Geographic Information System

地理信息系统
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    大豆是应对全球粮食不安全的重要作物,在世界各地具有重要的经济意义。除了旨在提高产量的基因改良,大豆种子成分也发生了变化。由于作物生长和发育过程中的条件会影响大豆种子中的养分积累,遥感提供了一个独特的机会来估计站作物的种子性状。捕获影响种子组成的物候发展需要以更高的空间和光谱分辨率进行频繁的卫星观测。这项研究介绍了一种新颖的光谱融合技术,称为基于多头核的光谱融合(MKSF),该技术结合了PlanetScope(PS)的较高空间分辨率和Sentinel2(S2)卫星的光谱带。该研究还着重于使用额外的光谱带和不同的统计机器学习模型来估计种子性状,例如,蛋白质,油,蔗糖,淀粉,灰,纤维,和产量。使用来自不同生长阶段的PS和S2图像对训练MKSF,并预测潜在的VNIR1(705nm),VNIR2(740nm),VNIR3(783nm),SWIR1(1610nm),和来自PS图像的SWIR2(2190nm)带。我们的结果表明,VNIR3预测性能最高,其次是VNIR2,VNIR1,SWIR1和SWIR2。在种子性状中,蔗糖在RFR模型中具有最高的预测性能。最后,特征重要性分析揭示了融合图像中MKSF生成的植被指数的重要性。
    Soybean is an essential crop to fight global food insecurity and is of great economic importance around the world. Along with genetic improvements aimed at boosting yield, soybean seed composition also changed. Since conditions during crop growth and development influences nutrient accumulation in soybean seeds, remote sensing offers a unique opportunity to estimate seed traits from the standing crops. Capturing phenological developments that influence seed composition requires frequent satellite observations at higher spatial and spectral resolutions. This study introduces a novel spectral fusion technique called multiheaded kernel-based spectral fusion (MKSF) that combines the higher spatial resolution of PlanetScope (PS) and spectral bands from Sentinel 2 (S2) satellites. The study also focuses on using the additional spectral bands and different statistical machine learning models to estimate seed traits, e.g., protein, oil, sucrose, starch, ash, fiber, and yield. The MKSF was trained using PS and S2 image pairs from different growth stages and predicted the potential VNIR1 (705 nm), VNIR2 (740 nm), VNIR3 (783 nm), SWIR1 (1610 nm), and SWIR2 (2190 nm) bands from the PS images. Our results indicate that VNIR3 prediction performance was the highest followed by VNIR2, VNIR1, SWIR1, and SWIR2. Among the seed traits, sucrose yielded the highest predictive performance with RFR model. Finally, the feature importance analysis revealed the importance of MKSF-generated vegetation indices from fused images.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:人口的减少可能会影响医疗保健服务和系统,特别是在人口减少的医疗服务不足地区(MUA)。这项研究旨在模拟日本MUA的未来人口和土地面积。
    方法:这项研究涵盖了380,9481km网格,87,942个诊所,截至2020年,日本各地有8354家医院。医疗机构半径4公里以外的区域被认为是MUA,根据现行《日本医疗法》中的地区衡量标准。根据1公里网格的人口估计,使用地理信息系统分析,从2020年到2050年,每10年预测MUA的网格数量。如果距医疗机构4公里半径内的人口降至1000以下,则该机构在操作上被假定为关闭。
    结果:MUA的数量预计将从2020年的964,310(占日本总人口的0.77%)减少到2050年的763,410(0.75%)。到2050年,预计有48,105个网格(占日本总网格的13%)是新的MUA,表明从2020年到2050年,MUA增加了31%。到2050年,初步估计有1601家医疗机构在附近。
    结论:在日本,MUA的人口将会减少,而MUAs的土地面积将会增加。这些变化可能会改革农村医疗政策和制度。
    BACKGROUND: A decrease in populations could affect healthcare access and systems, particularly in medically underserved areas (MUAs) where depopulation is becoming more prevalent. This study aimed to simulate the future population and land areas of MUAs in Japan.
    METHODS: This study covered 380,948 1 km meshes, 87,942 clinics, and 8354 hospitals throughout Japan as of 2020. The areas outside a 4 km radius of medical institutions were considered as MUAs, based on the measure of areas in the current Japanese Medical Care Act. Based on the population estimate for a 1 km mesh, the population of mesh numbers of MUAs was predicted for every 10 years from 2020 to 2050 using geographic information system analysis. If the population within a 4 km radius from a medical institution fell below 1000, the institution was operationally assumed to be closed.
    RESULTS: The number of MUAs was predicted to decrease from 964,310 (0.77% of the total Japanese population) in 2020 to 763,410 (0.75%) by 2050. By 2050, 48,105 meshes (13% of the total meshes in Japan) were predicted to be new MUAs, indicating a 31% increase in MUAs from 2020 to 2050. By 2050, 1601 medical institutions were tentatively estimated to be in close proximity.
    CONCLUSIONS: In Japan, the population of MUAs will decrease, while the land area of MUAs will increase. Such changes may reform rural healthcare policy and systems.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    分析贝尔山社会生态系统生物多样性热点地区的土地利用和土地覆盖(LULC)变化及其驱动因素和影响,对于制定合理的政策和战略以促进可持续发展至关重要。该研究旨在分析LULC的时空变化及其趋势,范围,驱动器,以及过去48年对贝尔山社会生态系统的影响。使用了1973年,1986年,1996年,2014年和2021年的Landsat图像数据以及定性数据。LULC分类方案采用监督分类方法,并应用最大似然算法技术。在1973年至2021年期间,农业,裸露的土地,沉降面积增长153.13%,295.57%,和49.03%,相应的年增长率为1.93%,2.86%,和0.83%,分别。相反,森林,林地,灌木丛,草地,水体减少29.97%,1.36%,28.16%,8.63%,研究期间为84.36%,分别。在此期间,还观察到了主要的LULC变化动态;大部分林地被转换为农业(757.8km2)和草地(531.3km2);森林被转换为其他LULC类别,即林地(766.5平方公里),农业(706.1平方公里),草地(34.6km2),灌木丛(31.9平方公里),沉降(20.5km2),和裸露土地(14.3km2)。LULC的变化是由农业扩张引起的,结算,过度放牧,基础设施建设,以及由人口增长和气候变化驱动的火灾,并辅之以不充分的政策和体制因素。研究区域土地使用和土地覆盖的社会和环境重要性以及价值需要进一步评估研究区域的潜在自然资源使用者群体和生态系统服务评估。因此,我们建议识别潜在的基于自然资源的用户群体,并评估了LULC变化对贝尔山脉生态区(BMER)的生态系统服务的影响,以实现土地资源的可持续利用和管理。
    Analysis of land use and land cover (LULC) change and its drivers and impacts in the biodiversity hotspot of Bale Mountain\'s socio-ecological system is crucial for formulating plausible policies and strategies that can enhance sustainable development. The study aimed to analyze spatio-temporal LULC changes and their trends, extents, drives, and impacts over the last 48 years in the Bale Mountain social-ecological system. Landsat imagery data from the years 1973, 1986, 1996, 2014, and 2021 together with qualitative data were used. LULC classification scheme employed a supervised classification method with the application of the maximum likelihood algorithm technique. In the period between 1973 and 2021, agriculture, bare land, and settlement showed areal increment by 153.13%, 295.57%, and 49.03% with the corresponding increased annual rate of 1.93%, 2.86%, and 0.83%, respectively. On the contrary, forest, wood land, bushland, grass land, and water body decreased by 29.97%, 1.36%, 28.16%, 8.63%, and 84.36% during the study period, respectively. During the period, major LULC change dynamics were also observed; the majority of woodland was converted to agriculture (757.8 km2) and grassland (531.3 km2); and forests were converted to other LULC classes, namely woodland (766.5 km2), agriculture (706.1 km2), grassland (34.6 km2), bushland (31.9 km2), settlement (20.5 km2), and bare land (14.3 km2). LULC changes were caused by the expansion of agriculture, settlement, overgrazing, infrastructure development, and fire that were driven by population growth and climate change, and supplemented by inadequate policy and institutional factors. Social and environmental importance and values of land uses and land covers in the study area necessitate further assessment of potential natural resources\' user groups and valuation of ecosystem services in the study area. Hence, we suggest the identification of potential natural resource-based user groups, and assessment of the influence of LULC changes on ecosystem services in Bale Mountains Eco Region (BMER) for the sustainable use and managements of land resources.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    China has complex natural conditions and is rich in biodiversity. Based on the geographical distribution and species composition of terrestrial mammals, we explored the characteristics and geographic partitioning of mammal populations in different regions of China. We used a clustering algorithm, combined with the spatial distribution data and taxonomic characteristics of mammals, to geographically partition the terrestrial mammals in China. We found 10 zoogeographic regions of terrestrial mammals in China: Northeast region, North China region, Eastern grassland region, Western region, Northwest region, Qiangtang plateau region, Eastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau region, Himalayan region, South China region, and Taiwan-Hainan region. We found a new geographical zoning pattern for terrestrial mammals in China, examined the variability and characteristics of species composition among different regions, and quantified the association between species distribution and environmental factors. We proposed a method of incorporating taxonomic information into cluster analysis, which provided a new idea for zoogeographic region studies, a new perspective for understanding species diversity, and a scientific basis for animal conservation and habitat planning.
    中国自然条件复杂,生物多样性丰富。本研究基于中国陆栖哺乳动物的地理分布与物种构成特征,探讨中国不同地区哺乳动物种群的特点和地理分区;采用聚类算法,结合哺乳动物的空间分布数据和分类学特征,对中国陆栖哺乳动物进行地理分区。结果表明: 中国陆栖哺乳动物可分为东北区域、华北区域、东部草原区域、西部区域、西北区域、羌塘高原区域、青藏东部区域、喜马拉雅区域、华南区域、台湾-海南区域共10个动物地理区。研究结果揭示了中国陆栖哺乳动物的新地理分区模式,展现了不同区域间物种组成的差异性和特点,揭示了物种分布与环境因素之间的关联。本研究提出将分类信息纳入聚类分析的方法,为动物地理区域研究提供了新思路,为理解物种多样性提供了新视角,并为动物保护和栖息地规划提供了科学依据。.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    引言洪水不仅直接损坏医疗设施,而且阻碍人们使用医疗设施,可能会破坏当地的医疗服务。日本的医疗设施遭受洪水的破坏程度尚不清楚。在这项研究中,我们根据设施特点评估了洪水对日本医疗设施的潜在影响.方法我们进行了一项横断面研究,涉及在日本医学协会区域医疗信息系统中注册的医疗设施。淹没区的地理数据是从日本政府的公开数据中获得的。与洪水淹没地区重叠的设施被指定为受影响设施。主要结果是受损设施和床位的百分比。我们使用Wald方法计算了比值比(OR)和95%置信区间(95CI),以评估灾难基地医院指定对损害程度的影响。结果我们包括140,826个普通诊所和8,126个医院,其中有137,731张和1,483,347张床位,分别。估计计划中的洪水规模将影响8.0%的普通诊所和10.8%的床位。对于医院来说,这些数字分别为8.8%和7.8%,分别。估计洪水的最大潜在规模将影响23.6%的普通诊所和23.9%的床位。对于医院来说,这些数字分别为22.5%和20.6%,分别。在计划的洪水规模下,灾害基层医院和非灾害基层医院的设施受损率没有差异,非灾害基层医院的病床损毁率较低(受损设施的OR=0.92,95CI=0.71-1.18,受损病床的OR=0.79,95CI=0.78-0.80)。在洪水的最大潜在规模下,灾难基层医院和非灾难基层医院之间的预期损害没有差异(受损设施的OR=1.14,95CI=0.95-1.38,受损病床的OR=0.99,95CI=0.98-1.00).结论在日本,洪水会阻碍全国范围内的医疗功能,特别是在某些地区。医疗保健专业人员应提前评估潜在的洪水破坏,并确保其工作场所的业务连续性计划包括适当的对策。
    Introduction Floods not only directly damage medical facilities but also hinder access to medical facilities, potentially disrupting local medical services. The scale of damage that medical facilities suffer from floods in Japan is unknown. In this study, we assessed the potential impact of floods on Japanese healthcare facilities by facility characteristics. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional study involving medical facilities registered in the Japan Medical Association Regional Medical Information System. Geographic data for the inundation area was obtained from open data of the Japanese government. Facilities that overlap with flooded areas were designated as affected facilities. The primary outcomes were the percentage of damaged facilities and beds. We calculated odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) using the Wald method to assess the impact of disaster base hospital designation on damage extent. Results We included 140,826 general clinics and 8,126 hospitals, which had 137,731 and 1,483,347 beds, respectively. The planned scale of flooding is estimated to affect 8.0% of general clinics and 10.8% of their beds. For hospitals, these figures were 8.8% and 7.8%, respectively. The maximum potential scale of flooding is estimated to affect 23.6% of general clinics and 23.9% of their beds. For hospitals, these figures were 22.5% and 20.6%, respectively. At the planned scale of flooding, there was no difference found in the rate of damaged facilities between disaster base hospitals and non-disaster base hospitals, and the rate of damaged beds was lower at non-disaster base hospitals (OR = 0.92, 95%CI = 0.71-1.18 for damaged facilities and OR = 0.79, 95%CI = 0.78-0.80 for damaged beds). At the maximum potential scale of flooding, there was no difference found in the expected damage between disaster base hospitals and non-disaster base hospitals (OR = 1.14, 95%CI = 0.95-1.38 for damaged facilities and OR = 0.99, 95%CI = 0.98-1.00 for damaged beds). Conclusion In Japan, floods can hinder nationwide medical functions, particularly in certain regions. Healthcare professionals should assess potential flood damage in advance and ensure that their workplace\'s business continuity plan includes appropriate countermeasures.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    各种因素,例如事件位置和响应时间,影响院外心脏骤停(OHCA)的结局。很少有研究探索在专业BLS提供者的健康诊所或疗养院为OHCA患者提供基本生命支持(BLS)。因此,在这项研究中,我们比较了健康诊所之间的预后和生存结果,疗养院,和其他公共场所(例如,工作场所和体育设施/休闲区),为优化OHCA成果提供见解。
    这项研究包括2017年1月至2022年12月在桃园市患有非创伤性OHCA的成年人。
    我们收集了有关患者特征的数据,紧急医疗服务参数,现场患者管理,自动体外除颤器(AED)位置,OHCA预后,和生存结果。进行多因素分析以预测出院时的生存率(主要结果)和出院时的神经系统结果(次要结果)。
    在研究期间,诊所的OHCA事件的数量,疗养院,和其他公共场所分别为158、208和1986年。健康医疗诊所中OHCA的平均年龄,养老院和其他公共场所分别为63.4、81.5和64.7(P值<0.001)。见证事件的比例,旁观者复苏率,AED使用频率最高的是卫生诊所(53.2%(84/158),83.4%(132/158),和13.3%(21/158),分别,P值<0.001)。卫生诊所的平均AED场景距离和响应时间最低(388.8m和5.4min,分别)。在最初的可电击节律组中,出院时生存至出院的概率在健康诊所中最高(aOR=1.41,95%CI=1.04~1.81,P值=0.041),在疗养院中最低(aOR=0.84,95%CI=0.76~0.93,P值=0.024).
    我们的研究表明,与其他公共场所相比,医疗诊所的OHCA患者的目击率和旁观者CPR和AED使用率更高。然而,虽然在健康诊所,具有可电击节律的患者的生存率略高,神经学结果没有显著差异.AED-场景距离太远而无法有效使用。
    UNASSIGNED: Various factors, such as event location and response time, influence the outcomes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Very few studies have explored the delivery of basic life support (BLS) to patients having OHCA at health clinics or nursing homes-settings with professional BLS providers. Thus, in this study, we compared prognostic and survival outcomes between health clinics, nursing homes, and other public places (eg, workplaces and sports facilities/recreational areas) to offer insights for optimizing OHCA outcomes.
    UNASSIGNED: This study included adults who had nontraumatic OHCA in Taoyuan City between January 2017 and December 2022.
    UNASSIGNED: We collected data on patient characteristics, emergency medical service parameters, onsite patient management, automated external defibrillator (AED) locations, OHCA prognosis, and survival outcomes. Multivariate analyses were performed to predict survival to discharge (primary outcome) and neurological outcomes at discharge (secondary outcome).
    UNASSIGNED: During the study period, the numbers of OHCA events at health clinics, nursing homes, and other public places were 158, 208, and 1986, respectively. The mean age of OHCA in health medical clinics, nursing home and other public places were 63.4, 81.5 and 64.7, respectively (P value<0.001). The proportion of witnessed events, rate of bystander resuscitation, and frequency of AED utilization were the highest for health clinics (53.2% (84/158), 83.4% (132/158), and 13.3% (21/158), respectively, P value<0.001). The average AED-scene distances and response times were the lowest for health clinics (388.8 m and 5.4 min, respectively). In initial shockable rhythm group, the probabilities of survival to discharge at discharge were the highest for health clinics (aOR=1.41, 95% CI=1.04-1.81, P value=0.041)) and lowest for nursing homes (aOR=0.84, 95% CI=0.76-0.93, P value=0.024).
    UNASSIGNED: Our research shows that OHCA patients at medical health clinics have higher rates of witnessing and bystander CPR and AED usage than other public places. However, while survival rates for patients with shockable rhythms are slightly better at health clinics, the neurological outcomes are not significantly different. The AED-scene distances are too far to be used effectively.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了实现全球建筑和建筑业2050年的脱碳目标,需要更多地关注减少建筑和拆除的碳排放。然而,目前对这些活动的国家碳核算研究在空间粒度和局部适用性方面仍然有限。本研究通过整合基于地理信息系统的建筑存量模型,开发了一个自下而上的日本建筑和拆除碳排放时空数据库,统计数据,和调查信息。关注市政级排放,使用对数平均除法指数方法分解时空变异并确定影响因素.结果表明,2005年至2020年间,日本建筑和拆除活动的碳排放量下降了50%以上,这主要是由于新增/拆除与库存的比率下降。建议向以股票为基础的社会过渡。中心城市对碳密集型建筑的依赖对其建筑排放的空间变化做出了积极贡献。强调可持续材料和木材设计的重要性。县之间在拆除排放强度方面的差异凸显了在关键地区战略部署回收设施以遏制与运输有关的排放。总的来说,这些发现为地方政府制定量身定制的建筑和拆除排放管理政策提供了数据参考。
    To meet the 2050 decarbonization target of the global buildings and construction sector, more attention is needed to reduce carbon emissions from construction and demolition. However, current national carbon accounting studies for these activities remain limited in spatial granularity and localized applicability. This study developed a bottom-up spatiotemporal database of carbon emissions from building construction and demolition in Japan via integrating a geographic information system-based building stock model, statistical data, and survey information. Focusing on municipal-level emissions, the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index approach was used to decompose spatiotemporal variations and identify the contributing factors. Results indicate that carbon emissions from Japan\'s construction and demolition activities fell by more than 50% between 2005 and 2020, largely due to declining new/demolished-to-stock ratio, suggesting a transition to a stock-based society. Central cities\' reliance on carbon-intensive buildings positively contributed to spatial variations in their construction emissions, underscoring the importance of sustainable materials and timber designs. Differences between prefectures in demolition emission intensity highlighted the strategic placement of recycling facilities in key regions to curb transportation-related emissions. Overall, these findings provided data reference for local governments to devise tailored policies for managing construction and demolition emissions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    地理空间数据的应用通常允许追踪参与非法活动的人。2021年6月,我们估计了COVID-19在首尔护送卡拉OK酒吧网络中传播的真实程度,大韩民国,使用基于地理信息系统(GIS)的接触者追踪应用于我们的流行病学调查。我们的联合快速反应小组,由流行病调查官员和警察组成,在研究期间(2021年6月至7月),从首尔的5,692例确诊病例中确定了19例纸质追踪病例和158例GIS追踪病例。我们的研究结果表明,与执法机构的合作以及在疫情调查中使用覆盖的卫星图像可以提高高度警惕,并降低在此过程中可能侵犯人权的风险。
    The application of geospatial data often allows the tracing of people who are involved in activities of an illegal nature. In June 2021, we estimated the true magnitude of the spread of COVID-19 within the networks of escort-karaoke bars in Seoul, Republic of Korea, using geographic information system (GIS)-based contact tracing that was applied to our epidemiological investigation. Our joint rapid response team, composed of epidemic investigation officers and police personnel, identified 19 paper-traced cases and 158 GIS-traced cases from 5,692 confirmed cases in Seoul during the study period (June to July 2021). Our findings suggest that collaboration with law enforcement agencies and the use of overlaid satellite imagery in outbreak investigations enhances high vigilance and reduces the risk of potential breaches of human rights in the process.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    鉴于当代能源和环境目标,能源系统的关键转变,包括生物质能,势在必行。生物质能源设施布局规划中的一个显著挑战是高效生产和相关投资成本之间的权衡。为了协调能源效率与经济可行性,同时建设集中式和分散式生物质能源设施的混合布局已成为至关重要的战略解决方案。然而,这两种布局的划分方法缺乏明确的数据支持。本研究建立了适合选择分布式布局的人口密度阈值(PDT),并采用人口密度作为划分两个布局的标准。以阜新市为例,混合布局规划方案是在不同的PDT下生成的,并为这些方案开发了成本和能源效益分析框架。结果表明,PDT为145人/km2的方案具有最高的能源和经济综合效益。与单一布局相比,本研究中提出的规划策略可以实现几乎相同的能源盈余水平,同时节省投资成本从2.039亿人民币到2,5000.23万人民币不等。调查结果适用于其他有类似情况的地区,本研究提出的分析框架可用于制定其他国家和地区的生物质开发战略。
    In light of contemporary energy and environmental objectives, a pivotal transformation of the energy system, encompassing biomass energy, is imperative. A notable challenge in biomass energy facility layout planning is the trade-off between high-efficiency production and the associated investment costs. To harmonize energy efficiency with economy viability, a hybrid layout with the simultaneous construction of centralized and decentralized biomass energy facilities has emerged as a crucial strategic solution. However, the delineation methods for these two layouts lack explicit data support. This study established a population density threshold (PDT) suitable for selecting the distributed layout and employed population density as the criterion for delineating the two layouts. Taking Fuxin City as an example, hybrid layout planning schemes were generated under different PDTs, and a cost and energy benefit analysis framework was developed for these schemes. The results indicated that the scheme with a PDT of 145 person/km2 exhibited the highest energy and economic comprehensive benefits. Compared to a single layout, the planning strategy proposed in this study could achieve nearly the same energy surplus level while saving an investment cost ranging from 2403.9 million CNY to 25,000.23 million CNY. The findings are applicable to other regions with similar conditions, and the analysis framework proposed in this study can be utilized in formulating biomass development strategies for other countries and regions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:本研究旨在调查东部老年人肝病合并症的危险因素,中央,和中国西部,探索二进制,健康生态模型中肝病的三元和四元共病共因果模式。
    方法:使用中国健康与退休纵向研究(CHARLS)的数据分析了9,763名老年人的基本信息。LASSO回归用于确定东部地区的重要预测因子,中央,和中国西部。使用关联规则研究了肝病合并症的模式,并使用地理信息系统分析了空间分布。此外,二进制,三元,和四元网络图被构建来说明肝脏疾病合并症和共同原因之间的关系。
    结果:在9,763名老年人中,536人被发现患有肝病合并症,二元或三元合并症是最普遍的。肝病合并症患病率较高的省份主要集中在内蒙古,四川,和河南。确定的最常见的合并症模式是“肝-心-代谢”,“肝肾”,“肝肺”,和“肝-胃-关节炎”。在东部地区,重要的组合模式包括“肝病-代谢性疾病”,“肝病-胃病”,和“肝病-关节炎”,主要影响因素为睡眠时间小于6h,经常喝酒,女性,和日常活动能力。在中部地区,常见的组合模式包括“肝病-心脏病”,“肝病-代谢性疾病”,和“肝病-肾病”,主要影响因素是小学以下的教育水平,婚姻,有医疗保险,锻炼,没有残疾。在西部地区,主要共病模式是“肝病-慢性肺病”,“肝病-胃病”,“肝病-心脏病”,和“肝病-关节炎”,主要影响因素是健康满意度一般或较差,一般或健康状况不佳,剧烈疼痛,没有残疾。
    结论:与肝病相关的合并症在整体和局部水平上都表现出特定的聚类模式。通过分析不同地区肝病的共病模式,建立共病共病因果模式,本研究为肝病的防治提供了新的视角和科学依据。
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for liver disease comorbidity among older adults in eastern, central, and western China, and explored binary, ternary and quaternary co-morbid co-causal patterns of liver disease within a health ecological model.
    METHODS: Basic information from 9,763 older adults was analyzed using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). LASSO regression was employed to identify significant predictors in eastern, central, and western China. Patterns of liver disease comorbidity were studied using association rules, and spatial distribution was analyzed using a geographic information system. Furthermore, binary, ternary, and quaternary network diagrams were constructed to illustrate the relationships between liver disease comorbidity and co-causes.
    RESULTS: Among the 9,763 elderly adults studied, 536 were found to have liver disease comorbidity, with binary or ternary comorbidity being the most prevalent. Provinces with a high prevalence of liver disease comorbidity were primarily concentrated in Inner Mongolia, Sichuan, and Henan. The most common comorbidity patterns identified were \"liver-heart-metabolic\", \"liver-kidney\", \"liver-lung\", and \"liver-stomach-arthritic\". In the eastern region, important combination patterns included \"liver disease-metabolic disease\", \"liver disease-stomach disease\", and \"liver disease-arthritis\", with the main influencing factors being sleep duration of less than 6 h, frequent drinking, female, and daily activity capability. In the central region, common combination patterns included \"liver disease-heart disease\", \"liver disease-metabolic disease\", and \"liver disease-kidney disease\", with the main influencing factors being an education level of primary school or below, marriage, having medical insurance, exercise, and no disabilities. In the western region, the main comorbidity patterns were \"liver disease-chronic lung disease\", \"liver disease-stomach disease\", \"liver disease-heart disease\", and \"liver disease-arthritis\", with the main influencing factors being general or poor health satisfaction, general or poor health condition, severe pain, and no disabilities.
    CONCLUSIONS: The comorbidities associated with liver disease exhibit specific clustering patterns at both the overall and local levels. By analyzing the comorbidity patterns of liver diseases in different regions and establishing co-morbid co-causal patterns, this study offers a new perspective and scientific basis for the prevention and treatment of liver diseases.
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