NPCC4

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    纽约市气候变化委员会4(NPCC4)报告的这一章全面描述了不同类型的洪水灾害(雨滴,河流,沿海,地下水和复合)面向纽约市,并提供可以利用的气候环境,随着气候变化的预测,支持洪水风险管理(FRM)。以前的NPCC报告记录了沿海洪水灾害,并介绍了历史和未来降水和海平面的趋势,但并未全面评估该市的所有洪水灾害。以前的NPCC报告还讨论了洪水对基础设施和城市居民的影响,但没有审查洪水对城市自然和自然系统(NNBS)的影响。这是NPCC的第一份报告,重点关注洪水的所有驱动因素,描述和概述了每种类型洪水的历史例子,并总结了以前和正在进行的关于暴露的研究,脆弱性,和风险管理,包括NNBS和非结构性措施。
    This chapter of the New York City Panel on Climate Change 4 (NPCC4) report provides a comprehensive description of the different types of flood hazards (pluvial, fluvial, coastal, groundwater, and compound) facing New York City and provides climatological context that can be utilized, along with climate change projections, to support flood risk management (FRM). Previous NPCC reports documented coastal flood hazards and presented trends in historical and future precipitation and sea level but did not comprehensively assess all the city\'s flood hazards. Previous NPCC reports also discussed the implications of floods on infrastructure and the city\'s residents but did not review the impacts of flooding on the city\'s natural and nature-based systems (NNBSs). This-the NPCC\'s first report focused on all drivers of flooding-describes and profiles historical examples of each type of flood and summarizes previous and ongoing research regarding exposure, vulnerability, and risk management, including with NNBS and nonstructural measures.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本章概述了主要主题,调查结果,和NPCC4的建议。它提供了评估每章的摘要陈述,这些陈述确定了提出的突出和紧迫的问题,并为未来的研究和增强气候弹性提供了建议。本章还概述了未来NPCC工作的一系列更广泛的建议,并确定了下一次评估的一些关键主题。
    This chapter provides an overview of the major themes, findings, and recommendations from NPCC4. It presents summary statements from each chapter of the assessment which identify salient and pressing issues raised and provides recommendations for future research and for enhancement of climate resiliency. The chapter also outlines a set of broader recommendations for future NPCC work and identifies some key topics for the next assessment.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    NPCC4简介概述了前三份NPCC报告,并介绍了NPCC4为解决司法问题而做出的深思熟虑的决定,股本,多样性,并纳入其集体工作和自身实践,程序,和评估方法。接下来,它总结了评估过程,包括更加重视持续评估。最后,它介绍了NPCC4章节及其范围。
    This Introduction to NPCC4 provides an overview of the first three NPCC Reports and contextualizes NPCC4\'s deliberate decision to address justice, equity, diversity, and inclusion in its collective work and in its own practices, procedures, and methods of assessment. Next, it summarizes the assessment process, including greater emphasis on sustained assessment. Finally, it introduces the NPCC4 chapters and their scope.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    纽约市气候变化委员会4(NPCC4)报告的这一章讨论了许多交叉的社会,生态,纽约市(NYC)的技术基础设施规模及其相互作用至关重要,以过渡到并确保所有纽约人适应气候的未来。作者对社区和城市一级计划中的“未来愿景和情景”的当前方法进行了评估,并研究了纽约市城市系统的不同维度,以降低风险和脆弱性,并实现适应未来的纽约市。讨论了整合社区和利益相关者想法的方法,这些想法将使纽约市蓬勃发展,并提供有关不同政策和行动所带来的可能性的科学和技术信息。本章综合了不同的学术或实践社区如何设想未来的知识状态,并简要介绍了社会人口和住房,交通运输,能源,基于自然,以及健康期货和纽约复杂系统的许多其他子系统,这些子系统都将相互作用以确定纽约期货。
    This chapter of the New York City Panel on Climate Change 4 (NPCC4) report discusses the many intersecting social, ecological, and technological-infrastructure dimensions of New York City (NYC) and their interactions that are critical to address in order to transition to and secure a climate-adapted future for all New Yorkers. The authors provide an assessment of current approaches to \"future visioning and scenarios\" across community and city-level initiatives and examine diverse dimensions of the NYC urban system to reduce risk and vulnerability and enable a future-adapted NYC. Methods for the integration of community and stakeholder ideas about what would make NYC thrive with scientific and technical information on the possibilities presented by different policies and actions are discussed. This chapter synthesizes the state of knowledge on how different communities of scholarship or practice envision futures and provides brief descriptions of the social-demographic and housing, transportation, energy, nature-based, and health futures and many other subsystems of the complex system of NYC that will all interact to determine NYC futures.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    纽约市气候变化委员会4(NPCC4)报告的这一章概述了纽约市和纽约州的能源趋势,以及随之而来的挑战和能源转型的障碍-对人类健康和福祉的影响。能源趋势及其对健康和福祉的影响之间的联系是由“能源不安全,“NPCC4评估的重要补充。
    This chapter of the New York City Panel on Climate Change 4 (NPCC4) report provides an overview of energy trends in New York City and the State of New York, as well as accompanying challenges and barriers to the energy transition-with implications for human health and wellbeing. The link between energy trends and their impact on health and wellbeing is brought to the fore by the concept of \"energy insecurity,\" an important addition to the NPCC4 assessment.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    纽约市气候变化委员会4(NPCC4)报告的这一章考虑了气候健康风险,漏洞,以及纽约市独特城市背景下的韧性策略。它更新了自2015年上一次健康评估以来的证据,作为NPCC2的一部分,并解决了自2015年以来纽约市尤为突出的气候健康风险和脆弱性。强调了高温和洪水带来的气候健康风险。此外,考虑到其他对人类健康有害的气候敏感暴露,包括室外和室内空气污染,包括空气过敏原;人类疾病的昆虫媒介;水传播的传染性和化学污染物;以及气候健康风险与其他公共卫生紧急情况的复合,例如COVID-19大流行。考虑了减少未来气候对健康的风险的循证策略。
    This chapter of the New York City Panel on Climate Change 4 (NPCC4) report considers climate health risks, vulnerabilities, and resilience strategies in New York City\'s unique urban context. It updates evidence since the last health assessment in 2015 as part of NPCC2 and addresses climate health risks and vulnerabilities that have emerged as especially salient to NYC since 2015. Climate health risks from heat and flooding are emphasized. In addition, other climate-sensitive exposures harmful to human health are considered, including outdoor and indoor air pollution, including aeroallergens; insect vectors of human illness; waterborne infectious and chemical contaminants; and compounding of climate health risks with other public health emergencies, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Evidence-informed strategies for reducing future climate risks to health are considered.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于气候变化及其与社会脆弱性的相互作用以及不平衡的城市发展模式和过程,纽约市(NYC)在未来几十年面临许多挑战。纽约市气候变化委员会(NPCC)的这份报告有助于该委员会的任务,即就气候变化问题向纽约市提供建议,并提供及时的气候风险信息,这些信息可以为灵活和公平的适应途径提供信息,从而增强对气候变化的抵御能力。本报告提供了最新的科学信息以及最新的记录海平面上升预测。我们还提出了一种与极端气候有关的新方法,并描述了为纽约都会区开发下一代气候预测的新方法。小组今后的工作应将本报告中提出的温度和降水预测与部分模型进行比较,以确定“热模型”问题的潜在影响和相关性。NPCC4预计将根据此比较和其他分析,为2024年的降水和温度建立新的记录预测。然而,本报告中提供的温度和降水预测可能对纽约市利益相关者在此期间有用,因为他们依赖于最新一代的全球气候模型。
    New York City (NYC) faces many challenges in the coming decades due to climate change and its interactions with social vulnerabilities and uneven urban development patterns and processes. This New York City Panel on Climate Change (NPCC) report contributes to the Panel\'s mandate to advise the city on climate change and provide timely climate risk information that can inform flexible and equitable adaptation pathways that enhance resilience to climate change. This report presents up-to-date scientific information as well as updated sea level rise projections of record. We also present a new methodology related to climate extremes and describe new methods for developing the next generation of climate projections for the New York metropolitan region. Future work by the Panel should compare the temperature and precipitation projections presented in this report with a subset of models to determine the potential impact and relevance of the \"hot model\" problem. NPCC4 expects to establish new projections-of-record for precipitation and temperature in 2024 based on this comparison and additional analysis. Nevertheless, the temperature and precipitation projections presented in this report may be useful for NYC stakeholders in the interim as they rely on the newest generation of global climate models.
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