Mathematical models

数学模型
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    造血干细胞(HSC)生物学的主要下一步是增强我们对未受干扰的造血功能所涉及的细胞和进化动力学的定量理解。在这方面,数学模型一直是并将继续是关键,并且在实验参数化并包含足够的生物学复杂性时最强大。在本文中,我们使用来自小鼠标记繁殖实验的数据来参数化造血的数学模型,包括稳态控制机制以及克隆进化。我们发现非线性反馈控制可以极大地改变稳态时动力学估计的解释。这表明短期HSC和多能祖细胞可以动态调整以在没有长期HSC的情况下暂时维持自身。即使它们在不受干扰的体内平衡中分化比自我更新更频繁。此外,模型中反馈控制的存在使系统具有抵抗突变入侵的弹性。入侵障碍,然而,可以通过结合年龄相关的干细胞分化变化和基于突变相关的炎症环境的进化生态位构建动力学来克服。这有助于我们理解例如,TET2或DNMT3A突变体,以及如何潜在地减少突变负担。
    A major next step in hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) biology is to enhance our quantitative understanding of cellular and evolutionary dynamics involved in undisturbed hematopoiesis. Mathematical models have been and continue to be key in this respect, and are most powerful when parameterized experimentally and containing sufficient biological complexity. In this paper, we use data from label propagation experiments in mice to parameterize a mathematical model of hematopoiesis that includes homeostatic control mechanisms as well as clonal evolution. We find that nonlinear feedback control can drastically change the interpretation of kinetic estimates at homeostasis. This suggests that short-term HSC and multipotent progenitors can dynamically adjust to sustain themselves temporarily in the absence of long-term HSCs, even if they differentiate more often than they self-renew in undisturbed homeostasis. Additionally, the presence of feedback control in the model renders the system resilient against mutant invasion. Invasion barriers, however, can be overcome by a combination of age-related changes in stem cell differentiation and evolutionary niche construction dynamics based on a mutant-associated inflammatory environment. This helps us understand the evolution of e.g., TET2 or DNMT3A mutants, and how to potentially reduce mutant burden.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    口服药物吸收是给药的主要途径。然而,这个过程取决于多种因素,包括药物的理化性质,配方特征,和胃肠生理学。鉴于其复杂性和与实验相关的高昂成本,试错法证明昂贵得令人望而却步。通过吸收来自不同实验和理论考虑的数据,理论模型已成为具有成本效益的替代方案。这些模型分为三类:(I)数据驱动模型,包括经典的药代动力学,定量结构模型(QSAR),和机器/深度学习;(Ii)基于机制的模型,其中包括准平衡,稳态,和基于生理的药代动力学模型;和(iii)第一原理模型,包括分子动力学和连续模型。这篇综述概述了这些类别的最新建模工作,同时评估了它们各自的优势和局限性。此外,附录中包含了偏微分方程及其数值解的入门,尽管数学复杂性限制了其在该领域的广泛应用,但仍认识到其在生理系统建模中的实用性。
    Oral drug absorption is the primary route for drug administration. However, this process hinges on multiple factors, including the drug\'s physicochemical properties, formulation characteristics, and gastrointestinal physiology. Given its intricacy and the exorbitant costs associated with experimentation, the trial-and-error method proves prohibitively expensive. Theoretical models have emerged as a cost-effective alternative by assimilating data from diverse experiments and theoretical considerations. These models fall into three categories: (i) data-driven models, encompassing classical pharmacokinetics, quantitative-structure models (QSAR), and machine/deep learning; (ii) mechanism-based models, which include quasi-equilibrium, steady-state, and physiologically-based pharmacokinetics models; and (iii) first principles models, including molecular dynamics and continuum models. This review provides an overview of recent modeling endeavors across these categories while evaluating their respective advantages and limitations. Additionally, a primer on partial differential equations and their numerical solutions is included in the appendix, recognizing their utility in modeling physiological systems despite their mathematical complexity limiting widespread application in this field.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    地下生物膜(SAB)是生活在陆地表面的复杂微生物群落,对包括文化遗产保护在内的各种环境感兴趣,微生物生态学,生物地球化学循环,和生物技术。在这里,我们提出了一个数学模型,旨在更好地理解蓝细菌和异养细菌之间的相互作用,常见的微生物SAB成分,以及它们对当地环境条件的相互依赖。SAB被建模为坐在石头上的薄的混合生物膜-液体水层。常微分方程组调节关键SAB成分的动力学:蓝藻,异养生物,多糖和腐烂的生物质,以及细胞的有机碳水平,氮和能量。这些成分通过能量占优势的代谢途径网络相互连接,用限制术语建模,反映生物和非生物因素的影响。每天的温度周期,湿度,湿度和光强度被认为是通过影响水的可用性和代谢动力学来调节微生物活性的输入模型变量。相关物理化学过程,包括pH调节,进一步有助于描述SAB生态学。数值模拟在现实世界中探索SAB的动力学,揭示由水活动和光照形成的不同的日常活动时期,以及更长时间尺度的生存能力条件。结果还表明,异养生物可以在分解非挥发性碳化合物和调节pH中起重要作用。从而影响生物膜的整体组成和稳定性。
    Subaerial biofilms (SAB) are intricate microbial communities living on terrestrial surfaces, of interest in a variety of contexts including cultural heritage preservation, microbial ecology, biogeochemical cycling, and biotechnology. Here we propose a mathematical model aimed at better understanding the interplay between cyanobacteria and heterotrophic bacteria, common microbial SAB constituents, and their mutual dependence on local environmental conditions. SABs are modeled as thin mixed biofilm-liquid water layers sitting on stone. A system of ordinary differential equations regulates the dynamics of key SAB components: cyanobacteria, heterotrophs, polysaccharides and decayed biomass, as well as cellular levels of organic carbon, nitrogen and energy. These components are interconnected through a network of energetically dominant metabolic pathways, modeled with limitation terms reflecting the impact of biotic and abiotic factors. Daily cylces of temperature, humidity, and light intensity are considered as input model variables that regulate microbial activity by influencing water availability and metabolic kinetics. Relevant physico-chemical processes, including pH regulation, further contribute to a description of the SAB ecology. Numerical simulations explore the dynamics of SABs in a real-world context, revealing distinct daily activity periods shaped by water activity and light availability, as well as longer time scale survivability conditions. Results also suggest that heterotrophs could play a substantial role in decomposing non-volatile carbon compounds and regulating pH, thus influencing the overall composition and stability of the biofilm.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这篇综述深入研究了自发发酵食品(SFF)中遇到的微生物群落的复杂特征,有助于抵抗,弹性,和功能驱动程序。SFF微生物群的特征包括群落组成的波动,遗传稳定性,和条件特异性表型。合成微生物群落(SMC)是机械见解和微生物群落战略重新编程的门户。当前的文献强调了微生物在SFF中在塑造质量属性和保护其起源文化遗产方面的关键作用。与发酵剂驱动的发酵相反,发酵剂倾向于受到更多控制,但缺乏维持或再现SFF中发现的复杂风味和复杂性的能力。SMC,因此,成为不可或缺的工具,提供对发酵食品微生物组的细致理解和控制。他们赋予微生物相互作用和代谢途径的预测和工程,以优化食品加工的结果。总结了SMCs在发酵食品中的应用现状,还有改进的空间。确定了在SMC中实现稳定性和可重复性的挑战,源于非标准化方法。未来的方向应该包括接受标准化的协议,先进的监控工具,和合成生物学应用。一个整体,多学科方法对于释放SMC的全部潜力和促进发酵食品系统中的可持续和创新应用至关重要。
    This review delves into the intricate traits of microbial communities encountered in spontaneously fermented foods (SFF), contributing to resistance, resilience, and functionality drivers. Traits of SFF microbiomes comprise of fluctuations in community composition, genetic stability, and condition-specific phenotypes. Synthetic microbial communities (SMCs) serve as a portal for mechanistic insights and strategic re-programming of microbial communities. Current literature underscores the pivotal role of microbiomes in SFF in shaping quality attributes and preserving the cultural heritage of their origin. In contrast to starter driven fermentations that tend to be more controlled but lacking the capacity to maintain or reproduce the complex flavors and intricacies found in SFF. SMCs, therefore, become indispensable tools, providing a nuanced understanding and control over fermented food microbiomes. They empower the prediction and engineering of microbial interactions and metabolic pathways with the aim of optimizing outcomes in food processing. Summarizing the current application of SMCs in fermented foods, there is still space for improvement. Challenges in achieving stability and reproducibility in SMCs are identified, stemming from non-standardized approaches. The future direction should involve embracing standardized protocols, advanced monitoring tools, and synthetic biology applications. A holistic, multi-disciplinary approach is paramount to unleashing the full potential of SMCs and fostering sustainable and innovative applications in fermented food systems.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    乳酸不再被认为只是厌氧糖酵解的“废物”。它已被证明在几种代谢性疾病中起关键作用,例如在代谢功能障碍相关的脂肪变性肝病中,肥胖,和糖尿病。模拟葡萄糖-胰岛素-乳酸相互作用的能力可用于设计和测试在这种病理条件下靶向乳酸代谢的药物。最小的模型是可用的,描述和量化葡萄糖-乳酸相互作用,但缺少模拟餐后葡萄糖-胰岛素-C肽-乳酸时间过程的模型。本研究旨在填补这一空白。
    从帕多瓦2型糖尿病模拟器(T2DS)开始,我们首先添加了葡萄糖-乳酸动力学的描述,然后创建了一个由100名受试者组成的群体,以匹配44名有/没有肥胖的青少年的葡萄糖-胰岛素-C肽-乳酸数据,这些青少年接受了75克的标准口服葡萄糖耐量试验(OGTT)。
    开发的模型准确地预测了所有分子的时间进程,保证精确的模型参数估计(百分比变异系数[CV%]中位数[25-75百分位数]=19[9-29]%)。产生的计算机群体在曲线下面积(AUC)方面与临床数据表现出良好的一致性(对于葡萄糖,P=.6,.6,.9,.6,胰岛素,C-肽,和乳酸,分别)和参数分布(P>.1)。
    我们开发了一种模拟器来描述葡萄糖,胰岛素,C-肽,和OGTT期间的乳酸动力学,它捕获了有/没有肥胖的青少年的真实人群的行为,无论是在平均和受试者间的变异性。这种模拟器可用于研究在各种病理条件下靶向乳酸代谢途径的药物的药效学。
    UNASSIGNED: Lactate is not considered just a \"waste product\" of anaerobic glycolysis anymore. It has been proved to play a key role in several metabolic diseases, such as in the metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, obesity, and diabetes. The capability of simulating glucose-insulin-lactate interaction would be useful to design and test drugs targeting lactate metabolism in such pathological conditions. Minimal models are available, which describe and quantify glucose-lactate interaction but models to simulate postprandial glucose-insulin-C-peptide-lactate time courses are missing. The aim of this study is to fill this gap.
    UNASSIGNED: Starting from the Padova Type 2 Diabetes Simulator (T2DS), we first added a description of glucose-lactate kinetics and then created a population of 100 in silico subjects to match glucose-insulin-C-peptide-lactate data of 44 adolescents with/without obesity who underwent a standard oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) of 75 g.
    UNASSIGNED: The developed model accurately predicts all molecules time courses, guaranteeing precise model parameter estimates (percent coefficient of variation [CV%] median [25th-75th percentile] = 19 [9-29]%). The generated in silico population shows good agreement with the clinical data in terms of area under the curve (AUC) (P = .6, .6, .9, .6 for glucose, insulin, C-peptide, and lactate, respectively) and parameter distributions (P > .1).
    UNASSIGNED: We have developed a simulator to describe glucose, insulin, C-peptide, and lactate kinetics during an OGTT, which captures the behavior of a real population of adolescents with/without obesity both in terms of average and intersubject variability. Such simulator can be used to investigate the pharmacodynamics of drugs targeting lactate metabolic pathway in various pathological conditions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    植物细胞,组织,和器官培养(PCTOC)已被用作基础研究的实验系统,允许通过基因过表达或抑制和研究参与胚胎发生和器官发生的过程或与次生代谢产物的潜在生产有关的过程来展示基因功能,在其他人中。另一方面,PCTOC也已在商业水平上用于多种植物物种的无性繁殖(微繁殖),主要是观赏植物,但也有园艺作物,如马铃薯或水果和树种,并生产高质量的无病植物。此外,PCTOC方案是作物育种作物中重要的辅助系统,用于产生纯系(纯合)以产生杂种,以获得具有更高产量或更好性能的多倍体植物。PCTOC已用于保存和保存不同作物或受威胁物种的种质。只有建立了有效的体外植物再生方案,才能通过基因工程和基因组编辑进行植物遗传改良。目前,不同的公司专注于使用体外PCTOC将具有有趣生物活性的植物次生代谢物商业化。讨论了组学对PCTOC的影响。
    Plant cell, tissue, and organ cultures (PCTOC) have been used as experimental systems in basic research, allowing gene function demonstration through gene overexpression or repression and investigating the processes involved in embryogenesis and organogenesis or those related to the potential production of secondary metabolites, among others. On the other hand, PCTOC has also been applied at the commercial level for the vegetative multiplication (micropropagation) of diverse plant species, mainly ornamentals but also horticultural crops such as potato or fruit and tree species, and to produce high-quality disease-free plants. Moreover, PCTOC protocols are important auxiliary systems in crop breeding crops to generate pure lines (homozygous) to produce hybrids for the obtention of polyploid plants with higher yields or better performance. PCTOC has been utilized to preserve and conserve the germplasm of different crops or threatened species. Plant genetic improvement through genetic engineering and genome editing has been only possible thanks to the establishment of efficient in vitro plant regeneration protocols. Different companies currently focus on commercializing plant secondary metabolites with interesting biological activities using in vitro PCTOC. The impact of omics on PCTOC is discussed.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在本文中,我们研究了我们在文献中发现的疫苗效力(VE)的几个定义,对于在爆发中表达自己的疾病,也就是说,当感染的力量随时间增长时,达到最大值,然后消失。这种疾病在爆发中发生的事实导致了我们分析的几个问题。我们提出了一个数学模型,可以计算几种情况下的VE。疫苗试验通常需要大量必须招募的志愿者。理想情况下,所有志愿者都应该在大约相同的时间注册,但是出于逻辑原因,这通常是不可能的,并且它们以可以用连续密度函数代替的方式注册(例如,高斯函数)。爆发也可以用连续密度函数代替,并且这些密度函数的使用简化了计算。假设,例如高斯函数,可以立即注意到的问题之一是两条曲线的峰值不会同时出现。该模型使我们可以得出结论:首先,当感染力增加时,计算的疫苗效力降低;第二,当感染力的峰值与入学率的峰值之间的差距增加时,计算的疫苗效力降低;第三,可以用这个模型模拟不同的试验方案;可以计算不同的疫苗功效定义,在我们的模拟中,所有结果大致相同。最后,也许是我们模型中最重要的结论,是在爆发期间计算的疫苗效力必须仔细检查,我们可以建议克服这个问题的最好方法是在逐个队列的基础上对登记的志愿者进行分层,并对每个队列进行生存分析,或对每个队列应用Cox比例风险模型。
    In this paper we examine several definitions of vaccine efficacy (VE) that we found in the literature, for diseases that express themselves in outbreaks, that is, when the force of infection grows in time, reaches a maximum and then vanishes. The fact that the disease occurs in outbreaks results in several problems that we analyse. We propose a mathematical model that allows the calculation of VE for several scenarios. Vaccine trials usually needs a large number of volunteers that must be enrolled. Ideally, all volunteers should be enrolled in approximately the same time, but this is generally impossible for logistic reasons and they are enrolled in a fashion that can be replaced by a continuous density function (for example, a Gaussian function). The outbreak can also be replaced by a continuous density function, and the use of these density functions simplifies the calculations. Assuming, for example Gaussian functions, one of the problems one can immediately notice is that the peak of the two curves do not occur at the same time. The model allows us to conclude: First, the calculated vaccine efficacy decreases when the force of infection increases; Second, the calculated vaccine efficacy decreases when the gap between the peak in the force of infection and the peak in the enrollment rate increases; Third, different trial protocols can be simulated with this model; different vaccine efficacy definitions can be calculated and in our simulations, all result are approximately the same. The final, and perhaps most important conclusion of our model, is that vaccine efficacy calculated during outbreaks must be carefully examined and the best way we can suggest to overcome this problem is to stratify the enrolled volunteer\'s in a cohort-by-cohort basis and do the survival analysis for each cohort, or apply the Cox proportional hazards model for each cohort.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    提出了一种新的回归模型,该模型提供了灵活性,不受线性范围的主观确定,和非常广泛的工业重要性的测量系统的适用性。这个“渐进衰减”模型从一个看似简单的常微分方程开始。我们在这里表明,它的解决方案忠实地描述了来自基于平板的测定的真实但看似不相关的数据,用于使用RiboGreen®定量RNA,以及三重固定剂量组合固体口服剂型的溶出数据。
    A new regression model is presented which offers flexibility, freedom from subjective determinations of linear range, and very wide applicability to measurement systems of industrial importance. This \"progressive decay\" model starts as a deceptively simple ordinary differential equation. We show here that its solution faithfully describes real but seemingly unconnected data from a plate-based assay for quantitation of RNA with RiboGreen® and dissolution data for a triple fixed-dose combination solid oral dosage form.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究检查了6种不同的商品榛子和可可酱的涂抹配方和结构/润滑特性对感官知觉的影响。流变学,摩擦学,通过评估质量描述符与流变和质地参数之间的相关系数来评估定量描述性分析(QDA)。在不同温度下评估粘度以更好地模拟摄入之前和之后的条件。在37°C下进行摩擦学分析以模拟人口腔。研究了唾液存在和运行次数对摩擦学行为的影响。此外,纹理,量热,并进行粒度分布测量以加强结构/热参数之间的相关性(例如,坚定,粘性,糖熔点)和感官方面。“视觉粘度,“定义为在消费前评估的感官属性,与在20°C和10s-1时测得的表观粘度呈负相关,而“身体”,“在口腔加工过程中定义,与乳脂状有关,与在37°C和50s-1时测得的表观粘度呈正相关。这些属性主要受配方内的颗粒微结构和固体体积分数的影响。质地粘性与感官“粘附性”呈正相关,与脂肪成分和奶粉添加量有关,而“甜度”与蔗糖含量和糖融化焓有关。摩擦学数据提供了与粒子衍生属性相关的有意义的信息,以及涂层后的感知(脂肪/油性),从而更好地预测口服过程中的食物进化。
    This study examined the effects of spread formulation and the structural/lubricant properties of six different commercial hazelnut and cocoa spreads on sensory perception. Rheology, tribology, and quantitative descriptive analysis (QDA) was assessed by also evaluating the correlation coefficients between the quality descriptor and the rheological and textural parameters. The viscosity was evaluated at different temperatures to better simulate conditions before and after ingestion. Tribological analysis was executed at 37°C to mimic the human oral cavity. The effect of saliva presence and the number of runs on tribological behaviors was investigated. Moreover, textural, calorimetric, and particle size distribution measurements were performed to reinforce the correlation between structural/thermal parameters (e.g., firmness, stickiness, sugar melting point) and sensory aspects. \"Visual viscosity,\" defined as a sensory attribute evaluated prior to consumption, negatively correlated with apparent viscosity measured at 20°C and 10 s-1, whereas \"body,\" defined during oral processing and related to creaminess, positively correlated with apparent viscosity measured at 37°C and 50 s-1. These attributes were mainly influenced by particulate microstructure and solid volume fraction within the formulation. Textural stickiness positively correlated with sensory \"adhesiveness\" and was related to fat composition and milk powder addition, while \"sweetness\" was related to sucrose content and sugar melting enthalpy. Tribological data provided meaningful information related to particle-derived attributes, as well as after-coating perception (fattiness/oiliness), thus better predicting food evolution during oral consumption.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:抗生素耐药性肠杆菌(ARE)是全球范围内的公共卫生威胁。这些机会性病原体的传播已在医院中进行了大量研究。尽管在世界某些地区的社区中无症状定植的患病率很高,在这种情况下,人们对ARE的获取和传播知之甚少。由于解释社区ARE动态并不简单,数学模型可能是探索潜在现象和进一步评估干预措施对遏制医院外ARE循环的影响的关键。
    方法:我们对数学建模研究进行了系统的回顾,重点是AR-E在社区中的传播,不包括仅针对医院的型号。我们提取了模型特征(总体,设置),形式主义(部门,以个人为基础),生物学假设(传播,感染,抗生素的影响,抗性菌株特异性)和主要发现。我们讨论了需要考虑的其他机制,开放的科学问题,和最紧迫的数据需求。
    结果:我们确定了18项建模研究,重点关注ARE在社区(n=11)或社区和医院(n=7)中的人传播。旨在(i)了解驱动阻力动态的机制;(ii)识别和量化传播途径;或(iii)评估公共卫生干预措施以减少阻力的模型。为了克服使用经典的两菌株竞争模型在社区中再现观察到的ARE动态的困难,研究建议包括宿主内菌株竞争或强大的宿主种群结构等机制。从纵向托架数据推断模型参数的研究主要基于仅考虑ARE应变的模型。他们显示了ARE运输持续时间的差异,具体取决于获取模式:返回旅行者的运输持续时间明显短于出院住院患者或健康个体。有趣的是,关于公共卫生干预措施成功降低ARE发生率的模型预测取决于病原体,设置,和抗生素耐药机制。对于大肠杆菌,在社区中减少人与人之间的传播比在社区中减少抗生素使用具有更强的效果.对于肺炎克雷伯菌,减少医院抗生素使用比减少社区使用更有效.
    结论:本研究提出了数量有限的专门针对ARE在社区传播的建模研究。它强调了模型开发和基于社区的数据收集的必要性,特别是在低收入和中等收入国家,以更好地了解获取途径及其对观察到的ARE水平的相对贡献。这种建模对于正确设计和评估公共卫生干预措施以控制ARE在社区中的传播并进一步减少相关的感染负担至关重要。
    BACKGROUND: Antibiotic-resistant Enterobacterales (ARE) are a public health threat worldwide. Dissemination of these opportunistic pathogens has been largely studied in hospitals. Despite high prevalence of asymptomatic colonization in the community in some regions of the world, less is known about ARE acquisition and spread in this setting. As explaining the community ARE dynamics has not been straightforward, mathematical models can be key to explore underlying phenomena and further evaluate the impact of interventions to curb ARE circulation outside of hospitals.
    METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of mathematical modeling studies focusing on the transmission of AR-E in the community, excluding models only specific to hospitals. We extracted model features (population, setting), formalism (compartmental, individual-based), biological hypotheses (transmission, infection, antibiotic impact, resistant strain specificities) and main findings. We discussed additional mechanisms to be considered, open scientific questions, and most pressing data needs.
    RESULTS: We identified 18 modeling studies focusing on the human transmission of ARE in the community (n=11) or in both community and hospital (n=7). Models aimed at (i) understanding mechanisms driving resistance dynamics; (ii) identifying and quantifying transmission routes; or (iii) evaluating public health interventions to reduce resistance. To overcome the difficulty of reproducing observed ARE dynamics in the community using the classical two-strains competition model, studies proposed to include mechanisms such as within-host strain competition or a strong host population structure. Studies inferring model parameters from longitudinal carriage data were mostly based on models considering the ARE strain only. They showed differences in ARE carriage duration depending on the acquisition mode: returning travelers have a significantly shorter carriage duration than discharged hospitalized patient or healthy individuals. Interestingly, predictions across models regarding the success of public health interventions to reduce ARE rates depended on pathogens, settings, and antibiotic resistance mechanisms. For E. coli, reducing person-to-person transmission in the community had a stronger effect than reducing antibiotic use in the community. For Klebsiella pneumoniae, reducing antibiotic use in hospitals was more efficient than reducing community use.
    CONCLUSIONS: This study raises the limited number of modeling studies specifically addressing the transmission of ARE in the community. It highlights the need for model development and community-based data collection especially in low- and middle-income countries to better understand acquisition routes and their relative contribution to observed ARE levels. Such modeling will be critical to correctly design and evaluate public health interventions to control ARE transmission in the community and further reduce the associated infection burden.
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