Population attributable risks

人口归因风险
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    对比剂相关急性肾损伤(CA-AKI)是冠状动脉造影(CAG)后常见的并发症。然而,围绕其精确定义一直存在争议。尽管以前的研究已经证明了适当的定义在管理高风险CA-AKI患者中的成功应用,关于不同定义与慢性肾脏病(CKD)患者预后之间的相关性的研究仍然有限.
    本研究共纳入4197例接受冠状动脉造影(CAG)的CKD患者。使用对比剂相关急性肾损伤(CA-AKI)的两个定义:CA-AKIA,这被定义为在CAG后72小时内血清肌酐(SCr)从基线增加≥0.5mg/dL或>25%,和CA-AKIB,定义为CAG后48小时内SCr从基线增加≥0.3mg/dL或>50%。Cox回归分析用于评估这两种定义与长期死亡率之间的关联。此外,计算人群归因危险度(PAR),以评估CA-AKI定义对长期预后的影响.
    在4.70(2.50-7.78)年的中位随访期内,总的长期死亡率为23.6%,根据CA-AKIA和CA-AKIB标准,CA-AKI患者的长期死亡率分别为33.5%和33.8%,分别。我们发现CA-AKIA(HR:1.45,95%CI:1.23-1.70,p<0.001)和CA-AKIB(HR:1.44,95%CI:1.23-1.69,p<0.001)与长期死亡率相关。CA-AKIA的PAR最高(5.87%),其次是CA-AKIB(5.70%)。
    对比剂相关急性肾损伤(CA-AKI)是CKD患者冠状动脉造影(CAG)中常见的并发症,CA-AKI的两种定义均与不良长期预后显著相关.因此,在CKD患者的临床管理中,至关重要的是优先考虑CA-AKI,无论使用的具体CA-AKI定义如何。
    UNASSIGNED: Contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) is a prevalent complication following coronary angiography (CAG). However, there is ongoing controversy surrounding its precise definition. Although previous studies have demonstrated the successful application of appropriate definitions in managing high-risk CA-AKI patients, there remains limited research on the association between different definitions and prognosis specifically in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD).
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 4197 CKD patients undergoing coronary angiography (CAG) were included in this study. Two definitions of contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) were used: CA-AKIA, which was defined as an increase of ≥0.5 mg/dL or >25% in serum creatinine (SCr) from baseline within 72 hours after CAG, and CA-AKIB, which was defined as an increase of ≥0.3 mg/dL or >50% in SCr from baseline within 48 hours after CAG. Cox regression analysis was employed to assess the association between these two definitions and long-term mortality. Additionally, population attributable risks (PARs) were calculated to evaluate the impact of CA-AKI definitions on long-term prognosis.
    UNASSIGNED: During the median follow-up period of 4.70 (2.50-7.78) years, the overall long-term mortality was 23.6%, and the long-term mortality in patients with CA-AKI according to both CA-AKIA and CA-AKIB criteria were 33.5% and 33.8%, respectively. We found that CA-AKIA (HR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.23-1.70, p<0.001) and CA-AKIB (HR: 1.44, 95% CI: 1.23-1.69, p<0.001) were associated with long-term mortality. The PARs were the highest for CA-AKIA (5.87%), followed by CA-AKIB (5.70%).
    UNASSIGNED: Contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) is a frequently observed complication in CKD patients undergoing coronary angiography (CAG), and both definitions of CA-AKI are significantly correlated with a poor long-term prognosis. Consequently, in the clinical management of CKD patients, it is crucial to prioritize CA-AKI, irrespective of the specific CA-AKI definition used.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:目前尚不清楚常规血管危险因素是否与45岁以下患者的大多数中风有关。我们的目的是评估45岁以下人群中常见危险因素与卒中的关系。
    方法:INTERSTROKE是2007年至2015年在32个国家进行的病例对照研究。在首次中风症状发作后5天内出现的患者被纳入病例。对照组的年龄和性别与病例相匹配,没有中风史。病例和对照进行了类似的评估。计算赔率比(ORs)和人群归因风险(PAR),以确定各种风险因素与所有卒中的关联。缺血性卒中,颅内出血,对于45岁或以下的患者。
    结果:本分析包括1,582对病例对照。该队列的平均年龄为38.5岁(SD6.32)。总的来说,71%的中风是缺血性的。心脏原因{OR:8.42(95%置信区间[CI]:3.01-23.5)};暴饮暴食饮酒(OR:5.44[95%CI:1.81-16.4]);高血压(OR:5.41[95%CI:3.40-8.58]);ApoB/ApoA1比率(OR:2.74[95%CI:1.69-4.04])增加了年轻卒中的风险(OR对于脑出血,只有高血压(OR:9.08[95%CI:5.46-15.1])和暴饮暴食(OR:4.06[95%CI:1.27-13.0])是显著的危险因素.高血压的关联强度和人群归因风险(PAR)随年龄增长而增加(35岁以下人群的PAR为23.3%,35-45岁的50.7%)。
    结论:常规危险因素,如高血压,吸烟,酗酒,中心性肥胖,心脏原因,血脂异常,心理社会压力是45岁以下人群中风的重要危险因素。高血压是所有年龄组和所有地区以及两种中风亚型中最重要的风险因素。应在成年早期识别和修改这些危险因素,以防止年轻人中风。
    BACKGROUND: It is not clear whether conventional vascular risk factors are responsible for most strokes in patients younger than 45 years of age. Our objective was to evaluate the association of common risk factors with stroke in individuals under 45 years.
    METHODS: INTERSTROKE was a case-control study carried out in 32 countries between 2007 and 2015. Patients presenting within 5 days of symptom onset of a first stroke were enrolled as cases. Controls were age and sex matched to cases and had no history of stroke. Cases and controls underwent similar evaluations. Odds ratios (ORs) and population attributable risks (PARs) were calculated to determine the association of various risk factors with all stroke, ischemic stroke, and intracranial hemorrhage, for patients 45 years of age or younger.
    RESULTS: 1,582 case-control pairs were included in this analysis. The mean age of this cohort was 38.5 years (SD 6.32). Overall, 71% strokes were ischemic. Cardiac causes {OR: 8.42 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.01-23.5)}; binge drinking of alcohol (OR: 5.44 [95% CI: 1.81-16.4]); hypertension (OR: 5.41 [95% CI: 3.40-8.58]); ApoB/ApoA1 ratio (OR: 2.74 [95% CI: 1.69-4.46]); psychosocial stress (OR: 2.33 [95% CI: 1.01-5.41]); smoking (OR: 1.85 [95% CI: 1.17-2.94]); and increased waist-to-hip ratio (OR: 1.69 [95% CI: 1.04-2.75]) were the most important risk factors for ischemic stroke in these young cases. For intracerebral hemorrhage, only hypertension (OR: 9.08 [95% CI: 5.46-15.1]) and binge drinking (OR: 4.06 [95% CI: 1.27-13.0]) were significant risk factors. The strength of association and population attributable risk (PAR) for hypertension increased with age (PAR 23.3% in those <35 years of age, 50.7% in 35-45 years of age).
    CONCLUSIONS: Conventional risk factors such as hypertension, smoking, binge drinking of alcohol, central obesity, cardiac causes, dyslipidemia, and psychosocial stress are important risk factors for stroke in those younger than 45 years of age. Hypertension is the most significant risk factor in all age groups and across all regions and both stroke subtypes. These risk factors should be identified and modified in early adulthood to prevent strokes in young individuals.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    心力衰竭的流行正在加剧,其预防,为了降低相关的医院再入院率及其临床和经济负担,是现代心血管医学的一个关键问题。本立场文件旨在提供基于证据的实际信息,以支持实施有效的预防措施。在回顾了最常见的风险因素后,概述了不同大陆的人口归因风险,确定潜在有效的预防机会,并为预防策略提供信息。最后,列出了已提出并已证明可有效预防心力衰竭的潜在干预措施.
    The heart failure epidemic is growing and its prevention, in order to reduce associated hospital readmission rates and its clinical and economic burden, is a key issue in modern cardiovascular medicine. The present position paper aims to provide practical evidence-based information to support the implementation of effective preventive measures. After reviewing the most common risk factors, an overview of the population attributable risks in different continents is presented, to identify potentially effective opportunities for prevention and to inform preventive strategies. Finally, potential interventions that have been proposed and have been shown to be effective in preventing heart failure are listed.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    心力衰竭的流行正在加剧,其预防,为了降低相关的医院再入院率及其临床和经济负担,是现代心血管医学的一个关键问题。本共识文件旨在提供基于证据的实际信息,以支持实施有效的预防措施。在回顾了最常见的风险因素后,概述了不同大陆的人口归因风险,确定潜在有效的预防机会,并为预防策略提供信息。最后,列出了已提出并已证明可有效预防HF的潜在干预措施。
    The heart failure epidemic is growing and its prevention, in order to reduce associated hospital readmission rates and its clinical and economic burden, is a key issue in modern cardiovascular medicine. The present consensus document aims to provide practical evidence-based information to support the implementation of effective preventive measures. After reviewing the most common risk factors, an overview of the population attributable risks in different continents is presented, to identify potentially effective opportunities for prevention and to inform preventive strategies. Finally, potential interventions that have been proposed and have been shown to be effective in preventing HF are listed.
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  • 文章类型: Comparative Study
    The definitions of contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) are diverse and have different predictive effects for prognosis, which are adverse for clinical practice. Few articles have discussed the relationship between these definitions and long-term prognosis in patients with diabetes.
    A total of 1154 diabetic patients who were undergoing coronary angiography (CAG) were included in this study. Two definitions of CA-AKI were used: CA-AKIA was defined as an increase ≥ 0.3 mg/dl or > 50% in serum creatinine (SCr) from baseline within 72 h after CAG, and CA-AKIB was defined as an increase ≥ 0.5 mg/dl or > 25% in SCr from baseline within 72 h after CAG. We used Cox regression to evaluate the association of these two CA-AKI definitions with long-term mortality and calculate the population attributable risks (PARs) of different definitions for long-term prognosis.
    During the median follow-up period of 7.4 (6.2-8.2) years, the overall long-term mortality was 18.84%, and the long-term mortality in patients with CA-AKI according to both CA-AKIA and CA-AKIB criteria were 36.73% and 28.86%, respectively. We found that CA-AKIA (HR: 2.349, 95% CI 1.570-3.517, p = 0.001) and CA-AKIB (HR: 1.608, 95% CI 1.106-2.339, p = 0.013) were associated with long-term mortality. The PARs were the highest for CA-AKIA (31.14%), followed by CA-AKIB (14.93%).
    CA-AKI is a common complication in diabetic patients receiving CAG. The two CA-AKI definitions are significantly associated with a poor long-term prognosis, and CA-AKIA, with the highest PAR, needs more clinical attention.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    吸烟,一个主要的癌症危险因素,与许多其他高收入国家一样,在德国非常普遍。很少有研究评估德国人群中烟草相关癌症发病率的负担。我们计算了1999年和2008年吸烟导致的癌症比例,以估计烟草相关癌症的负担。吸烟率是根据1998年和2008-2011年德国人口代表性样本的国家调查确定的,相对风险数据来自荟萃分析。1999年和2008年的癌症发病率由罗伯特·科赫研究所的德国癌症登记数据中心估计。我们估计,2008年德国有72,208例癌症病例归因于吸烟,比1999年增加了>6,200例。在2008年的病例中,男性为55,057例(所有新病例的22.8%(95%CI,21.3-24.1)),女性为17,151例(所有新病例的7.9%(95%CI,7.21-8.68))。肺癌估计可归因于吸烟的最高比例,喉部,咽部和下尿路。目前,吸烟导致男性中有五分之一以上的癌症病例,女性中有近四分之一的癌症病例。考虑到癌症发病率的上升趋势,直到最近,女性吸烟率上升,可以预期,由烟草引起的癌症病例将进一步增加。
    Tobacco smoking, a major cancer risk factor, is very common in Germany as in many other high-income countries. Few studies have assessed the burden of tobacco-associated cancer incidence in the German population. We calculated the proportion of cancers attributable to tobacco smoking to estimate the burden of tobacco-associated cancer in 1999 and 2008. Smoking prevalence was determined from national surveys of a representative sample of the German population in 1998 and 2008-2011, and data on relative risks were obtained from meta-analyses. Cancer incidence for the years 1999 and 2008 was estimated by the German Centre for Cancer Registry Data at the Robert Koch Institute. We estimate that 72,208 incident cancer cases were attributable to tobacco smoking in Germany in 2008, an increase of >6,200 cases over 1999 levels. Among the cases in 2008 were 55,057 cases among men (22.8% (95% CI, 21.3-24.1) of all new cases) and 17,151 cases among women (7.9% (95% CI, 7.21-8.68) of all new cases). The highest proportions attributable to smoking were estimated for cancer of the lung, larynx, pharynx and the lower urinary tract. Tobacco smoking is currently responsible for more than one in five cancer cases among men and nearly 1 in 12 among women. Considering the increasing trends in cancer incidence and, until very recently, rising prevalence of smoking among women, it can be expected that the number of tobacco-attributable cancer cases will rise further.
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