Joint trajectory

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究旨在检查疼痛的关节轨迹,抑郁和虚弱及其与不良结局的关系。使用了来自中国健康与退休纵向研究(CHARLS2011-2018)的四波国家数据,涉及4217名年龄≥60岁的参与者。使用并行处理潜在类增长分析拟合联合轨迹,并使用改良Poisson回归对其与不良结局的关联进行评估.确定了四个联合轨迹。与最有利的群体相比,其他3个联合轨迹组的功能性残疾和住院风险较高.缓慢进行性疼痛,抑郁和虚弱以及持续的疼痛组合,抑郁和虚弱也与认知能力下降有关,虽然疼痛和抑郁缓慢减轻,但持续虚弱与全因死亡率相关。研究结果突出了疼痛同时变化的独特特征和健康影响,随着时间的推移抑郁和虚弱,涉及对老年人的综合身体和心理护理。
    This study aimed to examine joint trajectories of pain, depression and frailty and their associations with adverse outcomes. Four waves of national data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS 2011-2018) were used, involving 4217 participants aged ≥60 years. Joint trajectories were fit using parallel-process latent class growth analysis, and their associations with adverse outcomes were evaluated using modified Poisson regression. Four joint trajectories were identified. Compared with most favorable group, other three joint trajectory groups had higher risk of functional disability and hospitalization. Slowly progressive pain, depression and frailty and persistent combination of pain, depression and frailty were also associated with cognitive decline, while slowly reduced pain and depression but persistent frailty was associated with all-cause mortality. The findings highlight unique characteristics and health impacts of concurrent changes in pain, depression and frailty over time, implicating the integrated physical and psychological care for older adults.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究旨在检查孤独的联合轨迹,社会隔离和肌肉减少症及其与不良结局的关联。共有4701名年龄≥60岁的参与者进行了基线和至少一次孤独感随访评估,2011年、2013年和2015年中国健康与退休纵向研究中的社会隔离和肌少症浪潮。在2018年浪潮中获得了不利结果。使用并行过程潜在类增长分析拟合联合轨迹,并使用改良Poisson回归对其与不良结局的关联进行评估.社会关系和肌肉减少症的联合轨迹模式没有因肌肉减少症的评估而变化,但确实因社会关系的评估而异。老年人表现出不同的关节轨迹,而孤独或社会孤立和肌肉减少症持续结合的老年人则面临最大的不良后果风险。这些发现暗示了社区居住的老年人的医疗保健和社会护理的整合。
    This study aimed to examine joint trajectories of loneliness, social isolation and sarcopenia and their associations with adverse outcomes. A total of 4701 participants aged ≥60 years who had a baseline and at least one follow-up assessment of loneliness, social isolation and sarcopenia across 2011, 2013 and 2015 waves in China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Adverse outcomes were obtained in 2018 wave. Joint trajectories were fit using the parallel process latent class growth analysis, and their associations with adverse outcomes were evaluated using modified Poisson regression. Joint trajectory patterns for social relationship and sarcopenia did not vary by the assessment for sarcopenia, but did vary by the assessment for social relationship. Older adults exhibit distinct joint trajectories and those with persistent combination of loneliness or social isolation and sarcopenia experience greatest risk of adverse outcomes. These findings implicate integration of health care and social care for community-dwelling older adults.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:我们研究了身体虚弱和社会虚弱的联合轨迹,以及它们与不良结局的关联。
    方法:我们使用来自中国健康与退休纵向研究的五波国家数据进行了前瞻性队列研究(CHARLS2011-2020),涉及4531名年龄≥60岁的参与者。我们使用并行过程潜在类增长分析,在2011年至2015年的三次考试中确定了4年的轨迹。从2015年到2020年,在随后的两次浪潮中获得了不利结果。我们使用Cox比例风险模型计算风险比(HR)。我们还按性别进行了分析。
    结果:确定了三个关节轨迹,包括持续缺乏身体和社会脆弱(58.5%),没有身体虚弱,但社会虚弱(28.1%),身体和社会脆弱的持续结合(13.4%)。与持续缺乏身体和社会脆弱相比,没有身体虚弱,但社会虚弱和持续的身体和社会虚弱与工具性日常生活活动(IADL)残疾(HR=1.182-2.020,95%CI:1.014-2.416)和全因死亡率(HR=1.440-2.486,95%CI:1.211-3.009)的高风险相关.身体和社交虚弱的持续组合也与ADL残疾(HR=2.412,95%CI:1.999-2.911)和跌倒(HR=1.410,95%CI:1.196-1.662)相关。在关节轨迹和不良后果之间的关系中观察到性别差异。
    结论:社区居住的老年人表现出明显的关节轨迹,那些身体和社会虚弱持续结合的老年人经历了最大的不良事件风险。针对身体或社会脆弱的临床和公共卫生措施应同时考虑这两个因素,并具有针对性。
    BACKGROUND: We examined joint trajectories of physical frailty and social frailty as well as their associations with adverse outcomes.
    METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study by using five waves of national data from China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS 2011-2020), involving 4531 participants aged ≥60 years. We identified 4-year trajectories at three examinations from 2011 to 2015 using parallel process latent class growth analysis. Adverse outcomes were obtained from 2015 to 2020 across two subsequent waves. We calculated hazard ratios (HR) using Cox proportional hazard models. We also conducted analyses by gender.
    RESULTS: Three joint trajectories were identified, including persistent absence of physical and social frailty (58.5 %), no physical frailty but social frailty (28.1 %), and persistent combination of physical and social frailty (13.4 %). Compared with persistent absence of physical and social frailty, no physical frailty but social frailty and persistent combination of physical and social frailty were associated with higher risk of instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) disability (HR = 1.182-2.020, 95 % CI: 1.014-2.416) and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.440-2.486, 95 % CI: 1.211-3.009). The persistent combination of physical and social frailty was also associated with ADL disability (HR = 2.412, 95 % CI: 1.999-2.911) and falls (HR = 1.410, 95 % CI: 1.196-1.662). Gender differences were observed in relationships between joint trajectories and adverse outcomes.
    CONCLUSIONS: Community-dwelling older adults exhibit distinct joint trajectories and those with persistent combination of physical and social frailty experience greatest risk of incident adverse outcomes. Clinical and public health measures targeting physical or social frailty should account for both and be gender-specific.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们研究了日本老年人的虚弱和主观认知下降(SCD)轨迹,并评估了各种因素对这些轨迹的影响。我们分析了2013年至2019年1157名70岁及以上非痴呆成年人的数据。使用自我管理的Kihon检查表(KCL)评估虚弱,日本脆弱指数。使用主观记忆投诉量表的问卷评估SCD。通过基于群体的联合轨迹模型,我们发现了三个脆弱轨迹:非渐进(n=775),中度进行性(n=312),和快速渐进(n=70);和三个SCD轨迹:非渐进(n=302),中度进行性(n=625),和快速进步(n=230)。处于快速渐进SCD轨迹中的个体也处于快速渐进脆弱轨迹中的概率为32.2%。相比之下,非渐进性SCD轨迹中的人处于快速渐进性虚弱轨迹中的概率为零.快速进行性衰弱组和SCD组的抑郁症状和步态速度慢的发生率均较高。我们的结果发现,日本老年人的虚弱和SCD具有相似的轨迹。此外,快速进行性衰弱和SCD与抑郁症状和步态速度慢的风险最高相关.因此,针对虚弱和认知能力下降的干预措施应优先考虑心理健康增强和步态速度改善.
    We studied frailty and subjective cognitive decline (SCD) trajectories in older Japanese adults and evaluated the influence of various factors on these trajectories. We analyzed data from 1157 non-demented adults aged 70 and above from 2013 to 2019. Frailty was assessed using the self-administered Kihon Checklist (KCL), a Japanese frailty index. SCD was evaluated using the questionnaire of the Subjective Memory Complaints scale. Through group-based joint trajectory models, we discerned three frailty trajectories: non-progressive (n = 775), moderate progressive (n = 312), and rapid progressive (n = 70); and three SCD trajectories: non-progressive (n = 302), moderate progressive (n = 625), and rapid progressive (n = 230). Individuals in the rapid progressive SCD trajectory had a 32.2% probability of also being in the rapid progressive frailty trajectory. In contrast, those in the non-progressive SCD trajectory had zero probability of being in the rapid progressive frailty trajectory. Both the rapid progressive frailty and SCD groups combined had a higher incidence of depressive symptoms and slow gait speed. Our results have found that frailty and SCD share a similar trajectory in Japanese older adults. Additionally, rapid progressive frailty and SCD were associated with the highest risk of depressive symptoms and slow gait speed. Thus, interventions targeting both frailty and cognitive decline should prioritize mental health enhancement and gait speed improvement.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    讨论了青少年中过度的屏幕时间作为一个重大的公共卫生问题。确定青少年在经常使用的媒体屏幕上花费的时间的纵向模式,并了解他们年轻时的心理健康和行为问题的相关性,可能有助于为改善这些结果提供策略。这项研究旨在描述在电子游戏上花费的时间的联合发展模式,上网/聊天,和青少年时期的电视/DVD(11、13、15、17岁)及其与心理健康的关系(即,抑郁症,焦虑,自杀意念,和自我伤害)和行为问题(即,物质使用,犯罪,攻击性)在成年早期(20岁)。并行过程的潜在阶级增长分析用于对来自苏黎世不同社区确定的青年样本的数据进行建模,瑞士(n=1521;男性占51.7%)。结果表明,五类模型最适合数据:(1)低屏幕使用,37.6%;(2)聊天/冲浪增加,24.0%;(3)中度屏幕使用,18.6%;(4)青春期早期屏幕使用,9.9%;(5)增加电子游戏和聊天/冲浪,9.9%。在调整基线结果水平(主要是在11岁时)后,轨迹组与成年后心理健康和行为问题的关联不同,表明有问题的屏幕使用模式在预测这些结果中的重要性。测试这些关联的方向性的未来研究将很重要。这些发现表明,哪些屏幕使用模式可能是以后不同领域心理健康和行为问题的标志。
    Excessive screen time among adolescents is discussed as a significant public health concern. Identifying adolescent longitudinal patterns of time spent on regularly-used media screens and understanding their young adulthood mental health and behavioral issue correlates may help inform strategies for improving these outcomes. This study aimed to characterize joint developmental patterns of time spent on videogames, surfing/chatting the Internet, and TV/DVDs during adolescence (at ages 11, 13, 15, 17) and their associations with mental health (i.e., depression, anxiety, suicidal ideation, and self-injury) and behavioral issues (i.e., substance use, delinquency, aggression) in early adulthood (at age 20). A parallel-process latent class growth analysis was used to model data from a diverse community-ascertained sample of youth in Zurich, Switzerland (n = 1521; 51.7% males). Results suggested that a five-class model best fitted the data: (1) low-screen use, 37.6%; (2) increasing chatting/surfing, 24.0%; (3) moderate-screen use, 18.6%; (4) early-adolescence screen use, 9.9%; and (5) increasing videogame and chatting/surfing, 9.9%. After adjusting for baseline levels of outcomes (primarily at age 11), the trajectory groups differed in their associations with adulthood outcomes of mental health and behavioral problems, indicating the importance of problematic screen usage patterns in predicting these outcomes. Future research to test the directionality of these associations will be important. These findings suggest which patterns of screen use may be a marker for later mental health and behavioral issues in different domains.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Objectives: Although there is some evidence on the longitudinal associations between bullying perpetration and narcissistic personality traits, their joint developmental trajectories across early to late adolescence are largely unknown. Accordingly, we examined the co-development of bullying perpetration and narcissistic personality traits across adolescence and examined the childhood predictors of these joint trajectories. Method: Self-reports of bullying and narcissistic personality traits were assessed across 6 years of adolescence from Grade 7 (i.e., age 13) to Grade 12 (i.e., age 18) in a sample of 616 Canadian adolescents and childhood predictors were assessed in Grades 5 and 6. Results: As predicted, latent class growth analyses demonstrated that most adolescents were reflected in a trajectory of low decreasing bullying (82.0%) and a smaller group followed a moderate stable trajectory of bullying (18.0%). The majority of adolescents followed a moderate stable trajectory of narcissistic traits (56.3%), followed by a high increasing trajectory of narcissistic traits (22.8%), and a low decreasing trajectory of narcissistic traits (20.9%). Six percent of adolescents followed a high-risk dual trajectory of moderate stable bullying and high increasing narcissistic traits (high-risk group). Also as predicted, higher hyperactivity, higher frustration, and lower anxiety in childhood differentiated the high-risk group from a low-risk group (low decreasing bullying and low decreasing narcissistic traits; 19.0%). Higher childhood hyperactivity also differentiated a group of adolescents who followed a trajectory of moderate stable bullying and moderate stable narcissistic traits (10.0%) from the low-risk group. Results showed that moderate stable bullying was a better indicator of high increasing and moderate stable trajectories of narcissistic personality traits than the reverse. Conclusions: Findings suggest adolescence is a time when personality and bullying reflect dynamic and heterogeneous development. Early intervention of childhood risk factors may help prevent a high-risk developmental course of bullying and narcissistic personality traits across adolescence.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    评估认知和虚弱的联合轨迹及其与患者报告结果的累积负担的关联。包括住院,养老院入院,和残疾。
    对754名70岁以上的社区居民进行纵向研究。
    690名参与者在1998年至2009年间对认知和虚弱进行了基线和至少一次随访评估。
    使用迷你精神状态检查(MMSE)评估认知。虚弱由Fried表型的5个标准定义:肌肉无力,疲惫,低体力活动,萎缩,缓慢的行走速度。以群体为基础,混合建模方法用于拟合认知和脆弱的联合轨迹。住院的累积负担,养老院入院,使用一系列广义估计方程Poisson模型评估了与关节轨迹相关的141个月的残疾。
    确定了四个关节轨迹,包括无认知弱点(27.8%),缓慢的认知衰退和进行性虚弱(45.5%),快速认知下降和进行性虚弱(20.2%),和认知脆弱(6.5%)。对于每个关节轨迹组,所有患者报告结局的间隔特定发生率密度率随着时间的推移而增加,除了住院外,仅在认知功能缓慢下降和进行性虚弱组出现明显的增加趋势。在所有患者报告的结果中,无认知虚弱组的累积负担最低[例如,养老院入院,7.5/1000人-月,95%置信区间(CI):4.8-11.7],而认知虚弱组的累积负担最高(例如,养老院入院,381.1/1000人-月,95%CI:294.5-493.1),除了住院。与无认知虚弱组相比,其他3个联合轨迹组的患者报告结局负担均显著更大.
    社区生活的老年人表现出明显的认知和虚弱的联合轨迹,并随着年龄的增长经历越来越多的养老院入住和残疾负担,对那些处于认知脆弱轨道上的人来说负担最大。
    To evaluate joint trajectories of cognition and frailty and their association with the cumulative burden of patient-reported outcomes, including hospitalization, nursing home admission, and disability.
    Longitudinal study of 754 community-living persons aged 70 or older.
    690 participants who had a baseline and at least one follow-up assessment of cognition and frailty between 1998 and 2009.
    Cognition was assessed using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE). Frailty was defined by the 5 criteria for the Fried phenotype: muscle weakness, exhaustion, low physical activity, shrinking, and slow walking speed. A group-based, mixture modeling approach was used to fit the joint trajectories of cognition and frailty. The cumulative burden of hospitalization, nursing home admission, and disability over 141 months associated with the joint trajectories was evaluated using a series of generalized estimating equation Poisson models.
    Four joint trajectories were identified, including No cognitive frailty (27.8%), Slow cognitive decline and progressive frailty (45.5%), Rapid cognitive decline and progressive frailty (20.2%), and Cognitive frailty (6.5%). For each joint trajectory group, the interval-specific incidence density rates of all patient-reported outcomes tended to increase over time, with the exception of hospitalization for which the increasing trend was apparent only for the Slow cognitive decline and progressive frailty group. The No cognitive frailty group had the lowest cumulative burden of all patient-reported outcomes [eg, nursing home admissions, 7.5/1000 person-months, 95% confidence interval (CI): 4.8-11.7], whereas the Cognitive frailty group had the highest cumulative burden (eg, nursing home admissions, 381.1/1000 person-months, 95% CI: 294.5-493.1), with the exception of hospitalization. Compared with the No cognitive frailty group, the 3 other joint trajectory groups all had significantly greater burden of the patient-reported outcomes.
    Community-living older persons exhibit distinct joint trajectories of cognition and frailty and experience an increasing burden of nursing home admission and disability as they age, with the greatest burden for those on a cognitive frailty trajectory.
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