%,99.0%,和98.0%,分别。
    结论:我们成功开发了一种用于CAD的ML-PTP的高性能模型,有望减少对胸痛的非侵入性检查的需求。然而,因为这个PTP模型是从单个医疗中心的数据中得出的,需要多中心验证才能将其用作主要美国社会和ESC推荐的PTP。
    A correct and prompt diagnosis of coronary artery disease (CAD) is a crucial component of disease management to reduce the risk of death and improve the quality of life in patients with CAD. Currently, the American College of Cardiology (ACC)/American Heart Association (AHA) and the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines recommend selecting an appropriate pre-diagnosis test for an individual patient according to the CAD probability. The purpose of this study was to develop a practical pre-test probability (PTP) for obstructive CAD in patients with chest pain using machine learning (ML); also, the performance of ML-PTP for CAD is compared to the final result of coronary angiography (CAG).
    We used a database from a single-center, prospective, all-comer registry designed to reflect real-world practice since 2004. All subjects underwent invasive CAG at Korea University Guro Hospital in Seoul, South Korea. We used logistic regression algorithms, random forest (RF), supporting vector machine, and K-nearest neighbor classification for the ML models. The dataset was divided into two consecutive sets according to the registration period to validate the ML models. ML training for PTP and internal validation used the first dataset registered between 2004 and 2012 (8631 patients). The second dataset registered between 2013 and 2014 (1546 patients) was used for external validation. The primary endpoint was obstructive CAD. Obstructive CAD was defined as having a stenosis diameter of >70% on the quantitative CAG of the main epicardial coronary artery.
    We derived an ML-based model consisting of three different models according to the subject used to obtain the information, such as the patient himself (dataset 1), the community\'s first medical center (dataset 2), and doctors (dataset 3). The performance range of the ML-PTP models as the non-invasive test had C-statistics of 0.795 to 0.984 compared to the result of invasive testing via CAG in patients with chest pain. The training ML-PTP models were adjusted to have 99% sensitivity for CAD so as not to miss actual CAD patients. In the testing dataset, the best accuracy of the ML-PTP model was 45.7% using dataset 1, 47.2% using dataset 2, and 92.8% using dataset 3 and the RF algorithm. The CAD prediction sensitivity was 99.0%, 99.0%, and 98.0%, respectively.
    We successfully developed a high-performance model of ML-PTP for CAD which is expected to reduce the need for non-invasive tests in chest pain. However, since this PTP model is derived from data of a single medical center, multicenter verification is required to use it as a PTP recommended by the major American societies and the ESC.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    UNASSIGNED:当前冠状动脉疾病(CAD)的早期风险分层包括测试前概率评分,例如2019年ESC慢性冠状动脉综合征指南(ESC2019),特异性低,因此排除了能力。一种较新的临床风险因素模型(风险因素加权临床可能性,RF-CL)显示出比ESC2019模型显著提高的排除能力。本研究的目的是研究在RF-CL模型中添加声学特征是否可以提高最佳临床风险因素模型的排除潜力。
    UNASSIGNED:来自2222名患者的4项心音记录研究被汇集并分配到两个数据集:训练和测试。从40个声学特征的特征库中,我们使用前向选择技术来选择添加到RF-CL模型中的3个特征.使用5%的CAD预测风险的截止值,开发的声学加权临床可能性(A-CL)模型显示,与RF-CL模型(特异性41.5%)和ESC2019模型(特异性6.9%)相比,特异性显著(P<0.05)高48.6%,同时与RF-CL模型具有84.9%的灵敏度.三种型号的接收机工作特性曲线下面积ESC2019为72.5%,RF-CL为76.7%,A-CL为79.5%。
    UNASSIGNED:与ESC2019模型相比,拟议的A-CL模型提供了显着改善的排除能力,并显示出比RF-CL模型更好的整体性能。RF-CL模型中增加的声学特征显示显著改善了怀疑患有稳定CAD的有症状患者的早期风险分层。
    UNASSIGNED: Current early risk stratification of coronary artery disease (CAD) consists of pre-test probability scoring such as the 2019 ESC guidelines on chronic coronary syndromes (ESC2019), which has low specificity and thus rule-out capacity. A newer clinical risk factor model (risk factor-weighted clinical likelihood, RF-CL) showed significantly improved rule-out capacity over the ESC2019 model. The aim of the current study was to investigate if the addition of acoustic features to the RF-CL model could improve the rule-out potential of the best performing clinical risk factor models.
    UNASSIGNED: Four studies with heart sound recordings from 2222 patients were pooled and distributed into two data sets: training and test. From a feature bank of 40 acoustic features, a forward-selection technique was used to select three features that were added to the RF-CL model. Using a cutoff of 5% predicted risk of CAD, the developed acoustic-weighted clinical likelihood (A-CL) model showed significantly (P < 0.05) higher specificity of 48.6% than the RF-CL model (specificity of 41.5%) and ESC 2019 model (specificity of 6.9%) while having the same sensitivity of 84.9% as the RF-CL model. Area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic for the three models was 72.5% for ESC2019, 76.7% for RF-CL, and 79.5% for A-CL.
    UNASSIGNED: The proposed A-CL model offers significantly improved rule-out capacity over the ESC2019 model and showed better overall performance than the RF-CL model. The addition of acoustic features to the RF-CL model was shown to significantly improve early risk stratification of symptomatic patients suspected of having stable CAD.
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  • 文章类型: Comparative Study
    目标:自身抗体和,特别是抗核抗体(ANA),是系统性自身免疫性疾病(AID)的标志。在过去的几十年里,已经有了很大的技术发展来检测这些自身抗体随着增加对这种测试的要求由临床医生,而总体预测试概率有所下降。在这项研究中,我们比较了三种不同的ANA筛查方法的诊断性能(间接免疫荧光[IIF],可寻址激光珠免疫测定[ALBIA],和荧光酶免疫测定[FEIA])。
    方法:来自Camargo队列的2,997名参与者的基线访视时的血清样本,系统性AID总体预测试概率较低的人群,用三种方法进行了分析。参与者至少随访10年,并从临床记录中收集自身免疫性疾病的发展。
    结果:通过IIF测定观察到阳性ANA的最高频率。然而,ALBIA对AID表现出很高的敏感性。同样,固相测定(SPA)对AID的特异性高于IIF。任何方法的ANA患病率在女性中都显着较高,并且随着年龄的增长而总体上增加。ANA的三重阳性与抗dsDNA-SSA/Ro60,Ro52,SSB/La的存在显着相关,RNP,Scl-70和着丝粒特异性。没有发现抗Sm-RNP68或核糖体P特异性的关联。值得注意的是,在基线访视和随访时,ANA筛查的三阳性与全身性AID的诊断相关.
    结论:当预测试概率较高时,IIF对ANA的检测可能更好,而SPA技术在系统性AID总体预测试概率较低的人群中更有用。
    Autoantibodies and, specifically antinuclear antibodies (ANA), are the hallmark of systemic autoimmune diseases (AID). In the last decades, there has been great technical development to detect these autoantibodies along with an increased request for this test by clinicians, while the overall pre-test probability has decreased. In this study, we compare the diagnostic performance of three different methods for ANA screening (indirect immunofluorescence [IIF], addressable laser bead immunoassay [ALBIA], and fluorescence enzyme immunoassay [FEIA]).
    Serum samples at baseline visit from 2,997 participants from the Camargo Cohort, a population with an overall low pre-test probability for systemic AID, were analyzed with the three methods. Participants have a minimum follow-up of 10 years and the development of autoimmune diseases was collected from clinical records.
    The highest frequency of positive ANA was observed by IIF assay. However, ALBIA showed high sensitivity for AID. Likewise, solid phase assays (SPA) presented higher specificity than IIF for AID. ANA prevalence with any method was significantly higher in females and overall increased with age. Triple positivity for ANA was significantly related to the presence of anti-dsDNA-SSA/Ro60, Ro52, SSB/La, RNP, Scl-70, and centromere-specificities. No association was found for anti-Sm - RNP68, or ribosomal P - specificities. Noteworthy, triple positivity for ANA screening was associated with diagnosis of systemic AID both at baseline visit and follow-up.
    ANA detection by IIF may be better when the pre-test probability is high, whereas SPA techniques are more useful in populations with an overall low pre-test probability for systemic AID.
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  • 文章类型: Case Reports
    背景:革兰氏染色是在紧急情况下迅速选择适当抗生素的经典但标准且必不可少的程序。即使在机械技术发达的尖端医学时代,通常,诸如革兰氏染色的经典程序对于帮助医生及时做出治疗决定是最有效的。
    方法:8月初,一名65岁的亚裔男子因酒精性肝硬化并发食管静脉曲张被送往佐贺医学院医院急诊科,抱怨剧烈疼痛,发红,肿胀,和下肢紫癜。在体格检查中,他的病情危重,提示深部软组织感染,提高链球菌的测试前概率,葡萄球菌,弧菌sp.,或气单胞菌。作为病原体。他在河口地区居住的一个特点是摄入生海鲜,正如在当前入院之前在该患者中记录的那样,那些患有慢性肝病的人容易受到威胁生命的创伤弧菌感染。鉴于病理的临床特征提示坏死性筋膜炎,我们的直接尝试是通过获取临床标本进行微生物研究来缩小候选病原体的差异列表,从而询问致病病原体的测试后概率。受影响病变的测试切口的少量分泌物的革兰氏染色检测到革兰氏阴性棒在形态上与创伤弧菌相容。两组血液培养后,在患者接受紧急手术清创术前立即静脉注射美罗培南和米诺环素.第二天,血液培养和伤口培养都获得了革兰氏阴性棒,随后通过质谱鉴定为创伤弧菌,基质辅助激光解吸/电离。抗生素改为静脉注射头孢曲松和米诺环素。
    结论:急诊部门现场革兰氏染色进一步验证了创伤弧菌感染的试验前概率。此案例报告强调了经典程序的重要性。
    BACKGROUND: Gram staining is a classic but standard and essential procedure for the prompt selection of appropriate antibiotics in an emergency setting. Even in the era of sophisticated medicine with technically developed machinery, it is not uncommon that a classic procedure such as Gram staining is the most efficient for assisting physicians in making therapeutic decisions in a timely fashion.
    METHODS: A 65-year-old Asian man with alcoholic cirrhosis complicated by esophageal varices was brought to the emergency division of Saga Medical School Hospital in early August, complaining of severe pain, redness, swelling, and purpura of the lower extremities. On physical examination he appeared in a critically ill condition suggestive of deep-seated soft tissue infection, raising a pre-test probability of streptococci, staphylococci, Vibrio sp., or Aeromonas sp. as a causative pathogen. A characteristic of his residency in an estuarine area is that raw seafood ingestion, as documented in this patient prior to the current admission, predisposes those who have a chronic liver disease to a life-threatening Vibrio vulnificus infection. Given the pathognomonic clinical features suggestive of necrotizing fasciitis, our immediate attempt was to narrow down the differential list of candidate pathogens by obtaining clinical specimens for microbiological investigation, thus inquiring about the post-test probability of the causative pathogen. The Gram stain of the small amount of discharge from the test incision of the affected lesion detected Gram-negative rods morphologically compatible with V. vulnificus. After two sets of blood culture, intravenous meropenem and minocycline were immediately administered before the patient underwent emergency surgical debridement. The next day, both blood culture and wound culture retrieved Gram-negative rods, which were subsequently identified as V. vulnificus by mass spectrometry, matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization. The antibiotics were switched to intravenous ceftriaxone and minocycline.
    CONCLUSIONS: The pre-test probability of V. vulnificus infection was further validated by on-site Gram staining in the emergency division. This case report highlights the significance of a classic procedure.
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