Forestation

造林
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在过去的几十年中,中国实施了连续造林,并经历了显着的绿化趋势。虽然生态工程为区域碳同化带来了好处,它还通过生物排放和干沉降的扰动影响地表臭氧(O3)污染水平。这里,我们使用化学-植被耦合模型来评估2000-2019年中国土地利用和土地覆盖变化(LULCC)对夏季地表O3的影响。在已经污染的地区,LULCC可将O3增强1-2ppbv。相比之下,预计在最大的森林覆盖率变化所在的中国南部,将适度减少-0.4至-0.8ppbv。这种不一致归因于背景化学机制,在VOC受限区域中O3呈正变化,而在NOx受限区域中呈负变化。LULCC对中国O3预算的净贡献为24.17Kg/s,其中,更多异戊二烯排放的积极贡献几乎是干沉降增加的负面影响的三倍。尽管LULCC引起的O3扰动远低于人为排放的影响,森林扩张加剧了华北平原的区域O3污染,预计未来将在持续造林的情况下进一步增强地表O3。
    China implemented continuous forestation and experienced significant greening tendency in the past several decades. While the ecological project brings benefits to regional carbon assimilation, it also affects surface ozone (O3) pollution level through perturbations in biogenic emissions and dry deposition. Here, we use a coupled chemistry-vegetation model to assess the impacts of land use and land cover change (LULCC) on summertime surface O3 in China during 2000-2019. The LULCC is found to enhance O3 by 1-2 ppbv in already-polluted areas. In contrast, moderate reductions of -0.4 to -0.8 ppbv are predicted in southern China where the largest forest cover changes locate. Such inconsistency is attributed to the background chemical regimes with positive O3 changes over VOC-limited regions but negative changes in NOx-limited regions. The net contribution of LULCC to O3 budget in China is 24.17 Kg/s, in which the positive contribution by more isoprene emissions almost triples the negative effects by the increased dry deposition. Although the LULCC-induced O3 perturbation is much lower than the effects of anthropogenic emissions, forest expansion has exacerbated regional O3 pollution in North China Plain and is expected to further enhance surface O3 with continuous forestation in the future.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    中国陆地生态系统每年减少21%-45%的当代国家化石燃料二氧化碳排放量。保持和强化陆地碳汇对于实现中国碳中和目标至关重要。然而,由于气候变化的共同影响,这个汇面临很大的不确定性,空气污染,和人类活动。这里,我们探索了通过人为干预加强中国土地碳汇的潜力,包括造林,减少臭氧,和垃圾清除,利用经过充分验证的动态植被模型和16个气候模型的气象强迫。如果没有人为干预,考虑共享社会经济途径(SSP)方案,到2060年,土地汇预计为0.26-0.56PgCa-1,其中气候变化贡献0.06-0.13PgCa-1,CO2施肥贡献0.08-0.44PgCa-1,对更高的排放情景具有更强的影响。通过人为干预,在接近中性的排放情景(SS1-2.6)下,到2060年,土地汇为0.47-0.57PgCa-1,包括保守造林对0.12PgCa-1的贡献,0.07PgCa-1通过臭氧污染控制,和0.06-0.16PgCa-1,在人工林上去除20%的凋落物。该碳汇可以在2060年减少90%-110%的人为碳排放,为中国的碳中和提供了坚实的基础。
    The terrestrial ecosystem in China mitigates 21%-45% of the national contemporary fossil fuel CO2 emissions every year. Maintaining and strengthening the land carbon sink is essential for reaching China\'s target of carbon neutrality. However, this sink is subject to large uncertainties due to the joint impacts of climate change, air pollution, and human activities. Here, we explore the potential of strengthening land carbon sink in China through anthropogenic interventions, including forestation, ozone reduction, and litter removal, taking advantage of a well-validated dynamic vegetation model and meteorological forcings from 16 climate models. Without anthropogenic interventions, considering Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios, the land sink is projected to be 0.26-0.56 Pg C a-1 at 2060, to which climate change contributes 0.06-0.13 Pg C a-1 and CO2 fertilization contributes 0.08-0.44 Pg C a-1 with the stronger effects for higher emission scenarios. With anthropogenic interventions, under a close-to-neutral emission scenario (SSP1-2.6), the land sink becomes 0.47-0.57 Pg C a-1 at 2060, including the contributions of 0.12 Pg C a-1 by conservative forestation, 0.07 Pg C a-1 by ozone pollution control, and 0.06-0.16 Pg C a-1 by 20% litter removal over planted forest. This sink can mitigate 90%-110% of the residue anthropogenic carbon emissions in 2060, providing a solid foundation for the carbon neutrality in China.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    信通技术和使用互联网被认为对实现可持续发展目标至关重要。所以,这项研究探讨了全球数字鸿沟的影响,贸易开放,可再生能源消费,42个高收入国家(HIC)和高中等收入国家(HMICs)的温室气体(GHG)排放和造林,低收入国家(LIC),从1990年到2018年,非洲的中低收入国家(LMICs)。TheDumitrescu-Hurlin因果关系结果证实了从温室气体排放到全球数字鸿沟(HIC和HMIC)的单向因果关系,全球数字鸿沟与温室气体排放(LIC),和温室气体排放到贸易开放(LICs和LMICs)。此外,自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型的长期结果表明,由于所有三个面板中全球数字鸿沟的增加,GHG的增加。Further,ARDL结果显示,由于LIC和LMIC贸易开放程度的提高,温室气体排放量减少,可再生能源消费,和森林在所有三个小组。因此,遇到互联网使用造成的污染,政府应通过公共和私人投资智能和现代环保技术启动环保项目,并减少对这些项目的税收和关税。此外,非洲国家政府应通过印刷和电子媒体提高公众意识,以提高造林面积。
    ICTs and access to Internet use are considered vital for the achievement of sustainable development goals. So, this study explored the effect of the global digital divide, trade openness, renewable energy consumption, and forestation on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in 42 high-income countries (HICs) and high-middle-income (HMICs), low-income countries (LICs), and low-middle-income countries (LMICs) of Africa from 1990 to 2018. TheDumitrescu-Hurlin causality results confirmed a unidirectional causality from GHG emissions to the global digital divide (HICs and HMICs), global digital divide to GHG emissions (LICs), and GHG emission to trade openness (LICs and LMICs). Moreover, the long-run results of the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model showed an increase in GHG due to an increase in the global digital divide in all three panels. Further, ARDL results showed reduced GHG emissions due to increased trade openness in LIC and LMICs, renewable energy consumption, and forestation in all three panels. Thus, to encounter pollution from Internet use, the government should start environment-friendly projects through public and private investment in smart and modern environment-friendly technology and reduce the taxes and tariffs on them. Moreover, the governments of African countries should create public awareness through print and electronic media for raising the forestation area.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    造林对于隔离大气碳很重要,它是缓解全球气候变化的一种具有成本效益和基于自然的解决方案(NBS)。这里,在潜在的可移植土地上造林的假设下,我们使用森林碳固存(FCS)模型和涉及3365个森林地块的实地调查,评估了2010年至2060年中国现有和新造林森林在三种造林和三种气候情景下的碳固存率(CSR)。不考虑极端事件和人为干扰的影响,中国森林的平均CSR估计为0.358±0.016PgCa-1,分配为生物量(0.211±0.016PgCa-1)和土壤(0.147±0.005PgCa-1),分别。现有森林约占企业社会责任的93.5%,将在2035年左右达到峰值,2035年后总体呈现下降趋势。2035年后,需要有效的抚育管理来保持较高的企业社会责任水平,例如选择性切割,变薄,和近似干扰。然而,从2015年开始,在潜在的可移植土地上进行新的造林将在额外的企业社会责任增加中发挥最小的作用。在中国,东北地区的企业社会责任普遍较高,西南,中南,在西北部较低。考虑到森林砍伐和伐木可能造成的损失,据估计,从2010年到2060年,中国森林的企业社会责任将保持在0.161-0.358PgCa-1的范围内。总的来说,在2010-2060年期间,森林有可能抵消中国国家人为碳排放量的14.1%,通过对现有森林实施有效的管理战略和扩大造林,大大有助于实现2060年的碳中和目标。
    Forestation is important for sequestering atmospheric carbon, and it is a cost-effective and nature-based solution (NBS) for mitigating global climate change. Here, under the assumption of forestation in the potential plantable lands, we used the forest carbon sequestration (FCS) model and field survey involving 3365 forest plots to assess the carbon sequestration rate (CSR) of Chinese existing and new forestation forests from 2010 to 2060 under three forestation and three climate scenarios. Without considering the influence of extreme events and human disturbance, the estimated average CSR in Chinese forests was 0.358 ± 0.016 Pg C a-1, with partitioning to biomass (0.211 ± 0.016 Pg C a-1) and soil (0.147 ± 0.005 Pg C a-1), respectively. The existing forests account for approximately 93.5% of the CSR, which will peak near 2035, and decreasing trend was present overall after 2035. After 2035, effective tending management is required to maintain the high CSR level, such as selective cutting, thinning, and approximate disturbance. However, new forestation from 2015 in the potential plantable lands would play a minimal role in additional CSR increases. In China, the CSR is generally higher in the Northeast, Southwest, and Central-South, and lower in the Northwest. Considering the potential losses through deforestation and logging, it is realistically estimated that CSR in Chinese forests would remain in the range of 0.161-0.358 Pg C a-1 from 2010 to 2060. Overall, forests have the potential to offset 14.1% of the national anthropogenic carbon emissions in China over the period of 2010-2060, significantly contributing to the carbon neutrality target of 2060 with the implementation of effective management strategies for existing forests and expansion of forestation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在这项研究中,对气候条件等运行因素的影响进行基于比较文献的评估,植被类型,土地的可用性,水,能源和生物质,管理实践,对六种温室气体去除(GGR)方法进行了成本和土壤特性研究。这些方法包括造林,增强风化(EW),土壤碳固存(SCS),生物炭,直接空气捕获与碳储存(DACCS)和生物能源与碳捕获和储存(BECCS)的目的是确定条件和要求必要的最佳性能。讨论了这些因素对各种GGR方法的性能的影响程度,并在0-5的范围内进行了量化。最佳性能所必需的关键条件是确定了造林,电子战,发现SCS和生物炭在热带和温带气候区域内的部署效果最佳。CCS技术(BECCS和DACCS)在很大程度上被认为是实现减排目标的主要贡献者,被发现具有更大的定位灵活性。然而,CCS工厂成本最优选址的需要是必要的,并且取决于适当储存设施的存在,最好是地质。还强调了全球和区域合作的必要性以及目前为加快这些GGR方法的开发和部署所做的一些努力。
    In this study, a comparative literature-based assessment of the impact of operational factors such as climatic condition, vegetation type, availability of land, water, energy and biomass, management practices, cost and soil characteristics was carried out on six greenhouse gas removal (GGR) methods. These methods which include forestation, enhanced weathering (EW), soil carbon sequestration (SCS), biochar, direct air capture with carbon storage (DACCS) and bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) were accessed with the aim of identifying the conditions and requirements necessary for their optimum performance. The extent of influence of these factors on the performance of the various GGR methods was discussed and quantified on a scale of 0-5. The key conditions necessary for optimum performance were identified with forestation, EW, SCS and biochar found to be best deployed within the tropical and temperate climatic zones. The CCS technologies (BECCS and DACCS) which have been largely projected as major contributors to the attainment of the emission mitigation targets were found to have a larger locational flexibility. However, the need for cost optimal siting of the CCS plant is necessary and dependent on the presence of appropriate storage facilities, preferably geological. The need for global and regional cooperation as well as some current efforts at accelerating the development and deployment of these GGR methods were also highlighted.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    蒸散(ET)是气候系统中的中心过程,在区域水循环和气候调节中起着至关重要的作用。然而,由于缺乏定量方法和大规模直接观测数据,估计区域ET对区域水循环和气候调节的影响仍然具有挑战性。本研究开发了一种新方法,可以使用长期监测数据和Bootstrap重采样方法在区域尺度上估算蒸散量,以计算中国每年的ET单位面积。本研究应用偏差信息准则作为拟合优度指数,为中国不同气候带的区域ET选择最优估算公式。根据2000年试验的结果,使用Bootstrap重采样方法来估计不同气候带的参数分布。结果表明,相邻气候的预测ET相互重叠。亚热带季风气候区的预测ET范围最广(0-8000毫米/年),其次是温带和季风气候区(0-1500毫米/年),高原山地气候带(0-1000毫米/年),温带大陆性气候区(0-500毫米/年)。还确定了中国区域预测的ET的概率分布和等值线。本研究中使用的方法提供了一个有前途的工具,可以评估引入大规模造林或恢复树木对当地水资源管理的影响。
    Evapotranspiration (ET) is a central process in the climate system that plays a crucial role in the regional water cycle and climate regulation. However, estimating the effects of regional ET on the regional water cycle and climate regulation remains challenging due to the lack of quantitative methods and large-scale direct observational data. This study develops a new method to estimate evapotranspiration at regional scales using long-term monitoring data and the bootstrap resampling approach to calculate the ET unit area per year for China. This study applies the deviance information criterion as a goodness-of-fit index to select the most optimal formula for estimating regional ET for different climatic zones in China. The bootstrap resampling method was used to estimate parameter distribution in different climatic zones based on the outcome of 2000 trials. The results show that the predicted ET of adjacent climates overlaps with each other. The subtropical monsoonal climatic zone had the widest range of predicted ET (0-8000 mm/year), followed by the temperate and monsoonal climatic zones (0-1500 mm/year), mountain plateau climatic zone (0-1000 mm/year), and temperate continental climatic zone (0-500 mm/year). The probability distributions and isopleths of regionally predicted ET were also determined for China. The methods used in this study provide a promising tool to assess the effects of introducing large-scale forestation or restoration of trees on local water resources management.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    In 1996, a diagnostic study performed in a 16-ha field located in Buenos Aires Province (Argentina), where a chemical industry produced 1,2,3,4,5,6-hexachlorocyclohexane (HCH) from 1960 to 1978, showed contamination with HCH ranging from 10 to 20,000 mg kg-1 dry soil (706.4 mg kg-1 average). For remediation purposes, a forestation plan was put into practice in 1997 employing approximately 12,300 Eucalyptus dunnii seedlings which by 2016 where fully grown into trees that formed a forest where local fauna can be found. Midterm analysis done in 2005, when E. dunnii trees had developed into 8-10 m high trees, indicated that HCH was incorporated into leaves and logs and soil phytoremediation was progressing. Final quantitation analysis of HCH in soil performed in 2016 demonstrated that the 97.2% of the field area was effectively decontaminated with 98.1% overall average efficiency. Thus, this work is the first global example of a successful employment of E. dunnii trees for HCH phytoremediation purposes at field scale. These results may encourage other researchers to test the ability of E. dunnii to phytoremediate soils contaminated with other chlorinated compounds like polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), polychlorinated dibenzodioxins (PCDDs) and polychlorinated dibenzofurans (PCDFs).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Forest regeneration and expansion are occurring in many countries, with 80 million ha established from 2000 to 2012 under the Bonn accord and 17.5 million ha established from 1990 to 2005 according to the Food and Agriculture Organisation. Multiple reviews have linked increasing forest cover with reduced river flow and potentially detrimental effects downstream. Previous reviews have investigated trends in river flow response over time, but the influence of forest age remains uncertain. Partial river flow recovery (towards non-forested conditions) has been reported in decades following forest establishment, but the role of climate in driving these trends has not been explored. Here, we evaluate river flow trends in 43 studies following forest establishment, which provide sufficient information to distinguish the effects of ageing forests from variable climate. Our meta-analysis supports previous findings showing that forestation reduces annual river flow (by 23% after 5 years and 38% after 25 years) with greater reductions in catchments with higher mean annual precipitation, larger increases in forest cover, and which were idle, rather than agricultural land, prior to forestation. The impact of forests on river flow is sensitive to annual precipitation and potential evapotranspiration, but responses are highly variable. Forests affect river flow less when annual precipitation is low, and sensitivity to precipitation decreases as catchment aridity increases. The majority of catchments demonstrated persistent river flow declines after forest establishment. However, nine catchments showed partial flow recovery after an initial decrease, with peak flow reductions at an average age of 15 and across a range of tree species. The mean rate of recovery was 34 mm/year over 5 years. Partial flow recovery with forest age cannot be commonly expected, however, and forestation programmes should take into account that changes to annual river flow are likely to persist for up to five decades.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    随机森林(RF)是一种强大的物种分布模型(SDM)算法。此集成模型默认可以根据其分类树(CT)和回归树(RT)算法生成分类和数值物种分布图,分别。CT算法还可以产生数值预测(类概率)。这里,我们提供了一个详细的程序,涉及使用CT和RT算法,使用RF方法和仅存在数据对物种分布进行建模.CT和RT用于生成数值预测图,然后通过客观阈值设定方法将数值预测转换为二元预测。我们还应用了简单的方法来处理预测变量的共线性和物种发生数据的空间自相关。采用地理分层抽样方法来生成伪缺勤。详细的程序框架旨在是一种通用方法,可应用于几乎任何使用仅存在数据的SDM预测问题。•如何使用RF作为具有仅存在数据的通用物种分布的标准方法•如何选择用于物种分布建模的RF(CT或RT)方法•任何SDM预测问题的一般和详细程序。
    Random forests (RF) is a powerful species distribution model (SDM) algorithm. This ensemble model by default can produce categorical and numerical species distribution maps based on its classification tree (CT) and regression tree (RT) algorithms, respectively. The CT algorithm can also produce numerical predictions (class probability). Here, we present a detailed procedure involving the use of the CT and RT algorithms using the RF method with presence-only data to model the distribution of species. CT and RT are used to generate numerical prediction maps, and then numerical predictions are converted to binary predictions through objective threshold-setting methods. We also applied simple methods to deal with collinearity of predictor variables and spatial autocorrelation of species occurrence data. A geographically stratified sampling method was employed for generating pseudo-absences. The detailed procedural framework is meant to be a generic method to be applied to virtually any SDM prediction question using presence-only data. •How to use RF as a standard method for generic species distributions with presence-only data•How to choose RF (CT or RT) methods for the distribution modeling of species•A general and detailed procedure for any SDM prediction question.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Species selection is a crucial step in the planning phase of forestation programs given its impact on the results and on stakeholder interactions. This study develops a planning tool for forestation programs that incorporates the selection of tree species and the scheduling of planting and harvesting, while balancing the maximization of the carbon sequestered and income realized, into the forestation decision-making and planning process. The validation of the goal programming model formulated demonstrates that the characteristics of natural tree species along with the behavior of growth and timing of yield are significant factors in achieving the environmental and socio-economic aspirations. The proposed model is therefore useful in gauging species behavior and performance over time. Sensitivity analysis was also conducted where the behavior of the income generated and carbon sequestered with respect to the external factors such as carbon market prices, percentage area allocated for protection and discount factor was assessed.
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