Nonparametric

非参数
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    受气候学(北美温度变化)和医学(他汀类药物使用和冠状病毒疾病2019对住院患者的影响)风险评估问题的启发,我们解决了在函数的域中估计集合的问题,该函数的图像等于实线的预定义子集。现有的方法需要严格的假设。我们将此类集合的估计推广到密集和非密集域,并在探索性数据分析中防止膨胀的I型错误。这是通过证明多个上限的置信度集来实现的,较低,或区间集可以通过反转同时置信区间而非渐近地同时构造所需的置信度。提供了非参数引导算法和代码。
    Motivated by the questions of risk assessment in climatology (temperature change in North America) and medicine (impact of statin usage and coronavirus disease 2019 on hospitalized patients), we address the problem of estimating the set in the domain of a function whose image equals a predefined subset of the real line. Existing methods require strict assumptions. We generalize the estimation of such sets to dense and nondense domains with protection against inflated Type I error in exploratory data analysis. This is achieved by proving that confidence sets of multiple upper, lower, or interval sets can be simultaneously constructed with the desired confidence nonasymptotically through inverting simultaneous confidence intervals. Nonparametric bootstrap algorithm and code are provided.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    当检查两个连续变量是否关联时,基于皮尔森的测试,肯德尔,通常使用Spearman的相关系数。本文探讨了现代非参数独立性检验作为一种替代方法,which,与传统测试不同,有能力检测任何类型的关系。除了现有的现代非参数独立性检验之外,我们开发并考虑了现有测试的两个新变体,最著名的是Heller-Heller-Gorfine-Pearson(HHG-Pearson)测试。我们进行了一项模拟研究,以比较传统的独立性测试,比如皮尔逊的相关性,以及心理学研究中常见情况下的现代非参数独立性检验。不出所料,没有任何测试在所有关系中都有最高的权力。然而,发现距离相关性和HHG-Pearson检验在许多关系中具有比所有传统检验大得多的功效,而在最坏的情况下仅具有略小的功效.与距离相关测试相比,HHG-Pearson测试具有相似的模式。然而,鉴于距离相关性对于线性关系表现更好,并且被更广泛地接受,我们建议在没有关系类型的先验知识的情况下考虑它的使用到位或对传统方法的补充,就像心理学研究中经常发生的那样。
    When examining whether two continuous variables are associated, tests based on Pearson\'s, Kendall\'s, and Spearman\'s correlation coefficients are typically used. This paper explores modern nonparametric independence tests as an alternative, which, unlike traditional tests, have the ability to potentially detect any type of relationship. In addition to existing modern nonparametric independence tests, we developed and considered two novel variants of existing tests, most notably the Heller-Heller-Gorfine-Pearson (HHG-Pearson) test. We conducted a simulation study to compare traditional independence tests, such as Pearson\'s correlation, and the modern nonparametric independence tests in situations commonly encountered in psychological research. As expected, no test had the highest power across all relationships. However, the distance correlation and the HHG-Pearson tests were found to have substantially greater power than all traditional tests for many relationships and only slightly less power in the worst case. A similar pattern was found in favor of the HHG-Pearson test compared to the distance correlation test. However, given that distance correlation performed better for linear relationships and is more widely accepted, we suggest considering its use in place or additional to traditional methods when there is no prior knowledge of the relationship type, as is often the case in psychological research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:医疗不良事件(HAE)报告框架不仅仅是一个工具。它是我们追求患者安全的重要支柱,质量改进,信任维护,法规遵从性,和医疗服务的道德标准。
    目的:通过开展满意度调查,评估农村公立医院急诊科医护人员对HAE报告框架和此类报告管理方法的满意度。
    方法:这项前瞻性观察性研究是在北方邦医科大学急诊医学系进行的,赛法伊,和毗邻的地区医院,从2023年11月到2024年1月。该研究涉及320名在急诊科工作的医疗保健专业人员。定量调查研究使用了问卷和Likert质量量表。使用非参数统计方法在序数测量量表上分析数据。使用频率表分析样本数据,百分比饼图,和比较条形图。在非参数统计检验中,单样本Wilcoxon符号秩检验用于推断人口的集中趋势,Kruskal-Wallis检验被用来推断人口类别。
    结果:医疗保健专业人员对HAE报告框架和管理方法的满意度是多种多样的。在对急诊科的HAE报告框架进行调查时,在320名医疗保健专业人员中,50%(161)表示不满,47%(149)满意,3%(10)没有发表评论。护理人员最不满意(133人中的61%)。当被问及处理此类报告时的管理方法时,50%(159)满意,46%(147)不满意,4%(14)没有发表评论。在比较职业时,33名医生中有43%(29)和133名护理人员中有62%(83)不满意,给出一个糟糕的反应。此外,119名护理人员中61%(72)满意。非参数推理测试得出的两个问题的p值都小于0.001,表明人群对HAE报告框架和管理方法的反应存在显著差异。在成对比较中,职业组之间的感知存在显着差异(p<0.001),除了HAE报告框架中的医生和护理人员(p=0.638)。
    结论:通过鼓励报告,标准化流程,彻底分析事件,并使用数据驱动的见解来为改进工作提供信息,医疗保健组织可以提高患者安全,提高护理质量,预防未来的不良事件。HAE报告的管理方法包括培养安全和透明的文化,实施标准化报告系统,为医护人员提供教育和培训,建立反馈机制,对报告的事件进行稳健分析,推动持续改进,并确保透明度和问责制。
    BACKGROUND: The healthcare adverse event (HAE) reporting framework is more than just a tool. It is a crucial pillar in our pursuit of patient safety, quality improvement, trust maintenance, regulatory compliance, and ethical standards in healthcare delivery.
    OBJECTIVE: To assess healthcare workers\' satisfaction with the HAE reporting framework and the management approach towards such reporting in the emergency department of rural government hospitals by conducting a satisfaction survey.
    METHODS: This prospective observational research was conducted in the Department of Emergency Medicine of the Uttar Pradesh University of Medical Sciences, Saifai, and adjoining district hospitals from November 2023 to January 2024. The study involved 320 healthcare professionals working in the emergency department. The quantitative survey research used a questionnaire and a quality Likert scale response. The data were analyzed on an ordinal measurement scale using nonparametric statistical methods. The sample data were analyzed using frequency tables, percentage pie charts, and comparison bar graphs. In nonparametric statistical tests, the one-sample Wilcoxon signed rank test was used to infer the population\'s central tendency, and the Kruskal-Wallis test was used to make inferences about the population categories.
    RESULTS: The satisfaction of healthcare professionals with the HAE reporting framework and the management approach was diverse. When surveyed about the HAE reporting framework in the emergency department, out of the 320 healthcare professionals, 50% (161) expressed dissatisfaction, 47% (149) were satisfied, and 3% (10) did not comment. Paramedics were most dissatisfied (61% of 133). When asked about the management approach while dealing with such reporting, 50% (159) were satisfied, 46% (147) were unsatisfied, and 4% (14) did not comment. On comparing professions, 43% (29) of 33 doctors and 62% (83) of 133 paramedics were unsatisfied, giving a poor response. Additionally, 61% (72) of the 119 nursing staff were satisfied. The non-parametric inferential tests yielded a p-value of less than 0.001 for both questions, indicating a notable difference in the population\'s response to the HAE reporting framework and management approach. On pairwise comparison, there was a significant difference in perception (p<0.001) between the occupation groups, except for doctors and paramedics (p = 0.638) in the HAE reporting framework.
    CONCLUSIONS: By encouraging reporting, standardizing processes, analyzing incidents thoroughly, and using data-driven insights to inform improvement efforts, healthcare organizations can enhance patient safety, improve quality of care, and prevent future adverse events. The management approach to HAE reporting involves fostering a culture of safety and transparency, implementing standardized reporting systems, providing education and training to healthcare staff, establishing feedback mechanisms, conducting robust analysis of reported events, promoting continuous improvement, and ensuring transparency and accountability.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    DeLong等人于1988年提出的一种非参数方法,用于比较相关接收器工作特性曲线下的区域,在实践中得到了广泛使用。然而,在流行软件中实现的DeLong方法会悄悄地删除具有任何缺失值的个人,产生潜在无效和/或低效的结果。我们使用等级简化了DeLong算法,并通过使用多元数据的混合模型方法对其进行扩展以适应缺失的数据。仿真结果证明了我们方法对随机数据缺失的有效性和有效性。我们在SAS中说明了我们提出的程序,Stata,和R使用原始的DeLong数据。
    A nonparametric method proposed by DeLong et al in 1988 for comparing areas under correlated receiver operating characteristic curves is used widely in practice. However, the DeLong method as implemented in popular software quietly deletes individuals with any missing values, yielding potentially invalid and/or inefficient results. We simplify the DeLong algorithm using ranks and extend it to accommodate missing data by using a mixed model approach for multivariate data. Simulation results demonstrate the validity and efficiency of our procedure for data missing at random. We illustrate our proposed procedure in SAS, Stata, and R using the original DeLong data.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在各种实际情况下,有关流程分布的信息有时部分或完全不可用。在这些情况下,从业者更喜欢使用非参数图表,因为它们不限制正态分布或特定分布的假设。在这篇文章中,建立了基于Wilcoxon符号秩统计量的非参数双均匀加权移动平均控制图,用于监测过程的位置参数。通过使用蒙特卡罗模拟获得新开发的图表的游程长度曲线。根据拟议和现有非参数对应图表之间的游程长度分布的各种性能指标进行比较。额外的二次损失用于评估建议和现有图表的整体性能。新开发的方案显示出比现有方案更好的结果。为了实际实施建议的方案,还使用了与汽车活塞环内径相关的实际数据集。
    In various practical situations, the information about the process distribution is sometimes partially or completely unavailable. In these instances, practitioners prefer to use nonparametric charts as they don\'t restrict the assumption of normality or specific distribution. In this current article, a nonparametric double homogeneously weighted moving average control chart based on the Wilcoxon signed-rank statistic is developed for monitoring the location parameter of the process. The run-length profiles of the newly developed chart are obtained by using Monte Carlo simulations. Comparisons are made based on various performance metrics of run-length distribution among proposed and existing nonparametric counterparts charts. The extra quadratic loss is used to evaluate the overall performance of the proposed and existing charts. The newly developed scheme showed comparatively better results than its existing counterparts. For practical implementation of the suggested scheme, the real-world dataset related to the inside diameter of the automobile piston rings is also used.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    确定替代标志物是否可用于替代临床研究中的主要结果是复杂的。虽然已经开发了许多统计方法来正式评估替代标记,它们通常不提供一种方法来检查替代标记的效用的异质性。与治疗效果异质性相似,治疗效果因患者特征而异,代孕的异质性意味着代孕标记的强度或效用因患者特征而异.最近开发的用于检查这种异质性的少数方法无法适应删失数据。具有审查结果的研究通常是最可能从替代中受益的研究,因为随访时间通常很长。在本文中,我们开发了一种稳健的非参数方法,以评估在截尾时间至事件结局设置中替代标记相对于基线变量的效用的异质性.此外,我们提出并评估了一个测试程序,以在单个时间点或同时跨多个时间点正式测试异质性。在模拟研究中检查了我们的估计和测试程序的有限样本性能。我们使用我们提出的方法来研究空腹血糖变化之间的复杂关系,糖尿病,和性激素使用糖尿病预防计划研究的数据。
    Determining whether a surrogate marker can be used to replace a primary outcome in a clinical study is complex. While many statistical methods have been developed to formally evaluate a surrogate marker, they generally do not provide a way to examine heterogeneity in the utility of a surrogate marker. Similar to treatment effect heterogeneity, where the effect of a treatment varies based on a patient characteristic, heterogeneity in surrogacy means that the strength or utility of the surrogate marker varies based on a patient characteristic. The few methods that have been recently developed to examine such heterogeneity cannot accommodate censored data. Studies with a censored outcome are typically the studies that could most benefit from a surrogate because the follow-up time is often long. In this paper, we develop a robust nonparametric approach to assess heterogeneity in the utility of a surrogate marker with respect to a baseline variable in a censored time-to-event outcome setting. In addition, we propose and evaluate a testing procedure to formally test for heterogeneity at a single time point or across multiple time points simultaneously. Finite sample performance of our estimation and testing procedure are examined in a simulation study. We use our proposed method to investigate the complex relationship between change in fasting plasma glucose, diabetes, and sex hormones using data from the diabetes prevention program study.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在许多集群相关的数据分析中,信息量大的簇大小提出了一个挑战,可能会在统计分析中引入偏差。在统计文献中引入了不同的方法来解决这种偏见。在这项研究中,我们考虑了一种复杂的信息形式,其中对应于集群内单位水平连续协变量的潜在水平的观察数与响应变量相关联。在先前的研究中还没有探索过这种类型的信息。我们提出了一种新颖的检验统计量,旨在评估连续协变量的影响,同时考虑到信息的存在。协变量在集群内诱导了潜在亚组的连续体,并且我们的检验统计量是通过从已建立的统计量中汇总值来公式化的,该统计量在比较特定于组的边际分布时考虑了信息性的子组大小。通过精心设计的模拟,我们将我们的检验与聚类相关数据分析中常用的四种传统方法进行了比较.只有我们的测试可以在所有数据生成场景中保持大小,并提供信息。我们说明了用这种独特的信息形式测试牙周数据中边缘关联的方法。
    In many cluster-correlated data analyses, informative cluster size poses a challenge that can potentially introduce bias in statistical analyses. Different methodologies have been introduced in statistical literature to address this bias. In this study, we consider a complex form of informativeness where the number of observations corresponding to latent levels of a unit-level continuous covariate within a cluster is associated with the response variable. This type of informativeness has not been explored in prior research. We present a novel test statistic designed to evaluate the effect of the continuous covariate while accounting for the presence of informativeness. The covariate induces a continuum of latent subgroups within the clusters, and our test statistic is formulated by aggregating values from an established statistic that accounts for informative subgroup sizes when comparing group-specific marginal distributions. Through carefully designed simulations, we compare our test with four traditional methods commonly employed in the analysis of cluster-correlated data. Only our test maintains the size across all data-generating scenarios with informativeness. We illustrate the proposed method to test for marginal associations in periodontal data with this distinctive form of informativeness.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:临床试验通常涉及某种形式的临时监测,以在计划的试验完成之前确定无效。虽然存在许多临时监测选项(例如,阿尔法支出,条件功率),基于非参数的中期监测方法也需要考虑更复杂的试验设计和分析.上升是最近提出的一种非参数方法,可用于临时监测。
    方法:Upstrapping的动机是病例重采样自举,并且涉及重复采样并从临时数据中替换,以模拟数千个完全注册的试验。计算每个上行试验的p值,并将满足p值标准的上行试验的比例与预先指定的决策阈值进行比较。为了评估作为一种临时徒劳监测的潜在效用,我们进行了一项模拟研究,考虑了不同的样本量和几种不同的建议校准策略。我们首先比较了一系列阈值组合的试验拒绝率,以验证上绑方法。然后,我们将上绑方法应用于模拟临床试验数据,直接将他们的表现与更传统的阿尔法支出和有条件的权力临时监测方法进行比较,以防止徒劳。
    结果:方法验证表明,与各种模拟设置中的替代方法相比,在空场景中更有可能发现无用的证据。根据使用的停止规则,我们提出的三种向上校准方法具有不同的强度。与O'Brien-Fleming小组序贯方法相比,升级方法的I型错误率最多相差1.7%,在空场景中预期样本量低2-22%,而在替代方案中,功率在15.7%和0.2%之间波动,预期样本量降低0-15%。
    结论:在这个概念验证模拟研究中,我们评估了在临床试验中作为基于重采样的无益性监测方法的可能性.预期样本量的权衡,电源,和I型错误率控制表明,可以校准升频以实现具有不同程度的侵略性的徒劳监视,并且可以相对于考虑的alpha支出和条件性功率徒劳监视方法来识别性能相似性。
    BACKGROUND: Clinical trials often involve some form of interim monitoring to determine futility before planned trial completion. While many options for interim monitoring exist (e.g., alpha-spending, conditional power), nonparametric based interim monitoring methods are also needed to account for more complex trial designs and analyses. The upstrap is one recently proposed nonparametric method that may be applied for interim monitoring.
    METHODS: Upstrapping is motivated by the case resampling bootstrap and involves repeatedly sampling with replacement from the interim data to simulate thousands of fully enrolled trials. The p-value is calculated for each upstrapped trial and the proportion of upstrapped trials for which the p-value criteria are met is compared with a pre-specified decision threshold. To evaluate the potential utility for upstrapping as a form of interim futility monitoring, we conducted a simulation study considering different sample sizes with several different proposed calibration strategies for the upstrap. We first compared trial rejection rates across a selection of threshold combinations to validate the upstrapping method. Then, we applied upstrapping methods to simulated clinical trial data, directly comparing their performance with more traditional alpha-spending and conditional power interim monitoring methods for futility.
    RESULTS: The method validation demonstrated that upstrapping is much more likely to find evidence of futility in the null scenario than the alternative across a variety of simulations settings. Our three proposed approaches for calibration of the upstrap had different strengths depending on the stopping rules used. Compared to O\'Brien-Fleming group sequential methods, upstrapped approaches had type I error rates that differed by at most 1.7% and expected sample size was 2-22% lower in the null scenario, while in the alternative scenario power fluctuated between 15.7% lower and 0.2% higher and expected sample size was 0-15% lower.
    CONCLUSIONS: In this proof-of-concept simulation study, we evaluated the potential for upstrapping as a resampling-based method for futility monitoring in clinical trials. The trade-offs in expected sample size, power, and type I error rate control indicate that the upstrap can be calibrated to implement futility monitoring with varying degrees of aggressiveness and that performance similarities can be identified relative to considered alpha-spending and conditional power futility monitoring methods.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    生存分析中的许多队列研究都嵌入了由事件病例和流行病例组成的子队列。而不是单独分析事件和流行队列的数据,结合这两个子队列的数据肯定有优势。在本文中,我们使用长度偏向右删失的流行队列数据和右删失事件队列数据,讨论了生存函数非参数最大似然估计器(NPMLE).我们建立了生存函数NPMLE的渐近性质,并利用NPMLE来估计在蒙特利尔地区医院花费的时间分布。
    Many cohort studies in survival analysis have imbedded in them subcohorts consisting of incident cases and prevalent cases. Instead of analysing the data from the incident and prevalent cohorts alone, there are surely advantages to combining the data from these two subcohorts. In this paper, we discuss a survival function nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) using both length-biased right-censored prevalent cohort data and right-censored incident cohort data. We establish the asymptotic properties of the survival function NPMLE and utilize the NPMLE to estimate the distribution for time spent in a Montreal area hospital.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文的目的是双重的:分析美国能源消耗的平稳性,研究其周期和成对同步。我们研究了1973-2022年期间每月能源消耗的九个时间序列。系列中的四个(即煤炭,天然气,石油,和核电消耗)是不可再生能源,而其余的(水力发电,地热,生物量,太阳能,和风能消费)是可再生能源。我们使用非参数,面板平稳性测试方法。结果表明,大多数系列可能是趋势平稳性的,核能和地热能的消耗是唯一的例外。此外,进行了一系列能源消耗中潜在循环的研究,随后,我们分析了不同能源状态之间以及能源状态与商业周期之间的成对一致性。在后一种分析中检测到显著的相关性,对于化石燃料来源是积极的,对于两种可再生能源是消极的,即地热和生物质能消费。
    The purpose of this paper is twofold: analyzing stationarity of energy consumption by source in the United States and studying their cycles and pairwise synchronization. We study a panel of nine time series of monthly energy consumption for the period 1973-2022. Four of the series (namely coal, natural gas, petroleum, and nuclear electric power consumption) are non-renewables, whereas the remaining ones (hydroelectric power, geothermal, biomass, solar, and wind energy consumption) are renewable energy sources. We employ a nonparametric, panel stationarity testing approach. The results indicate that most of the series may be trend-stationarity, with nuclear and geothermal energy consumption being the only exceptions. Additionally, a study on potential cycles in the series of energy consumption by source is carried out, and subsequently we analyze pairwise concordance between states of different energy sources and between states of energy sources and the business cycle. Significant correlations are detected in the latter analysis, which are positive in the case of fossil fuel sources and negative for two renewable sources, namely geothermal and biomass energy consumption.
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