背景:机动车碰撞是城市高速公路上死亡和伤害的主要来源。从时间的角度来看,随着时间的推移,确定路段容易碰撞可能会发生剧烈波动,使运输机构难以提出交通干预措施。然而,随着时间的推移,识别和表征具有不同碰撞密度模式的易发生碰撞的路段的研究有限。
方法:本研究提出了一种识别和表征框架,该框架可概述具有各种碰撞密度变化的易发生碰撞的道路。我们首先采用时空网络核密度估计(STNKDE)方法和时间序列聚类来识别具有不同碰撞密度模式的路段。接下来,我们基于时空信息来表征易发生碰撞的路段,后果,车辆类型,以及导致碰撞的因素。所提出的方法适用于纽约市的两年机动车碰撞记录。
结果:确定了具有不同碰撞密度模式的七个路段集群。经常被确定为容易发生碰撞的路段主要位于曼哈顿下城和布朗克斯区中心。此外,随着时间的推移,路段附近的碰撞会导致更多的伤亡,其中许多是由人为因素和车辆因素造成的。
结论:随着时间的推移,具有各种碰撞密度模式的易碰撞路段在时空域和在其上发生的碰撞方面具有明显的差异。
结论:提出的方法可以帮助决策者了解易发生碰撞的路段如何随时间变化,并可以作为更有针对性的交通处理的参考。
BACKGROUND: Motor vehicle collisions are a leading source of mortality and injury on urban highways. From a temporal perspective, the determination of a road segment as being collision-prone over time can fluctuate dramatically, making it difficult for transportation agencies to propose traffic interventions. However, there has been limited research to identify and characterize collision-prone road segments with varying collision density patterns over time.
METHODS: This study proposes an identification and characterization framework that profiles collision-prone roads with various collision density variations. We first employ the spatio-temporal network kernel density estimation (STNKDE) method and time-series clustering to identify road segments with different collision density patterns. Next, we characterize collision-prone road segments based on spatio-temporal information, consequences, vehicle types, and contributing factors to collisions. The proposed method is applied to two-year motor vehicle collision records for New York City.
RESULTS: Seven clusters of road segments with different collision density patterns were identified. Road segments frequently determined as collision-prone were primarily found in Lower Manhattan and the center of the Bronx borough. Furthermore, collisions near road segments that exhibit greater collision densities over time result in more fatalities and injuries, many of which are caused by both human and vehicle factors.
CONCLUSIONS: Collision-prone road segments with various collision density patterns over time have distinct differences in the spatio-temporal domain and the collisions that occur on them.
CONCLUSIONS: The proposed method can help policymakers understand how collision-prone road segments change over time, and can serve as a reference for more targeted traffic treatment.